
(And before anyone jumps on me for this, I'm obviously not being totally serious here.)
Moderator: Community Team
Certainly not, my style has evolved considerably since then.Dom wrote:I'm nervous about this though. This is exactly what I have traditionally suspected MP (I mean going back to years ago). I was traditionally wrong about this.Turnip Head wrote:This is the same concern I'm having re: MP, stemming all the way back to his gambit on Day 1. He accused Zeek of some trivial things early, then played that off as a gambit saying he caught a baddie in Enrique, but then he backed off of that too. And then yesterday he stayed on Daisy's case all day but kept qualifying his suspicion ("I'll allow myself to be wrong", "I could be wrong", "I'm willing to entertain the possibility that I'm wrong" etc etc).Dom wrote:This has me worried about you tbh.MovingPictures07 wrote:Dom, an addendum: I suppose I've felt temporarily strong about various suspicions I've had throughout the game, but the lasting strength of the arguments didn't really stand up when I took a step back. If that makes sense.
you seem to be setting fires and then walking away from them. At first, I thought itwas you playing carefully... but you haven't stuck to a suspicion all game.
How are you feeling about Daisy these days, MP, and why?
However, MP is not the same player he was back in 2010.
Le sigh! Forgive me for asking, but do you think everyone playing this game is stupid, MP? You appear to be hiding in the spotlight, basic WIFOM stuff, how many times do I have to say that? Dana's unreasonable, unconvincing defense of you corroborates that. Do I need to post a definition of the word "corroborate"? And yet you keep saying I'm basing this all on one post. Do you think the rest of the civvies here are dumb?MovingPictures07 wrote: Okay, so apparently you guarantee I'm bad based on behavior that isn't even mine. It does matter how many posts or from whom; are you serious? If someone finds 10 posts of someone's own words that are suspicious versus 1 post of someone else's words... surely that's a difference, yes? I won't argue with a teammate sinking anyone; I just find it odd as fuck that you therefore try to argue I should go first. If you're basing the argument that I'm bad based off of the defense of someone else -- if Dana's post TRULY is the ONLY thing that convinced you that I'm bad -- then why make up all these other WIFOM related reasons that you mentioned earlier in the game? And why lynch me before lynching her if my baddieness is conditional upon her defending me? It's simple causation-based logic, yet you haven't given me an answer to that.
And yes, I firmly believe "guaranteeing" someone as bad based off of one post posted by someone else whose alignment you also don't know to be crazy, yes. I'm not insulting you or ridiculing you; I'm sorry if you took it that way because it's clearly not. But it's incredibly illogical to conclude with such confidence in such circumstances, especially when there are so many other players you haven't issued any opinions on whatsoever.
I can only concentrate on so many people after a a 14 hour intercontinetal journey, especially considering I'm still catching up. Y'know, you keep throwing out other names. What about Dana? What about Zeek? It's like you're running away from me, throwing whatever you can find into my path to slow me down. I'll get to Zeek. At the moment I feel the strongest about you, so I'm concentrating on you.You also failed to address my two points about zeek twice now: (1) zeek has posted even more than I have, so clearly he's taking a similar strategy. No opinion of him?
I wouldn't characterise Zeek's play as similar to yours, but you raise a good point. At the time I did feel like I might have caught something there, thanks for reminding me.And (2), here you said:
If Dana was defending zeek too, then surely he must be her baddie teammate too, right?keys56000000000 wrote:It's great to see players getting stuck in right from the get-go! I hate games where people are too afraid to post. Good to see some balls.
Two things I want to post on.
First, my two cents on the issue of speculating on role powers. IMO it's better to put all our cards on the table. Baddies will be trying to figure this stuff out regardless of anything posted here.
Second, while I agree that it's too soon to really judge anyone, it kinda seems like MP hit on a nerve. Do I detect a bit of Dana defending Zeek? Or is it Dana jumping the gun on what she identifies as an easy lynch? Hard to tell at this early stage, but very possibly. At any rate, I certainly don't suspect MP yet, whereas Dana has "pinged" my suspicio-meter.
