Search found 210 matches

by Dragon D. Luffy
Fri May 04, 2018 9:31 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 1]

One answer is right above it.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Fri May 04, 2018 9:32 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 1]

And you are misinterpreting what I said. I didn't say anyone voted at random. I am saying CFDs bring the hunting process to a success rate closer to randomness than otherwise.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Fri May 04, 2018 10:32 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 1]

Quin wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 4:15 am
Image

I hate being late, hate hate hate it! Such brilliant students as yourselves don't deserve that!

Not that the E class noticed. They were too busy poking each other with sticks to even notice lapluie had impaled herself with one! Oops!



lapluie has been lynched.

Spoiler: show
She was Karma Akabane.


Night 1 has begun. To make up for the late host post (and also because I'm busy tomorrow as well) Night 1 will be extended to 9:30 AEST on Sunday (about 39 hours).


Please take your time Quin. I have MBA this weekend. And a job interview on monday. And maybe another interview on tuesday. The more the game delays, the better. :beer:
by Dragon D. Luffy
Fri May 04, 2018 12:53 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 1]

Dyslexicon wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 12:41 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 6:59 am I don't really think this thing was a hot potato. Whatever it was, a civilian was lynched.

On Day 1, a civilian usually gets lynched. Oh well, it sucks, but we move forward. If the game maintains its pace, we'll be fine. The civilians are winning right now.
What is a hot potato? I'm hungry.

Also, town is winning, obivously, cause town is awesome. BUT, I want to stress that if all town does not start getting involved for real we're not going anywhere. There are five mafia members, and we do need coordination and a sense of urgency. Just a mantra I have.
Imo going by the role description and the character himself the indie is anything but mafia.

He may actually have a wincon of his own but he seems geared to help town.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Fri May 04, 2018 12:59 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 1]

Dyslexicon wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 12:44 pm
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 8:33 am The procedure is not to close yours eyes and vote randomly like you guys did there.

Like the day has 24 hours for a reason. You use them. The moment Mac threw the word CFD the rest of you dropped every discussion you had done so far and started randomly changing your vote like madmen.
Well, yeah, meh. Personally I feel that without a super clear direction, CFD at the end of day 1 is not the worst way to go because 1) you can get lucky and 2) everyone participating gives information and reacts in a fast paced thread. (3 - it's kind of fun).

I would prefer building good cases going forward. Do you have any? I'm more in PoE land right now. More about that later.
I'm more on the weak reads territory. I have weak bad reads on nova, Avito, wolbre and Dom. Weak civ reads on you, Jay, and Scotty. Neutral on everyone else I think.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Fri May 04, 2018 1:28 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 1]

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 1:22 pm
wolbre04 wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 12:50 pm
wolbre04 wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 12:49 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 12:41 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 6:59 am I don't really think this thing was a hot potato. Whatever it was, a civilian was lynched.

On Day 1, a civilian usually gets lynched. Oh well, it sucks, but we move forward. If the game maintains its pace, we'll be fine. The civilians are winning right now.
What is a hot potato? I'm hungry.

Also, town is winning, obivously, cause town is awesome. BUT, I want to stress that if all town does not start getting involved for real we're not going anywhere. There are five mafia members, and we do need coordination and a sense of urgency. Just a mantra I have.
The post from Quin says that there are 4 mafia, did I miss something?
And the Golden character seems to be a town aligned 3p unless he counts as nontown for numbers?
Maybe he learns to love over the course of the series or something but as of Epi 1, the yellow guy wants to destroy the whole planet and has already destroyed most of the moon. I’d bet on him as bad.
Fake news.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Fri May 04, 2018 1:30 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 1]

Spoiler: show
He did not destroy the moon, and while he could destroy the Earth, that's because he is literally made of anti-matter and could randomly explode at some point. And the students actually fix that eventually.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Fri May 04, 2018 1:31 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 1]

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 1:22 pm Well damn. That's good stuff, Dizzy.

<Vote lapluie> with bewildered question mark meme guy followed by You lynched lapluie? This had better meet my standards. is a pretty terrible look.
A friend of mine once told me excessive criticism of town can be viewed as a baddie sign. As if they are unconsciously rooting against town.

