Why not?Justplayingitcool wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:38 amNo mafia openly admits this imofalcon45ca wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 4:17 pmI didn't read this, but it looks well thought out.Spoiler: showSloonei wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 4:15 pm [VOTE: tedxtr] aubergine
I need to go to work shortly. I will not be back for the deadline. This is my final vote. I will reiterate the crux of my ted suspicion:
His progression on Marmot is hard to believe. It begins with this ISO post in which ted comes to a town read on Marmot. I question the authenticity of ted's analysis here: much of it is scant. He throws a few pointed questions at marmot posts, but also has 3-4 posts where says some iteration of "this is fine" without any elaboration on what is fine about those posts. The end result, in its entirety, is "marmot seems like a villager." I get that not everyone is looking to post a comprehensive argument for their worldview in every post, but this is hardly a convincing effort from ted.
Nonetheless, he does establish himself as firmly pro-Marmot in that post. Marmot is gaining some traction as a candidate at this point. Here I'd like to note that in GoC 2019, ted and I were mafia partners. Early in that game, ted voluntarily opted to go for an over-the-top strong defense of one of our partners in the thread (I think it was Mac?). So Ted is not the type of player who will shy away from bold moves like hard-defending a teammate who is under pressure. He is also a player who has shown a willingness to play into the expectations of what a mafioso is likely to do and look like in certain situations.
Having positioned himself as an opponent to the Marmot wagon, ted starts to reach out to those who are propagating it:Alison provides Marmot with a fairly direct and well-substantiated response. Ted's response to that is...During my exchange with ted earlier, we ended up getting stuck on the phrase "Got it" because he claims he did not respond further to Alison's case because he disagreed with it and had nothing to add, and I don't think that "Got it" is how I would respond if that was the message I was trying to convey. But that point alone is not the extent of my gripe here.Spoiler: showtedxtr wrote: ↑Wed Apr 07, 2021 4:07 amgot itAlison wrote: ↑Wed Apr 07, 2021 3:58 amI suspect Marmot based on one interaction.
This interaction markets itself as being two townies doing solving and analyzing each other. However reading through it I can't find any evidence that either of them genuinely care about exposing the other's alignments. It's a bunch of play-acting and blowing smoke up town's asses.
and i'm fine with a kza vote since i had a few thoughts on that slot myself early on
I also object to this because of overall the progression from ted. It begins with the ISO:
- Ted is presumably inspired to ISO Marmot because he is becoming a suspect.
- Ted ISOs Marmot and comes to the conclusion that he "seems like a villager."
- Ted asks a player he views as leading the charge against Marmot to explain her case; she suggests that Marmot and KZA had a potentially incriminating interaction.
- Ted acknowledges the case. Ted responds to the case by shifting his attention to KZA, expressing a willingness to vote for him.
It reads like Ted is interested in engaging in a discussion about the Marmot case at first in the interest (if he's a civilian) of developing his read further. But once he gets that case, his response feels unnatural: he does not push any further on the discussion about Marmot. He pivots instead to the other player who is mentioned in Alison's case, even though both Marmot and KZA are implicated in it.
And then there was this:tedxtr wrote: ↑Wed Apr 07, 2021 9:37 ambecause he was one of my few isos that i've looked into and i came up with a slight town read and just don't see any reason to vote for himMacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 07, 2021 9:34 amWhat in the actual fuck?
Why do you give the faintest shit?I highlighted this exact progression in my Ted ISO at the start of the day, so I'm repeating myself here. But Ted starts from a position that reads to me as a protest against the Marmot votes; "Marmot is being voted for little to no reason." This point is reiterated in a separate post that Ted made near EoD, here. But once Mac starts grilling him over this gripe, Ted's position changes from the apparent protest, to "The people voting for Marmot usually have good reasons, so I am interested in hearing what they have to say." But I think that looks false. For one he will later go on to dismiss the argument against Marmot as "he's not doing much", which is not a good-faith rendering of what the case was at the time. Two, he had previously asked Alison for her case against Marmot and, when he received it, did not appear remotely interested in it.tedxtr wrote: ↑Wed Apr 07, 2021 9:58 ambecause he's being voted by people that usually have good reasons for votes and i wanna see what those reasons areMacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 07, 2021 9:50 amThe mindset required for you to take issue with that wagon requires the following steps.
