Spirited Away Mafia [ENDGAME]

#1501

I'm switching to zebra, hoping to avoid a four way tie. Especially since it's g-man within that remaining vote.

If someone else was thinking of switching to g I'll change it back but I'm not taking the chance of being involved in a 4 way tie.

#1502

S~V~S wrote:I amnot accustomed to seeing you so wishy washy.

It's because I've reached
The point where my data does
Not point strongly to...

Any one person
Being bad beyond shadow
Of a doubt. The same...

Thing happened to me
Late in the Economics
Game. I felt helpless.

#1503

You feel so helpless you don't have an opinion?

#1504

I'm willing to take
The bullet if enough of
You seriously...

Think neither Niju
Nor Sorsha are bad and would
Gain better info...

From my death instead
Of either of theirs. I'll re-
read until deadline

#1505

S~V~S wrote:You feel so helpless you don't have an opinion?

I feel helpless 'cause
Both Zebra and Niju are
Just 50-50

I like a little
More certainty when I vote
Even if I'm wrong

#1506

Ghost Zebras in the Sky

Yubaba wanted to clean a horse spirit, but couldn't get it all white, got pissed, and shot it to hell with a shotgun.

-The United States South's dub of this scene

a2thezebra has been lynched and was Oshira-sama.

It is now Night 6, and you have 23 hours to submit your Night actions.

#1507

I had her penciled
In for that role but thought she
Might be bluffing.

#1508

a2thezebra wrote:I wanted to lynch Elohcin. I have no idea who to lynch now.

This post makes no sense
In retrospect. Zebra pulled
Eloh off the poll

#1509

Hi everyone.

We are lynching Gman tomorrow right?

#1510

DrWilgy wrote:Hi everyone.

We are lynching Gman tomorrow right?

Only if you want
The game forced into lylo
And we don't want that

Why exactly are
You coming straight at me, Doc?
I voted Niju

#1511

HOSTS: Will you tell us
When a lynch poll ends in a
Tie and if tie broken?

#1512

G-Man wrote:HOSTS: Will you tell us
When a lynch poll ends in a
Tie and if tie broken?

One more syllable
In that last line than should be
Avant garde haiku

#1513

Oh come on Wilgy
You can't just post that and run
Away. Let's fight.

#1514

Only one member
Of the Day 1 Matt train is
Still alive: Niju

I can see Llama
Telling his teammates not to
Try saving him but

Niju's vote does look
Suspicious in terms of the
Who and the when

#1515

Otherwise we've got
Two late sideways votes: Eloh
And Sorsha, or you...

Have to look at Dom's
Missed vote or the four people
Left voting Llama

#1516

Gman "I had her penciled down as raddish bro" but you didn't fight for her?

Your are the triple head bro... Haiku... A 3 line poem.

#1517

DrWilgy wrote:Gman "I had her penciled down as raddish bro" but you didn't fight for her?

I didn't want to
Give the baddies any clues
If she was Radish

DrWilgy wrote:Your are the triple head bro... Haiku... A 3 line poem.

I even asked the
Hosts if haiku was okay
Because I did not

Want anyone to
Think me being racist with
Japanese poems

#1518

G-Man wrote: I did not miss the
Vote- I was silenced, thusly
Not allowed to vote

I think this only supports the hypothesis that Nju might have killed LC because she's not paying attention.

#1519

Dom wrote:
G-Man wrote: I did not miss the
Vote- I was silenced, thusly
Not allowed to vote
I think this only supports the hypothesis that Nju might have killed LC because she's not paying attention.

She's accountable
To her teammates though. Unless
One of Chichi's night...

Redirects took out
The Heads already there should
Still be two baddies

#1520

G-Man wrote:
DrWilgy wrote:Gman "I had her penciled down as raddish bro" but you didn't fight for her?
I didn't want to
Give the baddies any clues
If she was Radish

But you were OK with her being dead, so long as any of the baddies had no clues about her role?

When you & I were talking, I clearly said I was considering a vote for her and you did not try to talk me out of it. You actually said this:

G-Man wrote:
S~V~S wrote:You feel so helpless you don't have an opinion?
I feel helpless 'cause
Both Zebra and Niju are
Just 50-50

I like a little
More certainty when I vote
Even if I'm wrong

#1521

S~V~S wrote:
G-Man wrote:
DrWilgy wrote:Gman "I had her penciled down as raddish bro" but you didn't fight for her?
I didn't want to
Give the baddies any clues
If she was Radish

But you were OK with her being dead, so long as any of the baddies had no clues about her role?

