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Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:13 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
Just gonna spam out consolidated polls and stare at them:

Day 1
[4] Jack - LC, nutella, Mac, Nanook
[2] Long Con - Jack, Sloonei
[1] Mac - Soneji
[1] Nanook - motobot
[3] Soneji - ted, Daisy, sig

[3] No vote - Jiwon, Myo, ColinJJ

Day 2
[1] Jiwon - LC
[2] Long Con - Daisy, Sloonei
[1] Mac - motobot
[2] Soneji - nutella, JJJ
[5] Daisy - ted, Mac, Soneji, sig, Myo
[1] ted - Jiwon

Day 3
[1] Myo - ted
[3] sig - Soneji, Sloonei, LC
[4] Soneji - Myo, nutella, Mac, JJJ

[3] No vote - Jiwon, motobot, sig

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:17 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
Unusual indicators:

- Jiwon has only voted once, and it was an off-wagon dump.
- Sloonei has never participated in a lynch.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:31 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
Scrap votes

Day 0
[1] Mac - ted
[1] sig - Myo
[1] Sloonei - Soneji
[1] Soneji - Sloonei
[3] Daisy - Nanook, motobot, LC
[2] ted - Jiwon, Mac

[5] No vote - ColinJJ, Dragotella, Jack, sig, Daisy

Night 1
[4] nutella - Myo, Nanook, Soneji, Mac
[4] Mac - Jiwon, ted, Daisy, nutella
[2] Nanook - LC, JJJ
[1] Sloonei - motobot
[1] ted - Sloonei

[1] No vote - sig

Night 2
[2] JJJ - nutella, Sloonei
[3] Mac - Myo, Mac, ted
[1] Myo - motobot
[2] nutella - Jiwon, JJJ
[1] ted - LC

[2] No vote - sig, Soneji

Night 3
[4] Mac - ted, Jiwon, nutella, JJJ
[1] nutella - Mac

[5] No vote - LC, motobot, Myo, sig, Sloonei

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:33 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
- Jiwon has voted for scrap 4 out of 4, but for a lynch only 1 out of 3. Whacke.

- Sloonei has never voted scrap to a majority scrap winner.

- sig has literally never voted for scrap.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:34 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
I kinda doubt a mafia sig just ignores this entire mechanic.

I might swap him with Sloonei in my POE group.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:39 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
[VOTE: JiwonMeganPark] aubergine

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:22 pm
by Sloonei
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:33 am - Jiwon has voted for scrap 4 out of 4, but for a lynch only 1 out of 3. Whacke.

- Sloonei has never voted scrap to a majority scrap winner.

- sig has literally never voted for scrap.
Is there something wrong with not voting for the winner? I wanna spread it.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:23 pm
by Long Con
Sloonei wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:22 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:33 am - Jiwon has voted for scrap 4 out of 4, but for a lynch only 1 out of 3. Whacke.

- Sloonei has never voted scrap to a majority scrap winner.

- sig has literally never voted for scrap.
Is there something wrong with not voting for the winner? I wanna spread it.
I thought there wasn't a winner, just a spreading of scrap to all who received votes.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:32 pm
by nutella
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:33 am - Jiwon has voted for scrap 4 out of 4, but for a lynch only 1 out of 3. Whacke.
This is bizarre

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:35 pm
by nutella
[mention]MacDougall[/mention] I see your vote is on LC but I see no explanation

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:39 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
Sloonei wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:22 pm Is there something wrong with not voting for the winner? I wanna spread it.
I don't know if it's "wrong", but it does limit the scrap in the hands of the biggest town reads.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:47 pm
by nutella
I don't mind Sloonei spreading the scrap votes, but let's be real, his day voting record is abysmal. He remained on the LC wagon in the very fast Jack move, perhaps thinking there was still a chance, and it kinda looks like he had TMI on the town lynches and avoided responsibility for them. Maybe I'm reading too much into it, or it's too scummy to be scum, but the pattern isn't inspiring.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:49 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
nutella wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:47 pm I don't mind Sloonei spreading the scrap votes, but let's be real, his day voting record is abysmal. He remained on the LC wagon in the very fast Jack move, perhaps thinking there was still a chance, and it kinda looks like he had TMI on the town lynches and avoided responsibility for them. Maybe I'm reading too much into it, or it's too scummy to be scum, but the pattern isn't inspiring.
All I have for Sloonei is that sometimes his tone seems fine.

