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Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:28 am
by Dyslexicon
falcon45ca wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:36 pm JJJ, Ilario, Dolby, SOA



That's a good POE
If I'm not mistaken, you're vote has been off main wagons on both days now. How are you going to impact the game to a town win? Right now Dolby and SOA have wagons on them, so if you were to choose one of them, which one would you vote?

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:35 am
by Dyslexicon
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:49 pm Town has exactly one more mischop available before we enter elimination phases (final X). The margin for error is tiny and we cannot afford to have even one member of the town faction say "whatever, I'll just die".
Do you have any anti-alignments that stands out to you? Or in other words, is there anyone you feel are mafia in most worlds? I'll take a look at this tonight myself.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:43 am
by Dyslexicon
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 9:13 amWhat do you think of the potential for ilario and Dyslexicon to both be mafia?
Sigh tbh tbh. Jimmay, I'm town.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:43 am
by falcon45ca
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:28 am
falcon45ca wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:36 pm JJJ, Ilario, Dolby, SOA



That's a good POE
If I'm not mistaken, you're vote has been off main wagons on both days now. How are you going to impact the game to a town win? Right now Dolby and SOA have wagons on them, so if you were to choose one of them, which one would you vote?
I vote for the players I think are scum. How am I supposed to know how I'm going to impact the game for a town win? That's a strange question. What's your answer to that question for yourself?


Between Dolby and SOA, I'd like to pull a move I've recently seen from @Master Radishes tie em' up and let it rand.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:45 am
by Johanna
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:35 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:49 pm Town has exactly one more mischop available before we enter elimination phases (final X). The margin for error is tiny and we cannot afford to have even one member of the town faction say "whatever, I'll just die".
Do you have any anti-alignments that stands out to you? Or in other words, is there anyone you feel are mafia in most worlds? I'll take a look at this tonight myself.
He did make that chart yesterday...

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:46 am
by Marmot
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:43 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:28 am
falcon45ca wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:36 pm JJJ, Ilario, Dolby, SOA



That's a good POE
If I'm not mistaken, you're vote has been off main wagons on both days now. How are you going to impact the game to a town win? Right now Dolby and SOA have wagons on them, so if you were to choose one of them, which one would you vote?
I vote for the players I think are scum. How am I supposed to know how I'm going to impact the game for a town win? That's a strange question. What's your answer to that question for yourself?


Between Dolby and SOA, I'd like to pull a move I've recently seen from @Master Radishes tie em' up and let it rand.
What if one of them is town and the other is scum?

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:46 am
by Dyslexicon
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:43 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:28 am
falcon45ca wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:36 pm JJJ, Ilario, Dolby, SOA



That's a good POE
If I'm not mistaken, you're vote has been off main wagons on both days now. How are you going to impact the game to a town win? Right now Dolby and SOA have wagons on them, so if you were to choose one of them, which one would you vote?
I vote for the players I think are scum. How am I supposed to know how I'm going to impact the game for a town win? That's a strange question. What's your answer to that question for yourself?


Between Dolby and SOA, I'd like to pull a move I've recently seen from @Master Radishes tie em' up and let it rand.
I'm trying to work with people to chop the players I think are mafia. My point is this: Your vote doesn't do anything if you're on a lone wagon, and it also makes it so that you don't have to choose.

Let it rand is a fine answer though.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:48 am
by Dyslexicon
I think Johanna's reaction to my claim is towny, but probably more important, I think her other posts are towny as well. Mafia usually doesn't outright lie about dreams and kills. I don't know Johanna, of course, but out of the PoE, I think she's the least likely mafia and I think someone else already expressed this (probably Jimmay?)

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:48 am
by Johanna
I dunno how to link posts so I'll just quote here
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 6:02 pm I'm arrogant again and feel like the game is solved.

Image

I removed my 6 strongest town reads... and they're all legitimately strong. That left me with the following POE pool:

Dolby
falcon
G-Man
Johanna
Lime Coke
Son of Anarch

Within that set, Johanna only has two fits. So she can't be mafia with these premises accepted.

Thus we're left with only two teams that can work:

Dolby, falcon, G-Man, Lime Coke
Dolby, G-Man, Lime Coke, Son of Anarch

Put another way, the mafia team is: [Dolby, G-Man, Lime Coke] plus one of [falcon, Son of Anarch].

