Re: U-Pick Mafia Vol 1 - Night 1
Posted: Sun May 20, 2018 4:47 pm
I'ma take reeeaaalll good care of you.Turnip Head wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:46 pmI morph into a nursing home tomorrow night so dontchyu worry 'bout a thang, bunky
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
I'ma take reeeaaalll good care of you.Turnip Head wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:46 pmI morph into a nursing home tomorrow night so dontchyu worry 'bout a thang, bunky
Not bad for a first post, huh?
So am I. You asked a question that was oppurtunistic at best and scummy at worse. I called it out for what it was. I reserve that right too.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:47 pm And I reserve the right to ask as many questions of as many suspects as I please. It’s called scumhunting. If you don’t like it, boy are you in for a bad time!
I’m not following you here. Speed seems content to allow scum to get town points by picking each other off and would like them to be able to do so more easily. Of course it’s possible in any lynch, but it’s more possible with 3 at a time and it’s something any townie ought to remain vigilant about.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:45 pmIf that is dangerous, then any rationale that attempts to get scum lynched is dangerous.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:44 pmNo. I’m saying that speed’s specific rationale here is dangerous.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:41 pmAre you saying we shouldn't lynch mafia because giving credit for opposing mafia is a bad thing?ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 3:42 pmSo your preferred scenario is one where mafia members can A. get closer to their win con easier and B. earn town cred by having a better shot at catching an opposing scum? How does that help town? I’m wary about the possibility of a scum catching another one and walking away looking pretty good in players’ eyes, in any lynch. 3 lynches makes that so much easier.speedchuck wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 3:36 pm Seriously, though, the scumteams should be actually hunting this game, since there are rogues and another team. Why not let everyone have a go at it? We have 30ish players and nobody has died yet.
This dramatic reduction thing is hogwash. It's just an extra phase worth of players lost, worst case. Best case, it puts mafia under as much pressure as us.
Like what the hell?
At the point the only way to avoid that danger is not signing up for mafia games.
Your "revelation" that you made the night poll makes no difference to any decision-making. I raise my eyebrow at those who just changed their vote because you said that. Wolbre? Juliets? What difference does it make? Were we all supposed to be like "Oh GOLDEN made the poll so let's all choose the option he says!"
There are negative consequences for option 6, I made that pretty clear.Long Con wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:51 pmYour "revelation" that you made the night poll makes no difference to any decision-making. I raise my eyebrow at those who just changed their vote because you said that. Wolbre? Juliets? What difference does it make? Were we all supposed to be like "Oh GOLDEN made the poll so let's all choose the option he says!"![]()
So.... you are against scum lynching scum because they might get Civ cred for it? We know about that kind of thing around here, two-mafia-team games are not uncommon.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:49 pmI’m not following you here. Speed seems content to allow scum to get town points by picking each other off and would like them to be able to do so more easily. Of course it’s possible in any lynch, but it’s more possible with 3 at a time and it’s something any townie ought to remain vigilant about.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:45 pmIf that is dangerous, then any rationale that attempts to get scum lynched is dangerous.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:44 pmNo. I’m saying that speed’s specific rationale here is dangerous.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:41 pmAre you saying we shouldn't lynch mafia because giving credit for opposing mafia is a bad thing?ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 3:42 pmSo your preferred scenario is one where mafia members can A. get closer to their win con easier and B. earn town cred by having a better shot at catching an opposing scum? How does that help town? I’m wary about the possibility of a scum catching another one and walking away looking pretty good in players’ eyes, in any lynch. 3 lynches makes that so much easier.speedchuck wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 3:36 pm Seriously, though, the scumteams should be actually hunting this game, since there are rogues and another team. Why not let everyone have a go at it? We have 30ish players and nobody has died yet.
This dramatic reduction thing is hogwash. It's just an extra phase worth of players lost, worst case. Best case, it puts mafia under as much pressure as us.
Like what the hell?
At the point the only way to avoid that danger is not signing up for mafia games.
There are potential negatives.Golden wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:52 pmThere are negative consequences for option 6, I made that pretty clear.Long Con wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:51 pmYour "revelation" that you made the night poll makes no difference to any decision-making. I raise my eyebrow at those who just changed their vote because you said that. Wolbre? Juliets? What difference does it make? Were we all supposed to be like "Oh GOLDEN made the poll so let's all choose the option he says!"![]()
Lol KDragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:49 pmSo am I. You asked a question that was oppurtunistic at best and scummy at worse. I called it out for what it was. I reserve that right too.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:47 pm And I reserve the right to ask as many questions of as many suspects as I please. It’s called scumhunting. If you don’t like it, boy are you in for a bad time!