Considering I usually just know he's a civilian, this game is an outlier. I don't have remotely that degree of confidence. And you're right that on the basis of evidence, he gets no better. So he's in my POE.

Does anyone disagree with the assertion that a mafia sig would give a crap about the scrap mechanic and not skip every single night poll?

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 1:18 pm
by Sloonei
nutella wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:47 pm I don't mind Sloonei spreading the scrap votes, but let's be real, his day voting record is abysmal. He remained on the LC wagon in the very fast Jack move, perhaps thinking there was still a chance, and it kinda looks like he had TMI on the town lynches and avoided responsibility for them. Maybe I'm reading too much into it, or it's too scummy to be scum, but the pattern isn't inspiring.
:shrug: mafia sloon doesn’t give a shit about “tmi on town lynches”

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 3:12 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:49 pmDoes anyone disagree with the assertion that a mafia sig would give a crap about the scrap mechanic and not skip every single night poll?

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 3:27 pm
by Sloonei
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 3:12 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:49 pmDoes anyone disagree with the assertion that a mafia sig would give a crap about the scrap mechanic and not skip every single night poll?
I don’t assign it enough weight to remove him from the POE, but I agree that it’s not meaningless.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 3:37 pm
by Long Con
Sloonei wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 3:27 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 3:12 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:49 pmDoes anyone disagree with the assertion that a mafia sig would give a crap about the scrap mechanic and not skip every single night poll?
I don’t assign it enough weight to remove him from the POE, but I agree that it’s not meaningless.
Agreed.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 4:28 pm
by MacDougall
nutella wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:35 pm @MacDougall I see your vote is on LC but I see no explanation
I think myo is town. I haven't been fully focused on this game for the last couple of days so I was just following the other wagon.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 4:30 pm
by MacDougall
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:33 am - Jiwon has voted for scrap 4 out of 4, but for a lynch only 1 out of 3. Whacke.

- Sloonei has never voted scrap to a majority scrap winner.

- sig has literally never voted for scrap.
- Ted gave me scrap literally every night. What a sweet boy.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 5:45 pm
by Long Con
MacDougall wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 4:28 pm
nutella wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:35 pm @MacDougall I see your vote is on LC but I see no explanation
I think myo is town. I haven't been fully focused on this game for the last couple of days so I was just following the other wagon.
Even with the tedxtr reveal and post-reveal analysis.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 5:46 pm
by Long Con
Switching over to Myo so I'm not self-voting anymore. And because he's our lynch today. [VOTE: Myo] aubergine

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:28 pm
by Myo
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Thu Jun 04, 2020 11:57 pm
Myo wrote: Thu Jun 04, 2020 11:12 pm Long Con and JaggedJimmyJay are still my top 2 wolf picks.
Why
I've already written why Long Con is sus:
Myo wrote: Wed Jun 03, 2020 9:35 pm
nutella wrote: Wed Jun 03, 2020 8:25 pm Can you sum up why you suspect LC and why you think Sloonei is town?
The Lon Con answer.

Long Con wrote: Thu May 28, 2020 10:38 pm
MacDougall wrote: Thu May 28, 2020 10:38 pm
NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: Thu May 28, 2020 10:35 pm
MacDougall wrote: Thu May 28, 2020 10:32 pm Sloonei, Nanook, Nutella are all lock clear.

Sig and Spacedaisy voted late on Soneji when LC looked like getting lynched.