1. Need to ISO Marmot
2. Discovery that he is slightly townie
3. Observation that he has a wagon
4. Recognisation that it requires flagging
My issue is in point 3 and 4.
Problem the first. SPF and Michelle are not present to answer you. That is very apparent. So nobody currently wagoning rodent boy can even answer. Which makes your question an effort in posturing.
Problem the second. Who cares about someone having a 2 vote wagon containing people that may not even be up to date on the haps in a composition where there are multiple wagons greater than said number?
which is why i'm asking about it
I would also like to acknowledge Mac's original gripes in the moment here: Ted's posturing about Marmot may well be hollow given the timing of it. Marmot evidently only has two votes, and they are from two players who have not been in the thread for a while, and are not there at the moment. Kudos to Mac for bringing us this exchange.
That is my major gripe with Day 1 Ted. I did not love his Day 2 either. I thought his response to my pressure (both initially and a couple of hours ago) looked like it could be ted playing up the theatrics to appear like a civilian who is bothered by pressure (refer back to my experience with Ted in GoC 2019).
I have to go. I could still see a world in which ted is town, but I also feel overwhelmingly like he is my most concrete suspect. Nanook would be my second preference after him today, but I trust you all to make the correct decisions as we move word the deadline.
[VOTE: VOTE TED] aubergine
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- Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:55 am
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 2]
Why not?Justplayingitcool wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:38 amNo mafia openly admits this imofalcon45ca wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 4:17 pmI didn't read this, but it looks well thought out.Spoiler: show
[VOTE: VOTE TED] aubergine
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:56 am
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
I suspect Falcon if Al is mafia
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:59 am
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- Sun Apr 11, 2021 4:07 am
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 2]
I don't try to understand what mafia may think or not, what reasons they have for actions and all, that's Wifom territory, I cannot clear someone just because mafia don't do this so oftenJustplayingitcool wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:57 amI don't know what Falcon is like as a wolf, but how often have you seen a mafia openly sheep a case and admit in not reading it?Michelle wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:55 amWhy not?Justplayingitcool wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:38 amNo mafia openly admits this imofalcon45ca wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 4:17 pmI didn't read this, but it looks well thought out.Spoiler: show
[VOTE: VOTE TED] aubergine
His vote for Tony seconds before Eod is agenda-y if he is mafia, and he turning back to Al after the poll closed is nagl
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 4:19 am
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
I didn't mess around, i spent all my free time trying to explain Ted is not an option and trying a wagon on Nanook, wagon who didn't grow more than 4.Oddmerta wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 11:04 pm @Michelle next time don't mess around, if you have mech on a hugely scumread player say so. Don't wait the whole 48 hours
TonyStarkPrime next time don't mess around, if you're so largely scumread don't get all prideful and not claim. You weren't going to be the NK ever, even if you were what are the chances we get two wolves off of you? Also now we don't have your RB and vote silence.
About Syndicate's people pride you have to accept it and work with it. After a while you'll get it
What I don't like was how come the Sindicate vets didn't notice, like I did, that Tony has villagery posts.
I think some of them are scum in the town core and some of them are sheeping the firsts.
This is my idea for now.
