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Mafia Misplay Mafia
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
no sabi, I was nixon and I was town there too. lolSabiplz wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 5:40 pmWAIT IT WAS THE SC2 PRESIDENTS ANON GAMEPorscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 5:39 pmah young justice we were both town. I haven't randed maf on MU yetSabiplz wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 5:21 pmIt's been two games in a row of mostly controlling my emotions.Porscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 5:18 pmah haha I think the one game on MU we played *you* were wolf ;pSabiplz wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 5:13 pmWasn't the mu game you were wolf, no?
Compared to asmr it hasn't been on my radar
Is this why I'm alive?
compared to asmr, you haven't been imploding in ate most of the game so I haven't felt the need to give you extra affirmation in your play.
Plz give me affirmationz
No I'm talking the you G justice game.
You weren't in mountainous ita. Only Esooa and lily were
U WERE WOLF
I CAUGHT YOU D1
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
HK literally is the one in the position to not want Mac to die because Mac was pushing on him to bus him and Mac dying is awful in that scenario as literally I've said, Achro said day 2, nanook was saying all game, and on top of that Neon's play around it was way more believable and emotion after, and even despite that, call it a wash and HK has been turbo wolfy all game
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
My memory sucks assPorscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 5:48 pmno sabi, I was nixon and I was town there too. lolSabiplz wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 5:40 pmWAIT IT WAS THE SC2 PRESIDENTS ANON GAMEPorscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 5:39 pmah young justice we were both town. I haven't randed maf on MU yetSabiplz wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 5:21 pmIt's been two games in a row of mostly controlling my emotions.Porscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 5:18 pmah haha I think the one game on MU we played *you* were wolf ;p
compared to asmr, you haven't been imploding in ate most of the game so I haven't felt the need to give you extra affirmation in your play.
Plz give me affirmationz
No I'm talking the you G justice game.
You weren't in mountainous ita. Only Esooa and lily were
U WERE WOLF
I CAUGHT YOU D1
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
Noticed I was kicked out of the town core Coolio
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
Sorry, I should've been clearer. Assume HK and Mac are both wolves. One is going to die, the other is trying to go deeper and tbh just play in the exact way hk has with "you can't kill me anymore!" and it makes sense to me at least. But why would the last wolf join in? Wolves probably went fuck we have to go REALLY deep. Neon defending mac and putting herself in the limelight doesn't really fit that image. I mean she's town for a million other reasons anyway
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
Noticed I was kicked out of the town core Coolio
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
@Sabiplz
Can you post your solve?
Can you post your solve?
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
@Porscha What is your solve as well
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
Yeah idk i dont see how we lose this game idt neon or esooa are wolves
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
Like if someone wants to show receipts that out neon then go for it but just saying things doesn't change my mind personally
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
@Porscha
Would you consider yourself out of your wolfrange? I see other ppl saying it but I want your opinion
Would you consider yourself out of your wolfrange? I see other ppl saying it but I want your opinion
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
OK I'm home and my friends are here so I'm limited atn
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
lily is your solve then Sabi/TSP after I flip town or are you planning on re-evaluating?
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
hollowkatt wrote: ↑Mon Sep 19, 2022 12:13 am NONE OF THIS IS SUPPORTED BY ANYTHING I LOOKED FOR BECAUSE I LOOKED FOR NOTHING
current votes:
Santy: neon, porscha, sabi, lily
HK: santy, esooa, risiing
risiinq: HK
does it make MORE sense if two wolves are on me saying "hk is wolf and even if not he has to die" or does it make LESS sense?
I think the longer the game goes the more I can't be a wolf, if I don't go over here today and Santy is town I expect the dialog tomorrow to be "HK was protected, kill him then kill on the santy wagon" but like I've shown today that I'm not someone worth protecting. I haven't participated, haven't solved, haven't done much of anything at all.
Partially b/c I'm lazy and bad, partially because I scored a PS5, and partially because it stops the narrative of "HK was protected" because again, haven't done shit to protect, there's no reason. The wolf team, if I am a wolf, should have been busing me from D2 onward, even D1 after my outburst.
which would indicate to me that either Santy is a hit OR Santy is the "protect risiinq" wagon.
Now if Santy is NOT a hit I think it's more likely that risiinq IS a hit AND ALSO that there's a wolf on the Santy wagon, of which Sabi makes the least sense (watch it be sabi), then Porscha, then probs a tossup between neon/lily, neither of which I really have a read on.
If Santy IS a hit I'm torn. On the one hand having a wolf there makes sense, and it might be Neon then. But having a wolf be off wagon is also fine here as the "off wagon" is the policy chop that's been hanging on for days now.
UGH. I don't think you can say anything concrete if Santy is a hit. I think you can if Santy isn't a hit.
If Santy is a hit I do not think there are two wolves on my wagon. Which I said above.
game is hard, mafia is dumb, etc etc
I was gonna find more reasons from quotes about wolfy things HK has done but there's so much bullshit I'm just gonna quote these two and talk about some of ithollowkatt wrote: ↑Wed Sep 21, 2022 1:07 am why you don't shut down sabi if they are town:
1. Nobody is listening to Sabi. They file Sabi away into a "town but" box and forget about them until it's needed to pull them out of it.
