basic mafia [END]

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who's mafia

Poll ended at Sat Jul 17, 2021 6:00 pm

Dyslexicon
2
15%
EnderWiggin
4
31%
Grogu / Syn / MacDougall
2
15%
Lu Ren
0
No votes
Luckbox Inc
0
No votes
NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME
0
No votes
NotAnAxehole
0
No votes
TonyStarkPrime
0
No votes
unvote
0
No votes
other (host / spec / dead)
5
38%
 
Total votes: 13
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1501

Post by Seanzie »

Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:33 pm
Seanzie wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:30 pmJust trying to get a sense as to where your head is at.

If you were rethinking Alison as possible town, you should be worried about her legacy if you're town.
Worried how? Her read on me is a stupid ass tunnel and she's been dismissing me at every point. That is what I think if Alison is town.

What is your thought on the Belzy/Bo wagon btw?
Alison is a very good player, and if she flips town, I think a lot of people will follow her reads. Her reads say to turbo you. Of course, if you're scum you're worried about this, but if you're town, you should also be worried about this if you are starting to think Alison is town... but you seem to not want to admit you're worried about this, which worries me.

I think BK has been a whole lot of nothing today. Erika I don't remember much from, but nothing pinged me. I'm not super interested in the wagon, but BK is definitely someone I need to see more from soon or I will be super interested in that wagon tomorrow.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1502

Post by EnderWiggin »

Here now, snoozed my alarm which was dumb.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1503

Post by Seanzie »

EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:35 pm Here now, snoozed my alarm which was dumb.
Good to see you. I don't think Axe is a good vote.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1504

Post by EnderWiggin »

Progression on Alison last night to half-dead Ender was:
Reading back and realising she posted that Dizzy/Esooa would be the two people she'd N1 because they have best chance of catching scum game.
Esooa N1.
Her play looks almost too similar to last town game I shared with her where she open fossed someone then pushed another person. It was interrupted in that game by Gaviel but it seemed very close in that way. This is why I townread her earlier and why I started to be unsure because it's almost like copy-paste if that makes sense?
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1505

Post by EnderWiggin »

I don't think Axe is a good vote either now. The fucker got me to townread him. That's actually what started my re-eval last night because I got to too much town.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1506

Post by Seanzie »

EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:38 pm I don't think Axe is a good vote either now. The fucker got me to townread him. That's actually what started my re-eval last night because I got to too much town.
Then why are you voting Axe?
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1507

Post by Dyslexicon »

Seanzie wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:35 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:33 pm
Seanzie wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:30 pmJust trying to get a sense as to where your head is at.

If you were rethinking Alison as possible town, you should be worried about her legacy if you're town.
Worried how? Her read on me is a stupid ass tunnel and she's been dismissing me at every point. That is what I think if Alison is town.

What is your thought on the Belzy/Bo wagon btw?
Alison is a very good player, and if she flips town, I think a lot of people will follow her reads. Her reads say to turbo you. Of course, if you're scum you're worried about this, but if you're town, you should also be worried about this if you are starting to think Alison is town... but you seem to not want to admit you're worried about this, which worries me.

I think BK has been a whole lot of nothing today. Erika I don't remember much from, but nothing pinged me. I'm not super interested in the wagon, but BK is definitely someone I need to see more from soon or I will be super interested in that wagon tomorrow.
I already talked at length about me/Alison both being town world is bad and potentially game losing tbh. Of course that is worrying me. It is not in my power to get Alison out of her tunnel if she is town though.

What do you think about my reasons for town reading Erika?
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1508

Post by EnderWiggin »

To elaborate, last night I was in the position of:
Towncore:
Lu Ren

Probably Town:
Alison
Seanzie
Belzy/BoKnows
NotAnAxehole

Deep Wolf:
Grogu/Syn/Mac

Soft town:
fingersplints
Luckbox Inc
falcon45ca
Dyslexicon

Debating on my read:
TonyStarkPrime
NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME

EnderWiggin

Which is NOT a sustainable POE. I have SOMETHING wrong. Easiest thing to review:
Dizzy/Alison t/t concept
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1509

Post by EnderWiggin »

Seanzie wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:38 pm
EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:38 pm I don't think Axe is a good vote either now. The fucker got me to townread him. That's actually what started my re-eval last night because I got to too much town.
Then why are you voting Axe?
Because I left it there last night being confused and haven't worked out where to vote yet.