When you & I were talking, I clearly said I was considering a vote for her and you did not try to talk me out of it. You actually said this:

G-Man wrote:
S~V~S wrote:You feel so helpless you don't have an opinion?
I feel helpless 'cause
Both Zebra and Niju are
Just 50-50

I like a little
More certainty when I vote
Even if I'm wrong

I wasn't concerned
With the thought processes of
Others- just my own

#1522

Sorsha wrote:
Elohcin wrote:
Long Con wrote:
Elohcin wrote:It was 2/3 when I voted, and I'm sorry, I didn't think Soneji was bad. I am not going to vote for someone I don;t think is bad.
I was just thinking that I would expect a baddie to have avoided the lynch train on civ Soneji, and then I come in and see this post from you, Eloh. Who do you think are the baddies involved in the Soneji lynch, if any?
If I have to rank the Soneji voters, it would be Niju, Sorsha, Wilgy, SVS, then sig.
I don't blame you, or anyone else, for finding me suspicious for yesterday's vote. What happened yesterday is a perfect example of why I hate doing last minute vote changes and why I refused to do it the day before when LC wanted me to switch to Quin... This is what usually happens.

Niju is not on the poll today... That was an odd choice for Oshira-sama. I'm guessing some target switch was involved with it?

The last part of this
Post had me wondering if
Sorsha was Radish...

But then Zebra made
Strong statements about making
No assumptions in...

Regard to Niju's
Removal from the lynch poll.
I spent a good deal...

Of time trying to
Figure out if the subtle
Or stronger post was...

The bona fide hint
That one or the other was
Oshira-sama

#1523

Come on you guys; night
Hiding is for cowards and
Golden ain't playing

#1524

G-Man would you rather lynch Elohcin or Nju?

#1525

Dom wrote:G-Man would you rather lynch Elohcin or Nju?

Right this second I
Would say Niju- her voting
Profile reads baddie

#1526

Baddie team is Gman and Elo

#1527

DAY 1

Spoiler: show

DAY 2

Spoiler: show

DAY 3

Spoiler: show

DAY 4

Spoiler: show

DAY 5

Spoiler: show

DAY 6

Spoiler: show

#1528

DrWilgy wrote:Baddie team is Gman and Elo

I think it's Niju
And then either Eloh or
Sorsha as last feb

#1529

G-Man wrote:
DrWilgy wrote:Baddie team is Gman and Elo
I think it's Niju
And then either Eloh or
Sorsha as last feb

K then we lynch Elo

#1530

There will be a short delay on the Night Post, but it will be up before 11 PM EST.

#1531

Day 6 Poll

Yubaba is so cruel! Well who is she?

Poll ended at Sat Apr 16, 2016 7:25 pm

a2thezebra
3
Dom (9), nijuukyugou (10), Sorsha (12)
23%

Bubbles
0
No votes

Dom
0
No votes

DrWilgy
0
No votes

G-Man
1
a2thezebra (8)
8%

nijuukyugou
3
S~V~S (5), Bubbles (7), G-Man (13)
23%

S~V~S
0
No votes

Sorsha
1
Elohcin (11)
8%

Yubaba! (Marmetor/nps/deadies too)
5
Metalmarsh89 (1), Sloonei (2), Scotty (3), MovingPictures07 (4), Epignosis (6)
38%

Total votes : 13

#1532

Day 7 - Back to Hibearnation for Me

S~V~S was tired and annoyed. She really wanted a nice relaxing bath, but the nearby bathhouse didn't allow bears inside. And it was run by a cranky old witch. Anyway, S~V~S went back to her cave to sleep. What she didn't realize was that she had fallen asleep on poor Bubbles who was having a nice little picnic. Bubbles usually don't do well when mama bears lay on top of them.

S~V~S has been turned into a Bear (again?).
Bubbles has been Nightkilled.

It is now Day 7. You have 48 hours to lynch somebody.

#1533

Never mind, we're on time. :P

PMs coming out shortly.

#1534

RIP bubbles

#1535

Rest in peace Bubbles
When you're the least suspicious
You're expendable

#1536

Nju, who do you think we should lymch?

Same question for you Elo.

#1537

Technicolors have
Been revised to include the
Night kill of Bubbles

DAY 1

Spoiler: show

DAY 2

Spoiler: show

DAY 3

Spoiler: show

DAY 4

Spoiler: show

DAY 5

Spoiler: show

DAY 6

Spoiler: show

#1538

G-Man why do you think Eloh's voting record is better than Nju's?

#1539

So... Have we noticed the trend of kills?

They keep murking players that keep the former wagons in tact. Baddies are ok with the way things are going and don't want to see a shift.

Niju must be spared today.

#1540

DrWilgy wrote:So... Have we noticed the trend of kills?

They keep murking players that keep the former wagons in tact. Baddies are ok with the way things are going and don't want to see a shift.

Niju must be spared today.

Who isn't okay with lynching Nju but you?

#1541

Dom wrote:G-Man why do you think Eloh's voting record is better than Nju's?

Elohcin has a
Few more sideways votes which makes
Her harder to read

#1542

I really don't like the timing of Nju's Matt vote on Day 1.
Or Elo's Day 5 LC vote.

But I get your point.

#1543

I am tempted to
Drop the haiku to make more
Detailed cases on...

Each one of us so
We can attempt to reason
Out the last baddies

#1544

Dom wrote:
DrWilgy wrote:So... Have we noticed the trend of kills?

They keep murking players that keep the former wagons in tact. Baddies are ok with the way things are going and don't want to see a shift.

Niju must be spared today.
Who isn't okay with lynching Nju but you?

