Re: Ancient Greece Mafia [Day 3]
Posted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 11:32 am
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
Just a comment on this last line: Could the oracle be suggesting that Slooonei is 3p or (regarding the cheering) a Spartan who must be slain in order to help the Athenians win? Maybe I'm thinking too hard into thisJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Apr 28, 2018 6:10 pmWe have received word of a prophecy of the pythia from the Oracle at Delphi.
Choutas is clouding his eyes with a focus on principles only
Dougall looks great and he should be a beacon for rational thinkers
Listen to words from the gods who say Golden and Empee are townies
Speedchuck is trustworthy, Luna and Kyle we can safely rely on
Persians amongst us, but sloonei was lynched and we cheered to the heavens
Colin's first game-relevant post is a series of quick Day 1 reads of players. He offers a favorable read of Scotty but then holds the door open and invites people to counter that read, good look for Scotty. Also offers a strong read of Mac and decides to juxtapose him with Golden, whose behavior he labels "weak". Could be an awkward bus job, but given the way this read is framed I'd say it looks like a genuine attempt to smear Golden. I think others had already offered the same criticism of him prior to Colin making this post.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Mon Apr 23, 2018 6:00 pm Some thoughts:
Scotty's drunk posts make me read him as town, simply because I don't think a scum would try to play drunk. I'll stand corrected if anybody can counter.
Between Mac and Golden, I'm more impressed by Mac. He's my strongest town read right now, I think he's digging pretty deep into posts and asking good questions. On the other side, I don't know how Golden plays but but I think the defense of "this is my meta, you should believe me" is pretty weak.
I always have a really hard time getting a read on dunya. Same for MP in this game — I think he legitimately believes Golden is town, but that's all I can really feel from his posts.
I don't really get why Sloonei voted for me in particular, and I also think it's weird that he said the same thing I did in the post in question.![]()
Choutas feels town to me, really clear-cut contributions that I agree with but I haven't played with him in so long that I can't remember what he plays like.
I have no idea what Epi is doing.
Open-ended question about Golden. Okay.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Mon Apr 23, 2018 6:01 pm People who have played a lot with Golden, who haven't weighed in: what say you?
Soft shade being thrown at lapluie (now colonialbob), with a question about mafia philosophy. I hesitate to call this a necessarily good look for lapluie/cbob because an inactive partner is the type that scum players are most likely to bus or distance from. But this seems to be an unprompted Day 1 read, so with a gun to my head I'll give colonialpluie a townie point.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Mon Apr 23, 2018 10:29 pm lapluie has made one post and it's not substantive. Busy, or lurking?
Question for the thread: do you think that posting activity is often alignment indicative, and if so, in what circumstances? We had a bit of debate over this in FE but I'd like to hear more about it now considering we have a lot of high-level posters butting heads.
These are not reads. These are just blank statements about two players. Why didn't I call this out earlier? Keeping an eye on how Colin treats Jack and Marmot moving forward.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Mon Apr 23, 2018 10:40 pm Other ISOs at random:
Marmot has pretty much just posted jokes, including a silly tentative vote on Sloonei. Is that normal?
JOH is someone I haven't played with before but his ISO is similar to Marmot's.
This is the most that is probably most responsible for Colin's lynch. We know now that at least 2 of the 4 players mentioned here (sig & Epi) were town. He defends nova and casts a meaningless vote for luna. I could see either of those as teammate interactions on opposite ends of the spectrum: nova was in danger of being lynched, and colin bluntly sought to move pressure away from him. Lunalee was in no danger whatsoever, and Colin placed a meaningless vote on her in what could easily be a misguided attempt at early distancing.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Tue Apr 24, 2018 5:52 pm I don't like the case for nova right now; reading the thread, it looks like it's based on the whole sig thing, but then why wouldn't people just vote sig? Feels weird to me, but sig doesn't seem like scum either. I don't think using hedge words is necessarily a scum tell, I think some people just talk like that (you might notice I say the word "just" about a thousand times a post, for example.) Nothing after that changed my view of him.
I don't think Epignosis is scum right now. I think he doesn't give a shit, but there's a big difference there. I can't support lynching him.
So as far as people who did ping me ... The case against lunalee was interesting. I really don't like the scenario she outlines where Persians conspire on day 1 to lynch dunya, I don't think it's likely and it seems like big buddying. She kind of reminds me of my scum play in FWWM, possibly acting overly friendly as obfuscation. GTH, scum read right now, and that's the best I can go for.
