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Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Sun Aug 12, 2018 11:02 pm
by Golden
We got one!!

Welcome to the crew DDL.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Sun Aug 12, 2018 11:06 pm
by Kylemii
hell yea

pick a job in tech support or something, it's our highest stat, right?

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Sun Aug 12, 2018 11:06 pm
by Kylemii
I mean technician is, isn't it?

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Sun Aug 12, 2018 11:23 pm
by speedchuck
Well, THAT's gonna reflect on a lot of player in the game right now. Awesome.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Sun Aug 12, 2018 11:24 pm
by speedchuck
I am more certain Luna is town.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Sun Aug 12, 2018 11:25 pm
by Spacedaisy
Due to a host error each Captain got a free peek at the pass requirements for all the jobs at their chosen location. It will go back to the correct way tomorrow.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Sun Aug 12, 2018 11:31 pm
by Kylemii
well, unless it was a bus job i guess. I still feel like her shit was authentic though

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Sun Aug 12, 2018 11:54 pm
by Golden
Our options today are 7 attack, 8 technical or 11 diplomacy. What do you have, DDL? And what is your role?

Unfortunately we are docked a point for having a fugitive among us this time. But we’d get +2 if we have inara

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Sun Aug 12, 2018 11:54 pm
by Golden
9 technical sorry

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 7:29 am
by Glorfindel
Greetings! This hasn’t been such a great day for me... I’ve been trying to get in here since lunch time and only just realized that I wasn’t logged in... So much for me being ‘technical’ :haha:

I’m assuming I might be safe tonight - after having defended Dan, our Mafia friends might assume they can take me out during the day - it’d be really great to avoid being on the poll though tomorrow, Guys! You know, it’s been a while since I’ve played here at the Syndicate but my memories of Epi are strong - I think he’s either mellowed or he’s Mafia...

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 8:37 am
by speedchuck
Glorfindel wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 7:29 am I’m assuming I might be safe tonight - after having defended Dan, our Mafia friends might assume they can take me out during the day - it’d be really great to avoid being on the poll though tomorrow, Guys! You know, it’s been a while since I’ve played here at the Syndicate but my memories of Epi are strong - I think he’s either mellowed or he’s Mafia...
Epi has mellowed some, I think. But he could be mafia anyway.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 8:42 am
by Glorfindel
speedchuck wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 8:37 am
Glorfindel wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 7:29 am I’m assuming I might be safe tonight - after having defended Dan, our Mafia friends might assume they can take me out during the day - it’d be really great to avoid being on the poll though tomorrow, Guys! You know, it’s been a while since I’ve played here at the Syndicate but my memories of Epi are strong - I think he’s either mellowed or he’s Mafia...
Epi has mellowed some, I think. But he could be mafia anyway.
I honestly didn’t think Dan was Mafia. Couldn’t see it at all :( Must be getting rusty...

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 9:19 am
by speedchuck
I had no idea. But I had a town lean on the other two trains.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 9:57 am
by Dragon D. Luffy
I'm here.

Sorry it took a while to join the host had some technical issues.

I'm Billy, scrapper and have 2 points in technical. No items yet.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 9:58 am
by Dragon D. Luffy
I'll catch up here in a while.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 10:46 am
by Dragon D. Luffy
Hey why was your moderate mission way easier than ours? We needed 9 points in I-forgot-what

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 10:52 am
by Dragon D. Luffy
Golden wrote: Sun Aug 12, 2018 11:54 pm Our options today are 7 attack, 8 technical or 11 diplomacy. What do you have, DDL? And what is your role?

Unfortunately we are docked a point for having a fugitive among us this time. But we’d get +2 if we have inara
How do you know it?

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 10:56 am
by Dragon D. Luffy
I say we pick the easiest mission because the others are ridiculous, but since you somehow know the reqs for a mission with 9 technical, might be worth to take that.

We already have 5 points without Marmot or dice rolls. This gives us a 61% chance of winning it, provided no one quits the mission. I take it that it's a moderate mission?

Alternatively, we can take an easy mission, if that's available, and secure some items. But you didn't name the mission difficulties so I don't know if it is.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 10:58 am
by Dragon D. Luffy
If the easy mission is the one with 7 attack it's probably not worth it

(also what kind of "easy" mission is that)

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 11:02 am
by Dragon D. Luffy
Our chances at hitting 7 attack considering we only start with 2 points are 56%, btw.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 11:09 am
by speedchuck
Any insight from the past day or so, DDL?

