Halvøsen Ridge [MAFIA WIN]

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Who put Boquise on ice?

Poll ended at Sun Jul 17, 2022 9:00 pm

Creature
0
No votes
fingersplints
2
15%
RondoDimBuckle
1
8%
Final 3 (dead, host, mod, non-player option)
10
77%
 
Total votes: 13
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Dyslexicon
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 1]

#3801

Post by Dyslexicon »

fingersplints wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:34 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:22 am
fingersplints wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:20 amYea but you have been getting “more of no content” because of continued posts like this you have made.
Who are you most suspicious of right now?

Do you agree that the Sean kill says something about the game state, or do you glean anything from it at all? You mentioned still reading J town.
Well I’m resisting the strong urge to do a personal/self vote atm; hopefully cooler heads prevail.

Creature.
Cold follow Marmot on Lucy.

I don’t know about the Sean kill. Kills always have some meaning but not necessarily obvious. What a mean by that is Sean is a solid player but not necessarily one who can easily sway the entire thread or one who can be relentless with a suspicion (like Mac) so that kill might not be from someone who he was suspecting. Plus be a set up to look like that. Don’t know.
I do agree it’s interesting choice of kill over the more obvious town, and as I said I do understand the suspicion and paranoia there now just not sure I’m ready to vote there yet
Are you saying Marmot is suspicious here, after Creature? I thought you said Marmot was town just then?

If we don't get mafia today, we likely won't get mafia at all this game.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3802

Post by Dyslexicon »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:38 am
Boquise wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 5:14 am I wish I had tried to force people who ignored that exercise to do it tbh
I dont think you have been pushed hard or a lot for the cop thing so "I'm sick of hearing" is quite strong language tbh

The exercise was nice because I think it for one shows where one's mind is focused, for two it does show some associatives tbh
The dialogue leaves me rather titled.

Separately, you had said that my choice for a "cop check" on Wilgy played into your decision to vote for Wilgy. That doesn't sit right with me. As I said before, eliminating someone is very different from a hypothetical cop ID, and treating "let's literally flip the player's role card" as a substitute is both opportunistic and it transfers some weight of blame to me for an elimination that I did not vote for.
I think his point was that he was worried that you were teamed with Wilgy. I think Marmot made a similar point. They will correct me if I'm wrong, I hope.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3803

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

Dyslexicon wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:16 pm
EnderWiggin wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:14 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:50 pm @EnderWiggin I feel like you've been very hedgy on Rondo. Why? If I didn't know better, I'd be worried that you wanted to hedge to avoid Rondo to get suspicious of you.
I'm around briefly. Things have been quite busy irl.

As for Rondo, he is aware of how I read in a way that only maybe Thunal can rival. I'm hedgy on him because it is difficult to actually find something I can 100% townread him for.

Usually this will be the case.

I did hard shield him in his first few games because I knew he'd get wagoned early if I didn't.
This answer leaves a lot to be desired. I've seen little things here and there that I want to town read Rondo for. Is it possible for you to do an ISO there to get a firmer grasp?

Right now I have the same town core as you.
Yeah at this point Ender would have solved my slot, so I am willing to give him the time he asked for but if he doesnt call it soon I am going to have to put him down the bottom
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3804

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

EnderWiggin wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:18 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:16 pm
EnderWiggin wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:14 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:50 pm @EnderWiggin I feel like you've been very hedgy on Rondo. Why? If I didn't know better, I'd be worried that you wanted to hedge to avoid Rondo to get suspicious of you.
I'm around briefly. Things have been quite busy irl.

As for Rondo, he is aware of how I read in a way that only maybe Thunal can rival. I'm hedgy on him because it is difficult to actually find something I can 100% townread him for.

Usually this will be the case.

I did hard shield him in his first few games because I knew he'd get wagoned early if I didn't.
This answer leaves a lot to be desired. I've seen little things here and there that I want to town read Rondo for. Is it possible for you to do an ISO there to get a firmer grasp?

Right now I have the same town core as you.
I have said this before.

I will say it again.

I currently think Rondo is town.

I think that while he has the capability to fool me I don't think he'd be this consistent over days if he was actually wolf.

Not on his first wolf in forum play anyway.
never mind
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3805

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

EnderWiggin wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:29 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:26 pm @EnderWiggin Why do you read Creature town? EoD 1, why, what happened? He's whining and doing absolutely nothing. Sometimes he's defaulting to voting me. He's complaining about Mac's list while still following it. He said I was mafia siding when I was voting Wilgy, while he himself considered Wilgy suspect and ended up voting there. Like wtf. It's useless at best and just wolf at worst. I have big questions about this. That said, I have scarier fish to fry tbh
The townread is based on the fact that I don't believe he cared about self-preservation during that EOD.

Which is not a sensation I feel associated with wolves much.
ehhh I dont know if I agree with that
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3806

Post by Dyslexicon »

@Marmot What are your full thoughts on Jimmay?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3807

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

Dyslexicon wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:31 pm
Alison wrote: Sun Jul 03, 2022 8:57 amThis isn't a horrible readslist. I would put Dizzy lower but it seems like you are re-evalling him anyway. I think Creature is town too but for slightly different reasons - he showed up at two EODs where a town LHF was run down and spent the entire time bitching and whining about how we're getting it wrong when he could have just sat there, voteparked falcon/Wilgy and started eating popcorn if he was scum.

How confident are you on your Rondo read?
His bitching and moaning is just like eating popcorn though. It seems like a parody. He also voted a LHF himself, and defaulted to me when I was semi-LHF. Why the bitching and moaning about Mac's horrible PoE post, and then following it?
My bitching and moaning? I am not sure If I understand this one
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 1]

#3808

Post by fingersplints »

Dyslexicon wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:41 am
fingersplints wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:34 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:22 am
fingersplints wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:20 amYea but you have been getting “more of no content” because of continued posts like this you have made.
Who are you most suspicious of right now?

Do you agree that the Sean kill says something about the game state, or do you glean anything from it at all? You mentioned still reading J town.
Well I’m resisting the strong urge to do a personal/self vote atm; hopefully cooler heads prevail.

Creature.
Cold follow Marmot on Lucy.

I don’t know about the Sean kill. Kills always have some meaning but not necessarily obvious. What a mean by that is Sean is a solid player but not necessarily one who can easily sway the entire thread or one who can be relentless with a suspicion (like Mac) so that kill might not be from someone who he was suspecting. Plus be a set up to look like that. Don’t know.
I do agree it’s interesting choice of kill over the more obvious town, and as I said I do understand the suspicion and paranoia there now just not sure I’m ready to vote there yet
Are you saying Marmot is suspicious here, after Creature? I thought you said Marmot was town just then?

If we don't get mafia today, we likely won't get mafia at all this game.
No I mean follow him in voting Lucy.

Sheep
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 1]

#3809

Post by Dyslexicon »

fingersplints wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:34 amWell I’m resisting the strong urge to do a personal/self vote atm; hopefully cooler heads prevail.
Where does this urge come from btw?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3810

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

Dyslexicon wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 11:21 pm Here are some anti-teamings I plotted down while reading. Ask if they are weird

Finger/Alison
Finger/Creature
Boq/Alison
Ender/Jimmay
Marmot/Finger ?
Creature/Ender EoD1?
can you point to specific examples? Still trying to figure out forum anti pairings? Or is it exactly what I think?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 1]

#3811

Post by Dyslexicon »

fingersplints wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:46 amNo I mean follow him in voting Lucy.

Sheep
Ah, I see, thanks.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3812

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

Dyslexicon wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 11:35 pm I'm at the point where I'm town shielding Ender, so have fun with that, wolves.

Egg on my face later etc
lol, Wolf Ender would love this. Town Ender would also love this
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3813

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

Let's ISO Alison

Spoiler: show
Spoiler: show
Alison wrote:
falcon45ca wrote: Ergo, don't say no
I think this post from falcon is kinda townie.
Alison wrote:
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: lucy
Boquise
Seanzie


decent squad for Day 0. everybody get in my squad. show me your vip squad passes
I have 0 people I'd consider clear enough to call them part of my squad - I have a light townread on Falcon and that's mostly it. You have three.

What are you seeing that I don't?

These reflected Alison's initial takes after about 13 minutes of involvement with the thread. I'll mark the gentle town credit for falcon, otherwise this is whatever.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote:
Boquise wrote: Regarding the "not say your wolf leans on D0" thing I asked Creature about. I mentioned that there are some reasons and given Creature has now replied, I will say mine.

