I swear I am not a wolf > source: meThunal33 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 7:29 pmBoth of those pushes are low confidence, and LoRab's is even lower confidence than SVS. I woke up this morning, read the thread, and SVS's more recent posts caught my eye. I guess you could say it "came out of nowhere" but that's pretty normal/NAI at this stage in the game.Scotty wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 1:07 pmTheir vote for SVS came out of nowhere for me:JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 1:01 pmCould you indicate which of Thunal's read(s) you found half-baked?Their loRab push was also not strong.Spoiler: show
Even though through a lens, I actually independently find I agree with their reads of both SVS and LoRab: where are SVS’ reads, and why is LoRab so freaked out about being townread?
Ted Lasso Mafia - game over!
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 1
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 1
This nonsense response from Thunal to scotty about scotty keeping a tell secret... like... what the fuck?Thunal33 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 7:56 pmI feel like SVS would know if Scotty had secret tells on him or not and so lying about this wouldn't make much sense from Scotty.Long Con wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 5:24 pmNo! Well yes. But no! More next break --->Scotty wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 2:02 amGo drunk, LC, you’re homeLong Con wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 12:38 amOnnnnnnnnnn-braaaaaaaaaaaaaannnnnnnnnnd...... on-brand. On-brand. Towny. Wolfy. On-brand. Sassy. Classy. On-brand. Interesting. On-brand. Bon-rand?JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 12:11 am @S~V~S do you feel it is on-brand or not (or neither) for @Long Con to express early suspicion of you?
Are you sure?LoRab wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 2:28 amOK, but really. Baddie LC doesn't let himself post silly/drunkish comments.Scotty wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 2:16 amBut this is an unhinged towny postLong Con wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 12:38 amOnnnnnnnnnn-braaaaaaaaaaaaaannnnnnnnnnd...... on-brand. On-brand. Towny. Wolfy. On-brand. Sassy. Classy. On-brand. Interesting. On-brand. Bon-rand?JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 12:11 am @S~V~S do you feel it is on-brand or not (or neither) for @Long Con to express early suspicion of you?
--> cont'd from above: WAS it an "unhinged towny post"? Is everyone okay with JJJ's question? It blew my mind last night because I didn't feel like it was asking ANYTHING. Is it towny or wolfy? "On-brand"? So, what, is JJJ worried that I'm not really me right now? Is that what he's confirming with S~V~S??
And I still can't even handle "on-brand or not (or neither)", like, what? Are we trying to determine if I'm quasi-semi-myself before we try to think about alignment?
How does this stuff not make other people question it? WHAT DOES IT MEAN? If it has no meaning, then what does that say about JJJ?
Forget it, I don't even care.
Good. I don't give you permission to townread me.Scotty wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 2:07 amSo nice to have you back LoRab!LoRab wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 12:35 amI mean, it could be....but it seems weird to phrase it that way in the roles if it isn't important. If a civ curses, do we give money to Giles (sorry, Rupert)? Or do we take money away from him? Seems like it would be prudent to not risk giving mafia more power, and keep our language clean.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 12:28 am I assumed the swear jar was a joke, but I could be wrong!
Also, hi, to all!! And, I'm Lorab :Lorab: for those I don't know. I'm an old timer, and have been convinced to come back, lol. Important thing to know is that I have a super quirky schedule, and many times that are great for everyone else are, well, not great for me. So, I'm sometimes MIA. The RAB in my screen name stands for Rabbi--and yes, I actually am. And, that means that weekends are weird. Just so you know.
For what it's worth, I'm reading LC as civ. And I mostly agree with him. Weird. I also thing J3 is probably civ, although keeping a note in my mind that he might just be acting aggressively civ to avoid suspicion, but I'm not feeling that at least for the moment.
In case others don’t know, thisemoji is hers.
Thisis mine
JJJ is firmly a neutral town lean- he’s adding to discussion so he is a boon to town atm regardless
LC is not quite on my town radar yet. Lean scum
Noooo, sorry, I was loose-verbing it. You weren't "humouring him", you were "humouring in", as in, entering the thread on a little wave of mild humour.S~V~S wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 6:31 amHumoring Jay? Nah. I kinda thought I was shading him a slight bit, tbh, with the call back to the game where he was bad.
How would saying jay fooled everyone as a baddie in a game, and pointing out that he was contradicting himself by being super active be "humoring" him? Poking someone with a small, soft stick =/= humoring.