I'd say the scum are Jack + LC + one of sig/Spacedaisy. Whichever of the two Jack spewed more.
Sllonei only works if LC is mafia too yeah?
Nah I clear him because I don't believe that he wouldn't clue Jack in sooner. Jack was totally not realising he was nearly lynched.
Lynch me tomorrow and then win the game for me. Works for me.
This comes across as extremely ’so there’ to me. I don’t think that Lon Con was actually in any danger of being lunched when he commented this and it’s kind of a discussion closer. It seems unnecessary. If it was a joke, then it's gone over my head and stood out in a bad way.
Long Con wrote: Sun May 31, 2020 12:53 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun May 31, 2020 11:17 am
Long Con wrote: Sun May 31, 2020 11:08 amMacDougall bad
Tell me more
Just had the idea that this is a Jack & Mac scheme. Max sudden insight at the eleventh hour and Jack innocently not even knowing the lynch was up, while conveniently being several pages behind and watching Animaniacs... just all kind of convenient. Also Mac keeps listing me as town on his list while calling me scum in the thread, which makes no sense.
I think paranoia is a good mark of townies, it’s hard to fake and have it feel genuine. Lon Con’s tin foil hat theory about Mac and Sloonie being the remaining 2 wolves post-JackofHearts2005 lunch doesn’t feel genuine to me. I expect paranoia theories to either be gradually built, or a snap reaction and this is neither. It’s all over the place, I jusy don’t follow the logic that led him to that conclusion.

Also the argument he has post-JackofHearts2005 lunch. I’d expect a townie to accept it and move on once it becomes obvious they’re getting no credit, he doesn’t.
I'm sus of you because you seem all over the place. You flip-flop back and forth on people all the time and incredibly quickly. And it's never hedged or uncertain. Once phase it's 'X is town' the next 'X is a wolf, lunch them'. It makes it seem like you have no real reads on people. You know who has no real reads on people? Wolves, that's who.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:35 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
Myo wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:28 pm I'm sus of you because you seem all over the place. You flip-flop back and forth on people all the time and incredibly quickly. And it's never hedged or uncertain. Once phase it's 'X is town' the next 'X is a wolf, lunch them'. It makes it seem like you have no real reads on people. You know who has no real reads on people? Wolves, that's who.
Understandable perspective. But my name is Jay and I don't concern myself with all of that. I make reads in the moment and go with my intuition -- which is ever-changing. Being consistent is the easiest thing a mafioso can do.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:42 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
[mention]Myo[/mention] you recently corrected yourself about Long Con suspecting Sloonei and Mac. You realized you had that wrong. Does that impact your read on Long Con at all?

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:44 pm
by Myo
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:42 pm @Myo you recently corrected yourself about Long Con suspecting Sloonei and Mac. You realized you had that wrong. Does that impact your read on Long Con at all?
No. I don't know why I thought it was 'and Sloonie' instead of just MacDougall but my main point was that the suggestion itself was weird and didn't feel like a genuine paranoia read.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:49 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
Myo seems like a civilian again.

Image

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:52 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
wtf Jiwon voted

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:53 pm
by Myo
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:49 pm Myo seems like a civilian again.

Image
I'll vote Jiwon with you to save my own neck if that's a vote that other people can get behind. It's not my first choice but she shows up for this vote despite not having made any comments this phase that I can see. I can certainly see a scenario where she is evil and being prodded to vote this phase since it's been brought up against her (and her name has been tossed around more recently).

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:56 pm
by Sloonei
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:52 pm wtf Jiwon voted
Dislike.
[VOTE: Jiwon] aubergine

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 9:10 pm
by motobot
I'm feeling better now and can be here tomorrow to talk about who is bad.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2020 9:23 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
motobot wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 9:10 pm I'm feeling better now and can be here tomorrow to talk about who is bad.
Looking forward to it. :srsnod:

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 3:16 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
So gang who wants to destroy a rebel ship?

