I always am. I’ve named you as a suspect several times, but that doesn’t mean my mind is made up on anything at all. I have not seen you do anything that screams town at me.
Who should we send to the grasslands today?
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I always am. I’ve named you as a suspect several times, but that doesn’t mean my mind is made up on anything at all. I have not seen you do anything that screams town at me.
what are your confident reads again?NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:56 pm88+ % in my reads. I’m only putting confident reads into the thread this game.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:26 pm @everyone - here's a question that might not make sense but that i consider important to the gamestate right now:
how confident do you feel about your reads right now? how much faith do you have that your assessment of the gamestate is correct?
why is lc gth mafia? what is martin?Sloonei wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:57 pmI have not taken note of anything he’s done this game. That should probably be a concern. I’ll try to find time to fix that later.
Jay already asked me this. Alison is not locked in as a scum read for me and I would continue to assess the game the same as I am now, with probably a bit more urgency if she were to flip town. LC is probably my next suspect right now. I think Thunal might be town.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 4:49 pm @Sloonei - let's say that we live in a world where alison is town; where do you go next? who do u start fos'ing?
That was an accidental misclick. I’d never do something like that for game-related purposes.MartinGG99 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 6:05 pmOkay. Sloonei just used a "post icon" on this post.Sloonei wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 2:23 pm My predominant concern about Alison's Day 1 is that it feels kind of flat. She made her reads and stated them clearly, but felt a bit static and a bit uninspired, for lack of a better word. Take this post, which I previously noted as something I felt good about, or at least did not disagree with:
Can I town-read him for it?
Why would you town read me for that?
Why do you townread nanook? Who else do you townread that is receiving suspicion?Alison wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 9:55 pmI kinda feel we're talking about everyone enough in the sense that the people who are not talked about much (nutella, nanook, SPF) are all people I don't have much worries about. I certainly don't feel that there's scum lurking under the radar or anything - everyone's being put under some amount of scrutiny except for those 3, and I do townread them.Sloonei wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 2:34 pm @Alison evidently feels that I have not engaged with her in any meaningful way. I object, but she is right to point out that we've not had any extended exchanges. Direct interaction is always the best way to read people.
So, Alison, if there's anyone in this game that we are not talking about enough, who would it be? Why?
I'm leaving for work relatively soon so I won't be able to carry on a conversation for very long at present, but we can at least get the ball rolling.
Do you feel you've made yourself obvious town to JJJ?
I have been town in all of my posts and I think Jay should see that. I think he does see it, to be fair, but what he’s also seeing is some slouching on my part. Champs was an exhausting experience and I signed up for this game to get back into playing mafia as a part-time rather than full-time endeavor. I don’t expect myself to appear as the shining beacon of towniness I usually am, but I should at least be a town nightlight or something.
GTH mafia
Perhaps another way to express my struggle:Sloonei wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:57 pm I have been town in all of my posts and I think Jay should see that. I think he does see it, to be fair, but what he’s also seeing is some slouching on my part. Champs was an exhausting experience and I signed up for this game to get back into playing mafia as a part-time rather than full-time endeavor. I don’t expect myself to appear as the shining beacon of towniness I usually am, but I should at least be a town nightlight or something.
im confused. he’s mafia because people say so? but what do you think? you can answer after you look into his posts if you don’t knowLong Con wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:59 pmSloonei is mafia. In the early game, as I said, I don't have a strong grasp on why people are Town reading or scum reading others, a lot of the time. As a result, my reads in the early game are often informed by players who excel in the early game. Sloonei is a name I've seen brought up probably more than anyone else as scum, to the point that it was said Carotte being town locks Sloonei as scum.
I would much rather give an answer after I have looked over his posts, which I can do when I'm done with Nutella.
Currently thinking whatever the opposite of jay’s is. I’m not very good at reading you independently soSloonei wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:57 pmNanook what is my alignment?NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:56 pm88+ % in my reads. I’m only putting confident reads into the thread this game.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:26 pm @everyone - here's a question that might not make sense but that i consider important to the gamestate right now:
how confident do you feel about your reads right now? how much faith do you have that your assessment of the gamestate is correct?
If you want to put it in the most negative way, sure. I don't think that vibing off the reads of players that do well in the early game is unreasonable.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:02 amSo this is literally just “Sloonei is mafia because everyone else says so”?Long Con wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:59 pmSloonei is mafia. In the early game, as I said, I don't have a strong grasp on why people are Town reading or scum reading others, a lot of the time. As a result, my reads in the early game are often informed by players who excel in the early game. Sloonei is a name I've seen brought up probably more than anyone else as scum, to the point that it was said Carotte being town locks Sloonei as scum.
