Re: The Search for Quin [Day 4]
Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:04 pm
If Dom is the last baddie, why doesn't he give a shit at all? He hasn't even been here to cast his vote and there's less than hour left.
I arrived at Dom through process of elimination, same as you. Only I have the luxury of being able to remove myself from that process. The other 20% is general skepticism. Maybe Serge's defeated attitude was a caluclated ploys. Maybe NT is playing the noob card and actually knows exactly what he's doing. Maybe you or daisy are killing it. There are a million hypotheticals, but the most logical choice to me is Dom.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 7:58 pm But sure, why Dom? And if not that 80%, what's the 20%?
Yell at them to get over here.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:03 pmWell, considering you had no suspicion on you before me, and NT, Dom, and BWT are all wild cards for missing each vote, the sense of urgency needs to be high right now. If all three of them are town or even two of them are, which is almost guaranteed, that's as many as two+ missing votes each cycle.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:02 pmHow? If we're correct that there's only 1 scum left, then we should have another 2 mislynches in the tank, shouldn't we?MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 7:57 pmIf it is you and you don't get lynched today, we've almost certainly lost.
Good question. I don't have an answer. He hasn't appeared heavily invested in this game either way.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:04 pm If Dom is the last baddie, why doesn't he give a shit at all? He hasn't even been here to cast his vote and there's less than hour left.
I don't mean to discourage you or to say that you personally are annoying me, it's not like that at all. I appreciate the work you're putting in, as I've said. But we're coming up fast on the deadline and suddenly all of the energy in the thread (since it's just the two of us) is focused squarely on me. I was hoping to use most of this time solidifying our reads together to make sure we lynch the right person, but instead I've had to respond to accusations this entire time and it appears that I'm going to be the one getting lynched now due to voter apathy.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:07 pm I'm sorry, Sloonei, I'm not trying to annoy you or anything here. I just am giving it all I've got. In my mind it has to be you or Dom at this stage, 99% sure, and I still think it's you. If it's Dom, it's sheer luck. I think there are reasons to believe that you are bad, and I also think DDL's read of you feels like manufactured garbage to give you town cover since you were generally being townread at the time.
well yeah, because you an me are the only people here at all this cycle, and you're trying to focus all the attention on me. Should I just say "Yeah, go ahead, you can lynch me!"?MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:10 pm The last scumster right now would be desperately trying to find any reason to cast suspicion on anyone else but him/her. The only person doing that this cycle is you, Sloonei.
Got any legacy thoughts in case you do die?Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:11 pmI don't mean to discourage you or to say that you personally are annoying me, it's not like that at all. I appreciate the work you're putting in, as I've said. But we're coming up fast on the deadline and suddenly all of the energy in the thread (since it's just the two of us) is focused squarely on me. I was hoping to use most of this time solidifying our reads together to make sure we lynch the right person, but instead I've had to respond to accusations this entire time and it appears that I'm going to be the one getting lynched now due to voter apathy.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:07 pm I'm sorry, Sloonei, I'm not trying to annoy you or anything here. I just am giving it all I've got. In my mind it has to be you or Dom at this stage, 99% sure, and I still think it's you. If it's Dom, it's sheer luck. I think there are reasons to believe that you are bad, and I also think DDL's read of you feels like manufactured garbage to give you town cover since you were generally being townread at the time.
Well, if it is you, a confession would be nice.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:12 pmwell yeah, because you an me are the only people here at all this cycle, and you're trying to focus all the attention on me. Should I just say "Yeah, go ahead, you can lynch me!"?MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:10 pm The last scumster right now would be desperately trying to find any reason to cast suspicion on anyone else but him/her. The only person doing that this cycle is you, Sloonei.
Yes, but I also think town Dom would make this argument as well because, like you said, everyone voted for DDL. His post feels like someone clutching at straws not all that desperately, because he doesn't seem to really care.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:09 pm I just can't see how that's a logical argument for a scum Dom to make right now though. If he were scum, wouldn't he be trying to convince us of the existence of a busser, since nearly all of us did vote for DDL?
Yeah, that's my point, you'd think if he was scum he would care just a bit more and would make a different argument.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:13 pmYes, but I also think town Dom would make this argument as well because, like you said, everyone voted for DDL. His post feels like someone clutching at straws not all that desperately, because he doesn't seem to really care.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:09 pm I just can't see how that's a logical argument for a scum Dom to make right now though. If he were scum, wouldn't he be trying to convince us of the existence of a busser, since nearly all of us did vote for DDL?
You're town. Nutella also looks great in light of her interactions with DDL and vice versa. Daisy still looks solid because of the way she picked up on the DDL/sanmateo pairing. I've got nothing as substantial on bwt and I'd leave the door open on him. The other three need to say more things so we can read them more clearly. Serge is still my second candidate.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:12 pmGot any legacy thoughts in case you do die?Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:11 pmI don't mean to discourage you or to say that you personally are annoying me, it's not like that at all. I appreciate the work you're putting in, as I've said. But we're coming up fast on the deadline and suddenly all of the energy in the thread (since it's just the two of us) is focused squarely on me. I was hoping to use most of this time solidifying our reads together to make sure we lynch the right person, but instead I've had to respond to accusations this entire time and it appears that I'm going to be the one getting lynched now due to voter apathy.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:07 pm I'm sorry, Sloonei, I'm not trying to annoy you or anything here. I just am giving it all I've got. In my mind it has to be you or Dom at this stage, 99% sure, and I still think it's you. If it's Dom, it's sheer luck. I think there are reasons to believe that you are bad, and I also think DDL's read of you feels like manufactured garbage to give you town cover since you were generally being townread at the time.