Scum reads tend to make people defensive/emotional. Since D0 seems to be jokish, I reckon it could from one perspective ruin the "chill phase" and from another perspective, give scum hints on how to act accordingly.

I am not really pro hiding thoughts, but I think it is better to focus on town reads. I did have a dude on my ol' homesite who was great at sniffing out scum in our N1 phases tho (we had N1 starting before D1 and open night chat for everyone) by just looking at how players acted, if they were nervous etc.


Creature's response is lol and creature-esque. I'm not really satisfied, but it is D0 so!
Making people defensive and emotional is a good way of both finding and executing scum.

I believe this philosophy from Alison comes into play later, so it's good to take note of it here. The philosophy itself may not necessarily be "kosher" in everyone's eyes (e.g., inviting additional emotion into the game thread for the sake of making reads), but regardless I do think it's on-brand for Alison. She'll do what she can within the rules to progress her reads.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote: I've played with a lot of players who come from chat mafia - they are almost always chatty and comfortable in that chattiness, regardless of alignment. I think the fact that Lucy is refusing to make reads and is just talking about TV shows means that I'd expect her to be comfortable even if she was a wolf.

I townread her for a post she made afterwards where she asked Seanzie about his age. I think her worrying about adjusting her perspective on his tone based on his age was a sincere thought, and it's not something that many people, especially forum mafia newbies, would think to fake. It reflects a desire to get things right, which I guess is sorta close to what you said about her wanting to make a mark. I'm with you on Lucy right now.

What about Boquise and Seanzie? I'm not familiar with Boquise, but he hasn't done anything that jumps out as me as town, and Seanzie if anything is being slightly less proddy and pokey than he usually is.

Re: falcon, I think if he was mafia and said the line about there being one wolf between you and Seanzie, it would have been intentionally made to throw shade on you - but he backs off it relatively quickly and plays it off as a joke, which suggests he isn't really interested in pushing that narrative. Nothing out of the realm of fakeability, but it's enough for a townlean on page 2.

At my request, Alison expanded on her initial view of falcon. The language remains soft here, emphasizing that it's a very early perspective. By the standards of page 2 play I don't really have a problem with the rationale. It's just something to consider as the progression moves forward.

Separately, I appreciate Alison's take on lucy. As I mentioned earlier in the game, I like that she took a conclusion I had come to (town read on lucy), agreed with that conclusion, but still challenged the premises that led me to it. The note about lucy's interaction with Seanzie is one that offers better depth than "new player posting a ton probably town".

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote:
RondoDimBuckle wrote: Just so I am clear, with all this talk of Champs and stuff. I havent accidentally entered a champs game have I?

Pretty sure I havent, just need to make sure because its early and you're all doing my head in with this champs talk
Sometimes I wonder how much of your posting is a joke and how much isn't.
Alison wrote: If I had to pick someone to vote right now it would be Rondo.
Alison wrote:
RondoDimBuckle wrote:
Alison wrote: If I had to pick someone to vote right now it would be Rondo.
You know, I KNEW going into this game you would focus me. This is going to be fun. HAHAHAH
I put down a phantom vote on you less than 10 pages into the game.

Does that feel like being focused to you?
Alison wrote:
RondoDimBuckle wrote:
Alison wrote:
RondoDimBuckle wrote:
Alison wrote: If I had to pick someone to vote right now it would be Rondo.
You know, I KNEW going into this game you would focus me. This is going to be fun. HAHAHAH
I put down a phantom vote on you less than 10 pages into the game.

Does that feel like being focused to you?
No but your opening is exactly how I expected it to be, I called it early and I like being right.
Where did you call it?
Alison wrote:
EnderWiggin wrote: He said it to me when he saw the player list lol.
I didn't notice him calling it anywhere in the thread so I was wondering if he said it in the mafia chat and slipped that he did lol.

Here's an early snippet of the Day 0 combat between Rondo and Alison, primarily with the latter serving as the provocateur. It portends more active exchanges later, so let this serve as the tablesettings.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote:
Creature wrote: Is it a bad idea to read JJJ based on how eager he seems to be?
Yes. I have never known him to have a mafia game where he was not eager - if I remember correctly, the first time I ever played with him I (incorrectly) wolfread him because his eagerness seemed so over the top I was convinced it was faked.

This is, for whatever it's worth, true.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote:
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: I always used to say that I have no preference between rolling town or mafia, but these days that's probably a lie I would tell myself to assuage my ego. I play Mafia mostly for the solving.
Thoughts on Rondo?
Alison wrote:
JaggedJimmyJay wrote:
Alison wrote: What do you mean "micro and macro"?
Aforementioned "little moments" are micro. Macro, I acknowledge that the guy has made more posts than anyone in the game short maybe of lucy. I can't say he's uncomfortable.
He has 77 posts and I can't think of a single game-related opinion he has other than being slightly suspicious of Lucy for talking about TV too much and then saying he liked a post of Lucy's later on. I don't know if the quantity of his posting is a plus there.

Alison brought her suspicion of Rondo to me for further dialogue and development (and perhaps to gauge me by extension), which is preferable to naked shade. Small point.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote: Tossing out this (maybe slightly disrespectful) read:

In a playerlist like this, it would be psychologically easy for Creature as either alignment to do nothing or simply sheep people, especially in the context of an early D0 without any voting. That he's taking stabs at forming his own reads (#401, #404, #422) and trying to discourage a "do nothing and sheep" mentality (#351) reflects well on him, as I think he would be more willing to put in that effort as town.
Alison wrote:
JaggedJimmyJay wrote:
Seanzie wrote:
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: [VOTE: Creature] aubergine
Why creature?
In my limited experience playing with or spectating Creature, he's been a bit on the spam side (I say so with love). He might have intended to spam here (link) too, but it hasn't materialized. I've a general impression of discomfort.
What did you think about my townread of Creature?
Alison wrote: FWIW I have seen many Creature town games where he does nothing, lowposts, and sheeps whoever is loud obvious town.

Alison's initial view of Creature was positive, with a reasonably developed (for this stage of the game) rationale. Again in this exchange she adds qualifications to my own read, so that's a decent trend to indicate thoughtfulness.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote:
RondoDimBuckle wrote:
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: @RondoDimBuckle, Alison has placed a vote on your head. Please talk about that and thanks
It is a thing she has done :shrug:. I dont really care too much because I knew it was coming and it makes me happy
Why would someone attacking you make you happy?
Alison wrote:
RondoDimBuckle wrote:
Alison wrote:
RondoDimBuckle wrote:
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: @RondoDimBuckle, Alison has placed a vote on your head. Please talk about that and thanks
It is a thing she has done :shrug:. I dont really care too much because I knew it was coming and it makes me happy
Why would someone attacking you make you happy?
Because I am a giant troll and love when I can elicit an emotional reaction from people. Ala, you entering thread and insta voting me. Its predictability is food for the soul. It just makes me happy
You didn't exactly jump for joy though. I said I suspected you, you were like "ha ha ha, I knew it!" and then proceeded to steadfastly ignore me from then until now. I didn't get the impression you were trying to fish reactions out of me or that you felt particularly gleeful. I'd expect a troll who really wanted me to attack them to at least tease or bait me once or twice, but you've mostly ignored me, even in the face of constant provocation (ie. me talking about you a bunch).
Alison wrote:
RondoDimBuckle wrote:
Alison wrote:
RondoDimBuckle wrote:
Alison wrote:
RondoDimBuckle wrote:
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: @RondoDimBuckle, Alison has placed a vote on your head. Please talk about that and thanks
It is a thing she has done :shrug:. I dont really care too much because I knew it was coming and it makes me happy
Why would someone attacking you make you happy?
Because I am a giant troll and love when I can elicit an emotional reaction from people. Ala, you entering thread and insta voting me. Its predictability is food for the soul. It just makes me happy
You didn't exactly jump for joy though. I said I suspected you, you were like "ha ha ha, I knew it!" and then proceeded to steadfastly ignore me from then until now. I didn't get the impression you were trying to fish reactions out of me or that you felt particularly gleeful. I'd expect a troll who really wanted me to attack them to at least tease or bait me once or twice, but you've mostly ignored me, even in the face of constant provocation (ie. me talking about you a bunch).
Spoiler: show
1 Because I am at work so I dont have unlimited time.
I hate ATE so I am going to hide that
2 because we have played that game in the past and it just gets me chopped eventually so I am trying something new where I just ignore you.
3 because I dont have any support yet so I have no in thread power
4 its day 1 so meh
5 Other people are more interesting than you
6 I have lunch now so I am finishing my list
7 maybe I should

[VOTE: Alison ] aubergine
"I am happy that you attacked me because I'm a troll who craves attention, but now that you've actually attacked me and given me what I want, I'm going to hide that emotion because I don't want to use AtE"? How does that make sense as a thought process? Why would expressing happiness be AtE at all?
Alison wrote: I mean I think Rondo has just been full of shit this game.

