It's a Mysterious Universe (D6)
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
Listening to In Rainbows. It's pretty good. Better than OK Computer or the other one I listened to. I wish I could understand what this dude was saying
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
Vulgard ISO
Greets Tony and Poison, along with LC. These are apparently the only three players he has prior experience with. Okay.
Harsh stance on Alison for her town read on LC. Even taking LC out of the equation, I think this is a good look for Alison; this is Vulgard's first substantial stance of the game, and it is pointedly anti-Alison. When you throw in that he's shading her for townreading his teammate, I find it extra unlikely that Alison is aligned with Vulgard/LC here. That's some deep dive distancing right off the bat.
He also instantly maneuvers to a townread on me. Either he's trying to pocket me or is acknowledging that I won't be a viable push this game (or he and LC coordinated behind the scenes to take opposite stances on me). Just noting this in case it reflects on any of his other reads elsewhere.
This post is formatted exactly the same as the previous one, but with a vote this time. Vulgard opens with a paragraph about why he suspects Player A (Syn) and then writes a second, unrelated paragraph dedicated to town-reading Player B (nutella). I assume nutella is town. Syn was town. I am town. 3/4 names from these two posts are town right there. I will assume Alison is as well. 4/4.
This does not feel like a staged interaction between teammates. funnygurl's tone is much more aggressive. Vulgard responds a bit timidly, turning her read into a question and then shrugging. If they are partners, I expect them to be a bit closer in tone here. For reference, Vulgard's next post is a similar response to Syn:
Post #124 is funnygurl's response to the above post. She again comes off as the aggressor here, and Vulgard is clearly on the defensive in his response. I do not think this is what distancing looks like: vulgard initiated it, but funnygurl immediately spun it back around on him. If they are distancing, I would expect it to be move more consistently in one direction; Vulgard starts as the aggressor and maintains that role throughout, with only slight pushback from funnygurl. Instead, Vulgard made one point about funnygurl, and she immediately started wielding that to push her own suspicion against him, and his only response was to duck and cover.
153 is Alison challenging Vulgard's read on me. His response is similarly flat.
165 is me unvoting.
Let's compare these three player assessments. Alison has "really, really leveled up"; i.e., she looks much better now than she did before. Okay.
Poison "is weird... muted... very, very odd." She possibly has TMI and it "feels awful" despite the hedge about the "hot take."
Marmot is "kinda towny" but we're just gonna chuck that read out of the window because
If one of these is Vulgard's teammate, it's Poison. The Alison read reads as a wolf surrendering on a push against a civilian who has become obvious. Marmot is town because "I read my teammate as town for no reason but I don't care about this read so I'm gonna ignore it and then vote for them" is not a thing that happens.
Poison gets three vaguely negative adjectives applied to her ("weird, muted, odd") before we get to the meaty part of the read, which is itself filled with erinaceous (this is a word and we're gonna make it catch on) language: "It seems...", "possibly indicative..." "I know x, but y." Given the conviction behind Vulgard's previous suspicions (Alison, Syn), the softness of this read makes it feel like he is hesitating and trying not to come off too strong. Also, this is his first mention of Poison in his ISO. Marmot as well, but Poison had been much more active than Marmot to this point.
345 is a response to Tony criticizing Vulgard's suspicion of funnygurl. Vulgard seems to misunderstand that Tony (I think?) is commenting specifically on funnygurl. For some reason I feel like that's a good look for her. Maybe it's because Vulgard just seems to be pushing blindly here. If they are partners, he is being given an out to townread her but he doesn't notice.
The next two lines here are wacky and would have pointed strongly to Syn being town if he hadn't been town. He criticizes Syn for town-reading Tony, then in the very next line says, "I like what Tony's doing." Meh. Tony's town too.
He slaps a blank town read on Mac and arrives at the following breakdown of reads:
Sloonei
Mac
Tony
Alison
Marmot
Poison
Syn
Absent from this list: nutella, Long Con, funnygurl, Enrique.
funnygurl is town. Vulgard started a push on her earlier and then completely forgot about it when she fought back. If they are teammates, they are making a concentrated effort to distance from each other. Vulgard doesn't then forget to name her in his lsit of reads. We know that Long Con is Vulgard's partner because nutella shot him, so we can cross those two names off. That leaves us with Enrique, whose name, as far as I can tell, has not appeared once in Vulgard's ISO to this point.
