Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 2]
Posted: Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:27 am
kza up to dirty tricks
How do I know I can trust you with that information?Strawhenge wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:30 am @BoKnows and @Long Con, are you guys not scum or not town? It's okay to tell me, I'll keep a secret.
Look at my face. Would this face lie to you?Long Con wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:32 amHow do I know I can trust you with that information?Strawhenge wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:30 am @BoKnows and @Long Con, are you guys not scum or not town? It's okay to tell me, I'll keep a secret.
pinky promise not to tell anyone? if you do check the spoiler!!! NO ONE ELSE CHECK THE SPOILERStrawhenge wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:30 am @BoKnows and @Long Con, are you guys not scum or not town? It's okay to tell me, I'll keep a secret.
@Oddmerta should respond to thisHally wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:33 am i finished iso’ing oddmerta and have confirmed that he doesn’t have a single villagery thought or post in his iso. there is nothing i can point to and go “odd is trying to solve the game.” the few reads he’s given look fake. his tone/attitude could perhaps be construed as villagery but i think they’re just his personality and NAI. i don’t see any reason why he’s a villager
thank you.Hally wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:33 am i finished iso’ing oddmerta and have confirmed that he doesn’t have a single villagery thought or post in his iso. there is nothing i can point to and go “odd is trying to solve the game.” the few reads he’s given look fake. his tone/attitude could perhaps be construed as villagery but i think they’re just his personality and NAI. i don’t see any reason why he’s a villager
Interesting. When I looked at him when he was leading in votes on D1 (or tied with KZA at the time, I forget), nothing screamed town but I also couldn't see any reason to call him scum. I should take another look.Hally wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:33 am i finished iso’ing oddmerta and have confirmed that he doesn’t have a single villagery thought or post in his iso. there is nothing i can point to and go “odd is trying to solve the game.” the few reads he’s given look fake. his tone/attitude could perhaps be construed as villagery but i think they’re just his personality and NAI. i don’t see any reason why he’s a villager
I am scanning JPIC's ISO to try to flesh out a read on him one way or the other. I think this early post is a good look. He seems to be genuinely a bit miffed at Odd's treatment of him, but not in a hellbent or defensive sort of way. Just annoyed. I think that sort of response to suspicion, pure annoyance, is more likely to come from a civilian than mafia.Justplayingitcool wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 4:13 amMy only thoughts on Odd so far is that he blatantly misrepresented me and said I dismissed day 0 reads which is not what I said at all. When I called him out on it, he has not responded.tedxtr wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 3:27 ami thought his first few posts were pretty wolfy when i was ittJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 3:20 am Well that's a hell of a way to start a new page! Yeehaw!
Tell me about Oddmerta, ted and Esooa.
afaict he has trouble finding an actual tunnel for genuine reasons and from his iso I can't glean that he's actually reading the thread and assessing stuff like a villager would
from the few games we've played, i don't expect him to talk about someone like sloonei being scum and then voting somebody random like jpic, he seems to me more like the theory conspiracy guy. doesn't seem like he's using his votes in order to gather INTEL from his scum reads (especially sloonei)
the LC read I believe was straight up stolen from spf's call on alison - and that was probably the only villagery thing that i was willing to call slightly villagery in his iso, but it's most likely nothing
i don't like to type a lot of words, hope this manages to sum it up decently
Ok... ok. The truth is, I am town. I even have a nice little town role that's fun and cool. Last night, I tried to target Alison with it, but I got blocked by... it was Esooa, right? But I tell ya, I got POTENTIAL. Believe in me.Strawhenge wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:33 amLook at my face. Would this face lie to you?Long Con wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:32 amHow do I know I can trust you with that information?Strawhenge wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:30 am @BoKnows and @Long Con, are you guys not scum or not town? It's okay to tell me, I'll keep a secret.
[record scratch]Long Con wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:38 amOk... ok. The truth is, I am town. I even have a nice little town role that's fun and cool. Last night, I tried to target Alison with it, but I got blocked by... it was Esooa, right? But I tell ya, I got POTENTIAL. Believe in me.Strawhenge wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:33 amLook at my face. Would this face lie to you?Long Con wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:32 amHow do I know I can trust you with that information?Strawhenge wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:30 am @BoKnows and @Long Con, are you guys not scum or not town? It's okay to tell me, I'll keep a secret.
Yeah.Strawhenge wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:42 am[record scratch]Long Con wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:38 amOk... ok. The truth is, I am town. I even have a nice little town role that's fun and cool. Last night, I tried to target Alison with it, but I got blocked by... it was Esooa, right? But I tell ya, I got POTENTIAL. Believe in me.Strawhenge wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:33 amLook at my face. Would this face lie to you?Long Con wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:32 amHow do I know I can trust you with that information?Strawhenge wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:30 am @BoKnows and @Long Con, are you guys not scum or not town? It's okay to tell me, I'll keep a secret.