This stretch of Alison's dealings with Rondo drew the ire of some in the moment. It is, if nothing else, uncharitable. There's a distinct air of provocation here, and one that strikes me as deliberate (as it is quite blatant). Perhaps this is a moment then to recall Alison's previously stated philosophy: "making people defensive and emotional" is an effective way of hunting. I do think Rondo's emotional display elevated in this exchange, so in that sense, "mission accomplished". I don't take much from this in isolation, because it looks to me like the execution of a strategy -- one that can be executed regardless of alignment. The progression will mean more to me moving forward.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote:
MacDougall wrote: Alison deciding to expend energy on day 1 on antagonising a player who is know to be capable of disruptive anti town play as town reeks to me.
Or I just think they're scum and am trying to get them killed.
Alison wrote:
MacDougall wrote: Plotting the exact same chaotic path through the game he always seems to when he's town including reacting exactly as I'd expect him to when I made a baseless townread on him to bait the reaction I was looking for to solidify the read?
I have seen no evidence of him plotting any path, either in this game or in previous games.

Can you quote the reaction you were fishing for that was townie? I'm still working through the backlog.
Alison wrote:
MacDougall wrote:
lucy wrote: besides rondo I like this lobby
Rondo is cool. He's just an acquired taste. And you have to have a very refined palette.
How confident is your townread on Rondo?

Mac protested the read, and Alison began to engage with him on the matter. Just marking for progression.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote:
MacDougall wrote: switching my vote to falcon

i was thinking about doing it earlier

i think wilgy is sus but i think falcon is sussier
I haven't felt swayed on falcon in one direction or the other since I gave my initial read on him.

Wilgy is in my POE.
Alison wrote:
MacDougall wrote:
Alison wrote:
MacDougall wrote: switching my vote to falcon

i was thinking about doing it earlier

i think wilgy is sus but i think falcon is sussier
I haven't felt swayed on falcon in one direction or the other since I gave my initial read on him.

Wilgy is in my POE.
I'd just like to point out, again, that I have been right on Falcon dating back about 20 games straight, as multiple alignments, including correctly reading him as independent once.
I have a good track record of reading Falcon too.

What's your case on him? Just what Nate said?

She also interacts with Mac about falcon, a read of hers that has not moved much since the initial impressions (so a slight tick in the direction of town).

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote:
DrWilgy wrote:
MacDougall wrote: Nah ur reads are bogus lol.
And you are either of the ten fools or a wolf.

Your read indicates one while behavior hits at the other, I'll place you orange.
This aggression is townie for Wilgy though I think. I remember him playing more passively as mafia.

This is something I like from Alison. In the previous spoiler, there was a separate note about her having Wilgy in her POE. Here, one minute later, as she reviews the game, she notes a Wilgy post and gives a positive remark. Given that Wilgy is about as bait as bait gets when he is town, it's good that Alison was willing to turn from "POE" to something positive on a dime, particularly given that this read isn't a super developed one.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote:
MacDougall wrote: words... that mean nothing

What really did it was his spree of just asking aimless questions of why people had the reads they had that I can already see he has no intent in following up on lol.

eg., town Falcon doesn't give a shit about why EnderWiggin would vote Fingersplints lol.
I don't really see the agenda in just throwing out naked reads.

I agree with you that the second post seems a little shallow in hindsight. My opinion of falcon has shifted down. Partially because of this and partially because I felt he treated my push on Rondo oddly. He doesn't react to it at first, then when Seanzie and Mac come along criticizing it for stirring up a chaotic player, he argues that it's something I would do as either alignment. Then later on says that he townread me less because of it.
Alison wrote:
MacDougall wrote:
Alison wrote:
Boquise wrote: Maybe Mac plays differently here, but my expectation of town Mac is that he creates reads by tunnelling a player and looking at what ripples that causes in the thread. Basically going in with a machine gun and "100% sure someone is scum". So your first sentence doesn't really vibe with my experience tbh
I am pretty sure Mac is town here and I have a lot of experience with him. Even if he is scum he is probably townsiding/bussing so I am going to sheep his reads this day phase tbh.
and yet... you are not doing that... how odd lol
I'm not voting Rondo solely because of you.

I could be open to voting Falcon. I kinda want to explore Creature worlds for a bit because after I gave him cred for trying to solve he vanished, and JJJ has sus on him.
Alison wrote:
falcon45ca wrote:
Marmot wrote:
falcon45ca wrote: Nate, Sean, Marmot



83% chance of at least 1 scum in that lil' group
🤨
What, you don't like my math?




I'm a Mathlete yo....tho I've been banned from international competition for taking PED's
Why those three?
Alison wrote:
falcon45ca wrote:
Alison wrote: falcon, what's your Mac read exactly? You've been picking apart his posts, but you don't seem like you're gearing up for a push. I struggle to see what you're getting at.
67% town, I don't think scum Mac would push my ML so hard. I'd say his gut feel is real, it's just wrong.
What do you hope to gain by treating a town read like this?
Alison wrote:
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: I have questions about the authenticity of some of falcon's play. A few examples:

~ I already mentioned his initial reception of Seanzie and I. I don't see a thread of logic that connects our early town leans to a "difference check", and the dichotomy presumed by a difference check is not one I care for.

~ When prompted to talk about his own reads, it's memes and gifs. That's fine in moderation, but I don't think it's being done in moderation. This might relate to the observation Nate made first about the awkward mix of gaming and shitposting.

~ Some gotcha moments that just look fake. I didn't like falcon's motion against Creature, just grabbing four posts Creature made in succession, voting, and doing a gif. On this page his treatment of Mac gives a similar impression. "Why vote out of order in your POE list of four players" -- even if the order was truly misinterpreted, the implication that Mac has to honor some precise order of operations is kinda bunk.
This is a good post.

After talking with Mac, Alison's view of falcon trends downward. One cannot accuse Alison of lacking in progression -- the trajectory follows from her initial dialogue with Mac and eventually lands here with some original suspicion and some acknowledgement of mine.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote: The way I see this game is fairly simple.

Mac and JJJ are both playing to their obvious town power town selves. I think they are very likely just town but even if they are I suspect they are townsiding for now because they are bringing down a lot of unnecessary bad attention if they shove blatantly bad reads down our throat here. So either way their reads are probably going to be good D1.

I am likely going to prioritize hammering on the reads we have in our Venn diagram overlap as those are the most likely to be hits. If we don't get pelts after a bit it will be obvious something is rotten.

As mentioned earlier, I find Boquise, Wilgy and Lucy townie in addition to JJJ and Mac. I am hands off Rondo for now in deference to Mac's read. Nate feels like someone a little out of their depth but trying to do the best he can to be part of the solving which I think is a pretty okay place to be in.

Seanzie has been ~fine. He started off a little weaker than usual but his ISO of me was decent. I wouldn't put him in my town squad but I don't really have interest in a Seanzie exe today.

I interpreted Ender's cryptic approach to Seanzie earlier as a way to fish for reactions with him like he did with JJJ but he hasn't really followed through on that promise which leaves me wondering why he did it. I am also unnerved by how hands-off he is with Rondo, who he knows well and even gave advice on how to read. It's weird that me and Mac have a stronger read on Rondo than the guy who knows him the best.

Loosely, I have a POE pool of Falcon, Creature and Ender. The afks remain null, maybe bump Dizzy a bit higher since he is more shameless about lurking when he is town and feels obligated to try a bit harder as scum.

This larger reads post falls in the middle area of the previous spoiler chronologically. These reads were pretty similar to mine at the time, albeit she was lower on Seanzie and Rondo.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote:
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: The gang town reading DrWilgy ought to expand on that. I think he's a pretty critical slot to sort. @Alison and @Marmot I believe have given that read, maybe others
Wilgy has not played this game the way I think he would as mafia. Boquise mentioned earlier that he was townreading Rondo in part because Rondo seemed to be attacking people and had no interest in making friends despite his (formerly) precarious thread position, suggesting that he cares more about the truth of people's alignments than in staying alive. I think a similar argument applies to Wilgy; his aggression against a widely-townread, power-town Mac was a bold move, and I think it was a result of an authentic thought process more than a scheme to wriggle out of trouble. As discussed earlier, it's quite plausible to me that his indignation about Mac scumreading him comes from a sense of townie entitlement. He has focused his solving around the people voting him, which I think is a natural thing to do in his position (the person being pushed usually has the best perspective on who is doing it for nefarious reasons).