I like this S~V~S read of Scotty. Maybe she ain't that bad, and he is.S~V~S wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 6:59 amOK, you're freaking me out here. I don't think you've EVER said anything like this to/about me. Not the last 3 games. EVERY. GAME. Every one. You think I'm bad.Scotty wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 1:56 amIntriguing take- I feel like I have the unique benefit of having just wolfed with her and I haven’t seen anything specific about her that is throwing off my paranoia alarm. And I’m usually paranoid of her as of the last 3 games before I wolf’ed with her.
Now do me do me
What did you take away from wolfing with me that makes you say this?
Also gotta go get ready for work. Love my new job, hate the longer commute.
Absolute red flag. The secret S~V~S tells that he has, that he of course isn't sharing. This feels like a lie toped with a cheers for extra smoothness.Scotty wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 11:35 amLike Caterpie into Metapod, I have evolved!
After being utterly wrong about you before we were partners, I figure what I once viewed as suspicious in a vacuum is just you.
You have some quirks that i picked up on that I’m not going to reveal yet. But rest assured, dear Svs, I haven’t seen them so far. Just don’t do them and we’ll be golden![]()
This sort of meta read about Scotty suspecting SVS every game can go w/t either way or t/t. The only thing I think it's unlikely to be is w/w. If Scotty suspects SVS every game and both of them know it, mafia Scotty might go out of his way to suspect SVS again or he could change it to pocket SVS. SVS's post felt dramatic, with not much substance other than that it's freaking her out and I'd expect that post to go with a read or investigation on Scotty.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 1
I saw this as Thunal coming to your defense @JaggedJimmyJay against Neon who I saw as 100% correct in game state reaction to your bullshit.Thunal33 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 7:59 pmHe didn't say anything in isolation that made me think he was obvious town but I think it's good enough grounds for a townlean on day 1. He hasn't said anything that pinged me.
It could be TMIing you town and trying to pocket at the same time
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 1
This post was just... very weird to post in that thread state. like.. who is thunal talking to here?
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 1
Possibly. It's reasonably similar to LoRab's read of me, and I don't like that read.RondoDimBuckle wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 9:08 pmI saw this as Thunal coming to your defense @JaggedJimmyJay against Neon who I saw as 100% correct in game state reaction to your bullshit.Thunal33 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 7:59 pmHe didn't say anything in isolation that made me think he was obvious town but I think it's good enough grounds for a townlean on day 1. He hasn't said anything that pinged me.
It could be TMIing you town and trying to pocket at the same time
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
So you are saying Thunal/Lorab/Michelle+1?
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
I also have receipts on you too boo <3
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
Day 1 is always nice. Day N for N large is never nice because the perceived room for error becomes smaller not larger and momentum stalls hard.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 9:02 pmThe game is definitely not over (or even close). But sometimes it is nice to parade around with some confidence and gusto. Is there something that you foresee down the line that concerns you and/or that you wish to be prepared for?Bereft wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 8:59 pm Can we go back to being all chummy and acting like the game's over like we were yesterday when it wasn't even, 'cause the game's not gonna suddenly become more exciting. And I'm saying this knowing that I'm going to be the one around when we're down 2-3 mafia.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
That's not my first guess, no. Thunal was in my broader POE of 7, so I do think there's a standalone case for her. The problem is finding teammates. I found reasons to dissociate her from everyone, including Scotty (as you suggested earlier) or the two names above.
Thunal/Abigail
Thunal/S~V~S
Thunal/Michelle
Thunal/LoRab
Thunal/Scotty
I could certainly be wrong about something. It'd help if you looked over those whenever you get to them.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
about to jump into a DND game but after I will. quote them at me again if I forgetJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 9:15 pmThat's not my first guess, no. Thunal was in my broader POE of 7, so I do think there's a standalone case for her. The problem is finding teammates. I found reasons to dissociate her from everyone, including Scotty (as you suggested earlier) or the two names above.
Thunal/Abigail
Thunal/S~V~S
Thunal/Michelle
Thunal/LoRab
Thunal/Scotty
I could certainly be wrong about something. It'd help if you looked over those whenever you get to them.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
I have currently just seen your walls as your usual wolfy self filling up space flooding chat so I havent bothered reading them
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
I understand. Sometimes people see me posting walls and just go into Vietnam flashbacks, and that's how it be.RondoDimBuckle wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 9:20 pm I have currently just seen your walls as your usual wolfy self filling up space flooding chat so I havent bothered reading them
Something I almost never do as mafia, however, is actually try to solve the entire game all at once (as opposed to spamming walls with vague undefined purpose). I think it's worthwhile, even if I know I could be wrong about it all.

