I wanted to refresh myself on Colin's post interacting with LC. There weren't any.
So LC & Colin it is:
Long Con wrote: ↑Mon Apr 23, 2018 11:01 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Mon Apr 23, 2018 10:29 pm
lapluie has made one post and it's not substantive. Busy, or lurking?
Question for the thread: do you think that posting activity is often alignment indicative, and if so, in what circumstances? We had a bit of debate over this in FE but I'd like to hear more about it now considering we have a lot of high-level posters butting heads.
No, I don't think so.
A very nondescript response to Colin's question about Day 1 activity. This tells me nothing.
Long Con wrote: ↑Wed Apr 25, 2018 8:34 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Wed Apr 25, 2018 8:18 pm
Not gonna repeat myself. Busy, sorry. Check ISO.
Nova, townish. Epi, sig, town. Those were my reads. Again, check ISO.
I don't like the Colin push. I think it looks more like people jabbing a frightened animal with a long stick than real baddie hunting.
I remember reading this post and it prompted me to reiterate Colin's mafia background. This read like LC was resisting the Colin push on the grounds that Colin was a new player and the pressure on him was somehow unfair. Colin's not a new player, he's just new to the Syndicate. In hindsight this is not a flattering look for LC, although based on the ISOs I did yesterday I am forced to wonder if Colin was seen as worth saving by his partners. This would be a pretty bold step in that direction. LC is not afraid to be a bold baddie.
Long Con wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 12:40 am
Turnip Head wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 12:20 am
I feel bad for Colin... voting off wagon at the end of a close lynch isn't a great look but I'm pretty sure I've done it before. I've also regretted voting on a wagon just to make my vote count for something.
Well said, that's pretty much how I feel about the Colin Situation.
More of the same.
Long Con wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 8:47 am
Not really sold on Colin, I think he will end up being lynched and a Civ. A lot of that is based on my dubiousness around the broad assault on him for things I don't really see as baddie-indicative.
Lunalee, maybe. I have no real issue with her being bad.
Sloonei... Mac seems to be on fire this game, and have a really solid footing from which to judge people, so his case on Sloonei is probably really good. I could follow a Sloonei vote. He also wants people to vote for Colin, but I am not sure what his endgame is there.
I just puked all over myself. brb cleaning up. "Not really sold on Colin" is weaker language than he'd previously used to defend Colin, as if it's an attempt to show a thought process that's not really there. Then a shrug at lunalee and an awkward contradictory position on the argument of Sloonei v Colin. He supports the case against me entirely on the strength of Mac's play, but then expresses doubts about the case against Colin due to... doubts about Mac's "end game". What? What is Mac's end game if not "lynching baddies", considering one sentence earlier you were willing to follow his vote and he seemed "on fire"? I do not like this post and I can vote for LC based solely off of this.
Long Con wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 9:43 am
M Plus 7 wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 9:40 am
ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Wed Apr 25, 2018 5:07 pm
novaselinenever wrote: ↑Tue Apr 24, 2018 9:55 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Tue Apr 24, 2018 9:26 pm
Read Golden's case against me on the last page, and his posts that followed the lynch, and ask yourself, "Does this [the case against Colin] make any sense?"
I'm interested in hearing your answers.
It does make some sense. You voting off-wagon while 3 people are almost tied for the lynch and 1 vote can change everything is suspicious to say the least. It's the bad kind of suspicious.
It doesn't matter how weak the cases against Sig, Epi and me are, I don't believe that after all that happened today you didn't have any read on us three. In the case, you read both 3 of us as Town, you could have voted for your weakest Town read to try to save the two others that you read strongly as Town. You didn't even attempt that and just took the easy way out.
So yeah, you voting off wagon in such a crucial time is bad and Golden's case has merits. This is something a player with inside information (scum) would do since they would know who would flip Town and thus not participate so late in a mislynch to avoid scrutinization.
So I avoided scrutinization by doing something that is more likely to get scrutinized? Not following here.
Isn't it scummier to just jump on an easy wagon and parrot some BS reason that somebody else said than to actually try and hold someone different up to a light?
Why are you concerned with what is perceived as scummy?
Don't like this but ok I'll wait for Colin to respond.
Keeping that open mind. There's then a few back-and-forth posts with MP about Colin that don't really add anything new. Then this:
Long Con wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 10:01 am
MP, you are The Straw Man right now.
You take Colin's post and frame it as "he's concerned with what's perceived as scummy" when that's not accurate. Colin was responding to what someone else said looks scummy, so the subject was brought to him, and he responded to it. Your interpretation ignores that and puts up the straw man to beat on: Colin, the Guy Who Is Concerned With What Looks Scummy.