One concern I have about Wilgy is that his solving feels a tad shallow. But this concern is outweighed by the townieness of his approach (outlined above), so I townread him overall.

Alison expanded on her town read of Wilgy. I think that people's treatment of Wilgy can be a very insightful course for investigation in this game, and this is a promising posture for Alison. Especially with Mac going after Wilgy and wielding Mac clout, a mafia Alison can and probably would throw her support behind that in pursuit of the juicy mischop.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote: I did not realize it was EOD already. Luckily I checked before heading off to breakfast.

It seems like Creature isn't going over today and I think falcon is more suspicious than Ender so I'm moving my vote accordingly.

[VOTE: falcon] aubergine

I'm ok with a falcon exe - the way he treated Mac was weird and seemed to have no purpose other than randomly discrediting and shading him.

Eventual Day 1 vote for falcon. This put the falcon wagon at 7 votes when the next highest (Ender) was at 3 votes. In that way it doesn't really move the tally needle.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote: I still want to hear from Rondo about his Dizzy park but am otherwise inclined to trend him up because I think wolf teams with Rondo in them are >>rand likely to kill me before Mac.

Initial Day 2 take on Rondo. Not long before this I had called for folks to at least be mindful of the Mac kill and its implications, so this is consistent with that. It's also noted that Mac defended Rondo from Alison, so it's good from a process perspective that Alison took that into account instead of going straight back to an unchallenged tunnel. I'm reminded of my own treatment of Creature to start Day 3.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote: I think one thing that bothers me about Nate is that it doesn't feel like he has any reads he's passionate about. I don't know if this is just a playstyle thing but it's what drove me to quiz him about his reads in more detail. I'm uncomfortable by the fact that his stance seems to be repeating the most uncontroversial/popular reads and then chilling and not making a massive effort to push them. I could see this coming from a townie who feels we've got the game in the bag, and I've been in that position a couple of times myself, but those were when I had big confidence in my reads and the wolves were getting crushed. This gamestate started off with a misexe and then some pretty tense/controversial interactions between players, so it doesn't feel wholly appropriate for Nate to just be sitting back and going "yep, I guess we'll just auto the guys in the middle of falcon's wagon".

This might be the most insightful criticism I have seen of Nate in the game. As an aside, Nate responded here. We'll see about Nate's alignment, but I think this is a very good application of gamestate to solving by Alison.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote: [VOTE: Dizzy] aubergine
Alison wrote:
EnderWiggin wrote:
Alison wrote:
EnderWiggin wrote:
Alison wrote: I'll be a little busy for the next 12 hours or so, my apologies. I have skimmed fingersplint's posts this page and been left with a generally good impression. Would like more elaboration on how Ender read Dizzy's entrance; which part of it was a towntell, etc.
If I elaborate it won't work anymore lol.
Keeping a read cryptic so you can use it in future games is dumb. You have already been extremely cagey this game; I would like you to please elaborate on the tell you used to read Dizzy.
Please wait 3-5 business days for a response.
I am sorely tempted to vote you.
Alison wrote: I vored Dizzy because he went from just being lower activity to openly luxuriating in it and declaring himself comfortable/townie in his state of doing nothing in a way that feels like a refuge in audacity.

Ender's continued refusal to explain his reads hits the same notes for me. I am struggling to understand why they would approach the game like this if they are town.
Alison wrote: My POE as of right now is Dizzy/Ender and then Nate. fingersplints read TBD. Creature has trended up this day phase and has an endorsement from Mac so I'm ok with him for now.

Through Day 2 you can see Alison's views of Dizzy and Ender declining alongside Nate, and it ends up at this POE. This was consensus or consensus-adjacent at the time, so it doesn't mean a lot to me. Perhaps crapping on Ender for failing to explain reads is a bit much, given that it's pretty evident that this point that he isn't the kind of player to engage in explanations. Alison ought to speak about her read on Ender as of right now; that'd be of significant interest to me.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote: fingersplints' ISO:

Nate has identified #1325 as a particularly sketchy post, because it shifts responsibility for the falcon exe onto Mac, and also hedges her own stance on falcon. I tend to agree with Nate here, and think it's a bad look for fingersplints.

I didn't like #1363 either. She says that she's contemplating where we should vote if we misexe on D1, but there's no followup, and I don't see her talking about the results of this contemplation later on, even where it is appropriate and natural to do so (eg. in #1458 where she is talking about how she wouldn't mind a falcon flip as it would give lots of interactives to figure out where to vote next). Alarmingly, she also does not bring up the results of this contemplation when we do end up missing D1. This suggests that she was just saying it to look like she was solving without actually putting in real analysis or thought into where we should go if our D1 flips green.

I didn't like #2012 either because it looks like her taking a cheap shot at Boquise's attempts to read into Mac's legacy. I'm generally pretty skeptical of discrediting a strong townie's legacy completely or brushing off nightkills as "who knows?" without at least trying to read into them.

She then proceeds to claim that she thought Boquise was treated as null by the rest of the thread, when in my view he was clearly being treated as consensus town. This might be a good sign for her, because it suggests that she is distinctly uninformed: I think she would likely know how the thread is treating Boquise more accurately if she was in scum chat and had partners to catch her up.

In #2128, she says she's interested in taking a closer look at Creature, but then doesn't mention Creature again. Votes for Dizzy instead in #2133 - which is a reasonable vote, but her interest in Creature seems to have mysteriously vanished.

-

Overall, I'd say that I came out of fingersplints' ISO with a markedly worse impression of her before. I broadly agree with Nate's claim that her vote on falcon was hedgy and accountability-dodging, and I'd add that at two separate points in the game she indicates she'll look into something and then never brings it up or mentions it again, even when it would be very natural to do so.

Based off this, I'd be happy to back a fingersplints wagon, and have her in my bottom POE.
Alison wrote: [VOTE: fingersplints] aubergine
Alison wrote: The only point of hesitation for me is the fact that she looked weirdly uninformed about the Boquise thing. But I don't think it's clearing - maybe scum chat is dead, maybe she checks scum chat as infrequently as she checks the main thread (which would make sense if she's busy IRL), maybe she's just savvy enough to fake a derp clear. She did fool us all in Fargo.

It's not enough to make me pull back from voting her.

Alison reviewed fingersplints' ISO and dropped this case accompanied by a vote. This vote made the poll tally a 4-2-2 lead for fingersplints (over Dizzy and lucy). Indeed, Alison's vote had previously been on Dizzy, so this broke a 3-3 tie. This was still about 18 hours prior to the Day 2 deadline, so we can temper the meaning of poll dynamics -- but it's still to be noted and may be of greater significance pending fingersplints' and Dizzy's alignments. Alison's vote would remain her for the rest of Day 2.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote:
Boquise wrote:
Alison wrote:
Boquise wrote:
Alison wrote: I vored Dizzy because he went from just being lower activity to openly luxuriating in it and declaring himself comfortable/townie in his state of doing nothing in a way that feels like a refuge in audacity.

Ender's continued refusal to explain his reads hits the same notes for me. I am struggling to understand why they would approach the game like this if they are town.
Hmm
Have you not played with town playing suboptimally for their faction before tbh?
I have played with townies who play in anti-town ways. They are, unsurprisingly, much rarer than wolves who play in anti-town ways. I generally have no regret killing them anyway if they're going to be liabilities.
oh you are awake!

hmmmm
i hard disagree on them being much rarer than wolves. Otherwise town's win rate in champs would be upside down tbh
I mean it depends on the quality of the playerlist. Champs finales are going to have much less town trolling than the average anime forum casual game. This playerlist has a high quality, and Dizzy and Ender in specific are town players I respect, and who should know better than this.

Regardless of those considerations, if for whatever reason someone insists on being stubbornly anti-town and refuses to budge, I have no qualms in removing them from the game. They could easily be scum, and even if they're town, we don't lose much. I certainly wouldn't want them around in endgame.

(I see Dizzy has opened up a bit more since I originally made that post; I'm explaining my general philosophy towards people who openly do anti-town things.)

Purely Alisonian philosophy. Boq questioned the reasoning behind Alison's suspicions of Ender and Dizzy given their "suboptimality", and this was Alison's reply. I'm not really thrilled with the idea, as even "strong playerlists" (a distinction I don't care for in the first place) are susceptible to human trends. Her perspective is on-brand in any event.