You talk a good talk, I have to hand it to you. You dismiss me and spin my arguments to fit your narrative quite expertly. I simply do not have the time nor the energy to counter your sheer volume of posts and their intensity, but I hope my fellow civvies will be able to identify it for what it really is: an attempt to white-wash opposition.It appears your arguments are collapsing amid scrutiny, yet you fail to acknowledge that.
Let's not forget that he survived a nightkill somehow and 'had a feeling' the Cybertron's were coming after him.keys56000000000 wrote:Le sigh! Forgive me for asking, but do you think everyone playing this game is stupid, MP? You appear to be hiding in the spotlight, basic WIFOM stuff, how many times do I have to say that? Dana's unreasonable, unconvincing defense of you corroborates that. Do I need to post a definition of the word "corroborate"? And yet you keep saying I'm basing this all on one post. Do you think the rest of the civvies here are dumb?MovingPictures07 wrote: Okay, so apparently you guarantee I'm bad based on behavior that isn't even mine. It does matter how many posts or from whom; are you serious? If someone finds 10 posts of someone's own words that are suspicious versus 1 post of someone else's words... surely that's a difference, yes? I won't argue with a teammate sinking anyone; I just find it odd as fuck that you therefore try to argue I should go first. If you're basing the argument that I'm bad based off of the defense of someone else -- if Dana's post TRULY is the ONLY thing that convinced you that I'm bad -- then why make up all these other WIFOM related reasons that you mentioned earlier in the game? And why lynch me before lynching her if my baddieness is conditional upon her defending me? It's simple causation-based logic, yet you haven't given me an answer to that.
And yes, I firmly believe "guaranteeing" someone as bad based off of one post posted by someone else whose alignment you also don't know to be crazy, yes. I'm not insulting you or ridiculing you; I'm sorry if you took it that way because it's clearly not. But it's incredibly illogical to conclude with such confidence in such circumstances, especially when there are so many other players you haven't issued any opinions on whatsoever.
I can only concentrate on so many people after a a 14 hour intercontinetal journey, especially considering I'm still catching up. Y'know, you keep throwing out other names. What about Dana? What about Zeek? It's like you're running away from me, throwing whatever you can find into my path to slow me down. I'll get to Zeek. At the moment I feel the strongest about you, so I'm concentrating on you.You also failed to address my two points about zeek twice now: (1) zeek has posted even more than I have, so clearly he's taking a similar strategy. No opinion of him?
I wouldn't characterise Zeek's play as similar to yours, but you raise a good point. At the time I did feel like I might have caught something there, thanks for reminding me.And (2), here you said:
If Dana was defending zeek too, then surely he must be her baddie teammate too, right?keys56000000000 wrote:It's great to see players getting stuck in right from the get-go! I hate games where people are too afraid to post. Good to see some balls.
Two things I want to post on.
First, my two cents on the issue of speculating on role powers. IMO it's better to put all our cards on the table. Baddies will be trying to figure this stuff out regardless of anything posted here.
Second, while I agree that it's too soon to really judge anyone, it kinda seems like MP hit on a nerve. Do I detect a bit of Dana defending Zeek? Or is it Dana jumping the gun on what she identifies as an easy lynch? Hard to tell at this early stage, but very possibly. At any rate, I certainly don't suspect MP yet, whereas Dana has "pinged" my suspicio-meter.
You talk a good talk, I have to hand it to you. You dismiss me and spin my arguments to fit your narrative quite expertly. I simply do not have the time nor the energy to counter your sheer volume of posts and their intensity, but I hope my fellow civvies will be able to identify it for what it really is: an attempt to white-wash opposition.It appears your arguments are collapsing amid scrutiny, yet you fail to acknowledge that.
linkitis: lol @ MP's "I'm looking at all these people today, we'll see what sticks" post. And he calls me ridiculous and crazy.
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:33 pm Just how many days of "let's yeet them tomorrow" can a mafioso survive?
The answer: all of them, if you are a marmot.
Yeah, would you care to elaborate on that, MP?MovingPictures07 wrote:I had a strange feeling the Cybermen were going to try to kill me tonight. Nice try, suckers!
Made wrote:I may be new, but i got furry.