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 11:18 am
by Dragon D. Luffy
Well I was convinced Sokoth was a counter-wagon and now it's just a succesful CFD.

Which means I have to second guess my Luna case. And possibly look for scum in there. Though Sokoth wagon formed last, so maybe look for people voicing against it instead.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 11:28 am
by Dragon D. Luffy
Golden, DH, Colin are some that look worse from the Sokoth lynch.

TH sort of vanished right before the Sokoth wagon started too.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 11:28 am
by speedchuck
Image

Observations (purely about votes):

Luna was a suspect all day. DDL was suspected early, I think. Luna and Wilgy were tied for lynch near dayend, but in the last hour or so, things swung heavily toward SQ.

Basic vote analysis. Seeing how Epi, Colin, and Golden clung to Wilgy, I would say there's a good chance of scum on that wagon. The votes were somewhat wasted, but switching to Luna to save SQ would look awful, and switching to SQ would as well. (Yes, I know I'm making assumptions like crazy. This is not a case. This is thoughts.)
The idea of there being a scum on the Wilgy wagon would fit very well with my nightkill analysis. A no-poster was killed last night. This may indicate a player that cares about the health of the game. I would wager that at least Golden and Epi care about the game health. Colin... maybe.
This reflects poorest on Epi.

I would also say there is at least one more scum on the Luna wagon. Possibly two. Granted, I think she's town. I'm not convinced, but I feel it.

If there is scum on the SQ wagon, they likely joined late. VERY late. I could see TH yolo-ing it. Kylemii was the last to join, and... it's hard to see that being a scum-motivated action. Nobody would have blamed him for staying where he was.
DH's final post on D2 about that is... interesting. I don't know what level of WIFOM he is capable of, but saying Kyle's vote was the "wrong choice" before results... :shrug2:

SQ'a wagon is made of a bunch of misfits, scumspects, and low posters. WTF. Once again, this reaffirms that someone with a stronger voice in this game is quite possibly scum. I hope it isn't Golden or DH.

(I still have a light townread on you BTW Golden, I'm not looking for a defense with all this)

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 11:32 am
by Dragon D. Luffy
Epi has been scum with Soneji in a game where they both crushed the town. That's one of the few people who are likely to remember playing with him.

Soneji plays more at other sites, so the ones with a longer playing experience with him are myself, nova and owner. nova has been scum with him too in one game where he was doing great.

So if the criterium is "people who are likely to fear Soneji", the biggest suspects would be nova and Epi (and myself too lol). And maaaybe Owner.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 11:38 am
by speedchuck
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 11:32 am So if the criterium is "people who are likely to fear Soneji", the biggest suspects would be nova and Epi (and myself too lol). And maaaybe Owner.
Is Soneji to be feared? I haven't seen much of them. Hadn't considered that angle.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 11:44 am
by Dragon D. Luffy
Yeah he's really good as both civ and scum. Also he's used to hosting games with 100+ abilities so he's good at using them.

But for the past few years he's about as likely to be inactive in a game as being active. Takes some stars aligning for him to be active.

He recently destroyed the Friends game as baddie Rachel btw.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 11:47 am
by Dragon D. Luffy
I'd like to assume it's more likely people just killed him to make an unsuspecting kill. But if someone in mafia chat knows him, they might have thought they could get rid of a tricky player too.

Btw I'm dumb Soneji was a civ in Friends.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 11:48 am
by Dragon D. Luffy
I just remember being sure I thought he was bad and mislynching him lol.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 12:38 pm
by Spacedaisy
[mention]Golden[/mention] I still need a job choice from you.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 12:49 pm
by Dragon D. Luffy
It's 4 AM where he lives if Google is right.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N1

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 2:54 pm
by Marmot
Golden wrote: Sun Aug 12, 2018 11:54 pm Our options today are 7 attack, 8 technical or 11 diplomacy. What do you have, DDL? And what is your role?

Unfortunately we are docked a point for having a fugitive among us this time. But we’d get +2 if we have inara
I have an equal probability of rolling any of these skills, so I have no preference.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 3:25 pm
by Golden
I'd have had no issue switching to Sokoth if bad. Actually it probably would have been a 'good look' with nova threatening to switch to Luna, it would have put things beyond doubt. Wilgy could still be bad as well, Sokoth ended up on Luna - I see Sokoth being bad as clearing Luna but not Wilgy.

Is anyone familiar with 'quiet town colin'? The only time I've ssen him this quiet was Ancient Greece where he was bad.