This fits it.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Fri May 04, 2018 1:33 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 1]

novaselinenever wrote: Thu May 03, 2018 6:59 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Thu May 03, 2018 6:57 pm
novaselinenever wrote: Thu May 03, 2018 6:55 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Thu May 03, 2018 6:51 pm I could lynch lapluie too.
Why ?
Zero civilian credit to be found and her dismissal of her own vote is weak.
Yeah, I didn't like how she backed off of her own vote. And the reason to begin with was weak sauce. Felt forced and she just jumped on an opportunity to have a vote on the table early on.

Avito's lynch isn't happening and I don't like my vote to be meaningless, so I'll jump there. You coming ?
I hate this post.

How was Avito lynch not happening? He had like 3 votes on him at some point.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Fri May 04, 2018 1:38 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 1]

Dyslexicon wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 1:36 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 1:33 pmI've certainly seen it before.
Going along those lines, a mentality of wanting to stop town having what is preceived as unfair advantages also is a rather common mindset slip. Let's say something like "we can't role claim right, it's totally banned right, or else that would be super unfair!" Just mentioning it for the shade.
Hmm who did that? Avito?
by Dragon D. Luffy
Sun May 06, 2018 10:40 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 1]

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Sat May 05, 2018 12:44 pm INH and DDL still in this game? They’ve been really quiet.

*clears throat*

ANYONE WANNA TALK ABOUT TWIN PEAKS AND ONE PIECE?
No OP this week, sadly.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Sun May 06, 2018 10:41 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 2]

I am here. Slowly catching up but I have a food poisoning of sorts so I feel like horse shit. Will try to do something useful before the day ends if I can.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Sun May 06, 2018 11:09 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 2]

juliets wrote: Sun May 06, 2018 10:51 am Also DDL I hope you feel better. Food poisoning is rough.
I used "sort of" because I dont know if this is the right term in english. All I know is that I ate a shrimp paella for dinner yesterday and sonething in it was spoiled, and now I feel like there is an angry mob screaming and punching in my stomach.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Sun May 06, 2018 1:50 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 2]

Pennywise being inactive is not his meta, but is also NAI. We will have to lynch him eventually if he doesn't show up. Doesn't have to be now, but has to be before the endgame.

I have a hard time reading Avito cuz I dont know him that much game-wise. He is pretty laid back right now but from what I know of him that is also NAI.

I suspect nova tho. Epi made a good point and I still think his lapluie vote was forced. He could have fought for it. He just came, made what looked like a joke vote, and hours later came back and joined the sexy civ wagon available.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Sun May 06, 2018 1:51 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 2]

[VOTE: novaselinenever] aubergine
by Dragon D. Luffy
Sun May 06, 2018 1:56 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 2]

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Sun May 06, 2018 1:06 pm
juliets wrote: Sun May 06, 2018 10:35 am So I see Scotty voted Long Con so I guess he is silenced.
Objectively the worst game mechanic.

I remember switching votes like mad to try to tell people I was silenced in a previous game and nobody freaking noticed.

What I did in one game where I was silenced was explode the forum. Spammed the mafia forum convo thread. Spammed politics. Spammed anime forums.

It worked.

The mafia was tilted because I kind of exploited the rules. Their role could force me to post things but disnt force me to do it fast, so I waited until the end of the day while I kept exploding the forum.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Sun May 06, 2018 2:19 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 2]

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Sun May 06, 2018 1:31 pm
juliets wrote: Sun May 06, 2018 1:13 pm Jack, if you're still here who are you looking at today for a vote?
PW and Avito seem to be the most suspected players but I’m not sure why on PW.

I go back and forth on JJJ.

I’m pretty open to being convinced at this point.

The further the game advances, the smaller the percentage of the game (page 4 to when I arrived) I haven’t read and the more my lack of reads bothers me.
Hmm why not reading the first three pages? :ponder:
by Dragon D. Luffy
Mon May 07, 2018 7:48 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 2]

novaselinenever wrote: Sun May 06, 2018 5:29 pm
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Sun May 06, 2018 1:50 pm Pennywise being inactive is not his meta, but is also NAI. We will have to lynch him eventually if he doesn't show up. Doesn't have to be now, but has to be before the endgame.