I would much rather give an answer after I have looked over his posts, which I can do when I'm done with Nutella.
I will have an answer for you by the deadline.
I did not have as solid a read on you Day 1 as I usually do, but some of that can probably be attributed to you being a replacement. Like I said before, your handling of me today feels sincere. If you were mafia I think you would be taking a harder stance on me either way at this point; instead it seems like you are struggling to read me, and I can see the effort and the strain in that.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:06 amPerhaps another way to express my struggle:Sloonei wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:57 pm I have been town in all of my posts and I think Jay should see that. I think he does see it, to be fair, but what he’s also seeing is some slouching on my part. Champs was an exhausting experience and I signed up for this game to get back into playing mafia as a part-time rather than full-time endeavor. I don’t expect myself to appear as the shining beacon of towniness I usually am, but I should at least be a town nightlight or something.
I understand that you'd be so fatigued. So am I. I don't have the energy for this that I would like to have, and even getting myself to dig into my most typical solving methods has been pulling teeth. Motivation is hard to come by. Still, this would seem to be hitting you considerably harder than it is hitting me. I've seen tired town Sloonei before and didn't have this much difficulty. Have you had any difficulty figuring me out?
NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:09 amCurrently thinking whatever the opposite of jay’s is. I’m not very good at reading you independently soSloonei wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:57 pmNanook what is my alignment?NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:56 pm88+ % in my reads. I’m only putting confident reads into the thread this game.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:26 pm @everyone - here's a question that might not make sense but that i consider important to the gamestate right now:
how confident do you feel about your reads right now? how much faith do you have that your assessment of the gamestate is correct?![]()
Who do you trust the most right now?Long Con wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:09 amIf you want to put it in the most negative way, sure. I don't think that vibing off the reads of players that do well in the early game is unreasonable.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:02 amSo this is literally just “Sloonei is mafia because everyone else says so”?Long Con wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:59 pmSloonei is mafia. In the early game, as I said, I don't have a strong grasp on why people are Town reading or scum reading others, a lot of the time. As a result, my reads in the early game are often informed by players who excel in the early game. Sloonei is a name I've seen brought up probably more than anyone else as scum, to the point that it was said Carotte being town locks Sloonei as scum.
I would much rather give an answer after I have looked over his posts, which I can do when I'm done with Nutella.
I will have an answer for you by the deadline.
SPF and Hally, I think they're villagers that found each other. Their interactions look pure.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:12 amWho do you trust the most right now?Long Con wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:09 amIf you want to put it in the most negative way, sure. I don't think that vibing off the reads of players that do well in the early game is unreasonable.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:02 amSo this is literally just “Sloonei is mafia because everyone else says so”?Long Con wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:59 pmSloonei is mafia. In the early game, as I said, I don't have a strong grasp on why people are Town reading or scum reading others, a lot of the time. As a result, my reads in the early game are often informed by players who excel in the early game. Sloonei is a name I've seen brought up probably more than anyone else as scum, to the point that it was said Carotte being town locks Sloonei as scum.
I would much rather give an answer after I have looked over his posts, which I can do when I'm done with Nutella.
I will have an answer for you by the deadline.
it would be odd to me if martin opted to bus alison just now as w/w when alison is hard shielding him. i think the door would be wide open for him to tr her back but instead he voted her. does he need to do that if he’s her teammate? like, idk. i also kinda doubt alison would so blatantly hard defend martin like that as w/w. i know you don’t buy alison’s read on martin but i kinda feel like she does genuinely think he’s town? or has tmi that he’s town? so they’d either be v/v, v/w or w/v but not w/wJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:01 amSpoiler: show
I'm going to try to synthesize these charts into a coherent view of the game. I have never tried this before, so I make no promises about the veracity of what I am doing.
Given the bun to head reads, I think we can call the "collective" POE pool this group:
Sloonei, Alison, Long Con, Nanook, Martin
nutella, Hally, tutuu, SPF, and Thunal near-consensus town -- Hally and Thunal as outlier suspects, perhaps myself as well pending Nanook's gripes
I will then take that POE pool and see what teams work per my blind interactions chart:
Sloonei - Alison - Long Con - broken by Sloonei/Alison
Sloonei - Alison - Nanook - broken by Sloonei/Alison
Sloonei - Alison - Martin - broken by Sloonei/Alison
Sloonei - Long Con - Nanook - open
Sloonei - Long Con - Martin - open
Sloonei - Nanook - Martin - open
Alison - Long Con - Nanook - open
Alison - Long Con - Martin - open
Alison - Nanook - Martin - open
Long Con - Nanook - Martin - open
That didn't do shit to help. The Alison/Martin interaction might be very important though to help kill more of these. I thought they seemed compatible but with at least one moment making me doubt that. How do folks feel about those two as possible mafia teammates?
since we’re talking about lc, what does everybody think of this post? it is, from what i can tell, the most substantive post lc has made and is a push on nut. what do we think of this?Long Con wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 9:49 pm I looked through nutella's posts, and was looking at how her opinions developed. I'm up to Wed morning and I want to take a break.
