Re: [DAY 12] Talking Heads Mafia (RYM #90)
Posted: Thu Nov 05, 2015 4:35 pm
Whoa I just noticed the poll ends an hour earlier than I thought it did. We have 2 hours and 20 minutes.
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
I definitely did not do this.Metalmarsh89 wrote:I don't like that Jay offered me as the only lynch option today.
That's the issue. He called me "supatown" last phase after the Bullzeye flip and has never suggested I'm the SK. He seems to think I am town as far as I can tell.Diiny wrote:I think the rating system is the biggest example of the disingenuousnessnessity you're talking about. It doesn't help him convey his innocence at all, and only seeks to damn you. It's more understandable when you consider he thinks you're anti town, though; if a townie thinks an attack coming at him is scummy, it's hard to resist discrediting the author whilst defending yourself. And he's had you down as bad for a while, right?
Let's avoid those tally shenanigans you hate so much. Vote.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:Whoa I just noticed the poll ends an hour earlier than I thought it did. We have 2 hours and 20 minutes.
Pfft. what's the context for 'supatown'?JaggedJimmyJay wrote:That's the issue. He called me "supatown" last phase after the Bullzeye flip and has never suggested I'm the SK. He seems to think I am town as far as I can tell.Diiny wrote:I think the rating system is the biggest example of the disingenuousnessnessity you're talking about. It doesn't help him convey his innocence at all, and only seeks to damn you. It's more understandable when you consider he thinks you're anti town, though; if a townie thinks an attack coming at him is scummy, it's hard to resist discrediting the author whilst defending yourself. And he's had you down as bad for a while, right?
I'm not slacking, I'm broken by a work's day. I've never had it easy when Mondays and Thursdays were EoDs and this time is no different.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:Don't make me pep talk you again, if you start slacking it's going to make me tinfoil.Ricochet wrote:Hi hi hi hi hi
Marsh, are you a girl?
I'mma read back through toDay's posts, but overall, dragging myself through the end of Hateday and through this EoD will be pretty much the same.
Sure.Diiny wrote:You ain't exempt from GTHs, J.
I had my vote on Doc for 75% of Day 11 before deciding to switch it to confirmed mafioso Bullzeye -- indeed my switch caused an exodus from Doc to Bullzeye.Diiny wrote:Here's my observation which bears with it a bad feel.
For a while, Dr Wilgy has been pushing J without ever voting for him iirc.
For a while, J has been pushing Wilgy without ever voting for him iirc.
Do irc?
I think the evidence is more substantive for MM.Diiny wrote:that was a pretty fickle vote change too, considering how enthusiastic you were about wilgy (you even used!)
How much worse do you feel about MM than the doc?
I don't remember, I think I GTH'd him bad on Day 7. It is true that I didn't push against MM in any significant way until Day 12. New evidence is relevant at all stages of the game.Diiny wrote:Help ease my fears, J.
Can I confirm when you first vocally included MM in your suspects?
What's lacking from Wilgy's case?
There was a chance that I was going to be lynched, plus we don't know if drugs are still in play, I wanted to be safe rather than sorry.Diiny wrote:Wilgy, did you ever explain why you voted bully despite J being the scummiest of your reads?
Meh. Wilgy wasn't a consensus suspect until I put up the bigDiiny wrote:Of course, but I'm scared you're just finding new players to switch your vote from that isn't wilgy whilst maintaining / pushing the idea that wilgy is bad. Just like he's been doing to you.
Wilgy's case isn't just being uninspired and avoiding interaction, it's a reliance on neutral, data based posting, some really fishy votes on scum and some really wishy washy stances. Sell me the MM case.
This doesn't make sense. I said it then to fuzz and I'll say it now. Lynching someone who would lose you the game if he were town DOES NOT MEAN LYNCHING HIM IF HE'S TOWN FIXES ANYTHING. Excuse my capsDrWilgy wrote:Diiny wrote:I think Fuzz touched up on this earlier, but had Bullzeye been a civ and given up, there was a good chance we would've lost the game. So the mentality was to get rid of the flower before we were at a LYLO situation, making him an alright Lynch candidate.
MacBaddie is how I'm calling him until I finally see a civ play from him, in a future game.motel room wrote:First up, "MacBaddie" is either a hamburger themed children's character who pushes kids off swings or some douche from Grey's Anatomy.
I'm not splitting this post, I hate that sorry. I'm gonna work backwards through this because its huge. And I think all I can really do in response is to try and explain what my mindset on each of these players were.
Bullzeye - probably started as a borrowed read at some point but definitely soldified over the days as his behaviour became cagey and defensive, and his participation and heart level dropped. I was kinda confident Choutas wasn't scum so voted Bullzeye over him, and when Bullzeye kept up his non-interest I grew in confidence.