Spoiler: show
Alison wrote: Sun Jul 03, 2022 11:27 am JJJ/Ender has blown up with surprising speed and ferocity and I am struggling to understand why in the absence of a clear catalyst. You've both made it clear that you have gripes with the other's posting and it's more than just Seanzie's death, but in actually explaining your reads, you both tend towards generalities like "they're not cohesively town solving" and "their posts continue to be fake". Neither of you seemed particularly interested in attacking the other yesterday and now within 2 pages we have a thunderdome.

Can the both of you briefly describe what your thoughts were on the other person yesterday and how they evolved to such harsh reads today?
Alison wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:40 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:35 pm
Alison wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:31 pmI have JJJ in my immediate POE
You'd referenced the notion that we've failed to kill mafia and that "arrogantly" you don't think town is here if you/Mac/myself are all town. Is there more to POEing me than that?
There is the question of why Seanzie died over you. One explanation is that you are mafia. There are other explanations, like that Seanzie was onto someone, but it's a possibility I am considering, especially since one of the people Seanzie was "onto" has flipped town and I think another is also town.

The way you and Ender sprang at each other at SOD3, followed by relatively little interaction or pushing after that initial spat, was weird and I said so at the time. You've since clarified that you were scumreading Ender since the day before, but I still think the way you attacked him, calling his posts "fake" etc., smacks of a generic treatment that I don't associate with town you.

This material comes from this Day 3. I find it a little bizarre on two fronts:

1) This seems to imply that Alison was not reading the game thread on Day 2, or that she missed so much of it that she was unaware that I tried to eliminate EnderWiggin then, before today's combat. To be oblivious to certain things isn't necessarily a crime, but I would expect Alison to have a keener understanding of a game state than that.

2) I'm not sure I've ever treated a mafia teammate like I treated Ender here, so the "theater" assertion is difficult to take seriously.

Alison needs to sort this stuff out in the near future.

Conclusion

I think that the overarching trends in this review are positive for Alison. There's clarity in her process, and that's not always the case with her (I have caught her in the past on the basis of stunted progressions or inauthentic reads), and I can generally see the gears turning. I also think that her handling of DrWilgy is a good sign. One thing I'd appreciate greater clarity on from Alison is her present view of EnderWiggin and Dizzy, as they had downtrended considerably on Day 2 and an update would be valuable. Likewise it's important to sort today's handling of Ender and I.
Spoiler: show
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3814

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

NateTheLesser wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 12:41 am I want to townread Jay's mounting frustration that nobody seems to be reading his walls. (Specifically that he wants people to engage with them, rather than frustration that he's not earning townreads for doing them)

Anyway, catching up on the last few pages since I was last here.
I mean... they are walls..
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3815

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

Let's ISO fingersplints

Spoiler: show
Spoiler: show
fingersplints wrote:
NateTheLesser wrote:
MacDougall wrote:
NateTheLesser wrote: I vibe with the discomfort, though. It seems pretty common on MU to offer early reads on the whole player list, which is foreign to me.
Speaking for myself, I like making day 1 reads because:

1. It causes people to do shit
2. My ability to make reads doesn't require heaps of content and tbh sometimes it's hindered by it... I would say in the main my reads have an arc curve in terms of accuracy. They start off good, get worse during mid game, and then get good at endgame lol.
Yeah. I guess I'm pro-"day 1 reads", anti-"day 1 reads for the sake of having a read". It can be difficult to tell the difference between a read that feels fake because a wolf is trying to appear uninformed, and a read that feels fake because a townie felt like they should have an opinion and came up with something.
I consistently fall into the category of townie feeling forced to post day 1 despite not having solid suspicions. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, but I really admire all of you who are able to come up with this stuff right away for sake of discussion. Takes me days to get into a game.

For what it's worth, this is generally a true account of the fingersplints experience.

Spoiler: show
fingersplints wrote: Town falcon pretty much always talks about/suspects me early. Him noticing and commenting on a vote of me isn’t at all surprising to me if he were town
fingersplints wrote:
Marmot wrote: I also don't think a team of DrWilgy and falcon would both attempt to simultaneously scumread a town!Mac (in this gamestate).
I’ve been burned by this kind of logic before
fingersplints wrote:
MacDougall wrote:
falcon45ca wrote:
Alison wrote: falcon, what's your Mac read exactly? You've been picking apart his posts, but you don't seem like you're gearing up for a push. I struggle to see what you're getting at.
67% town, I don't think scum Mac would push my ML so hard. I'd say his gut feel is real, it's just wrong.
yeah but like, as town I'm never wrong on you so you shouldn't think I'm town lol
Can anyone vouch for Mac never being wrong as town about falcon?

Gth I’d say I’m townleaning mac, and scumleaning falcon so considering following that vote but I have reservations as I always think falcon is scum and have been wrong
fingersplints wrote:
NateTheLesser wrote:
fingersplints wrote:
NateTheLesser wrote:
fingersplints wrote:
MacDougall wrote:
falcon45ca wrote:

67% town, I don't think scum Mac would push my ML so hard. I'd say his gut feel is real, it's just wrong.
yeah but like, as town I'm never wrong on you so you shouldn't think I'm town lol
Can anyone vouch for Mac never being wrong as town about falcon?

Gth I’d say I’m townleaning mac, and scumleaning falcon so considering following that vote but I have reservations as I always think falcon is scum and have been wrong
Have you played with scum!Falcon?
Yes
👍

Are you scumleaning Falcon due to that past experience, or what's feeding that scumlean?
Just a vibe based on past experiences and general tone in posts in this game.

It’s not great and completely vague, so I apologise to everyone and falcon. I wish I had more to go off of, but day 1 is rough
fingersplints wrote: [VOTE: falcon] aubergine

I put fingersplints' full progression on falcon up to her vote into a single spoiler for clarity. This moment is very important for interpreting fingersplints and demands a careful assessment. Follow the color coding.

Orange - if we are precise with splints' language, then this comment need not be interpreted as a town read of falcon. Instead, it's something tangential, a base assertion of "town-compatibility" -- e.g., falcon talking about splints doesn't preclude him from being town. This isn't necessarily "better" or "worse", but the interpretation is necessary to assess the progression.

Green - this is, in a sense, a sort of inverse of the orange thing. "Town falcon always suspects me" vs. "I always suspect town falcon". While that hedge is ugly at face value, I think I am more interested in splints' appeal to Mac's read. This alleviates some of the burden of blame given the doubts splints has expressed. It's not my favorite couple of sentences in the game.

Red - mafia actively apologizing to the town member they're suspecting isn't the most typical thing. It's hard to take confidence in such a thing, but it's at least unusual.

We should also note the timestamps. These posts are generally separated by hours, so the progression, if we assume there to be one, primarily exists outside the game thread -- hypothetically in splints' head as she periodically visits the game and reviews. This all transpires within the space of splints' 5th and 19th posts in the thread, so there isn't a lot else going on in her ISO through this period.

The falcon vote made the poll tally 3-3-2, falcon-Creature-Dizzy, with a little over four hours remaining in the day. In that sense it is moderately important.

Spoiler: show
fingersplints wrote: Well I wasn’t wrong that when I think he is scum, he is town. :p It was a weak day 1 vote based off of general vibes and tone, so I can see why my vote should be looked at because I think it was a pretty lame and vague vote but just because it’s a bad vote it doesn’t come from a bad/scum place. As I expressed in the post you linked, I didn’t want it to be a tie and no result. While this obviously wasn’t the desired result, at least we have something to work with.

Early in Day 2, Nate took issue with splints' progression above and voted for her. This was splints' response. Her reference to wanting to avoid a tie can be seen here (click). That's a bit curious since her vote made it a tie, and it was still a tie here. I won't scream about that too much since there were four hours to resolve it. Otherwise this defense is exactly ~okay. It's about the only thing there is to say regardless of splints' alignment, and it doesn't make me feel better or worse.

Spoiler: show
fingersplints wrote:
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: I'm about to lose the rest of this evening to work, so I hope folks get engaged here. The game is kind of dead apart from my analysis and Sean hating it. :meany:
I like your guys little back and forth there :meany:
fingersplints wrote:
Seanzie wrote:
fingersplints wrote:
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: I'm about to lose the rest of this evening to work, so I hope folks get engaged here. The game is kind of dead apart from my analysis and Sean hating it. :meany:
I like your guys little back and forth there :meany:
Do you have any thoughts on our alignments based on our little back and forth?
T/T

It’s important to not get to comfortable with town consensus, so while I don’t agree with your assessment of Jay but I really like where it’s coming from

This related to Seanzie's interrogation of me. splints liked the back-and-forth, and when prompted called it T/T. I'm wary of that as a naked read. T/T combat is not something to celebrate generally, and I think there's room for TMI here. I asked splints about it later, and she replied here (click). I think the answer is mostly fine. It didn't change her view of me, and it gave her a good impression for Seanzie.