First substantial mentions of Mac get an "Idk" and some more hedgy language with a prompt to throw further shade on nutella. This strikes me as a mafioso hoping that he can goad a vocal civilian into drumming up suspicion on another vocal civilian.
This is where I decided I could vote for Vulgard for sure yesterday. "[VOTE:
" -> "I just noticed Marmot is self-voting, wtf?" -> "I am voting for Marmot because he is self-voting." This is not a progression that makes sense. This is not the kind of progression that Mafia #1 uses to push against Mafia #2. This is a mafioso who is trying to push a low-hanging fruit for reasons that are self-evidently bogus.
He follows that up with this:] aubergine[VOTE:
The paragraph about Poison, once again, meanders around as the verbal equivalent to a series of shrugs. "I'm not sure... I'm in a weird situation...I think x but not y... her reads seem... and she seems... The biggest thing going for her is x, but... I'm paranoid because of past experience." Vulgard starts and ends this read on shaky ground, and never stops trembling in between. I have not seen him exhibit so much uncertainty when presenting his reads on any other player this game. Instead he says things like, "I don't like Alison's thin read on Long Con, I don't think it's reasonable to townread him for such a thing this early" or "I checked again and they (Syn) have done nothing within their five posts" or "I want Marmot to do something other than selfvote."
Hell, if you read the two town-reads in this same post (on Alison and Tony), his language is much less shaky. He caps it off with a vote for Poison. I'll also take this opportunity to note that Vulgard has mentioned Poison in exactly two posts so far. Both times, he has shaded her with his hedgerows and padded that read against two other reads on different players in the same post. Let's all act like the Rule of 3 is a rock solid scum tell now.
He caps the post by giving up on the Marmot post and acknowledging Enrique's existence for the first time to ask what his level of experience is. That could be staged. If it's not, then I think it's a very good look for Enrique. Presumably if these two had access to a private channel, Vulgard would have some familiarity with Enrique. But this would not be a particularly difficult thing to stage. I don't know if it is though. My general impression of Vulgard is that he was unable to get his feet under him in this game. Tacking on a random disassociating message for his partner at the end of a post like this would be a fairly composed move for a player in the position I'm projecting onto him here.] aubergine
[VOTE:
Welcome to Tonytown.] aubergine
[VOTE:
Vulgard's immediate response to LC getting hardcore f'd is to shade Mac. Good look for Dougall.
Big post of LC analysis which largely confirms reads I've already arrived at. I'll pull a few snippets that are relevant.] aubergine[VOTE:
This is the first negative stance he has taken in the post. I awarded Mac a town-lean in the previous post because I do not think Vulgard's immediate response to losing a partner mid-Day 1 would be to start bussing his other (assuming a 3-person mafia team because starting the game at 8 vs 4 in-thread is wacky). This point on Poison is slightly different because it's tucked into a much larger analytical post that Vulgard has more time to think about. But it still does give me pause that he's singling her out as a suspect in this instance. Not enough to undo the existing suspicion I have against her, but enough for me to stop and think for a moment. God knows I'm not thinking otherwise.] aubergine
[VOTE:
He works pretty hard to arrive at a slight suspicion on Marmot. This looks like he's trying to shade a low-hanging but not-overtly-suspicious town rodent.] aubergine
[VOTE:
He continues to be committed to shading Poison. My point has not changed. Enough to give me pause, but not nearly enough to remove her as a suspect. This is coming too little too late. I don't think he's really in a position, if Poison is his teammate, to not suspect her here. He had already started to lay the groundwork for that read prior to LC's flip, and he's going to be able to see the agenda in all their interactions clearly, and he can also see the direction the thread is moving at this time. To suddenly do a 180 on Poison here could be a death sentence for each of them.
