JaggedJimmyJay wrote:Alternative theories to consider and my immediate thoughts:
MM is the SK -- would have to mean that there are tally-affecting mechanics in the SK's *secrets* which would seem to make that role immensely powerful. That doesn't mean it isn't the case, but it forces us to speculate in a completely unknown realm. I do think his recent behavior is suggestive of a player who's role has been correctly identified too.
MM would have died last Day, if the SK. I cannot fathom the SK not being able to be lynched. It's too OP - in fact, it'd be broken as fark. Think of it: the SK gets to kill three or four players during two Nights, but we wouldn't be able to lynch him during a Day? Implausible.
Besides, the D12 lynch wasn't a technical failure ("nobody has been lynched"), someone other than MM was lynched.
JaggedJimmyJay wrote:
MM is mafia -- This would likely mean that Drugs is still alive and the motel room lynch was coordinated accordingly. His team mate could easily be either Rico or Russ in this scenario. If this is the case though, the game is essentially over for the townies barring some really lucky breaks. It's also possible Wilgy was Drugs and MM is the last mafioso. The lasting concern for me is that when his lynch seemed imminent he vanished from the thread in such a way that it made me feel really good about how he'd flip. I again reiterate though that in this phase he has behaved like a player whose role has been figured out (without outing himself). While my concerns persist, I don't know if we can afford to rely on a theory this complex.
It's true your Drugs theory can match with my And She Was theory - and I also can tell that you have personal feelings causing you to do a Drugs + Blind equation, but I'm confident of what happened being related to my theory.
JaggedJimmyJay wrote:
Rico is the SK -- The possibility exists only if the Night 5 problem can be resolved somehow, but if it can be then sure it's there. The primary issue I have is Rico's consistent immense effort throughout the game which would invite night kill attention from the mafia team and doesn't quite seem like self-aligned play. It could be that the *secrets* involve night kill protection of some kind which would be a bit less overpowered than lynch protection.
The N5 problem can't be solved from my angle. I wouldn't miss out on sending such a power, if I were SK, and I would not abstain from sending the kill in order to trick the community. Plus, I already said that,
if by any absurd stretch of the imagination, I would have abstained, I would later have replicated the pattern to keep tricking the community, not goof around chaotically, like the real SK did.
I cannot say why my efforts have not costed me my life until now, but I can tell you for sure that any attempt on my life going through would have terminated me. Maybe I was protected during a Night (I did ask for it, after sinking Mac, I think). Maybe my killer was blocked. I don't know and can't tell, but I am most certainly not bulletproof on my own.