Re: [DAY 8] Fight Club Mafia
Posted: Tue Aug 12, 2014 10:16 pm
Two votes with about twelve hours left.
Boomslang wrote:Throwing my vote at Leamiteo to discourage revenge voting. Seems like an unnecessarily aggressive action.
Leamiteo wrote:I'm voting SVS because she is dead wrong about me.
Kylemii wrote:*votes random sorsha*
juliets wrote:So Mr. R, where have you gone and would you please come back to the game?
votes Mr. R
There's a whole rainbow of weak reasons people voted for people, and yet mine alone is suspicious. And because he's so interesting, let's look at Llama again, and his theory:Canucklehead wrote:Imma vote for Elochin. She's been super absent, and possibly missed sending I her kill PM last night.....Basically random...but with the semblance of reason!
So, Llama, you wanted to vote for Dom because he was the best, most prime example of someone who fits your big theory on how Tyler recruits. What did you hope to accomplish with this vote, really? Either you wanted Dom to be lynched and found baddie, in which case you got what you were aiming for, and the results don't please the public, so now the OTHER votes on Dom (not yours) are suspicious because he was a Civilian. Or, you wanted NOBODY else to vote Dom, in which case I can think of two scenarios: a) you wanted to just poke at someone you thought was a baddie, without lynching them, which would make you a baddie target, which is pretty foolish, or b) you already knew Dom wasn't a baddie, and you didn't expect anyone to follow along with your vote, allowing you to hide out indefinitely behind your overdiscussed recruitment theory.thellama73 wrote:Okay, here's the thing (are you ready to hear the thing? Cause here it is): The police can search someone every night to see if they are bad and kill them if they are, right? There have been no police kills lately, so I am going to assume they have been failing at this job. Who would the police likely search? Presumably the people they find suspicios in the thread, the same people they re voting to lynch. This leads me to conlcude that someone who has taken a lot of votes (like Bullz, for example) is almoost certainly innocent (until Tyler reads this and immediately recruits Bullz.)
For this reason, I am going to vote for someone who has taken NO suspicion, someone who the police would have no reason to check.
That person is Dom.
I don't know if she is even still alive or not, or if nothing came of this, but I know Leamiteo pretty well and this reads more like frustration to me than defensiveness. I guess it helps to know the mannerisms of a person IRL and be able to read them through their written words. I have not at this time seen anything I found to be suspect from Leanna. But I could be wrong I suppose.juliets wrote:Lea, there is no bandwagon. At this point there is SVS saying she is suspicious of you and me saying there was a conversation with you and DH that I thought was odd and I will probably take a look at your posts. You sound more defensive than this amount of activity calls for. Is there something I'm missing?
I find this analysis kind of weird personally. If I were Tyler I would not be going to great lengths to recruit a certain kind of player. I think it is odd that you went into such detail to describe exactly what kind of player you would recruit and who they would be. Almost struck me like, hey see, it's not me because this is what I would do if I were Tyler, but obviously I'm not because I wouldn't have recruited DH. What? I think it is much more likely that discussion about who would be likely to recruit DH would be based pon association to him than anything so meta as all that.Canucklehead wrote: Re: who would want to recruit DH: I am very much of the opinion that DH was recruited precisely for his loudness/obnoxiousness (Love you, girl/wackyness, and my hunch is that Tyler was seeking these qualities because s/he is NOT naturally disposed towards that jokey/dominant gameplay. For example, I know for sure that if I were Tyler (and assuming I'd matured from my previous mafia policy of rewarding hilarity.....which I totally have NOT matured from, by the way) my strategy would be to recruit a player who was sweet/nice, took the game seriously, was very involved in theories and suspicions, and was a fairly high-poster. I would do this because my style is usually to be bitchy/horrible, to never take anything seriously, very rarely contribute to the paranoia/suspicions/etc, and post only two or three times per day. To be quite honest, I would recruit Bea or unfurl as my first recruit because they are both the polar opposite of my playstyle
(That's totally a compliment, chicas. No one wants to play like me
)This is because I would want my teammates to be always at arm's length from me, and the best way I would have of doing that would be to eliminate even the subconscious connections that players could create between us due to similar playstyles/tones.
Long story short: I think we're looking for a Tyler who is fairly quiet/fairly serious/fairly thoughtful. I think further recruits will possibly be similar to DH in that they are experienced and confident, but perhaps a little more serious in tone.
