Halvøsen Ridge [MAFIA WIN]
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
Keep in mind as I post these that quotes are restricted by locked thread limitations, so you don't have direct click access within them. It's basically just read-only.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
Let's ISO Marmot
Conclusion
Marmot. Marmot Marmot Marmot. I like the majority of his content, and I think that his overarching spirit of play has been of a town appearance. He is generally within my view of his own town game, and his efforts more or less appear authentic. There's just one signficant BUT that complicates the review, and it's Marmot's handling of DrWilgy. I'm not saying this is o u t i n g, it's just something that needs to be hashed out as clearly as possible. Minds are allowed to change as long as it makes sense for them to change. Gun to my head Marmot is town.
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Conclusion
Marmot. Marmot Marmot Marmot. I like the majority of his content, and I think that his overarching spirit of play has been of a town appearance. He is generally within my view of his own town game, and his efforts more or less appear authentic. There's just one signficant BUT that complicates the review, and it's Marmot's handling of DrWilgy. I'm not saying this is o u t i n g, it's just something that needs to be hashed out as clearly as possible. Minds are allowed to change as long as it makes sense for them to change. Gun to my head Marmot is town.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
just him tbh, was kinda busy today and yesterdayNateTheLesser wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:28 pmDid you mostly focus on Marmot, or did you have time to look elsewhere too?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
@JaggedJimmyJay How capable do you think Marmot is of fooling you?
How much did you care about Marmot's defence of Finger, and how did that inform your view of Finger. Cause it looks to me like you didn't care much at all, while being very aware of it.
How much did you care about Marmot's defence of Finger, and how did that inform your view of Finger. Cause it looks to me like you didn't care much at all, while being very aware of it.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
I appreciate the review you did, Nate. I think some key differences for me are that I am higher on both Dizzy and Creature. Some of my other adapted views through the break will be visible soon in my wall posts.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
I gave them in some detail before the break; I have JJJ in my immediate POE and a comfortable townread on Creature.Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:20 pm @Alison Would very much like your thoughts on Jimmay and Creature in particular
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
Creature is a player that I didn't have time to fully review in the same form, so as of right now I am still kind of working on gut impressions of both him and the game state.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
Oh ok. I should get up to speed totally first.Alison wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:31 pmI gave them in some detail before the break; I have JJJ in my immediate POE and a comfortable townread on Creature.Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:20 pm @Alison Would very much like your thoughts on Jimmay and Creature in particular
I feel like your direction has probably been quite bad this game so far. What do you think?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
I don't feel that way. What makes you think that?Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:33 pmOh ok. I should get up to speed totally first.Alison wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:31 pmI gave them in some detail before the break; I have JJJ in my immediate POE and a comfortable townread on Creature.Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:20 pm @Alison Would very much like your thoughts on Jimmay and Creature in particular
I feel like your direction has probably been quite bad this game so far. What do you think?
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
You'd referenced the notion that we've failed to kill mafia and that "arrogantly" you don't think town is here if you/Mac/myself are all town. Is there more to POEing me than that?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
That's accurate. Why's it a bad direction?Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:35 pmD2 you were gunning for Finger, Ender and me. For example. But I'll come back to this probably.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
I'll begin here: I think Boq is strictly town now. I found a general town tell that I've never seen fail before. If he is the first, so be it. That plus the detail of what he's noticing is enough for me.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
Probably all town. But as I said, I'll come back to thisAlison wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:36 pmThat's accurate. Why's it a bad direction?Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:35 pmD2 you were gunning for Finger, Ender and me. For example. But I'll come back to this probably.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
I think he's reasonably capable of fooling me in the sense that his game should be respected. I'm not sure it's happened that many times though.Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:31 pm @JaggedJimmyJay How capable do you think Marmot is of fooling you?
How much did you care about Marmot's defence of Finger, and how did that inform your view of Finger. Cause it looks to me like you didn't care much at all, while being very aware of it.
Marmot's view of fingersplints has meant something to me. It has not redefined my view of splints, because I think there are still concerns to be addressed with her slot, but perhaps it has made some difference to encourage my voting hands to other people to this point.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
It is extremely important that you expand on this when you're able. I have a different view.Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:37 pm I'll begin here: I think Boq is strictly town now. I found a general town tell that I've never seen fail before. If he is the first, so be it. That plus the detail of what he's noticing is enough for me.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
Why has it not redefined your view on Splints? If Marmot is wrong, would you not care to argue against his town case? Marmot seems sure.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:38 pmI think he's reasonably capable of fooling me in the sense that his game should be respected. I'm not sure it's happened that many times though.Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:31 pm @JaggedJimmyJay How capable do you think Marmot is of fooling you?
How much did you care about Marmot's defence of Finger, and how did that inform your view of Finger. Cause it looks to me like you didn't care much at all, while being very aware of it.