I might even value your impressions of my town cases more. I need Wilgy, Monroe, and Cape (in addition to yourself) to be town for my entire process to work.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
I might do a full review of Bereft and robyn for good measure after dinner now that the most important work is finished.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
Tbh it's good to have this context. Part of why I have trouble sorting him is that I'm annoyed with his push and I'm trying to separate that from my read on him. My first instinct was that he was wolfing but when I stepped back for a bit I started to doubt that.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 5:28 pm Why is RondoDimBuckle town?
First: I didn't think Rondo looked town when he showed up at EOD1. He looked totally null. So I won't talk about that.
Spoiler: show
This is all just Rondo wanting to kill me today. That read of his, on its own power, does not make him town. However, I think there's a motivation at work here that is harder for others to see -- or rather, two of them:
Halvosen Ridge (Rondo and I were both mafia)
Don't Starve (I was mafia, and Rondo wanted to kill me while most did not listen)
I will pull a little excerpt from Don't Starve to give an impression of where I think Rondo's head is. The following stuff in double spoilers is from a different game:
Spoiler: show
In that game, Rondo was right about me (at least his conclusion about my alignment was correct). He struggled to get anyone to listen to him, and my team swept. You can see him 1) press the issue stubbornly in that game as he feels like it's not getting through, and 2) conf-bias himself into two teammates of mine (wrong about both, Scotty and Vivax) by reading everything either of them says as lock wolf.
It's very similar to what he has done today with JJJ/Thunal/Cape. He is presuming I am mafia and treating me like this is Don't Starve 2.0. He thinks he has to hard tunnel me to get anyone to listen to him because of what happened last time, and he is solving around his pre-flip of me just like he did in that game. It was Scotty/Vivax then, and it's Thunal/Cape now. Unfortunately for Rondo the starting point is also wrong this time (I'm town), but good luck convincing him of that.
~~~
I recognize this is a bit of a personal take, and it might be hard for others to absorb without fuller context of Don't Starve. But that's my best effort to explain why Rondo would be town in this game.
Spoiler: show
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
jfc jjj has 400 posts
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 1
What's LoRab's experience with you as mafia?JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 7:33 pmYou're allowed to hate it, but town players that have ever seen me as mafia almost never make a read on me like the one LoRab did there.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 1
Same question for Michelle. And can you give a game or games LoRab and Michelle saw you as mafia in?JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 7:37 pmFrivolously town read me for something basic in a way town nearly never does (if they have played with me as mafia before):
Michelle wrote: ↑Thu Dec 07, 2023 3:52 pmI don't think Jay makes this post as mafiaJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Dec 07, 2023 2:07 pm On that note, @DarlingMonroe:
If you find it impossible to fully catch up, because the thread has grown too large, then I will make the following suggestion. Don't. I still very much want you to make posts, but if time only allows you to choose between 1) trying and failing to catch up, or 2) just entering the thread and playing from the current page --> please choose #2. Fully catching up is not always necessary to play the game, and you may be better off just jumping in fresh.
If you do have time to fully catch up AND get involved before we run out of Daylight (only four hours), then go ahead.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
Why is Bereft town?
Bereft doesn't call his votes in the thread, so I will make the first point: he placed the game's first vote (for Thunal) when it was not yet confirmed they could be changed. Perhaps it was safe to assume they were changeable, but I wasn't willing to risk it. I respect the hustle.
This half-sarcasm ironically promotes its premise (by contributing to the positive climate for DarlingMonroe's first three posts). I suspect most mafia wouldn't have been enthusiastic about doing that with a 3-poster.
I asked everyone for three town reads, and Bereft provided me with five. I currently agree with four of them, so I am okay with Bereft's early production.
The last bit of this comment starting with "it feels almost" just struck me as a town sentiment. One could accuse Bereft of pocketing me here, though I think I assess his mindset differently from most others in this roster. This did not bother me then and still doesn't. And it's not as though he took this opportunity to just fart around -- he remained involved in essentially every significant dialogue of Day 1 at a very efficient posting rate.
I found this perspective about LoRab agreeable in the moment even if I have moved on from it.
