Hello boys and girls. Ladies and Gentlemen, people of all shapes and sizes, it's time to play:
RANDOM. BULLSHIT. ANALYSIS. With your host: DharmaHelper!
Ohhhhhhhh boys and girls tonight's a doozy, we got a real good show for you tonight! Let's take a look at the line up! We'll start by examining the people who voted for Ace D2, as I said earlier I thought we might be able to find a baddie in those votes.
Hedgeowl (6), >SpaghettiEverywhere (12), Nevinera (14), boo (18), Bullzeye (22), birdwithteeth11 (25), bea (31) 22%
Interestingly, I can and have divided those voters into three separate groups.
Voted For Dex D1, Aces D2 Hedgeowl (6), >SpaghettiEverywhere (12),
Missed D1 Aces D2 Nevinera (14), birdwithteeth11 (25) bea (31)
Different votes D1, same vote D2 boo (18), Bullzeye (22),
boo voted for Aces D1 and Bullz Voted for A Person.
Of these voters, boo and bullz have voted for thellama.
boo's first and only post during D3 was his big ol' voting llama post, and something he said about BWT also has me on edge.
Here where he offers an explanation to BWT's confusing post.
Bullz has made a few more posts than boo during D3 but they are equally as chin-scratch worthy. going to rewind a bit to D2 first though
here he debates the merits of voting for Dex or Aces, but ultimately decides that voting for Dex would be too risky as he's "trying to grab himself some votes". Fast forward a bit and
here Bullz says that if he really wanted to defend BWT, he would have done so. Because the smartest thing a baddie can do is openly and actively defend a sinking ship instead of covertly and subtly trying to get the votes needed for that teammate to survive. He also says that he doubts Ace's voters (a group which he is conveniently a part of) made an attempt to save BWT by voting Aces. He states that it is just as likely that Dex voters (whom I will examine later) were trying to save BWT by voting Dex as they were tied or close for a while. Now you see why I rewound back to his D2 vote post where he waffles between voting Dex and voting Aces. Either vote would have been sufficient to save a teammate, by Bullz's own admission, yet the Aces vote carried significantly less risk.
at the time of Bullz's comment and vote, the poll looked like this:
Aces had 4 votes (Hedgeowl, Spaghetti, Nev, and Boo)
BwT had 5 votes (Indiglo Elo, SD, Epig, Aces)
Dex had 3 votes (Boomslang, Devin, Dex)
So it would make more sense to put a vote on Aces at the time of Bullz's vote.
Moving on! Let's take a look at our next group: Hedge and Spaghetti.
Hedge seems interested in the discussion's going on, though obviously not interested enough to take a stand on it and vote one way or the other in regards to llama. she even dismisses the llama suspicion
here. Could be a baddie trying to back up a teammate? But then again the throwaway vote for Lizzy does not make a ton of sense if this is the case. At the time of Hedge's lizzy vote it seems to me to be clear that llama is on his way down..
Spaghetti is easy to reread as there isn't much to read to begin with. his reasoning for voting Aces is flimsy at best, as I don't think agleam being NK'd reflects all that badly on Aces to begin with. But Apart from that he reads genuine to me.
And the timing of Spag/Hedge vote's also makes them the least likely to be bad out of the Ace voters, IMO. Being so early.
Saved the best for last, Nev, bea, and the infamous BWT.
Nev voted bea and seemed from the onset to want to focus on the late voters for llama, that could be distancing, especially considering that indeed bea does not appear to be in danger of being lynched. It could also be a case of Nev thinking that there are maybe some civvies within the Ace votes and getting attention on them instead of him and possibly his teammates is better than nothing. His vote for Aces was based on Hedge's points, as you can see
here he also says that Aces really wasn't all that suspect to him
here
At the time of Nev's vote the votes looked like this:
Aces had 2 votes (Hedge, Spag)
BWT had 3 votes (Indiglo, Elo, SpaceDaisy)
Dex had 1 vote (Boomslang)
Nev's vote made it 3-3 between bwt and Aces. Coincidence?
Bea seems very confused and wishy washy. Alot of "oh IDK, maybe this maybe that."
here in her D2 vote post, she says she's going with Aces, though Epig will be a good place to look later. Her last second vote could be seen as hoping someone came in and voted Aces, which would leave llama alive and Epig open for a lynch next day. Bea's posts as I've said have been very flim-flam wishy washy, and as I read them I see they're very big but also very empty.
My analysis on llama will wrap up this mega post:
He wuz bad. lol.
Next post: I pick out my favorite out of the Ace voters and cast my vote for them.
I'll be thinking... or coin tossing...
I won't be voting for Mr. Zany either because I love his brutal honesty. In fact , if there's ever a Snowy bandwagon and I'm still alive, I'll be joining in without blinking, with or without giving a pseudo-educated reason because I might have developed a sick pleasure in messing with him. Still wuv you, Snowy! 
.
, I decided to use a very nice online randomiser thingy that is spelt with a 'z', and from a list that included myself, Nev and Bea, it told me to go with the latter. :O
are you suggesting that the randomiser is in a baddie team q.m.