I know many (most) of you will dismiss this theory as silly, and possibly even be upset by the fact that such a theory seems to punish prominent players just for being prominent.......but I really think that this dynamic (of attempting to guess how the recruiter is going to operate, who they would want to choose) is an inherent part of a recruitment focused game....so there! :P
You voted for me?!juliets wrote:Very interesting LC. I see you took part of my vote post but didn't bother to take the whole thing because well, it looks stupider the way you chose to represent it. There is no context or comment. I wonder how many of the other vote posts you cut off part of the reason. Would a civ do that? Or an unrecruited policeman? I don't know, I'll sleep on it. And just for the record, here is the entire part of the post that had to do with my vote:
I do not have strong feelings about anyone this lynch. It just feels like an impossible task to me to find Tyler right now. There are some things I need to read through again I just dont have time before this lynch. Boogs already has votes calling him out for not being present in the game and I'm going to vote for Mr. Rearranger to prompt him to come out of the shadows and discuss or theorize or do anything frankly. I don't understand the change in him from the first part of the game to the second. I thought about voting Lea but I'm not quite ready to commit to her.
So Mr. R, where have you gone and would you please come back to the game?
votes Mr. R
Perhaps not a sure thing but I suppose I can see how it might look like a clever move to subtly appear more civ. if one implies they would like to be recruited they are essentially saying they have not yet been recruited. Also, they would seem like an obvious choice for a check for the policemen, which in turn would seem too obvious and perhaps make them a safer bet or recruitment, because who old recruit someone who openly asked to be in thread? I feel like I am picking one of two glasses of wine right now... LolKeterman wrote:Um...no? That's not true at all? What?Russtifinko wrote:Will be busy graduating tomorrow! Voting Vomps. Only someone who's been recruited would say they wouldn't mind being recruited.
This is a very interesting point about llama. I didn't pick up on him saying that about the cops, but it does seem strange that as thoughtful a player as llama has not considered the possibility of cops being compromised. But he would not be the first person who did not seem to consider it, I suppose. I just wouldn't expect it from him.S~V~S wrote: the fact that Llama keeps saying "trust the police", when this has been previously discussed, kinda paranoids me out. And the fact that he called Unfurls thoughts "nonsense" feels like he's trying to discount her opinions, which have been prolific and insightful. I don't like it, tbh. Does not mean he is bad. But it does not make me feel good about him.
Lol this statement makes me giggle because she is the farthest thing from an aggressive person that I know of. I took her to be saying not that she was revenge voting but that SVS clinging to this theory on her was starting to make lea suspect her. Plus, I personally find it hard not to suspect someone who is wrongfully accusing me, so I could easily see this being the case here.Boomslang wrote:Throwing my vote at Leamiteo to discourage revenge voting. Seems like an unnecessarily aggressive action.
Ok does anyone else think it's weird Canuck pushed so hard to fight someone and then her opponent ended up dead?MovingPictures07 wrote:Day 7: Dom's Demise
Dom has been lynched. He was an unrecruited Civilian.
Canucklehead has won the fight. Elohcin has been killed in the fight!!!! She was an unrecruited Civilian.
It is now Night 7. You have 24 hours to send in your PMs and vote on tomorrow's new fighters.
I think I skipped one thing in my reading catch up. Why are we is cussing how the baddies might utilize BTSC? Why would it be anyway other than the norm for these games, I mean I have only ever seen chat rooms for the most part. Or is this a question about how/if BTSC works/exists for the recruits and Tyler? It would seem pretty disabling to the baddies to not allow them BTSC if you ask me. I can't see Alex crippling a team this way...Mister Rearranger wrote:^Glad to see you again as well, Russ!
See, I'm just of the opposite perspective. Eliminating BTSC between a baddie team essentially makes them all SKs for the purposes of in-thread behavior. Personally, I tend to have a better track record with suspecting solo baddies; however, I can never convince enough other players to believe me lol
I like SVS's notion of a baddie leader that simply PMs anonymous instructions to his cronies, regardless of if it's true or not. Just sounds like it'd be a cool role and make for an entertaining game.
I've brought it up a bit, because Alex hasn't been willing to clarify. If you look at the roles, it says narrator and Marla have btsc. the cops have btsc. Tyler and narrator have temp btsc. But it doesn't say anything about btsc with Project Mayhem. Sure, they likely do, but then why hasn't he said? It's weird.Spacedaisy wrote:
I think I skipped one thing in my reading catch up. Why are we is cussing how the baddies might utilize BTSC? Why would it be anyway other than the norm for these games, I mean I have only ever seen chat rooms for the most part. Or is this a question about how/if BTSC works/exists for the recruits and Tyler? It would seem pretty disabling to the baddies to not allow them BTSC if you ask me. I can't see Alex crippling a team this way...