I have a hard time reading Avito cuz I dont know him that much game-wise. He is pretty laid back right now but from what I know of him that is also NAI.

I suspect nova tho. Epi made a good point and I still think his lapluie vote was forced. He could have fought for it. He just came, made what looked like a joke vote, and hours later came back and joined the sexy civ wagon available.
How was my vote on Lapluie forced ? I've seen you pushing me since D1 little by little. First it was discrediting my meta read on Avito, you then agreed with, maybe it was to eventually prepare yourself to jump on his wagon. Now it's something else. Seems like some premeditated consistent throwing to eventually hammer me. I'm watching you boy.
You made a solid read on Avito. Then you changed away from it in a sketchy way. That's the problem.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Mon May 07, 2018 8:09 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 2]

Long Con wrote: Sun May 06, 2018 9:45 pm
Epignosis wrote: Sun May 06, 2018 9:13 pm
Long Con wrote: Sun May 06, 2018 9:12 pm
Epignosis wrote: Sun May 06, 2018 9:12 pm Suppose JJJ is bad.

What would it take to lynch him?
Not sure. What other games has he been lynched in?
Mountain Mafia.
Here's some research in Mountain about why JJJ was lynched. It seemed to me like DDL was important in taking JJJ down, and here are some of the more pertinent posts I could find:
Spoiler: show
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2017 8:21 am I'm still reading page 63 but I'm an impatient kid right now so imma leave this thought.

Usually whenever I play a game that has both Jay and Sloonei in it, I feel like Sloonei is Jay #2.

Like, their playstyles are very similar, but Jay is the protagonist. Sloonei is the sidekick. Jay leads the town. Sloonei helps. They are a fearsome civ duo that way, actually. The Jay 1 and the Jay 2. You don't want to cross their path if you're bad.

In this game, Sloonei is Jay #1.

He leads the town. He leads the conversation. He is the is the guiding light that will take us to victory, or to our doom. But he is the one steering the wheel.

Whatever Jay is, he is not Jay #1. Or even Jay #2. He is something else and I don't know what that is.

At this point I'd expect to be drowing in a sea of Jay. To have so much Jay around me I could barely breathe. But I can breathe just fine. Jay is talking, but he is not seizing control. He is engaging, but not in a way that makes me feel like he is trying to produce perfect reads on everyone on day 1, to make everyone interact with each other, to move the game forward.

He is not in his element. Something is wrong with him. So I'm itching to call him bad. Although, it is possible he might be busy or distracted or just having a bad civ game. It happens. But he is not the civ Jay I know, I'm sure of that.
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2017 8:33 am
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2017 1:23 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2017 1:13 am
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2017 1:10 am I find Epi's case on Jimmy to be intriguing. I don't think I'll follow it today but Epi and Eloh come out looking better than JJJ in all their recent interactions.
Please elaborate.
I think you're basically describing town Eloh behavior and calling it a case for her badness. Epi calls you out.

Epi is also taking note of the Jack/Dunya square off in a way that doesn't look opportunistic. Feels way different from ME Epi, which is the last bad Epi I can remember. So that makes him look better.

Epi also characterizes your posts as easy analysis or analysis that leads nowhere. I could see the gth excercise that way as well.
I feel like regular civ Jay would be forcing that GTH down our throats and talking about its results all the time. I can barely remember it happened at all.
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Fri Dec 01, 2017 6:25 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Dec 01, 2017 5:16 pm I said I was going to put reads in this thread and I will. I do not have time to be Jerry Seinfeld and I don't give a shit about trying to be Jerry Seinfeld. I frankly don't see how there could be any impression that I give a shit about trying to be Jerry Seinfeld or any other generic super-civilian cookie cutter rendition of myself given the posts I have made in this game. This variety of meta read is bogus, as though JJJ suddenly forgets how to make a million posts when he draws a mafia role.