Bereft resisted my early suspicion of S~V~S. There is tinfoil available here if my current theories about LoRab and/or S~V~S prove accurate. In the moment, I appreciated Bereft's willingness to challenge my reads even while granting me "full confidence" earlier.
I halfway "mindmelded" with this, as around the same time I was considering the prospects of highly inactive mafia members by POE.
I thought this bit was decently interrogative and purposeful.
This extends the suspicion Bereft held of the least active group of players and projects his eventual Seanzie vote.
Bereft's explanation for voting Seanzie over Michelle. The game theory is fine by me. This doesn't make Bereft town, but I don't think it's suspicious either. That still seems worth saying when the elimination was a zero poster.
I just kind of buy Bereft's reactions to the Long Con kill. Without the benefit of extensive Syndicate background or some of this playing roster, I can understand why that kill may have seemed so confounding (even if I find it reasonably ordinary by local standards).
I appreciate Bereft's efforts to make Scotty useful in his condition, and also his overt "do I have to tinfoil Jay" thinking out loud.
Relatable
~~~
I think this is sufficient for the time being. Essentially, I don't think Bereft is likely mafia for a number of micro moments and also the macro appeal of his holistic solving process. If there are mafia concentrated in [LoRab, Michelle, S~V~S] then perhaps there is room to ask questions.
Bereft doesn't call his votes in the thread, so I will make the first point: he placed the game's first vote (for Thunal) when it was not yet confirmed they could be changed. Perhaps it was safe to assume they were changeable, but I wasn't willing to risk it. I respect the hustle.
Spoiler: show
This half-sarcasm ironically promotes its premise (by contributing to the positive climate for DarlingMonroe's first three posts). I suspect most mafia wouldn't have been enthusiastic about doing that with a 3-poster.
Spoiler: show
I asked everyone for three town reads, and Bereft provided me with five. I currently agree with four of them, so I am okay with Bereft's early production.
Spoiler: show
The last bit of this comment starting with "it feels almost" just struck me as a town sentiment. One could accuse Bereft of pocketing me here, though I think I assess his mindset differently from most others in this roster. This did not bother me then and still doesn't. And it's not as though he took this opportunity to just fart around -- he remained involved in essentially every significant dialogue of Day 1 at a very efficient posting rate.
Spoiler: show
I found this perspective about LoRab agreeable in the moment even if I have moved on from it.
Spoiler: show
Bereft resisted my early suspicion of S~V~S. There is tinfoil available here if my current theories about LoRab and/or S~V~S prove accurate. In the moment, I appreciated Bereft's willingness to challenge my reads even while granting me "full confidence" earlier.
Spoiler: show
I halfway "mindmelded" with this, as around the same time I was considering the prospects of highly inactive mafia members by POE.
Spoiler: show
I thought this bit was decently interrogative and purposeful.
Spoiler: show
This extends the suspicion Bereft held of the least active group of players and projects his eventual Seanzie vote.
Spoiler: show
Bereft's explanation for voting Seanzie over Michelle. The game theory is fine by me. This doesn't make Bereft town, but I don't think it's suspicious either. That still seems worth saying when the elimination was a zero poster.
Spoiler: show
I just kind of buy Bereft's reactions to the Long Con kill. Without the benefit of extensive Syndicate background or some of this playing roster, I can understand why that kill may have seemed so confounding (even if I find it reasonably ordinary by local standards).
Spoiler: show
I appreciate Bereft's efforts to make Scotty useful in his condition, and also his overt "do I have to tinfoil Jay" thinking out loud.
Spoiler: show
Relatable
~~~
I think this is sufficient for the time being. Essentially, I don't think Bereft is likely mafia for a number of micro moments and also the macro appeal of his holistic solving process. If there are mafia concentrated in [LoRab, Michelle, S~V~S] then perhaps there is room to ask questions.
Spoiler: show
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
I ask this because I had an impression JJJ wasn't that good as mafia for awhile. I saw him get caught in a couple games as a spectator (i think this was a couple years ago) and that influenced my view, but then I looked at some more recent games and now I don't have that impression.
So depending on the game/experience, I could see someone else having the same impression.
So depending on the game/experience, I could see someone else having the same impression.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
Yes, I'm sheeping robyn's townread.
Also I do think you've improved quite a bit today. You trying to get Rondo to explain and your handling of him felt unfiltered and towny and I've liked your analysis.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 1
I just skimmed over the site spreadsheet, and I admit there isn't as much as I anticipated. Michelle hasn't played in a Syndicate game where I was non-town. There may have been one elsewhere, but I can't recall. LoRab played in an open setup where I was the top poster as a serial killer (not mafia, but publicly known anti-town). That was in 2016 -- LoRab hasn't played much in recent years.
