MacDougall wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:04 am
Here is another way to play.
10 v 3
8 v 3
6 v 3
4 v 3 limlo
Three mischops til f7.
Critically bad mischops are the players that the mafia will want to kill themselves. SPF, Arogame, Boquise, myself. Several of these players should be self resolved by f7. So you just shouldn't bother chopping this group and shouldn't even really bother even humouring it (even if one or several of us are wolves tbh). I think it's pro mafia to even tinfoil these four names honestly.
It should just be a combined effort primarily led by these four names to actually coordinate the chops because of that. Even if they are mafia it will be enticing to townside and bus.
If we're allowed to lead, and somehow get to f7 without any wolves dead, I'll retire from mafia (and it should also out some fools and give us the best chance of limlo anyway).
So @staypositivefriend @arogame123 @Boquise shall we get to work?
Obviously my strong preference today is to resolve Alison. If Alison flips town then I'd be 100% inclined to just kill whoever she leaves in her legacy.
I already know SPF doesn't subscribe to the idea of needing to resolve the day 1 wagons. Which bothers me a great deal especially when it's Alison of all people, someone I know SPF knows Alison can fool her. And I think I've made several compelling arguments for why Alison is a wolf. I don't think she is playing the game like town Alison really at all and hasn't been for most of it.
My feeling on each other slot:
arogame123 - I have had moments of tinfoil as I am prone to, but I don't have any interest in playing into it. Arogame has been largely a steadying influence on the game and I'd rather let them continue to do that. I don't really know exactly where their head is at though.
Porscha - I saw Boq and Arogame kind of coalesce on a townread here, I have a similar read for similar reasons. I think Porscha is out of her scumrange.
Boquise - Feels like the most sane person in the game every time they post. They come across like an adult who keeps checking on the kids and finding chaos every time.
Seanzie - There were some posts on day 1 that just felt townie. Seanzie has some seriously tilting takes but there is an overwhelming lack of TMI in their play. I just don't think Seanzie as a wolf plays this way (especially knowing I am town).
Creature - I really struggle to get past how Creature was handling the end of day. Pushing Falcon for their own reasons but continuously promoting the idea that I was alone in my Falcon push. Blaming me for it. Then coming out today and immediately putting me on the backfoot for chopping a town like chopping Falcon in a split is even AI for me to begin with. I just don't think his reads make any sense either.
Lilypetal - I feel weird about Lilypetal but I don't want to chop them. I don't really know how to articulate my feelings on Lilypetal and wouldn't mind fleshing out some feelings on this slot.
Lucy - Probably my strongest townread. I think Lucy has been exceedingly sensible throughout the entire game so far and has a fire to their play that I really vibe with.
Rondo/Sparkles - Sparkles was slanky wolfy. Rondo has been actively scummy with no remorse. That this slot is not being tunneled by the wolves is tripping me out even harder. I have no idea why this slot isn't more of a topic of conversation. Especially from someone like Alison who by their own mafia beliefs should be probably doming Rondo by now.
Nanook - I... wouldn't be surprised if Nanook was mafia or town. At times my read has fluctuated from quite strong town, back to null. He's not really gone over the null line into lean wolf territory for me yet though. Probably another Nanook late game dies for rand reasons and flips town game. I guess having that thought alone makes me want to townread him.
Neon - I wanna say they are likely to be town here because they are kind of more pure than I remember their wolfgame being but they aren't exactly an incompetent wolf. We have swept a town before as wolf teammates. Probably need more flips to really get an idea of what's going on here. Potential late game miselim.
SPF - I am following my usual pattern of feeling like SPF is lock town, tinfoiling them, massively questioning their reads... I am rather inclined to break my pattern here and sheep them somewhat but... I worry about that backfiring. SPF's day 2 has been quite tilting and I've vibed with very very little of what they've said though. But as I said, that's the pattern with me and SPF.
Town
Lucy
Arogame
Boq
Porscha
Seanzie
Lean Town
SPF
Nanook
Neon
Lilypetal
POE
Alison
Creature
Rondo
tbh, a chill did go through my spine when I read "So you just shouldn't bother chopping this group and shouldn't even really bother even humouring it (even if one or several of us are wolves tbh). I think it's pro mafia to even tinfoil these four names honestly." Made me ironically start to tinfoil you/spf/aro tbh
it would be a very bold move tbh
I agree with the exercise though and I'm okay with just auto assuming that you and spf are town, since I am already town reading Aro. If things go south you and maybe spf are power wolves and this post of yours only reveals your intention, so like. No need to streeeeeeeeeeeeess tbh.