[VOTE: lunalee] aubergine
Golden is on his ass right away. Good look for Golden.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Tue Apr 24, 2018 5:58 pmI dunno. Pick a number out of a hat. The cases for them are uninspiring at best. At least with lunalee I heard myself getting suspicious alongside someone else.Golden wrote: ↑Tue Apr 24, 2018 5:55 pmMuch better. If the poll only included those three people, which would you vote for?ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Tue Apr 24, 2018 5:54 pm These wagons suck. At best, I help contribute to a tie-breaker where I think it's probably a civ. Would that be much better?
Yeah if these two are partners then their plan was to do a very intricate dance around each other. I don't see it.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Tue Apr 24, 2018 9:26 pm Read Golden's case against me on the last page, and his posts that followed the lynch, and ask yourself, "Does this [the case against Colin] make any sense?"
I'm interested in hearing your answers.
nova's getting in on the action here and Colin responds with some rhetorical questions. Not necessarily a bad look, but I'm less inspired than I am by Golden's attack on Colin.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Wed Apr 25, 2018 5:07 pmSo I avoided scrutinization by doing something that is more likely to get scrutinized? Not following here. Isn't it scummier to just jump on an easy wagon and parrot some BS reason that somebody else said than to actually try and hold someone different up to a light?novaselinenever wrote: ↑Tue Apr 24, 2018 9:55 pmIt does make some sense. You voting off-wagon while 3 people are almost tied for the lynch and 1 vote can change everything is suspicious to say the least. It's the bad kind of suspicious.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Tue Apr 24, 2018 9:26 pm Read Golden's case against me on the last page, and his posts that followed the lynch, and ask yourself, "Does this [the case against Colin] make any sense?"
I'm interested in hearing your answers.
It doesn't matter how weak the cases against Sig, Epi and me are, I don't believe that after all that happened today you didn't have any read on us three. In the case, you read both 3 of us as Town, you could have voted for your weakest Town read to try to save the two others that you read strongly as Town. You didn't even attempt that and just took the easy way out.
So yeah, you voting off wagon in such a crucial time is bad and Golden's case has merits. This is something a player with inside information (scum) would do since they would know who would flip Town and thus not participate so late in a mislynch to avoid scrutinization.
Someone who's not me should analyze how Colin treated me.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Wed Apr 25, 2018 5:49 pmI didn't like his post calling me out at all. It felt superficial, not to mention it didn't hold up as pointed out previously. I have to say I have forgotten how Sloonei plays so I need to reread the substance of your argument again (as well as his responses) but I didn't see anything in it that sounded outright wrong. Lean scum.
nova is townish, not a full-fledged town read.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Wed Apr 25, 2018 8:18 pm Not gonna repeat myself. Busy, sorry. Check ISO.
Nova, townish. Epi, sig, town. Those were my reads. Again, check ISO.
Dom, myself, and "potentially wolbre" are taking advantage of the suspicion against him. This is his first mention of Dom and wolbre so I'll be interested to see exactly how those two responded to the Colin suspicion and why he singled them out from the pack, along with me but I'm not gonna analyze myself.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 6:03 pmHi.
I believe you believe my guilt, but I think others are taking advantage. Sloonei, Dom, potentially wolbre. At least.
Colin mentioned him exactly once, in a Day 1 player salad post:
He gives him a non-descript town read but then admits he doesn't actually remember how he plays. I could see that as a baddie trying awkwardly to paint his teammate in a favorable light.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Mon Apr 23, 2018 6:00 pm Choutas feels town to me, really clear-cut contributions that I agree with but I haven't played with him in so long that I can't remember what he plays like.
Choutas mentions Colin exactly zero times, and the only result when I Ctrl+f "Colin" in his posts is this, where he answers a question about me intended for Colin with a big ole shrug in my direction. Choutas would then put his vote on me and leave it there. He is now imploring people to lynch me again today. I don't think he's said why.
Colin is second from the bottom on Dom's rainbow, only ahead of yours truly. Thanks Dom.Dom wrote: ↑Wed Apr 25, 2018 5:11 am I am very bad at doing these and I am not a huge fan, but I am starting to like them, idk I'll try it.