[VOTE: unvote] aubergine
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1510

Post by Dyslexicon »

Alison being town is bad for the game no matter if she flips or not fmpov. So could just flip her, because I would hate for her to get away with what she's been doing if she's mafia.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1511

Post by EnderWiggin »

Start analysis:
BoKnows is likely not scum.

Dizzy defends hard with a townread due to knowing the slot, which I know they do. w/w equity?

But then why townread it so hard.

Maybe w/w shielding but going after them before Dizzy seems weak.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1512

Post by fingersplints »

Sorry guys in laws arrived for the week and football. What’d I miss
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1513

Post by Seanzie »

Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:39 pm
Seanzie wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:35 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:33 pm
Seanzie wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:30 pmJust trying to get a sense as to where your head is at.

If you were rethinking Alison as possible town, you should be worried about her legacy if you're town.
Worried how? Her read on me is a stupid ass tunnel and she's been dismissing me at every point. That is what I think if Alison is town.

What is your thought on the Belzy/Bo wagon btw?
Alison is a very good player, and if she flips town, I think a lot of people will follow her reads. Her reads say to turbo you. Of course, if you're scum you're worried about this, but if you're town, you should also be worried about this if you are starting to think Alison is town... but you seem to not want to admit you're worried about this, which worries me.

I think BK has been a whole lot of nothing today. Erika I don't remember much from, but nothing pinged me. I'm not super interested in the wagon, but BK is definitely someone I need to see more from soon or I will be super interested in that wagon tomorrow.
I already talked at length about me/Alison both being town world is bad and potentially game losing tbh. Of course that is worrying me. It is not in my power to get Alison out of her tunnel if she is town though.

What do you think about my reasons for town reading Erika?
You mentioned her joking around and stuff on a new forum? Sure. idk Erika well enough to say how she'd act on a new forum. She has played a few games here by now though. I'd have to ISO her to really say anything more intelligible, and since it is 19 minutes to EoD, idk if that is going to happen right now. If you and I both agree that BK is not a good wagon, why do you want to talk about Erika right now?
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1514

Post by EnderWiggin »

Probably Town:
Lu Ren
Seanzie
Belzy/BoKnows

Soft town:
NotAnAxehole
Luckbox Inc
falcon45ca

Debating on my read:
TonyStarkPrime
NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME

Light Scum:
fingersplints
Grogu/Syn/Mac

Scum:
Dyslexicon or Alison
EnderWiggin

This is where I got to last night. I'm not feeling good about Mac Slank tbh. Why has that been ignored so much?
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1515

Post by EnderWiggin »

If Dizzy/Alison stays around another day I'm worried it ruins thread health further with distraction from holistic analysis tbh.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1516

Post by Seanzie »

fingersplints wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:42 pm Sorry guys in laws arrived for the week and football. What’d I miss
You should vote someone other than Axe.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1517

Post by Dyslexicon »

Seanzie wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:42 pmYou mentioned her joking around and stuff on a new forum? Sure. idk Erika well enough to say how she'd act on a new forum. She has played a few games here by now though. I'd have to ISO her to really say anything more intelligible, and since it is 19 minutes to EoD, idk if that is going to happen right now. If you and I both agree that BK is not a good wagon, why do you want to talk about Erika right now?
Because I wasn't sure about your stance.