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:49 am
by Dyslexicon
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:45 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:35 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:49 pm Town has exactly one more mischop available before we enter elimination phases (final X). The margin for error is tiny and we cannot afford to have even one member of the town faction say "whatever, I'll just die".
Do you have any anti-alignments that stands out to you? Or in other words, is there anyone you feel are mafia in most worlds? I'll take a look at this tonight myself.
He did make that chart yesterday...
Lol =p

My mind doesn't work in charts tbh, I'm looking for more words. I want to know why the charts are what they are, cause I'm not in Jimmay's brain like Sloonmeister. But I'll do the same exercise later tonight.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:49 am
by Johanna
And here is the full version
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:47 pm
Image

Highly doubt they're mafia teammates
Mostly doubt they're mafia teammates
They could be mafia teammates
They fit together pretty well as mafia teammates

Note: as always I did not write meticulous notes to be posted for this, as it becomes spammy. Instead anyone can ask me to expand on any block and, as time permits, I will try to do so.

When I do this I normally work with fewer levels, but I wanted to be extremely thorough about this one given my worries about the state of the game. Some quick takeaways:

- NAA doesn't have enough fits. Town.
- Sloonei doesn't have enough fits. Town.
>> Each of them has three technical fits, but those fits don't fit with each other.

- Tony can probably be assessed on mechanical bases instead of this.

- ilario, Johanna, and Marmot are all close to meeting the same standard, but technically it is possible if my views are correct for them to be mafia.

- Dolby, falcon, G-Man, and Lime Coke all fit together as pairs, meaning that is a viable mafia team. I would call it my lead theory.

- Some other foursomes that technically can work:
>> Johanna, ilario, Dolby, G-Man
>> Johanna, ilario, Dolby, Dizzy
>> Probably more, but I need more time to exhaustively work through it. Separate post maybe.

- Obviously I can be wrong about stuff. I can't worry about that. This is the result of my work.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:50 am
by Marmot
Let it rand is never fine. I object!!

Image

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:51 am
by Johanna
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:49 am
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:45 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:35 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:49 pm Town has exactly one more mischop available before we enter elimination phases (final X). The margin for error is tiny and we cannot afford to have even one member of the town faction say "whatever, I'll just die".
Do you have any anti-alignments that stands out to you? Or in other words, is there anyone you feel are mafia in most worlds? I'll take a look at this tonight myself.
He did make that chart yesterday...
Lol =p

My mind doesn't work in charts tbh, I'm looking for more words. I want to know why the charts are what they are, cause I'm not in Jimmay's brain like Sloonmeister. But I'll do the same exercise later tonight.
One huge flaw in the charts is that low posters tend to have higher association potential simply because they haven't had many interactions on the thread, and those are I think how JollyJimmyJoe chose his colours.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:52 am
by Dyslexicon
Dolby/G-Man "safest" choices from that chart. But I'm not sure I agree with it tbh.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:53 am
by Johanna
There's also one thing that I keep forgetting to say but I think is kind of funny, which is that when I started catching up because my notifications mentioned Jimmy first I thought he was actually the host and it took me all of page 1 and wondering why the fuck was the host posting like a player to realise my brain had screwed up.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:53 am
by Dyslexicon
Marmot wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:50 am Let it rand is never fine. I object!!

Image
It's not really fine, but it's funny lol

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:53 am
by Dyslexicon
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:53 am There's also one thing that I keep forgetting to say but I think is kind of funny, which is that when I started catching up because my notifications mentioned Jimmy first I thought he was actually the host and it took me all of page 1 and wondering why the fuck was the host posting like a player to realise my brain had screwed up.
Johanna/Jimmay anti-teamed :beer:

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:56 am
by Marmot
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:53 am There's also one thing that I keep forgetting to say but I think is kind of funny, which is that when I started catching up because my notifications mentioned Jimmy first I thought he was actually the host and it took me all of page 1 and wondering why the fuck was the host posting like a player to realise my brain had screwed up.
It's a bastard game

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:57 am
by Johanna
By the way, DUNE is an okay movie. Such wow, very spectacle.

Fans might really like it, but it kind of has no soul and the story feels kind of inherently silly to me.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:58 am
by Johanna
Marmot wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:56 am
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:53 am There's also one thing that I keep forgetting to say but I think is kind of funny, which is that when I started catching up because my notifications mentioned Jimmy first I thought he was actually the host and it took me all of page 1 and wondering why the fuck was the host posting like a player to realise my brain had screwed up.
It's a bastard game
So that's why there are three watchers and three fruit vendors
Spoiler: show
and three sleepwalkers, surely.
Spoiler: show
and probably six mafia!

