Do speedchuck's posts make sense through the mafioso lens?
I feel that much of the speedchuck suspicion today, to include my own, has come in the form of nuggets. Context can be lost in a dispersion of nuggets, and so I am going to review the body of work. He deserves that much. Much of this will likely be subject to interpretation, so I do hope people will engage me on this material beyond just speedchuck himself. I did basically the same thing in Steely Dan with dunya and the effort went largely ignored.
Please don't fecking ignore me.
speedchuck at face value
speedchuck wrote: ↑Sun Apr 28, 2019 5:56 pm
Hmm... we dont have any information to work on yet, so we should probably no lynch d1.
I don't think there's a likely universe in which speedchuck was really trying to push a no lynch on Day 1. So, regardless of his alignment, this was not serious. It's a clever trap to lay down if he is a mafioso. As he suggested himself,
traps can catch town too. Given that DDL was the "goat" emerging from this thing, speedchuck's handling of DDL ought to be more telling than the trap itself:
What's with the vote? |
DDL's reaction didn't look great |
DDL definitely looks worst at first glance |
DDL often looks scummy as town |
Finger of suspicion
speedchuck's stance was predominantly negative even if he acknowledged the other side. There's some room for the trap to have been about opportunism. It doesn't have to be that way, but there's room.
Much of the relevant Day 1 material otherwise for speedchuck relates to Ultra, which I'll talk about separately.
speedchuck wrote: ↑Wed May 01, 2019 9:50 pm
I came into this day planning to go after Owner.
But as it turns out, Jack is scum. So there's that.
I'll try to figure out how to explain why.
linki: You're a lot more bold about this kind of thing than I am, mac
linkilinki both
Jack was a pursuit of speed's on Day 2, and here is a
case. The case is not substantial. It relates to Jack's humor and his "playing too casual". This case is weak enough that I question whether
it's serious too, like the no lynch thing.

He followed it with a
vote about 13 hours later, so it seems like it was serious. I had been positive about my
interactive reads with Jack and speedchuck was open in not acknowledging that. He ended up joining the Soneji wagon in the end
while remaining open to the Dragomir wagon too.
speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon May 06, 2019 10:53 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Mon May 06, 2019 10:25 am
Among the "active" players I think Gemma looks the worst. Replacement be damned. 155 posts and no reads apart from this
token set of civilians. I don't really know why those reads exist either.
Not to mention that replacements are often correlated with scumminess for some reason.
And man, replacing out because the person who asked you to join the game died? WTF?
Small point perhaps, but this strikes me as a bit harsh regarding Gemma's replacement request.
speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon May 06, 2019 5:39 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Mon May 06, 2019 5:08 pm
speedchuck, tell me about your vote.
I've suspected Gemma since late D1. Their playstyle was alien to me, so I didn't depend on that,
but around the end of that day I considered Gemma to be a potential Ultra ally. I can't say I remember why.
I probably would have pursued this more D2 had I not been sick.
speedchuck had dropped a vote on Gemma on Day 3, and this was his explanation after my prod. The highlighted portion seems to be an important thing, but on a scan I did not see speedchuck drawing this connection previously. If this associative read existed, it was exclusively in his head. I don't care for this.
As it happens,
speedchuck wants that scratched. He said he was thinking of someone else, and that the Gemma suspicion was separate. Okay.

Who was it supposed to be, chuckaroo?
Luxurious suggested Owner. Yeh? Neh?
speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon May 06, 2019 6:19 pmBut I don't read ISOs, not lately.
Mm.
Gemma was saying a lot of things without saying anything, and the bird comics only got me so far. Suspicion. Don't remember anything more than that.
Feel Owner is town right now. Owner has a very specific was of scumhunting, and I didn't see it at first, but I've caught glimpses of it now.
In any event, in absence of the Ultra connection this is what remained of speedchuck's suspcion of Gemma. It's where his vote remained.
speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue May 07, 2019 9:15 pm
As someone who still hasn't read the whole game and doesn't intend to:
Dragomir - I see why people think he's scum, but it's like he's rolling in it. Could be some culture difference there. Still a moderate suspicion regardless.
Dragon D Luffy - scumread him early game for taking my bait, have cooled off since. Slightly lower than null
JaggedJimmyJay - haven't seen the scum ping yet, and Jay's been putting in work.
Luxurious - talks too much to be scum.
Macdougall - I have seen nothing to make me think Mac is town
nutella - seems like town nutella to me so far
Owner of a Lonely Heart - had a town ping, need to investigate it
M Plus 7 - ???
rundontwalk2 - I think I've seen people say he's posted some but [citation needed]
JessieKruger - ???
My highest suspicions without looking back are Drago, then Mac, then DDL. But that's all subject to change today, as the weekend is over and my other game is gone (and lost horribly).
Day 4 reads list. The town reads at this point were expressed in rather basic terms (myself, Lux, nutella). Eh. I'll note that he dug into one of his ??? as the day wore on (Jessie), so there's some sort of follow-up. The mafia reads aren't especially substantive either -- his top suspect Dragomir is also by the language his top waffle.
speedchuck raises concerns about Jessie -- I think he has to engage in some mental gymnastics here to arrive at a teammate association between Owner and Jessie, by drawing into a theory of the scum chat. He stretched the fabric of theory thin to construct this shade.
He was at the bottom of a later rainbow list.
Votes me in response to DDL gripes -- bleh. First on the rainbow to vote. Okay then. He suggested he wanted to
see what happens, and that is fine. He made me his
second-highest lynch preference though and has remained on the tinfoil wagon through the present. What happened must have been bad.