The people I feel look worst right now are TH, DH and Nova. TH and nova could easily be yoloing collectively, Nova's whole thing about saying luna is bad but 'never contemplating' switching looks like he's hoping to convince others while being in the right place himself. He just gives me worse and worse vibes all the time. Epi would care about the health of the game, but he hasn't rubbed me wrong at all with the posts he's made.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 3:26 pm
by Golden
I picked the moderate job for all of our technical skill.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 3:27 pm
by Spacedaisy
Your Captain has chosen to take you to Highgate to attempt to complete the Moderate job from Lord Harrow for a payout of $1500

In order to pass this skill you must achieve a 9 in the Technical skill.

Unfortunately you have a modifier if -1 for having a Fugitive on your crew.

If any of you who have any Technical Skill Stats wish to abstain from assisting your captain in completing this job, you may tell me so privately by PM by 8 PM eastern tonight. Once I know who is participating a die will be rolled and added to the total technical stats from your crew that are contributing. The total will determine if you pass or fail.

At the end of N2 I will inform you if you have passed this skill check. In the meantime you may want to discuss strategy amongst yourselves.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:15 pm
by Dragon D. Luffy
Who is the fugitive? Me?

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:18 pm
by Spacedaisy
The Fugitive knows who they are. It’s up to them if they wish to reveal it.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:23 pm
by Marmot
What a motley crew we are.

How do folks like our chances? I have a 33% chance of offering +2.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:23 pm
by Glorfindel
@Spacedaisy So the Fugitive is holding us back from winning? Do we need to cut them loose then? On an unrelated note, does Golden have to nominate someone for the poll at the end of this Night phase?

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:24 pm
by Glorfindel
Marmot wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:23 pm What a motley crew we are.

How do folks like our chances? I have a 33% chance of offering +2.
I have very little clue as to what is going on here my friend - it’s probably better that someone else answers your question.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:26 pm
by Marmot
Glorfindel wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:24 pm
Marmot wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:23 pm What a motley crew we are.

How do folks like our chances? I have a 33% chance of offering +2.
I have very little clue as to what is going on here my friend - it’s probably better that someone else answers your question.
We must combine our technical skills plus one role of a die to achieve a total of 9. If we do, we get stuff. If not, we're all lynchable tomorrow.

What are your attributes and would you like to share them?

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:39 pm
by Glorfindel
Marmot wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:26 pm
Glorfindel wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:24 pm
Marmot wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:23 pm What a motley crew we are.

How do folks like our chances? I have a 33% chance of offering +2.
I have very little clue as to what is going on here my friend - it’s probably better that someone else answers your question.
We must combine our technical skills plus one role of a die to achieve a total of 9. If we do, we get stuff. If not, we're all lynchable tomorrow.

What are your attributes and would you like to share them?
I’m 2 Technical if that’s what you mean Marmot

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:39 pm
by Golden
Also I can’t be certain because I didn’t save the pill but I believe sokoths captaincy votes were for DH, TH, inh and glorf.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:43 pm
by Glorfindel
Golden wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:39 pm Also I can’t be certain because I didn’t save the pill but I believe sokoths captaincy votes were for DH, TH, inh and glorf.
Looks worse for me by the minute :(

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:52 pm
by speedchuck
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:15 pm Who is the fugitive? Me?
Matthew 26:25
Judas, who would betray him, answered, “Is it I, Rabbi?” He said to him, “You have said so.”

:| We didn't have a fugitive last night. We should ask about that.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 5:42 pm
by Dragon D. Luffy
Well I don't know anything about being a fugitive, so it's likely one of you decided to run away from something recently.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 5:45 pm
by Dragon D. Luffy
Anyway our chances of success went down from 61% to 44% with this fugitive thing.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 5:46 pm
by Dragon D. Luffy
For the "easy" mission it would have been 28%

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 5:59 pm
by Golden
Glorfindel wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:43 pm
Golden wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:39 pm Also I can’t be certain because I didn’t save the pill but I believe sokoths captaincy votes were for DH, TH, inh and glorf.
Looks worse for me by the minute :(
You aren’t bad and I’d defend you to the hilt.

Re: Bonnie Mae - N2

Posted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 6:00 pm
by Golden
speedchuck wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:52 pm
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Mon Aug 13, 2018 4:15 pm Who is the fugitive? Me?
Matthew 26:25
Judas, who would betray him, answered, “Is it I, Rabbi?” He said to him, “You have said so.”

:| We didn't have a fugitive last night. We should ask about that.
Yes we did. It’s Simon Tam aka glorf.