So I will concede that the "seen me as mafia once" argument doesn't quite work. I do think some doubt remains, however:
1) I post a ton in basically every game, so it's hard for me to believe LoRab thought that was clearable. Or even if it wasn't a meta read, she didn't afford Scotty the same luxury.
2) Michelle made an assessment about what I'd do as mafia without seeing me as mafia.

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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 1
That wasn't trying to push LoRab at all. I was trying to talk to Bereft about our different reads and possibly reconsider mine.RondoDimBuckle wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 9:06 pmone more trying to push lorab as a viability with bereftThunal33 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 7:23 pmI'd like to talk about this read. It seems similar to how I make some of my townreads based on "is this a thought a mafia would even think of". What about those moments is something that a mafia wouldn't think of doing?Bereft wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 1:44 pmI had two major instances of thought about LoRab.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Wed Dec 06, 2023 1:20 pm @Bereft and @robyn, each of you had expressed early faith in LoRab, and in the moment I kind of vibed with that. I'd like to dig a bit deeper though: are you able to describe what gave you confidence about her?
The first was immediately after their entrance.
And to that point, I had the same thought as Robyn did wrt to it.
The second was immediately after LoRab freaked out about getting townreads.
And to that point, I had the same thought as you did wrt to it.
If the question demands why I take strong stock in these thoughts at all, then its because both of these moments are based on LoRab existing archetypical traits of "pure" town spontaneity. And I don't think I've ever once seen these reads fail in my experience. On a mafia theory tangent, its the most basic form of read in existence, mafia simply doesn't post like that, because they have to think about well, being mafia.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
I think it's evident at least that Michelle doesn't feel that way given her commentary about me. I dunno what game you saw, but if Philosophy 2 was one of them, I am sure I looked like crap.Thunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 10:57 pm I ask this because I had an impression JJJ wasn't that good as mafia for awhile. I saw him get caught in a couple games as a spectator (i think this was a couple years ago) and that influenced my view, but then I looked at some more recent games and now I don't have that impression.
So depending on the game/experience, I could see someone else having the same impression.

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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 1
JJJ and on some level me. I was thinking out loud about what null reading me meant for his alignment.RondoDimBuckle wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 9:09 pmThis post was just... very weird to post in that thread state. like.. who is thunal talking to here?
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
I think it might have been, lol.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:08 pmI think it's evident at least that Michelle doesn't feel that way given her commentary about me. I dunno what game you saw, but if Philosophy 2 was one of them, I am sure I looked like crap.Thunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 10:57 pm I ask this because I had an impression JJJ wasn't that good as mafia for awhile. I saw him get caught in a couple games as a spectator (i think this was a couple years ago) and that influenced my view, but then I looked at some more recent games and now I don't have that impression.
So depending on the game/experience, I could see someone else having the same impression.![]()
Also 2020/2021 Thunal was extremely competitive and I liked to look for weaknesses in people that often weren't there. I'm still competitive but I'm better able to separate the game from real life.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
you strike me as extremely laid back here, i haven't figured out how to interact with you tbhThunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:13 pmI think it might have been, lol.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:08 pmI think it's evident at least that Michelle doesn't feel that way given her commentary about me. I dunno what game you saw, but if Philosophy 2 was one of them, I am sure I looked like crap.Thunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 10:57 pm I ask this because I had an impression JJJ wasn't that good as mafia for awhile. I saw him get caught in a couple games as a spectator (i think this was a couple years ago) and that influenced my view, but then I looked at some more recent games and now I don't have that impression.
So depending on the game/experience, I could see someone else having the same impression.![]()
Also 2020/2021 Thunal was extremely competitive and I liked to look for weaknesses in people that often weren't there. I'm still competitive but I'm better able to separate the game from real life.
why do you buy my confidence on cape? and why am i your top town?
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 1
Tbf sometimes I make reads about what someone would do as mafia without having seen them if I know their personality. I don't think your play day 1 was too detailed to be fake and that LoRab comment did ping me but it's also plausible LoRab or Michelle accidentally communicated a stronger read than they meant to.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:05 pmI just skimmed over the site spreadsheet, and I admit there isn't as much as I anticipated. Michelle hasn't played in a Syndicate game where I was non-town. There may have been one elsewhere, but I can't recall. LoRab played in an open setup where I was the top poster as a serial killer (not mafia, but publicly known anti-town). That was in 2016 -- LoRab hasn't played much in recent years.