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 4:21 am
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 2]
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 4:23 am
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- Sun Apr 11, 2021 4:29 am
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 11:53 pm a quick thought:
if we live in a world where the POE is primarily inaccurate (like, let's say that 3/4 of tonystarkprime/tedextr/nanook/al_sama are villagers), then falcon mostly accurately fits the role of someone who signal boosted the consensus without going out of his way to push on anyone in particular. if falcon is a wolf then his play today allowed him to lead us down a bad direction while still keeping his hands clean. i'm thinking of posts like https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewt ... 18#p765418, where falcon agreed with the TSP/ted chops without stating a preference
i am still undecided on falcon's alignment, but i wanted to voice this concern now
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 6:26 am
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 6:37 am
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- Sun Apr 11, 2021 11:13 am
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 1]
Better late than never, a little dive in Marmot's iso
I think i have to read more from this Iso but i have a headache who will make me do it very slow
I think this shows that Esooa is not in Marmot's team
Distance? Or just wifom?
Idk what to do with this post.
Gut says this is an AI interaction
Tutuu's list bothered Marmot. Doesn't look good for KZA ig
Marmot asking for reasons for a town read for Sloonei and insisting in that direction is something agenda-yMarmot wrote: ↑Mon Apr 05, 2021 10:16 pmKZA wrote: ↑Mon Apr 05, 2021 10:15 pmHis early case on Alison seemed like a reasonable Sloonei thought even if I didn't really agree with it
This is a reasonable KZA thought.
This interaction gives me w/w vibes
I don't think we have vanilla players in this game
That's not a real shade here
I doubt Marmot Iso-ed KZA, and the coloured text shows he was presenting a narrative.Marmot wrote: ↑Mon Apr 05, 2021 10:40 pm
I was ISOing KZA and I noticed instances of stating a townread of Sloonei but not explanation for it.
I think it drew my attention a little more because the three of us had a lot of interactions in Fallout Mafia, and in particular, Sloonei voiced strong scumreads of each of us at one point in the game, and I was concerned that KZA was attempting to pocket him early in this game after that happened there.
I think i have to read more from this Iso but i have a headache who will make me do it very slow
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 1:22 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 2]
How fast did you take this decision?
What was the base for this change of mind?
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 1:23 pm
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- Sun Apr 11, 2021 1:25 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
This logic says we should chop AlisonHally wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 11:49 amthe thing is, tony just finished a game where he wolfed extremely well. he posted more than any wolf in site history and won in F3 of a long grueling game. it’s understandable coming off a win like that one that he faced a lot of paranoia in this game for no real reason. whenever someone has a good wolf performance like that people are always going to be irrationally paranoid the next game so they don’t get duped againStrawhenge wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 11:22 am I took time away from the thread after EOD, but before I went to bed and after I woke up this morning, I had a persistent thought. The following exchange prompted me.
Fingersplints and I don't have experience with TSP. To us, he looked scummy. The Marmot thing alone, which fingersplints banked on, was enough. I recall @Hally saying that this is how TSP is, before the chop. I seem to recall others saying so as well, but I can't immediately recall. So my thought comes in the form of a question:fingersplints wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 6:45 pmI’ve never played with Tony before, so I had no comparison.Hally wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 6:40 pmtony was playing the way he does every game. i honestly never understood why he was public enemy number #1 and i think lunching him over al was pretty bad but hindsight is 20/20Strawhenge wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 6:28 pmTo be fair, Tony didn't do himself many favors.fingersplints wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 6:28 pm That is a disappointing result. I really thought I was on to something there.
Is there anyone who you think should have “known better” or any reason to think someone who voted him wasn’t genuine in their suspicion?
Who amongst us knew TSP's meta, saw people suspect, vote for, and ultimately chop him—and didn't say, 'That's just how Tony is'?
Bonus question: Who amongst us knew TSP's meta and didn't speak up, but spoke up about other people's meta?
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 1:30 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
I don't trust paranoia, a new game is a new start and everyone knows what this means.fingersplints wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 12:02 pmThat’s a lot of the same people. Worth considering I guess, but I’m not sure I’d trust paranoia as an excuse there anyways. It’s ok to be wary of someone for a previous good performance, but I don’t think that’s a good excuse for voting for them.Hally wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 11:55 amhere’s the game: https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewt ... =27&t=2055fingersplints wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 11:51 am @Hally who played that game you mentioned with wolf tony f3 that is playing this one? Basically who do you think might be justifiable paranoid?
jay ran it
boknows, falcon, kza, esooa, mac, spf, sloonei, nook, alison and lc were all in it
Experienced players don't suspect someone just because they can wolf.
