Easter Mafia [GAME OVER]

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Epignosis
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2701

Post by Epignosis »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 8:56 pm You're good people, lapluie. I'm glad you're playing in this Mafia game.
Agreed. I am giving her a hard time.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2702

Post by lapluie »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 8:56 pm You're good people, lapluie. I'm glad you're playing in this Mafia game.
aw thank you! Happy to be here :cloud9:
* ☆ kepler 22b ~ °
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2703

Post by ColinIsCool »

Just got back. I will work through my billion notifications in reverse (quick) order
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2704

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

I am inclined to stick on Colin. I keenly understand continuing misgivings with Marmot, but the longer I linger here, the more my brain and heart are starting to find peace in my Colin vote. I am skeptical this day phase plays out the way it did if Colin is the doctor. The entire framework of the logic he presented for when and why a claim should come was rife with fallacy, and I am not certain his protests of the claim are always compatible with his being the doctor himself.

I'll be here until the deadline, so keep the arguments coming. It's not an easy choice at all.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2705

Post by ColinIsCool »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 8:29 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 1:02 pm I am not a “cart-before-horse” style player so I don’t hunt for teammates until I have one confirmed.
But, like, you said before this
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 12:28 pmand it’s why I’m now 100% convinced he’s scum.
:shrug2: :shrug2: :shrug2:
I don’t know what this means.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2706

Post by lapluie »

ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 8:58 pm Just got back. I will work through my billion notifications in reverse (quick) order
Please hurry & make a rainbow list I need to know what you think about everyones position
* ☆ kepler 22b ~ °
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2707

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:00 pm I don’t know what this means.
You'll find a clearer expression soon. Keep going.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2708

Post by ColinIsCool »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 8:07 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 6:06 pm I am at the gym. If I come back to find myself lynched, tomorrow I will bench press 275 lbs. out of Mafia-inspired rage. I’ll try to be home in time to reply to messages but I can’t guarantee it.
Are you going to be at the gym for 3.5 hours?
Yes.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2709

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:01 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 8:07 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 6:06 pm I am at the gym. If I come back to find myself lynched, tomorrow I will bench press 275 lbs. out of Mafia-inspired rage. I’ll try to be home in time to reply to messages but I can’t guarantee it.
Are you going to be at the gym for 3.5 hours?
Yes.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2710

Post by ColinIsCool »

nutella wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 7:51 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 7:49 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 1:39 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 1:37 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 1:35 pmIt is possible in the metaphysical sense and not much else.
I don't quite understand what you mean by this.

Let's pretend the universe is probabilistic, and that it has been duplicated 1,000,000 times. In how many of those duplicated universes is Marmot Keith Shover?
Much, MUCH fewer than the ones where he’s fake claiming. I would give myself a 95% chance of being right about this and that may be even too generous to Marmot.
In 5% of universes, Colin allows Marmot to be Keith Shover.
Yeah I was pretty damn perplexed when he said that.
I was hoping I could persuade you to my POV without giving myself away. Didn’t work
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2711

Post by ColinIsCool »

Dyslexicon wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 7:27 pm
Marmot wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 7:25 pm I do find it amazing that Quin skimmed and address the suspicions against him but had nothing to say about the Colin/Marmot debate.
So, now you're just as invested in lynching Quin as (from your supposed POV) a confirmed scum!Colin.

Pfffffffffffffffffffft.
Taking a break to say this right here should be all the proof you need. Flailing
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 2]

#2712

Post by ColinIsCool »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 7:38 pm
Marmot wrote: Tue May 22, 2018 9:58 pm If I am Gladys Campbell, Colin is a dentist.
ColinIsCool wrote: Tue May 22, 2018 9:58 pm
Marmot wrote: Tue May 22, 2018 9:56 pm @ColinIsCool let's make some rabbit stew tomorrow.
:beer:
Colin, you were the first person to post after Marmot made this Gladys Campbell check claim. If you are Keith Shover, you'd have to know that Marmot was incorrectly labeling you as a dentist. You did nothing with this immediately or at any point thereafter. Why?
I have suspected Marmot the entire game since then, but I’ve been trying to avoid attracting his attention to a degree and I needed to find a way to get him and his teammates lynched without blowing my role. Obviously I failed
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 2]

#2713

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:05 pm I have suspected Marmot the entire game since then, but I’ve been trying to avoid attracting his attention to a degree and I needed to find a way to get him and his teammates lynched without blowing my role. Obviously I failed
How could they have a clue that you're the doctor based on that?
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2714

Post by Dyslexicon »

I still think it’s Marmot.

I have decided to be ok with the lynch no matter what though. Worst case it is info and 2 or 1 try at least.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 2]

#2715

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:05 pm I have suspected Marmot the entire game since then, but I’ve been trying to avoid attracting his attention to a degree and I needed to find a way to get him and his teammates lynched without blowing my role. Obviously I failed
This checks out.

