Fargo Mafia [Game Ends]

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Another one

Poll ended at Mon May 03, 2021 6:30 pm

Esooa
4
18%
Hally
0
No votes
Michelle
0
No votes
Strawhenge
0
No votes
Unvote
0
No votes
No Elimination
0
No votes
Aw Jeez (Host/Dead/Non)
18
82%
 
Total votes: 22
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9601

Post by Michelle »

Kind reminder, Odd is peeked villager.
He can be mafia only if he is godfather.

If anyone thinks I didn't explain completely my ideas and something is lacking, please tell me and when I am able to play I will explain/reformulate.
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DrWilgy wrote: Mon Mar 01, 2021 6:59 pm Death before cowardice.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9602

Post by Michelle »

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You sure about this plan?
Poll runs till Mon Apr 19, 2021 1:00 am
Please note that if you vote, your vote will be visible.

You may select 1 option


Alison
0
No votes
Voters: None
BoKnows
0
No votes
Voters: None
Esooa
0
No votes
Voters: None
fingersplints
3
19%
Voters: staypositivefriend, Justplayingitcool, NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME
Hally
0
No votes
Voters: None
Justplayingitcool
6
38%
Voters: KZA, Alison, Esooa, fingersplints, Oddmerta, BoKnows
KZA
0
No votes
Voters: None
Michelle
0
No votes
Voters: None
NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME
0
No votes
Voters: None
Oddmerta
0
No votes
Voters: None
staypositivefriend
1
6%
Voters: Hally
Strawhenge
0
No votes
Voters: None
Unvote
0
No votes
Voters: None
No Elimination
0
No votes
Voters: None
Well, it's creative (Host/Dead/Non)
6
38%
Voters: Marmot, JaggedJimmyJay, Sloonei, MacDougall, nutella, novaselinenever
Total votes: 16
vc

Justplayingitcool. 6 KZA, Alison, Esooa, fingersplints, Oddmerta, BoKnows
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DrWilgy wrote: Mon Mar 01, 2021 6:59 pm Death before cowardice.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9603

Post by BoKnows »

Michelle wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:22 am Kind reminder, Odd is peeked villager.
He can be mafia only if he is godfather.

If anyone thinks I didn't explain completely my ideas and something is lacking, please tell me and when I am able to play I will explain/reformulate.
Sorry when was Odd peaked?
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9604

Post by Michelle »

[VOTE: Fingers ] aubergine
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DrWilgy wrote: Mon Mar 01, 2021 6:59 pm Death before cowardice.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9605

Post by Michelle »

BoKnows wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:26 am
Michelle wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:22 am Kind reminder, Odd is peeked villager.
He can be mafia only if he is godfather.

If anyone thinks I didn't explain completely my ideas and something is lacking, please tell me and when I am able to play I will explain/reformulate.
Sorry when was Odd peaked?
You didn't read the thread, isn't it?

I have info Odd is villager
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DrWilgy wrote: Mon Mar 01, 2021 6:59 pm Death before cowardice.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9606

Post by BoKnows »

Michelle wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:28 am
BoKnows wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:26 am
Michelle wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:22 am Kind reminder, Odd is peeked villager.
He can be mafia only if he is godfather.

If anyone thinks I didn't explain completely my ideas and something is lacking, please tell me and when I am able to play I will explain/reformulate.
Sorry when was Odd peaked?
You didn't read the thread, isn't it?

I have info Odd is villager
No I've fallen behind a little. Got two finals coming up Monday, Tuesday.

It's safe to clear Odd for now. Not worth the time to discuss wether Odd is the God father or not.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9607

Post by Strawhenge »

BoKnows wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:33 am It's safe to clear Odd for now.
If it's safe to clear Odd based on Michelle's peek, then it was safe to chop Allison on the previous day. That whole debacle proved that Michelle's peeks are—at the very least—not to be taken at surface value. There are so many role powers going around in this game that it's not impossible that Michelle's green peek wound up being someone else.

That's, like, the whole reason Alison is still alive.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9608

Post by BoKnows »

Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:37 am
BoKnows wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:33 am It's safe to clear Odd for now.
If it's safe to clear Odd based on Michelle's peek, then it was safe to chop Allison on the previous day. That whole debacle proved that Michelle's peeks are—at the very least—not to be taken at surface value. There are so many role powers going around in this game that Michelle's green may peek wound up being someone else.

