Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Fri Oct 16, 2020 10:52 pm
Nah.
[VOTE: 112] aubergine
[VOTE: 112] aubergine
Because Vulgard is screaming at us from beyond the grave to not lynch Arete.
The Syndicate
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
Escape From Russia [GAME OVER]
Page 107 of 121
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Fri Oct 16, 2020 10:57 pm
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:03 pm
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:17 pm
[VOTE:
Ash Lael] aubergine
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Fri Oct 16, 2020 11:22 pm
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:07 am
Re: Escape From Russia [Night 3]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:09 am
Arete wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 9:46 pm just going to ... go through each of my clears, I guess, and talk about why I'm clearing them/whether I think those reasons are still Good And Valid
posting this one at a time in case wolves randomly decide to kill me, for some reason? but this way I'll at least be able to get some thoughts out before EoN
Ash
why I am clearing Ash: Ash was one of the most driving forces behind the TSP wagon and was basically hardpushing him from the start of the game, TSP also seemed legitimately bothered by his push on him in a way that scum aren't usually bothered by their teammates' pushes on him and spent a fair amount of time trying to discredit it. Without Ash TSP ?probably? wouldn't have even been a major wagon on D1.
do I think this is still valid: yes, I do. while obviously bussing is a known phenomenon that exists, I doubt that Ash (who as I understand it is relatively less experienced)? would immediately hard-bus a more experienced partner. additionally, TSP's spew is a good look for him -- TSP spends the most time trying to discredit TSP's scumread on him out of any of the people that had been pushing him.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:39 am
So are we finally lynching a scum or not?
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:40 am
Re: Escape From Russia [Night 3]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:42 am
So you were town ted... Hm... Should I start trusting you from next game [mention]tedxtr[/mention] ?G-Man wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 9:53 pmKIEV OR BUSTSunday, May 31st, 2020
5:02 a.m. EESK
They crossed the border as the sun was rising. Weary but focused, the snuck into the small farming community of Veterynarne. There weren't many vehicles to choose from, but they also didn't need many in order to make the journey to Kiev.
"Alright, there's eleven of us," Chelsea said, so we need to find three decent sized cars to spread us around."
"Why not a truck?" Sidney asked.
"I think truck will be more conspicuous. Plus it will probably require more fill-ups along the way."
"Good thinking," Sidney said. "But I think we'll have to steal at least one other set of cars along the way unless we find a kind soul to fill up the tanks for us."
"Over here," Chelsea pointed. "There are a few cars by this building." She looked back at the rest of the travelers, but something was wrong.
"Sidney," she said. "Where's Polina?"
"Well damn," he said. "I haven't done a head count since you snuffed out Oleg. Is she lagging behind in the fields?"
The strained their eyes to the horizon for any sign of Polina making her way toward them. The rising sun was unforgiving in its assault.
"We don't have time," Chelsea said. "We need to go."
"Right," Sidney agreed. "At least now we can all squeeze into two cars."
In their hearts, they hoped that Polina was just tired, trailing behind them, and would somehow find a way to freedom on her own. In their minds, she was dead somewhere back along their route.
Their minds were right.
The hotwired two cars and set off on yet another leg of their journey. They had escaped from Russia, but they weren't out of trouble yet.
------------------------------
tedxtr is dead.
He was Polina Kolchenko, an escaped political prisoner and vanilla civvie.
It is now Day 4.You have 48 hours to eliminate someone.