Sabi has the most posts of anyone in the thread and honestly the least amount of pull outside of me and TSP. Nobody is really following Sabis pushes, unless they are consensus, and nobody for sure is following their defenses. See Jack going over and me leading today.
2. Sabi is highly likely wrong on where the wolf team is. If Sabi were right about any of the wolf team, or were not protecting the wolf team in some way, Sabi would be dead. Instead Sabi is, like I said in point 1, mostly ineffectual, but also pointint in the wrong directions. Sabi also does not appear to be doing wholescale reevaulations of the game and their view on it, until today starts. The wolf team can play the odds Sabi doesn't re-evaluate and instead falls deeper into the "spam things and despair" gameplay they're exhibiting the last two days
3. Sabi and HK form an Alignment Confirmation duo. Inverse of the Difference Check, an Alignment Confirmation is functionally this: When HK flips town Sabi is functionally confirmed town. I've hard town read Sabi for days, and Sabi has been in the "HK is town" corner for days as well. If Sabi is a wolf today is the day Sabi needs to turn the corner, and Sabi needs to start doing it sooner rather than later, so that the HK chop is cemented AND so that Sabis pivot into HK wolfing isn't called into question in the coming max 2 game days.
Likewise, Sabi flipping town functionally confirms HK as town for the same reason. You can't simultaneously argue "HK kills his wolf readers" and also "HK kills his town readers" in the same breath, or even the same game day. It's a juxtaposition that can't be reasonably held.
A ton of HK's solving posts this game have been meandering longer posts with little conclusion and only the veneer of solving, mostly for self defense. Read the top post and tell me what comes of it. The first half is just him giving reasons why he can't be a wolf, none of which hold up, and the second half is words masquerading as thoughts that does nothing productive in the end. How many times has HK given a definitive wolf read? 90% of the time it's been these things like "I dunno" or just a random PoE put together. The only times he's given an actual wolf read of someone it's not held up at all imo and has mostly been things like nit-picking Risiinq when she was killable, Santy when he was, or Neon earlier and camping it out without much thought. Neon today specifically I don't think someone can believe like HK has considering everything she's posted this game.
The second post shows more of this, how it's mostly just a veneer and self defense. HK says Sabi is wrong on the wolf team so hasn't died, but never cares to extrapolate on actual wolf reads from this. I know this is something he's done a ton this game and I was gonna find more examples but I just can't be bothered to read through his ISO to do that. The first quote is another one, at least. Then the 3rd point which is sorta valid from the perspective that him town makes Sabi more town, in that she's been defending him, but the inverse is literally just not true like how he tries to make it out to be. Sabi correctly town reading HK isn't a reason she doesn't die, that's a reason for her TO die and is directly related to point 2 in his own post (if she was correct, she would be killed), but he's not trying to put these things together, he's writing all his solving so he can get people off his back. Almost everything he's written this game has felt like that imo
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
if u flip w i probably kill porscha tomorrowhollowkatt wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:04 pm lily is your solve then Sabi/TSP after I flip town or are you planning on re-evaluating?
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
Oh, and, another thing, when I poke him on this earlier, I don't think his PoE can make sense, give actual wolves, like that he should be thinking more about TSP or caring more about me, he just doesn't. He doesn't try to solve or think about things or wolf read people that aren't convenient for him, he just uncaringly threw his vote away. I really can't see HK caring about solving at all this game
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
Porscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 15, 2022 4:52 pm btw if you guys are confused about the toxic gamestate, i'm almost certain it's just a jack wolf world and we're all sitting here twiddling our thumbs getting pissy with one another because the reality is that today really just needed a short day to hammer obvious jack wolf. all mafia players devolve into lunatic degeneracy when they are left to their own devices for too long (see: asmr and dizzy win)
Porscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 15, 2022 4:28 pmsufficiently is a bit strong imoNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Thu Sep 15, 2022 2:06 pmI think I've been sufficiently townieSabiplz wrote: ↑Thu Sep 15, 2022 1:53 pmMost of your content is just tunneling hk.NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Thu Sep 15, 2022 1:41 pmHow have I not town toldJackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Thu Sep 15, 2022 1:15 pmWhy is it towny?
You haven't really tried to solve other slots with much effort.