[like an hour later lol]
Actually sorry, there's stuff all over the place. Can you distill it to a few key issues? I'm getting swamped at work and need to focus. I hate asking people to do more legwork so I can come back to this later but yeah.
Yes, you played a large role in The Besmirching of the Name of Wilgy just as he's attempted to play a large role in The Downfall of Jay: 3. And yet, you've never voted for him, or him for you.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:Meh. Wilgy wasn't a consensus suspect until I put up the bigDiiny wrote:Of course, but I'm scared you're just finding new players to switch your vote from that isn't wilgy whilst maintaining / pushing the idea that wilgy is bad. Just like he's been doing to you.
Wilgy's case isn't just being uninspired and avoiding interaction, it's a reliance on neutral, data based posting, some really fishy votes on scum and some really wishy washy stances. Sell me the MM case.case on him. He's in danger of being lynched in large part because of that. I don't mean to absorb all the credit of course, I'm just saying that I played a big role in his current lynch candidacy. I'm not opposing his lynch either.
We all have our guts and they speak to us however they may. Wilgy's most recent behavior is... weird -- hard to reconcile with any alignment. I don't know what influence it should have on my read. If people would prefer to lynch him over MM I don't see myself opposing that at the last minute. Please do understand though that my suspicion against MM isn't some diversionary crap. I specifically chose to build two huge cases against him as a mafioso AND as a serial killer for a reason.
Ah ok, let me go back. I was pushed for time at work and it all looked like a bunch of stufffff.Ricochet wrote:MacBaddie is how I'm calling him until I finally see a civ play from him, in a future game.motel room wrote:First up, "MacBaddie" is either a hamburger themed children's character who pushes kids off swings or some douche from Grey's Anatomy.
I'm not splitting this post, I hate that sorry. I'm gonna work backwards through this because its huge. And I think all I can really do in response is to try and explain what my mindset on each of these players were.
Bullzeye - probably started as a borrowed read at some point but definitely soldified over the days as his behaviour became cagey and defensive, and his participation and heart level dropped. I was kinda confident Choutas wasn't scum so voted Bullzeye over him, and when Bullzeye kept up his non-interest I grew in confidence.
[like an hour later lol]
Actually sorry, there's stuff all over the place. Can you distill it to a few key issues? I'm getting swamped at work and need to focus. I hate asking people to do more legwork so I can come back to this later but yeah.
Re: your last paragraph, I don't get this, in general (i.e. when I'm faced up with this scale-it-down rebuttal). My last read on you is basically two paragraphs, how much more do you want me to "distill" it? Two paragraphs, not, say, a point-by-point input that JJJ usually does. Make that four paragraphs, if you include my previous "motel vs a baddie or several" reads - ok, I may have gone overboard with my third read.![]()
The read, in my texts, is literally the "it boils down to" part.
MetalMarsh89 wrote:My vote will likely go to Wilgy because I know I don' want to be lynched.
Consecutive posts, too.Metalmarsh89 wrote:motel room
You suspect me?Metalmarsh89 wrote:motel room
How does it not make sense?Diiny wrote:This doesn't make sense. I said it then to fuzz and I'll say it now. Lynching someone who would lose you the game if he were town DOES NOT MEAN LYNCHING HIM IF HE'S TOWN FIXES ANYTHING. Excuse my capsDrWilgy wrote:Diiny wrote:I think Fuzz touched up on this earlier, but had Bullzeye been a civ and given up, there was a good chance we would've lost the game. So the mentality was to get rid of the flower before we were at a LYLO situation, making him an alright Lynch candidate.
You're basing a lot of your reads over something pretty trivial: SK placement. Townies are BOUND to be wrong about something so specific. Especially as relatively early into the game as epi's death. What about their accusations of epi struck you as bad rather than just townies making a mistake as townies are bound to do on such a tricky subject?
Wait, which Night are we talking here? Because on N7, a single player (the same one) survived a kill coming from two directions. I'm confused by this, in context of the discussion being about Night 7 and reading into Strawhenge's possible River moves.Metalmarsh89 wrote:There was only one roleblocker though, and two kills survived. So it is more likely that one player was protected (by his own power or another).Russtifinko wrote:Ok, trying to keep this brief because I am dead tired.
So based on this, if we have any idea at all when Choutas might have flipped, then we can figure out whether the SK is Syndicate or RYM, right? And if we do that and cross-reference it with who didn't post on N5, we might be able to narrow down the SK to a very very few players? I would do it myself, but I am unable to figure out whether the above means the SK would be Synd or RYM. I'd be grateful to wiser people who were able to get on it.Metalmarsh89 wrote:False.
