When it comes to the kills I think you kind of provide a counter-argument within your argument: "semi" relevant kills. The India kill may have been perpetrated by a team who wasn't cognizant of the potential for his being oracle despite his stance against Echo's claim. They killed Foxtrot who was a consensus suspect. They killed Charlie who was generally read as a civilian, but only alongside two or three other players. I don't struggle to imagine a "semi" engaged mafia team making these kills, not even a solo Delta.Alpha wrote: ↑Sun Dec 24, 2017 10:26 pm Well this isn't really the same reason why I was against Delta lynch at first but I don't think Delta is a solo baddie based on the semi relevant kills and lack of posts and presumably not being caught up, and after today there aren't many possible partners for Delta partners.
Indeed if there's an argument in Delta's favor on this front I think it'd have to be "there was a kill at all". That's always shaky though.
My concern here is that you're not considering the endgame problem. If a civilian Delta doesn't vote, the civilians cannot possibly win without the aid of a coin flip.Alpha wrote: ↑Sun Dec 24, 2017 10:26 pmIf there are two mafia left then lynching Delta will end the game, G+H are the two that make the most sense as mafia, pairwise. Even if we assume that there is only one mafia left and Delta isn't them, lynching someone other than Delta will help us narrow down who the real mafia is.
If Delta is a civilian and there are two mafia, lynching him would lose the game. That much is true, and I acknowledge the risk. That's why I feel we're forced to make a judgment call about the likelihood of one or two mafia members.
If one mafia member is more likely than two, which I believe to be the case, then we would be better advised to set ourselves up for success in that scenario. Delta can be the sole mafia and the game would end in victory now. Delta can be a civilian and we won't be stuck relying on a coin at LyLo.
Combine that notion with POE which has left with me with two players who don't have as much or any civilian credibility going for them, Delta and Hotel, and I think it makes sense to lynch Delta now.