Re: Escape From Russia [Night 3]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 1:48 am
112Arete wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 9:46 pm just going to ... go through each of my clears, I guess, and talk about why I'm clearing them/whether I think those reasons are still Good And Valid
posting this one at a time in case wolves randomly decide to kill me, for some reason? but this way I'll at least be able to get some thoughts out before EoN
Ash
why I am clearing Ash: Ash was one of the most driving forces behind the TSP wagon and was basically hardpushing him from the start of the game, TSP also seemed legitimately bothered by his push on him in a way that scum aren't usually bothered by their teammates' pushes on him and spent a fair amount of time trying to discredit it. Without Ash TSP ?probably? wouldn't have even been a major wagon on D1.
do I think this is still valid: yes, I do. while obviously bussing is a known phenomenon that exists, I doubt that Ash (who as I understand it is relatively less experienced)? would immediately hard-bus a more experienced partner. additionally, TSP's spew is a good look for him -- TSP spends the most time trying to discredit TSP's scumread on him out of any of the people that had been pushing him.
why I am clearing 112: I thought the thing where she came into the thread and immediately started calling the most consensus villagers wolves was a good look, I didn't think a wolf was likely to do that. Also, I thought the ways in which Tony hedged on her were most likely to indicate a wolf partner TMIing her V, rather than a W/W interaction.
do I think this is still valid: ...probably not, like, these are reasons that exist but I'm not sure they're strong enough to have 112 as lock V on D4 still
idk GTH 112 is still a villager but I'm less confident in that
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 1:56 am
Ash: I want to see Arete's towncase on 112
Arete: actually I'm not sure that 112 is V anymore
wowee
Arete: actually I'm not sure that 112 is V anymore
wowee
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 1:56 am
why are people voting Ash??
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 3:07 am
So... Hally dies tomorrow morning? or at eod?
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 3:19 am
I *think* at EOD but not sure
But also
We should probably either TK Hally or sleep
8 now, worst case...Hally dies making it 7...we TK town making it 6...someone else is poisoned and flips green, making it 5...NK brings us to 4.
I would be shocked if there’s not at least two scum alive. If there’s three we’re probably gonna lose this game anyways, so. Yeah. I’d probably advocate for playing it safe and TKing Hally I think.
It’s also 3am tho so someone checking me would be cool
But also
We should probably either TK Hally or sleep
8 now, worst case...Hally dies making it 7...we TK town making it 6...someone else is poisoned and flips green, making it 5...NK brings us to 4.
I would be shocked if there’s not at least two scum alive. If there’s three we’re probably gonna lose this game anyways, so. Yeah. I’d probably advocate for playing it safe and TKing Hally I think.
It’s also 3am tho so someone checking me would be cool
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 3:31 am
However if Hally got a double dose of the virus, lynching now gives us a second lynch, while sleeping throws that chance away.NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 3:19 am I *think* at EOD but not sure
But also
We should probably either TK Hally or sleep
8 now, worst case...Hally dies making it 7...we TK town making it 6...someone else is poisoned and flips green, making it 5...NK brings us to 4.
I would be shocked if there’s not at least two scum alive. If there’s three we’re probably gonna lose this game anyways, so. Yeah. I’d probably advocate for playing it safe and TKing Hally I think.
It’s also 3am tho so someone checking me would be cool
Like, there’s an 80% chance it makes no difference to the total number of lynches, but we’re probably deciding between 112 and Wilgy whether we do it today or tomorrow, so taking the shot at a bonus lynch seems worth it to me.
There’s also a chance a third power role (such as the hypothesised second doctor) does something to change the math. I think lynching today is probably the best option in most worlds.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:15 am
There isn’t an 80% chance there’s no difference?
TKing increases the odds a scum dies (Hally plus TK or Hally plus TK plus second poison), but it also increases the odds we just lose.
TKing increases the odds a scum dies (Hally plus TK or Hally plus TK plus second poison), but it also increases the odds we just lose.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:27 am
I mean no difference to the number of lynches left.
Like if we sleep we don’t end the game (probably), but we still are in a situation where we have only one more lynch before the game potentially ends. It’s just a question of spending that lynch tomorrow, or spending it now and getting a chance of an extra one.
Like if we sleep we don’t end the game (probably), but we still are in a situation where we have only one more lynch before the game potentially ends. It’s just a question of spending that lynch tomorrow, or spending it now and getting a chance of an extra one.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 5:06 am
Sure, but we also have more information to make that TK with
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 5:06 am
Like if I have to bet the game on one flip, I’d like to have as many flips prior as possible, you know?