There's a reason I am only here during brief windows right now. That won't change for the foreseeable future in this or ensuing games. I implore the civilians in this thread to engage a broad dialogue whether I am your locked vote or not. Nothing is friendlier to the mafia team right now than a continuing focus on me, especially when I am in no position to engage the discussion.
You have 141 posts in this game. You are the 10th biggest poster. Your post count is lower than usual, but I don't think anyone here thinks it is insufficient.

But your playstyle is different. You are more reactive than usual, you use your methods like asking people questions and the GTH thing but you don't arrive to any useful conclusion with them. You don't participate in the discussion most of the time. You playstyle seems like a faulty mimicry of your real civ one.

Now, I will believe you are being affected by real life. The question is: is real life affecting your ability to play as a civ, or is it affecting your ability to fake your civ meta as a bad? Would a civ Jay, in this situation, be quality over quantity and try to reduce the amount of reads and usefulness but still be an useful voice in the civs' quest? Or an I tinfoiling and you being busy really causes a drastic change in your ability to contribute?

So, which JJJ are we seeing here?
Not sure. I lynched JJJ for similar reasons in FE and he turned up to be civ. Though in FE, he was posting a lot more. I think his playstyle here is more similar to FE: he is pursuing the obvious wagons (he won't let me bash him for this because in FE most of those wagons were civ lol), he is exploding the thread and he is generally blunt and self-confident and hard to argue with.

So all this points to him being a civ. Yet, I believe his Mountain meta may have been affected by RL more than it looks like, which would mean a real baddie Jay would be a lot more similar to a civ one, and better at imitating his meta.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Mon May 07, 2018 11:22 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 2]

Well I admit this is less sketchy now that we know Avito was a civ too.

I think I'll do that color poll thing to see if we can learn anything from those polls.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Mon May 07, 2018 12:26 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 2]

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Mon May 07, 2018 12:14 pm I have seen these “technicolor vote” things many times and still have no idea what they mean. An clear explanation would be appreciated.
I list all the votes (including abandoned votes) in the order they were made. Each color is one person who was voted for.

So this way we can see who started each wagon, who jumped on it, and any counter-wagons that may have been made.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Mon May 07, 2018 6:54 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 2]

Ok let's do this

Gman's Technicolor Vote Analysis

DAY 1

For those who don't know, here is how it works.

The first list, inside spoilers, is every vote made during the day that is being analysed:

Spoiler: show
nova - Avito
Marmot - Dizzy
Jay - Jack
Dizzy - Jack
Scotty - Sprityo
Epi - Juliets
INH - Juliets
Mac - Jack
Sprityo - Lapluie
DDL - Dom
LC - Avito
Dizzy - Avito
Jay - Sprityo
Dizzy - Sprityo
Dizzy - Avito
Jay - Jack
Marmot - Jay
Scotty - Jack
Marmot - Jack
Sprityo - Sprityo
Dizzy - Penny
Jay - Kyle
Scotty - Kyke
Dizzy - Juliets
Dizzy - Jack
Jay - LC
Jay - Wolbre
Scotty - Wolbre
Juliets - Wolbre
Jack - Wolbre
Epi - Lapluie
LC - Marmot
Mac - LC
Jay - LC
Dizzy - LC
Jack - LC
nova - Lapluie
Dizzy - Penny
Juliets - Lapluie
Jay - Lapluie
Mac - Lapluie
Dizzy - Wolbre
Scotty - Jack
Dizzy - Jack
Jack - Wolbre
Jay - Quin
INH - Lapluie
Mac - LC
Dizzy - LC
Jack - LC
Kyle - Jack

Now, we have the same list, but with only with the name of the voters. The people who are voted for are coded by color, whose key is shown below.

nova
Marmot
Jay
Dizzy

Scotty
Epi
INH

Mac
Sprityo
DDL
LC
Dizzy

Jay
Dizzy

Dizzy
Jay
Marmot
Scotty
Marmot

Sprityo
Dizzy
Jay
Scotty
Dizzy
Dizzy
Jay
Jay
Scotty
Juliets
Jack
Epi
LC
Mac
Jay
Dizzy
Jack

nova
Dizzy
Juliets
Jay
Mac
Dizzy
Scotty
Dizzy

Jack
Jay
INH
Mac
Dizzy
Jack

Kyle

lapluie - green
LC - red
wolbre - light blue
Avito - yellow
Sprityo - purple
Jack - orange
Juliets - dark blue
other - no color

Now we analyse the people who got the most votes, color by color.