Spoiler: show
fingersplints wrote:
Boquise wrote:
fingersplints wrote: Also back to this post
Boquise wrote:
JaggedJimmyJay wrote:
Marmot wrote: Sure
You are appreciated.

The last thing I was hoping to achieve is the classical night kill analysis. Many people balk at the very idea of trying this, and I think they're wrong. Wifom is wifom blah blah, but we're remiss if we don't at least take a look. Moreover, in a mountainous game, at least one of the layers of wifom does not exist -- there are no doctor dodges. So it'd behoove us to review Mac and see where he sat. What we do with that I don't know right now, but we honor his memory enough to give him a voice.

If that's something that tickles you, I'd love to see what you come up with.
I kinda expected to be the kill because I was during D1 consensus town read with no on-going conflicts with other players. Whereas Mac, also highly town read, had a thing with Wilgy that could be exploited and easier to tinfoil because of Falcon and of site history*.

*What I mean with site history is that I am an unknown variable whilst Mac is a tried gun.

This tells me that Mac's reads can have threatened the woofs tbh
Was Boquise “consensus town read”? I don’t have a read on them yet so to me this reads a lot like saying you are town to try and seem townier, but I don’t recall ever playing with Boquise or paying that much attention yet to others mentions of them
I base it off other players' read lists tbh. You didnt read those posts?
Nah I read them. I don’t remember every single mention of you though and my recollection of you was more as null over consensus town, so that’s why I’m asking others.
fingersplints wrote:
Boquise wrote:
Marmot wrote: To anyone who is voting for fingersplints, here's a couple links to recent wolf games from her.

Fargo Mafia - ok this was from a year ago. This is one of fs's most active games I've seen, she spent a lot of time early on talking about pretty much anything but reads, and even her reads were not very strong at the start.
Mafia Syndicate Normal Game - this is from a few months ago, fs barely posted, and her posts were all very short, and she does seem stilted in this one.

I'm not seeing either of these things from her. Yes fingersplints doesn't post a lot, but that is normal for her (and really it's that the rest of us just post way too much). What I have seen here is an almost immediate attempt to generate reads, explain them, and she's also considering how the game will play out based on flips and looking ahead, an approach which appears to be lacking in her scum meta.

I'd call her town right now.
Does Finger tend to use aggressive phrasing as town when questioned?
Have I used aggressive phrasing?
fingersplints wrote: Also thanks to those who answered my question about Boq. The wording is less weird since they do seem to be considered town, however it does still ping me a little when anyone talks about them myself in terms of being so town.
They are still null for me I guess

This is a unique stretch of posts for splints. She may have been, at this stage of the game, the only person challenging Boquise in some capacity. I find myself torn between to seemingly incompatible interpretations:

1) It's good for fingersplints to challenge a player who is broadly town read. That indicates a degree of courage, and a willingness to solve on her own accord without regard for the consensus.

2) She didn't seem to be aware of the consensus, so I'm not sure #1 is applicable. Instead, I have to ask myself to what extent she has read the thread -- less ideal.

Spoiler: show
fingersplints wrote:
Dyslexicon wrote: Celebrating my 10000 posts anniversary by mentioning I'm happy to be a part of this community,
and to be floating around in the larger mafia community multiverse.

I still remember how welcoming everyone was when I played my first games here at Cindy Kate! :hug:

Hopefully, we can continue to have fun with this silly or deep game!

Maybe the real wolves were the friends we made along the way.

:cloud9:
Congrats :yay:

A vote for you to celebrate

[VOTE: Dizzy] aubergine

:p

That's a hell of a way to celebrate someone's love for the community. :goofp:

This vote placed Dizzy in the poll lead at 3-2 (over splints herself). This was still early in Day 2, and the vote is presented like a joke (click here), but it should still be acknowledged for the dynamics that make it relevant.

Spoiler: show
fingersplints wrote: 4 votes lol
Honestly couldn’t have picked a worse day to take the vote lead
I almost want to lament the real life reasons behind my absence just to annoy Rondo :p
I’ll see what I can do

This is a jovial reception of suspicion. I appreciate you splints regardless of alignment. Keep vibing.

Spoiler: show
fingersplints wrote: I also hate that it’s tied me and Marmot. I don’t want to be forced to vote practically my only defender but I definitely won’t make it awake til EOD today

I can understand the sentiment. I'm not sure if this qualifies as a town read of Marmot rather than an observation "that he's defending me". Just making a note for progression.

Spoiler: show
fingersplints wrote:
Dyslexicon wrote:
fingersplints wrote: I also hate that it’s tied me and Marmot. I don’t want to be forced to vote practically my only defender but I definitely won’t make it awake til EOD today
Who do you want to vote?
If my vote wasn’t going to end up self pres, I’d probably
Pick creature or maybe Ender due to I felt (and I wasn’t around for the end of day so maybe I’m wrong with this as it’s to the best of my recollection) but I felt like the falcon wagon caught most steam when creature was a nominee yesterday. And less mention of someone in the hot spot always makes me kind of wary. Like where did that suspicion go.

Ender I thought was sounding ok, but my opinion there has reversed. He sounds less confident than I remember town Ender to be and I would expect stronger town lead. Idk he would also be my answer to the question someone posed to everyone who would they check.
When reading his posts yesterday my initial thought was also him and rondo weren’t paired, because they are friends but interacting way too much in the thread. I don’t think partners even friends would be that blatant. But then I keep going back to one post of his in my head where I felt he was almost annoyed rondo kept mentioning him, so it’s made me question that thought as well.
Sorry again cause I don’t plan on going back to find those posts, but at least if I don’t make it today there’s some food for thought for you guys lol

This is a unique perspective of Ender that I am not sure I have seen from someone else in the game -- specifically that he is less confident or less leader-like that his standard town form (I cannot speak to this, as I don't know his play well at all). If splints is town, then this read may reflect a standard example of "POE town-aligned suspect views the game from a unique perspective since they don't have to solve themself", which might also relate to her doubts about Boquise. That'd be a decent thing.

Spoiler: show
fingersplints wrote: Switched to [VOTE: creature] aubergine

This vote brought Creature to 2 votes, tied with Wilgy and behind Marmot and fingersplints herself (3 each). She held true to her desire to avoid self-pres voting for her defender. Her vote remained on Creature for the rest of Day 2. She didn't prioritize self-preservation, granted she was away for the final 3-4 hours of the phase.

Spoiler: show
fingersplints wrote: @Boquise i wasn’t planning on bringing it up because it’s about me, subjective, and not really something proveable but I don’t buy Alison here:
Alison wrote: The only point of hesitation for me is the fact that she looked weirdly uninformed about the Boquise thing. But I don't think it's clearing - maybe scum chat is dead, maybe she checks scum chat as infrequently as she checks the main thread (which would make sense if she's busy IRL), maybe she's just savvy enough to fake a derp clear. She did fool us all in Fargo.

It's not enough to make me pull back from voting her.
Kinda wishy washy

And I don’t believe I fooled anyone in Fargo. My team was all killed pretty early, I struggled then was pretty much unanimously voted for as I trolled everyone on my way out since it was so obvious? I don’t recall it all which is why I tried to look it up but meh hard to prove. Just seems like the “hesitation” she mentions is forced and preemptive for when I come back as town
fingersplints wrote:
Boquise wrote: (this answers my which and why game question from before)
Why is it wishy-washy, or rather, scummy wishy-washiness?
I don’t know if wishy washy is the right word I was looking for tbh but it’s like she took what someone used to “clear” or “townread” me and discredited it some but with a lot of maybes and references a game in which as I said was absolutely not a strong one for me

Note to self to look back at Fargo to make more sense of this dialogue.

Conclusion

There are some moments here that I think demand further discussion, particularly from folks that view fingersplints as a premier elimination option on this Day 3. Take a look at her treatment of Boquise, and her final voting actions on Day 2, and provide a mafia account for them. I am not saying there isn't an account -- but it's something I want to see folks take a stab at. I'd also like to see folks town reading splints to examine her posts through a lens other than meta. This is a read that we need to develop more effectively as a group. I have some nickle-and-dime concerns around this ISO and would not remove splints from the POE pool. Also, a separate concern not addressed by the above content: splints has only acknowledged Wilgy's existence once in this game, and it was to shrug. She's known him as long as anyone, so that strikes me as off.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3816

Post by Dyslexicon »

RondoDimBuckle wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:47 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 11:21 pm Here are some anti-teamings I plotted down while reading. Ask if they are weird

Finger/Alison
Finger/Creature
Boq/Alison
Ender/Jimmay
Marmot/Finger ?
Creature/Ender EoD1?
can you point to specific examples? Still trying to figure out forum anti pairings? Or is it exactly what I think?
People I don't think are pairs.