The shade on Mac comes across more softly. He has very little to say about it, but makes a point to leave Mac in the POE. It's a passing mention at best. My gut says he doesn't even bother to say so little if Mac is his partner. Either go big or go home there.] aubergine
[VOTE:
Syn/Marmot contains 0 mafia.
Poison is indeed very likely mafia.
Agreed that Alison and nutella are cleared by LC's flip.
Interaction with TSP pretty clearly pointed to TSP being town, so I disagree there. I also don't remember being able to do much with Mac, but the fact that Vulgard is making a point to dangle his name as a suspect here feels good.
No clues as the the whereabouts of funnygurl and Enrique.] aubergine
[VOTE:
I can very easily read this as "Once I've bussed my teammate, we should probably look at poor innocent MacDougall next."] aubergine
[VOTE:
A late funnygurl spotting. It almost comes out as a town-read, but he can't quite force himself to get all the way there.
----
Rainbow list based purely on these interactions, including the removed players:
nutella
Tony
funnygurl
Alison
Marmot
Mac
Enrique
Poison] aubergine
Spoiler: show
Spoiler: show
He also instantly maneuvers to a townread on me. Either he's trying to pocket me or is acknowledging that I won't be a viable push this game (or he and LC coordinated behind the scenes to take opposite stances on me). Just noting this in case it reflects on any of his other reads elsewhere.
Spoiler: show
Does Vulgard treat his teammate like this? No one was really pressuring funnygurl at this point. Vulgard was starting to feel some heat at this point, though. This feels a bit too early for a panic bus on his part. Tentative good look for funnygurl. He substantiates his point here.
Spoiler: show
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153 is Alison challenging Vulgard's read on me. His response is similarly flat.
165 is me unvoting.
Spoiler: show
Poison "is weird... muted... very, very odd." She possibly has TMI and it "feels awful" despite the hedge about the "hot take."
Marmot is "kinda towny" but we're just gonna chuck that read out of the window because

If one of these is Vulgard's teammate, it's Poison. The Alison read reads as a wolf surrendering on a push against a civilian who has become obvious. Marmot is town because "I read my teammate as town for no reason but I don't care about this read so I'm gonna ignore it and then vote for them" is not a thing that happens.
Poison gets three vaguely negative adjectives applied to her ("weird, muted, odd") before we get to the meaty part of the read, which is itself filled with erinaceous (this is a word and we're gonna make it catch on) language: "It seems...", "possibly indicative..." "I know x, but y." Given the conviction behind Vulgard's previous suspicions (Alison, Syn), the softness of this read makes it feel like he is hesitating and trying not to come off too strong. Also, this is his first mention of Poison in his ISO. Marmot as well, but Poison had been much more active than Marmot to this point.
Spoiler: show
The next two lines here are wacky and would have pointed strongly to Syn being town if he hadn't been town. He criticizes Syn for town-reading Tony, then in the very next line says, "I like what Tony's doing." Meh. Tony's town too.
He slaps a blank town read on Mac and arrives at the following breakdown of reads:
Sloonei
Mac
Tony
Alison
Marmot
Poison
Syn
Absent from this list: nutella, Long Con, funnygurl, Enrique.
funnygurl is town. Vulgard started a push on her earlier and then completely forgot about it when she fought back. If they are teammates, they are making a concentrated effort to distance from each other. Vulgard doesn't then forget to name her in his lsit of reads. We know that Long Con is Vulgard's partner because nutella shot him, so we can cross those two names off. That leaves us with Enrique, whose name, as far as I can tell, has not appeared once in Vulgard's ISO to this point.
Spoiler: show
Out of left field, here's a vote for Marmot! Then pay attention to the following sequence, all of which follows this vote:
Spoiler: show
He follows that up with this:] aubergine
Spoiler: show
Hell, if you read the two town-reads in this same post (on Alison and Tony), his language is much less shaky. He caps it off with a vote for Poison. I'll also take this opportunity to note that Vulgard has mentioned Poison in exactly two posts so far. Both times, he has shaded her with his hedgerows and padded that read against two other reads on different players in the same post. Let's all act like the Rule of 3 is a rock solid scum tell now.