Porscha wrote: ↑Tue Sep 13, 2022 2:05 pmWrong about whatLilypetal wrote: ↑Tue Sep 13, 2022 1:57 pmcan u show me examples? i dont see what you think is wolfy abt me and i townread you pretty strongly so im beginning to think im wrongPorscha wrote: ↑Tue Sep 13, 2022 1:55 pmYeah I'm sure you dont agree. You probably wouldnt even if I showed examplesEsooa wrote: ↑Tue Sep 13, 2022 6:04 amI really haven't seen anything from you explaining what you don't like from Lily other than "a few posts sound icky" which I mean, I don't agree, so likePorscha wrote: ↑Tue Sep 13, 2022 4:51 am honestly a good portion of why I am leaving lily and esooa in my poe is exactly because of how they have interacted with each other, which is strong TR's for a long time. I am more suspicious because I don't particularly trust lily. it's possible it is not w/w, solid chance it's v/w w/v, but I don't think it's v/v.![]()
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
Also another thing about Mac/HK is like, HK never really picked up that much traction. Achro pointed out from Mac's PoV really good reasons to town read HK and it very clearly made Mac falter a bit, I can even quote these if people don't remember. It was about the thing Porscha quoted from me earlier in her ISO post. But once that was pointed out, Mac doesn't switch, he did temporarily, but then was back to HK. So like Porscha asked earlier, what is the point of this? If Mac was trying to push over a town, like he would be if HK was town, he has way way better options that he steers off of to push HK. It's not natural and imo it doesn't make sense as Mac/HK w/v
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
I guess same as before. most likely esooa/lily/tsp/hk
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
wow it's almost like I made 700 word posts on this exact thing in advance nobody could be assed to read. nice. very poggersLilypetal wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:06 pmif u flip w i probably kill porscha tomorrowhollowkatt wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:04 pm lily is your solve then Sabi/TSP after I flip town or are you planning on re-evaluating?
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
I have explicitly stated that my read is if hk does flip wolf, his teammate is bussing or has bussed or is willing to bus. I'm most clearly, out of everyone here except tsp who also isn't voting hk and said that hk might not be wolf, the option that sticks out like a sore thumb when hk flips wolf. I do not fear this world because i do not have have tmi. I am unsure of hk's alignment. if I had tmi, I am bussing. I'm not leaving myself out to dry looking like the one idiot who hard defended hk on multiple occasions just for him to flip wolf because now the entire point of getting hk deep has gone out the window when he flips and I immediately flip next day. the solve of me being wolf after hk flip is level 1 and I'd like you to read this argument this time instead of skipping it because despite nothing happening most of the day, you couldn't be assed to read my long interaction with neon where I went through all of this already.Porscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:11 pmwow it's almost like I made 700 word posts on this exact thing in advance nobody could be assed to read. nice. very poggersLilypetal wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:06 pmif u flip w i probably kill porscha tomorrowhollowkatt wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:04 pm lily is your solve then Sabi/TSP after I flip town or are you planning on re-evaluating?
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
yeah that's a good pointEsooa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:10 pm Also another thing about Mac/HK is like, HK never really picked up that much traction. Achro pointed out from Mac's PoV really good reasons to town read HK and it very clearly made Mac falter a bit, I can even quote these if people don't remember. It was about the thing Porscha quoted from me earlier in her ISO post. But once that was pointed out, Mac doesn't switch, he did temporarily, but then was back to HK. So like Porscha asked earlier, what is the point of this? If Mac was trying to push over a town, like he would be if HK was town, he has way way better options that he steers off of to push HK. It's not natural and imo it doesn't make sense as Mac/HK w/v
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
probably. i've wolfed very little
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
oh I just saw this for some reasonPorscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 5:29 pmyes, I think it's possible, however, I think the read is not formed particularly well because I remember so little from earlier in the game. I can maybe see a world where neon/hk are wolves and neon insisted on pushing back on my read that I strongly believe that if hk is wolf, his partner has been bussing or willing to bus at any given moment because otherwise they would stick out like a sore thumb. she could argue against this if it were true because it would mean it leaves her in my poe and wants to prove (perhaps lead into a poe) that someone like me, sabi, and tsp who have been off hk wagon today could still be his wolf partners.
This is my first game with neon - she was vehemently against my push on her regarding her change in wim when it came to yesterday where we lynched santy and I dropped it, because ultimately (especially for me with no meta), the subject of wim change is ... not necessarily productive in providing a read. it was only giving me ate to work with.
I worry that neon can flip a switch and go from floating in thread with relatively light presence to creating very convincing posts that include world building around something that... could be true. It's a large part in reason why I went onto santy yesterday, and really her only response to the flip was, "well I was wrong. so what" and when the wim of those posts is questioned, it's "well wim is AI for me but the subject of wim is NAI anyway so this is pointless."
her tone in the conversation her and I had yesterday was relatively towny. she ended with the, "well I didn't *really* think you're wolf but I have to keep my options open and I think this helped me see that you are more likely town. if you're town, I really need you here." It's something a good wolf could fake to make me feel comradery with her while still moving the needle on my slot (I think she had little choice but to do this because I was grilling her so hard on every little fucking thing and to try and triple down on a lot of it as me putting it out as manipulation / wolf tactics would be extremely hard for anyone to do and it would put a lot more attention on her slot b/c the reality is that I *am* strongly TR'd) while still... maybe leaving a little room for a lylo situation where she walks the read back on me to possible wolf.
