Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [GAME OVER]
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
it seems like a good point to focus on, especially when I don't see the premise of the push coming from juliets? it's such tunnel visioned on the idea sig has to be scum tming and not town tming, and the obvious choice, from her PoV of "sig slipped and dys' case is goat" should be to lynch mac over sig.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
Can't the same thing be said for SVS and Jay?tedxtr wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 2:17 pm it seems like a good point to focus on, especially when I don't see the premise of the push coming from juliets? it's such tunnel visioned on the idea sig has to be scum tming and not town tming, and the obvious choice, from her PoV of "sig slipped and dys' case is goat" should be to lynch mac over sig.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
Real answer: because I don’t find the Sig flipped on Sabie randomly stuff to be that convincing for the main reason of — almost any town result that would lead to Sig making the claims he did against Mac would almost necessarily equally implicate Sabie. And if he’s scum, well he’s just scum.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
I say Sabie — I mean someone on the anti-monitor team. If Sig is town in any case he had to make some jumps for his wild theory that has proven correct, and one of those is “X person is on team B” and it seems clear that he chose Sabie.TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:15 pmReal answer: because I don’t find the Sig flipped on Sabie randomly stuff to be that convincing for the main reason of — almost any town result that would lead to Sig making the claims he did against Mac would almost necessarily equally implicate Sabie. And if he’s scum, well he’s just scum.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
Okay but what about his treatment of Radishes?
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
I heard he ripped the salad part off of the actual radish. Gruesome
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
tl;dr he was very much not careful and did him wrong
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
What is the "town TMI" case for sig?Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 2:58 pmCan't the same thing be said for SVS and Jay?tedxtr wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 2:17 pm it seems like a good point to focus on, especially when I don't see the premise of the push coming from juliets? it's such tunnel visioned on the idea sig has to be scum tming and not town tming, and the obvious choice, from her PoV of "sig slipped and dys' case is goat" should be to lynch mac over sig.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
I've seen something like that mentioned at least a couple times -- that there are 1 or 3 or 12 town explanations for sig's behavior. Tell me them.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
From my pov yesterday, I couldn't see a town role that would know both that Mac was bad and that Mac was targeted. Lassie would know Mac was bad but how would Lassie know Mac was targeted? A watcher (or tracker I get the two confused) would know Mac was targeted but how would he know Mac was bad? That was what led me to not be able to see a town sig.tedxtr wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 2:17 pm it seems like a good point to focus on, especially when I don't see the premise of the push coming from juliets? it's such tunnel visioned on the idea sig has to be scum tming and not town tming, and the obvious choice, from her PoV of "sig slipped and dys' case is goat" should be to lynch mac over sig.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
There isn't one?JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:28 pmWhat is the "town TMI" case for sig?Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 2:58 pmCan't the same thing be said for SVS and Jay?tedxtr wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 2:17 pm it seems like a good point to focus on, especially when I don't see the premise of the push coming from juliets? it's such tunnel visioned on the idea sig has to be scum tming and not town tming, and the obvious choice, from her PoV of "sig slipped and dys' case is goat" should be to lynch mac over sig.
I meant if we're going to argue that Juliets is bad because she didn't choose to lynch Mac over Sig, the same can be said for several players.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
I don't care about that. Direct the question to [mention]tedxtr[/mention] then. What is the town TMI case for sig?Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:30 pmThere isn't one?JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:28 pmWhat is the "town TMI" case for sig?Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 2:58 pmCan't the same thing be said for SVS and Jay?tedxtr wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 2:17 pm it seems like a good point to focus on, especially when I don't see the premise of the push coming from juliets? it's such tunnel visioned on the idea sig has to be scum tming and not town tming, and the obvious choice, from her PoV of "sig slipped and dys' case is goat" should be to lynch mac over sig.
I meant if we're going to argue that Juliets is bad because she didn't choose to lynch Mac over Sig, the same can be said for several players.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
In hindsight, there was a nonzero chance Mac had been jailkept so Sig was probably the better game theory lynch but I think this worked out pretty well.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
I have to get some lunch but will be right back.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
I’m thinking he tracks Sabie targeting Mac Night 1. Suspects Mac after Mac silenced him — roles make sense together — and puts 1 and 1 together. Night 2 shoots Sabie and confirms his suspicions.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:29 pm I've seen something like that mentioned at least a couple times -- that there are 1 or 3 or 12 town explanations for sig's behavior. Tell me them.
This is a very specific option.
Otherwise: Night 1 cops Mac? No one dies, bulletproof, silence, makes a few guesses? Maybe?