First, the lapluie wagon. It has some early adopters, Sprityo (who unvoted) and Epi. But it really caught steam when nova, juliets, Jay and Mac pushed it. INH hopped on it it near the end. The wagon seemed to be an alternative to the LC CFD that was formed at the point. In fact, the two wagons were tied. If LC flips bad, there is a high chance of baddies in this.

LC wagon next. Jay was a quick, and short, early adopter. It really started when Mac brought it up, followed by Jay, Dizzy and Jack. The same Jay, Dizzy and Jack would fumble around other wagons before coming back to LC around the end of the day.

Wolbre is another big story here. The votes came with a quick movement of Jay, Scotty, Juliets and Jack around the middle of the day, with Dizzy somewhat later, and Jack coming in again before leaving for LC again.

There are other wagons which I bothered to color, but I won't analyse them for now. The problem here is that we have no bad flips yet, so anything we obtain here is highly speculative (though I recommend we go back here once said scum flip happens). But we can try to spot some trends now. First is, that in spite of Day 1 chaos, all of the big wagons came from very quick burst. In one second a person had no votes, next second they were leading the poll. This is, at the same time, really easy for scum to hop in, and really hard for scum to stop (hence the main appeal of CFDs). LC, or lapluie, could have been a counter-wagon to LC, or wolbre. On the other hand, it could be that all three wagons were on civs, and scum was just coasting and blending.

The same actors can be seen in all wagons: Jay, Dizzy, Mac, Jack, juliets. I like to believe there was scum among those, blending, while another 2 or 3 scum were staying away from the main wagons. Would be a good way for scum to spread I think.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Mon May 07, 2018 7:10 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 2]

There is an error in the list. I somwhow registered Jay's last vote on LC as if it was on Quin. Here's the correct one (hopefully):

DAY 1
Spoiler: show
nova - Avito
Marmot - Dizzy
Jay - Jack
Dizzy - Jack
Scotty - Sprityo
Epi - Juliets
INH - Juliets
Mac - Jack
Sprityo - Lapluie
DDL - Dom
LC - Avito
Dizzy - Avito
Jay - Sprityo
Dizzy - Sprityo
Dizzy - Avito
Jay - Jack
Marmot - Jay
Scotty - Jack
Marmot - Jack
Sprityo - Sprityo
Dizzy - Penny
Jay - Kyle
Scotty - Kyke
Dizzy - Juliets
Dizzy - Jack
Jay - LC
Jay - Wolbre
Scotty - Wolbre
Juliets - Wolbre
Jack - Wolbre
Epi - Lapluie
LC - Marmot
Mac - LC
Jay - LC
Dizzy - LC
Jack - LC
nova - Lapluie
Dizzy - Penny
Juliets - Lapluie
Jay - Lapluie
Mac - Lapluie
Dizzy - Wolbre
Scotty - Jack
Dizzy - Jack
Jack - Wolbre
Jay - LC
INH - Lapluie
Mac - LC
Dizzy - LC
Jack - LC
Kyle - Jack
nova
Marmot
Jay
Dizzy

Scotty
Epi
INH

Mac
Sprityo
DDL
LC
Dizzy

Jay
Dizzy

Dizzy
Jay
Marmot
Scotty
Marmot

Sprityo
Dizzy
Jay
Scotty
Dizzy
Dizzy
Jay
Jay
Scotty
Juliets
Jack
Epi
LC
Mac
Jay
Dizzy
Jack

nova
Dizzy
Juliets
Jay
Mac
Dizzy
Scotty
Dizzy

Jack
Jay
INH
Mac
Dizzy
Jack

Kyle

lapluie - green
LC - red
wolbre - light blue
Avito - yellow
Sprityo - purple
Jack - orange
Juliets - dark blue
other - no color
by Dragon D. Luffy
Mon May 07, 2018 7:23 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 2]