His final vote went to Jessie.
speedchuck wrote: ↑Sat May 11, 2019 10:41 am
MacDougall wrote: ↑Sat May 11, 2019 2:23 am
Okay all that stuff makes speedchuck look bad
DrWilgy wrote: ↑Sat May 11, 2019 9:23 am
I agree with the case on speed, that does make him look bad.
Has anyone viewd JJJ from a scum lens yet and if so, what were the results of that excersize?
I am straight shocked. This is the towniest D1 I've ever had.
I'll be around to address this day one stuff in the afternoon if you guys want to pull an actual accusation out of it. I have not yet seen one.
JJJ did the Ultra/Speed interactions and said I looked good for those alone. Owner did those SAME interactions and said I looked bad for those alone. I have no idea what you guys are seeing.
A little much. I'll just leave it here, since I've arrived at present-day material. Y'all can see it.
speedchuck and Ultra
My initial impressions were positive. I've already begun re-examination, which I will
restate here for a complete compilation:
Ultra wrote: ↑Sun Apr 28, 2019 7:47 pm
This reeks of chainsaw defense.
Someone suggested earlier that "chainsaw defense" refers to attacking someone attacking a teammate. If that's what the damned term means, then in this instance Ultra is calling speed and I teammates. From this point Ultra's handling of each of us go different directions:
Sounds like JJJ has TMI on speed - implication: JJJ bad, speed good
speed is obvscumming - implication: speed bad
JJJ looks opportunistic - implication: JJJ bad
vote JJJ, defended speed too soon - implication: JJJ bad, speed bad
Leaning towards JJJ knowing speed is town - implication: JJJ bad, speed good
if speed is town, JJJ wolfy -
conditional implication: JJJ bad, speed good
If a chainsaw defense is
this |
this |
this, then Ultra's progression on speedchuck is essentially randomized on a per-post basis. Ultra views me as evil incarnate in every post, and speedchuck is Schrödinger's cat.
That relates to Ultra's treatment of speedchuck. The inverse:
speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Apr 29, 2019 11:10 am
DDL's knee-jerk reaction didn't look great, as someone who knows me.
Ultra doesn't look bad for the reaction, though he/she seems a little focused on Nova for some reason when I look at the ISO.
JJJ reacted exactly as expected.
I'll just let everyone know I'm not going to be as active as you crazy devils. I'm in another game and I wasn't a top poster in that one either.
I don't mind speedchuck not griping about Ultra in relationship to the no lynch gag. The "though" caveat is a bit buggy.
speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Apr 29, 2019 11:32 am
Went over Ultra's ISO. Got a few town pings from it, as he's finding his place. I think he knows Nova, and the only scummy thing I've found is that he's sorta using that as a crutch? Conversing with Nova, biting at him, trying to drag reads from him.
Nova isn't your wall, buddy. Come out here with the rest of us or I'll scumread you for hiding.
I wish I knew what the "few town pings" were as Ultra was finding his place. Quite vague. I appreciate the specificity of the accusation relating to nova at least. I'd like it more if this post didn't go in both directions at once.
speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Apr 29, 2019 12:07 pm
Gemma wrote: ↑Mon Apr 29, 2019 12:03 pm
speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Apr 29, 2019 12:00 pm
[VOTE:
Ultra] aubergine
did you forget that you were townreading that player
No. Because I'm not.
I have some town pings from them, but I mentioned something scummy as well. If it continues, their need to cling to and buddy Nova will easily outweigh any town cred they have.
It became a vote pretty early in the day. Gemma poked him and this was the answer. If we view this through the mafioso lens, it could be called TMI on nova -- recall that on Day 1, we didn't have quite the same reason to view nova in that light as we did after the Ultra lynch.
Expanded
speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Apr 29, 2019 12:33 pm
Ultra wrote: ↑Mon Apr 29, 2019 12:29 pm
[VOTE:
JaggedJimmyJay] aubergine
I don't know speedchuck or his meta or whatever but he town read and defended him far too soon. Also switched his vote to a player who isn't active instead of pursuing DDL
Do you believe that JJJ was defending a teammate, or that he knows I'm town because he's not?
speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Apr 29, 2019 1:20 pm
Ultra wrote: ↑Mon Apr 29, 2019 12:19 pm
novaselinenever wrote: ↑Mon Apr 29, 2019 4:39 am
The whole no lynch thing is hilarious, and I'm more intrigued by DDL jumping on Speed than the latter making that claim. I took it as him messing around, 'cause I don't believe for a second that he's serious about it.
I can't say I'm a fan of you calling out the vote on DDL, nor throwing around fancy words like "chainsaw defense". Feels like over-compensating
If that was a bait post it's a pretty bad one. A player with low presence makes a very bad suggestion and then leaves. I can't reflexively blame someone for voting for that. I will blame a player for jumping on
that player without explanation.
I thought it was pretty good. It might have worked even.
This was the extent of speed's direct interaction with Ultra from that point. It exists.
~~~~~~~~~~
Conclusion
My concerns are primarily focused in these areas:
~ Ultra's treatment of speedchuck was a see-saw
~ Even now I don't really follow speedchuck's Day 2 beefs with Jack
~ The points he raised against Jessie required some reaching
~ His suspicion of me seems almost obligatory
There's a case that can be made, and it's not one that I feel requires a great deal of mental gymnastics or special effort to compile. It's out there. Refer as well to
Owner's gripes, which she presented in a series of posts starting around that link. This is something I want to hear from y'all on, not
only speedchuck himself. These huge ISOs become considerably more taxing on a thread when they turn into nothing but a back-and-forth of mega posts. Engage, gang.