So, assuming you and spf and Aro are town,
I have a starting town core of
Mac
Spf
Aro.
Let's add my own town reads:
Lucy - Lucy has, as far as i know, been the only player who town read me yesterday but started to get worried about my alignment today due to my inactivity and lack of solve. Considering that I was an easily pushed wagon yesterday, and Seanzie's tunnel, I thought I'd be pushed today too. Lucy being the only one means to me that wolves either a) has given up on getting me misyeeted, or b) was hoping that I would get pushed without them doing much.
Lucy's concern was directed to me and not the thread. I dont think thats how a wolf would try to rise a wagon against me. I think it is more rand>town to get worried about a town read's silence after surviving being pushed. I also think we live in a mix of world a and b, but that wolves have now decided that yeah, it will be pretty damn hard to get me misyeeted this game and are leaving it to the townies to do the dirty deeds if so.
Either way, Lucy is town.
Mac
Spf
Aro
Lucy
Porscha is playing in an archetypical way I have seen town play, never scum. The entitlement feels townie. The passive-aggressive remarks out of nowhere too. Because wolf!Porscha knows that she would be giving a town player a sudden burst of passive-aggression, and it is very rare ime that scum would do that. Or even think of it. Ime scum tries to match their emotions with what they are reacting to.
Mac
Spf
Aro
Lucy
Porscha
Neon is a town lean. I dont remember why, it was something from yesterday. I need to re-evaluate this. She was pushed early game but it died down.
Mac
Spf
Aro
Lucy
Porscha
Neon
Seanzie is playing in an extremely limited way. Scum is usually seen casting a wide net so if their preferred misyeet occurs, they are not left with zero reads. However scum CAN play like this and I have seen it happen. I am still leaning to Seanzie being town. Mostly because he is stubbornly informing everyone that he is indeed still in his scum range. It feels like it is coming from a pov where you are irritated that people are looking down on your scum game/clearing you too easily (thus underestimating you) and this is something an actual wolf WANTS town to do. Whereas a town player has a more holistic mindset where this reaction can stem from.
Mac
Spf
Aro
Lucy
Porscha
Neon
Seanzie
It is true that Lily's vote does not "make sense" as scum, especially if Alison is town too...
mm. I think, if Alison is a wolf, then Lily is town. If Alison is town, Lily could be a wolf who froze and didnt feel like committing. She has done some townie-sounding solving and it is noted that she has almost exactly the same town core as Mac is proposing (me, mac, spf).
Mac
Spf
Aro
Lucy
Porscha
Neon
Seanzie
Lily
Creature does sound similar to the other games I have played with him recently, but I have not read what transpired today so I will wait with that until I have read it. I have also not read what lead to the Falcon misyeet, which I will, because it is atrocious.
Mac
Spf
Aro
Lucy
Porscha
Neon
Seanzie
Lily
Creature
I had a gut read on Nanook town. Thats all. Nothing else really.
Alison is pushing lhf. I dont know yet why she was the second wagon. One thing that pauses me here is the night kill on Jack. It is very not Alison (who doesnt seem to use levels when she is playing). Here I need some discussion before I can commit.
I have only read Rondo's opener which was urgh. Miss Sparkles was sorta scummy tbh
Mac
Spf
Aro
Lucy
Porscha
Neon
Seanzie
Lily
Creature
Nanook
Alison
Rondo
So my poe is almost identical to Mac.
Here are some concerns on Mac and Spf for the funs
Spf reacted to my Seanzie shade with a vote on Seanzie. Idk maybe a confidence but maybe she wanted to try start a wagon. Either way, it means to me that Alison and Spf are unpaired.
Mac is being very nice to me in this game. Mostly when we interact in mafia, he can be quite loud about the stuff I do. I am surprised he did not push me harder, I am suprised by the kind words and the inclusion of me in the town core-no-tinfoil. I have yet to read his spat with Alison.
Okay I will try to not tinfoil more. Still I find it good for me to just write it down and stuff tbh