That's, like, the whole reason Alison is still alive.
I don't know what to believe. All of this mechanical stuff is above my pay grade. With Alison's red check it was explained with a lot of mechanics, what are the chances of that explanation being BS? What are the chances of Oddmerta actually being scum and Michelle's check was messed with two nights in a row? What are the chances of Michelle lying about her check? I'm at a point in the game where I think anyone can by lying about everything.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9609

Post by BoKnows »

Right now how many mafia are dead?
1) Marmot [KC]
2) Gavial [KC]
3) Al_Sama (Safe to assume). [?]

So that leaves us with how many more scum? 3-4? At this point in the game I think everyone has claimed, and even had their roles mechanically proven. There's too many scum and not enough unproven claims. I'm starting to think we need to move beyond these claims and go off who has been scummy.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9610

Post by Strawhenge »

Bo, is the JPIC wagon based on a similar roleclaim to LC? Do you think he's been scummy? He's been a scum-lean lean for me for a while, but after LC flipped green I've lost some faith in my ability to read.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9611

Post by NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME »

I don't think jpic is above rand to be mafia
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9612

Post by Strawhenge »

NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:58 am I don't think jpic is above rand to be mafia
That's another term I keep meaning to ask about: rand. What's 'above rand'? What's '=rand'? Help computer.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9613

Post by NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME »

Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:59 am
NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:58 am I don't think jpic is above rand to be mafia
That's another term I keep meaning to ask about: rand. What's 'above rand'? What's '=rand'? Help computer.
Rand is random--as in, the chance that a given person rolled town/mafia

So above rand is higher than random, ie a read you're confident in, =rand is a read you're not confident in
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9614

Post by BoKnows »

Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:58 am Bo, is the JPIC wagon based on a similar roleclaim to LC? Do you think he's been scummy? He's been a scum-lean lean for me for a while, but after LC flipped green I've lost some faith in my ability to read.
That's why I'm voting for JPIC. Long Con had the counter claim to being a tracker and LC is green. In a game this size what are the chances there are two town trackers? Overall his game hasn't been super scummy, but it hasn't been towny. I haven't seen a JPIC post since the start of the game that pinged me town. His dissapearance lately isn't great either, iirc someone made a good meta read on that (I'll see if I can find it).
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9615

Post by Strawhenge »

NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:05 pm
Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:59 am
NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:58 am I don't think jpic is above rand to be mafia
That's another term I keep meaning to ask about: rand. What's 'above rand'? What's '=rand'? Help computer.
Rand is random--as in, the chance that a given person rolled town/mafia

So above rand is higher than random, ie a read you're confident in, =rand is a read you're not confident in
Thankee-sai.

Why do think JPIC is not above rand, then?
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9616

Post by BoKnows »

NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:05 pm
Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:59 am
NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:58 am I don't think jpic is above rand to be mafia
That's another term I keep meaning to ask about: rand. What's 'above rand'? What's '=rand'? Help computer.
Rand is random--as in, the chance that a given person rolled town/mafia

So above rand is higher than random, ie a read you're confident in, =rand is a read you're not confident in
So you don't think he's scum?
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9617

Post by Strawhenge »

BoKnows wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:06 pm
Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:58 am Bo, is the JPIC wagon based on a similar roleclaim to LC? Do you think he's been scummy? He's been a scum-lean lean for me for a while, but after LC flipped green I've lost some faith in my ability to read.
That's why I'm voting for JPIC. Long Con had the counter claim to being a tracker and LC is green. In a game this size what are the chances there are two town trackers? Overall his game hasn't been super scummy, but it hasn't been towny. I haven't seen a JPIC post since the start of the game that pinged me town. His dissapearance lately isn't great either, iirc someone made a good meta read on that (I'll see if I can find it).
I remember that meta read, and it seemed reasonable. I have no concept of time anymore, so I don't know where in the 198 pages it could be.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9618

Post by Justplayingitcool »

BoKnows wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:06 pm
Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:58 am Bo, is the JPIC wagon based on a similar roleclaim to LC? Do you think he's been scummy? He's been a scum-lean lean for me for a while, but after LC flipped green I've lost some faith in my ability to read.
That's why I'm voting for JPIC. Long Con had the counter claim to being a tracker and LC is green. In a game this size what are the chances there are two town trackers? Overall his game hasn't been super scummy, but it hasn't been towny. I haven't seen a JPIC post since the start of the game that pinged me town. His dissapearance lately isn't great either, iirc someone made a good meta read on that (I'll see if I can find it).
This is the first game we have played together., i dunno how you can call the meta read good
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9619