I guess I can see the flipping a switch thing but to me that's way more easily explained by a towny motivated by thinking they have something than a wolf deciding to do that and most of what she's been saying lines up well with that too internally imo. I don't really think a wolf sees the payoff of that as worthwhile. It's a lot of effort and if she's intending to bus HK like she would be if she is today then it's a weird move to do that the day before then kill HK today like you're saying
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
i have read every post in this game that doesn't mean i remember them allPorscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:13 pmI have explicitly stated that my read is if hk does flip wolf, his teammate is bussing or has bussed or is willing to bus. I'm most clearly, out of everyone here except tsp who also isn't voting hk and said that hk might not be wolf, the option that sticks out like a sore thumb when hk flips wolf. I do not fear this world because i do not have have tmi. I am unsure of hk's alignment. if I had tmi, I am bussing. I'm not leaving myself out to dry looking like the one idiot who hard defended hk on multiple occasions just for him to flip wolf because now the entire point of getting hk deep has gone out the window when he flips and I immediately flip next day. the solve of me being wolf after hk flip is level 1 and I'd like you to read this argument this time instead of skipping it because despite nothing happening most of the day, you couldn't be assed to read my long interaction with neon where I went through all of this already.Porscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:11 pmwow it's almost like I made 700 word posts on this exact thing in advance nobody could be assed to read. nice. very poggersLilypetal wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:06 pmif u flip w i probably kill porscha tomorrowhollowkatt wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:04 pm lily is your solve then Sabi/TSP after I flip town or are you planning on re-evaluating?
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
like besides third wolf partner getting mod killed day 1 I was caught on a perspective slip day 1 trying to make a stupid read. if I've made it this far with essays of posting and nobody has caught any slips, then it leads me to believe that if i'm wolf this game, I sucked ass last time I wolfed and I have quickly and suddenly changed into a god. doubt it's that scenario
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
well I hope this helps you rememberLilypetal wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:16 pmi have read every post in this game that doesn't mean i remember them allPorscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:13 pmI have explicitly stated that my read is if hk does flip wolf, his teammate is bussing or has bussed or is willing to bus. I'm most clearly, out of everyone here except tsp who also isn't voting hk and said that hk might not be wolf, the option that sticks out like a sore thumb when hk flips wolf. I do not fear this world because i do not have have tmi. I am unsure of hk's alignment. if I had tmi, I am bussing. I'm not leaving myself out to dry looking like the one idiot who hard defended hk on multiple occasions just for him to flip wolf because now the entire point of getting hk deep has gone out the window when he flips and I immediately flip next day. the solve of me being wolf after hk flip is level 1 and I'd like you to read this argument this time instead of skipping it because despite nothing happening most of the day, you couldn't be assed to read my long interaction with neon where I went through all of this already.Porscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:11 pmwow it's almost like I made 700 word posts on this exact thing in advance nobody could be assed to read. nice. very poggersLilypetal wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:06 pmif u flip w i probably kill porscha tomorrowhollowkatt wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:04 pm lily is your solve then Sabi/TSP after I flip town or are you planning on re-evaluating?
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
okay ya but also this applies like doubly to TSP who has literally nothing going for him honestly lmao. Like defending HK with two posts then disappearing I think he knows is just asking to die. Also I kinda thought TSP earlier when he asked me specifically to think about HK was townyPorscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:13 pmI have explicitly stated that my read is if hk does flip wolf, his teammate is bussing or has bussed or is willing to bus. I'm most clearly, out of everyone here except tsp who also isn't voting hk and said that hk might not be wolf, the option that sticks out like a sore thumb when hk flips wolf. I do not fear this world because i do not have have tmi. I am unsure of hk's alignment. if I had tmi, I am bussing. I'm not leaving myself out to dry looking like the one idiot who hard defended hk on multiple occasions just for him to flip wolf because now the entire point of getting hk deep has gone out the window when he flips and I immediately flip next day. the solve of me being wolf after hk flip is level 1 and I'd like you to read this argument this time instead of skipping it because despite nothing happening most of the day, you couldn't be assed to read my long interaction with neon where I went through all of this already.Porscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:11 pmwow it's almost like I made 700 word posts on this exact thing in advance nobody could be assed to read. nice. very poggersLilypetal wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:06 pmif u flip w i probably kill porscha tomorrowhollowkatt wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:04 pm lily is your solve then Sabi/TSP after I flip town or are you planning on re-evaluating?
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
why is getting rid of santy the day before flipping her theoretical wolf partner who will inevitably be flipped before lylo weird? ftr I do think it's more likely that santy argument came from town as well.Esooa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:15 pmoh I just saw this for some reasonPorscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 5:29 pmyes, I think it's possible, however, I think the read is not formed particularly well because I remember so little from earlier in the game. I can maybe see a world where neon/hk are wolves and neon insisted on pushing back on my read that I strongly believe that if hk is wolf, his partner has been bussing or willing to bus at any given moment because otherwise they would stick out like a sore thumb. she could argue against this if it were true because it would mean it leaves her in my poe and wants to prove (perhaps lead into a poe) that someone like me, sabi, and tsp who have been off hk wagon today could still be his wolf partners.