She replaced FH, who I think lost a fight early on. If Canuckle has a high fight level, it sure didn't help the previous time! I'd still love to know how it all works!Spacedaisy wrote:
Ok does anyone else think it's weird Canuck pushed so hard to fight someone and then her opponent ended up dead?she must have quite the skill level there. And I would assume she knew it going in. Did she replace someone?
hello Bea! <3bea wrote:I would love to hear more from BR and Kyle. I keep forgetting about them except when they post. Leam seems to have dropped off the face of the earth since SVS dropped her suspicion.
I was going to let this go, but LC did that to my vote-post-quote in that post too. I mean I did vote Sorsha for no real reason of course. It was a randomization, but the rest of the post was justification for why my vote was randomized. (AKA unable to make myself up to date on current events in time) My vote that day was only loosely comparable to his, and I think it kind of misses the point anyways.juliets wrote:Very interesting LC. I see you took part of my vote post but didn't bother to take the whole thing because well, it looks stupider the way you chose to represent it. There is no context or comment. I wonder how many of the other vote posts you cut off part of the reason. Would a civ do that? Or an unrecruited policeman? I don't know, I'll sleep on it. And just for the record, here is the entire part of the post that had to do with my vote:
I've definitely truncated quotes as well, sometimes you have to. But not if you are using them to make a point like LC did. Explaining your vote and voting, is different than voting with little explanation. I'm very likely voting Long Con today. My gut is telling me this isn't like him.Kylemii wrote:
I was going to let this go, but LC did that to my vote-post-quote in that post too. I mean I did vote Sorsha for no real reason of course. It was a randomization, but the rest of the post was justification for why my vote was randomized. (AKA unable to make myself up to date on current events in time) My vote that day was only loosely comparable to his, and I think it kind of misses the point anyways.
Selective quoting can be an effective way of making posts less lengthy but only when the only information removed is irrelevant information. (i truncated most of the quotes in this post to include only relevant paragraphs in fact) If information which is even potentially relevant is omitted from a quote in a way which makes a point made by the quoter seem more valid seems like it may be a form of manipulation and it is concerning to me.
If Tyler is a powerhouse of a role, it could compensate to limit his recruits' knowledge who he is and their communication, but that's neither here nor there. Everyone was just running rampant with speculation at the time I posted that, as I'm sure you saw.Spacedaisy wrote:I think I skipped one thing in my reading catch up. Why are we is cussing how the baddies might utilize BTSC? Why would it be anyway other than the norm for these games, I mean I have only ever seen chat rooms for the most part. Or is this a question about how/if BTSC works/exists for the recruits and Tyler? It would seem pretty disabling to the baddies to not allow them BTSC if you ask me. I can't see Alex crippling a team this way...Mister Rearranger wrote:^Glad to see you again as well, Russ!
See, I'm just of the opposite perspective. Eliminating BTSC between a baddie team essentially makes them all SKs for the purposes of in-thread behavior. Personally, I tend to have a better track record with suspecting solo baddies; however, I can never convince enough other players to believe me lol
I like SVS's notion of a baddie leader that simply PMs anonymous instructions to his cronies, regardless of if it's true or not. Just sounds like it'd be a cool role and make for an entertaining game.
I have to agree with this reasoning. I don't know how heavily the skill levels factor into fight results, but I would personally rather not give another shot at becoming stronger to the same people over and over. Why would we possibly hand an advantage over to our opponents?Bullzeye wrote:I don't think you should. I don't really think anyone who has already won a fight should be allowed the chance to become more powerful than the rest of us until everyone who has never won a fight gets to and we're all back at the same level. Letting people get ahead in level might be a bad idea, we could end up making Tyler and his recruits more powerful than the civs.Sorsha wrote: And I don't care.... I'll fight again. You or whoever else.
This seems like as good a reason as any to vote for someone. If he does in the fight, we won't lose a participating player. I'll cast my vote for MR and Ketterman as well.Mister Rearranger wrote:Balls, I missed the 3 sentences stipulation of MP's post on the previous page. Reading-comprehension fail. :/
Probably best for me to fight anyways then. If I die here, it might save me the trouble of dying by the end of the day tomorrow. However, I'd like to at least try to survive.