MP, regardless of how much you're joking-- you have to understand that mentioning this is eyebrow raising, right? Like... how this is a huge no u...MovingPictures07 wrote:It appears the Cybermen are trying to make up for their inability to get rid of me at night in a desperate attempt to get rid of me during the day.![]()
(And before anyone jumps on me for this, I'm obviously not being totally serious here.)
What seems to be happening is that the second a suspicion becomes inconvenient or unavailable you are backing off.MovingPictures07 wrote: So why would I need to quantify my suspicions then for anything other than presenting clarity? Or am I misunderstanding what's making you nervous, Dom?
There are two baddie teams, so surviving a night kill doesn't put anyone in the clear.Metalmarsh89 wrote: Let's not forget that he survived a nightkill somehow and 'had a feeling' the Cybertron's were coming after him.
I don't think Metalmarsh is defending MP.keys56000000000 wrote:There are two baddie teams, so surviving a night kill doesn't put anyone in the clear.Metalmarsh89 wrote: Let's not forget that he survived a nightkill somehow and 'had a feeling' the Cybertron's were coming after him.
What does MP saying he had a feeling he would be targeted prove?
In my eyes that actually makes him a bit more suspicious.keys56000000000 wrote:There are two baddie teams, so surviving a night kill doesn't put anyone in the clear.Metalmarsh89 wrote: Let's not forget that he survived a nightkill somehow and 'had a feeling' the Cybertron's were coming after him.
What does MP saying he had a feeling he would be targeted prove?
Made wrote:I may be new, but i got furry.
Yes. And nightkills are fishy.Dom wrote:I don't think Metalmarsh is defending MP.keys56000000000 wrote:There are two baddie teams, so surviving a night kill doesn't put anyone in the clear.Metalmarsh89 wrote: Let's not forget that he survived a nightkill somehow and 'had a feeling' the Cybertron's were coming after him.
What does MP saying he had a feeling he would be targeted prove?
I think he's saying that it's unexplained that he survived.
MP, do you know how you survived?
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:33 pm Just how many days of "let's yeet them tomorrow" can a mafioso survive?
The answer: all of them, if you are a marmot.
I stand by what I said. Survived night kills are fishy. You're clearly not a cybertron, which makes you less suspish. I also have been getting civvie vibes from you in general. But you still survived a night kill.MovingPictures07 wrote:MM: Seriously? I've been talking my head off and I even mentioned once earlier to JC that I felt a bit uncomfortable talking during the night when I typically do not, so yeah... Given the fact that I took no votes yesterday, I had a feeling I was going to get targeted with an NK.
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:33 pm Just how many days of "let's yeet them tomorrow" can a mafioso survive?
The answer: all of them, if you are a marmot.
Again, there are two baddie teams. I can't believe you are using the fact that you were targeted by one as proof that you're good. It seems to me like you think we're all stupid.MovingPictures07 wrote:LMAO I can't believe people actually think I'm bad after I just nearly got killed by the Cybermen. This is just astounding.
I haven't called anyone dumb or stupid. I'm saying you are behaving as though the rest of us are. You are excellent at twisting people's words. Truly excellent. If my fellow civvies can't recognise you for the bullshitter you are, we are in trouble.Keys, I would NEVER throw around the words "dumb" or "stupid" in a mafia game, or outside on this site anywhere. So let's not go there.
I feel like we are just going in circles here, me repeating myself over and over and over. See previous posts. I hope my fellow civvies aren't buying this bullplop from MP.That's fine, I understand you're still catching up. But you still never explained to me why it makes more sense to focus on me if my baddieness is conditional upon Dana's baddieness. How can her defense corroborate anything when you don't even know her alignment? Do I need to post a definition of the word to you? Don't talk down to me, please. Let's keep this civil.
Okay, totally fair. And will do.Metalmarsh89 wrote:I stand by what I said. Survived night kills are fishy. You're clearly not a cybertron, which makes you less suspish. I also have been getting civvie vibes from you in general. But you still survived a night kill.MovingPictures07 wrote:MM: Seriously? I've been talking my head off and I even mentioned once earlier to JC that I felt a bit uncomfortable talking during the night when I typically do not, so yeah... Given the fact that I took no votes yesterday, I had a feeling I was going to get targeted with an NK.
Linki: You're not on my lynch list.
Linki 2: Stop posting MP and let me post.