If you had, for example, asked lunalee the
exact same question when she literally told Spacedaisy to be careful about being perceived as scummy, then it would have been so very legit. Here, not so much.
You take my post and frame it as "You think nightkill analysis is pointless", and proceed to loosely imply some sort of hypocrisy. But I never said I think nightkill analysis is pointless, I said Golden's "rank my five possibilities" exercise is pointless busy work. You took what I really said, and stuff it into the straw man of "LC considers NK analysis pointless", and throw it out there for people to take swings at.
That makes you a two-time Straw Man Sinner, and my new top suspect.
Keep it honest.
[VOTE:
M plus 7] aubergine
He takes MP's pressuring of Colin and turns it into a case on MP. If LC is Colin's partner then he's put all his eggs in the Save Colin basket and is trying to spin it against one of Colin's most vocal opponents. This remains a bold strategy, but it also remains LC. I could still see this as teammate interaction, though it should be noted that it does not have to be. I am missing a lot of the context of this MP vote, I think, so I can't say much about it beyond what I see in the vacuum of Colin interactions. They then get into a long argument over this case that I'm not going to repeat here because that would be godawful.
Long Con wrote: ↑Fri Apr 27, 2018 10:31 am
He explained that he wanted to lynch Colin. That's the plan.
I think he's talking about Mac's master plan here, but I'm not sure and I don't really know what this post means but Colin's name is in it so I'm posting it here.
Long Con wrote: ↑Fri Apr 27, 2018 12:14 pm
Turnip Head wrote: ↑Fri Apr 27, 2018 12:10 pm
Long Con wrote: ↑Fri Apr 27, 2018 12:07 pm
I fully subscribe to the idea that Sloonei is Indy with wolbre, for the record.
On one hand, I don't think he's the ideal lynch target for that, and on the other hand, the realistic expectation that he'll join the baddies says to lynch him.
I hope that all the Sloonei voters are coming from a similar perspective.
What are you gonna do about it?
My main thought is to try to vote to save my own life, if necessary. I would rather see Colin lynched over Sloonei because everyone's so sure he's bad and I'd rather lynch a Persian than an Indy. I'd vote for Dom or Golden if anyone wants to go there.
Otherwise, I kind of did what I was going to do about it in the post you quoted.

Like... talk about it and address his voters about it.

Now he prefers to lynch Colin over me. This is getting to be later in the day, when I believe votes were shifting more heavily against Colin, but I feel like there might have been a bit more effort to push my lynch from Colin's devoted partner. This post is a sharp departure from LC's earlier stance on Colin, where he was fully supportive. It's possible he was just reading the writing on the wall, but after putting all of his eggs in the Save Colin basket, he's already incriminated himself quite a bit. To back out here is an odd move. If anything I've read in LC's ISO gives me pause, it's this.
Long Con wrote: ↑Fri Apr 27, 2018 5:21 pm
Just for the record I'm at work now, I'll just leave my vote where it is since the masses are going to decide anyway and it's going to be Colin clearly.
Alright yeah, that's the tone of resignation I'd expect from a Persian who just fought to save and unsaveable teammate.
Long Con wrote: ↑Sun Apr 29, 2018 1:22 am
Golden wrote: ↑Sun Apr 29, 2018 1:15 am
People should read
Long Con's iso.
He doesn't like the Colin push, he's on Epi for a Sloonei vote, his interactions with sloonei are worth a close look generally actually.
He just dismisses the sig and epi suspicion with a wave of his hand and stays out of it.
And in particular his 'straw man' attack on MP reads very strongly like a Colin defence at this point.
Yeah, I was a big Colin defender. It's funny, when I knew he was going to be lynched, I was like... if he turns up Civ I'll look bad like I *knew* he was Civ, and if he's bad then I'll look bad like I was a teammate defending him. Why don't you do some of your famous research and find out how much I defend my teammates when bad.
This is post-flip and, while it's not a bad point, there's too much WIFOM here and I can't drink it all myself, even if it's my birthday.
After I did my first wave of interactive analyses, LC responded with some follow-up cases against nova and dunya, pointing to dunya as the stronger candidate of the two. I think this is noteworthy since Scotty's more recent digging has pointed to LC or dunya.
Dunya case
Nova case
It is too early to comment on the relationship between LC/dunya/nova, but this is definitely something to look into now and in the future. I would not be surprised if at least one is bad.
I can put a vote on LC today.