I think, knowing Alex, it is likely not going to be something clear we can figure out.i would be willing to bet there are various factors and he has some algorithm that determines the result. He has done that sort of thing before in some other game. I can't recall which one. I doubt it will be possible to say exactly what determines fights without having that algorithm.S~V~S wrote: I also had a theory about dying in a fight, but when i looked back, I saw I was wrong. My theory was that it had nothing to do with who the dead person fought, it had to do with participating/not participating in the fight. I saw that Eloh did not post at all since before it was announced that she was a fighter. So I figured non participation was a no brainer for DP1 (DP2 where are you???), but when I went back, he HAD posted after his fight was announced, and I think that he did likely participate. So my theory lasted about 45 minutes. So I would like to hear other theories, too.
I'm sorry you had a bad day and night.S~V~S wrote:Day 4 is not that quickly. Even if the police are not compromised, this leaves 3 other recruitement days (if your 1 per day theory is correct) before he may have changed course due to DH dying. Which would mean max 3 (days 5-7) non suspicious recruits. I understand your point, but DH not being killed until Night 4 means it does not hold water.
Plus my guess is not a recruit every night, but a kill OR a recruit. I have seen this before. It would explain the lack of kills.
I'm guessing the kids got in the way again during your re-read and that's why you didn't come back with some thoughts besides "I'm feeling so lost right now. OMG this is how the players of my games feel?" it's weird being on the other side of a mind eff game isn't it? You are too good of a player to let you keep sliding on this. I would and have been lynched MANY times for less. see: Day 1 of your last game.Black Rock wrote:Well I have been trying to read and post all day. Either a child got in my way, or work, or my damn internet wasn't working. So much to read today. I went back and read the last day as I had missed a lot. As far as I could see there wasn't much to get out last day. Not much went on or said. The votes weren't really that suspicious.
To be completely honest I'm having troubles remembering specifics from the last couple of pages. So I guess I will have to look at them again. *sigh*
I really agree with this. I do truly believe that there are more factors that any of us players will ever understand till the end of the game. And even after the whole mess is over I still won't understand the math. I also don't see the harm in discussing the factors we *do* know about. Because it helps us to know things. As many unknowns as we can try to eliminate makes it better for us to make informed decisions.Spacedaisy wrote:I think, knowing Alex, it is likely not going to be something clear we can figure out.i would be willing to bet there are various factors and he has some algorithm that determines the result. He has done that sort of thing before in some other game. I can't recall which one. I doubt it will be possible to say exactly what determines fights without having that algorithm.S~V~S wrote: I also had a theory about dying in a fight, but when i looked back, I saw I was wrong. My theory was that it had nothing to do with who the dead person fought, it had to do with participating/not participating in the fight. I saw that Eloh did not post at all since before it was announced that she was a fighter. So I figured non participation was a no brainer for DP1 (DP2 where are you???), but when I went back, he HAD posted after his fight was announced, and I think that he did likely participate. So my theory lasted about 45 minutes. So I would like to hear other theories, too.
And - ok - I hate to do this to you - as I did read about your losing your staff and I KNOW what a week and such you've had because all of us know that you are newly engaged to our host and he is in the process of moving.Spacedaisy wrote:Also, ugh. I al so far behind I was thinking we were still choosing two fighters. We are now in the lynch. I need to vote like now too. I am going to random a vote because I am obviously too out of the loop to adequately choose...
Kyle it is. *votes Kyle*
S~V~S wrote:While I am not totally surprised by the big LC push, he has not had many mentions before the last day or so, and i had him pegged for a civ early on, but it is a recruiting game; things change. On the other hand I am not too totally surprised based on his super hostile reaction to me re Lea. That kind of raised a brow for me at the time he said it. But I gotta say, at this stage of the game, when you are more about defense than offense, it isn't a good sign.
I want to do some rereading of him in the Town threads, I will likely fly by vote from phone at work a bit later.
@Bea~ I am confused. You think LC is Baddie McBadderson, but you are putting a vote on someone to put them on notice? But your points on Lea going AWOL are good ones, even I kinda forgot about her. So now I need to revisit her, too, especially since LC defended her himself.
And Thanks re bad day & bus, but now I gotta go out in the rain & catch the *&*(@^$@ bus again~ and there is a flood watch lol but the bus is slow, plenty of reading time~ and I can vote from work.