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:33 pm Just how many days of "let's yeet them tomorrow" can a mafioso survive?
The answer: all of them, if you are a marmot.
And what I meant to add is that they are all posting since it's a new day. That's how I see it. Better than a mad rush at the end of the day.Metalmarsh89 wrote:We also have 45 hours, so don't flip your shit yet. Just like how you didn't want to post much overnight, I'm sure others felt the same way. I did too as the night wore on.
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:33 pm Just how many days of "let's yeet them tomorrow" can a mafioso survive?
The answer: all of them, if you are a marmot.
Stop throwing around stupid and other words like it. I would NEVER insinuate this. Ever. And I am not doing it right now. I treat everyone on this site with the utmost respect, sir.keys56000000000 wrote:Again, there are two baddie teams. I can't believe you are using the fact that you were targeted by one as proof that you're good. It seems to me like you think we're all stupid.MovingPictures07 wrote:LMAO I can't believe people actually think I'm bad after I just nearly got killed by the Cybermen. This is just astounding.
I haven't called anyone dumb or stupid. I'm saying you are behaving as though the rest of us are. You are excellent at twisting people's words. Truly excellent. If my fellow civvies can't recognise you for the bullshitter you are, we are in trouble.Keys, I would NEVER throw around the words "dumb" or "stupid" in a mafia game, or outside on this site anywhere. So let's not go there.
I feel like we are just going in circles here, me repeating myself over and over and over. See previous posts. I hope my fellow civvies aren't buying this bullplop from MP.That's fine, I understand you're still catching up. But you still never explained to me why it makes more sense to focus on me if my baddieness is conditional upon Dana's baddieness. How can her defense corroborate anything when you don't even know her alignment? Do I need to post a definition of the word to you? Don't talk down to me, please. Let's keep this civil.
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:33 pm Just how many days of "let's yeet them tomorrow" can a mafioso survive?
The answer: all of them, if you are a marmot.
Go ahead and laugh. I almost never make sig bets. But keys is seriously pushing a crap suspicion and I want everyone to see it.Metalmarsh89 wrote:Also I'd love some assistance on the Dalek Sex info I posted. I'm feeling good about this one.
Linki: Lol sig bets.
Ffs. I'm saying you are playing us for fools, for chumps. I'm saying you are underestimating our intelligence. I'm not saying you have literally insulted someone in this game.Stop throwing around stupid and other words like it. I would NEVER insinuate this. Ever. And I am not doing it right now. I treat everyone on this site with the utmost respect, sir.
I've never heard of anyone betting on the results of a lynch, but sure, I accept. It seems like you are throwing the kitchen sink at me in defense, hardly dissuading me from suspecting you.You want to sig bet then? If you're THAT confident I'm bad, how about if you get me lynched and I flip civvie, I have to determine your sig; if I'm bad, you determine mine. Deal? Because you're wrong.
You, actually.MovingPictures07 wrote:I am just absolutely astounded at this sudden push to get me lynched. My gut reaction says it's definitively baddie-driven, especially after I wasn't even close to being a contender for practically anyone yesterday. What the fuck changed?
MP, I'm not following keys here. I just am growing wary of an MP that doesn't seem to want to commit to anything, does not want to suspect anyone too strongly, and when questioned, says he is "astonished" that anyone would even think he is bad because one out of at least three baddie killers targeted him.MovingPictures07 wrote:Now I will understand if someone wants to peg me as The Master or Daleks (both untrue), but the very fact is we're dealing with concrete facts here: I survived an NK from one mafia team. How many other players are exonerated from one mafia team? Practically none. Are there ways for civvies to survive NKs? Yes. And yet keys especially acts like he has a guarantee that I'm bad and refuses to consider any other perspective. It's inexplicable to me.
MP-- I said that this is a source of internal conflict. I think you can surely see the source of my concern: that you seem to back off of suspicions as soon as they are no longer convenient.MovingPictures07 wrote: Dom: Seriously? I never even pointed fingers at anyone for that post nor named any actual suspects. Am I not allowed to joke? I just find it preposterous as fuck that I literally just almost DIED at the hands of a mafia team which completely exonerates me from being on that team, yet IMMEDIATELY people come out of the woodwork and start suspecting me hard. And seriously, inconvenient? Did I back off of JC? Have I backed off of Daisy? I've only given exact terms of how confident I feel in all of my suspicions' content. If you think that's "backing off", then so be it. I've been MORE than clear in stating how confidently I feel about someone being bad, and there's nothing reprehensible in reconsidering your suspicion if you feel it has been logically debunked.