So I will concede that the "seen me as mafia once" argument doesn't quite work. I do think some doubt remains, however:
1) I post a ton in basically every game, so it's hard for me to believe LoRab thought that was clearable. Or even if it wasn't a meta read, she didn't afford Scotty the same luxury.
2) Michelle made an assessment about what I'd do as mafia without seeing me as mafia.![]()
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
Especially since Michelle later said she town leaned you off it and it wasn't a lock. I don't think it was a strong read for her.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
I suspect she softened her language in response to my suspicion. It wasn't a "lock", but it was assertive.
Anyway, I don't want to keep piling on Michelle. She ought to have the opportunity to hunt on her own without seeing constant suspicion from me.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
I am a little paranoid about how Michelle's been fixating on you today and my townread there isn't as strong as it was SoD.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
Even though I'm having fun and not stressed now, I always care about winning lol.robyn wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:16 pmyou strike me as extremely laid back here, i haven't figured out how to interact with you tbhThunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:13 pmI think it might have been, lol.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:08 pmI think it's evident at least that Michelle doesn't feel that way given her commentary about me. I dunno what game you saw, but if Philosophy 2 was one of them, I am sure I looked like crap.Thunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 10:57 pm I ask this because I had an impression JJJ wasn't that good as mafia for awhile. I saw him get caught in a couple games as a spectator (i think this was a couple years ago) and that influenced my view, but then I looked at some more recent games and now I don't have that impression.
So depending on the game/experience, I could see someone else having the same impression.![]()
Also 2020/2021 Thunal was extremely competitive and I liked to look for weaknesses in people that often weren't there. I'm still competitive but I'm better able to separate the game from real life.
why do you buy my confidence on cape? and why am i your top town?
There's a lot of reasons. It started d1 with some in the thread thoughts I thought were almost unfakeable from a mindset POV. Today I doubled down on that read because I really liked how you engaged with Rondo and confidently promoted your townreads.
You were extremely confident on Cape so I believe you have good reasons for that read.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
you don't strike me as the type to sheep overly confident players regardless of whether they're town or not, your entire aura is like "i don't follow appeal to authority" and that is literally exactly what i'm doingThunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:26 pmEven though I'm having fun and not stressed now, I always care about winning lol.robyn wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:16 pmyou strike me as extremely laid back here, i haven't figured out how to interact with you tbhThunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:13 pmI think it might have been, lol.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:08 pmI think it's evident at least that Michelle doesn't feel that way given her commentary about me. I dunno what game you saw, but if Philosophy 2 was one of them, I am sure I looked like crap.Thunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 10:57 pm I ask this because I had an impression JJJ wasn't that good as mafia for awhile. I saw him get caught in a couple games as a spectator (i think this was a couple years ago) and that influenced my view, but then I looked at some more recent games and now I don't have that impression.
So depending on the game/experience, I could see someone else having the same impression.![]()
Also 2020/2021 Thunal was extremely competitive and I liked to look for weaknesses in people that often weren't there. I'm still competitive but I'm better able to separate the game from real life.
why do you buy my confidence on cape? and why am i your top town?
There's a lot of reasons. It started d1 with some in the thread thoughts I thought were almost unfakeable from a mindset POV. Today I doubled down on that read because I really liked how you engaged with Rondo and confidently promoted your townreads.
You were extremely confident on Cape so I believe you have good reasons for that read.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
Why is robyn town?
It's often telling when someone lays out their desire to play reserved and methodically before 260-posting by mid-Day 2. Eventually the instincts take over and the town body returns to its norms (though robyn has still done well to contain emotionality).
robyn set out early to build a viable game theory, and I think her early production was headed a believable and good direction. I think they have played off of Bereft effectively too without it seeming like some kind of pocket.
Early example of their desired reservedness giving way to instinct.
robyn voted Seanzie at EOD, and they might have driven that final result more than anyone else. They overtly resisted the Scotty wagon, and they ended up preferring Seanzie over Michelle. I am broadly fine with that sequence, as robyn was gamestate-mindful about the consequences of killing an active town player. If Michelle ends up mafia, perhaps we crumple a brow, but whatever.
robyn's take on Cape today is vintage town robyn. They spent the night phase in thorough review of what happened on Day 1, and we have talked before about the value of simple rereads. Sometimes that's the most insightful work, and with a clear mind they came to a conclusion about Cape's Day 1 productivity that I found agreeable in my own analysis of Cape. Give robyn credit for getting there before I did.