You tried to target Alison with something and the so-claimed doctor blocked you from doing it?
I do not. Given that both teams can apparently kill each night (based on Night 1, at least. That may not actually be the case), I think 14 vs 4 vs 4 can make for a very quick and unfair town loss.
Or they could eat each other. But I'm not balance-master.
Oh right, I asked about that, but I don't recall a confirmation.Hally wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:46 am https://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Alien_(role)
i believe this is what @Esooa is claiming
I've never played with this role. Interesting.Hally wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:46 am https://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Alien_(role)
i believe this is what @Esooa is claiming
This is true, but I would not bank on it, and I think cross-team violence is less likely to occur in general because nightkill targets tend to be the players that are the most cleared, so that's not an occurrence that I think should be given supreme weight when balancing any game.Long Con wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:46 amOr they could eat each other. But I'm not balance-master.
How do the numbers affect the hunting on the base level?
But his trooperness is going to give him general yeet invulnerability until a few more POE folks are gone. I think that's a reality that could preclude a deep analysis of him that could lead to a yeet decision.Hally wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:51 am i want to clarify btw that i’m not saying odd is necessarily a wolf. it’s not like i can’t see him as a villager. i’m simply saying the seemingly unanimous free pass he’s being given does not seem warranted given his iso and i don’t really think he should be getting v read right now. if anyone has arguments to the contrary i’m all ears though
I wish odd would do more give his position in this gameHally wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:51 am i want to clarify btw that i’m not saying odd is necessarily a wolf. it’s not like i can’t see him as a villager. i’m simply saying the seemingly unanimous free pass he’s being given does not seem warranted given his iso and i don’t really think he should be getting v read right now. if anyone has arguments to the contrary i’m all ears though
His position in this game is his avatar. He is a barking dog chained to Alison's throne. That's how I pictured it before, before troopers became suspectable again.BoKnows wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:55 amI wish odd would do more give his position in this gameHally wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:51 am i want to clarify btw that i’m not saying odd is necessarily a wolf. it’s not like i can’t see him as a villager. i’m simply saying the seemingly unanimous free pass he’s being given does not seem warranted given his iso and i don’t really think he should be getting v read right now. if anyone has arguments to the contrary i’m all ears though
Yeah, this is ultimately where I fall on Odd. He's been handed a very nice platform to join in and help us solve the game, but he's done absolutely nothing with it. If nothing else, Radiohead showed me that he's capable of being engaged in the solving effort.BoKnows wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:55 amI wish odd would do more give his position in this gameHally wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:51 am i want to clarify btw that i’m not saying odd is necessarily a wolf. it’s not like i can’t see him as a villager. i’m simply saying the seemingly unanimous free pass he’s being given does not seem warranted given his iso and i don’t really think he should be getting v read right now. if anyone has arguments to the contrary i’m all ears though
yeah, this is kinda what i was getting at above with him not seeming to care about how he looksSloonei wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 1:01 amYeah, this is ultimately where I fall on Odd. He's been handed a very nice platform to join in and help us solve the game, but he's done absolutely nothing with it. If nothing else, Radiohead showed me that he's capable of being engaged in the solving effort.BoKnows wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:55 amI wish odd would do more give his position in this gameHally wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:51 am i want to clarify btw that i’m not saying odd is necessarily a wolf. it’s not like i can’t see him as a villager. i’m simply saying the seemingly unanimous free pass he’s being given does not seem warranted given his iso and i don’t really think he should be getting v read right now. if anyone has arguments to the contrary i’m all ears though
But as I say this, I have to ask myself if this is a reason to town read him: if he's mafia, then he's resisting the collective effort to drag him into the towncore. Why not just pay along and capitalize on all this goodwill?
How do you intend to make this happen?
I do not think it is.
I will join you but only in spiritTonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 1:09 am im fifty fifty between the alarms and the all nighter
how are you liking it? my best ever crossword clue was for bleak housefalcon45ca wrote: ↑Fri Apr 09, 2021 7:04 pmHoly fuck, I can't read this.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Apr 09, 2021 7:01 pmi don't carry the resounding confidence that everyone else in this game does that falcon is a villager, but i do think that he is probably just a villager. i don't currently have a reason to be concerned about him and i don't intend to tinfoil this slot unless it's proven that the consensus POE is broken.