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 5:21 am
Yeah that’s fair I guess. I just don’t like the idea of of doing nothing today and then there’s only two flips and we have to sit around and do nothing again... but you’re not wrong.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:45 am
Hey
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:47 am
Are we doing a no lynch?NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 5:06 am Like if I have to bet the game on one flip, I’d like to have as many flips prior as possible, you know?
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:48 am
[VOTE:
112] aubergine
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:49 am
Tbh, I think if we don't lynch today, scum would have more control in the game don't you think so? They can kill people of their liking first and handle it their way in the end.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:50 am
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:51 am
There's only one scenario to refrain from voting someone out, and this isn't that scenario.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:52 am
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:57 am
Perhaps I misread what you were saying. All I meant was that there is generally only one reason to vote "no lynch," and that's if there are four people remaining.
What's your take on who should die today?
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:05 pm
[VOTE:
DrWilgy] aubergine
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:06 pm
kinda happy if I'm gonna leave this game tbh
y'all are voting town tho, i'm obligated to tell you
y'all are voting town tho, i'm obligated to tell you
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:06 pm
112.clearly they are scum.Epignosis wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:57 amPerhaps I misread what you were saying. All I meant was that there is generally only one reason to vote "no lynch," and that's if there are four people remaining.
What's your take on who should die today?
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:07 pm
[VOTE:
112] aubergine
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:08 pm
"clearly"Poison wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:06 pm112.clearly they are scum.Epignosis wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:57 amPerhaps I misread what you were saying. All I meant was that there is generally only one reason to vote "no lynch," and that's if there are four people remaining.
What's your take on who should die today?
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:09 pm
112, what's your take on Poison?
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:13 pm
probably town but have been getting lees of bad vibrations
i don't understand why she's pushing me so hard when her case on me wasn't even that solid (imo)
trying to work out if she's just in a tunnel or if she's actively pursuing my mischop; i lean town here because i think she'd be a bit more subtle about it if she was scum
still, she's one of the most frustrating players in the game for me right now with how she's approaching my slot
random add-on: I don't like her 'hmm's and ellipses. i'm prejudiced against those.
at any stretch, she's not as cleared as a lot of people are treating her
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:13 pm
I've decided to spend the entire phase taunting people for voting for me.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:18 pm
I don't see why I'm "clearly" scum either. That seems disingenuous.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:20 pm
I'm sorry, my case against you is not solid? If you go by your own iso and a few reasons you have while reading other people scum, you wrote down the traits you posses yourself. All things aside, tell me what is towny about you and only towny which cannot be faked by a scum?112 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:13 pmprobably town but have been getting lees of bad vibrations
i don't understand why she's pushing me so hard when her case on me wasn't even that solid (imo)
trying to work out if she's just in a tunnel or if she's actively pursuing my mischop; i lean town here because i think she'd be a bit more subtle about it if she was scum
still, she's one of the most frustrating players in the game for me right now with how she's approaching my slot
random add-on: I don't like her 'hmm's and ellipses. i'm prejudiced against those.
at any stretch, she's not as cleared as a lot of people are treating her
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:20 pm
At the very least, Poison needs to think outside of the box before I'm yeeted to avoid being completely uninformed as to who the last scum actually are. It's one thing to want to yeet someone badly, but it's another thing entirely to eschew looking for alternative realities in the case that that read is wrong.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:21 pm
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:21 pm
Nothing I've done can't be faked by scum. That doesn't make me a wolf.Poison wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:20 pmI'm sorry, my case against you is not solid? If you go by your own iso and a few reasons you have while reading other people scum, you wrote down the traits you posses yourself. All things aside, tell me what is towny about you and only towny which cannot be faked by a scum?112 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:13 pmprobably town but have been getting lees of bad vibrations
i don't understand why she's pushing me so hard when her case on me wasn't even that solid (imo)
trying to work out if she's just in a tunnel or if she's actively pursuing my mischop; i lean town here because i think she'd be a bit more subtle about it if she was scum
still, she's one of the most frustrating players in the game for me right now with how she's approaching my slot
random add-on: I don't like her 'hmm's and ellipses. i'm prejudiced against those.