He caps the post by giving up on the Marmot post and acknowledging Enrique's existence for the first time to ask what his level of experience is. That could be staged. If it's not, then I think it's a very good look for Enrique. Presumably if these two had access to a private channel, Vulgard would have some familiarity with Enrique. But this would not be a particularly difficult thing to stage. I don't know if it is though. My general impression of Vulgard is that he was unable to get his feet under him in this game. Tacking on a random disassociating message for his partner at the end of a post like this would be a fairly composed move for a player in the position I'm projecting onto him here.] aubergine
Spoiler: show
[VOTE: He asks me to talk about my vote for Mac. I hadn't done that. I never had any reason to be voting for Mac, I just left it there for a while to see if anything would come of it. This is question is all that there was. I essentially answered the question with a flat "No" and Vulgard never followed up. It doesn't tell me a whole lot. On one hand, he could be trying to get me to provide him with an avenue to vote for Mac. On the other, he could be asking me to make a case against his partner as an indirect distancing tactic. I have no particular reason to read this one way or the other. I think Mac is town outside of this moment.] aubergine
Spoiler: show
Big post of LC analysis which largely confirms reads I've already arrived at. I'll pull a few snippets that are relevant.] aubergine
Spoiler: show
Spoiler: show
Spoiler: show
The shade on Mac comes across more softly. He has very little to say about it, but makes a point to leave Mac in the POE. It's a passing mention at best. My gut says he doesn't even bother to say so little if Mac is his partner. Either go big or go home there.] aubergine
Spoiler: show
Poison is indeed very likely mafia.
Agreed that Alison and nutella are cleared by LC's flip.
Interaction with TSP pretty clearly pointed to TSP being town, so I disagree there. I also don't remember being able to do much with Mac, but the fact that Vulgard is making a point to dangle his name as a suspect here feels good.
No clues as the the whereabouts of funnygurl and Enrique.] aubergine
Spoiler: show
Spoiler: show
----
Rainbow list based purely on these interactions, including the removed players:
nutella
Tony
funnygurl
Alison
Marmot
Mac
Enrique
Poison] aubergine
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
transcription: eeefeiiiii ooooooooo asaaa aaaahhhh ahahhhhhhhhhhh videotapeTonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Tue Oct 27, 2020 8:13 pm Listening to In Rainbows. It's pretty good. Better than OK Computer or the other one I listened to. I wish I could understand what this dude was saying
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
i put nutella at the top of that rainbow despite there being no memorable mentions of her in vulgard's iso because i assume he didn't put any thought into pretending to read her because nutella is obviously town and shot long con.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
"Is Enrique mafia?" Sloonei asks himself.
Sloonei opens Enrqiue's ISO. Sloonei sees the following post:
Sloonei says, "No, this is probably town."
Everyone starts to pile on Vulgard right away. Enrique steps in to be the lone voice in Vulgard's corner. His argument isn't much at all, but he states it with conviction. Immediately afterward, in the exact same post he goes on to criticize Long Con in detail.
If Enrique is mafia, then his plan in this singular post is the boldly and firmly defend a partner who everybody else is piling onto at the time, and to then follow up that by going out of his way to shade his other teammate, who is a lighter suspect in the thread at the moment. No one is talking about Enrique at this point, from what I can remember.
Sloonei opens Enrqiue's ISO. Sloonei sees the following post:
Spoiler: show
Everyone starts to pile on Vulgard right away. Enrique steps in to be the lone voice in Vulgard's corner. His argument isn't much at all, but he states it with conviction. Immediately afterward, in the exact same post he goes on to criticize Long Con in detail.
If Enrique is mafia, then his plan in this singular post is the boldly and firmly defend a partner who everybody else is piling onto at the time, and to then follow up that by going out of his way to shade his other teammate, who is a lighter suspect in the thread at the moment. No one is talking about Enrique at this point, from what I can remember.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
ok that was long but had lots of good points im sold
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
[VOTE:
poison] aubergine
She looks Not Town. Everybody else looks Town.