That's the conundrum. If Niju is bad, I think there would've been more opposition to her name being tossed around as much as it is. Also, If niju was bad, would they have killed Bubbles last night? Killing Bubbles doesn't shift the game in any direction. It doesn't open any new angles. It's too clean.

#1545

Nju-- what say you?

#1546

DrWilgy wrote:
G-Man wrote:
DrWilgy wrote:Baddie team is Gman and Elo
I think it's Niju
And then either Eloh or
Sorsha as last feb
K then we lynch Elo

I'm civ, dude.

Dom wrote:Nju, who do you think we should lymch?

Same question for you Elo.

Niju.

#1547

The time has come to drop the haiku. It was fun but if Economics Mafia taught me anything, it's that gimmicks only hinder you as the game gets closer to the end. That and Golden is a coward.

There are seven of us left, including the Stink Spirit (unless other unannounced game mechanics have made it possible for Stink to be NK'd). That makes it 4-2-1. Not knowing Stink's wincon, we should probably assume that this lynch and a successful baddie NK can end the game. At most, there are two baddies left: Yubaba and Kashira.

Due to process of elimination, we know that DrWilgy cannot be Yubaba. I think some of us have had him penciled in as the Stink Spirit for a while. His different tone and aggressiveness could be a sign that he knows he can't die. We know that Wilgy cannot be Yubaba because he was silenced on an odd-numbered night, meaning Chichiyaku (if still alive) was handing our bath tokens instead of redirecting powers. Thus, if DrWilgy is bad, he can only be Kashira.

Long Con was the only other player who was silenced on an odd-numbered night and he is dead. Interestingly, nobody was silenced on Night 3. We should probably go back and see if there are any participation gaps covering all of Night 3. Unless there are any secret blocking abilities, it means that Yubaba simply dun goofed. There's always the chance that Yubaba tried to silence DrWilgette but why would baddies silence someone they're targeting with a NK?

I believe that S~V~S also cannot be Yubaba. She has been silenced twice now and there is no self-targeting. The only way for her to be Yubaba and silenced twice is for Chichiyaku to be alive both Night 2 and Night 6 AND to have targeted S~V~S twice AND for S~V~S to wind up as the redirected target for her own power. It's not impossible but highly improbable (we're talking 1-in-15 odds Night 2 and 1-in-7 odds Night 6). By my math, that scenario has a less than 1% probability of occurring. For my money, S~V~S cannot be Yubaba. Queen Bear can only be Kashira, if she is a baddie.

G-Man was silenced on Night 4. This means that I, if Yubaba, could have had the silencing power redirected back at me via Chichiyaku, if you want to consider me for Yubaba. That's a 1-in-11 probability, or 9.09%. If you choose to dismiss this option, then I too, can only be Kashira if I am a baddie.

We know Yubaba is still alive because S~V~S was silenced. This means that (given all of the aforementioned information) that Yubaba is one of these players:

-Dom
-Elohcin
-Nijuukyugou
-Sorsha

#1548

Well crapweasels. Everybody posted during Night 3. I went back and checked:

Dom- 3 posts
DrWilgy- 3 posts
Eloh- 2 posts
G-Man- 2 posts
Niju- 1 post
S~V~S- 6 posts
Sorsha- 4 posts

So either Yubaba posted and just forgot to submit a silence request, intentionally withheld the silencing power for a night, or silenced the same player (DrWilgette) that her team NK'd.

#1549

Looking at the roles, I see Haku is under Yubaba's control unless Sen finds him.

HOSTS: Does "under control" mean that Yubaba can control Haku's votes until found by Sen?

#1550

I will be voting for one of the players who might be Yubaba today. I'll work up cases on all four of them as I have time. Sorry if you were hoping for content sooner- it's a busy day at work.

Full Games	Civilian: Mafia: Independent:
Speed Games	Civilian: Fiddler on the Roof Mafia:
Heists	Civilian: MVP: RED vs BLUE
Burglaries	Independent: The Theme Is Literally a Burglary
Special Games	Civilian: Independent:

Full Games	Civilian: Mafia: Independent:
Speed Games	Civilian: Fiddler on the Roof Mafia:
Heists	Civilian: MVP: RED vs BLUE
Burglaries	Independent: The Theme Is Literally a Burglary
Special Games	Civilian: Independent:

Full Games	Civilian: Mafia: Independent:
Speed Games	Civilian: Fiddler on the Roof Mafia:
Heists	Civilian: MVP: RED vs BLUE
Burglaries	Independent: The Theme Is Literally a Burglary
Special Games	Civilian: Independent:

Full Games	Civilian: Mafia: Independent:
Speed Games	Civilian: Fiddler on the Roof Mafia:
Heists	Civilian: MVP: RED vs BLUE
Burglaries	Independent: The Theme Is Literally a Burglary
Special Games	Civilian: Independent:

2014 Sockys
2015 Sockys
Miscellaneous

2014 Sockys
2015 Sockys
Miscellaneous

2014 Sockys
2015 Sockys
Miscellaneous

2014 Sockys
2015 Sockys
Miscellaneous

Hand. Cannot. Lynch.