Okay, I have some things to say for sure. I've been waiting for Daisy to post.
So now that she has...
My suspicions have changed up a bit now that I've had time to read through everything properly AND given the way the lynch went down AND given the fact that most of the thread's posts I just read for the first time.
My biggest suspects at the moment are Llama, Dom, DFaraday, and DH, in that order, descending. I don't feel that strongly about DH, however, as I keep going back and forth on him. I'm not really sure what I think about LC anymore. I also still do not think rey or Boomslang are bad, but I wouldn't say I'm sure they are civilian.
In short, the reasons I suspect those players are as follows:
1. I suspect all three of Llama, Dom, and DH for their Made votes today. I don't understand why a baddie Made would do this, and although I entertain the possibility, their closed-mindedness and early votes for him really strike me as opportunistic.
2. All four of them, but particularly Llama and Dom, appear to be suspecting players for odd reasons (they disagree with their logic, don't understand their POV, etc., all classic logical fallacies). DFaraday's vote for MM yesterday was especially shifty.
3. I think Dom's aggression against Boomslang, as well as Llama's against Rox, and DH's against LC, seem unnecessarily strong-willed and I am not necessarily convinced all three of these cases are truly believed. I had moments where I considered the possibility of these arguments to be contrived.
Call it gut, but they are the four whose intentions I'm currently most questioning.
More of my thought process on this matter can be extrapolated from my responses to follow, but that's my quick summary. I also don't feel REALLY strongly about any of them, and really don't know how I feel about a lot of players, so who knows where my vote will go? Even though they have remained changeable, I don't intend on just throwing out my vote and believe it should be treated with the same seriousness as if it was permanent.
Speaking of which, what happened to this?
thellama73 wrote:Spacedaisy wrote:Are votes changeable in this game? I hate that...
I also hate it. It takes away the seriousness that comes with casting a vote. Makes things much harder on the civvies, I think.
Add this to the reasons why I don't trust Llama right now one bit, seeing as though he has cast his vote for such a reason so early.
Metalmarsh89 wrote:DharmaHelper wrote:thellama73 wrote:DharmaHelper wrote:Humorous antics are an often effective way to deflect suspicion in the early days of mafia games.
Do you think so? My experience is that people often get lynched wrongly for humorous antics in the early days of mafia games, while baddies lay low or pretend to be helpful.
In my experience, if someone gets a couple chuckles, and plays the court jester. it creates a mindset that "this person can't possibly be bad, look how ridiculous they're acting. Plus, they're funny so I want to keep them around and see what else they've got that is funny"
It's a common, effective tactic. Put your enemy at ease, make them either underestimate you.
Indeed.
I usually draw suspicion on day one for being out of tune. I think I am actually doing a fantastic job of staying on task thus far.
Upon re-read, this is so ironic.
Alright, now onto more serious matters...
reywaS wrote:DharmaHelper wrote:S~V~S wrote:Black Rock wrote:Turnip Head wrote:I think the people voting for the people who voted for no reason have less reason to their vote than the people they are voting for.
I don't think this is true. Why do you say that?
I don't think it's true, either. I hope TH comes back and answers you.
DH, I know I am a fool for this, but I am going to ask you to elaborate here. You don't take time to search forums for no reason. I am seeing a tenuous connection between my behavior in Misfits (where I was a baddie & Boogs a civ, though Keterman was bad) and yours in this game. But I am sure you did not go to all that effort to pull a quote where you are behaving as I did when I was a baddie. So stop with the vague

and make your point, eh?
I don't think I was being vague at all. I noticed the discussion in *this* game about the phrase "making a federal case" and remembered the discussion in Misfits about "scum tell". As I said, I found the coincidence funny. I'm not pointing any fingers at anyone over it, I just thought that it was something sort-of-kind-of poetic, having that happen in two games.
This really makes me nervous about you to be honest. You say you just pointed this out because it was "kind of poetic"...and I guess the assumption in this is that you wanted everyone else to share your little chuckle. Maybe that's true, but I know that you are a really smart guy and certainly capable of being subtle with your motives. But when it comes down to it, what you actually did there was draw a connection in people's minds to SVS being a baddie.

rey, do you still feel this way?
Because I'm trying to decide how I feel about it. It bugs me too. But I have a really hard time discerning DH's intentions this game (well, any game, for that matter).
Dom wrote:Boomslang wrote:Dom wrote:Boomslang wrote:Excellent, game on. The Day 0 poll really doesn't give us much to go on compared to previous games, but those who failed to check in are certainly the outliers here.