there have been some small moments from tedextr that have made me doubt myself, (mostly just the authenticity of emotion in some of his more recent posting, but i am deliberately refusing to base my reads on that foundation) but i still find him holistically pretty wolfy. i have zero issue with his slot being resolved
nanook has been a slot that i've mostly ignored reading throughout this game, for whatever reason. i usually think that nanook's alignment is obvious as either alignment (ie: i read him as mafia immediately in the zelda mash, i read him as town immediately in bread mafia), but he's been in this weird neutral space where most of the posts that he has made have completely unmoved me in either direction. the lack of clarity that i feel about nanook's alignment indicates to me that he might just be a wolf - i am doubtful that i would have this little to say about nanook's posting if he was a villager
i haven't untangled whether or not alison being a villager also makes oddmerta a villager by default. i'm not sure if it does. regardless, i have found oddmerta's posting mildly villagery. he would probably be the top of my priority list to sort if the POE ended up being way off, but he is a slot that i'm also not very concerned about right now
i still feel that sloonei is a villager. i have very much felt myself being in line with his solving today and i have been given zero reason to believe that he's playing w/a ulterior motive. his solving is good. his lines of reasoning are good and easy to follow. his reads align with mine. i am not currently concerned about the sloonei slot
i have carried a secret tinfoil wolfread on esooa for a little while now . i know that wolf!esooa loves to subvert her meta, and i felt that her lack of investment in this game could have been an attempt to subvert her meta from fallout mafia for the sake of looking townier. esooa made a post yesterday that said: "if you want an easy reason to clear me, then just compare this game to how i played in fallout mafia!". that concerned me and validated that my worry about esooa could be coming from a reasonable place. i am also skeptical about how confidently esooa townreads me in this game, as much as i like it
even so, esooa is not on the top of my priority list to sort due to her claim, and due to the fact that i have still found her posts mostly villagery. i do think there's some truth to the idea that esooa would be more interested in the narrative and direction of this game if she was a wolf. she's a slot that i would come back to if we've wiped out the majority of the POE and things are looking bad.
strawhenge has made a couple of posts that have raised my eyebrows and pinged me the slightest bit. i still feel that they are most likely a villager based on the overwhelming villageryness of their early posting.
if i'm putting mechanics aside, then KZA is still in my POE, although not top priority. i have not sorted out whether or not alison's claim makes KZA a villager
Dom is rand. i have no opinion on his alignment and i'm skeptical of those who say they do. i have no idea. his slot should probably be resolved at some point.
i wolflean TSP, but i find myself scrambling into knots every time I try to articulate my thoughts on him. a lot of his posts just feel off to me - as though i am watching someone take a picture of another person scumhunting, as opposed to watching him scumhunt himself. i might ISO him and see if i can put some of those thoughts into words. i wolflean him.
some posts from long con have felt pretty villagery to me. i don't feel that i can comfortably take him out of my POE.
i remain fairly neutral about fingersplints. i feel that she is a plausible fit as a member of either wolf team, but there is nothing about her that particularly stands out to me as wolfy
i have found JPIC's posts significantly more villagery than in the one game where i saw him as a wolf - make of that what you will. he is in the upper echelons of my POE. not my preferred chop at all
michelle had a strong opening, and has done nothing since then that i have found particularly villagery. i think that she may just be a wolf on autopilot that is scrambling to keep up with the pace of the game. not my preferred chop but would probably sort sooner than later
i think that alison is a villager
i lean village on BoKnows. the level of comfort to his game is not the type of comfort that i feel a wolf would easily be able to replicate
i wolfread al_sama. almost all of their posts have pinged me. i have seen nothing today that changes my perspective about him. would chop.
I'm already reading Bleak House, and I don't have time for another Epic Novel
They want to trust me because they know I'm townSloonei wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 1:10 amI do not think it is.
Look at this situation. Nearly everyone in the thread wants to trust you. You should be in a very good position. We have a strong POE forming, we already chopping one mafioso and feel generally quite good that we are heading toward another. You seem to have mechanics in your corner. This should give you an excellent platform to use your voice in the thread. If you are worried about dodging a nightkill, I'd venture to say that that need not be a concern: we have at least two confirmed civilians who are currently being much, much more vocal than you are. I am not confirmed at the moment, but I am also probably ahead of you on any To Kill lists. SPF as well. So you've got a lot of cushion. You've got a platform. You've got a voice. We are all urging you to use it, and yet you are refusing. Why? Your play right now is unhelpful, and bordering on a distraction. At the very least, help us to erase our lingering tinfoil about you.
Yes, exactly. Do something. Please.Oddmerta wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 1:12 amThey want to trust me because they know I'm townSloonei wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 1:10 amI do not think it is.
Look at this situation. Nearly everyone in the thread wants to trust you. You should be in a very good position. We have a strong POE forming, we already chopping one mafioso and feel generally quite good that we are heading toward another. You seem to have mechanics in your corner. This should give you an excellent platform to use your voice in the thread. If you are worried about dodging a nightkill, I'd venture to say that that need not be a concern: we have at least two confirmed civilians who are currently being much, much more vocal than you are. I am not confirmed at the moment, but I am also probably ahead of you on any To Kill lists. SPF as well. So you've got a lot of cushion. You've got a platform. You've got a voice. We are all urging you to use it, and yet you are refusing. Why? Your play right now is unhelpful, and bordering on a distraction. At the very least, help us to erase our lingering tinfoil about you.