Alright so in game states like these ones, I was taught a very important thing that I hold close to my heart.
When there's nothing to analyse / nobody is doing anything, you gotta kickstart the hunting process by saying stuff
It is under this great wisdom that I will have a string of posts which only contains reads from now on and I'm forcing myself to actually be useful and not shitpost.
My posts from now on will ONLY have the purpose of advancing my wincondition
We proceed with yet another analysis of 3 players, it's a random order, kind of pluck slots that have acceptable number of posts that I also have no sort of opinion on
Turnip Head / Soneji / Dr Wilgy
Turnip Head -
Good opening but this guy is charismatic, not putting as much stock in his opening.
Turnip Head wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2020 9:40 am
Game isn't calm we just haven't struck a good angle yet imo. I doubt the wolves are full-scale MIA, more likely low key barnacles suckling the townie posts
Turnip Head wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2020 10:16 am
[VOTE:
bronana] aubergine
I feel really really good about this vote and I'd like to see a big wagon for pressure
Liking this progression, bronana is just on the brink of that assessment (at the time of this post) and I like that his first thought on the game is immediately followed up on by some scum hunting. It adds to the genuine hunting mindset, I guess.
As in, "yeah so wolves are probably here" and the next post is kind of hunting to test that theory / sorting in that pool or something.
My perception of TH's meta is kind of being under the radar but his options are limited to what the thread consensus is, whereas in this game he just kind of seems to dismiss fights / hop on an opportunity to create more chaos.
I guess the next point I'm about to make is directly contradicting, but his perspective on Marcher's wolfiness is in the right spot in my opinion. He called out Marcher for making a full 180 on me / pushing the gas pedal as soon as I did.
Turnip Head wrote: ↑Thu Jun 25, 2020 5:30 pm
KZA is a lil lurkier than I would like atm, a middle of the road poster who's under the radar in a concerning way to me. I expected to see townie teeth but instead they're sleeping in grannie's pajamas.
This kind of ties in with that first post. Sorta.
Turnip Head wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2020 1:40 pm
bronana wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2020 1:36 pm
what do you think of monsieur radishes
He's at about 65% of what I consider his top form townie meta. In the past, he's been much quicker to develop reads and push unique perspectives.
Turnip Head wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2020 1:45 pm
[VOTE:
Master Radishes] aubergine
After breezing through his ISO, I had no choice.
Yeah this is something that wolves do barely on a town, imo.
If I put in the perspective of "TH is actually kinda the UTR wolf", I have a hard time imagining he'd do this type of thing, especially to Radishes.
Think he'd be more prone to just give him a town lean while Nutella and Dunya scream at each other, but if I consider TH as UTR, then "Okay, I'm gonna wolf read MR even though it's gonna look bad for me after he flips town" doesn't register in my mental map of an UTR wolf as a game winning strategy.
Also thinking he'd be self-aware at the absolute lack of town posts before this, it'd be like a whole gambit altogether.
I kind of want to say the guy's town although I admit I don't have any damning evidence, but his body of work is ~fine as of right now.
Also wanted to add that I can see TH scum reading MR, as that was my gut reaction, but dwelving into a more level 3 kind of read on him I figured he was town, but I can see TH buying his read there, so I have no worries with the push.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Dr Wilgy -
I really want to say the slot's wolf.
I think the guy presented a "way too chill" aura for a townie that is being wagonned at EoD and his whole stance on the matter, or rather, his mindset reads very artificial in dealing with it. It's trying too hard to not be bothered by being wagonned and reason his way out of the cuddle.
(someone that has DrWilgy meta should probably weigh in on whether this is a good way to read him - is he an emotional player?)
Kinda think that as a town you just have to ISO the people that are voting you / scream at them / figure out why they are pushing you, where he just went "Gonna ISO KZA cuz I know him, found nothing"
and then kinda just posting for the sake of posting and he poops a "If it's not Radish or I, who are the scum?"
Which is by far the wolfiest post in his ISO. This guy has read nothing but the OP and he is trying to deflect the votes off his wagon and Radish, while not having a Radish read, he doesn't care that he's being voted, he just wants to get votes off him.
His following questions are just exploring the other options IMO and trying way too much to be reasonable.
I think a villager's priority coming to a wagon on them is exactly :
1) Sort your voters
2) Figure out the alignment of your counter-wagon / counter-wagons
3) Be inquisitive of the way the wagon on you has formed
None of which are points Wilgy was interested in.
So, yeah, the slot can get cuddled. Big cuddle. Suffocating cuddle. DVC cuddle.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Soneji -
I wish I could force a read but I think it's gonna be a wrong read, so I'm just gonna declare myself defeated and say I'm keeping him at a null, pending new information.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Some recap of my reads (have 6 reads that I've actually ISO'd)
{
KZA}
{
Turnip Head}
{
Carote}
{
TSP} (very weak town read)
========
{
Soneji} -------> Null line
========
{
DrWilgy}
Some P-edit of this is that I probably have some big concerns w/r/t Turnip if I look at Wilgy as wolf, because I think he pushed the gas pedal on MR exactly when Wilgy was being discussed as an option
I thought the way he went about his read on MR is villagery still but I wanted to reality-check myself, because I didn't dig TH's entire ISO to have a higher baseline to evaluate from.
It's just...something to keep an eye on.
[VOTE:
DrWilgy ] aubergine