She looks Not Town. Everybody else looks Town.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
the problem with writing massive posts is that they take a long time to make so then by the time i reach the end i'm impatient and never go back to proofread.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
yeah i'm voting for poison
group project............ COMPLETED
group project............ COMPLETED
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
enrique so like why are you voting for me tho
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
mafia is the only group project i ever liked.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
this is exactly accurate to my listening experienceSloonei wrote: ↑Tue Oct 27, 2020 8:21 pmtranscription: eeefeiiiii ooooooooo asaaa aaaahhhh ahahhhhhhhhhhh videotapeTonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Tue Oct 27, 2020 8:13 pm Listening to In Rainbows. It's pretty good. Better than OK Computer or the other one I listened to. I wish I could understand what this dude was saying
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
Normally I'd be here to push back against the inevitable Poison chop and I'm trying to drum up that energy
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
i feel that but poe game is strong hereTonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Tue Oct 27, 2020 9:01 pm Normally I'd be here to push back against the inevitable Poison chop and I'm trying to drum up that energy
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
Recall, though, we're at L-2 right now.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
oh true
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
5 is hammer
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
fiine i unvoted
[VOTE: no one] aubergine
[VOTE: no one] aubergine
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
How is this L-2? What do we know about the mechanics of this game?
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
So, who are you going to look into after my flip? You have to decide from these towny people only.
XTMF wrote:Yo Poison, you are fucking dying.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
XTMF wrote:Yo Poison, you are fucking dying.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
I would say looking into funnygurl / enrique, marmot seemed towny to me.
Why do you town read them btw?
XTMF wrote:Yo Poison, you are fucking dying.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
I kinda feel bad for town!Sloonei, after all that assessment and his time on making the post, but in the end it is wrong. Would blame my playstyle for sure.
XTMF wrote:Yo Poison, you are fucking dying.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
... i was thinking you meant we are one mischop away from lylo.
This is what a Mafia Champion looks like, folks.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Tue Oct 27, 2020 11:11 am Sorry for the delay, sometimes the universe is a slow place. Something something the value of patience.
In the night! @Syn dies, and they flip as:
In addition! @Alison has been removed from the thread today. She cannot vote or be voted for.Loyal Sidekick
You are aware that [redacted] is town (they do not know your alignment). The first time they would die (except to TK) you will die in their place.
You are town, and you win when all the mafia are eliminated
In addition! @MacDougall has been removed from the thread today. He cannot vote or be voted for.
Do your worst, space people!
@Sloonei
@nutella
@Funnygurl555
@Marmot
@TonyStarkPrime
@Poison
@Enrique
D2 ends October 29, 5pm EDT (or at hammer, which is 5 votes).
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
Amazing workSloonei wrote: ↑Tue Oct 27, 2020 9:22 pm... i was thinking you meant we are one mischop away from lylo.
This is what a Mafia Champion looks like, folks.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
This is the second time you’ve made this post in this game.
Also my reasons for town reading Marmot and funnygurl are in that big post. I town-read Enrique for my other big post on this page.
My banners:
Spoiler: show
Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
[VOTE:Sloonei wrote: ↑Tue Oct 27, 2020 8:19 pm Vulgard ISO
Greets Tony and Poison, along with LC. These are apparently the only three players he has prior experience with. Okay.Spoiler: show
Harsh stance on Alison for her town read on LC. Even taking LC out of the equation, I think this is a good look for Alison; this is Vulgard's first substantial stance of the game, and it is pointedly anti-Alison. When you throw in that he's shading her for townreading his teammate, I find it extra unlikely that Alison is aligned with Vulgard/LC here. That's some deep dive distancing right off the bat.Spoiler: show
He also instantly maneuvers to a townread on me. Either he's trying to pocket me or is acknowledging that I won't be a viable push this game (or he and LC coordinated behind the scenes to take opposite stances on me). Just noting this in case it reflects on any of his other reads elsewhere.