Fair enough. Still seems a bit fishy to me that you just had this magical intuition that turned out to be correct. To be honest, I wouldn't have expected you to have been on the hit list last night, but I suppose you've been playing a lot longer than I have and can probably pick up on those things easier than I can.MovingPictures07 wrote:Given the fact that I took no votes yesterday, I had a feeling I was going to get targeted with an NK.
Made wrote:I may be new, but i got furry.
Made wrote:I may be new, but i got furry.
On Day 2 Roxy said goodbye/hello to new players and newly dead ones - juliets after being wrongly lynched, MR for dying the same night I did, she even found a second to say hi to Snowy - everyone except her dear old pal TH. Is it because she doesn't love me, or because she killed me?Roxy wrote:Bye JulietsYou are indeed the most awesomely nice person I have ever known.
Bye MR?
Yay Chris!
Snow Dog!!! I did not know you were playing! Missed ya!
I had also been thinking there was a missing t in "with", but I guess we'll have to wait for verification on that. "If tails" makes so much more sense than "If taken", so thanks for that! We did have a few more words filled in, so I'll complete those here too.Metalmarsh89 wrote: Also, I've made some progress on the Dalek Sec I believe.
Dalek Sec: The leader of the Cult of Skaro. You are responsible for leading experiments on how to evolve the Dalek race. *Secrets* If someone targets a member of your team wiTh a night action, you can ------t a -a----- ---------t -- t---. A coin is then tossed. If heads, the night action ---- --t---- a-- --- ---- a ---- a-a--. -- ta---, --t---- -a-----. -- t-- ---- -a--- --a-- -- t-- ------ ----, that --a--- ---- --t -- a--- t- -----t----- ta---t ---- t-a- -- a-- -a- (--t---- -- ----- --t--) --- t-- ---a----- -- t-- -a--. If tails, the night action -t--- ---- --t----, --t t---- a-- -- -t--- -----t-.
The capital T means there is no T previously given. I can't think of another word though.
Yeah, I still don't completely understand this. I made a post asking if people thought MP would be acting the way he was if he were bad. I wasn't going for a full blown defense there, but I do think he's probably civ, and I don't want to see another one lynched. If he is bad, and your suspicion of him is me defending him, why would you go after him first? It doesn't seem to make sense.MovingPictures07 wrote:But you still never explained to me why it makes more sense to focus on me if my baddieness is conditional upon Dana's baddieness.
I always try to see the good in people!Gotrees wrote:In your defense, Dana has been defending a lot of people this game. Maybe she just sees the good in people.
Okay guys can we be nice to each other? No one thinks anyone is stupid. Keys, the fact that he was targeted by a baddie team does not definitively mean he's good, but it does mean that he's statistically less likely to be bad, because that's 1/2 of the baddie teams that he's not on.keys56000000000 wrote:Again, there are two baddie teams. I can't believe you are using the fact that you were targeted by one as proof that you're good. It seems to me like you think we're all stupid.MovingPictures07 wrote:LMAO I can't believe people actually think I'm bad after I just nearly got killed by the Cybermen. This is just astounding.
Did we ever figure out if the planets did anything at all? I'm not sure why the Azure voters are suspicious. As far as I remember, BWT said he was okay with a yes/no answer from zeek on whether he had information on the poll or not, but I don't think zeek ever answered. From what I've gathered, zeek was just trying to get people to vote for what he thought was safest in the context of the show. I could totally be misremembering, though. I also agree with your second point that they were both civvie scapegoats.MovingPictures07 wrote:Daisy - ... Azure voter on N1, torn between believing whether the Epig push D2 was to save her or whether she and Epig were both convenient civvie scapegoats and whether I've been too hard on her
Made definitely did say he was going to vote for Epig on Day 1.MovingPictures07 wrote:Made - Definitely a new game approach... he said he was suspicious heavily of Epig "all game" but for all of his posts up until his D2 declaration of suspicion against Epig he never expressed that, and failed to vote D1 and failed to even say he would have voted for Epig D1, his suspects were all those getting high amounts of attention D1, now he has suddenly gone quiet
Nobody took Made up on that offer, but that seemed pretty genuine to me.Made wrote:what showed up on my phone the moment I walked into the stadium (sorry can't post imgur pictures as proper pictures in thread apparently)
For the little it's worth, I was going to vote epi. I have screen shots of the message I typed and intended to send if anyone would like to hear them, RIP Juliet.
