Marmot wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 7:25 pm
I do find it amazing that Quin skimmed and address the suspicions against him but had nothing to say about the Colin/Marmot debate.
So, now you're just as invested in lynching Quin as (from your supposed POV) a confirmed scum!Colin.
Pfffffffffffffffffffft.
I don't know what you mean here or what your issue is.
Marmot wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 7:29 pmI don't know what you mean here or what your issue is.
If I was Keith, I would sure as fuck not vote anyone else than the player countering me. And I would do it with much RAH and make it happen. Pretty much like Colin was, you know.
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Marmot wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 7:29 pmI don't know what you mean here or what your issue is.
If I was Keith, I would sure as fuck not vote anyone else than the player countering me. And I would do it with much RAH and make it happen. Pretty much like Colin was, you know.
Who said my end of the day vote was going on Quin?
Anyway, I'll do whatever the hell I want, I'm primed to be lynched anyway.
Marmot wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 7:29 pmI don't know what you mean here or what your issue is.
If I was Keith, I would sure as fuck not vote anyone else than the player countering me. And I would do it with much RAH and make it happen. Pretty much like Colin was, you know.
Who said my end of the day vote was going on Quin?
Anyway, I'll do whatever the hell I want, I'm primed to be lynched anyway.
Gurl. You know what my point is. That you're not showing us how Colin is da lying bastard. I dernt belyf yer.
Marmot wrote: ↑Tue May 22, 2018 9:56 pm
@ColinIsCool let's make some rabbit stew tomorrow.
Colin, you were the first person to post after Marmot made this Gladys Campbell check claim. If you are Keith Shover, you'd have to know that Marmot was incorrectly labeling you as a dentist. You did nothing with this immediately or at any point thereafter. Why?
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ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 12:54 pm
I’m not frustrated. I’m confident that I’ve got your number here.
I've an exercise for you.
~ If Marmot is a lying mafioso, who is his teammate?
~ If Marmot is being truthful, who are the two mafia?
I am not a “cart-before-horse” style player so I don’t hunt for teammates until I have one confirmed. And I don’t have time right now for a complete ISO but I did see interactions between he and Dizzy that felt strange on his end. I would have to do an analysis on Dizzy’s posts to guarantee that.
I don’t think Marmot is being truthful, but my bad feeling about lap persists (especially because the night and day difference I saw was actually a game where she was civ.)
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Marmot wrote: ↑Tue May 22, 2018 9:56 pm
@ColinIsCool let's make some rabbit stew tomorrow.
Colin, you were the first person to post after Marmot made this Gladys Campbell check claim. If you are Keith Shover, you'd have to know that Marmot was incorrectly labeling you as a dentist. You did nothing with this immediately or at any point thereafter. Why?
Oh, this again. Do you expect people to object? If they are doing cover, you shouldn't be like "no that's wrong" anyway.
ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 12:54 pm
I’m not frustrated. I’m confident that I’ve got your number here.
I've an exercise for you.
~ If Marmot is a lying mafioso, who is his teammate?
~ If Marmot is being truthful, who are the two mafia?
I am not a “cart-before-horse” style player so I don’t hunt for teammates until I have one confirmed. And I don’t have time right now for a complete ISO but I did see interactions between he and Dizzy that felt strange on his end. I would have to do an analysis on Dizzy’s posts to guarantee that.
I don’t think Marmot is being truthful, but my bad feeling about lap persists (especially because the night and day difference I saw was actually a game where she was civ.)
Best Townie, Maffies 4, 8 and 9 Best Scum, Maffies 3 Best Moderator, Maffies 8 and 9 Most Valuable Player, Maffies 7 and 9 Best Roleplay, Maffies 4 and 6 Spirit Award, Maffies 9 Hall of Fame inductee, Maffies 4
Mafia Universe
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Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 7:45 pm
Oh, this again. Do you expect people to object? If they are doing cover, you shouldn't be like "no that's wrong" anyway.
I agree. This is more about Colin, who hasn't played in a game of this construction in a very long time if ever. I'm not sure he knows anything about cover, and with that in mind I'd expect a certain reaction.
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ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 1:35 pmIt is possible in the metaphysical sense and not much else.
I don't quite understand what you mean by this.
Let's pretend the universe is probabilistic, and that it has been duplicated 1,000,000 times. In how many of those duplicated universes is Marmot Keith Shover?
Much, MUCH fewer than the ones where he’s fake claiming. I would give myself a 95% chance of being right about this and that may be even too generous to Marmot.
In 5% of universes, Colin allows Marmot to be Keith Shover.
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Marmot wrote: ↑Tue May 22, 2018 9:56 pm
@ColinIsCool let's make some rabbit stew tomorrow.
Colin, you were the first person to post after Marmot made this Gladys Campbell check claim. If you are Keith Shover, you'd have to know that Marmot was incorrectly labeling you as a dentist. You did nothing with this immediately or at any point thereafter. Why?
ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 12:54 pm
I’m not frustrated. I’m confident that I’ve got your number here.