Alison went hard on Fingers. (However, I later noted that Alison could easily bus Fingers, though I think she'd generally prefer to keep numbers intact, so the anti-pairing is still pretty valid.)

Finger voted Creature instead of Marmot, when she was in contention for a chop with Marmot. So she actively tried to start a wagon on Creature, and the suspicion has continued. So I don't think these are really paired.

Boq followed my suspicion of Alison and even voted her closer to EoD 2. I don't think he'd be willing to go that direction if they were both wolves. Alison is a strong player and she wasn't around either. Maybe not as strong, but I think it dissociates them.

Ender/Jimmay are obviously not teamed. Jimmay tried to get Ender killed D2.

I don't think Marmot defends a LHF mafia!Fingers if they are teammates. Especially since it looked like Fingers could very well be chopped at that point.

Creature tried to make a wagon on Ender D1. I don't know how much danger that would really be to Ender, but I don't think it looks teamed.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3817

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

I haven't been able to complete other reviews, so that's it for now. I'm not sure that time will permit me to do more this phase, but we'll see.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3818

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

Boquise wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 3:47 am @lucy I am currently reading your quali. Why does this game feel much harder than G7
You know. Its been kinda bugging me this whole time that you keep talking to people about their qualifier like that is the end all and be all of their play. Do you personally believe they HAVE to act like they did in the game you read or are you just trying to figure out why they are different? It comes across as slight shade? Maybe I just dont like authority figures.

That said the question on its own is a good question
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3819

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

[VOTE: Boquise] aubergine
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3820

Post by Dyslexicon »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:53 am I haven't been able to complete other reviews, so that's it for now. I'm not sure that time will permit me to do more this phase, but we'll see.
Do you think Fingers urge to self vote is meaningful to her alignment?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3821

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

EnderWiggin wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 4:49 am
Boquise wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 4:02 am
EnderWiggin wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:17 pm The question I have for Alison is:
Do you think I actually ever disturb the boat like that if Jay and I are distancing partners?

I don't usually force it between me and a partner unless it's inevitable, and between me and Jay that would hardly be inevitable.
This fits with your quali
tbh I won't lie about my meta much no matter my alignment.

With the exception of "I wouldn't make that kill." I make that lie a lot as wolf.

Well technically it's not a lie because I usually let my partner choose kills purely so I can legitimately argue that lol.
I can confirm We can only trust the truth. Everything else is a lie.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3822

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

Dyslexicon wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:55 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:53 am I haven't been able to complete other reviews, so that's it for now. I'm not sure that time will permit me to do more this phase, but we'll see.
Do you think Fingers urge to self vote is meaningful to her alignment?
I don't recall an instance of seeing that in a past game from fingersplints. As a policy that's not something I tend to allow to move any needles, and I can't think of a good reason here.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3823

Post by Dyslexicon »

I'm a little bit worried that Creature and Fingers are both town, and making themselves huge targets.

At the same time I really need and want a lot more from @Creature

I'm also worried that @NateTheLesser is holding onto a PoE of LHF that I don't really think is correct.

So that is some game state worries.
If we are to have a chance at all this game, we probably need to vote off mafia today.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3824

Post by Dyslexicon »

@Boquise Why are you always waiting so long before you place a vote? Is that normal for you?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3825

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

Dyslexicon wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:39 am
RondoDimBuckle wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:31 amBut I keep seeing posts like this. How are the things she is doing meaningless and yet she is confusing you too. I dont think there has been a single person in this game that hasnt been thrown by her weirdness at some point. Maybe I am just not in a compassionate mood to give anyone the benefit of the doubt but my god.
Yeah, she's weird. Her observations seems counter to what is actually happening. I don't see how that is AI though.
I town read her for her opening regarding how she was glad she randed town, because she would be a liability as mafia. That seems to invite scrutiny as mafia. Unless she is so confident in her abilities as mafia that she thinks she can fool us all, but that seems counterintuitive then this is her second forum mafia game and the players here are strong. I also liked the persistent interest and questioning of Marmot and Jimmay, it really seemed to come from somewhere. The way she makes reads largely based on how other people are treating her seems towny to me. Her being off beat or weird doesn't seem AI to me, that just seems like her.

Also the Sean thing is meaningless for her alignment for me, because Sean was viewing the thread at that exact time. I almost wrote something to Sean too, but decided not to.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3826

Post by Dyslexicon »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:56 amI don't recall an instance of seeing that in a past game from fingersplints. As a policy that's not something I tend to allow to move any needles, and I can't think of a good reason here.
I think it's a form of AtE that can be town indicative for her, because I don't know if she's the kind of player who bothers with that kind of AtE if she really is mafia getting a lot of heat. I don't think she'd care to. Maybe I'm reading too much into it.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3827

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

As a general statement: I think that some of the broader game state concerns connected to the Seanzie kill may be disrespectful to Seanzie's town game. He was broadly town read by most of the field, and he was a firecracker. Sometimes that's all you need to explain a kill. I do think there's room for some morphing of the game state, and my current posture on Boq reflects that I sense a problem of some kind -- but I don't really have the view that it's a kill that must change everything.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3828

Post by Dyslexicon »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:00 am As a general statement: I think that some of the broader game state concerns connected to the Seanzie kill may be disrespectful to Seanzie's town game. He was broadly town read by most of the field, and he was a firecracker. Sometimes that's all you need to explain a kill. I do think there's room for some morphing of the game state, and my current posture on Boq reflects that I sense a problem of some kind -- but I don't really have the view that it's a kill that must change everything.
What are your possible teams and worlds right now?
Do you have anti-alingments?

Do you think Ender/Boq is a team for example?

Who would be likely to kill Sean when he just had led a mischop on Wilgy?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3829

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

Ender has 30 minutes before I slam on his wagon and go to bed
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3830

Post by Dyslexicon »

RondoDimBuckle wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:04 am Ender has 30 minutes before I slam on his wagon and go to bed
You're wanting to vote Ender? Why?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3831

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

Dyslexicon wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:07 am
RondoDimBuckle wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:04 am Ender has 30 minutes before I slam on his wagon and go to bed
You're wanting to vote Ender? Why?
I dont want to vote ender. But he said he would provide a list by now. I will not likely have time to vote tomorrow morning so if he doesnt follow through with his reads and cases so I can gauge if he is town. I am more inclined to shoot first ask questions later. He would do the same to me if I promised something and didnt deliver
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3832

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

Dyslexicon wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:02 am What are your possible teams and worlds right now?
Do you have anti-alingments?

Do you think Ender/Boq is a team for example?

Who would be likely to kill Sean when he just had led a mischop on Wilgy?
This reflects a difference of approach between us right now. After an 0 for 2 start to the game, the only thing that matters is eliminating mafia right now, and as such I am operating less in a world of interactions and less in a world of POE and more in a world of direct solving of individual people to make the single best vote I can.

Off-hand given recent material, these are some dissociations that may work (I have not dug with this in mind since the chart):

Dizzy/Marmot
Ender/Alison
lucy/Marmot

Off the top of my head I wouldn't discount Ender/Boq. The former essentially ignored the latter as a candidate when he opened this phase with me at the center of his suspicion.

I think it would be easier for me to answer your last question as a "who would not" -- I really don't think the Wilgy chop has to be a huge deal in that kill dialogue. The levels of wifom are elevating a bit much here anyway. I don't think Creature is likely to endorse a Seanzie kill. Maybe lucy wouldn't.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3833

Post by Dyslexicon »

RondoDimBuckle wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:09 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:07 am
RondoDimBuckle wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:04 am Ender has 30 minutes before I slam on his wagon and go to bed
You're wanting to vote Ender? Why?
I dont want to vote ender. But he said he would provide a list by now. I will not likely have time to vote tomorrow morning so if he doesnt follow through with his reads and cases so I can gauge if he is town. I am more inclined to shoot first ask questions later. He would do the same to me if I promised something and didnt deliver
I think that's bad idea, because I think you're both town. And we need every vote on deck. But I can't decide your vote for you. I just think that is a very weak reasoning to vote at this point. We need to hit mafia.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3834

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

If I wanted I could theorize about a pretty clear-cut mafia agenda for Dizzy right now.