Dom
MacDougall
M Plus 7
Scotty
Choutas
Epignosis
novaselinenever
Spacedaisy
speedchuck
Turnip Head
wolbre04
Golden
Jackofhearts2005
Kites
Long Con
lapluie
dunya
Kylemii
Lunalee
Marmot
ColinIsCool
Sloonei
An indirect mention of colin as part of a question for MP. Doesn't tell me much.dunya wrote: ↑Sun Apr 22, 2018 6:05 pmwhat are you implying? why did you choose to call sig out on this but not Sloonei for his meta-comments on Choutas/Colin/Kites from RYM a post above yours?M Plus 7 wrote: ↑Sun Apr 22, 2018 3:57 pmBut no one asked about wolbre yet.sig wrote: ↑Sun Apr 22, 2018 2:52 pm Also wolbre and I are from the same original site, we've aldo played on mu once together. However, every game we've played together I've been mafia or independent so I never really bothered to learn his meta.
I don't believe he's ever been mafia and is still new to mafia as a whole compared to all of us, he's also deadily as an independent and in my opinion if he's one of those three trading guys he'll side with mafia for the lolz.![]()
It seems she suspects me over Colin on Day 2. I still have not seen dunya comment on Colin directly.dunya wrote: ↑Fri Apr 27, 2018 5:48 am I am semi caught up but stuck in meetings with managers all day. I have some thoughts I'll share before end of day I promise.
I have broken the Colin and Sloonei tie. I had day 1 concerns about Sloonei and his ColinIsCool vote. At this point, I wouldn't be surprised if it was early distancing masked as a pressure vote on day 1 after everyone questioned him about it.
I have more thoughts about Sloonei I'll share before eod. But for now, I have a bigger scum read on sloonei than Colin.
I have some questions for some Colin votes I'll ask later too.
Provides Colin's recent history. Still no comment on his play in this game.
Alright here's something. Colin was well on his way to being lynched at this point, I think, or at least he and I were neck and neck.
Switches her vote to Colin shortly before the deadline. I was not here at the time so I don't know what exactly the poll looked like. And that's the end of it.
Jack responds to Colin's vagueshade at lapluie by saying her low participation was Not Alignment Indicative. Noted.Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Tue Apr 24, 2018 12:24 amSometimes.ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Mon Apr 23, 2018 10:29 pm lapluie has made one post and it's not substantive. Busy, or lurking?
Question for the thread: do you think that posting activity is often alignment indicative, and if so, in what circumstances? We had a bit of debate over this in FE but I'd like to hear more about it now considering we have a lot of high-level posters butting heads.
Only after the game is a few phases in and depending on the player.
I think Lap not having posted much yet is NAI.
Uh, noted.Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Tue Apr 24, 2018 12:29 amYou take that back!ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Mon Apr 23, 2018 10:40 pm Other ISOs at random:
Marmot has pretty much just posted jokes, including a silly tentative vote on Sloonei. Is that normal?
JOH is someone I haven't played with before but his ISO is similar to Marmot's.
Spoiler: show
Offers support of both the cases against myself and Colin. I haven't seen Jack comment directly on either of these things, but that's not necessarily a bad thing. Not the greatest thing either, but a townie doesn't need to reiterate everything they agree with. I just like it if they do.Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Wed Apr 25, 2018 10:12 pmThe Colin and Sloonei cases are most convincing so far. ISO Mac for details.
See? I got him to do it here. Jack is one of the early bandwagon-riders on Colin and he was the one who pointed me in the direction of the case, at least. I wouldn't say that he's instrumental in this lynch, though. I have not seen anything alarming, but I wouldn't expect to in Jack's posts either. I'd say he looks fairly good so far.Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 12:10 amHe abstained from the poll yesterday by voting someone with 1 or 0 votes (I forget) like 10 min before deadline as a pressure vote.Sloonei wrote: ↑Wed Apr 25, 2018 11:49 pmI recommend not suspecting me. Tell me about Colin.Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Wed Apr 25, 2018 11:48 pmIdk. I’m slightly intoxicated. (Quick! Try to figure out if I’m bad!)
I still suspect you and Colin but nothing is set in stone.
Sounds like nonsense to me. If you’re going to do that, at least take a stance against all current trades. Otherwise what’s the point?
Gets on wolbre's case for defending me over Colin. This post is much more directed at wolbre than either colin or myself, but it shows up when I search for Colin so I'm noting it here.Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 1:23 amThis post is yucky.wolbre04 wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 12:56 amI never said he's town but I'm fairly certain he's not mafia. Refer to my post where I said I will address this later on. That doesn't mean we should ignore him, but I'm less worried about him for now. He ISNT off the table yet for me.MacDougall wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 12:49 amOkay junior. Don't come in here and try to shit all over my work without explaining why all of a sudden you have such a great town read on him that you want to completely take him off the table. Explain why.