Night 5: Nobody was removed from the poll on Day 6, so nobody could have been roleblocked. One of his powers wouldn't have gone through without the other one.
Night 7: Choutas was removed from the poll Day 8, meaning that somebody from the Syndicate was roleblocked. Remember that I am from RYM in this game.
Those were the two nights that Life during Wartime attempted and failed to perform a nightkill. The Night 7 one is more relevant because Strawhenge made his comment on Day 8, and Psycho Killer made a kill attempt that night (that also failed).
My point is that Strawhenge could not have targeted me on Night 7, as his roleblock would have had to gone to a Syndicate member.
I honestly think this might be the most important issue today. I think getting baddies > getting the SK under normal circumstances, but the reality at this point is that this guy could potentially kill twice tonight, and getting him now could save us from that.
Also, Post #8,000 ftw.
Have I ever been one to stay steadfast on one player I suspect until he or she is dead? I reassess everything at all times and that means my votes and my reads are nearly never static. What if I were to tell you that by process of elimination I think Doc and MM both look significantly worse than everyone else in the field? I still have to make a choice between those two because we can only lynch one player.Diiny wrote:Yes, you played a large role in The Besmirching of the Name of Wilgy just as he's attempted to play a large role in The Downfall of Jay: 3. And yet, you've never voted for him, or him for you.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:Meh. Wilgy wasn't a consensus suspect until I put up the bigDiiny wrote:Of course, but I'm scared you're just finding new players to switch your vote from that isn't wilgy whilst maintaining / pushing the idea that wilgy is bad. Just like he's been doing to you.
Wilgy's case isn't just being uninspired and avoiding interaction, it's a reliance on neutral, data based posting, some really fishy votes on scum and some really wishy washy stances. Sell me the MM case.case on him. He's in danger of being lynched in large part because of that. I don't mean to absorb all the credit of course, I'm just saying that I played a big role in his current lynch candidacy. I'm not opposing his lynch either.
We all have our guts and they speak to us however they may. Wilgy's most recent behavior is... weird -- hard to reconcile with any alignment. I don't know what influence it should have on my read. If people would prefer to lynch him over MM I don't see myself opposing that at the last minute. Please do understand though that my suspicion against MM isn't some diversionary crap. I specifically chose to build two huge cases against him as a mafioso AND as a serial killer for a reason.
Even with that last paragraph it sounds like you're backing away from him. He was your TOP SUSPECT and he's only gotten, as you've said, more suspicious since then. But then the MM case(s) happen(s). I wouldn't call it diversionary; I'd call it a replacement. You're keeping Wilgy in your bad list but plopping your vote on MM. What's annoying me is that it/they is/are a good case(s).
Can you divine what I'm scared of, J?
I don't understand this part. How did marking them bad mean "plucking" them? Also, that was ages ago Versus what just happened last day period.DrWilgy wrote:If you think I'm just parroting what Fuzz had to say, you can look at the GTH results from back when Roxy, BR, Splints, and Floyd were alive. I marked them all as bad, due to the need to pluck them before the situation was dangerous.
I don't think Strawhenge's role, whatever it was, or anything else may have done behind the scenes had anything to do with the failed kills of Night 7. I do think that Strawhenge strongly believed he caused one of the failed attempts though, and that MM was the player implicated in his mind.Ricochet wrote:Wait, which Night are we talking here? Because on N7, a single player (the same one) survived a kill coming from two directions. I'm confused by this, in context of the discussion being about Night 7 and reading into Strawhenge's possible River moves.
scumhunt. The time for defense is well over.DrWilgy wrote:To those who are here, would you rather me try to scumhunt? or go through the wall of text and try to defend myself and answer those questions? I don't have time for both, I probably don't have time for 1 of the 2 to be completed.
I kind of did that I guess.Ricochet wrote:Maybe it's my tiredness to blame, but I don't think I understand a thing of what Wilgy is projecting here. Now this is the kind of post I'd like to see, perhaps, distilled down to a few ideas of what to really look at and interpret / take into consideration.
I'll switch to metalmarsh G L A D L Y if you follow your self pres vote?DrWilgy wrote:Self pres vote on Motel Room
working on it JJJ
I am not calling you teammates in the traditional sense. I do not suspect you are mafia. I admit wholeheartedly to tinfoiling the jjj wilgy relationship, but there's no harm airing my suspicions if they're incorrect, right?JaggedJimmyJay wrote:Have I ever been one to stay steadfast on one player I suspect until he or she is dead? I reassess everything at all times and that means my votes and my reads are nearly never static. What if I were to tell you that by process of elimination I think Doc and MM both look significantly worse than everyone else in the field? I still have to make a choice between those two because we can only lynch one player.Diiny wrote:Yes, you played a large role in The Besmirching of the Name of Wilgy just as he's attempted to play a large role in The Downfall of Jay: 3. And yet, you've never voted for him, or him for you.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:Meh. Wilgy wasn't a consensus suspect until I put up the bigDiiny wrote:Of course, but I'm scared you're just finding new players to switch your vote from that isn't wilgy whilst maintaining / pushing the idea that wilgy is bad. Just like he's been doing to you.