This is a very believable progression on me. Given the Day 1 miss (on a player I endorsed eliminating) and the [perceived] weird Night 1 kill, it makes perfect sense for robyn to view me with more distrust. I also like that when Rondo came aboard with suspicion of me, robyn didn't just egg that on. They managed that well while also maintaining healthy independent skepticism of me. I find it quite believable.
~~~
I am pretty secure in robyn's townhood. I think they're playing to their own meta even while trying not to do so, and that's probably the oldest town trope in the book.
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It's often telling when someone lays out their desire to play reserved and methodically before 260-posting by mid-Day 2. Eventually the instincts take over and the town body returns to its norms (though robyn has still done well to contain emotionality).
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robyn set out early to build a viable game theory, and I think her early production was headed a believable and good direction. I think they have played off of Bereft effectively too without it seeming like some kind of pocket.
Spoiler: show
Early example of their desired reservedness giving way to instinct.
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robyn voted Seanzie at EOD, and they might have driven that final result more than anyone else. They overtly resisted the Scotty wagon, and they ended up preferring Seanzie over Michelle. I am broadly fine with that sequence, as robyn was gamestate-mindful about the consequences of killing an active town player. If Michelle ends up mafia, perhaps we crumple a brow, but whatever.
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robyn's take on Cape today is vintage town robyn. They spent the night phase in thorough review of what happened on Day 1, and we have talked before about the value of simple rereads. Sometimes that's the most insightful work, and with a clear mind they came to a conclusion about Cape's Day 1 productivity that I found agreeable in my own analysis of Cape. Give robyn credit for getting there before I did.
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This is a very believable progression on me. Given the Day 1 miss (on a player I endorsed eliminating) and the [perceived] weird Night 1 kill, it makes perfect sense for robyn to view me with more distrust. I also like that when Rondo came aboard with suspicion of me, robyn didn't just egg that on. They managed that well while also maintaining healthy independent skepticism of me. I find it quite believable.
~~~
I am pretty secure in robyn's townhood. I think they're playing to their own meta even while trying not to do so, and that's probably the oldest town trope in the book.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
I'm usually not but I feel good about that specific read.robyn wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:30 pmyou don't strike me as the type to sheep overly confident players regardless of whether they're town or not, your entire aura is like "i don't follow appeal to authority" and that is literally exactly what i'm doingThunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:26 pmEven though I'm having fun and not stressed now, I always care about winning lol.robyn wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:16 pmyou strike me as extremely laid back here, i haven't figured out how to interact with you tbhThunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:13 pmI think it might have been, lol.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:08 pmI think it's evident at least that Michelle doesn't feel that way given her commentary about me. I dunno what game you saw, but if Philosophy 2 was one of them, I am sure I looked like crap.Thunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 10:57 pm I ask this because I had an impression JJJ wasn't that good as mafia for awhile. I saw him get caught in a couple games as a spectator (i think this was a couple years ago) and that influenced my view, but then I looked at some more recent games and now I don't have that impression.
So depending on the game/experience, I could see someone else having the same impression.![]()
Also 2020/2021 Thunal was extremely competitive and I liked to look for weaknesses in people that often weren't there. I'm still competitive but I'm better able to separate the game from real life.
why do you buy my confidence on cape? and why am i your top town?
There's a lot of reasons. It started d1 with some in the thread thoughts I thought were almost unfakeable from a mindset POV. Today I doubled down on that read because I really liked how you engaged with Rondo and confidently promoted your townreads.
You were extremely confident on Cape so I believe you have good reasons for that read.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
I have laid out reasons why these six players are town:
robyn, Bereft, DrWilgy, DarlingMonroe, RondoDimBuckle, and Cape90
If I am wrong about any of those, my entire process tumbles. I'd be grateful to hear of any disagreement from anyone. If those town reads are correct, then it leaves the POE of seven names I mentioned earlier. That's one more than a game-winning POE pool would allow for (six players). On that basis, I'd also love to hear everyone's top town read in this pile:
ts account, Scotty, S~V~S, LoRab, Michelle, Thunal, Abigail
robyn, Bereft, DrWilgy, DarlingMonroe, RondoDimBuckle, and Cape90
If I am wrong about any of those, my entire process tumbles. I'd be grateful to hear of any disagreement from anyone. If those town reads are correct, then it leaves the POE of seven names I mentioned earlier. That's one more than a game-winning POE pool would allow for (six players). On that basis, I'd also love to hear everyone's top town read in this pile:
ts account, Scotty, S~V~S, LoRab, Michelle, Thunal, Abigail
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
One reason was your turnaround between your read on Cape day 1 and your read on Cape day 2.