Marmot's view of fingersplints has meant something to me. It has not redefined my view of splints, because I think there are still concerns to be addressed with her slot, but perhaps it has made some difference to encourage my voting hands to other people to this point.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
There is the question of why Seanzie died over you. One explanation is that you are mafia. There are other explanations, like that Seanzie was onto someone, but it's a possibility I am considering, especially since one of the people Seanzie was "onto" has flipped town and I think another is also town.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:35 pmYou'd referenced the notion that we've failed to kill mafia and that "arrogantly" you don't think town is here if you/Mac/myself are all town. Is there more to POEing me than that?
The way you and Ender sprang at each other at SOD3, followed by relatively little interaction or pushing after that initial spat, was weird and I said so at the time. You've since clarified that you were scumreading Ender since the day before, but I still think the way you attacked him, calling his posts "fake" etc., smacks of a generic treatment that I don't associate with town you.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
I won't, because I intend to use it again. I'm interested to hear your view though.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:39 pmIt is extremely important that you expand on this when you're able. I have a different view.Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:37 pm I'll begin here: I think Boq is strictly town now. I found a general town tell that I've never seen fail before. If he is the first, so be it. That plus the detail of what he's noticing is enough for me.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
I definitely don't think they're all town.Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:38 pmProbably all town. But as I said, I'll come back to thisAlison wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:36 pmThat's accurate. Why's it a bad direction?Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:35 pmD2 you were gunning for Finger, Ender and me. For example. But I'll come back to this probably.
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
It's a meta-dependent and small-sample viewpoint that I am not sure pays full enough respect to fingersplints' capability as a player. But he can still be right. I have also had some small inklings of town from splints in this game that I have shared independent of Marmot. It's just not a confident matter, and the bar of "what is town" is elevated now.Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:40 pm Why has it not redefined your view on Splints? If Marmot is wrong, would you not care to argue against his town case? Marmot seems sure.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
Rondo is also very townie to me.
One question though,
@RondoDimBuckle The one game I played with you, you were town siding 3p. You were a lot more tunnely in that game. Here you seem more careful and considerate, though not really going anywhere. Do you think that is a fair assessment? Do you know why that is?
One question though,
@RondoDimBuckle The one game I played with you, you were town siding 3p. You were a lot more tunnely in that game. Here you seem more careful and considerate, though not really going anywhere. Do you think that is a fair assessment? Do you know why that is?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
Let's ISO Boquise
Conclusion
This review represents, so far at least, the most significant production of the ISOs I have been doing through Day 3. I have a lot of concerns about Boquise, and that is a stark contrast to the perspective I had of him prior to this stage of the game. Some of these concerns are at a smaller level, and I don't ask that Boq address every single one of them -- that would not be a valuable use of the limited time remaining in the phase. But some of this stuff needs to be addressed, particularly the concerns I expressed about the Wilgy vote. I would really like to hear from other folks beyond Boq about this review as well, or about Boq in general, because this is the first time in the game he has been subjected to serious pressure of any sort. Let's talk about it.
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Conclusion
This review represents, so far at least, the most significant production of the ISOs I have been doing through Day 3. I have a lot of concerns about Boquise, and that is a stark contrast to the perspective I had of him prior to this stage of the game. Some of these concerns are at a smaller level, and I don't ask that Boq address every single one of them -- that would not be a valuable use of the limited time remaining in the phase. But some of this stuff needs to be addressed, particularly the concerns I expressed about the Wilgy vote. I would really like to hear from other folks beyond Boq about this review as well, or about Boq in general, because this is the first time in the game he has been subjected to serious pressure of any sort. Let's talk about it.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
@EnderWiggin I feel like you've been very hedgy on Rondo. Why? If I didn't know better, I'd be worried that you wanted to hedge to avoid Rondo to get suspicious of you.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
Ender hasn't really been around yet since that exchange, so the conversation has not moved. I'd love to hear other folks' perspective about it, and I have called for that -- but at a certain point I need the field to answer those calls. I am not sure where you would get the impression in orange. Saying things seem fake is quite ordinary, for me and probably for anyone.Alison wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:40 pm There is the question of why Seanzie died over you. One explanation is that you are mafia. There are other explanations, like that Seanzie was onto someone, but it's a possibility I am considering, especially since one of the people Seanzie was "onto" has flipped town and I think another is also town.
The way you and Ender sprang at each other at SOD3, followed by relatively little interaction or pushing after that initial spat, was weird and I said so at the time. You've since clarified that you were scumreading Ender since the day before, but I still think the way you attacked him, calling his posts "fake" etc., smacks of a generic treatment that I don't associate with town you.
Were you unaware before I told you this phase that I suspected Ender on Day 2?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
You are in my upper POE. Your D3 has been decent, but you are more than capable of being decent as mafia. I no longer have concerns that you are luxuriating in anti-town play, but some of your reads are difficult to understand, and this concerns me. I would very much like for you to expand on why you think finger and Ender are probably town, when able.