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
If that had happened we would have heard about itJackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:32 pm In hindsight, there was a nonzero chance Mac had been jailkept so Sig was probably the better game theory lynch but I think this worked out pretty well.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
I think a considerable leap is required to arrive at the highlighted portion -- suspecting that it was Mac among some 20 players that silenced him on that basis is hard to believe. The cop theory doesn't tell me why sig thought Mac was targeted for a kill.TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:42 pmI’m thinking he tracks Sabie targeting Mac Night 1. Suspects Mac after Mac silenced him — roles make sense together — and puts 1 and 1 together. Night 2 shoots Sabie and confirms his suspicions.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:29 pm I've seen something like that mentioned at least a couple times -- that there are 1 or 3 or 12 town explanations for sig's behavior. Tell me them.
This is a very specific option.
Otherwise: Night 1 cops Mac? No one dies, bulletproof, silence, makes a few guesses? Maybe?
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
[mention]JaggedJimmyJay[/mention]
You stopped at Michelle.
I wanna see Sloonei and TH.
You stopped at Michelle.
I wanna see Sloonei and TH.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
Hard no. And anyway, there are two members of this team remaining.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
I'm doing Nanook right now.Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:45 pm JaggedJimmyJay
You stopped at Michelle.
I wanna see Sloonei and TH.

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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
Think about this — he did suspect that Mac had silenced him. He was correct. there is absolutely no way he could have known this as scum or town. Unless I’m missing something or there’s an item.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:45 pmI think a considerable leap is required to arrive at the highlighted portion -- suspecting that it was Mac among some 20 players that silenced him on that basis is hard to believe. The cop theory doesn't tell me why sig thought Mac was targeted for a kill.TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:42 pmI’m thinking he tracks Sabie targeting Mac Night 1. Suspects Mac after Mac silenced him — roles make sense together — and puts 1 and 1 together. Night 2 shoots Sabie and confirms his suspicions.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:29 pm I've seen something like that mentioned at least a couple times -- that there are 1 or 3 or 12 town explanations for sig's behavior. Tell me them.
This is a very specific option.
Otherwise: Night 1 cops Mac? No one dies, bulletproof, silence, makes a few guesses? Maybe?
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
Given T-spheres and saw that Mac targeted him and then also tracked Sabie targeting Mac
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
There is no story, town or scum, that accounts for everything that Sig theorized.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
If his team shot Mac and failed, he has reason to believe that he could be Saitama -- the guy who silences and survives a kill.TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:48 pmThink about this — he did suspect that Mac had silenced him. He was correct. there is absolutely no way he could have known this as scum or town. Unless I’m missing something or there’s an item.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:45 pmI think a considerable leap is required to arrive at the highlighted portion -- suspecting that it was Mac among some 20 players that silenced him on that basis is hard to believe. The cop theory doesn't tell me why sig thought Mac was targeted for a kill.TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:42 pmI’m thinking he tracks Sabie targeting Mac Night 1. Suspects Mac after Mac silenced him — roles make sense together — and puts 1 and 1 together. Night 2 shoots Sabie and confirms his suspicions.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:29 pm I've seen something like that mentioned at least a couple times -- that there are 1 or 3 or 12 town explanations for sig's behavior. Tell me them.
This is a very specific option.
Otherwise: Night 1 cops Mac? No one dies, bulletproof, silence, makes a few guesses? Maybe?
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
Actually Sig was a popular town read on night 1, I would be surprised if he hadn’t been given T-spheres. This would be doubly powerful as a Santa day 1 gift because it narrows down the identity of Santa, creating a few links that can help start a town core, and because Fester probably never gives T-spheres night 1TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:50 pm Given T-spheres and saw that Mac targeted him and then also tracked Sabie targeting Mac
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
obviously the simplest optionJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:51 pmIf his team shot Mac and failed, he has reason to believe that he could be Saitama -- the guy who silences and survives a kill.TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:48 pmThink about this — he did suspect that Mac had silenced him. He was correct. there is absolutely no way he could have known this as scum or town. Unless I’m missing something or there’s an item.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:45 pmI think a considerable leap is required to arrive at the highlighted portion -- suspecting that it was Mac among some 20 players that silenced him on that basis is hard to believe. The cop theory doesn't tell me why sig thought Mac was targeted for a kill.TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:42 pmI’m thinking he tracks Sabie targeting Mac Night 1. Suspects Mac after Mac silenced him — roles make sense together — and puts 1 and 1 together. Night 2 shoots Sabie and confirms his suspicions.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:29 pm I've seen something like that mentioned at least a couple times -- that there are 1 or 3 or 12 town explanations for sig's behavior. Tell me them.
This is a very specific option.
Otherwise: Night 1 cops Mac? No one dies, bulletproof, silence, makes a few guesses? Maybe?
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
People's treatment of Mac continued
Nanook 2
Nanook 1 said close to nothing about Mac. He called him 50/50. Nanook 1 officially acknowledged.
Just getting these quotes down before I lose the post. I am doing lab work and will assess in a bit.