I also found the read believable myself and thought Cape had towny moments.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
but why did you phrase it as sheeping my read, when you are clearly analytical and need reasons for everything, and would have 0 trouble producing good reasons as either alignment
what's your read on scotty rn
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
No, you see, that's the beauty of it. Its not going to hold water over here on the Syndicate, and I will not pretend anyone cares, but I have to brag. But A. There is mafia concentrated there probably. B. I don't actually defend my teammates as mafia, definitely never multiple. As robyn said, schweppes (as w) is one of the best town players in existence.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 10:55 pm If there are mafia concentrated in [LoRab, Michelle, S~V~S] then perhaps there is room to ask questions.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
GTH I'd say SVS at this point. If our PoE is about right, Scotty is never wolf with SVS and I think the Long Con kill looks good for her. Both from the POV of her always wanting to push LC and that LC died townreading her while everyone else was suspecting her.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:36 pm I have laid out reasons why these six players are town:
robyn, Bereft, DrWilgy, DarlingMonroe, RondoDimBuckle, and Cape90
If I am wrong about any of those, my entire process tumbles. I'd be grateful to hear of any disagreement from anyone. If those town reads are correct, then it leaves the POE of seven names I mentioned earlier. That's one more than a game-winning POE pool would allow for (six players). On that basis, I'd also love to hear everyone's top town read in this pile:
ts account, Scotty, S~V~S, LoRab, Michelle, Thunal, Abigail
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
I'd rather talk about something else.robyn wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:45 pmbut why did you phrase it as sheeping my read, when you are clearly analytical and need reasons for everything, and would have 0 trouble producing good reasons as either alignment
what's your read on scotty rn
I scumlean Scotty. I feel like he spent a lot of his time trying to appease SVS and there were a couple reads that felt forced from him.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
mechanically if targeted by mafia he's town, no?Thunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:51 pmI'd rather talk about something else.robyn wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:45 pmbut why did you phrase it as sheeping my read, when you are clearly analytical and need reasons for everything, and would have 0 trouble producing good reasons as either alignment
what's your read on scotty rn
I scumlean Scotty. I feel like he spent a lot of his time trying to appease SVS and there were a couple reads that felt forced from him.
why do you wanna talk about something else?
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
Thanks for the answer. At least behaviorally, S~V~S may be the among the less problematic names on the list. I disagree pretty strongly about the Long Con kill, but for the time being I'll leave it alone (understanding how folks feel about night kill analysis).Thunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:50 pm GTH I'd say SVS at this point. If our PoE is about right, Scotty is never wolf with SVS and I think the Long Con kill looks good for her. Both from the POV of her always wanting to push LC and that LC died townreading her while everyone else was suspecting her.
When you say "our POE", does that imply your own POE consists of the six not-you players in my POE?
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
@robyn would you agree that Bereft is highly unlikely to stand in defense of one or more mafia teammates?Bereft wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:47 pmNo, you see, that's the beauty of it. Its not going to hold water over here on the Syndicate, and I will not pretend anyone cares, but I have to brag. But A. There is mafia concentrated there probably. B. I don't actually defend my teammates as mafia, definitely never multiple. As robyn said, schweppes (as w) is one of the best town players in existence.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 10:55 pm If there are mafia concentrated in [LoRab, Michelle, S~V~S] then perhaps there is room to ask questions.
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Re: Ted Lasso Mafia - Day 2
He could curse himself or fake having it. I've actually done it myself in The Emperor's Soul where I had a self-imposed postcap.robyn wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:52 pmmechanically if targeted by mafia he's town, no?Thunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:51 pmI'd rather talk about something else.robyn wrote: ↑Sat Dec 09, 2023 11:45 pmbut why did you phrase it as sheeping my read, when you are clearly analytical and need reasons for everything, and would have 0 trouble producing good reasons as either alignment
what's your read on scotty rn
I scumlean Scotty. I feel like he spent a lot of his time trying to appease SVS and there were a couple reads that felt forced from him.
why do you wanna talk about something else?
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