Re: The Lion King [Night 2]
Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2020 6:12 pm
If Lavender is the Godfather I will be so happy because then we can just clear Urist and then the mafia has nowhere to hide.
There was literally no downside and could well have produced a good result.tutuu wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 6:18 pm i was really hopeful my reaction test would have produced some good results, i wanted to impress everyone and stuff. in the end it was probably useless and should be ignored. oh well rip. dont think ill try something like that again
im happy to be embraced by death in ~24 hours. alison and dizzy and mp7 are gonna powertown and i fully believe in their ability to carry. i couldnt ask for a better team
ah yes, the old occam's-razor-in-a-caramel-apple gambittutuu wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 5:01 pm I don't know what's the name of this fallacy or paradox, but
"2) i've seen a whole lot of hastily justified town reads (e.g. alison for the mysterious "M" reason)" - Lavender
I desire to townread Lavender for this line, because I think if he's Mafia he puts 2 + 2 together and figures out I'm cop with Alison n0. Because I think it's silly of him if he couldn't do that as Mafia. But, if he does end up being Mafia, and I wrongly cleared him for it, then the embarassment falls on me. I'm sure this situation has some kind of name
do you have any thoughts on which can / cannot be partners? banish lav first?
this never happened yeah?jeraldooo wrote: ↑Thu Jul 16, 2020 9:05 pm Okay i'm just checking in cuz i didn't realize that we can talk at night. I'm used to not being able to say anything at night. Even after someone dm'd me saying we can talk I still forgot about it. I'm going to be catching up with the forum and will give any reads I get by either midnight or like early morning. Sorry been busy all day with rl stuff.
actually apt afUrist wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:05 pm also just going to throw it out there that a) even if you know who the cop is, it's not always the correct play to kill them, and b) now that the cop is revealed it's easy enough to say "oh yeah i knew who it was".
my first thought when scirrus was killed was, "oh yeah this scum team must be feeling really comfy if they don't even bother hunting for the cop".
/tinfoil
yeah but the more likely scenario is that it's like jeraldooo, cobbler + someone else who doesn't care / isn't paying attentionLavender wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:21 pmactually apt afUrist wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:05 pm also just going to throw it out there that a) even if you know who the cop is, it's not always the correct play to kill them, and b) now that the cop is revealed it's easy enough to say "oh yeah i knew who it was".
my first thought when scirrus was killed was, "oh yeah this scum team must be feeling really comfy if they don't even bother hunting for the cop".
/tinfoil
Regarding point b), I do believe Dizzy and MP7's claims that they knew who the cop was. I don't have a hard reason to do it - call it a gut read if you want.Urist wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:05 pm also just going to throw it out there that a) even if you know who the cop is, it's not always the correct play to kill them, and b) now that the cop is revealed it's easy enough to say "oh yeah i knew who it was".
my first thought when scirrus was killed was, "oh yeah this scum team must be feeling really comfy if they don't even bother hunting for the cop".
/tinfoil
I was going to just say "I am going to kill you" again and leave it at that, but I'm genuinely curious how you'll respond if I ask you why you seem to have so completely discounted the possibility of a team like, eg. 1612/jeraldo/cobbler, when you did not mention anything during the discussion about the "inactives" being the team.Lavender wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:21 pmactually apt afUrist wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:05 pm also just going to throw it out there that a) even if you know who the cop is, it's not always the correct play to kill them, and b) now that the cop is revealed it's easy enough to say "oh yeah i knew who it was".
my first thought when scirrus was killed was, "oh yeah this scum team must be feeling really comfy if they don't even bother hunting for the cop".
/tinfoil
looks like i should take him out from my Poe.tutuu wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 4:39 pmdo you think 1612 fakes this reaction as Goon? i dont think so personallyDyslexicon wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 4:39 pmOhhhhhhhhtutuu wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 4:36 pm hmm. okay i wont push it further
i retract. i dont have a mafia check on 1612 and i didnt check him. i ... kinda buy the reaction? looks solid. im gonna go ahead and treat this as a pseudo town check on 1612. i could be wrong, but i think he's either town or the godfather
im also lock towning mp7 for her effort in already ISOing stuff with the assumption that 1612 is mafia (like he could be godfather still, but maf!mp7 would know that im lying)
sorry for lying and sorry if i wasted ur effort. i thought it was worth the shot
my real peek is urist n1 town
Aw. Ok then.
So what we have is Alison and Urist town then? If you're for real this time lol
That he could make an attempt to derp clear himself.
umm.. do you really think i can be in the same world with Lavander if he is mafia?