This is my first game with neon - she was vehemently against my push on her regarding her change in wim when it came to yesterday where we lynched santy and I dropped it, because ultimately (especially for me with no meta), the subject of wim change is ... not necessarily productive in providing a read. it was only giving me ate to work with.
I worry that neon can flip a switch and go from floating in thread with relatively light presence to creating very convincing posts that include world building around something that... could be true. It's a large part in reason why I went onto santy yesterday, and really her only response to the flip was, "well I was wrong. so what" and when the wim of those posts is questioned, it's "well wim is AI for me but the subject of wim is NAI anyway so this is pointless."
her tone in the conversation her and I had yesterday was relatively towny. she ended with the, "well I didn't *really* think you're wolf but I have to keep my options open and I think this helped me see that you are more likely town. if you're town, I really need you here." It's something a good wolf could fake to make me feel comradery with her while still moving the needle on my slot (I think she had little choice but to do this because I was grilling her so hard on every little fucking thing and to try and triple down on a lot of it as me putting it out as manipulation / wolf tactics would be extremely hard for anyone to do and it would put a lot more attention on her slot b/c the reality is that I *am* strongly TR'd) while still... maybe leaving a little room for a lylo situation where she walks the read back on me to possible wolf.
I guess I can see the flipping a switch thing but to me that's way more easily explained by a towny motivated by thinking they have something than a wolf deciding to do that and most of what she's been saying lines up well with that too internally imo. I don't really think a wolf sees the payoff of that as worthwhile. It's a lot of effort and if she's intending to bus HK like she would be if she is today then it's a weird move to do that the day before then kill HK today like you're saying
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
right. I don't know if tsp bothers making this play if he is informed. but he subbed into helluva slot and if i were him i'd read like an hour's worth of stuff and give baby reads like he has as wellEsooa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:17 pmokay ya but also this applies like doubly to TSP who has literally nothing going for him honestly lmao. Like defending HK with two posts then disappearing I think he knows is just asking to die. Also I kinda thought TSP earlier when he asked me specifically to think about HK was townyPorscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:13 pmI have explicitly stated that my read is if hk does flip wolf, his teammate is bussing or has bussed or is willing to bus. I'm most clearly, out of everyone here except tsp who also isn't voting hk and said that hk might not be wolf, the option that sticks out like a sore thumb when hk flips wolf. I do not fear this world because i do not have have tmi. I am unsure of hk's alignment. if I had tmi, I am bussing. I'm not leaving myself out to dry looking like the one idiot who hard defended hk on multiple occasions just for him to flip wolf because now the entire point of getting hk deep has gone out the window when he flips and I immediately flip next day. the solve of me being wolf after hk flip is level 1 and I'd like you to read this argument this time instead of skipping it because despite nothing happening most of the day, you couldn't be assed to read my long interaction with neon where I went through all of this already.Porscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:11 pmwow it's almost like I made 700 word posts on this exact thing in advance nobody could be assed to read. nice. very poggersLilypetal wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:06 pmif u flip w i probably kill porscha tomorrowhollowkatt wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:04 pm lily is your solve then Sabi/TSP after I flip town or are you planning on re-evaluating?
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
Because if you're willing to bus like that, the thing you think of before bussing isn't "I'm going to possibly remove any credit I can get for this by forcing a town to die before my partner does" I'd figurePorscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:18 pmwhy is getting rid of santy the day before flipping her theoretical wolf partner who will inevitably be flipped before lylo weird? ftr I do think it's more likely that santy argument came from town as well.Esooa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:15 pmoh I just saw this for some reasonPorscha wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 5:29 pmyes, I think it's possible, however, I think the read is not formed particularly well because I remember so little from earlier in the game. I can maybe see a world where neon/hk are wolves and neon insisted on pushing back on my read that I strongly believe that if hk is wolf, his partner has been bussing or willing to bus at any given moment because otherwise they would stick out like a sore thumb. she could argue against this if it were true because it would mean it leaves her in my poe and wants to prove (perhaps lead into a poe) that someone like me, sabi, and tsp who have been off hk wagon today could still be his wolf partners.
This is my first game with neon - she was vehemently against my push on her regarding her change in wim when it came to yesterday where we lynched santy and I dropped it, because ultimately (especially for me with no meta), the subject of wim change is ... not necessarily productive in providing a read. it was only giving me ate to work with.
I worry that neon can flip a switch and go from floating in thread with relatively light presence to creating very convincing posts that include world building around something that... could be true. It's a large part in reason why I went onto santy yesterday, and really her only response to the flip was, "well I was wrong. so what" and when the wim of those posts is questioned, it's "well wim is AI for me but the subject of wim is NAI anyway so this is pointless."
her tone in the conversation her and I had yesterday was relatively towny. she ended with the, "well I didn't *really* think you're wolf but I have to keep my options open and I think this helped me see that you are more likely town. if you're town, I really need you here." It's something a good wolf could fake to make me feel comradery with her while still moving the needle on my slot (I think she had little choice but to do this because I was grilling her so hard on every little fucking thing and to try and triple down on a lot of it as me putting it out as manipulation / wolf tactics would be extremely hard for anyone to do and it would put a lot more attention on her slot b/c the reality is that I *am* strongly TR'd) while still... maybe leaving a little room for a lylo situation where she walks the read back on me to possible wolf.
