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Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 12:56 pm
by Marmot
I'm still waiting on my most recent result, but I'm fine with continuing the plan of just exitling someone who hasn't been exiled. It seems the safest way for now.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:31 pm
by MissSparkles
Long Con wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 12:52 pm
Always have to find out if the groundhog saw his shadow or not.
TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 2:25 am
this is all to say exile kza cause apparently he derp cleared
Not by my definition of derpclear, which is something like revealing beyond a doubt that you're ignorant of information that the wolf team surely would not be. All KZA did was act like the red check was wrong. I get the argument that a redchecked traitor would admit when he's been found out... if one's personal judgement one his reaction is that's honest beyond a doubt, so be it. I think it's a basic go-to mode for getting redchecked as a wolf: deny, deny, deny.
Wisdom wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:52 am
Wiml wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:13 am
Lmao.
Yeah we just need one town we are willing to bet the game on and we win.
If the anti-cop is alive still then red peeks are probably semi-clearing now?
I'm not gonna accept the auto-run sorry.
The anti cop is confirmed alive, as host said they would flip anti cop when dead, and as long as they have used their ability on themselves (which I am willing to bet on) our cop can clear people.
Sure, the only thing that keeps me from wanting to go auto is the cop checks, but still. I think marmot got two checks now that he hasn't shared?
I like the idea of autoing the green checks from here on in.
I agree re: KZA, where does that leave her in your POE? Before ir after Mac/Gira/Myself??
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:33 pm
by Wiml
Oh I just realised something too.
We know we have exiled only 1 traitor at an absolute max.
So that means if we exile literally everyone once... there is only one traitor left so we can exile every single player twice and it's still impossible to lose from exile.
As long as we never exile a non-Marmot person three times in a row we are now unable to lose to exile lol.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:33 pm
by Wiml
*in the game, not in a row
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:35 pm
by MissSparkles
Solved by mech
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:37 pm
by Wisdom
Yeah I think what's slowing this game down is the host being busy rather than we needing to talk.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:38 pm
by Wisdom
I'm fine with exiling anyone who's been active today and punt anyone tomorrow who hasn't.
= Gira, TSP, Mac
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:43 pm
by MissSparkles
Wisdom wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:38 pm
I'm fine with exiling anyone who's been active today and punt anyone tomorrow who hasn't.
= Gira, TSP, Mac
To be fair too TSP, atleast he tried lol.
He’s still in my POE but yea i’d yeet Mac/Gira/KZA probably all over him tbhtbh
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:45 pm
by Wisdom
MissSparkles wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:43 pm
Wisdom wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:38 pm
I'm fine with exiling anyone who's been active today and punt anyone tomorrow who hasn't.
= Gira, TSP, Mac
To be fair too TSP, atleast he tried lol.
He’s still in my POE but yea i’d yeet Mac/Gira/KZA probably all over him tbhtbh
I'd switch KZA with him but Gira->Mac->TSP is probably my order of preference.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:48 pm
by Wiml
If it's Gira then he is absolutely guaranteed to be the anti-cop (check) and to have anti-copped himself because of the strategy Marm suggested.
So if Marm checks Gira and gets a red then that's telling I think.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:50 pm
by Creature
Wisdom wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:38 pm
I'm fine with exiling anyone who's been active today and punt anyone tomorrow who hasn't.
= Gira, TSP, Mac
Problem is that this is like my primary POE for last traitor. If it is not any of them then I don't know where to go next.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 2:43 pm
by Long Con
MissSparkles wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:31 pm
Long Con wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 12:52 pm
Always have to find out if the groundhog saw his shadow or not.
TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 2:25 am
this is all to say exile kza cause apparently he derp cleared
Not by my definition of derpclear, which is something like revealing beyond a doubt that you're ignorant of information that the wolf team surely would not be. All KZA did was act like the red check was wrong. I get the argument that a redchecked traitor would admit when he's been found out... if one's personal judgement one his reaction is that's honest beyond a doubt, so be it. I think it's a basic go-to mode for getting redchecked as a wolf: deny, deny, deny.
Wisdom wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:52 am
Wiml wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:13 am
Lmao.
Yeah we just need one town we are willing to bet the game on and we win.
If the anti-cop is alive still then red peeks are probably semi-clearing now?