Nanook 2
Nanook 1 said close to nothing about Mac. He called him 50/50. Nanook 1 officially acknowledged.

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Just getting these quotes down before I lose the post. I am doing lab work and will assess in a bit.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
Well, I'm going to take a nap. Back later. I feel kind of bad taking a nap while Jay is doing analysis. One day soon Jay I will get you to teach me how to do it.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
You should never feel bad about taking a nap. Naps rule.

But sure I can show you the ropes!
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
I... disagree?TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:50 pm There is no story, town or scum, that accounts for everything that Sig theorized.
Did you read my post?
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
The long one? I think we’re in agreement — Sig does not have complete information of everything he’s said? There’s no reason to try to build a world where somehow he knows everything.speedchuck wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 4:32 pmI... disagree?TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:50 pm There is no story, town or scum, that accounts for everything that Sig theorized.
Did you read my post?
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
Ah, I see. You're saying Sig is making assumptions in those posts regardless of what role he has.TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 4:38 pmThe long one? I think we’re in agreement — Sig does not have complete information of everything he’s said? There’s no reason to try to build a world where somehow he knows everything.speedchuck wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 4:32 pmI... disagree?TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:50 pm There is no story, town or scum, that accounts for everything that Sig theorized.
Did you read my post?
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:55 pm People's treatment of Mac continued
Nanook 2
Nanook 1 said close to nothing about Mac. He called him 50/50. Nanook 1 officially acknowledged.![]()
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Just getting these quotes down before I lose the post. I am doing lab work and will assess in a bit.
There's an argument here for Nanook being compatible -- that he consistently suspected Mac and welcomed a Mac lynch while favoring a pursuit of the other team instead. It's an argument that kind of bores me, particularly given that he did end up voting Mac on Day 3. I think his opposition to Mac looks genuine for the most part. It isn't clear why he did choose to place the Mac vote in the end instead of sig or whoever else, so [mention]NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME[/mention] can speak to that. My intuition tells me no here.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
Hot take: people associating juliets with Team Mac are bullshitting
I don't remember who that was off-hand, but I will check in bit.
I don't remember who that was off-hand, but I will check in bit.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
I also posted a scenario this morning where sig is making assumptions. It's not the same as speed's theory and maybe it's farfetched but take a look at it.speedchuck wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 5:07 pmAh, I see. You're saying Sig is making assumptions in those posts regardless of what role he has.TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 4:38 pmThe long one? I think we’re in agreement — Sig does not have complete information of everything he’s said? There’s no reason to try to build a world where somehow he knows everything.speedchuck wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 4:32 pmI... disagree?TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:50 pm There is no story, town or scum, that accounts for everything that Sig theorized.
Did you read my post?
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
Sorry [mention]speedchuck[/mention] I meant to post that to [mention]TonyStarkPrime[/mention].
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
S~V~S
I am finding this one a bit difficult to follow. S~V~S's earliest takes on Mac were negative, and she provided reasons that strike me as vague. She made a meta connection to a previous GOC in which Mac "made a big splash" as a bad guy, and she felt he was doing the same here. I'm not sure what that means, or if it can be stated that a civilian Mac doesn't make "big splashes" too. She expanded her suspicion when she provided her big GTH reads post by referencing Mac's treatment of nutella. Then, when Turnip Head came in and provided a counter-argument, she accepted it with wide open arms and never looked back. She provided a quick review of Mac herself and determined that his progression on nutella looked natural -- I cannot discern why it's natural, or why she felt it was unnatural previously. She stood in Mac's corner on Days 2 and 3, both vocally and in the poll, and did not seem interested in the arguments presented against him. If there's an overt defender of Mac on his team, S~V~S looks like a viable candidate.
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I am finding this one a bit difficult to follow. S~V~S's earliest takes on Mac were negative, and she provided reasons that strike me as vague. She made a meta connection to a previous GOC in which Mac "made a big splash" as a bad guy, and she felt he was doing the same here. I'm not sure what that means, or if it can be stated that a civilian Mac doesn't make "big splashes" too. She expanded her suspicion when she provided her big GTH reads post by referencing Mac's treatment of nutella. Then, when Turnip Head came in and provided a counter-argument, she accepted it with wide open arms and never looked back. She provided a quick review of Mac herself and determined that his progression on nutella looked natural -- I cannot discern why it's natural, or why she felt it was unnatural previously. She stood in Mac's corner on Days 2 and 3, both vocally and in the poll, and did not seem interested in the arguments presented against him. If there's an overt defender of Mac on his team, S~V~S looks like a viable candidate.
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- NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
It is clear—I thought/think that sig is decent chance to be lassie.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 5:14 pmJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:55 pm People's treatment of Mac continued
Nanook 2
Nanook 1 said close to nothing about Mac. He called him 50/50. Nanook 1 officially acknowledged.![]()
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Just getting these quotes down before I lose the post. I am doing lab work and will assess in a bit.