She pushed the idea that she was really sure that Hally and Sloonei are a difference check, which looks to me like setting up yeets based on town getting yeeted. @nutella why caqn't Hally and Sloonei be t-t? What is it about their interactions? I think it's because you thought they were both wolves, but then their interactions unaligned them for you.
Something that does bother me is that you really don't interact with Sloonei until almost 24 hours in, and that's after a great deal of suspicion you have directed toward him. I have been caught before as scum for a lack of interactions with my partner, and Sloonei, up to this point, is basically your only scumread (aside from a couple of jabs at Carotte). This is the first post I see that gives opinions of anyone else, and it's extremely tentative. For someone who prefers to put it all out there on Day 1, with 8 hours left you have a lot of talk and very few suspects. You have a Sloonei mega-focus, and a Carrote "sure".
Can you talk about this a little?nutella wrote: ↑Tue Oct 13, 2020 1:27 amI had to chew on this tidbit of self-awareness for a whileJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Oct 13, 2020 1:23 am I think SPF seems town. The more careful language there is deliberate.
Was SPF town in the finale? I don't know what this means to you.
I liked this post, quite witty.
Martin town, thun town, Hally/SPF likely aligned and >rand town, Nutella probably town.Hally wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:05 amwhat are your confident reads again?NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:56 pm88+ % in my reads. I’m only putting confident reads into the thread this game.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:26 pm @everyone - here's a question that might not make sense but that i consider important to the gamestate right now:
how confident do you feel about your reads right now? how much faith do you have that your assessment of the gamestate is correct?
thunal and you, honestlyJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:17 am General prompt:
Imagine the collective POE pool is exhausted and the game is alive. Which one of these people, or more than one, gets your attention first?
nutella
Hally
tutuu
SPF
Thunal
Jay
If one of them is already a suspect (e.g. Alison on Thunal), ignore that player and pick a current town read.
jay, tutuu, thunal in some orderJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:17 am General prompt:
Imagine the collective POE pool is exhausted and the game is alive. Which one of these people, or more than one, gets your attention first?
nutella
Hally
tutuu
SPF
Thunal
Jay
If one of them is already a suspect (e.g. Alison on Thunal), ignore that player and pick a current town read.
if possible, id like everyone to answer thisstaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:26 pm @everyone - here's a question that might not make sense but that i consider important to the gamestate right now:
how confident do you feel about your reads right now? how much faith do you have that your assessment of the gamestate is correct?
nutella or tutuu. Probably not together. I guess also thunal, as I’ve gone back and forth on her, but the last ~24 hours have me feeling better about her.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:17 am General prompt:
Imagine the collective POE pool is exhausted and the game is alive. Which one of these people, or more than one, gets your attention first?
nutella
Hally
tutuu
SPF
Thunal
Jay
If one of them is already a suspect (e.g. Alison on Thunal), ignore that player and pick a current town read.
I'm obviously in a somewhat biased position to answer this but it felt a bit performative to me, and like he was pulling old quotes for the sake of appearing to be putting in token investigative effort, and that the actual questions he had for me weren't very deep or complex thoughts, but shrug
Is it still a salad if you split it up into multiple posts?
im not sure how to answer this kind of broad sweeping question but in general i think it's pretty likely there's a deepwolf. i'm reasonably comfortable with my current poe and working through that primarily, but i will not be surprised if the game is harder than thatstaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:24 amif possible, id like everyone to answer thisstaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:26 pm @everyone - here's a question that might not make sense but that i consider important to the gamestate right now:
how confident do you feel about your reads right now? how much faith do you have that your assessment of the gamestate is correct?
Less confident than I normally am, but not totally lost. I still feel like I’m searching, but I’ve got a solid foundation.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:24 amif possible, id like everyone to answer thisstaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:26 pm @everyone - here's a question that might not make sense but that i consider important to the gamestate right now:
how confident do you feel about your reads right now? how much faith do you have that your assessment of the gamestate is correct?