I'm not gonna accept the auto-run sorry.
The anti cop is confirmed alive, as host said they would flip anti cop when dead, and as long as they have used their ability on themselves (which I am willing to bet on) our cop can clear people.
Sure, the only thing that keeps me from wanting to go auto is the cop checks, but still. I think marmot got two checks now that he hasn't shared?
I like the idea of autoing the green checks from here on in.
I agree re: KZA, where does that leave her in your POE? Before ir after Mac/Gira/Myself??
Yeah, I think so. Not sure about Gira, but you have done a nice volume clear today. Is that something you do as a wolf? Really, asking anyone who knows your play well enough.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:10 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
ok do i just not know how day phases work around here
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:15 pm
by Wisdom
TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:10 pm
ok do i just not know how day phases work around here
Phases are not working and there are no night phases this game.
But welcome!
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:40 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
is there an exile poll or are the polls broken or something
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:48 pm
by Wisdom
TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:40 pm
is there an exile poll or are the polls broken or something
Polls are broken because host hasn't changed them.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:49 pm
by Wisdom
Wisdom wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:48 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:40 pm
is there an exile poll or are the polls broken or something
Polls are broken because host hasn't changed them.
@Gavial
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:49 pm
by Marmot
TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:40 pm
is there an exile poll or are the polls broken or something
We should be in exile phase right now, I think the poll just isn't updated.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:55 pm
by Wiml
I feel bad for the last traitor lol. 95% of the time they're probably just slowly waiting out a game that is close to unwinnable.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:57 pm
by Wisdom
Wiml wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:55 pm
I feel bad for the last traitor lol. 95% of the time they're probably just slowly waiting out a game that is close to unwinnable.
Which means all we have to do is HYPE UP and we'll smoke the last one out!
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 4:00 pm
by Wiml
HYPE
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 4:00 pm
by Wiml
Wiml wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 4:00 pmHYPE
Accepting my easy town clear gg.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 4:01 pm
by Wisdom
Wiml wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 4:00 pm
Wiml wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 4:00 pmHYPE
Accepting my easy town clear gg.
GG
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 4:19 pm
by MissSparkles
Long Con wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 2:43 pm
MissSparkles wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:31 pm
Long Con wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 12:52 pm
Always have to find out if the groundhog saw his shadow or not.
TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 2:25 am
this is all to say exile kza cause apparently he derp cleared
Not by my definition of derpclear, which is something like revealing beyond a doubt that you're ignorant of information that the wolf team surely would not be. All KZA did was act like the red check was wrong. I get the argument that a redchecked traitor would admit when he's been found out... if one's personal judgement one his reaction is that's honest beyond a doubt, so be it. I think it's a basic go-to mode for getting redchecked as a wolf: deny, deny, deny.
Wisdom wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:52 am
Wiml wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:13 am
Lmao.
Yeah we just need one town we are willing to bet the game on and we win.
If the anti-cop is alive still then red peeks are probably semi-clearing now?
I'm not gonna accept the auto-run sorry.
The anti cop is confirmed alive, as host said they would flip anti cop when dead, and as long as they have used their ability on themselves (which I am willing to bet on) our cop can clear people.
Sure, the only thing that keeps me from wanting to go auto is the cop checks, but still. I think marmot got two checks now that he hasn't shared?
I like the idea of autoing the green checks from here on in.
I agree re: KZA, where does that leave her in your POE? Before ir after Mac/Gira/Myself??
Yeah, I think so. Not sure about Gira, but you have done a nice volume clear today. Is that something you do as a wolf? Really, asking anyone who knows your play well enough.
Idk it’s something i did this game and i’ve been openly town and openly freeeee.
Can’t ask much more from me
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:21 pm
by MacDougall
sorry I didn't realise that the game was back to thingy phase
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:21 pm
by MacDougall
I'm not the traitor so yeh.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:22 pm
by MacDougall
my reads have been good so just chop 112 next
@112 what ya doin?
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:23 pm
by MacDougall
@Gavial poll seems cooked m8 how we gonna exile sumbod
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:23 pm
by Wisdom
MacDougall wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:22 pm
my reads have been good so just chop 112 next
@112 what ya doin?
TSP is the new 112!
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:24 pm
by MacDougall
Wisdom wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:23 pm
MacDougall wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:22 pm
my reads have been good so just chop 112 next
@112 what ya doin?