I'm glad you are going to be around for the end vote. please don't follow mine. I'd like to at least give her time to defend.Bullzeye wrote:Well I'm definitely not going out today so I guess I have some more time to try to get my head back into this game! With the other one being in a night phase as well today looks pretty good for me to try to wrap my brain around fight club again.
bea wrote:I'm guessing the kids got in the way again during your re-read and that's why you didn't come back with some thoughts besides "I'm feeling so lost right now. OMG this is how the players of my games feel?" it's weird being on the other side of a mind eff game isn't it? You are too good of a player to let you keep sliding on this. I would and have been lynched MANY times for less. see: Day 1 of your last game.Black Rock wrote:Well I have been trying to read and post all day. Either a child got in my way, or work, or my damn internet wasn't working. So much to read today. I went back and read the last day as I had missed a lot. As far as I could see there wasn't much to get out last day. Not much went on or said. The votes weren't really that suspicious.
To be completely honest I'm having troubles remembering specifics from the last couple of pages. So I guess I will have to look at them again. *sigh*
@ MR - maybe it is - maybe it isn't? I don't know. I know that the very name LC is enough of a mind eff that I'm worried that it can't be *this* easy - ya know? Part of me is going - we HAVE to be being played here. Who was it that said - "I feel like I'm sitting in front of two cups of wine?" - yea. That's me re: LC. Also - THANK YOU for actually being up and around. I always feel like I'm talking to myself.
Are you kdding me, Kylemii? What exactly did I cut out of this post that makes it have ANY different meaning whatsoever? You randomized your vote because you didn't have a clear idea of who you thought was bad.Kylemii wrote:I haven't actually been able to read all that's happened in the last day phase, I've been busy on vacation and am not all that sure what's been happening since the last lynch. :x
I don't really have any feelings about any of the current vote havers, I know this is kinda lame but I think I have to randomize for now. I'll be able to catch up and kick ass in a couple days when I'm home and mg sister is back in her current state of residence.
*votes random sorsha*
bea wrote:I would like to know how MR was less explanatory than kyle.Also - if LC does turn up bad then you think your vote for MR is poor? And you should supect kyle, llama and timmer instead?
If LC turns up bad then I am wrong, but by my read of the thread it doesn't seem very likely.
I'm confused by this statement. where exactly are you wrong again? And why do you think you are most likely not wrong? I've not seen anything from you that speaks of evidence of anything.
Again - just because LC is in the hot seat so people are expecting you to comment, you take the most noncommital spot you can take. Because I also get this - you've not got your read yet there. Maybe? And it's about time peeps are going to start asking you.
But why MR over Kyle? llama and timmer have both worked the eff out of this thread - the nonparticipants are kyle and MR. This is interesting to me. Like lots. I'd love a complete breakdown of every thought you've had while reading everying. Please do that BR. (I know that's crap btw. but still I'd love it!)
@ LC - I'm sorry if you are a civ - outside of llama where else would you have us look? And I KNOW svs and others will be around so y9ou know things can turn...yet..
I'm sure I effed up some quote tags there. I was addressing BR and her vote and her reasons for her vote.Black Rock wrote:bea wrote:I'm guessing the kids got in the way again during your re-read and that's why you didn't come back with some thoughts besides "I'm feeling so lost right now. OMG this is how the players of my games feel?" it's weird being on the other side of a mind eff game isn't it? You are too good of a player to let you keep sliding on this. I would and have been lynched MANY times for less. see: Day 1 of your last game.Black Rock wrote:Well I have been trying to read and post all day. Either a child got in my way, or work, or my damn internet wasn't working. So much to read today. I went back and read the last day as I had missed a lot. As far as I could see there wasn't much to get out last day. Not much went on or said. The votes weren't really that suspicious.
To be completely honest I'm having troubles remembering specifics from the last couple of pages. So I guess I will have to look at them again. *sigh*
@ MR - maybe it is - maybe it isn't? I don't know. I know that the very name LC is enough of a mind eff that I'm worried that it can't be *this* easy - ya know? Part of me is going - we HAVE to be being played here. Who was it that said - "I feel like I'm sitting in front of two cups of wine?" - yea. That's me re: LC. Also - THANK YOU for actually being up and around. I always feel like I'm talking to myself.
No I went to bed. I was exhausted and I couldn't read anymore. I still haven't gone back.
I'm off today and will be gone till Sunday. I am working the biggest job of my life this weekend. Will be here when I can. I know I am usually more active, but RL has gotten in my way this game.
I find the LC voters very interesting. At this point I hope he turns up baddie. He gets lynched for stupid reasons every game, sometimes he is bad, sometimes he is good. Yes, I do think they are stupid reasons again this game.
I have to vote now, I'm voting for one of the bandwagoners who really had no original thought on it. Not DP, if he's about to die anyways... I went with MR since I feel like llama and Timmer had good reasons, kyle sort of explained himself better. If LC turns up bad then I am wrong, but by my read of the thread it doesn't seem very likely.