at any stretch, she's not as cleared as a lot of people are treating her
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:22 pm
The thing is 112, I have been looking at others and never pushed you hard early in the game, and because I looked at all the other possibilities i ended up voting towns.112 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:20 pm At the very least, Poison needs to think outside of the box before I'm yeeted to avoid being completely uninformed as to who the last scum actually are. It's one thing to want to yeet someone badly, but it's another thing entirely to eschew looking for alternative realities in the case that that read is wrong.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:23 pm
Of course not, that doesn't make you a town for that very reason.112 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:21 pmNothing I've done can't be faked by scum. That doesn't make me a wolf.Poison wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:20 pmI'm sorry, my case against you is not solid? If you go by your own iso and a few reasons you have while reading other people scum, you wrote down the traits you posses yourself. All things aside, tell me what is towny about you and only towny which cannot be faked by a scum?112 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:13 pmprobably town but have been getting lees of bad vibrations
i don't understand why she's pushing me so hard when her case on me wasn't even that solid (imo)
trying to work out if she's just in a tunnel or if she's actively pursuing my mischop; i lean town here because i think she'd be a bit more subtle about it if she was scum
still, she's one of the most frustrating players in the game for me right now with how she's approaching my slot
random add-on: I don't like her 'hmm's and ellipses. i'm prejudiced against those.
at any stretch, she's not as cleared as a lot of people are treating her
As to why you are mafia, well I have a wall on it.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:23 pm
I read all of Poison's Day 1 posts regarding Tony and I don't see how Poison arrived at the conclusion that Tony was the best choice for a vote.
That's the closest I saw to anything about Tony.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:26 pm
I'm pretty sure you haven't read all of my interactions with tiny or my read on them. If you are ctrl + f tony, I'll suggest you do it with TSP.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:28 pm
Yep, you're right. There's a substantial post.Poison wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:26 pmI'm pretty sure you haven't read all of my interactions with tiny or my read on them. If you are ctrl + f tony, I'll suggest you do it with TSP.
Have you made any similar posts about anybody else so far? If so, can you post a link?
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:30 pm
For the record, I don't think most players in the game have done stuff a wolf couldn't fake.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:31 pm
I've read the wall and still don't understand why it implicates me. You're taking a whole lot of nothing statements and reading me wolf because of them.Poison wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:23 pmOf course not, that doesn't make you a town for that very reason.112 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:21 pmNothing I've done can't be faked by scum. That doesn't make me a wolf.Poison wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:20 pmI'm sorry, my case against you is not solid? If you go by your own iso and a few reasons you have while reading other people scum, you wrote down the traits you posses yourself. All things aside, tell me what is towny about you and only towny which cannot be faked by a scum?112 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:13 pmprobably town but have been getting lees of bad vibrations
i don't understand why she's pushing me so hard when her case on me wasn't even that solid (imo)
trying to work out if she's just in a tunnel or if she's actively pursuing my mischop; i lean town here because i think she'd be a bit more subtle about it if she was scum
still, she's one of the most frustrating players in the game for me right now with how she's approaching my slot
random add-on: I don't like her 'hmm's and ellipses. i'm prejudiced against those.
at any stretch, she's not as cleared as a lot of people are treating her
As to why you are mafia, well I have a wall on it.
It's like: 112 did x and y, therefore 112 is scum. But it's missing things in between.
Re: Escape From Russia [Day 4]
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:32 pm
Yes I think 112, mich, and uh idk vul I'm not sure though. Can you please ctrl + f on my iso. I'm going for dinner also, not on PC.Epignosis wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:28 pmYep, you're right. There's a substantial post.Poison wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:26 pmI'm pretty sure you haven't read all of my interactions with tiny or my read on them. If you are ctrl + f tony, I'll suggest you do it with TSP.
Have you made any similar posts about anybody else so far? If so, can you post a link?