This post is formatted exactly the same as the previous one, but with a vote this time. Vulgard opens with a paragraph about why he suspects Player A (Syn) and then writes a second, unrelated paragraph dedicated to town-reading Player B (nutella). I assume nutella is town. Syn was town. I am town. 3/4 names from these two posts are town right there. I will assume Alison is as well. 4/4.Spoiler: show
Does Vulgard treat his teammate like this? No one was really pressuring funnygurl at this point. Vulgard was starting to feel some heat at this point, though. This feels a bit too early for a panic bus on his part. Tentative good look for funnygurl. He substantiates his point here.
This does not feel like a staged interaction between teammates. funnygurl's tone is much more aggressive. Vulgard responds a bit timidly, turning her read into a question and then shrugging. If they are partners, I expect them to be a bit closer in tone here. For reference, Vulgard's next post is a similar response to Syn:Spoiler: showSpoiler: show
Post #124 is funnygurl's response to the above post. She again comes off as the aggressor here, and Vulgard is clearly on the defensive in his response. I do not think this is what distancing looks like: vulgard initiated it, but funnygurl immediately spun it back around on him. If they are distancing, I would expect it to be move more consistently in one direction; Vulgard starts as the aggressor and maintains that role throughout, with only slight pushback from funnygurl. Instead, Vulgard made one point about funnygurl, and she immediately started wielding that to push her own suspicion against him, and his only response was to duck and cover.Spoiler: show
153 is Alison challenging Vulgard's read on me. His response is similarly flat.
165 is me unvoting.
Let's compare these three player assessments. Alison has "really, really leveled up"; i.e., she looks much better now than she did before. Okay.Spoiler: show
Poison "is weird... muted... very, very odd." She possibly has TMI and it "feels awful" despite the hedge about the "hot take."
Marmot is "kinda towny" but we're just gonna chuck that read out of the window because![]()
If one of these is Vulgard's teammate, it's Poison. The Alison read reads as a wolf surrendering on a push against a civilian who has become obvious. Marmot is town because "I read my teammate as town for no reason but I don't care about this read so I'm gonna ignore it and then vote for them" is not a thing that happens.
Poison gets three vaguely negative adjectives applied to her ("weird, muted, odd") before we get to the meaty part of the read, which is itself filled with erinaceous (this is a word and we're gonna make it catch on) language: "It seems...", "possibly indicative..." "I know x, but y." Given the conviction behind Vulgard's previous suspicions (Alison, Syn), the softness of this read makes it feel like he is hesitating and trying not to come off too strong. Also, this is his first mention of Poison in his ISO. Marmot as well, but Poison had been much more active than Marmot to this point.
345 is a response to Tony criticizing Vulgard's suspicion of funnygurl. Vulgard seems to misunderstand that Tony (I think?) is commenting specifically on funnygurl. For some reason I feel like that's a good look for her. Maybe it's because Vulgard just seems to be pushing blindly here. If they are partners, he is being given an out to townread her but he doesn't notice.Spoiler: show
The next two lines here are wacky and would have pointed strongly to Syn being town if he hadn't been town. He criticizes Syn for town-reading Tony, then in the very next line says, "I like what Tony's doing." Meh. Tony's town too.
He slaps a blank town read on Mac and arrives at the following breakdown of reads:
Sloonei
Mac
Tony
Alison
Marmot
Poison
Syn
Absent from this list: nutella, Long Con, funnygurl, Enrique.
funnygurl is town. Vulgard started a push on her earlier and then completely forgot about it when she fought back. If they are teammates, they are making a concentrated effort to distance from each other. Vulgard doesn't then forget to name her in his lsit of reads. We know that Long Con is Vulgard's partner because nutella shot him, so we can cross those two names off. That leaves us with Enrique, whose name, as far as I can tell, has not appeared once in Vulgard's ISO to this point.