You have made abrupt turnarounds in your reads of three players (Boq, finger, and myself), switching them from scum to town very rapidly, and you have been vague about these reasons; you said you didn't want to talk about your read on me in detail and said you just liked my D2 posts, actively refuse to discuss your tell on Boq, and I have no idea what your finger read is.
Those reasons put you in the POE. You have risen to upper POE because I have found the general direction of your D3 play agreeable; as mentioned before, I liked your towncore, and the way you treated Marmot has been townie in ways that I am unsure wolves bother faking.
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
Sometimes when I put together these walls, they have a paralyzing effect that frustrates me. I understand that sometimes they can be difficult to absorb just for being massive, but I would really appreciate if folks could read them or skim them or look at the conclusions and share your perspectives.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
I struggled to read Lucy yesterday, and was hoping that her big case would shed some light on her thoughts. It seems like she's not going to do it after all, though.
I think I'd sum up my view on Lucy as being a mixed bag. I find myself liking her when she is making posts and coasting along, but when she comes under pressure she starts flailing in a way that bothers me. I cannot tell if she is a mafia member who's cracking under pressure after coasting along early, or if she just responds poorly to pressure and my initial assessment was accurate.
I have generally found her worldview to be at odds with mine and this deepens my concern. @lucy, do you still endorse your Boq/JJJ/Rondo towncore?
I think I'd sum up my view on Lucy as being a mixed bag. I find myself liking her when she is making posts and coasting along, but when she comes under pressure she starts flailing in a way that bothers me. I cannot tell if she is a mafia member who's cracking under pressure after coasting along early, or if she just responds poorly to pressure and my initial assessment was accurate.
I have generally found her worldview to be at odds with mine and this deepens my concern. @lucy, do you still endorse your Boq/JJJ/Rondo towncore?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 2]
Yes. New town core activate.EnderWiggin wrote: ↑Fri Jul 01, 2022 9:04 pm AT most one wolf in Dizzy/Boq/Rondo tbh.
But I think there's none.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
I really like her persistent questioning and interest in Marmot and his relationship to Jay, and how they were treating her. That looked like real thoughts to me, and actual concern. I also liked how she commented how this game seemed harder than her quali, but I am admittedly a sucker for little comments like that.Alison wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:01 pm I struggled to read Lucy yesterday, and was hoping that her big case would shed some light on her thoughts. It seems like she's not going to do it after all, though.
I think I'd sum up my view on Lucy as being a mixed bag. I find myself liking her when she is making posts and coasting along, but when she comes under pressure she starts flailing in a way that bothers me. I cannot tell if she is a mafia member who's cracking under pressure after coasting along early, or if she just responds poorly to pressure and my initial assessment was accurate.
I have generally found her worldview to be at odds with mine and this deepens my concern. @lucy, do you still endorse your Boq/JJJ/Rondo towncore?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
@Marmot Sometimes I feel you should be at least three times more paranoid of me than you seem to be. What do you think?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
Never mind. I don't know why I struggle. Game state, you have a high chance of being mafia. Meta wise, you are breaking out of your meta if you are mafia. Does that make sense?Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:11 pm @Marmot Sometimes I feel you should be at least three times more paranoid of me than you seem to be. What do you think?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
I'm around briefly. Things have been quite busy irl.Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:50 pm @EnderWiggin I feel like you've been very hedgy on Rondo. Why? If I didn't know better, I'd be worried that you wanted to hedge to avoid Rondo to get suspicious of you.
As for Rondo, he is aware of how I read in a way that only maybe Thunal can rival. I'm hedgy on him because it is difficult to actually find something I can 100% townread him for.
Usually this will be the case.
I did hard shield him in his first few games because I knew he'd get wagoned early if I didn't.
We can only trust the truth. Everything else is a lie.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
This answer leaves a lot to be desired. I've seen little things here and there that I want to town read Rondo for. Is it possible for you to do an ISO there to get a firmer grasp?EnderWiggin wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:14 pmI'm around briefly. Things have been quite busy irl.Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:50 pm @EnderWiggin I feel like you've been very hedgy on Rondo. Why? If I didn't know better, I'd be worried that you wanted to hedge to avoid Rondo to get suspicious of you.
As for Rondo, he is aware of how I read in a way that only maybe Thunal can rival. I'm hedgy on him because it is difficult to actually find something I can 100% townread him for.
Usually this will be the case.
I did hard shield him in his first few games because I knew he'd get wagoned early if I didn't.
Right now I have the same town core as you.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
The question I have for Alison is:
Do you think I actually ever disturb the boat like that if Jay and I are distancing partners?
I don't usually force it between me and a partner unless it's inevitable, and between me and Jay that would hardly be inevitable.