Wilgy's case isn't just being uninspired and avoiding interaction, it's a reliance on neutral, data based posting, some really fishy votes on scum and some really wishy washy stances. Sell me the MM case.case on him. He's in danger of being lynched in large part because of that. I don't mean to absorb all the credit of course, I'm just saying that I played a big role in his current lynch candidacy. I'm not opposing his lynch either.
We all have our guts and they speak to us however they may. Wilgy's most recent behavior is... weird -- hard to reconcile with any alignment. I don't know what influence it should have on my read. If people would prefer to lynch him over MM I don't see myself opposing that at the last minute. Please do understand though that my suspicion against MM isn't some diversionary crap. I specifically chose to build two huge cases against him as a mafioso AND as a serial killer for a reason.
Even with that last paragraph it sounds like you're backing away from him. He was your TOP SUSPECT and he's only gotten, as you've said, more suspicious since then. But then the MM case(s) happen(s). I wouldn't call it diversionary; I'd call it a replacement. You're keeping Wilgy in your bad list but plopping your vote on MM. What's annoying me is that it/they is/are a good case(s).
Can you divine what I'm scared of, J?
If you're town then you're tinfoiling me though you might not admit that. You see the capacity for Doc and I to be team mates, and I am maintaining the suspicion on him for the sake of distance while also preventing his demise with replacement votes.
Here's the problem: yesterday's "replacement vote" was for a confirmed mafioso. Today's "replacement vote" comes courtesy of brand new evidence that was not in this thread or in my brain during Day 11.
Why do you think I went to all this trouble this phase to case MM as both evil alignments?
Yellow: I understand what you're saying here Doc.DrWilgy wrote:How does it not make sense?Diiny wrote:This doesn't make sense. I said it then to fuzz and I'll say it now. Lynching someone who would lose you the game if he were town DOES NOT MEAN LYNCHING HIM IF HE'S TOWN FIXES ANYTHING. Excuse my capsDrWilgy wrote:Diiny wrote:I think Fuzz touched up on this earlier, but had Bullzeye been a civ and given up, there was a good chance we would've lost the game. So the mentality was to get rid of the flower before we were at a LYLO situation, making him an alright Lynch candidate.
You're basing a lot of your reads over something pretty trivial: SK placement. Townies are BOUND to be wrong about something so specific. Especially as relatively early into the game as epi's death. What about their accusations of epi struck you as bad rather than just townies making a mistake as townies are bound to do on such a tricky subject?
A non playing town at lylo increases your chances of losing IMMENSELY. If there's a chance to get rid of the player before that, it is absolutely necessary to do it. It's a civ's responsibility to not get mislynched yes? A wall flower won't accept or properly carry out that responsibility.
I don't think it's trivial. I had thought there was a good chance that some players would know who the SK is, and asked those players. Other players agreed with the confirmed baddie who turned out to be lying. It's solely because they agreed with Mac. I pointed this out with Russ as soon as he did it, but decided not to follow it up because "townies making a mistake as townies" but Russ is still alive, along with MM. Both of which stated that Epi had a good chance to be SK. Do I think they are all baddies together? not really, I can't see a team of 3 baddies all stating that one person is the SK. Could one of those teammates agree with Mac? Honestly I would say most likely.
Oh geez, time is so short... If we lose because of Mac setting me up, and time not being on my side, I think my salt will overflow. Based on my actions alone, would you Lynch me Diiny? Motel Room? JJJ has stated that most of everything comes from a confirmed baddie interacting with me. If I really were a baddie, would I have lynched Mac vs You that day? If I were bad, I would've just needed to move my vote off of Mac, hell I could've voted Bcornett again and you would've died, Mac would've been alive.
To those who are here, would you rather me try to scumhunt? or go through the wall of text and try to defend myself and answer those questions? I don't have time for both, I probably don't have time for 1 of the 2 to be completed.
He was defensive and standoffish. He eventually gave responses to the cases after trying to discredit the entire approach first but they were weird and the "rating" part was gimmicky which always stinks to me.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:Everyone not named Diiny since he already talked about it:
How do you feel MM responded to the pressure I put on him this phase? I need stances immediately.