I'm still mulling over everything, by the way, despite my alleged confidence.
Not if he's not invested in the game.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:14 pmYeah, that's my point, you'd think if he was scum he would care just a bit more and would make a different argument.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:13 pmYes, but I also think town Dom would make this argument as well because, like you said, everyone voted for DDL. His post feels like someone clutching at straws not all that desperately, because he doesn't seem to really care.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:09 pm I just can't see how that's a logical argument for a scum Dom to make right now though. If he were scum, wouldn't he be trying to convince us of the existence of a busser, since nearly all of us did vote for DDL?
Have you ever seen a player do what Serge did and still turn out to be scum?MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:15 pm I just have a hard time believing the third scum is that apathetic right now, unless that person was Serge because it all seemed like it was going to be him today for sure, but the way he responded didn't read that way at all.
Yeah, I suppose. I don't know about you but I always feel even more guilty about coasting or being uninvested as scum than town.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:16 pmNot if he's not invested in the game.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:14 pmYeah, that's my point, you'd think if he was scum he would care just a bit more and would make a different argument.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:13 pmYes, but I also think town Dom would make this argument as well because, like you said, everyone voted for DDL. His post feels like someone clutching at straws not all that desperately, because he doesn't seem to really care.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:09 pm I just can't see how that's a logical argument for a scum Dom to make right now though. If he were scum, wouldn't he be trying to convince us of the existence of a busser, since nearly all of us did vote for DDL?
I foresee anger in your future if you continue down this path.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:16 pm I am torn, believe it or not. It could very well be Dom. I'll really be mad at myself if we lynched you and I was wrong. I'll think about it.
I don't think so? I mean, I faked that before, so I guess me.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:17 pmHave you ever seen a player do what Serge did and still turn out to be scum?MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:15 pm I just have a hard time believing the third scum is that apathetic right now, unless that person was Serge because it all seemed like it was going to be him today for sure, but the way he responded didn't read that way at all.
I really wish I was. I'd love to be this townread as scum. It's been a long while since I owned a game like this. But sadly, not the case.
I definitely agree, but I don't know about Dom and he's probably got more important things than this game going on in his life right now. I could see him being a disinterested townie, but then I'm back to working on my POE chart.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:17 pmYeah, I suppose. I don't know about you but I always feel even more guilty about coasting or being uninvested as scum than town.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:16 pmNot if he's not invested in the game.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:14 pmYeah, that's my point, you'd think if he was scum he would care just a bit more and would make a different argument.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:13 pmYes, but I also think town Dom would make this argument as well because, like you said, everyone voted for DDL. His post feels like someone clutching at straws not all that desperately, because he doesn't seem to really care.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:09 pm I just can't see how that's a logical argument for a scum Dom to make right now though. If he were scum, wouldn't he be trying to convince us of the existence of a busser, since nearly all of us did vote for DDL?
My thoughts exactly. It was that part about misunderstood that hammered it home for me. But then, on the flipside of that, if we all don't understand him, it's possible that we don't understand what he's capable of as scum.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:18 pmI don't think so? I mean, I faked that before, so I guess me.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:17 pmHave you ever seen a player do what Serge did and still turn out to be scum?MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:15 pm I just have a hard time believing the third scum is that apathetic right now, unless that person was Serge because it all seemed like it was going to be him today for sure, but the way he responded didn't read that way at all.But I can't think of another instance off the top of my head. His sentiments about being frustrated because people don't know his playstyle rung really true too.
Agreed. Two person mafia doesn't really work.
I gotta find Quin!MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:25 pm Regardless of your alignment, the sheer amount of effort you've given to this game is beyond commendable, Sloonei. You really deserve to win either way.
That's entirely possible, especially since he wasn't the one being condemned to death today (instead it was Serge).Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:26 pm It's also possible that Dom felt resigned coming into today but wasn't ready to wave the white flag just yet, so he put up a token accusatory post and then drifted off, not wanting to indict himself or waste any energy on a lost cause. I could read that in his posts.
To answer my own question, if I'm not considering what's actually happened or anyone specifically, I'd say something like c > d > b > a in terms of most to least likely.MovingPictures07 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:28 pm In the abstract though, Sloonei, which do you think is most likely?
a) sanmateo and DDL did not in any way mention or interact with their third teammate
b) sanmateo said something about or to their third teammate but DDL did not
c) DDL said something about or to their third teammate but sanmateo did not
d) both sanmateo and DDL said something about or to their third teammate
You bet, bud.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:31 pm I'm not big on self-defense purely for the sake of self-defense, but I will advocate for myself when I feel I have something contributive (that's a real word, don't look it up) to say. And right now I'll say this for myself: Even in the face of all that you've had to say against me tonight, I've maintained, as much as I can, a focus on investigating others. Not because I want to turn the attention away from myself, but because I want us to make the right choice today.
People just pulled into my driveway so I gotta go. Make the right choice, and good game either way.
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