I guess I can see the flipping a switch thing but to me that's way more easily explained by a towny motivated by thinking they have something than a wolf deciding to do that and most of what she's been saying lines up well with that too internally imo. I don't really think a wolf sees the payoff of that as worthwhile. It's a lot of effort and if she's intending to bus HK like she would be if she is today then it's a weird move to do that the day before then kill HK today like you're saying
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
I cannot wait for you to go "oops I was wrong"Esooa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:06 pmhollowkatt wrote: ↑Mon Sep 19, 2022 12:13 am NONE OF THIS IS SUPPORTED BY ANYTHING I LOOKED FOR BECAUSE I LOOKED FOR NOTHING
current votes:
Santy: neon, porscha, sabi, lily
HK: santy, esooa, risiing
risiinq: HK
does it make MORE sense if two wolves are on me saying "hk is wolf and even if not he has to die" or does it make LESS sense?
I think the longer the game goes the more I can't be a wolf, if I don't go over here today and Santy is town I expect the dialog tomorrow to be "HK was protected, kill him then kill on the santy wagon" but like I've shown today that I'm not someone worth protecting. I haven't participated, haven't solved, haven't done much of anything at all.
Partially b/c I'm lazy and bad, partially because I scored a PS5, and partially because it stops the narrative of "HK was protected" because again, haven't done shit to protect, there's no reason. The wolf team, if I am a wolf, should have been busing me from D2 onward, even D1 after my outburst.
which would indicate to me that either Santy is a hit OR Santy is the "protect risiinq" wagon.
Now if Santy is NOT a hit I think it's more likely that risiinq IS a hit AND ALSO that there's a wolf on the Santy wagon, of which Sabi makes the least sense (watch it be sabi), then Porscha, then probs a tossup between neon/lily, neither of which I really have a read on.
If Santy IS a hit I'm torn. On the one hand having a wolf there makes sense, and it might be Neon then. But having a wolf be off wagon is also fine here as the "off wagon" is the policy chop that's been hanging on for days now.
UGH. I don't think you can say anything concrete if Santy is a hit. I think you can if Santy isn't a hit.
If Santy is a hit I do not think there are two wolves on my wagon. Which I said above.
game is hard, mafia is dumb, etc etcI was gonna find more reasons from quotes about wolfy things HK has done but there's so much bullshit I'm just gonna quote these two and talk about some of ithollowkatt wrote: ↑Wed Sep 21, 2022 1:07 am why you don't shut down sabi if they are town:
1. Nobody is listening to Sabi. They file Sabi away into a "town but" box and forget about them until it's needed to pull them out of it.
Sabi has the most posts of anyone in the thread and honestly the least amount of pull outside of me and TSP. Nobody is really following Sabis pushes, unless they are consensus, and nobody for sure is following their defenses. See Jack going over and me leading today.
2. Sabi is highly likely wrong on where the wolf team is. If Sabi were right about any of the wolf team, or were not protecting the wolf team in some way, Sabi would be dead. Instead Sabi is, like I said in point 1, mostly ineffectual, but also pointint in the wrong directions. Sabi also does not appear to be doing wholescale reevaulations of the game and their view on it, until today starts. The wolf team can play the odds Sabi doesn't re-evaluate and instead falls deeper into the "spam things and despair" gameplay they're exhibiting the last two days
3. Sabi and HK form an Alignment Confirmation duo. Inverse of the Difference Check, an Alignment Confirmation is functionally this: When HK flips town Sabi is functionally confirmed town. I've hard town read Sabi for days, and Sabi has been in the "HK is town" corner for days as well. If Sabi is a wolf today is the day Sabi needs to turn the corner, and Sabi needs to start doing it sooner rather than later, so that the HK chop is cemented AND so that Sabis pivot into HK wolfing isn't called into question in the coming max 2 game days.
Likewise, Sabi flipping town functionally confirms HK as town for the same reason. You can't simultaneously argue "HK kills his wolf readers" and also "HK kills his town readers" in the same breath, or even the same game day. It's a juxtaposition that can't be reasonably held.
A ton of HK's solving posts this game have been meandering longer posts with little conclusion and only the veneer of solving, mostly for self defense. Read the top post and tell me what comes of it. The first half is just him giving reasons why he can't be a wolf, none of which hold up, and the second half is words masquerading as thoughts that does nothing productive in the end. How many times has HK given a definitive wolf read? 90% of the time it's been these things like "I dunno" or just a random PoE put together. The only times he's given an actual wolf read of someone it's not held up at all imo and has mostly been things like nit-picking Risiinq when she was killable, Santy when he was, or Neon earlier and camping it out without much thought. Neon today specifically I don't think someone can believe like HK has considering everything she's posted this game.