Enjoy your trip Dizzy ^^Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Sat Jul 18, 2020 12:34 am Heads up - I'm going on a road trip for this weekend in about 3 hours (and I haven't slept yet, yay me), so I'm not going to be terribly active from here until Sunday evening my time. So that will be EoD next phase. I'm sure I'll be able to follow along on phone in between being a social human being as well though. =p Not that you really need me that much. I have full confidence in Alison's ability to lead town. Just letting you all know. ^^
Just you are preoccupied to shade me, indeedLavender wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 5:22 pmanybody else notice that michelle got away without giving reads before tutuu gave her checks? and then continued posting for half an hour after they said they were going to sleep? no? just me? aight thenMichelle wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 3:25 pm gut reading 1612 not villagery for the looong explanation about the cop claims and the double explanation about Long Con.
Derping is sweet when is spontaneous. Idk if i am right but is what i felt reading that.
Add the lack of reaction at my ping and at the fact i voted him.
@tutuu i will keep my word but now i have to sleep. Anyway in my Poe rn i have Lavander and 1612, and i think Alison may go either way.
If i would try to FPS a red check as fake cop i would go for Lavander.
Funny thing, my MU sig contains a quote "Wolves never w peek someone".
i am villager, i can't have a w/w interaction with no one.Alison wrote: ↑Sat Jul 18, 2020 1:08 am I don't think Michelle/Lavender is W/W. In theory it's possible but I'm not really feeling it. Wolves that want to distance from each other go at each other like "rawr rawr you're definitely scum! I want everyone to see how much I hate you!" and not "hmmm if Alison is town, Michelle is probably scum here" - that reads more to me like an attempt to set up a mis-execute, not a wolf-on-wolf interaction
If Ulrist's wagon has a mafia - assuming our read on Lavander is correct, then i agree Ulrist is most probably villager because otherwise Lavander would be on Nanook to save Ulrist and idk if so many would suspect him for the vote.Alison wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 5:33 pmI thought about it and I think if Urist is town then mafia doesn't care about nanook vs Urist's outcome. The only compelling reason the mafia would have to push one wagon over another is if either one of them has a) caught scum or b) been pocketed by scum, or if this "1612 wants to cash in towncred for the Urist flip" theory holds true.M Plus 7 wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 5:32 pmThat makes sense to me although there are a lot of factors at play.
Is the n0 a player's choice here?Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 6:01 pmI'm also glad you in particular are confirmed town. Good choice of N0 peek, Tutu lolAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 5:04 pm Unrelated but I love being mechnically confirmed town. Every time I roll town I have to deal with people paranoid that I'm deepwolfing them whenever I get townread. >< It makes the game easier for me to be able to just post whatever I want without having to worry about justifying or defending myself if someone finds it scummy.
lol nvm ^^Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 6:09 pmNot if you're Tutu!
(I know - I was just making a joke =p)
Cheating is the only one honorable way to play mafia. We all know that. BRAD
i think it's genuinely plausible. i wasn't consciously trying to discount this possibility. i townread cobbler early game for similar reasons to what others said. i stand with the vocal majority calling attention to the fact that he hasn't posted in 72 hours and needs to get in here for a re-evaluationAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:37 pmI was going to just say "I am going to kill you" again and leave it at that, but I'm genuinely curious how you'll respond if I ask you why you seem to have so completely discounted the possibility of a team like, eg. 1612/jeraldo/cobbler, when you did not mention anything during the discussion about the "inactives" being the team.Lavender wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:21 pmactually apt afUrist wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:05 pm also just going to throw it out there that a) even if you know who the cop is, it's not always the correct play to kill them, and b) now that the cop is revealed it's easy enough to say "oh yeah i knew who it was".
my first thought when scirrus was killed was, "oh yeah this scum team must be feeling really comfy if they don't even bother hunting for the cop".
/tinfoil
yeah…i’m gonna go ahead and call urist hard town. [mention]Urist[/mention], do u still think that someone else could be mp7? i have a scumcase that i've been building and haven't had an opportunity to put into words since u mentioned ur sus on her last night, here it is if u or the conftown are interestedUrist wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:26 pmyeah but the more likely scenario is that it's like jeraldooo, cobbler + someone else who doesn't care / isn't paying attentionLavender wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:21 pmactually apt afUrist wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:05 pm also just going to throw it out there that a) even if you know who the cop is, it's not always the correct play to kill them, and b) now that the cop is revealed it's easy enough to say "oh yeah i knew who it was".
my first thought when scirrus was killed was, "oh yeah this scum team must be feeling really comfy if they don't even bother hunting for the cop".