I'm much more sure of Colin being scum as I've mentioned him with more certainty than his buddies.
[VOTE: COLINISCOOL] aubergine
“Don’t bother with Sloonei. I didn’t say Sloonei is good. Sloonei is good. Plz Refer to previous post that doesn’t actually explain anything. I’m not saying to ignore Sloonei except that I did. Suddenly, Sloonei is back on the table for unstated reasons.”
wolbre is added to his shortlist of suspects, with colin and i sticking as the mainstays. Okay.Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 9:03 pmSupatown Jack left his phone in his wife’s cupholder this morning and was going through unmonitored internet access withdrawals all day. Supatown Jack also got Skyrim, Halo 4, Final Fantasy 13 and Mass Effect 2 on Saturday and hasn’t gotten a chance to play them yet.M Plus 7 wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 11:09 am For the sake of truly letting this LC thing go until I return, the last thing I'll do (promise) is move vote to Jackofhearts2005. I feel like of every player in this game that hasn't been really quiet, he's the one I just cannot get any handle on whatsoever. What say you, Jack? Where's your head at? Show us that supatown Jack we all want to see.
But just know that I also still think LC is bad (even if I have my doubts) and I want to know what you all think.![]()
Lemme catch up. I’d just be saying I suspect Wolfe, Colin and Sloonei again.
Even though he implicates me.Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Sat Apr 28, 2018 9:12 am @Dom
Speedchuck, Wolbre, Sloonei.
Luna, I don’t know about. She’s new. What people suspect her for is one post from another player. Do I think that scared Colin distances from a teammate in this scenario? Probably. But I’ve also never played with Colin and only seen his town play in FE so that’s a fair amount to bet without good info. I think Colin avoiding the Sloonei and Sig wagons because Sloonei is a mate to be more convincing.
LC I’m pretty null on. I’m not even shook after I last mislynched him in...MK? I just am not paying much attention to him.
Wolbre especially looks bad if Sloonei is bad. He had the wafflyiest defense of Sloonei since Sloonei threw away his eggo shield.
Speed, I just just don’t buy his rainbow. There are three neutrals and a large town. Two players are messing around. So he thinks they’re both bad? No way, Jose. That rainbow list is made up.
Quin (holy shit it feels good to be able to actually type his name again, no more Kwin for me) doesn't suspect me for my Day 1 vote of Colin. Thank you quin.Quin wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 7:25 pm I looked at both of Sloonei's votes (in ISO, mind so idk about timing) and have no idea what "out of context" means. Day 1, he puts down a pressure vote on Colin and moves it later. I wouldn't expect him to leave it. Nothing out of the ordinary there. Day 3 he voted Colin after a criticism of his vote. What am I missing?
He joins the Colin bandwagon, though it seems more in defense of me than out of suspicion against Colin. I appreciate that, and given that Quin is a newcomer with a blank slate I like this look. If he's bad there's enough ammunition for him to pin a vote on me, and Quin has a history of suspecting me hard in games so it wouldn't even be particularly alarming. Townie point for Quin, absolutely no favoritism due to him being my only supporter in the thread.
Wrapped up in a larger point here is that Quin does not think Colin is a sure thing. But he voted for him on a day when there were really only 2 options. Still, I'm not actually seeing a stance on Colin from Quin. Somewhat understandable given his late arrival to this game, and I appreciate that Quin was not afraid to involve himself in the action right away. But his vote, again, was more of a defense of me than a suspicion of Colin. [mention]Quin[/mention] what were your thoughts on Colin as Day 2 unfolded?Quin wrote: ↑Fri Apr 27, 2018 8:34 ami wasn't around when it went down to have the same sense of whatevertermyouwouldusetodescribeaneventofsignificanceinthiscontext as everyone else. i'm calling things as i see them and i'm calling that sloonei's vote isn't suspicious and people acting like colin and sloonei are sure things is making me flip out.
Questions Golden for pointing out a possible sig/colin connection.