The second post shows more of this, how it's mostly just a veneer and self defense. HK says Sabi is wrong on the wolf team so hasn't died, but never cares to extrapolate on actual wolf reads from this. I know this is something he's done a ton this game and I was gonna find more examples but I just can't be bothered to read through his ISO to do that. The first quote is another one, at least. Then the 3rd point which is sorta valid from the perspective that him town makes Sabi more town, in that she's been defending him, but the inverse is literally just not true like how he tries to make it out to be. Sabi correctly town reading HK isn't a reason she doesn't die, that's a reason for her TO die and is directly related to point 2 in his own post (if she was correct, she would be killed), but he's not trying to put these things together, he's writing all his solving so he can get people off his back. Almost everything he's written this game has felt like that imo
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
yeah I think this scenario is the strongest reason I have to SR hkEsooa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 5:49 pmHK literally is the one in the position to not want Mac to die because Mac was pushing on him to bus him and Mac dying is awful in that scenario as literally I've said, Achro said day 2, nanook was saying all game, and on top of that Neon's play around it was way more believable and emotion after, and even despite that, call it a wash and HK has been turbo wolfy all game
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
this is hard lol i see what porscha means but going through her iso she like wolfsides pretty much this entire game
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
i am not free of sin either but it's like constant
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
if you can quote it that'd be helpful cause I can't rly be bothered to ISO so much rn
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
Also posts like this don't rly help it lol. You keep trying to insinuate if I was town I'd be doing better here like you said earlier, but then when I push you more you have no reaction to it as far as it being wolfy, and you've never cared to highlight it to the thread. Where is your care about finding wolves? I don't see how you can care to write up 4 paragraph meandering posts but not point out things as they are right in front of youhollowkatt wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:21 pmI cannot wait for you to go "oops I was wrong"Esooa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:06 pmhollowkatt wrote: ↑Mon Sep 19, 2022 12:13 am NONE OF THIS IS SUPPORTED BY ANYTHING I LOOKED FOR BECAUSE I LOOKED FOR NOTHING
current votes:
Santy: neon, porscha, sabi, lily
HK: santy, esooa, risiing
risiinq: HK
does it make MORE sense if two wolves are on me saying "hk is wolf and even if not he has to die" or does it make LESS sense?
I think the longer the game goes the more I can't be a wolf, if I don't go over here today and Santy is town I expect the dialog tomorrow to be "HK was protected, kill him then kill on the santy wagon" but like I've shown today that I'm not someone worth protecting. I haven't participated, haven't solved, haven't done much of anything at all.
Partially b/c I'm lazy and bad, partially because I scored a PS5, and partially because it stops the narrative of "HK was protected" because again, haven't done shit to protect, there's no reason. The wolf team, if I am a wolf, should have been busing me from D2 onward, even D1 after my outburst.
which would indicate to me that either Santy is a hit OR Santy is the "protect risiinq" wagon.
Now if Santy is NOT a hit I think it's more likely that risiinq IS a hit AND ALSO that there's a wolf on the Santy wagon, of which Sabi makes the least sense (watch it be sabi), then Porscha, then probs a tossup between neon/lily, neither of which I really have a read on.
If Santy IS a hit I'm torn. On the one hand having a wolf there makes sense, and it might be Neon then. But having a wolf be off wagon is also fine here as the "off wagon" is the policy chop that's been hanging on for days now.
UGH. I don't think you can say anything concrete if Santy is a hit. I think you can if Santy isn't a hit.
If Santy is a hit I do not think there are two wolves on my wagon. Which I said above.
game is hard, mafia is dumb, etc etcI was gonna find more reasons from quotes about wolfy things HK has done but there's so much bullshit I'm just gonna quote these two and talk about some of ithollowkatt wrote: ↑Wed Sep 21, 2022 1:07 am why you don't shut down sabi if they are town:
1. Nobody is listening to Sabi. They file Sabi away into a "town but" box and forget about them until it's needed to pull them out of it.
Sabi has the most posts of anyone in the thread and honestly the least amount of pull outside of me and TSP. Nobody is really following Sabis pushes, unless they are consensus, and nobody for sure is following their defenses. See Jack going over and me leading today.
2. Sabi is highly likely wrong on where the wolf team is. If Sabi were right about any of the wolf team, or were not protecting the wolf team in some way, Sabi would be dead. Instead Sabi is, like I said in point 1, mostly ineffectual, but also pointint in the wrong directions. Sabi also does not appear to be doing wholescale reevaulations of the game and their view on it, until today starts. The wolf team can play the odds Sabi doesn't re-evaluate and instead falls deeper into the "spam things and despair" gameplay they're exhibiting the last two days
3. Sabi and HK form an Alignment Confirmation duo. Inverse of the Difference Check, an Alignment Confirmation is functionally this: When HK flips town Sabi is functionally confirmed town. I've hard town read Sabi for days, and Sabi has been in the "HK is town" corner for days as well. If Sabi is a wolf today is the day Sabi needs to turn the corner, and Sabi needs to start doing it sooner rather than later, so that the HK chop is cemented AND so that Sabis pivot into HK wolfing isn't called into question in the coming max 2 game days.