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:59 am
by Dyslexicon
I'm hardclaiming SK, but I'll town side

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:00 am
by Johanna
First rule of town is always yeet the 3P.

VOTE: DIZZLYXICON

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:01 am
by Dyslexicon
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:00 am First rule of town is always yeet the 3P.

VOTE: DIZZLYXICON
Sigh. Alison 3p flashback. I TOLD YOU ALL TO DO IT I TOLD YOU I TOLD YOU EVERYONE ELSE WAS TOWN WHY DO I WRITE IN A WAY THAT MAKES PEOPLE THINK I DON'T KNOW WHAT I'M TALKING ABOUT

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:01 am
by Dyslexicon
I'm still not healed lol

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:02 am
by Marmot
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:59 am I'm hardclaiming SK, but I'll town side
Hello fellow 3p, we should probably unite forces huh

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:04 am
by Marmot
The only way to heal from GOC 2020 was to roll mafia in the first place

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:05 am
by NotAnAxehole
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:51 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:49 am
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:45 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:35 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:49 pm Town has exactly one more mischop available before we enter elimination phases (final X). The margin for error is tiny and we cannot afford to have even one member of the town faction say "whatever, I'll just die".
Do you have any anti-alignments that stands out to you? Or in other words, is there anyone you feel are mafia in most worlds? I'll take a look at this tonight myself.
He did make that chart yesterday...
Lol =p

My mind doesn't work in charts tbh, I'm looking for more words. I want to know why the charts are what they are, cause I'm not in Jimmay's brain like Sloonmeister. But I'll do the same exercise later tonight.
One huge flaw in the charts is that low posters tend to have higher association potential simply because they haven't had many interactions on the thread, and those are I think how JollyJimmyJoe chose his colours.
One might define that as the purpose of PoE...

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:06 am
by Marmot
Can someone write a musical number explaining the use and benefits of PoE, with like people dropping dead all over the stage and everything

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:07 am
by Marmot
Wow, I still haven't gotten out of bed yet!

I'mma go make some sex, be back later

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:08 am
by Johanna
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:01 am I'm still not healed lol
You okay hun?

Image

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:10 am
by NotAnAxehole
@Johanna @Dyslexicon

Since you're here, do you both agree to take me and Marmot as town?

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:14 am
by NotAnAxehole
This is not a loaded question because the game is in a state where realistically it's either speed run into a win or a loss, you guys can feel free to talk all day and all night, but I just want to understand if I actually have to pay attention to the thread or if we can semi reliably rely on doing any order of:

Falcon
SoA
Ilario
Dolby

And then if we hit town, we take the 50/50 on:

G-Man
Johanna

If we didn't hit town on the first 3, we just bulldoze the last 2 ftw.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:14 am
by Johanna
I don't see a scummy bone in either o' youse
Spoiler: show
but then again I don't have x-ray vision.
Spoiler: show
Maybe I should ask Superman
Spoiler: show
or just my radiologist cousin.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:15 am
by Johanna
Spoiler: show
I don't actually have a radiologist cousin

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:17 am
by Marmot
Being a consensus townread is unfamiliar territory. Should I change how I dress or something

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:18 am
by Marmot
Spoiler: show
Maybe I'll become a radiologist like Jo's cousin

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:18 am
by NotAnAxehole
Marmot wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:17 am Being a consensus townread is unfamiliar territory. Should I change how I dress or something
Do you agree on the game state at least?

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:21 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:14 am And then if we hit town, we take the 50/50 on:

G-Man
Johanna
Why are these two 50/50?

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:21 am
by NotAnAxehole
I feel like it's a simple, yet low probability problem with 0 information.

If we can all agree on the game state (minus the people in the PoE - because who the fuck cares), then we just need to either find 1/2 town (leaning Johanna) or 1/4 town (leaning Falcon - but there are two 1-way interactions I wanted to revise and a purple block that needs investigating).