First substantial mentions of Mac get an "Idk" and some more hedgy language with a prompt to throw further shade on nutella. This strikes me as a mafioso hoping that he can goad a vocal civilian into drumming up suspicion on another vocal civilian.Spoiler: show
Out of left field, here's a vote for Marmot! Then pay attention to the following sequence, all of which follows this vote:This is where I decided I could vote for Vulgard for sure yesterday. "[VOTE: " -> "I just noticed Marmot is self-voting, wtf?" -> "I am voting for Marmot because he is self-voting." This is not a progression that makes sense. This is not the kind of progression that Mafia #1 uses to push against Mafia #2. This is a mafioso who is trying to push a low-hanging fruit for reasons that are self-evidently bogus.Spoiler: show
He follows that up with this:] aubergine[VOTE: The paragraph about Poison, once again, meanders around as the verbal equivalent to a series of shrugs. "I'm not sure... I'm in a weird situation...I think x but not y... her reads seem... and she seems... The biggest thing going for her is x, but... I'm paranoid because of past experience." Vulgard starts and ends this read on shaky ground, and never stops trembling in between. I have not seen him exhibit so much uncertainty when presenting his reads on any other player this game. Instead he says things like, "I don't like Alison's thin read on Long Con, I don't think it's reasonable to townread him for such a thing this early" or "I checked again and they (Syn) have done nothing within their five posts" or "I want Marmot to do something other than selfvote."Spoiler: show
Hell, if you read the two town-reads in this same post (on Alison and Tony), his language is much less shaky. He caps it off with a vote for Poison. I'll also take this opportunity to note that Vulgard has mentioned Poison in exactly two posts so far. Both times, he has shaded her with his hedgerows and padded that read against two other reads on different players in the same post. Let's all act like the Rule of 3 is a rock solid scum tell now.
He caps the post by giving up on the Marmot post and acknowledging Enrique's existence for the first time to ask what his level of experience is. That could be staged. If it's not, then I think it's a very good look for Enrique. Presumably if these two had access to a private channel, Vulgard would have some familiarity with Enrique. But this would not be a particularly difficult thing to stage. I don't know if it is though. My general impression of Vulgard is that he was unable to get his feet under him in this game. Tacking on a random disassociating message for his partner at the end of a post like this would be a fairly composed move for a player in the position I'm projecting onto him here.] aubergine
[VOTE: Welcome to Tonytown.] aubergineSpoiler: show
[VOTE: He asks me to talk about my vote for Mac. I hadn't done that. I never had any reason to be voting for Mac, I just left it there for a while to see if anything would come of it. This is question is all that there was. I essentially answered the question with a flat "No" and Vulgard never followed up. It doesn't tell me a whole lot. On one hand, he could be trying to get me to provide him with an avenue to vote for Mac. On the other, he could be asking me to make a case against his partner as an indirect distancing tactic. I have no particular reason to read this one way or the other. I think Mac is town outside of this moment.] aubergine
[VOTE: Vulgard's immediate response to LC getting hardcore f'd is to shade Mac. Good look for Dougall.Spoiler: show
Big post of LC analysis which largely confirms reads I've already arrived at. I'll pull a few snippets that are relevant.] aubergine[VOTE: This is the first negative stance he has taken in the post. I awarded Mac a town-lean in the previous post because I do not think Vulgard's immediate response to losing a partner mid-Day 1 would be to start bussing his other (assuming a 3-person mafia team because starting the game at 8 vs 4 in-thread is wacky). This point on Poison is slightly different because it's tucked into a much larger analytical post that Vulgard has more time to think about. But it still does give me pause that he's singling her out as a suspect in this instance. Not enough to undo the existing suspicion I have against her, but enough for me to stop and think for a moment. God knows I'm not thinking otherwise.] aubergineSpoiler: show
[VOTE: He works pretty hard to arrive at a slight suspicion on Marmot. This looks like he's trying to shade a low-hanging but not-overtly-suspicious town rodent.] aubergineSpoiler: show
[VOTE: He continues to be committed to shading Poison. My point has not changed. Enough to give me pause, but not nearly enough to remove her as a suspect. This is coming too little too late. I don't think he's really in a position, if Poison is his teammate, to not suspect her here. He had already started to lay the groundwork for that read prior to LC's flip, and he's going to be able to see the agenda in all their interactions clearly, and he can also see the direction the thread is moving at this time. To suddenly do a 180 on Poison here could be a death sentence for each of them.Spoiler: show
The shade on Mac comes across more softly. He has very little to say about it, but makes a point to leave Mac in the POE. It's a passing mention at best. My gut says he doesn't even bother to say so little if Mac is his partner. Either go big or go home there.] aubergine
[VOTE: Syn/Marmot contains 0 mafia.Spoiler: show
Poison is indeed very likely mafia.