TSP is the new 112!
oh yeh well that then
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:24 pm
by MacDougall
@TonyStarkPrime what you doin m8?
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:25 pm
by MacDougall
how did I end up in the POE lol
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:37 pm
by KZA
MacDougall wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:25 pm
how did I end up in the POE lol
Because you uhh are poweranticopping or something
Uhhh
Yeah idk
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:39 pm
by MissSparkles
Via scummy play tbh
One usually doesn’t get there by mech solving, ask Wiml how he looks d blue in comparison
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:40 pm
by MacDougall
MissSparkles wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:39 pm
Via scummy play tbh
One usually doesn’t get there by mech solving, ask Wiml how he looks d blue in comparison
scummy play?
lol ok
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:56 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
MacDougall wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:25 pm
how did I end up in the POE lol
The Poe has like nine names
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 6:02 pm
by MacDougall
TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:56 pm
MacDougall wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:25 pm
how did I end up in the POE lol
The Poe has like nine names
Ur bad right?
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 6:05 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
No how about you
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 6:23 pm
by MacDougall
no u
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 6:23 pm
by MacDougall
@Marmot what we do
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:09 pm
by Gira
MissSparkles wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 5:39 pm
Via scummy play tbh
One usually doesn’t get there by mech solving, ask Wiml how he looks d blue in comparison
this is like always the last traitor
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:13 pm
by Gira
anyway i will reiterate: pick one person and bet the game on them being town, now is literally the best time do so ever because the odds are good. exile them 3 times and get mechanical confirmation. don't cry about losing via traitor exile, you want this person to be the last one standing with marmot anyway so there is NO POINT in playing it safe
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:36 pm
by Marmot
Meh. We're ahead, which means that we absolutely should play it safe, not make calls that have some amount of risk to them.
I know that the odds are in our favor, but there's still a little risk to picking someone (other than myself) to be our permanent exiled target.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:36 pm
by Marmot
Gira wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:13 pm
anyway i will reiterate: pick one person and bet the game on them being town, now is literally the best time do so ever because the odds are good. exile them 3 times and get mechanical confirmation. don't cry about losing via traitor exile, you want this person to be the last one standing with marmot anyway so there is NO POINT in playing it safe
Who would you pick?
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:39 pm
by Marmot
I should add that since the anti-cop is the only traitor left, it is possible that it's KZA. The reason he was derp-cleared was because he responded well to my make redpeek, but if he was an anti-cop who self-targeted, he would have known my peek was fake.
I don't think he is, but I feel it's still worth pointing out if we start having trouble finding the last traitor.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:41 pm
by Marmot
I'd love to exile someone, but the poll still seems to be in Day Mode.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:41 pm
by Gira
Marmot wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:36 pm
Meh. We're ahead, which means that we absolutely should play it safe, not make calls that have some amount of risk to them.
I know that the odds are in our favor, but there's still a little risk to picking someone (other than myself) to be our permanent exiled target.
marmot, the point is you pick the one person you don't want to eliminate ever, your top town read. what i consider risky, personally is flipping your reads wildly and killing someone you thought was locktown later in the game because you got tinfoily. we can get confirmation that we have made a correct choice and get it sooner rather than later, and that to me is LESS risky than constantly shuffling around reads
Marmot wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:36 pm
Gira wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:13 pm
anyway i will reiterate: pick one person and bet the game on them being town, now is literally the best time do so ever because the odds are good. exile them 3 times and get mechanical confirmation. don't cry about losing via traitor exile, you want this person to be the last one standing with marmot anyway so there is NO POINT in playing it safe
Who would you pick?
probably mac or creature? those two feel pretty good to me
people are saying KZA possibly townslipped though, could someone show me where? i've barely been paying attention lol
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:45 pm
by MacDougall
I am not the last traitor. Just read my ISO. This ain't my anti-town game.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:46 pm
by Marmot
I mean if we plow through 7 POE candidates and none of them are hits, we're going to have to flip our reads regardless of which strategy we use. I just want to use the one that will never send a possible traitor to exile more than twice, everyone but me being a possible traitor. Yes it's cautious, but it's not hard.
Re: Traitors for Exile
Posted: Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:46 pm
by Marmot
We have 8 misyeets before F3 lol.