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 1:35 pm
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- Sun Apr 11, 2021 1:50 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
Unfortunately yes, it's happening.
I think my Poe would be Al, Falcon, KZA (i rescind TR after i saw the Marmot interaction), and probably Bo (not for drunk/fake drunk posting) for team Marmot.
I think Alison has wolf equity and probably I don't trust SPF and Odd. In this group i think is at least one mafia. For team 2 we can fill with people who are not active, like Dom, but his lynch doesn't bring anything, or with people on the middle/nullish part of everyone's reads.
I still don't understand why a CFD on Dom wasn't discussed until now at all.
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 2:58 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
Iso me and search for the spoilers.
I have many saved VCs, less than usual but you can work with them
With this conclusion i think this night was productive
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:31 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
Who said TSP could be partner with Marnot? Reading Marmot's Iso I don't find this idea
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:36 pm
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- Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:38 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
Also, Al, if you read the game, and you know what happened, maybe just making that trustfall exercise may help you form some reads
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:46 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
Marmot's Iso part 2
I don't have time to explain things, maybe tomorow if I am alive but I picked up what looked AI regarding the living players
@KZA you have high confidence that Marmot is scum, what gave you that confidence?
I don't have time to explain things, maybe tomorow if I am alive but I picked up what looked AI regarding the living players
Spoiler: show
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:46 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:52 pm
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- Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:54 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:55 pm
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- Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:56 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
Al if you are villager, how can anyone reach this read?
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 4:00 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
Idk about Jpic but Al just said a thing that is really villagery.KZA wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:58 pmJPIC and Al Sama are the only people I don't feel any towniness from (Dom doesn't count)Michelle wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:54 pmSo you had a 100% accurate SR on Marmot.
How your Poe looks like now? What confidence do you have?
Besides, your Poe is too small
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 4:01 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
I have to go to sleep.
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 4:05 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
I feel that my Poe is decent. Probably i am back to Al not scum :shrug:and if this is the case @AL_sama boost your mood please and post more
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 4:50 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
Activity, my friend, and lack of interaction with me after I gave a TR for you. Townies are supportive and helpful. I know you are playing differently, but I saw you more active in many games.
Except you read me mafia and in this case I expected a push.
You look indiferent and indifference looks bad. You know how paranoid I become during a game
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 5:10 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
I know and I saw you playing like this as town. . Everyone else doesn't know though.AL_sama wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 5:00 pmmy play changes every game and so does mu activityMichelle wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 4:50 pm Activity, my friend, and lack of interaction with me after I gave a TR for you. Townies are supportive and helpful. I know you are playing differently, but I saw you more active in many games.
Except you read me mafia and in this case I expected a push.
You look indiferent and indifference looks bad. You know how paranoid I become during a game
I m not scum reading you in fact you're one my strongest town read
pretty sure this isn't the first time you've seen me indifferent
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 5:11 pm
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- Sun Apr 11, 2021 5:23 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
If i am alive tomorow, but Al can provide neta cor himself igJustplayingitcool wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 5:13 pmDo you have a link to the game in question?Michelle wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 5:10 pmI know and I saw you playing like this as town. . Everyone else doesn't know though.AL_sama wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 5:00 pmmy play changes every game and so does mu activityMichelle wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 4:50 pm Activity, my friend, and lack of interaction with me after I gave a TR for you. Townies are supportive and helpful. I know you are playing differently, but I saw you more active in many games.
Except you read me mafia and in this case I expected a push.
