The Lion King [MAFIA WIN]

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Who needs to be banished today?

Poll ended at Tue Jul 21, 2020 7:00 pm

1612
0
No votes
Carotenoid (cobbler, ted)
0
No votes
Dyslexicon
0
No votes
Michelle
4
44%
M Plus 7
0
No votes
Speedchuck (jeraldbooo)
0
No votes
Urist
0
No votes
Host/Mod/Dead/Spec
5
56%
 
Total votes: 9
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2251

Post by Tangrowth »

Alison wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:26 pm
Alison wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:25 pm
M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:23 pm 1612/Michelle/speed?

That means they misyeet Lavender today and then only need one player to vote for me tomorrow?
Yeah, that is possible.
If this is their plan then 1612 giving a townread on you seems weird. If I was scum 1612 with this team and this plan, I'd agree with Lavender's scumread on you, then "follow confirmed town" to help execute Lavender, then use Lavender's legacy scumread on you to convince the other townies to vote you.
Yeah...

Maybe 1612 feels more comfortable with that though, wants to pocket me for misdirecting my vote in F7?
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2252

Post by Tangrowth »

Then who is the misyeet though, Cobbler?
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2253

Post by Dyslexicon »

Honestly, I just want Alison to decide who to yeet. Not in a "pushing the responsibility" way, but she's confirmed town and probably better at mafia than I am quite frankly.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2254

Post by Dyslexicon »

But I want to hammer =p
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2255

Post by Tangrowth »

Cobbler might be as easy as or even easier to get a vote on than me. Not sure actually.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2256

Post by Dyslexicon »

Why are we talking about F7 though? We are going to yeet some pelt today. BELIEVE
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2257

Post by Tangrowth »

Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:28 pm Honestly, I just want Alison to decide who to yeet. Not in a "pushing the responsibility" way, but she's confirmed town and probably better at mafia than I am quite frankly.
Your input is valued.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2258

Post by Tangrowth »

Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:29 pm Why are we talking about F7 though? We are going to yeet some pelt today. BELIEVE
I’m just trying to figure out who the scum is based off of agenda as well as start some preparation.

I absolutely believe we can win!
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2259

Post by Dyslexicon »

M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:29 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:28 pm Honestly, I just want Alison to decide who to yeet. Not in a "pushing the responsibility" way, but she's confirmed town and probably better at mafia than I am quite frankly.
Your input is valued.
Thanks. What does this mean though? =p Like, I'm giving input
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2260

Post by Alison »

Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:28 pm Honestly, I just want Alison to decide who to yeet. Not in a "pushing the responsibility" way, but she's confirmed town and probably better at mafia than I am quite frankly.
Did that work out in Space Invaders?

Good results occur when many good mafia players think about something together. If you're worried you'll take the blame for a mis-execute, don't be - I'm fine taking the blame for any bad result that occurs.
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2261

Post by Dyslexicon »

M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:30 pmI’m just trying to figure out who the scum is based off of agenda as well as start some preparation.

I absolutely believe we can win!
But like, why plan for F7 instead of yeeting the scum house down boots okurrrrr

Adk, just freaks me out
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2262

Post by Tangrowth »

Should the original wagons of speed and Lavender just be maintained then? If they’re both town then... ughhh.

Those two being town would mean the team must be 1612/Cobbler/Michelle? (Again excluding Urist and Dizzy)
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2263

Post by 1612 »

well Lavendar is not defending here which sucks, he is probably just done with being tunneled. You guys really think he is faking frustration when he says this?

call this all mafia tmi if u want, idrc. i feel absolutely great about these reads, so much so that i'm almost tempted to self-vote today since i'm fucking exhausted and it would be an easy way to draw more attention to the world i see. i'm not going to do this out of respect for my fellow players, and on the off-chance that cobbler-ted is not the third mafia -- i wouldn't want to waste our last misbanish. i will put mp7/michelle scum at 90% certainty, mp7 gf at 80%, and cobbler mafia at 70%
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2264