/tinfoil
i know most of u don't know me as a player, but puhhhh-lease give scum lavender enough credit to not throw out an unsubstantiated inference designed to mastermind a double misbanish
sidenote: if u believe these reads u have to acknowledge that taking them as fact, the statement that "alison town implies michelle mafia" is a pretty easy one to come toprotocultures wrote: ↑Thu Jul 16, 2020 5:33 amCan you tell us/me about your mafia meta? Do you hard protect partners or bus them to distance. How do you react with newer players as team mates. Do you hard protect or bus. If a team mate is under heavy pressure do you cut them loose and bus or try and reform towncore to include them and ride or die.M Plus 7 wrote: ↑Tue Jul 14, 2020 11:47 pm MP7 D1 vibes reads
Strong town
Dyslexicon
Scirrus
Urist
Moderate town
cobbler
protocultures
Slight town
Alison
Mind vs. gut battle
tutuu
POE
1612
jeraldooo
Lavender
Long Con
Michelle
This is how I'm feeling right now. Players are sorted across tiers, but alphabetically within them.
I almost want to give LC a slight town read, but I'm awaiting more data. I need to go back and look at Lavender again but eh. 1612, jeraldo, and Michelle have essentially no content to judge.
It almost feels probable I'm wrong about one of my town reads, but that's okay. The game doesn't need to be solved right now!
I realised it was so easy to ignore/townread you because you are so nice and polite all the time. Not a bad thing for life, but it inherently biases me to think you can't be scum. I shouldn't have that mindset at all.
Can you point to one or two things people have done to explain each read? You can ignore the Poe list because I understand why they are in your Poe.
it helped me complete my readsMichelle wrote: ↑Sat Jul 18, 2020 2:21 am wait. what?
@Lavender so you went sheeping Proto but instead you were sheeping M7 with the read on me?
You agree you shaded me openly in a one sentence post and now you constructed a reason for it who is pretty weak :/
If you are villager and made this i am more dissapointed than if you did it as mafia tbh
when you have to fake reads, taking someone else's is a good trickLavender wrote: ↑Sat Jul 18, 2020 2:27 amit helped me complete my readsMichelle wrote: ↑Sat Jul 18, 2020 2:21 am wait. what?
@Lavender so you went sheeping Proto but instead you were sheeping M7 with the read on me?
You agree you shaded me openly in a one sentence post and now you constructed a reason for it who is pretty weak :/
If you are villager and made this i am more dissapointed than if you did it as mafia tbh
no ragrets![]()
Iso-ing Cobbler, he has a pure tone so i am sad to not see him playing.cobbler wrote: ↑Tue Jul 14, 2020 9:52 pmthis is all perfectly reasonable. i don't know why you were so hesitant to just post this or something similar originally. thank you though for engagingUrist wrote: ↑Tue Jul 14, 2020 7:22 pm Since this is becoming more of a distraction than it's worth...
1. I posted in the signup thread that I already had my first post ready. Also I copy-pasted the lyrics and replaced like 5 words in an existing song, I barely did anything. So it's NAI and I was barely trying regardless. Plus y'know I wrote the rulebook for Needlessly Complicated in one night, effort is not a resource I'm stingy with generally.protocultures wrote: ↑Tue Jul 14, 2020 4:03 am Urist - I take the song as slightly scummy if anything. Reasoning? Trying too hard.
They scumread dizzy as 99% mafia. Not sure how they can do that this early. Reeks of a fake read or bussing for credit.
Softing PR this early is also kid of scummy imo. Its bad if you are really PR, and Urist is pretty good at mafia from looking at the insane setup they created on 451, and its confusing for town if you are softing as a vanilla town, and makes it more likely to make a real PR pressured to out. Overall I hate it.
"I am town, and yes it's very cool. I get so emotionally exhausted when playing scum, it's ridic. Glad I don't have to do that here" - dislike statements like these and read them as slightly scummy, might just need to get some more forum games under my belt since I seem to see a lot of these "phew im so glad im town" posts on day 1 in forum games.
2. It was obviously a fake read, not sure what you think the scum motivation is, esp since I never followed up. & setting up associatives at this stage is bad for business.
3. Not getting into this.
4. I actually asked dunya pregame to give me a town role PM, because otherwise I wouldn't be able to follow her rules. I'm pretty bad as scum bc I get overinvested, spend a ton of effort on the early game and burn out and unintentionally throw the game later on. It's a problem that I need to solve, but not in my first game on TS. I think I referred to this in the intro thread when Jay said I was not terrible.