Likewise, Sabi flipping town functionally confirms HK as town for the same reason. You can't simultaneously argue "HK kills his wolf readers" and also "HK kills his town readers" in the same breath, or even the same game day. It's a juxtaposition that can't be reasonably held.
A ton of HK's solving posts this game have been meandering longer posts with little conclusion and only the veneer of solving, mostly for self defense. Read the top post and tell me what comes of it. The first half is just him giving reasons why he can't be a wolf, none of which hold up, and the second half is words masquerading as thoughts that does nothing productive in the end. How many times has HK given a definitive wolf read? 90% of the time it's been these things like "I dunno" or just a random PoE put together. The only times he's given an actual wolf read of someone it's not held up at all imo and has mostly been things like nit-picking Risiinq when she was killable, Santy when he was, or Neon earlier and camping it out without much thought. Neon today specifically I don't think someone can believe like HK has considering everything she's posted this game.
The second post shows more of this, how it's mostly just a veneer and self defense. HK says Sabi is wrong on the wolf team so hasn't died, but never cares to extrapolate on actual wolf reads from this. I know this is something he's done a ton this game and I was gonna find more examples but I just can't be bothered to read through his ISO to do that. The first quote is another one, at least. Then the 3rd point which is sorta valid from the perspective that him town makes Sabi more town, in that she's been defending him, but the inverse is literally just not true like how he tries to make it out to be. Sabi correctly town reading HK isn't a reason she doesn't die, that's a reason for her TO die and is directly related to point 2 in his own post (if she was correct, she would be killed), but he's not trying to put these things together, he's writing all his solving so he can get people off his back. Almost everything he's written this game has felt like that imo
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
Porscha wrote: ↑Sat Sep 10, 2022 3:49 pmMaybe he sucks and I'm stupid but I usually catch wolf HK pretty quick and I'm just not landing these pokeballs right now so it is what it isEsooa wrote: ↑Sat Sep 10, 2022 3:43 pm what HK has done today in the past 24 hours:
Make a post with the contradicting premises that btw, even if you say something like "he was just conflicted cause it should mean they were town but he wolf read them," then where is the conflict? Cause to me that post doesn't read like he's conflicted by it at all, it reads like he's trying to justify that fact to the thread
Omgus me for wolf reading it
Omgus everyone else afterwards
Self vote and leave
HK when he's a towny is way more inquisitive imo but the way he handled all that stuff felt more like shutting it down imo
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
lol you think porscha has TMI on my alignment and that's why she's defending me?Lilypetal wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:06 pmif u flip w i probably kill porscha tomorrowhollowkatt wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:04 pm lily is your solve then Sabi/TSP after I flip town or are you planning on re-evaluating?
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
Porscha wrote: ↑Sat Sep 10, 2022 3:49 pmMaybe he sucks and I'm stupid but I usually catch wolf HK pretty quick and I'm just not landing these pokeballs right now so it is what it isEsooa wrote: ↑Sat Sep 10, 2022 3:43 pm what HK has done today in the past 24 hours:
Make a post with the contradicting premises that btw, even if you say something like "he was just conflicted cause it should mean they were town but he wolf read them," then where is the conflict? Cause to me that post doesn't read like he's conflicted by it at all, it reads like he's trying to justify that fact to the thread
Omgus me for wolf reading it
Omgus everyone else afterwards
Self vote and leave
HK when he's a towny is way more inquisitive imo but the way he handled all that stuff felt more like shutting it down imo
Porscha wrote: ↑Sat Sep 10, 2022 4:25 pmI'm not big on ender wagon either but I'd rather ender over HK today. I do find it plausible that enders FE pact was an attempt at friendly pocketing from a wolf
I'd go santy over mac or achro or jack today
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
howl elsewherehollowkatt wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:32 pmlol you think porscha has TMI on my alignment and that's why she's defending me?Lilypetal wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:06 pmif u flip w i probably kill porscha tomorrowhollowkatt wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:04 pm lily is your solve then Sabi/TSP after I flip town or are you planning on re-evaluating?
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
I fail to see a reason to wolf read me for something that's been clear since the shitshow on D1 but go offEsooa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:07 pm Oh, and, another thing, when I poke him on this earlier, I don't think his PoE can make sense, give actual wolves, like that he should be thinking more about TSP or caring more about me, he just doesn't. He doesn't try to solve or think about things or wolf read people that aren't convenient for him, he just uncaringly threw his vote away. I really can't see HK caring about solving at all this game
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
hmm lmao
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
lol no go back to reads schoolLilypetal wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:33 pmhowl elsewherehollowkatt wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:32 pmlol you think porscha has TMI on my alignment and that's why she's defending me?Lilypetal wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:06 pmif u flip w i probably kill porscha tomorrowhollowkatt wrote: ↑Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:04 pm lily is your solve then Sabi/TSP after I flip town or are you planning on re-evaluating?
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Re: Mafia Misplay Mafia
Am I poe'd wtf