Do you think I actually ever disturb the boat like that if Jay and I are distancing partners?
I don't usually force it between me and a partner unless it's inevitable, and between me and Jay that would hardly be inevitable.
We can only trust the truth. Everything else is a lie.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
I'm not going to tinfoil Marmot anymore. He just sounds awkward when he responds to me sometimes, and that is ok.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
I have said this before.Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:16 pmThis answer leaves a lot to be desired. I've seen little things here and there that I want to town read Rondo for. Is it possible for you to do an ISO there to get a firmer grasp?EnderWiggin wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:14 pmI'm around briefly. Things have been quite busy irl.Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:50 pm @EnderWiggin I feel like you've been very hedgy on Rondo. Why? If I didn't know better, I'd be worried that you wanted to hedge to avoid Rondo to get suspicious of you.
As for Rondo, he is aware of how I read in a way that only maybe Thunal can rival. I'm hedgy on him because it is difficult to actually find something I can 100% townread him for.
Usually this will be the case.
I did hard shield him in his first few games because I knew he'd get wagoned early if I didn't.
Right now I have the same town core as you.
I will say it again.
I currently think Rondo is town.
I think that while he has the capability to fool me I don't think he'd be this consistent over days if he was actually wolf.
Not on his first wolf in forum play anyway.
We can only trust the truth. Everything else is a lie.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
I'm just going to remind Alison, however, of the last mountainous we played together.
I came out on D3 with a case on Mac.
Mac was wolf.
This case was also out of no where.
I was also town.
Do you remember that?
I came out on D3 with a case on Mac.
Mac was wolf.
This case was also out of no where.
I was also town.
Do you remember that?
We can only trust the truth. Everything else is a lie.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 1]
You are notably not including Marmot here, which Mac promised to tunnel if Falcon was town. Do you not think that is relevant?JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sun Jul 03, 2022 4:22 amMac’s POE is 0 for 2 so far. I think this makes Dizzy and Creature among the most important slots to sort this phase. Whatever their alignments, if we can develop clearer impressions that might provide us with good insight into the mafia mindset in this game. My initial gut points to a town Creature, and I don’t think Dizzy has to be mafia. If this POE had 0-1 mafia in it, then I think we can start to build worlds surrounding “the maintenance of the status quo” as a premier mafia agenda.MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 11:23 pm I kinda think that there is a necessary auto period here.
Like there is a line and those below it have to all die before those above it because if the mafia are all above it the game is already over and we are wasting our time and that's very unlikely.
Line
Dyslexicon
Creature
Falcon
DrWilgy
For some reason I don't want to put Fingersplints below the line. I think Dyslexicon has the most chance of being town but I can't reasonably put him above it.
I’m just thinking aloud here. I will develop this further when I can.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
Albeit I actually had a case rather than an accusation but anyway. I only have about 40m and I have other things to do so I can't spend the time casing until about 8ish hours from now.
We can only trust the truth. Everything else is a lie.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
Or why wasn't Fingers saved be your wagon as well? Etc
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
I'd laugh if Alison/Jay are mafia and I tried to towncore them D1.
We can only trust the truth. Everything else is a lie.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
Nate is also super sus for the fact that he has no solid decisiveness about his reads.
He provides those lovely scalding hot lists and then is like "But I'm not sure".
I'm ngl I'm trying to remember if he did that in Quals, need to check.
He provides those lovely scalding hot lists and then is like "But I'm not sure".
I'm ngl I'm trying to remember if he did that in Quals, need to check.
We can only trust the truth. Everything else is a lie.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 1]
He’s certainly not relevant to the post I was discussing. He’s not in it. Hey may or may not be relevant otherwise, but I was speaking specifically of the “auto” POE that Mac posted.Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:20 pm You are notably not including Marmot here, which Mac promised to tunnel if Falcon was town. Do you not think that is relevant?
Spoiler: show
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]
@EnderWiggin Why do you read Creature town? EoD 1, why, what happened? He's whining and doing absolutely nothing. Sometimes he's defaulting to voting me. He's complaining about Mac's list while still following it. He said I was mafia siding when I was voting Wilgy, while he himself considered Wilgy suspect and ended up voting there. Like wtf. It's useless at best and just wolf at worst. I have big questions about this. That said, I have scarier fish to fry tbh
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 1]
I think it's relevant if we're discussing NKA. If you just revived the PoE to discuss it for a different purpose, then it's not relevant. I'm very excited to see your NKA of the Sean kill. Haven't gotten that far yet.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:25 pmHe’s certainly not relevant to the post I was discussing. He’s not in it. Hey may or may not be relevant otherwise, but I was speaking specifically of the “auto” POE that Mac posted.Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:20 pm You are notably not including Marmot here, which Mac promised to tunnel if Falcon was town. Do you not think that is relevant?