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:22 am
by NotAnAxehole
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:21 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:14 am And then if we hit town, we take the 50/50 on:

G-Man
Johanna
Why are these two 50/50?
I'm not interested in a discussion unless a consensus is established prior. Diving into details is pointless, without the plan town loses.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:23 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:22 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:21 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:14 am And then if we hit town, we take the 50/50 on:

G-Man
Johanna
Why are these two 50/50?
I'm not interested in a discussion unless a consensus is established prior. Diving into details is pointless, without the plan town loses.
I’m just making sure you’re not still relying on Dizzy’s rescinded claim.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:24 am
by Marmot
NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:18 am
Marmot wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:17 am Being a consensus townread is unfamiliar territory. Should I change how I dress or something
Do you agree on the game state at least?
Almost. I'd replace ilario with g-man in my list.

That said, a poe of 4 right now doesn't feel right, especially after Lime Coke was a miss yesterday. It feels too easy. Like, if ilario, Dizzy, JJJ and myself are all town, how did we collectively get sig, and then that one wrong?

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:26 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 9:57 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 11:00 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:58 pm This is the JJJ despair post.
I don't know why that's despair. That's a very subjective assessment, so I'll just ask a related but different question:

- Would it be wise for me, as a town member, to keep pummeling away at what I have been doing without reconsidering my approach with no dead mafia and only one mischop still available?
There's some interesting language here...you pummeling away, the wording there makes it sound as tho it's fatiguing for you, defeating.

You've had quite a bit of success playing Maf, you're a very talented player. Tell me, do you throw out your playbook cuz' of 2 mislynches?


This post is also subtly seeded with the despair I mentioned, and it's antithetical to your town play IMO
Why didn’t you answer the question?

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:27 am
by NotAnAxehole
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:23 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:22 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:21 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:14 am And then if we hit town, we take the 50/50 on:

G-Man
Johanna
Why are these two 50/50?
I'm not interested in a discussion unless a consensus is established prior. Diving into details is pointless, without the plan town loses.
I’m just making sure you’re not still relying on Dizzy’s rescinded claim.
Ah, you could have lead with that.

I don't actually think that complicates things at all.

In which case, I still put

Town:

JJJ
Sloonei
Dyzzy
Marmot
Me
TSP

Falcon
Johanna

Speed yeet everyone else and see if we've won.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:28 am
by NotAnAxehole
Marmot wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:24 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:18 am
Marmot wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:17 am Being a consensus townread is unfamiliar territory. Should I change how I dress or something
Do you agree on the game state at least?
Almost. I'd replace ilario with g-man in my list.

That said, a poe of 4 right now doesn't feel right, especially after Lime Coke was a miss yesterday. It feels too easy. Like, if ilario, Dizzy, JJJ and myself are all town, how did we collectively get sig, and then that one wrong?
Yeah, my bad I missed the post rescinding.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:33 am
by NotAnAxehole
Dolby's perspective this game has been so stale. I'd say he's almost certainly mafia. Also contrarian for the sake of it, and parking vote whenever possible without having to justify anything

Ilario has only jumped in in cases where he had a clear direction / target / intention, also the misread on Lime Coke apparently is a big deal for him

G-Man's posting has been to prevent the narrowing of PoE

SoA just ceased to exist albeit, could be town

I would yeet the first two and expect it's 2/2, then I'd re-evaluate G-Man, SoA, Falcon, Johanna

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:36 am
by NotAnAxehole
Also, occam's razor / most reasonable thing to do right now is kill someone who voted on both town who is also not eliminated in the PoE.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:39 am
by NotAnAxehole
NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:33 am Dolby's perspective this game has been so stale. I'd say he's almost certainly mafia. Also contrarian for the sake of it, and parking vote whenever possible without having to justify anything

Ilario has only jumped in in cases where he had a clear direction / target / intention, also the misread on Lime Coke apparently is a big deal for him

G-Man's posting has been to prevent the narrowing of PoE

SoA just ceased to exist albeit, could be town

I would yeet the first two and expect it's 2/2, then I'd re-evaluate G-Man, SoA, Falcon, Johanna
Another point to add is that SoA despite his D1 activity hadn't dissociated himself very much from other players, which makes me think he was more concerned about posting than say people who were careless like JJJ and Sloonei.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:40 am
by Johanna
Marmot wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:18 am
Spoiler: show
Maybe I'll become a radiologist like Jo's cousin
Image
Spoiler: show
I swear I'm not lolcatting.

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:41 am
by Johanna
NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:36 am Also, occam's razor / most reasonable thing to do right now is kill someone who voted on both town who is also not eliminated in the PoE.
Yeah, that's actually pretty reasonable.