I've an exercise for you.
~ If Marmot is a lying mafioso, who is his teammate?
~ If Marmot is being truthful, who are the two mafia?
I am not a “cart-before-horse” style player so I don’t hunt for teammates until I have one confirmed. And I don’t have time right now for a complete ISO but I did see interactions between he and Dizzy that felt strange on his end. I would have to do an analysis on Dizzy’s posts to guarantee that.
I don’t think Marmot is being truthful, but my bad feeling about lap persists (especially because the night and day difference I saw was actually a game where she was civ.)
If you're Keith Shover, you had one confirmed.
Wow, well fuck me. Fuck all this. That is good.
Mmm yeah fuck I may need to switch back to Colin hmm
It doesn't make sense to me for Colin to be so against the claim as either town or scum. But as scum, maybe he thought he was the next alternative (which he was, I guess), so that pushed him to crap on the claim. But it's such an obviously losing battle.
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ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 1:35 pmIt is possible in the metaphysical sense and not much else.
I don't quite understand what you mean by this.
Let's pretend the universe is probabilistic, and that it has been duplicated 1,000,000 times. In how many of those duplicated universes is Marmot Keith Shover?
Much, MUCH fewer than the ones where he’s fake claiming. I would give myself a 95% chance of being right about this and that may be even too generous to Marmot.
In 5% of universes, Colin allows Marmot to be Keith Shover.
Yeah I was pretty damn perplexed when he said that.
Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 7:50 pm
It doesn't make sense to me for Colin to be so against the claim as either town or scum. But as scum, maybe he thought he was the next alternative (which he was, I guess), so that pushed him to crap on the claim. But it's such an obviously losing battle.
What I suspect happened:
Colin saw Marmot's claim. This immediately spelled trouble for Colin. Colin did not want to counterclaim, because doing so locks him into a Colin vs. Marmot duel of 100% certainty, and he has no avenue of escape if Marmot dies and flips honestly. Otherwise, he feels that he can get away with "I was wrong" without being directly implicated as a counterclaimer. He resisted with all his might until his hand was forced (and perhaps was given confidence by the demands of nutella, yourself, and I).
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Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 7:50 pm
It doesn't make sense to me for Colin to be so against the claim as either town or scum. But as scum, maybe he thought he was the next alternative (which he was, I guess), so that pushed him to crap on the claim. But it's such an obviously losing battle.
What I suspect happened:
Colin saw Marmot's claim. This immediately spelled trouble for Colin. Colin did not want to counterclaim, because doing so locks him into a Colin vs. Marmot duel of 100% certainty, and he has no avenue of escape if Marmot dies and flips honestly. Otherwise, he feels that he can get away with "I was wrong" without being directly implicated as a counterclaimer. He resisted with all his might until his hand was forced (and perhaps was given confidence by the demands of nutella, yourself, and I).
Going back to [VOTE:
Colin] aubergine because Dizzy said so and because he's the right obvious choice and my laptop is about to die soon (and I've got other things to attend to eventually).
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Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 7:50 pm
It doesn't make sense to me for Colin to be so against the claim as either town or scum. But as scum, maybe he thought he was the next alternative (which he was, I guess), so that pushed him to crap on the claim. But it's such an obviously losing battle.
What I suspect happened:
Colin saw Marmot's claim. This immediately spelled trouble for Colin. Colin did not want to counterclaim, because doing so locks him into a Colin vs. Marmot duel of 100% certainty, and he has no avenue of escape if Marmot dies and flips honestly. Otherwise, he feels that he can get away with "I was wrong" without being directly implicated as a counterclaimer. He resisted with all his might until his hand was forced (and perhaps was given confidence by the demands of nutella, yourself, and I).
I know I've got an incredible insight on my role, but this is what I said earlier.
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Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 7:54 pm
I think they both look really scummy. Lololololol
That's how you stay alive as a power role hun.
Don't tell me you've been deliberately looked scummy. You've never been so "pro-town" and active in a game before. That's part of why I've suspected you in the first place. >_>
Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 7:58 pm
If we mislynch:
D5: 5 vs 2 -> Lynch confirmed scum.
- If successful -> D6: 4 vs 1 = two tries.
- If unsuccessful -> D6: 4 vs 2 = one try.
That is worst case, as in mislynching now. It's still not terrible. This has claired up a lot at least.
This is taking into account that we WILL know the identity of 1 scum no matter what after this lynch. So we should definitely lynch between Marmot and Colin.
Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 7:54 pm
I think they both look really scummy. Lololololol
That's how you stay alive as a power role hun.
Don't tell me you've been deliberately looked scummy. You've never been so "pro-town" and active in a game before. That's part of why I've suspected you in the first place. >_>
ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Wed May 30, 2018 6:06 pm
I am at the gym. If I come back to find myself lynched, tomorrow I will bench press 275 lbs. out of Mafia-inspired rage. I’ll try to be home in time to reply to messages but I can’t guarantee it.
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