And I was hoping if you did town read Belzy, more people than me knowing her and vouching for her would mean something, cause it doesn't seem like people are interested in listening to me. Probably because Alison says I'm bad.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1518

Post by fingersplints »

Ok so looks like Alison and bo each three. My gut still says Alison town, so I’d probably prefer bo but I don’t know if this Alison suspicion is going to monopolise every day might be better to just get it over with

Can someone quickly summarise points on bo sorry
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1519

Post by EnderWiggin »

Reads progression explanation:
Tiering down Lu Ren because they seem inno but I can't townlock anymore if my reads are in a wrong state.

Downgrading Alison because my reread seeded doubts. Upping Nanook because they're tied to Axe for now, re-eval later.

Upping Falcon because they actually seem to be playing town-meta.

Mac gets dropped to maybe scum because their slank is bad.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1520

Post by fingersplints »

Also who is Erika
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1521

Post by Seanzie »

fingersplints wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:45 pm Also who is Erika
Belzy is Erika
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1522

Post by EnderWiggin »

fingersplints wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:45 pm Ok so looks like Alison and bo each three. My gut still says Alison town, so I’d probably prefer bo but I don’t know if this Alison suspicion is going to monopolise every day might be better to just get it over with

Can someone quickly summarise points on bo sorry
They're doing shit all tbh.

That's the read.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1523

Post by EnderWiggin »

I am not used to being this unsure about my PoE/slots.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1524

Post by fingersplints »

Seanzie wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:44 pm
fingersplints wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:42 pm Sorry guys in laws arrived for the week and football. What’d I miss
You should vote someone other than Axe.

Where to vote is what I’m trying to figure out
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1525

Post by EnderWiggin »

Which suggests I was townreading at least one deep wolf hard. I want to say that's Alison but I might have constructed the Alison Wolf world and not looking outside it.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1526

Post by Seanzie »

fingersplints wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:45 pm Ok so looks like Alison and bo each three. My gut still says Alison town, so I’d probably prefer bo but I don’t know if this Alison suspicion is going to monopolise every day might be better to just get it over with

Can someone quickly summarise points on bo sorry
I don't think anyone has made any? They are lackluster for sure, but not directly scummy. If you can find a post by them, their ISO is only like 10 posts long. They mostly focused on Alison, and then haven't posted for most of the day.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1527

Post by EnderWiggin »

[VOTE: Alison] aubergine Not set on this but putting a vote up.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1528

Post by fingersplints »

Ok thank you all

I’m not sure lack of participation warrants a vote. I’ve seen bo play a pretty solid scum game so I don’t think low activity is necessarily indicative there
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1529

Post by Dyslexicon »

EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:44 pm If Dizzy/Alison stays around another day I'm worried it ruins thread health further with distraction from holistic analysis tbh.
This true. I'm staying on Alison.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1530

Post by fingersplints »

And how did people settle on bo who replaced in over someone like tsp who also hasn’t contributed a lot

(Unless tsp started contributing a ton when I wasn’t around today)
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1531

Post by Seanzie »

fingersplints wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:50 pm And how did people settle on bo who replaced in over someone like tsp who also hasn’t contributed a lot

(Unless tsp started contributing a ton when I wasn’t around today)
TSP has not contributed a lot. Idk why it is BK over TSP.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1532

Post by EnderWiggin »

TSP hasn't contributed a lot.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1533

Post by MacDougall »

EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:45 pm Reads progression explanation:
Tiering down Lu Ren because they seem inno but I can't townlock anymore if my reads are in a wrong state.

Downgrading Alison because my reread seeded doubts. Upping Nanook because they're tied to Axe for now, re-eval later.

Upping Falcon because they actually seem to be playing town-meta.

Mac gets dropped to maybe scum because their slank is bad.
Yoooo this is a fucking scumslip you know I've been sleeping.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1534

Post by EnderWiggin »

EnderWiggin wrote: Sat Jul 10, 2021 9:31 pm
Alison wrote: Sat Jul 10, 2021 9:10 pm I still think Dizzy is the best exe here. Highest scum equity, 3/4 in my POE (TSP/Nook/Bo) has partner equity with him, and if he flips town you just flip me after to confirm it's T/T and then Mac/Ender are basically outed.
I hate part of this analysis.