This is hard to believe.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 2]

#2716

Post by ColinIsCool »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:06 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:05 pm I have suspected Marmot the entire game since then, but I’ve been trying to avoid attracting his attention to a degree and I needed to find a way to get him and his teammates lynched without blowing my role. Obviously I failed
How could they have a clue that you're the doctor based on that?
I’m not saying they’ll think I’m a doctor but that they would nightkill me if I was too vocal and that would be pretty bad for town. Idk maybe it was paranoid of me and I could’ve handled it better but it’s the truth.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 2]

#2717

Post by Dyslexicon »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:09 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:05 pm I have suspected Marmot the entire game since then, but I’ve been trying to avoid attracting his attention to a degree and I needed to find a way to get him and his teammates lynched without blowing my role. Obviously I failed
This checks out.

This is hard to believe.
I do agree with this though.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2718

Post by ColinIsCool »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:02 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:01 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 8:07 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 6:06 pm I am at the gym. If I come back to find myself lynched, tomorrow I will bench press 275 lbs. out of Mafia-inspired rage. I’ll try to be home in time to reply to messages but I can’t guarantee it.
Are you going to be at the gym for 3.5 hours?
Yes.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2719

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 1:02 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 12:54 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 12:54 pm I’m not frustrated. I’m confident that I’ve got your number here.
I've an exercise for you.

~ If Marmot is a lying mafioso, who is his teammate?

~ If Marmot is being truthful, who are the two mafia?
I am not a “cart-before-horse” style player so I don’t hunt for teammates until I have one confirmed. And I don’t have time right now for a complete ISO but I did see interactions between he and Dizzy that felt strange on his end. I would have to do an analysis on Dizzy’s posts to guarantee that.

I don’t think Marmot is being truthful, but my bad feeling about lap persists (especially because the night and day difference I saw was actually a game where she was civ.)
If you're Keith Shover, you had one confirmed. :suspish:
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 2]

#2720

Post by Dyslexicon »

ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:10 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:06 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:05 pm I have suspected Marmot the entire game since then, but I’ve been trying to avoid attracting his attention to a degree and I needed to find a way to get him and his teammates lynched without blowing my role. Obviously I failed
How could they have a clue that you're the doctor based on that?
I’m not saying they’ll think I’m a doctor but that they would nightkill me if I was too vocal and that would be pretty bad for town. Idk maybe it was paranoid of me and I could’ve handled it better but it’s the truth.
If you’re actually PT: Lynching scum is so much more important than staying alive. The self-pres as PT is bs most of the time.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 2]

#2721

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

Dyslexicon wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:10 pm I do agree with this though.
Our fake claim with FZ in Currents was so clean and tidy. What even is this shit? :disappoint:
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2722

Post by ColinIsCool »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:12 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 1:02 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 12:54 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 12:54 pm I’m not frustrated. I’m confident that I’ve got your number here.
I've an exercise for you.

~ If Marmot is a lying mafioso, who is his teammate?

~ If Marmot is being truthful, who are the two mafia?
I am not a “cart-before-horse” style player so I don’t hunt for teammates until I have one confirmed. And I don’t have time right now for a complete ISO but I did see interactions between he and Dizzy that felt strange on his end. I would have to do an analysis on Dizzy’s posts to guarantee that.

I don’t think Marmot is being truthful, but my bad feeling about lap persists (especially because the night and day difference I saw was actually a game where she was civ.)
If you're Keith Shover, you had one confirmed. :suspish:
I see what you’re saying but I’ve been trying. It’s been a really fine line to balance that idea with the other cases in the thread and like I said I was probably too paranoid for my own good.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2723

Post by Dyslexicon »

Oh, Quin changed to Colin.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 2]

#2724

Post by ColinIsCool »

Dyslexicon wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:12 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:10 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:06 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:05 pm I have suspected Marmot the entire game since then, but I’ve been trying to avoid attracting his attention to a degree and I needed to find a way to get him and his teammates lynched without blowing my role. Obviously I failed
How could they have a clue that you're the doctor based on that?
I’m not saying they’ll think I’m a doctor but that they would nightkill me if I was too vocal and that would be pretty bad for town. Idk maybe it was paranoid of me and I could’ve handled it better but it’s the truth.
If you’re actually PT: Lynching scum is so much more important than staying alive. The self-pres as PT is bs most of the time.
I thought I could do both. I was wrong. And I apologize.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2725

Post by lapluie »

Did quin leave a vote on colin & leave or was it there this entire time ?
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2726

Post by ColinIsCool »

You guys really don’t want to do this. Idk what else I can say in the time left but if I missed anything please requote it
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2727

Post by lapluie »

Dyslexicon wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:16 pm Oh, Quin changed to Colin.
Right... now I'm thinking we should vote for marmot
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2728

Post by Dyslexicon »

I think it’s Marmot. Final answer for me. You all do what you feel is right.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2729

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:15 pm I see what you’re saying but I’ve been trying. It’s been a really fine line to balance that idea with the other cases in the thread and like I said I was probably too paranoid for my own good.
I'm not sure that follows from my assertion, so I will be clearer:

When I asked you to name a teammate of Marmot in the event that Marmot is a lying mafioso, you opened your response by telling me that you don't like to put the cart before the horse, and that you need confirmation before digging.