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 6:13 am
by MacDougall
yeah destroy dat

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 6:22 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
MacDougall wrote: Sat Jun 06, 2020 6:13 am yeah destroy dat
Do you think anything of Jiwon’s voting behavior

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:25 am
by sig
I think the secret to not being lynched on TS is to just be inactive.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:27 am
by MacDougall
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sat Jun 06, 2020 6:22 am
MacDougall wrote: Sat Jun 06, 2020 6:13 am yeah destroy dat
Do you think anything of Jiwon’s voting behavior
Jiwon is town. You know this.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:29 am
by sig
sig wrote: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:25 am I think the secret to not being lynched on TS is to just be inactive.
But, for real, work kicked my ass did more hours/was more tired than expected and have Army stuff today and tomorrow. So I'll try to pop in throughout the day and I'll at least vote today.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:31 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
MacDougall wrote: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:27 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sat Jun 06, 2020 6:22 am
MacDougall wrote: Sat Jun 06, 2020 6:13 am yeah destroy dat
Do you think anything of Jiwon’s voting behavior
Jiwon is town. You know this.
I definitely don't

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:31 am
by sig
Sloonei wrote: Thu Jun 04, 2020 8:35 pm @Myo @sig what are your thoughts as of this moment?
I don't believe in thinking

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:33 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
Things're sure looking up 'round here. :smile:

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:33 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
[mention]MacDougall[/mention] why are Jiwon and Myo town, help me out please

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:55 am
by sig
Good chance that Ted's death means one of the cleared civs is mafia probably. But, I'll be reviewing the two main wagons and if i can find the cases easily the cases then vote

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:56 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
sig wrote: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:55 am Good chance that Ted's death means one of the cleared civs is mafia probably. But, I'll be reviewing the two main wagons and if i can find the cases easily the cases then vote
why

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:58 am
by sig
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:33 am - Jiwon has voted for scrap 4 out of 4, but for a lynch only 1 out of 3. Whacke.

- Sloonei has never voted scrap to a majority scrap winner.

- sig has literally never voted for scrap.
I voted twice! :srsnod:

linki: Two reasons.
1. Too many heavy hitters are still around, one of you is mafia if none of you are killed soon.
2. More specifically for cleared people, we've got two right now and like I said way back D2 bussing when not needed is a tactic Jack has used in the past. Same for Mac/Sloonie.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:58 am
by sig
Or mafia are new/inactive

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 9:05 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
sig wrote: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:58 am Or mafia are new/inactive
There's the problem.

I have absolutely no idea how to determine that.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 1]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 9:06 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
MacDougall wrote: Wed May 27, 2020 2:56 am
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Wed May 27, 2020 12:39 am
MacDougall wrote: Wed May 27, 2020 12:24 am
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Tue May 26, 2020 11:48 pm
MacDougall wrote: Tue May 26, 2020 11:44 pm
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Tue May 26, 2020 11:43 pm
MacDougall wrote: Tue May 26, 2020 11:40 pm

Was my initial reaction but also Sloonei isn't the type to just lolvote sig so he may have seen something there that I did not.
I feel like Sloonei's votes are pretend for the first 3/4ths of D1 and Sig somehow pocketed me in a game recently iirc. Covid? Like I'm just gonna let that stuff play out without worrying about what either of them are doing atm. Unless when I read the posts I've missed there's nothing else interesting going on.
Mirrored a lot of my thoughts Jack. Shall we dance together in honour of our failure to do so in the recent game?
Yeah and when we come to an agreement on who is scummy, we agree not to lynch them. :haha:
I don't understand this but deal!
The joke is we found each other last game...and then together, decided that Nanook and Boo were the mafia but they were both town.
Good joke actually
nah doesn't feel like teammates

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 9:13 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
nutella doesn't look like a teammate either. He whimsical consideration of the LC/Jack scenario at EOD looks authentic.

Also possible either Mac or nutella was the target of the failed kill.

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 9:13 am
by sig
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sat Jun 06, 2020 9:05 am
sig wrote: Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:58 am Or mafia are new/inactive
There's the problem.

I have absolutely no idea how to determine that.
:shrug:

Re: FTL Mafia [Day 4]

Posted: Sat Jun 06, 2020 9:14 am
by JaggedJimmyJay
The evidence is thin, but all we can do is work with what we have. If there's a mafioso in the town core, I struggle to see those lynches happening unless the rest of the players start playing on full blast and clear themselves.