It's basically "Chop Dizzy and then lynch the three biggest town pushers".

If Dizzy flips green, which I'm not convinced they won't, it flips one of my upper townreads, myself, and maybe one deep wolf. I'm not sold on Mac being towny tbh, he buddied me hard as w last time and so I'm paranoid there.

But like, either way that's 3/1 probably and removing two people I'd like to keep around for town (Myself/Alison)
Btw this is the list of people I was referring to in my "chop Ender/Mac/Dizzy/Alison" thing.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1535

Post by EnderWiggin »

MacDougall wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:51 pm
EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:45 pm Reads progression explanation:
Tiering down Lu Ren because they seem inno but I can't townlock anymore if my reads are in a wrong state.

Downgrading Alison because my reread seeded doubts. Upping Nanook because they're tied to Axe for now, re-eval later.

Upping Falcon because they actually seem to be playing town-meta.

Mac gets dropped to maybe scum because their slank is bad.
Yoooo this is a fucking scumslip you know I've been sleeping.
You were afk most of yesterday afternoon but okay.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1536

Post by EnderWiggin »

Mac has one post in the last 12 hours and the one before that is 15 hours ago.

But he's been sleeping.

Right right.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1537

Post by Luckbox Inc »

falcon45ca wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:35 pm
Seanzie wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:32 pm Is the thread seriously dead for EoD again?
See, why ya gotta go and make wolfy posts like this?
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1538

Post by Seanzie »

MacDougall wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:51 pm
EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:45 pm Reads progression explanation:
Tiering down Lu Ren because they seem inno but I can't townlock anymore if my reads are in a wrong state.

Downgrading Alison because my reread seeded doubts. Upping Nanook because they're tied to Axe for now, re-eval later.

Upping Falcon because they actually seem to be playing town-meta.

Mac gets dropped to maybe scum because their slank is bad.
Yoooo this is a fucking scumslip you know I've been sleeping.
You made like 50 posts in the first 12 hours of the day, and like 15 since. Have you been sleeping for 36 hours straight?
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1539

Post by MacDougall »

EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:52 pm
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:51 pm
EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:45 pm Reads progression explanation:
Tiering down Lu Ren because they seem inno but I can't townlock anymore if my reads are in a wrong state.

Downgrading Alison because my reread seeded doubts. Upping Nanook because they're tied to Axe for now, re-eval later.

Upping Falcon because they actually seem to be playing town-meta.

Mac gets dropped to maybe scum because their slank is bad.
Yoooo this is a fucking scumslip you know I've been sleeping.
You were afk most of yesterday afternoon but okay.
You really think volume is a tell for me? You just wolfed with me and I 300 posted d1. Opportunistic as fuck.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1540

Post by MacDougall »

Seanzie wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:54 pm
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:51 pm
EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:45 pm Reads progression explanation:
Tiering down Lu Ren because they seem inno but I can't townlock anymore if my reads are in a wrong state.

Downgrading Alison because my reread seeded doubts. Upping Nanook because they're tied to Axe for now, re-eval later.

Upping Falcon because they actually seem to be playing town-meta.

Mac gets dropped to maybe scum because their slank is bad.
Yoooo this is a fucking scumslip you know I've been sleeping.
You made like 50 posts in the first 12 hours of the day, and like 15 since. Have you been sleeping for 36 hours straight?
For a lot of it yes. The rest of the time I was mostly binge watching Daredevil and Defenders.
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EnderWiggin
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1541

Post by EnderWiggin »

The wolf game before that you hard slanked.

It's not really AI but kinda weird that you're here now I point it out.
We can only trust the truth. Everything else is a lie.
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fingersplints
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1542

Post by fingersplints »

Seanzie wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:51 pm
fingersplints wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:50 pm And how did people settle on bo who replaced in over someone like tsp who also hasn’t contributed a lot

(Unless tsp started contributing a ton when I wasn’t around today)
TSP has not contributed a lot. Idk why it is BK over TSP.
EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:51 pm TSP hasn't contributed a lot.
Ok well I voted for tsp

I’d be curious to hear from the three who voted bo what their points on bo are and why over tsp
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NotAnAxehole
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1543

Post by NotAnAxehole »

MacDougall wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:51 pm
EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:45 pm Reads progression explanation:
Tiering down Lu Ren because they seem inno but I can't townlock anymore if my reads are in a wrong state.