Agreed that Alison and nutella are cleared by LC's flip.
Interaction with TSP pretty clearly pointed to TSP being town, so I disagree there. I also don't remember being able to do much with Mac, but the fact that Vulgard is making a point to dangle his name as a suspect here feels good.
No clues as the the whereabouts of funnygurl and Enrique.] aubergine
[VOTE: I can very easily read this as "Once I've bussed my teammate, we should probably look at poor innocent MacDougall next."] aubergineSpoiler: show
[VOTE: A late funnygurl spotting. It almost comes out as a town-read, but he can't quite force himself to get all the way there.Spoiler: show
----
Rainbow list based purely on these interactions, including the removed players:
nutella
Tony
funnygurl
Alison
Marmot
Mac
Enrique
Poison] aubergine
printing this to read for homework] aubergine









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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
she's caught man
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
Yea cause I feel superrr bad when i take my time write a long post and they flip town. Very frustrating.
XTMF wrote:Yo Poison, you are fucking dying.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
i'm defs projecting more confidence in this read than i have, but... like that's textbook newb wolf talk, instilling paranoia in towns instead of offering an actual defense
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
poison's not a newb newb but i'm just saying that's one of the Big Mistakes of Newer Wolves
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
Sloonei, with your 'adjectives' judgement, how many times were you correct?
XTMF wrote:Yo Poison, you are fucking dying.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D1)
Funnygurl555 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 27, 2020 9:27 pm poison's not a newb newb but i'm just saying that's one of the Big Mistakes of Newer Wolves

XTMF wrote:Yo Poison, you are fucking dying.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D2)
alright so poison, you suspect me
why?
why?
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D2)
So here's the deal, you guys can lynch me at EoD, keep me aside and try to find the actual scum maybe, we still need something for the next day
XTMF wrote:Yo Poison, you are fucking dying.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D2)
could you please talk about why you find me suspicious
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D2)
Because all you did this game was sheeping. And your voting pattern is not quite the towniest, if it is not your playstyle.
XTMF wrote:Yo Poison, you are fucking dying.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D2)
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D2)
I think I'm kinda here :
TSP
Marmot
Nutella
Enrique
Sloonei
Funnygurl
TSP
Marmot
Nutella
Enrique
Sloonei
Funnygurl
XTMF wrote:Yo Poison, you are fucking dying.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D2)
sloonei is lock town
actually though talk about your marmot read. that's spicy
actually though talk about your marmot read. that's spicy
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D2)
Well it seems like that, you have always talked and agreed with whatever is happening in the thread.Funnygurl555 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 27, 2020 9:39 pmwhen did i sheep?
XTMF wrote:Yo Poison, you are fucking dying.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D2)
like i'm just saying if sloonei were scum someone woulda caught him by now
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D2)
Tbh, I wonder about that, doing such a long assessment and being wrong idk tbh.Funnygurl555 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 27, 2020 9:40 pm sloonei is lock town
actually though talk about your marmot read. that's spicy
About my marmot read, it's not spicy, I have town read him from the beginning. He seems carefree, his reads are independent, he agrees/disagrees despite them being his town/wolf reads, a very towny thing in my opinion.
XTMF wrote:Yo Poison, you are fucking dying.
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Re: It's a Mysterious Universe (D2)
i agree that you're scummy, yes, but what else have i done? i scum read vulgard and town read enrique. and both of those reads occurred before they were town consensus (the enrique read isn't even a consensus read let's be real now)Poison wrote: ↑Tue Oct 27, 2020 9:41 pmWell it seems like that, you have always talked and agreed with whatever is happening in the thread.Funnygurl555 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 27, 2020 9:39 pmwhen did i sheep?
i have fewer than 50 posts and didn't vote last eod because i wasn't there.
the only time i've "sheeped" was with the read on you, and that just happened. i haven't had a history of sheeping this game.