You look indiferent and indifference looks bad. You know how paranoid I become during a game
I m not scum reading you in fact you're one my strongest town read
pretty sure this isn't the first time you've seen me indifferent
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 5:24 pm
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- Sun Apr 11, 2021 5:25 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
That post should say
Al can provide meta for himself
Sorry for typos
Al can provide meta for himself
Sorry for typos
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 5:39 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 5:59 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
Probably notSloonei wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 5:51 pmEven if he was playing his first game in a new environment with a bunch of new people who are being really loud and proactive?
- Sun Apr 11, 2021 5:59 pm
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- Sun Apr 11, 2021 6:04 pm
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- Sun Apr 11, 2021 6:04 pm
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- Sun Apr 11, 2021 6:09 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [NIGHT 2]
I will really go to sleep now
- Mon Apr 12, 2021 12:46 am
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 3]
Morning everyone, because i understand we have 2 days in a row and apparently an outed wolf i want keep my result to be discussed next day.
- Mon Apr 12, 2021 4:28 am
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- Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:00 am
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 3]
[VOTE:
Gavial] aubergine
To make good use of a work break
To make good use of a work break
- Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:01 am
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 3]
Spoiler: show
- Mon Apr 12, 2021 4:04 pm
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 3]
I agreenovaselinenever wrote: ↑Mon Apr 12, 2021 1:16 pmIf agreed unanimously, the elimination can be hammered and the day cut short at the halfway mark.
Spoiler: show
- Tue Apr 13, 2021 4:03 am
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 1]
Michelle wrote: ↑Wed Apr 07, 2021 6:55 am
Look, there is only one way this can go
Poll runs till Thu Apr 08, 2021 1:00 am
Please note that if you vote, your vote will be visible.
You may select 1 option
AL_sama 4 JaggedJimmyJay, MacDougall, tutuu, Alison
Alison 1 falcon45ca
BoKnows 1 Justplayingitcool
Justplayingitcool 1 Oddmerta
KZA 1 NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME
Marmot 1 staypositivefriend
NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME 1 KZA
Oddmerta 3 BoKnows, tedxtr, Long Con
tedxt 1 TonyStarkPrime
TonyStarkPrime 2 fingersplints, Esooa
tutuu 2 Sloonei, Marmot
<snip>
[VOTE: Marmot] aubergine
who knows how Marmot's wagon formed and who voted after it was obvious that he will be chopped?Michelle wrote: ↑Fri Apr 09, 2021 3:02 am
Eod 1 VC
Look, there is only one way this can go
Poll ended at Thu Apr 08, 2021 1:00 am
AL_sama 4 falcon45ca, Long Con, Strawhenge, Alison
BoKnows 1 JustplayingitcoolDom
Justplayingitcool 1 Oddmerta
MacDougall 1 Marmot
Marmot 9 Hally, tedxtr, JaggedJimmyJay, Sloonei, Michelle, staypositivefriend, MacDougall, KZA, Esooa
tedxtr 3 BoKnows, AL_sama, TonyStarkPrime
TonyStarkPrime 2 fingersplints, NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME
- Tue Apr 13, 2021 4:08 am
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Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 1]
MacDougall wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 4:05 am@JaggedJimmyJay @Sloonei @tutuu @Esooa @Michelle
You guys are on Alison duty. Here's the rules.
Alison's current readslist is >rand accurate regardless of alignment. Her reads must remain good and she must remain day in and day out responsible for the pelting of wolves to remain above the line.
The idea is that we force her into the light, or force her to kill her teammates.
If at any stage of the game after I am dead there are more than two consecutive town mislynches and if Alison is still alive, instantly kill her.
As it stands I believe she is town and expect she will self resolve early, but these are the runes. Use them wisely.
- Tue Apr 13, 2021 4:22 am
- Forum: Previous Jobs
- Topic: Fargo Mafia [Game Ends]
- Replies: 12241
- Views: 194671
Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 2]
Day 2 VCs idk if i have time to colour them work in progress i have to post it to not lose it, but i have to do some actual work
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