Downgrading Alison because my reread seeded doubts. Upping Nanook because they're tied to Axe for now, re-eval later.

Upping Falcon because they actually seem to be playing town-meta.

Mac gets dropped to maybe scum because their slank is bad.
Yoooo this is a fucking scumslip you know I've been sleeping.
I mean, the vote on Alison is a scum claim, but I couldn't see a way to kill him today. Not enough votes.
Russian Machine Never Breaks 769 #3
Spoiler: show
2022 Stats
| Overall 4-6 40% | Town 4-6 40% | Mafia 0-0 - |
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2021 Stats
| Overall 6-5 55% | Town 4-5 44% | Mafia 2-0 100% |
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EnderWiggin
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1544

Post by EnderWiggin »

Albeit EOD
We can only trust the truth. Everything else is a lie.
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Seanzie
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1545

Post by Seanzie »

MacDougall wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:54 pm
EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:52 pm
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:51 pm
EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:45 pm Reads progression explanation:
Tiering down Lu Ren because they seem inno but I can't townlock anymore if my reads are in a wrong state.

Downgrading Alison because my reread seeded doubts. Upping Nanook because they're tied to Axe for now, re-eval later.

Upping Falcon because they actually seem to be playing town-meta.

Mac gets dropped to maybe scum because their slank is bad.
Yoooo this is a fucking scumslip you know I've been sleeping.
You were afk most of yesterday afternoon but okay.
You really think volume is a tell for me? You just wolfed with me and I 300 posted d1. Opportunistic as fuck.
Is it that you were sleeping or is it that volume isn't a tell for you?
Spoiler: show
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Image
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Dyslexicon
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1546

Post by Dyslexicon »

If Alison is mafia:

- Lu Ren probably not mafia, but don't give them a free pass. I do think how she's handled Alison is a bit too much for teammates though.
- Wouldn't clear either of Nanook or Ender tbh. Actually maybe would clear Nanook, but depends on his D1 (which I don't remember.) I don't know if Axe is a busser, but probably not teamed from how Alison treats him also.
- TSP and Mac both possibilities.
- My notes says Fingers piggy backed Alison so maybe not teamed, but I'm not sure how strong that is. Probably not very.
- Lucky cleared, too weird interactions if teammates.
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MacDougall
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1547

Post by MacDougall »

Oh look everyone it's open scum Seanzie here to put his 2c in. Well talking to me costs 3c nerd so get the fick out of here.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1548

Post by MacDougall »

Seanzie wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:55 pm
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:54 pm
EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:52 pm
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:51 pm
EnderWiggin wrote: Sun Jul 11, 2021 5:45 pm Reads progression explanation:
Tiering down Lu Ren because they seem inno but I can't townlock anymore if my reads are in a wrong state.

Downgrading Alison because my reread seeded doubts. Upping Nanook because they're tied to Axe for now, re-eval later.

Upping Falcon because they actually seem to be playing town-meta.

Mac gets dropped to maybe scum because their slank is bad.
Yoooo this is a fucking scumslip you know I've been sleeping.
You were afk most of yesterday afternoon but okay.
You really think volume is a tell for me? You just wolfed with me and I 300 posted d1. Opportunistic as fuck.
Is it that you were sleeping or is it that volume isn't a tell for you?
how bout both
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EnderWiggin
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1549

Post by EnderWiggin »

I do not feel good about this at all. If my sudden feel on Mac is right then Alison probably town he was shielding/pocketing.
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Re: basic mafia [DAY 2]

#1550

Post by Dyslexicon »

Mac, thoughts on wagons?
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