He doesn't feel like mafia. I'm still chewing on that. There may be nobody better at projecting the right vibes when in the wrong alignment than this guy, but the feeling is still there.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3835

Post by Dyslexicon »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:10 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:02 am What are your possible teams and worlds right now?
Do you have anti-alingments?

Do you think Ender/Boq is a team for example?

Who would be likely to kill Sean when he just had led a mischop on Wilgy?
This reflects a difference of approach between us right now. After an 0 for 2 start to the game, the only thing that matters is eliminating mafia right now, and as such I am operating less in a world of interactions and less in a world of POE and more in a world of direct solving of individual people to make the single best vote I can.

Off-hand given recent material, these are some dissociations that may work (I have not dug with this in mind since the chart):

Dizzy/Marmot
Ender/Alison
lucy/Marmot

Off the top of my head I wouldn't discount Ender/Boq. The former essentially ignored the latter as a candidate when he opened this phase with me at the center of his suspicion.

I think it would be easier for me to answer your last question as a "who would not" -- I really don't think the Wilgy chop has to be a huge deal in that kill dialogue. The levels of wifom are elevating a bit much here anyway. I don't think Creature is likely to endorse a Seanzie kill. Maybe lucy wouldn't.
It's basically the same as your interaction analysis, and one can potentially reasonably clear people from it. But sure.

I think I agree with your point on Creature wrt Sean kill
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3836

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

One thing perhaps favorable for Dizzy is that building that agenda generally requires putting him on a team, usually with Ender.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3837

Post by Dyslexicon »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:13 am If I wanted I could theorize about a pretty clear-cut mafia agenda for Dizzy right now.

He doesn't feel like mafia. I'm still chewing on that. There may be nobody better at projecting the right vibes when in the wrong alignment than this guy, but the feeling is still there.
Was going to ask you about this.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3838

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

Dyslexicon wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:11 am
RondoDimBuckle wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:09 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:07 am
RondoDimBuckle wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:04 am Ender has 30 minutes before I slam on his wagon and go to bed
You're wanting to vote Ender? Why?
I dont want to vote ender. But he said he would provide a list by now. I will not likely have time to vote tomorrow morning so if he doesnt follow through with his reads and cases so I can gauge if he is town. I am more inclined to shoot first ask questions later. He would do the same to me if I promised something and didnt deliver
I think that's bad idea, because I think you're both town. And we need every vote on deck. But I can't decide your vote for you. I just think that is a very weak reasoning to vote at this point. We need to hit mafia.
ehhh you're right, I am just in a mood to shotgun people. I should probably sheep your read but I am not sure if JJJ is a hit. I am confident on FS. The fact that you and ender are there is most of why I need to read ender because if I join its probably sending JJJ over. Everyone else is pussyfooting on vanity wagons (Myself included)
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3839

Post by Dyslexicon »

I still think Jimmay is probably just mafia, and that view hasn't changed.

I'm almost certain the three of Boq/Alison/Jimmay contains at the very least 1 mafia. I do not see team combinations or individual scum reads enough outside of those that would work.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3840

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:13 am If I wanted I could theorize about a pretty clear-cut mafia agenda for Dizzy right now.

He doesn't feel like mafia. I'm still chewing on that. There may be nobody better at projecting the right vibes when in the wrong alignment than this guy, but the feeling is still there.
but then there is a post like this
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3841

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

RondoDimBuckle wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:14 am ehhh you're right, I am just in a mood to shotgun people. I should probably sheep your read but I am not sure if JJJ is a hit. I am confident on FS. The fact that you and ender are there is most of why I need to read ender because if I join its probably sending JJJ over. Everyone else is pussyfooting on vanity wagons (Myself included)
Please tell me about Boquise.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3842

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:16 am
RondoDimBuckle wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:14 am ehhh you're right, I am just in a mood to shotgun people. I should probably sheep your read but I am not sure if JJJ is a hit. I am confident on FS. The fact that you and ender are there is most of why I need to read ender because if I join its probably sending JJJ over. Everyone else is pussyfooting on vanity wagons (Myself included)
Please tell me about Boquise.
more words please. tbh
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3843

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

RondoDimBuckle wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:16 am more words please. tbh
is that for me or for Boq
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3844

Post by Dyslexicon »

@JaggedJimmyJay Do you think Boq's ego is big enough/can handle things like "I was mafia, I would win here" on D2?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 1]

#3845

Post by RondoDimBuckle »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:16 am
RondoDimBuckle wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:14 am ehhh you're right, I am just in a mood to shotgun people. I should probably sheep your read but I am not sure if JJJ is a hit. I am confident on FS. The fact that you and ender are there is most of why I need to read ender because if I join its probably sending JJJ over. Everyone else is pussyfooting on vanity wagons (Myself included)
Please tell me about Boquise.
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:17 am
RondoDimBuckle wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:16 am more words please. tbh
is that for me or for Boq
no, what do you want to know about Boq? I have a read list that I put out recently didnt that cover it?

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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 3]

#3846

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

Dyslexicon wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:19 am @JaggedJimmyJay Do you think Boq's ego is big enough/can handle things like "I was mafia, I would win here" on D2?
That is meaningless to me. I don't know him that well, but he loves being mafia. Sure he could say that.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 1]

#3847

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

RondoDimBuckle wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:19 am no, what do you want to know about Boq? I have a read list that I put out recently didnt that cover it?

viewtopic.php?p=931245#p931245
It covers your placement of Boq. I'm hoping for you to expand. Why is Boq down there?
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 2]

#3848

Post by Marmot »

Dyslexicon wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 11:20 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Jul 01, 2022 1:57 pm
Boquise wrote: Fri Jul 01, 2022 1:35 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Jul 01, 2022 11:52 am
Boquise wrote: Fri Jul 01, 2022 9:46 am Let's have an exercise
If you had an alignment check, who would be your first pick to check and why?
Wilgy

I think that sort would potentially break the game open
Huh hm
In your analysis of interactions, he is in the least amount of worlds though? Wouldn't it be better to pick someone who has equity with plenty of people?
That's a low bar in this game, unfortunately (least amount of worlds). To know that DrWilgy is town would secure me more in my process and give me important insights about a number of folks that have interacted with his slot throughout the game, including those who've town read him. A mafia Wilgy might represent a narrow POE.

In any event, ain't no checks
I think this whole line is pretty damning for Jimmay.

Recall that he did an interaction analysis who showed that Wilgy was not compatible with a lot of people, and had a town lean on Wilgy. The answer of wanting a cop check on Wilgy doesn't make sense, especially with people like me and Alison in the game. I don't understand how it would break the game open, and if it did - THE GAME IS OPEN NOW @JaggedJimmyJay

When confronted about this, I'm not at all satisfied with his answer. Now he is undermining his own interaction analysis, saying it's a low bar to in this game. And he ends the discussion with saying there are no checks, which reads very "no checks anyway, so nothing to worry about".

I don't like this at all.

Plenty of things I don't like about Jimmay. He hasn't asked why Sean died or got into NKA with that, like he did with Mac.
I don't buy his Ender push either.

He's also being weird around Marmot's town case of Fingers.

I don't expect to make a great case on Jimmay here, but I'm pretty positive he's mafia here. So I hope I'm right, cause I'm unlikely to change my vote.

I do wanna hear Jay's reasoning for why fingersplints is town.
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 2]

#3849

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

Marmot wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:25 am I do wanna hear Jay's reasoning for why fingersplints is town.
I don't quite read her that way. I sensed some inklings of a real process in the earliest stages of play, but it has been sporadic and the feeling was small.

I talked about splints at length here
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Marmot
Marmot
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Joined: Sat Jan 11, 2014 11:21 am
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Re: Halvøsen Ridge [DAY 1]

#3850

Post by Marmot »

Dyslexicon wrote: Mon Jul 04, 2022 11:26 pm
Marmot wrote: Mon Jun 27, 2022 9:08 am JJJ is town because he isn't stilted off the face of the earth.
Maybe strike the possible Jimmay/Marmot connection. Marmot should be town here, I don't know why I'm so worried. But the NKs don't look good for him.

With regard to Mac, he didn't really have anything to say about my play, just a passing comment about my wagon. People are putting a lot of discussion effort into that one comment that was probably not thought out.

Also, Mac scumreads me as any alignment.

Also, the reasons for my wagon Day 1 was largely inactivity, and I've largely buried that reasoning.
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Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:33 pm Just how many days of "let's yeet them tomorrow" can a mafioso survive?

The answer: all of them, if you are a marmot.
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