But at some point the accumulation of town points prevents a baddie from getting dead.
I’m not against scum lynching scum. I’m against the future reads I’m going to see when it happens because scum luck out and I think speed’s post, tonally, did not consider that. I also think it’s strange of DDL to dig at it only when I’m asking questions of him.Long Con wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:52 pmSo.... you are against scum lynching scum because they might get Civ cred for it? We know about that kind of thing around here, two-mafia-team games are not uncommon.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:49 pmI’m not following you here. Speed seems content to allow scum to get town points by picking each other off and would like them to be able to do so more easily. Of course it’s possible in any lynch, but it’s more possible with 3 at a time and it’s something any townie ought to remain vigilant about.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:45 pmIf that is dangerous, then any rationale that attempts to get scum lynched is dangerous.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:44 pmNo. I’m saying that speed’s specific rationale here is dangerous.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:41 pmAre you saying we shouldn't lynch mafia because giving credit for opposing mafia is a bad thing?ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 3:42 pmSo your preferred scenario is one where mafia members can A. get closer to their win con easier and B. earn town cred by having a better shot at catching an opposing scum? How does that help town? I’m wary about the possibility of a scum catching another one and walking away looking pretty good in players’ eyes, in any lynch. 3 lynches makes that so much easier.speedchuck wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 3:36 pm Seriously, though, the scumteams should be actually hunting this game, since there are rogues and another team. Why not let everyone have a go at it? We have 30ish players and nobody has died yet.
This dramatic reduction thing is hogwash. It's just an extra phase worth of players lost, worst case. Best case, it puts mafia under as much pressure as us.
Like what the hell?
At the point the only way to avoid that danger is not signing up for mafia games.
I mean you came to a party with cocaine, guns and beer. you're the enabler here.
I’d vote for option 1 over 6 if it mattered.
I get why it's a parabola, but not why Day 2 of this 30 player game must represent the tailing end of the parabola. Dilluted civilian control is problematic when it can be dictated by mafia influence.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:58 pm Ok Golden explain why three lynches is a parabola. I understand what that means but I don't get why it is a parabola in the first place.
don't text and drive boy, i need you in one pieceJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 5:00 pmI get why it's a parabola, but not why Day 2 of this 30 player game must represent the tailing end of the parabola. Dilluted civilian control is problematic when it can be dictated by mafia influence.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:58 pm Ok Golden explain why three lynches is a parabola. I understand what that means but I don't get why it is a parabola in the first place.
The missing link to the argument against #6 is why we're definitely as that point of dictation right now.
However, numerous votes have been falling on #6 without regard for the dialogue and that isn't ideal. This is where it sucks to have no vision of the voting order.
It is so, SO tempting!JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 5:01 pm @ColinIsCool, I don't recommend an off-wagon vote here.![]()
The direction of attention is in the hands of the individual. If you feel that someone(s) must get attention, then say so loudly, in caps lock, with huge font.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 5:02 pm If I should be voting for option 2, can someone address the fear that it will shift attention away from our most organic suspects that we may not recover
Yes !
Parabola is probably overly simplistic, but the basic idea is that the benefit increases for a while after ‘1 lynch in a day’ while there is still good enough civ ratios to reliably split but then drops off dramatically the more lynches you add in a day. If we had to lynch 28, I think in practice the chances of us winning would approach 0, because there’s a very high chance each mafia could effectively protect one of their own with careful planning.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:58 pm Ok Golden explain why three lynches is a parabola. I understand what that means but I don't get why it is a parabola in the first place.
Not sure I did what you think you saw...
What would that manipulation look like? HOW could they manipulate this more than any lynch?Golden wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 5:05 pmParabola is probably overly simplistic, but the basic idea is that the benefit increases for a while after ‘1 lynch in a day’ while there is still good enough civ ratios to reliably split but then drops off dramatically the more lynches you add in a day. If we had to lynch 28, I think in practice the chances of us winning would approach 0, because there’s a very high chance each mafia could effectively protect one of their own with careful planning.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Sun May 20, 2018 4:58 pm Ok Golden explain why three lynches is a parabola. I understand what that means but I don't get why it is a parabola in the first place.
I’ve said I’d consider supporting a two lynch day or even a three lynch day later when we know more. Right now, we’re shooting in the dark and offering to spread our civ resources thin, opening the door to more easy manipulation.
X = Number of lynches in a day phase