Coming right up!Metalmarsh89 wrote:Also I'd love some assistance on the Dalek Sex info I posted. I'm feeling good about this one.
Yes, people defend people in mafia all the time, but it's not like her defense of MP was at all reasonable . What did she say again, something along the lines of asking if MP would play the way he was playing if he was bad? Essentially asking if someone would pretend to be a civvie if they were bad? The answer is obviously yes, and Dana must know that. So why did she post such a ridiculous defense of MP?Enrique wrote:Where is this MP thing coming from? Honestly, at this point, I don't see him being a baddie. And I really can't behind keys' idea that we must lynch MP because Dana made a post defending him. Seriously, what? People in mafia defend people that they think are innocent. We're baddie-hunting, not player-hunting.
It actually does not mean that he is statistically less likely to be bad. That is not how probability works. He cannot be on both baddie teams.dana wrote: Okay guys can we be nice to each other? No one thinks anyone is stupid. Keys, the fact that he was targeted by a baddie team does not definitively mean he's good, but it does mean that he's statistically less likely to be bad, because that's 1/2 of the baddie teams that he's not on.
But we don't know why there should've been a push for zeek's planet either. Though that is a really good point about last night's post.Enrique wrote:Dana, what's suspicious was the push for Azure when there should've been none. I'm also pretty sure zeek confirmed he had info. Also, if you read the current night post, last night's planet choice might be really important depending on who we lynch today.
I wasn't asking if someone would pretend to be a civvie if they were bad, because of course they would. What I was asking was why someone would act so un-civvie-like if they were actually bad. I thought MP's play style on day 0 was overly suspicious, and then I rethought it and figured that I felt it was unlikely that someone who was bad would bring so much attention to themselves. I asked the thread to see what other people's opinions were, not to make a "ridiculous defense" or say that MP was definitely not a baddie.keys56000000000 wrote:What did she say again, something along the lines of asking if MP would play the way he was playing if he was bad? Essentially asking if someone would pretend to be a civvie if they were bad? The answer is obviously yes, and Dana must know that. So why did she post such a ridiculous defense of MP?
Because it seemed nice and good and people vouched for it? All the Azure votes were randoms or throwaways. But it was very close to winning anyway.But we don't know why there should've been a push for zeek's planet either. Though that is a really good point about last night's post.
I mean, I didn't take stats yet, but it did seem that way to me. No, he can't be on both teams, but we don't know which team he's on if he is on a team. Now we know he's not on one of the teams. Though it's way too late at night to get into a math discussion when I have calc in the morning.keys56000000000 wrote:It actually does not mean that he is statistically less likely to be bad. That is not how probability works. He cannot be on both baddie teams.
And again, I wasn't saying anybody was literally calling anyone stupid, nor was I saying that anybody was stupid, but I'm sure everyone appreciates you coming to their rescue from me apparently being mean, insulting and disrespecting them.
Azure seemed nice and good too, I think. I missed that vote but I probably would have voted Azure because I like blue. Of course it was probably different in the moment. I can definitely see how, if zeek was pushing for that one planet (what was it called again?), and the baddies knew he wasn't on their team, they would probably not want to go with zeek because it might have not benefited them. Okay, I sort of understand the Azure suspicion now.Enrique wrote:Because it seemed nice and good and people vouched for it? All the Azure votes were randoms or throwaways. But it was very close to winning anyway.But we don't know why there should've been a push for zeek's planet either. Though that is a really good point about last night's post.
That one isn't as clear as I'd like.Dana wrote:Hi zeek did you know things about the planets in the context of this game?
Yes.Enrique wrote:hey zeek did you have info on night 1?