Now i get a town lean for Cobbler, looks like a townie mindset to post for further references what happened itt.cobbler wrote: ↑Tue Jul 14, 2020 11:02 pmtwo things i guess. i think they'll be good breadcrumbs for later and i want to get some more mature and updated thoughts on them. i know that will help me process through the game so i imagine it will help others too!M Plus 7 wrote: ↑Tue Jul 14, 2020 11:00 pmHey, cobbler! Thanks for doing this. What are you hoping to gain as to alignment reads from this, or did you have a different intention?cobbler wrote: ↑Tue Jul 14, 2020 10:58 pm here's a compilation of this thread's scumreads. i'm hoping to hear from everyone with an update on where they stand on them now
1612 - has not provided any scumreads
Alison - the closest alison has come to a scumread was referring to urist's hesitancy to give reads as 'slightly scummy'
cobbler - the closest i have come to a scumread was dizzy's post saying i was town
Dyslexicon - had one scumread on proto that was later rescinded and explained to be a bit of a joke or gambit. hinted at a scumread on michelle just now
jeraldoo - has not provided any scumreads
Lavender - provided a scum read on LC. provided a scum read on me as a reaction test then got a second reaction which they didn't like. doesn't believe MP and dizzy could be scum together
Long Con - has not provided any scumreads
Michelle - the closest michelle has come to a scumread was highlighting a post by tutuu that she didn't like
M Plus 7 - has not provided any scumreads (but has filled my head with sunshine)
protocultures - provided a hard scum read on scirrus. provided an additional scum read on urist
Scirrus - has not provided any scumreads
tutuu - (their post history link is broken @dunya ) - has not provided any scumreads
Urist - provided a scumread on dizzy
aight i'm going to start saying sr instead of scumread because i typed 'scrumread' like 40 times just now
update on my thoughts on dizzy's post: it still pings me in a vacuum but i don't get the same vibe from the rest of their posts. still a suspect tho imo
Also, hehe, I'm so glad to hear that I've filled your head with sunshine!
and the winner for the scum team who would feel the most comfy at that point in the game goes to...Urist wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:05 pm also just going to throw it out there that a) even if you know who the cop is, it's not always the correct play to kill them, and b) now that the cop is revealed it's easy enough to say "oh yeah i knew who it was".
my first thought when scirrus was killed was, "oh yeah this scum team must be feeling really comfy if they don't even bother hunting for the cop".
/tinfoil
No. "I would never do something as obvious as this as scum" or similar "too wolfy to be wolf" arguments are not defenses that work, or will ever work, against me. I don't find them convincing and I don't understand why other people find them convincing.
I don't think Lavender was around EOD.Michelle wrote: ↑Sat Jul 18, 2020 1:38 am If Ulrist's wagon has a mafia - assuming our read on Lavander is correct, then i agree Ulrist is most probably villager because otherwise Lavander would be on Nanook to save Ulrist and idk if so many would suspect him for the vote.
All wagons yday as villa wagons are not so hard to believe and in this case wolves felt secure. smh
what invention is this? My town read get lynched and i was almost the lynched one earlier in the game.Lavender wrote: ↑Sat Jul 18, 2020 3:28 amand the winner for the scum team who would feel the most comfy at that point in the game goes to...Urist wrote: ↑Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:05 pm also just going to throw it out there that a) even if you know who the cop is, it's not always the correct play to kill them, and b) now that the cop is revealed it's easy enough to say "oh yeah i knew who it was".
my first thought when scirrus was killed was, "oh yeah this scum team must be feeling really comfy if they don't even bother hunting for the cop".
/tinfoil
mp7/michelle/cobbler
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i won't bet, she is acting very strange.Alison wrote: ↑Sat Jul 18, 2020 3:44 amI don't think Lavender was around EOD.Michelle wrote: ↑Sat Jul 18, 2020 1:38 am If Ulrist's wagon has a mafia - assuming our read on Lavander is correct, then i agree Ulrist is most probably villager because otherwise Lavander would be on Nanook to save Ulrist and idk if so many would suspect him for the vote.
All wagons yday as villa wagons are not so hard to believe and in this case wolves felt secure. smh
This is jeraldoo's last post. The Iso is not long, his P#534 is the most useful reads related and he explains further some thoughts.jeraldooo wrote: ↑Thu Jul 16, 2020 9:05 pm Okay i'm just checking in cuz i didn't realize that we can talk at night. I'm used to not being able to say anything at night. Even after someone dm'd me saying we can talk I still forgot about it. I'm going to be catching up with the forum and will give any reads I get by either midnight or like early morning. Sorry been busy all day with rl stuff.