There's an argument here for Nanook being compatible -- that he consistently suspected Mac and welcomed a Mac lynch while favoring a pursuit of the other team instead. It's an argument that kind of bores me, particularly given that he did end up voting Mac on Day 3. I think his opposition to Mac looks genuine for the most part. It isn't clear why he did choose to place the Mac vote in the end instead of sig or whoever else, so @NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME can speak to that. My intuition tells me no here.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
k notedNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 5:50 pm It is clear—I thought/think that sig is decent chance to be lassie.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
I'm skipping sig.
I very much want to skip Sloonei, but here goes.
Sloonei
There are numerous points here where I feel like I could be reading my own posts. I have zero difficulty following the progression of Sloonei's mindset throughout this helping of quotes, because he followed a progression much like my own. Once he started to pay Mac attention, he gave Mac grief and did not let up from his trademark Sloonei pestering. I don't think this looks like "theater" as you nerds are wont to call it; it looks like standard-issue Sloonei developing a read the way he always does. I am not bothered by his voting pattern. He never made any meaningful motion to keep Mac alive apart from finding the alternative wagons a bit worse on Days 2 and 3. I don't think he's Mac's teammate.
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I very much want to skip Sloonei, but here goes.
Sloonei
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There are numerous points here where I feel like I could be reading my own posts. I have zero difficulty following the progression of Sloonei's mindset throughout this helping of quotes, because he followed a progression much like my own. Once he started to pay Mac attention, he gave Mac grief and did not let up from his trademark Sloonei pestering. I don't think this looks like "theater" as you nerds are wont to call it; it looks like standard-issue Sloonei developing a read the way he always does. I am not bothered by his voting pattern. He never made any meaningful motion to keep Mac alive apart from finding the alternative wagons a bit worse on Days 2 and 3. I don't think he's Mac's teammate.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
I am not going to get around to Jack in this exercise, but I do have one conclusive thought:
Mac hopping on Jack for a piggy-back ride during the nutella kerfuffle of Day 1 was pure horseshit situated to leave the responsibility for whatever happened on Jack's lap. Doubtful teammates.
Mac hopping on Jack for a piggy-back ride during the nutella kerfuffle of Day 1 was pure horseshit situated to leave the responsibility for whatever happened on Jack's lap. Doubtful teammates.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
Hey Nanook, "above rand", or really the term "rand" in general, is dumb Mafia lingo too. 

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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Day 3]
Snooping speed's posts, and just came upon this guy.speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Mar 03, 2020 1:02 pm I would, right now, vote sig, TH, Mac, and anyone who has appealed to emotion. I would murder the emotion right out of this game.

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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
I’m aware but I’ve been infected and there’s nothing I can doJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Mar 05, 2020 6:15 pm Hey Nanook, "above rand", or really the term "rand" in general, is dumb Mafia lingo too.![]()
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
speedchuck
The meat of this stuff is Day 3, starting with the post I highlighted (just as a marker). speed went back and forth between Mac and sig. I believe he voted each of them twice; he ended on sig and didn't appear to call the vote. I note that his willingness to wield those votes was based primarily upon the comparative "value" or validity of lynching either Mac or sig first relative to the other, with less emphasis upon what made them suspicious -- particularly with Mac. That's not my favorite thing. I am not prepared to dissociate them.
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The meat of this stuff is Day 3, starting with the post I highlighted (just as a marker). speed went back and forth between Mac and sig. I believe he voted each of them twice; he ended on sig and didn't appear to call the vote. I note that his willingness to wield those votes was based primarily upon the comparative "value" or validity of lynching either Mac or sig first relative to the other, with less emphasis upon what made them suspicious -- particularly with Mac. That's not my favorite thing. I am not prepared to dissociate them.
Compatibility: Decent
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
Fwiw I am 99% sure Sig is really mafia but his reaction means he's not the anti monitor so whoever else was responsible for saving him is the likely anti monitor imo. Daddy Nanook fwiw.
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Re: Champions 2019 - Crisis on The Syndicate [Night 3]
sprityo
sprityo, you're a goofy lad. After a lengthy exchange of banter on the first day, sprityo turned against Mac abruptly and has not left that posture. He voted for Mac Days 2 and 3. There's no explanation that I see, so I can only shrug. Some part of me wonders about this being deliberate WIFOM. On balance I doubt he's a teammate.
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sprityo, you're a goofy lad. After a lengthy exchange of banter on the first day, sprityo turned against Mac abruptly and has not left that posture. He voted for Mac Days 2 and 3. There's no explanation that I see, so I can only shrug. Some part of me wonders about this being deliberate WIFOM. On balance I doubt he's a teammate.
Compatibility: Minor
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