Post by Tangrowth »

Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:31 pm
M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:29 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:28 pm Honestly, I just want Alison to decide who to yeet. Not in a "pushing the responsibility" way, but she's confirmed town and probably better at mafia than I am quite frankly.
Your input is valued.
Thanks. What does this mean though? =p Like, I'm giving input
It means I personally value your opinion highly, and I think you should continue giving it.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2265

Post by Tangrowth »

Alison wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:31 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:28 pm Honestly, I just want Alison to decide who to yeet. Not in a "pushing the responsibility" way, but she's confirmed town and probably better at mafia than I am quite frankly.
Did that work out in Space Invaders?

Good results occur when many good mafia players think about something together. If you're worried you'll take the blame for a mis-execute, don't be - I'm fine taking the blame for any bad result that occurs.
I agree, but also no blame. The game being won or lost falls on our collective shoulders, and we just need to try our best, that’s all.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2266

Post by Tangrowth »

See my gut really feels like 1612 knows Lavender is town.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2267

Post by Alison »

The strongest case I've seen for Michelle being scum is MP7's argument that Michelle is too comfortable with the gamestate and doesn't have a town spark. There was also Michelle's behavior D1, which I independently believed to be scummy.

I'm uncomfortable with how easily 1612 has just jumped on it and gone "yes, I agree". Another counterargument is that if Michelle is mafia here I don't think it makes sense for her to be comfortable either - so perhaps this is just her personality or playing style, and not alignment indicative.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2268

Post by Dyslexicon »

Alison wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:31 pmDid that work out in Space Invaders?

Good results occur when many good mafia players think about something together. If you're worried you'll take the blame for a mis-execute, don't be - I'm fine taking the blame for any bad result that occurs.
Oof. Not the space invaders. The salt is still in me.
But I've always been interested in a follow the confirmed town strategy, but nobody ever wants to do it. I guess for understandable reasons as per space invaders. But I also do trust your judgement. I really just want to see a red flip, and I think all of Lav/Speed/1612 has decent to high equity for that. Though it might be "too simple" or not quite work out for all of them to be scum.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2269

Post by Tangrowth »

Alison wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:34 pm The strongest case I've seen for Michelle being scum is MP7's argument that Michelle is too comfortable with the gamestate and doesn't have a town spark. There was also Michelle's behavior D1, which I independently believed to be scummy.

I'm uncomfortable with how easily 1612 has just jumped on it and gone "yes, I agree". Another counterargument is that if Michelle is mafia here I don't think it makes sense for her to be comfortable either - so perhaps this is just her personality or playing style, and not alignment indicative.
Great thought, that's why I went back and looked at Baseball. Inconclusive.

I'm switching my vote to 1612 for now.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2270

Post by Urist »

I srsly cannot read fast enough to catch up
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2271

Post by Tangrowth »

Urist wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:35 pm I srsly cannot read fast enough to catch up
That's okay, fuck catching up. Let's just talk from here.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2272

Post by 1612 »

i am actually alone in the Michelle scum read holy moly
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2273

Post by Dyslexicon »

Alison, should we yeet 1612?
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2274

Post by Tangrowth »

1612 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:36 pm i am actually alone in the Michelle scum read holy moly
I’ve been scum reading Michelle though.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2275

Post by Urist »

[VOTE: 1612] aubergine
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2276

Post by 1612 »

Urist wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:37 pm [VOTE: 1612] aubergine
oh my god
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2277

Post by Tangrowth »

Which of these is the most and least likely?

1. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is town

2. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is wolf

3. Wolf 1612 is TMIing town Lavender

4. Wolf 1612 is hard defending his wolf mate Lavender
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2278

Post by Tangrowth »

M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:39 pm Which of these is the most and least likely?

1. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is town

2. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is wolf

3. Wolf 1612 is TMIing town Lavender

4. Wolf 1612 is hard defending his wolf mate Lavender
For me, 4 and 3 are most believable, although 1 is possible I guess. 2 I have no idea.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2279

Post by Tangrowth »

M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:39 pm
M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:39 pm Which of these is the most and least likely?

1. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is town

2. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is wolf

3. Wolf 1612 is TMIing town Lavender

4. Wolf 1612 is hard defending his wolf mate Lavender
For me, 4 and 3 are most believable, although 1 is possible I guess. 2 I have no idea.
From a gamestate perspective, I actually am now thinking 1612 has a higher chance of flipping wolf than Lavender does.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2280

Post by Dyslexicon »

M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:39 pm Which of these is the most and least likely?

1. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is town

2. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is wolf

3. Wolf 1612 is TMIing town Lavender

4. Wolf 1612 is hard defending his wolf mate Lavender
Honestly, 4, 1, 2=3, but don't ask me why I think that. Also rip, because if BOTH Lav and 1612 is town then who they fuck are the scum team
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2281

Post by 1612 »

I love how Urist and Mp7 are voting WITH jeraldoo(speed), what is this gameplay?
Please vote Michelle tomorrow and please take a GOOD look on Lavendar and reconsider. I really am confident in this read I have on Lavendar and don't see the world Michelle is pushing
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2282

Post by Tangrowth »

Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:41 pm
M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:39 pm Which of these is the most and least likely?

1. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is town

2. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is wolf

3. Wolf 1612 is TMIing town Lavender

4. Wolf 1612 is hard defending his wolf mate Lavender
Honestly, 4, 1, 2=3, but don't ask me why I think that. Also rip, because if BOTH Lav and 1612 is town then who they fuck are the scum team
That's sort of where I am at right now. Excluding you and Urist, then it has to be speed/cobbler/Michelle.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2283

Post by Tangrowth »

1612 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:41 pm I love how Urist and Mp7 are voting WITH jeraldoo(speed), what is this gameplay?
Please vote Michelle tomorrow and please take a GOOD look on Lavendar and reconsider. I really am confident in this read I have on Lavendar and don't see the world Michelle is pushing
Are you trying to shade us?
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2284

Post by 1612 »

Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:41 pm
M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:39 pm Which of these is the most and least likely?

1. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is town

2. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is wolf

3. Wolf 1612 is TMIing town Lavender

4. Wolf 1612 is hard defending his wolf mate Lavender
Honestly, 4, 1, 2=3, but don't ask me why I think that. Also rip, because if BOTH Lav and 1612 is town then who they fuck are the scum team
DO PEOPLE NOT READ MY POSTS
Michelle, Cobbler, Jeraldoo

And then both of my town reads end up voting with jeraldooo
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2285

Post by Alison »

Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:37 pm Alison, should we yeet 1612?
I don't think I'd execute 1612 before Lavender.
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2286

Post by Urist »

1612 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:41 pm I love how Urist and Mp7 are voting WITH jeraldoo(speed), what is this gameplay?
Please vote Michelle tomorrow and please take a GOOD look on Lavendar and reconsider. I really am confident in this read I have on Lavendar and don't see the world Michelle is pushing
The only thing I asked of you is to place a vote because that's how I form reads most reliably, you refused to do that so I have no choice but to read you by flipping you. :shrug:
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2287

Post by Tangrowth »

1612, I think the fact that you have only one scum team possibility actually makes you very NOT town.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2288

Post by Dyslexicon »

M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:41 pmThat's sort of where I am at right now. Excluding you and Urist, then it has to be speed/cobbler/Michelle.
Cobbler would still surprise me, but maybe I'm just putting too much stock in the early reaction, cause I don't know Cobbler as a player at all.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2289

Post by 1612 »

M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:42 pm
1612 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:41 pm I love how Urist and Mp7 are voting WITH jeraldoo(speed), what is this gameplay?
Please vote Michelle tomorrow and please take a GOOD look on Lavendar and reconsider. I really am confident in this read I have on Lavendar and don't see the world Michelle is pushing
Are you trying to shade us?
not at all, its just a bad vote. that vote basically means you think jeraldooo is town or bussing? it doesnt make sense
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2290

Post by Tangrowth »

Alison wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:42 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:37 pm Alison, should we yeet 1612?
I don't think I'd execute 1612 before Lavender.
Why though?
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2291

Post by Alison »

M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:40 pm
M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:39 pm
M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:39 pm Which of these is the most and least likely?

1. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is town

2. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is wolf

3. Wolf 1612 is TMIing town Lavender

4. Wolf 1612 is hard defending his wolf mate Lavender
For me, 4 and 3 are most believable, although 1 is possible I guess. 2 I have no idea.
From a gamestate perspective, I actually am now thinking 1612 has a higher chance of flipping wolf than Lavender does.
The thought has crossed my mind too and this reasoning isn't that inaccurate. I think reads factor into the equation too though, and Lavender does give more information on his flip.
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2292

Post by Tangrowth »

1612 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:43 pm
M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:42 pm
1612 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:41 pm I love how Urist and Mp7 are voting WITH jeraldoo(speed), what is this gameplay?
Please vote Michelle tomorrow and please take a GOOD look on Lavendar and reconsider. I really am confident in this read I have on Lavendar and don't see the world Michelle is pushing
Are you trying to shade us?
not at all, its just a bad vote. that vote basically means you think jeraldooo is town or bussing? it doesnt make sense
But think about my perspective for a second. I wouldn't know that you're town assuming you are. Why can't you be wolf and jeraldo be town?
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2293

Post by Alison »

M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:42 pm 1612, I think the fact that you have only one scum team possibility actually makes you very NOT town.
This is accurate actually.
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2294

Post by Tangrowth »

Alison wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:43 pm
M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:40 pm
M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:39 pm
M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:39 pm Which of these is the most and least likely?

1. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is town

2. Town 1612 adamantly believes that Lavender is town, and Lavender is wolf

3. Wolf 1612 is TMIing town Lavender

4. Wolf 1612 is hard defending his wolf mate Lavender
For me, 4 and 3 are most believable, although 1 is possible I guess. 2 I have no idea.
From a gamestate perspective, I actually am now thinking 1612 has a higher chance of flipping wolf than Lavender does.
The thought has crossed my mind too and this reasoning isn't that inaccurate. I think reads factor into the equation too though, and Lavender does give more information on his flip.
I don't agree, and I also would rather yeet a red flip today regardless. I refuse to enter F7 tomorrow.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2295

Post by 1612 »

M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:43 pm
Alison wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:42 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:37 pm Alison, should we yeet 1612?
I don't think I'd execute 1612 before Lavender.
Why though?
Because my flip gives no information and you are suggesting that we use our one misbanish on me instead. Please reconsider
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Tangrowth
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2296

Post by Tangrowth »

I think 1612 is trapped.
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2297

Post by Dyslexicon »

I could yeet 1612 tbh

1612/Jeraldo wagons or 1612/Lav wagons?
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2298

Post by 1612 »

M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:42 pm 1612, I think the fact that you have only one scum team possibility actually makes you very NOT town.
my read on that is based off how solely how i feel on the lavendar and michelle situation. if im wrong then I still don't hink I am far too off the mark with the rest of my POE. the latter two are just POE and there is nothing to suggest that those two can't be a team with either of the two we are talking about
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2299

Post by Dyslexicon »

1612 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:45 pmBecause my flip gives no information and you are suggesting that we use our one misbanish on me instead. Please reconsider
Why would your flip give no information?
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Re: The Lion King [Day 3]

#2300

Post by Alison »

Alison wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:45 pm
M Plus 7 wrote: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:42 pm 1612, I think the fact that you have only one scum team possibility actually makes you very NOT town.
This is accurate actually.
Like if I was town 1612 here, how the heck am I this confident as to what the gamesolve is?

I may read Michelle scum and I may even think Lavender is town based on the Michelle thunderdome, but how the heck am I that certain on Urist?
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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