By JaggedJimmyJay standards my confidence is low. Which is to say it's moderate. I am pretty secure in my higher town reads, and also my capacity to pick out deep mafia among them if needed. Outside that though it's a foggy game.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:24 amif possible, id like everyone to answer thisstaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:26 pm @everyone - here's a question that might not make sense but that i consider important to the gamestate right now:
how confident do you feel about your reads right now? how much faith do you have that your assessment of the gamestate is correct?
I just ate a salad split up between slices of pizza so sure
nutella or tutuu. Probably not together. I guess also thunal, as I’ve gone back and forth on her, but the last ~24 hours have me feeling better about her.
that was also my immediate reaction, but I don't think it's anything near clearing
I'd say yours is closer to the salad recipe.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:29 amnutella or tutuu. Probably not together. I guess also thunal, as I’ve gone back and forth on her, but the last ~24 hours have me feeling better about her.
the main point against him i think is his post where he votes alison for what appears to be dubious reasoning at best and a “info chop” at worst. there’s other things too discussed in the last couple of pages, but that’s the main thing i think
ive explained this a couple of times, but my primary issue with your game is not your reads/gamesolving, but what your reads/gamesolving lack. i felt from early on in d1 that the questions and angles you were taking didn't come off nearly as sincere or as easy to follow and understand as they did in any of my games with you in champs. it's difficult for me to pick at a specific thing you've said that makes me feel good about you being mafia, but what concerns me is that i would expect to townread you by now, and i simply dont
thun? or maybe tutuu? athough i have no idea whyJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:17 am General prompt:
Imagine the collective POE pool is exhausted and the game is alive. Which one of these people, or more than one, gets your attention first?
nutella
Hally
tutuu
SPF
Thunal
Jay
If one of them is already a suspect (e.g. Alison on Thunal), ignore that player and pick a current town read.
fwiw a bigger point of contention for me is his push (and subsequent withdrawal) on tutuu, but that definitely plays a factor as well
why is martin town? also i do feel like tutuu has dropped off this day yeaNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:20 amMartin town, thun town, Hally/SPF likely aligned and >rand town, Nutella probably town.Hally wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:05 amwhat are your confident reads again?NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:56 pm88+ % in my reads. I’m only putting confident reads into the thread this game.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:26 pm @everyone - here's a question that might not make sense but that i consider important to the gamestate right now:
how confident do you feel about your reads right now? how much faith do you have that your assessment of the gamestate is correct?
I wanna say tutu is town too but idk man the lack of volume makes me much less confident there than I normally am
Seems the same as last time I saw himHally wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:42 amwhy is martin town? also i do feel like tutuu has dropped off this day yeaNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:20 amMartin town, thun town, Hally/SPF likely aligned and >rand town, Nutella probably town.Hally wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:05 amwhat are your confident reads again?NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:56 pm88+ % in my reads. I’m only putting confident reads into the thread this game.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:26 pm @everyone - here's a question that might not make sense but that i consider important to the gamestate right now:
how confident do you feel about your reads right now? how much faith do you have that your assessment of the gamestate is correct?
I wanna say tutu is town too but idk man the lack of volume makes me much less confident there than I normally am
i somewhat agree? like it felt kinda random in the sense that i have no idea why he chose to do that with you or why he focused on such old stuffnutella wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:25 amI'm obviously in a somewhat biased position to answer this but it felt a bit performative to me, and like he was pulling old quotes for the sake of appearing to be putting in token investigative effort, and that the actual questions he had for me weren't very deep or complex thoughts, but shrug
I guess that’s not unreasonable. Like I’ve already said to others, I’m trying to take it easier this game, so I don’t fault you for having a harder time reading me if those two champs games are the only ones you’ve seen me in. That was the most effort I am capable of putting into a game. This just is not.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:39 amive explained this a couple of times, but my primary issue with your game is not your reads/gamesolving, but what your reads/gamesolving lack. i felt from early on in d1 that the questions and angles you were taking didn't come off nearly as sincere or as easy to follow and understand as they did in any of my games with you in champs. it's difficult for me to pick at a specific thing you've said that makes me feel good about you being mafia, but what concerns me is that i would expect to townread you by now, and i simply dont
I am too tired to process new information right now, but I will circle back to this tomorrow.
I wanted to get a better read on nutella, I'm not done going through her posts yet. It's not random, it's things that I think has impact on my read of Nutella. How is that random?Hally wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:46 ami somewhat agree? like it felt kinda random in the sense that i have no idea why he chose to do that with you or why he focused on such old stuffnutella wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:25 amI'm obviously in a somewhat biased position to answer this but it felt a bit performative to me, and like he was pulling old quotes for the sake of appearing to be putting in token investigative effort, and that the actual questions he had for me weren't very deep or complex thoughts, but shrug
@long con why did you make that post? is nut mafia?