If you are Keith Shover, then you know with 100% certainty that Marmot is a lying mafioso, which means you didn't need to put the cart before the horse. You only needed to name a teammate. That doesn't expose anything.

How do you justify this?
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2730

Post by Epignosis »

I'm clear to continue.

Give me a moment to process.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2731

Post by lapluie »

ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:17 pm You guys really don’t want to do this. Idk what else I can say in the time left but if I missed anything please requote it
Could you share a quick rainbow list pls
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2732

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

Charlie Blackmon wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:18 pm I'm clear to continue.

Give me a moment to process.
The deadline is in 11 minutes, so please move as quickly as you can.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2733

Post by Epignosis »

Well damn I have ten minutes.

I think one is telling the truth and the other can't be lynched. That's my view. I think this is a calculated move to burn a lynch, and it has the upside to burn a civilian ability.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2734

Post by lapluie »

[mention]Quin[/mention] so youre just gonna sneak a vote & leave aren't you
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2735

Post by Epignosis »

Leave them both alive. The liar should be figured out in a relatively straightforward way.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2736

Post by ColinIsCool »

I didn’t want to say that Marmot was confirmed to me because then you would all know how I know or put it together. And I think I made a pretty good argument against him, apparently nobody else does, but I believed in it and I thought it would work
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2737

Post by Dyslexicon »

Charlie Blackmon wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:22 pm Leave them both alive. The liar should be figured out in a relatively straightforward way.
No. We need a lynch.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2738

Post by Epignosis »

I want to know what nutella was doing with me the other day. I don't understand.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2739

Post by Epignosis »

Dyslexicon wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:23 pm
Charlie Blackmon wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:22 pm Leave them both alive. The liar should be figured out in a relatively straightforward way.
No. We need a lynch.
Take your pick. There's a host of people to lynch. Which one beside Marmot or Colin is bad?
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2740

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

Charlie Blackmon wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:22 pm Leave them both alive. The liar should be figured out in a relatively straightforward way.
Who do you think should be lynched instead?

My impression has been that the urgency they've both displayed is evidence that they really don't want to be lynched (and thus can be lynched).
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2741

Post by Quin »

lapluie wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:22 pm @Quin so youre just gonna sneak a vote & leave aren't you
this is the most ironic thing i have ever read
Lunalee wrote: Thu Nov 01, 2018 9:13 amQuin's ISO is full of posts that are actually trying to be helpful to the game. This doesn't look like town Quin.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2742

Post by ColinIsCool »

lapluie wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:18 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:17 pm You guys really don’t want to do this. Idk what else I can say in the time left but if I missed anything please requote it
Could you share a quick rainbow list pls
Feel good about Jay, Scotty, Charlie, and better about you with the claim. Nutella is townish but not as confident. My POE for Marmot’s teammate would be Dizzy, Quin
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2743

Post by lapluie »

Quin wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:24 pm
lapluie wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:22 pm @Quin so youre just gonna sneak a vote & leave aren't you
this is the most ironic thing i have ever read
I don't want ur sass
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2744

Post by Epignosis »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:24 pm
Charlie Blackmon wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:22 pm Leave them both alive. The liar should be figured out in a relatively straightforward way.
Who do you think should be lynched instead?

My impression has been that the urgency they've both displayed is evidence that they really don't want to be lynched (and thus can be lynched).
My pick would be Quin, but I've been in a slump.

If you get ejected but don't get ejected, you're caught. The urgency is necessary regardless.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2745

Post by lapluie »

Charlie Blackmon wrote: Wed May 30, 2018 9:22 pm Leave them both alive. The liar should be figured out in a relatively straightforward way.
If votes stay the same , it's up to you who decides who gets lynched, Colin or marmot?
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2746

Post by Dyslexicon »

Can we lynch Marmot?
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2747

Post by ColinIsCool »

4 minutes you guys. Come on
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2748

Post by Epignosis »

Tell you what. Everybody stay where they are.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2749

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

[VOTE: Quin] aubergine

Gives Marmot the lead and creates an option. This took five fucking years to load though so I may not have time.
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Re: Easter Mafia [DAY 4]

#2750

Post by ColinIsCool »

Idk if a tie is good or not but you need to decide
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