Day 2

Spoiler: show
Jay - Avito
Sprityo - Penny
Avito - nova
Scotty - ???
juliets - Avito
Epi - nova
Scotty - LC
DDL - nova
wolbre - Avito
Jay - nova
LC - nova
Jay - Avito
nova - Avito
Mac - nova
Marmot - Marmot
Epi - Marmot
Jack - Avito
Kyle - Avito
Avito - nova

Scotty - Avito (unknown time)

Jay
Sprityo
Avito
Scotty
juliets
Epi
Scotty
DDL
wolbre
Jay
LC

Jay
nova

Mac
Marmot
Epi
Jack
Kyle

Avito

Scotty (unknown time)

Note: Scotty's votes are weird because he was silenced. I don't know who his first vote was for (only saw people commenting on it) and I don't know when he changed it to Avito.

Well there are two clear wagons here. nova and Avito. All of the day's focus is on them. Avito was a civ. nova may or may not have been bad. If nova is bad, this is pure gold, otherwise, meh. This was a low activity day, after all.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Mon May 07, 2018 7:25 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 2]

I want to push one of those people who kept flip-flopping wagons on Day 1. Jay, Juliets, Mac and Jack. I already gave my reasons why I think Jay is a civ (which should be taken with ten grains of salt) but the others are a big question mark in my imaginary rainbow.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 8:15 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 2]

juliets wrote: Mon May 07, 2018 9:36 pm
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Mon May 07, 2018 7:25 pm I want to push one of those people who kept flip-flopping wagons on Day 1. Jay, Juliets, Mac and Jack. I already gave my reasons why I think Jay is a civ (which should be taken with ten grains of salt) but the others are a big question mark in my imaginary rainbow.
What do you mean "kept flip flopping wagons"? I made one change, that was it.
Fair enough, it's just that you appear in two of the main wagons.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 8:17 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 2]

MacDougall wrote: Mon May 07, 2018 11:01 pm
This is the most obvious fake effort post I have ever seen. None of the points you have raised are logical. It's a huge colourful monstrosity that is designed to make you seem like you are contributing. Your last point is just total speculation for instance.

[VOTE: DDL] aubergine
It is total speculation. I didn't do this because I wanted to make a point. I did it to produce data, then analyse whether I could gather anything from that data (not much, I admit). I thought it was a good use of my time since I'm not sure who I want to lynch anymore.

Besides, Sprityo asked for it, and a lot of people said they wanted it implemented in the forum, so I'm not the only one who could use it? And it can be revisited once we get a scum flip and become much more useful.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 8:19 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 2]

MacDougall wrote: Mon May 07, 2018 11:04 pm
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Mon May 07, 2018 7:25 pm I want to push one of those people who kept flip-flopping wagons on Day 1. Jay, Juliets, Mac and Jack. I already gave my reasons why I think Jay is a civ (which should be taken with ten grains of salt) but the others are a big question mark in my imaginary rainbow.
Do you usually decide who to vote for based on emotionless arbitrary calculations with no actual evidence to suggest that the hypothesis is alignment indicative or are you just doing it here because you have no suspects?
I'm an engineer bro. Emotionless arbitrary calculations is how I feed myself.

Now seriously, I see no problem applying hard logic to problems like this just to see what happens.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 8:19 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 2]

MacDougall wrote: Mon May 07, 2018 11:05 pm Flip flopping wagons is a town tell not a scum tell btw.
Not necessarily. If one of those wagons was on a baddie, leaving it is a scum tell.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 8:22 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

Epignosis wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 12:25 am The mafia team has (presumably):

Killed Dyslexicon
Silenced Scotty
Killed sig
Silenced JJJ

When your team has a mafia silencer, at what point is it optimal to silence one of your own?

Knowing that silenced persons are almost never lynched here, what do you do?
I'd say... not when the person is in danger of being lynched soon, because we aren't THAT merciful. GoC shows a lot of examples of that.

But when the person has just a little suspicion on them and wants to stall... may be a good use of it.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 8:28 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

[VOTE: MacDougall] aubergine

His reaction to me trying to analyse votes is to smear the whole method... after I mention him in the suspect list.

I mean it's not like I'm trying to invent the wheel this is basic vote analysis only with colors. We do that every game.