Does being an outlier make them bad?
My reasoning is that, if the majority of players are civvies, then the majority/average action taken is most likely to be civvie. It's not perfect, but it's playing the odds.
I think I will be voting you...
That makes zero sense. By the same logic, you can assume that most non-actions are civilian because most players are civilian. Your logic has several flaws in it. You are assuming civilians and baddies act in the same way. They do not. Civvies are far more likely to be inactive because they do not have BTSC members to prod them to participate.
Dom, can you explain to me why Boomslang's logic, which you clearly find flawed, makes him bad?
Because I'm not seeing it.
zeek wrote:I don't know who I'll vote for today but I agree Dharmahelper has been very funny... perhaps too funny
MP hasn't accused anyone yet. I know his access is limited but he's post a couple of times, that should be enough for him to accuse someone :P
Game on.
If you had to name your top three suspects at the moment, who would they be and why?
thellama73 wrote:I think Dom is right. Boomslang is the kind of player I've been looking for. Not too prominent, not too absent, and saying things that don't quite make sense. I'm very happy to vote for Boomslang today.
I don't understand this, Llama.
Do you think Boomslang's behavior is any different than any other game you've played with him? I'd say "not too prominent, not too absent" describes literally every game he's played thus far.
And why do you keep saying that logic = civvie? You said this with MM as well. Just because you agree with someone's logic, it makes them good, and vice versa -- why? It's ironically flawed logic.
Baddies can be brilliant at logic and civilians failures at it. Not to mention the fact that no one, including you, has flawless logic. So just because someone disagrees with you does not mean they have flawed logic.
DharmaHelper wrote:I'm gonna start working soon, so I will vote now and explain my vote to the best of my ability.
Early voting is suspicious. We can argue this back and forth all we want but at the end of the day, early voting is suspicious.
I know Rey. I know Rey is a gunslinger of a player. As SVS has said, I know Rey is particularly defensive. So when I made my observations, I figured he'd be a little defensive of them, which I was prepared for and accounted for in my ping. LC knows Rey, this shouldn't really come as so much of a shock to him that Rey acted the way he did towards my comments.
I also know LC, though a bit less. LC does not strike me as the sort of guy to not account for something like Rey's style, or the type of guy to vote so early for such a poor reason with so much left to discuss. That he jumped so ravenously onto his Rey vote with reasoning that wasn't even true (He thought Rey was reacting to a post that was not about him. It was.) It just gives me a bad case of the pings.
Speaking of oddly defensive posts:
Long Con wrote:
"You got a little defensive here in this one post" Is a wobbly, weak reason for such an early vote. I don't necessarily care if it is Day 1 or Day 8, a vote is a vote. And you can't honestly tell me it is a civvie thing to do or in the civvies best interest to vote that early for that reason.
Why not? Are you against generating discussion, and gauging reactions? You'd prefer if everyone voted low posters or random or for no reason?
This sort of tactic, answering a suspicion by asking clearly overblown and hyperbolic questions, is something I don't think any civvie would do, let alone LC as a civvie. It's obvious to anyone who reads the thread that I've been doing my fair share of discussion and encouraging discussion. On top of that, even going so far as to refer to low posters as categorically useless.
So, LC gets my vote.[/quote]
DH, you never responded to BR's post regarding your characterizations of LC as "false". Would you like to respond to that?
I thought the same as you, but after he clarified, I personally was relatively satisfied with his answer.
Why were you not?
Additionally, I find it very odd BR was killed last night, considering what she said. Frame up, possibly... I wasn't sure how I was feeling about you earlier, but your self-proclaimed D1 gambit and your behavior thus far has me worried.
FZ. wrote:thellama73 wrote:Boomslang wrote:
Well, if you look at what everyone else is doing, they're picking at outliers: too early of a vote, too talkative, too aggressive, not posting enough. So... just saying.
Not me. My vote for you was largely based on the Goldilocks approach.
Remind me again what the options were?
DFaraday wrote:Metalmarsh89 wrote:DFaraday wrote:I have found MM rather shifty, particularly his questions of Llama that seemed to be setting Llama up.
I also am wary of DH, but I've never been able to read him.
I was looking for a reaction from SVS. The question was not shifty, nor was I trying to set llama up.
That may be, but as I don't have time to analyze this DH/LC stuff, I'll still vote you because it cricked my brow.