Post by Justplayingitcool »

Also, dunno why im being voted out when I contributed in yeeting dom/gavial
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9620

Post by BoKnows »

Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:08 pm
BoKnows wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:06 pm
Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:58 am Bo, is the JPIC wagon based on a similar roleclaim to LC? Do you think he's been scummy? He's been a scum-lean lean for me for a while, but after LC flipped green I've lost some faith in my ability to read.
That's why I'm voting for JPIC. Long Con had the counter claim to being a tracker and LC is green. In a game this size what are the chances there are two town trackers? Overall his game hasn't been super scummy, but it hasn't been towny. I haven't seen a JPIC post since the start of the game that pinged me town. His dissapearance lately isn't great either, iirc someone made a good meta read on that (I'll see if I can find it).
I remember that meta read, and it seemed reasonable. I have no concept of time anymore, so I don't know where in the 198 pages it could be.
Yeah I have no idea where it is or who wrote it lol
Justplayingitcool wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:10 pm
BoKnows wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:06 pm
Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:58 am Bo, is the JPIC wagon based on a similar roleclaim to LC? Do you think he's been scummy? He's been a scum-lean lean for me for a while, but after LC flipped green I've lost some faith in my ability to read.
That's why I'm voting for JPIC. Long Con had the counter claim to being a tracker and LC is green. In a game this size what are the chances there are two town trackers? Overall his game hasn't been super scummy, but it hasn't been towny. I haven't seen a JPIC post since the start of the game that pinged me town. His dissapearance lately isn't great either, iirc someone made a good meta read on that (I'll see if I can find it).
This is the first game we have played together., i dunno how you can call the meta read good
It's not my meta on you. It's meta on you that made sense.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9621

Post by Strawhenge »

Justplayingitcool wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:11 pm Also, dunno why im being voted out when I contributed in yeeting dom/gavial
Well, I mean, two mafia teams. The other team had just as much investment in yeeting Domvial as we did.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9622

Post by BoKnows »

I voted for Gavial I think that should make me lock town :wowee:
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9623

Post by Justplayingitcool »

We don’t even know it is multiball
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9624

Post by Strawhenge »

Justplayingitcool wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:14 pm We don’t even know it is multiball
bewilderment.gif

Why is this suddenly coming back into question?
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9625

Post by Justplayingitcool »

Have we seen a second mafia team flip?
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9626

Post by Justplayingitcool »

The first person who ‘confirmed’ multiball was a thing was a flipped wolf. He must have no incentive to lie
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9627

Post by Strawhenge »

Justplayingitcool wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:16 pm Have we seen a second mafia team flip?
I seem to recall several indicators that it's multiball, not the least of which is the night where three players were NK'd and there as an attempt on a fourth.

I thought this was universally acknowledged.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9628

Post by Strawhenge »

Also literally one person didn't vote for Gavidom; voting for him dun't make anyone special.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9629

Post by Justplayingitcool »

Yeah and only one person died last night?

It’s possible that wolves just have/had extra kp as a one-shot
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9630

Post by Justplayingitcool »

Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:20 pm Also literally one person didn't vote for Gavidom; voting for him dun't make anyone special.
It’s not about the vote but me tracking nook to dom which confirmed nook wasn’t blocked
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9631

Post by Strawhenge »

Justplayingitcool wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:21 pm
Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:20 pm Also literally one person didn't vote for Gavidom; voting for him dun't make anyone special.
It’s not about the vote but me tracking nook to dom which confirmed nook wasn’t blocked
That doesn't confirm that you're town.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9632

Post by Strawhenge »

JPIC, right now, is your best argument that you're town because you tracked Nanook and the game might not actually be multiball?
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9633

Post by Justplayingitcool »

Why not? Why would i bury my teammate like that for no reason
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9634

Post by Justplayingitcool »

Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:24 pm JPIC, right now, is your best argument that you're town because you tracked Nanook and the game might not actually be multiball?
Playing devils advocate and im in the ‘other team’, who are my partners?
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9635

Post by Strawhenge »

Justplayingitcool wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:26 pm
Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:24 pm JPIC, right now, is your best argument that you're town because you tracked Nanook and the game might not actually be multiball?
Playing devils advocate and im in the ‘other team’, who are my partners?
I would have to read back through the entire thread, but GTH I'd say Esooa and Oddmerta.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9636

Post by Strawhenge »