Yeah this is OMGUS but fuck it.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 8:32 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

Hey [mention]Quin[/mention] why does the poll lack an end time?
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 10:08 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

Scotty wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 9:12 am That both DDL and LC came to the same conclusion about Mac at the same time or it’s purelt coincidence.

I’m assuming the former but if things go awry I’m keeping this saved in memory
Well there was a 2 minute difference maybe he read my post and thought "oh yeah I wanna put my vote there too".
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 10:45 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 10:10 am The Day 2 lynch was calm, controlled, and featured very little vote motion.

A civilian was still lynched.

I don’t understand why the events of Day 1 are being viewed as more suspicious. That’s backwards.
It's more like there is more data in the day 1 lynch than in day 2.

People changing back and forth from lynches tells more about them than everyone collectively voting the low posters.

Sure, the people voting for the low posters are really suspicious, but there is a whole lot less meat for us to look at.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 10:57 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

juliets wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 10:55 am
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 10:45 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 10:10 am The Day 2 lynch was calm, controlled, and featured very little vote motion.

A civilian was still lynched.

I don’t understand why the events of Day 1 are being viewed as more suspicious. That’s backwards.
It's more like there is more data in the day 1 lynch than in day 2.

People changing back and forth from lynches tells more about them than everyone collectively voting the low posters.

Sure, the people voting for the low posters are really suspicious, but there is a whole lot less meat for us to look at.
Why are the people voting for the low poster "really suspicious"? You played GOC - remember the low posting there from INH, Lorab, Dr. Wilgy, Marmot, and Boomslang? All were mafia. I learned there that there really is some truth to the low poster=sometimes a mafia tell.

I am not sure who I want to vote for today but I'm not feeling a DDL vote. I don't feel a Mac vote either. I'm going to take a look at sprityo, nova, Marmot and maybe INH.
But Avito was a civ. There were 7 people voting for the guy who did nothing. It is a ridiculously easy wagon for a mafioso to jump in.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 11:13 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

juliets I'm not trying to find blame in the civs who thought this was a good idea.

I'm trying to find the baddies who blended with them.

In fact, this wasn't a bad idea. Avito wasn't doing anything. It was a good shot to make. But it's also a good lynch to look at, possibly.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 11:14 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 11:06 am I don’t care that a vote was placed. I care why.
Make your point. Whose vote is suspicious?
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 12:09 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 2]

juliets wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 11:24 am
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Mon May 07, 2018 7:23 pm Day 2

Spoiler: show
Jay - Avito
Sprityo - Penny
Avito - nova
Scotty - ???
juliets - Avito
Epi - nova
Scotty - LC
DDL - nova
wolbre - Avito
Jay - nova
LC - nova
Jay - Avito
nova - Avito
Mac - nova
Marmot - Marmot
Epi - Marmot
Jack - Avito
Kyle - Avito
Avito - nova

Scotty - Avito (unknown time)

Jay
Sprityo
Avito
Scotty
juliets
Epi
Scotty
DDL
wolbre
Jay
LC

Jay
nova

Mac
Marmot
Epi
Jack
Kyle

Avito

Scotty (unknown time)

Note: Scotty's votes are weird because he was silenced. I don't know who his first vote was for (only saw people commenting on it) and I don't know when he changed it to Avito.

Well there are two clear wagons here. nova and Avito. All of the day's focus is on them. Avito was a civ. nova may or may not have been bad. If nova is bad, this is pure gold, otherwise, meh. This was a low activity day, after all.
DDL, is this somehow telling me what order the votes were in? Like who voted Avito 1st, 2cnd, 3rd, etc?
Yes.

Excluding Scotty's votes because I can't see when they were made.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 12:16 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 12:08 pm While I investigate the Day 2 votes, I want someone to tell me why vote movement is suspicious.
Vote movement alone isn't suspicious, but specific vote changes can be, depending on the alignment of the people being voted for.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 2:19 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [NIGHT 2]

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 12:23 pm
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 8:17 am
MacDougall wrote: Mon May 07, 2018 11:01 pm
This is the most obvious fake effort post I have ever seen. None of the points you have raised are logical. It's a huge colourful monstrosity that is designed to make you seem like you are contributing. Your last point is just total speculation for instance.