This bothers me. After playing with you last game and seeing your logic (and I know you were a baddie, but an independent one and was trying to look like a civvie by catching baddies), the fact that you're voting MM (I now remember) based on something like that, doesn't sit well with me
Agreed.
Why the hell did no one else pursue this?
Made wrote:
I asked first, I assumed it wouldn't but was pleasantly surprised to find out otherwise... Regardless I have a plan if Epig trys to flip that script anyways....
Also my vote for Boomslang was forced for today [day 2] not yesterday [day 1], proof of that being I forgot to vote yesterday anyways.
Now to DH. DH, DH, DH, SMFH DH...
If we're playing vague mind games, I know what you're doing, and so will MP, hell even dana would know what you are doing . The only question left is if you're doing it on purpose and assuming i'd forgotten or if you doing it out of habit.
The third option of course being that you know what I'm thinking right now, but you know there's no way i'd buy that double speak even if it were true.
lezzz go homie, i gotcha playbook.
Also Elo,

when you post your last for the night so I can know if i need to save or post, or wrap up.
Linki: There's seven secret Llama.
DH is definitely playing the mind games, I just can't decide what it means re: his intentions.
I do think he makes an easy target... but for good reason.
Can you summarize why you feel so confident that he's bad? I'm just having trouble figuring it out.
Snow Dog wrote:Thanks zeek.
I was considering a boomslang vote today but what with events I am less sure. Also Logan still has me worried. I will reread DH I think before I make up my mind on him.
Snowy, can you tell me why Llama has you worried?
Dom wrote:Made wrote:Hey, yo guys, so uh my vote was forced so I'm just gonna get that out of the way now.
Voting Boomslang.
I'm not going to post the exact message, so that way we can have a sort of key to prove when someone is telling the truth, and someone is lying about being vote forced.
So next time someone claims votes force i'll ask for like the 5th or 3rd word in the message and if they match up, they're clear.
Thoughts?
I don't believe you. I think you are bad
Let's analyze this for a moment:
I do not believe for a second Epig would allow someone to say their vote is forced. Made is not new anymore and should know this is generally frowned upon. Here's where the logic breaks down for me:
1) You say you won't post the exact message so you can use it as a key to see if people are lying about forced votes. You cannot copy and paste host PMs, anyway. that is a standard rule of mafia since the dawn of time.
2) And then, we're supposed to just believe you about the coded message? Why?
3) And I'm supposed to believe that Epig would let the integrity of a role die like this?
None of this adds up to me. Welcome to the suspicion list.
Boomslang, who do you advocate for lynching?
Why would a baddie do any of this though?
Civvies can lie, yes?
I find myself wanting the answers to these questions:
Turnip Head wrote:Rest in peace BR, sad to see you go so early
FZ. wrote:By the way, Is this non-committal relatively quiet behaviour from TH something you expect from him as a civ? Because in all the games that I've played with him and he was a civ (which isn't many), he was more involved.
Yes, my play so far is normal for me. It's Day 2 and I'm in the middle of the pack, post-wise. Once things get going I tend to climb toward the top of the posters list. I wouldn't call me style non-committal... what do you think I've been noncommittal about? And do you think non-committalness is baddie behavior?
Here's a question for the Made voters... what do you think he has to gain from lying? What kind of ploy could this possibly be? He's either telling the truth or lying for no good reason... It doesn't make sense for Made to lie any more than it makes sense that he's telling the truth. As for pulling Epi's hosting decisions into the equation... how can you assume what Epi will or won't allow a player to say? I remember in X-Men there was a big kerfuffle about an info-dump. A player was outed but it also ended up backfiring on the civs somewhat. Epi played it cool and didn't interfere. So I don't see any precedent for assuming Epi would interfere with what a player says in the game. And so I have no reason to question Made's authenticity in this matter.
As for DH's big Day 1 move, I don't know if I believe it, but I believe that DH believes it. In any case I'm still not getting baddie vibes from DH even though he's been a bit all over the place.
*tags Lizzy*
Turnip Head wrote:thellama73 wrote:DharmaHelper wrote:Hey Llama, do you have anything to add to the discussion?
I've made my decision. I think Made is a liar and I'm very happy with my vote. Nothing else jumps out at present except that it is time for me to go drinking.
Llama, you appreciate logic. Please, walk me through the logic of Made lying about this. Let's start inside his baddie brain, from the time this scheme was formed, can you present a cohesive scenario where it makes sense for him to be lying? What is he gaining from this ordeal other than your vote?
Because I think they raise legitimate questions that I have also been wondering.