Would you give us all the reasons why you doubt that this game is multiball?
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9637

Post by Justplayingitcool »

Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:28 pm Would you give us all the reasons why you doubt that this game is multiball?
The main reason being that we haven’t seen a second mafia team flip is pretty compelling :wowee:
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9638

Post by Justplayingitcool »

Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:28 pm
Justplayingitcool wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:26 pm
Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:24 pm JPIC, right now, is your best argument that you're town because you tracked Nanook and the game might not actually be multiball?
Playing devils advocate and im in the ‘other team’, who are my partners?
I would have to read back through the entire thread, but GTH I'd say Esooa and Oddmerta.
Odd and myself are never partners together with how D1 went down. Try again
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9639

Post by Strawhenge »

Justplayingitcool wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:31 pm
Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:28 pm
Justplayingitcool wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:26 pm
Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:24 pm JPIC, right now, is your best argument that you're town because you tracked Nanook and the game might not actually be multiball?
Playing devils advocate and im in the ‘other team’, who are my partners?
I would have to read back through the entire thread, but GTH I'd say Esooa and Oddmerta.
Odd and myself are never partners together with how D1 went down. Try again
Refresh my memory.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9640

Post by Strawhenge »

Justplayingitcool wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:31 pm
Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:28 pm Would you give us all the reasons why you doubt that this game is multiball?
The main reason being that we haven’t seen a second mafia team flip is pretty compelling :wowee:
Okay, so in a 20-player game, how big is the scum team, and who's on it? Is there a 3P? Who's your strongest read for the 3P?
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9641

Post by Justplayingitcool »

Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:33 pm
Justplayingitcool wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:31 pm
Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:28 pm
Justplayingitcool wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:26 pm
Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:24 pm JPIC, right now, is your best argument that you're town because you tracked Nanook and the game might not actually be multiball?
Playing devils advocate and im in the ‘other team’, who are my partners?
I would have to read back through the entire thread, but GTH I'd say Esooa and Oddmerta.
Odd and myself are never partners together with how D1 went down. Try again
Refresh my memory.
He shaded me the entire phase and misrepresented my posts. Also, he’s peeked green lol
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9642

Post by Justplayingitcool »

Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:34 pm
Justplayingitcool wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:31 pm
Strawhenge wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:28 pm Would you give us all the reasons why you doubt that this game is multiball?
The main reason being that we haven’t seen a second mafia team flip is pretty compelling :wowee:
Okay, so in a 20-player game, how big is the scum team, and who's on it? Is there a 3P? Who's your strongest read for the 3P?
There could be 3P but I don’t know the flavour well-enough for it to make sense.

In a 22 player game i think maybe 5 wolves?

We have:
Dom
Marmot
Al (think we can reasonably agree he is mafia?)

Other two I’d say finger or boknows. Wouldn’t be shocked if there is at least one mafia in the troopers.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9643

Post by Strawhenge »

Are 4:1 or 5:1 town:scum ratios common on The Syndicate? That seems steep, even with all the mech.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9644

Post by Oddmerta »

Did JPIC track Nanook to Dom?

When Dom/Gav role takes a hit the whole KC Mafia know about it, could be an opportunity to get some town cred off of a doomed teammate.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9645

Post by Justplayingitcool »

Rule of thumb i have always adhered to is that 1/4 of the game is not town
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9646

Post by Justplayingitcool »

Oddmerta wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:44 pm Did JPIC track Nanook to Dom?

When Dom/Gav role takes a hit the whole KC Mafia know about it, could be an opportunity to get some town cred off of a doomed teammate.
I did track nook.

I also claimed nook tried to kill someone BEFORE he confirmed it.
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9647

Post by Justplayingitcool »

If I was mafia i also bussed my teammate marmot heavily d1
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9648

Post by BoKnows »

Oddmerta wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:44 pm Did JPIC track Nanook to Dom?

When Dom/Gav role takes a hit the whole KC Mafia know about it, could be an opportunity to get some town cred off of a doomed teammate.
How do you know this?
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9649

Post by Justplayingitcool »

If we’re in multiball we have an unaccounted kill last night
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 5]

#9650

Post by Oddmerta »

BoKnows wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:49 pm
Oddmerta wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:44 pm Did JPIC track Nanook to Dom?

When Dom/Gav role takes a hit the whole KC Mafia know about it, could be an opportunity to get some town cred off of a doomed teammate.
How do you know this?
I read Dom's rolesheet
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