[VOTE: DDL] aubergine
It is total speculation. I didn't do this because I wanted to make a point. I did it to produce data, then analyse whether I could gather anything from that data (not much, I admit). I thought it was a good use of my time since I'm not sure who I want to lynch anymore.

Besides, Sprityo asked for it, and a lot of people said they wanted it implemented in the forum, so I'm not the only one who could use it? And it can be revisited once we get a scum flip and become much more useful.
So it’s Sprityo’s fault is it? :ponder:
I don't like the use of the word "fault" as if this is some crime. But it kind of is? I'm not doing it just for myself.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 3:01 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 2:21 pm I already used DDL's tracked votes once, so it's not without application.
I mean I'm not gonna pretend it's some halmark of civ work, in fact it was completely useless in FE. But like... vote tracking is vote tracking, maybe something shows up.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 3:02 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

I recall INH looked decent but then he kind of disappeared? Not much different from GoC where he was bad tbh.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 3:05 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 1]

wolbre04 wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 2:46 pm
insertnamehere wrote: Thu May 03, 2018 7:25 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Thu May 03, 2018 6:27 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Thu May 03, 2018 6:18 pm Epignosis, why is INH a civilian?
I was wondering this too. I speak Jimmeeey this game. Jimmeeeeeeeey!


I'm a nice cool person who finds Day 1 and apparently day 2 and 3play utterly baffling and usually either hangs back or gets annoyed when people start poking at me.

I agree with the prevailing opinions against LC and Lapluie, although both of their responses to getting heat seem genuine. GTH, I'd say Lapluie is more likely to be bad, but I wanna hear more from both of them. I'll probably take a look at JoH's ISO at some point, I don't really have a read on him right now.

fuck it, i'll hop on board the train as an extra stowaway.

[VOTE: Lapluie] aubergine
None of INHs posts are meaningful tbh
I disagree, he posted a fuckload of fluff, but there are some useful posts here and there. Sounds like you're trying to throw shit on him.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 3:11 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

I can't for the life of me remember what Epi's position is. He is changing it a lot and for little reason.

Like he always does that, but maybe this game he is overdoing it?
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 3:11 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

I mean I can see he's voting Kyle but I don't think he said why either?
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 3:12 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 3:11 pm
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 3:11 pmhe is overdoing it?
It's a theme.
Maybe in Day 7 he will reveal what his master plan was.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 3:42 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

Ok so

[VOTE: Epignosis] aubergine

until he at least explains what's up with that random-ass Kyle vote.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 8:07 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

Epignosis wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 7:35 pm DDL voted for me for a stupid reason (like I owe him a Kylemii vote explanation), and if you vote for him, then that makes it 3-DDL, 4-Epi, which means you will be unlikely to be lynched, and I'm fine with that.
Well this usually makes people answer. :suspish:
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 8:10 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

novaselinenever wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 7:58 pm
MacDougall wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 7:31 pm
novaselinenever wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 7:12 pm
MacDougall wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 7:10 pm So we're lynching Epi then?
I'm flirting with voting DDL. I think that can still happen with a good push.

What's your case on him ?
I got annoyed when he made a big ugly colourful post and made out like I was bad. It felt fake. But nobody agrees so fuck it.
Oh, I agree with it. And it's not the only thing that is fake from him. He's been beating around the bush with me and Avito since D1 and sitting on the fence. Agreeing with my meta assessment of Avito but continuously throwing shades.
I can consider both the universe where you are bad and the one where Avito is bad, you know.

I'm not 100% sure of either of you.
by Dragon D. Luffy
Tue May 08, 2018 8:12 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Assassination Classroom [ENDGAME]
Replies: 3660
Views: 154226

Re: Assassination Classroom [DAY 3]

Epignosis wrote: Tue May 08, 2018 8:04 pm Hey DDL-

I said my Kylemii vote was for no reason.

Your vote is still on me.

Por quê?
Not done catching up. Gimme 5 min.

Also holy shit you know the use of the por ques better than 95% of Brazilians for reals.

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