A detail which I had forgotten about but which may be of some importance. On Day 1, when Colin threw a meaningless vote on Lunalee, Kyle had also previously voted for Luna. They were the only two on her. If they're partners that's a bit of a bold and unnecessary play. But both of them are voting off-wagon for a player who might be considered an easy target given her status as a relatively new player (meaning absolutely no offense to you, luna). I'm not sure if two baddie partners would do something careless like this on Day 1, but I won't rule it out completely. I'd like to hear what others think of this detail, if anyone is even bothering to read all of this.Kylemii wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 12:51 ammy vote came later i think, i voted near the end of the phaseSloonei wrote: ↑Thu Apr 26, 2018 12:27 amLooking at the poll, I see that Kyle also voted for Luna, but I can't see what the order was. Was kyle's vote before or after this? If Kyle was already there then I don't quite object to the strategy as strongly as I otherwise would. A 2-person train is not nothing in this poll, even with <10 minutes to go. Regardless, I am not a big fan of this vote. @ColinIsCool if you were to have ranked the three main wagons (nova, sig, epi) in order of preference at the time of this vote, how would that list have looked?
Questions for the audience about Colin and Sloonei. Seems like a Kyle thing to do.
A lengthy exchange about Colin's recent history. I guess I also missed this exchange when I ISO'd dunya earlier. Oops. I like the back and forth at face value, it seems like two players working toward their own conclusions about a player who others have already decided on.Kylemii wrote: ↑Fri Apr 27, 2018 4:39 pmI didn't play TP to avoid spoileradunya wrote: ↑Fri Apr 27, 2018 4:36 pmI think he played Twin Peaks with you guys. I didn't play that one.Kylemii wrote: ↑Fri Apr 27, 2018 4:34 pmmy conclusion as well but for different reasonsdunya wrote: ↑Fri Apr 27, 2018 4:30 pmdissimilar. He got pretty worked up when people were accusing him as a townie. There was even some moments of heated drama that ensued because passions were high between him and others. I feel like he's way more disconnected here.
was fire emblem Colin's only game on this website before this one?
NOVA
Kylemii wrote: ↑Sun Apr 29, 2018 12:57 am i mean i guess i get where you're coming from, it could be a trick, i haven't read every role super close though maybe it's just something obvious.
it's like.... it's cool when milk gets delivered to your doorstep but it's much nicer when you know what kind of animal it came from
i wanna be you when i grow upScotty wrote: ↑Sun Apr 29, 2018 1:32 pmKylemii wrote: ↑Sun Apr 29, 2018 12:57 am i mean i guess i get where you're coming from, it could be a trick, i haven't read every role super close though maybe it's just something obvious.
it's like.... it's cool when milk gets delivered to your doorstep but it's much nicer when you know what kind of animal it came frommy man
I don't understand this
It's funny, that's the impression I came away with, but when I went back to demonstrate why, I felt like it was a little lacking. Let's hear your thoughts.and I was looking forward to your thoughts there.
Of everything you have said so far, Colin’s approach to nova stands out the most to me.
I'm sure the LC-Colin ISO will be interesting. I remember I chose to defend him when a group was coming after him. I also questioned the Sloonei voters when Colin and you were the leading candidates, but I did also make a push for lynching you based on your hypothetical Indy choice to join the Persians. I'm hoping that part will end up looking good, and not damning. Also interested to see what Colin has said about me.
The reason I voted sig in the first place was that it seemed to me like Colin had defined views on nova and epi and phoned it in on sig. A likely explanation for voting off wagon at the time seemed to me to be having a teammate in the mix. Sloonei uncovered that Colin's view on nova was far less defined than what it first appears. More hedgy. I'm by no means convinced by it but it puts a name back on my list I'd previously removed.Long Con wrote: ↑Sun Apr 29, 2018 2:43 pmI don't understand this
It's funny, that's the impression I came away with, but when I went back to demonstrate why, I felt like it was a little lacking. Let's hear your thoughts.and I was looking forward to your thoughts there.
Of everything you have said so far, Colin’s approach to nova stands out the most to me.
I bet my battle spear and shield that some of those votes are scum bandwagoning.
When I realized that the Oracle was something written by a player, I thought Luna's comment after it might indicate that she is the Oracle role.
Let’s each take half.Turnip Head wrote: ↑Sun Apr 29, 2018 11:46 am Jackofhearts2005 it appears we have a supatown opening since we lost our boi mac. You up for it?![]()
The rules very expressly prohibit any kind of role-hinting so now that you point it out I think the opposite is true. Although you do make a reasonable point which is that (provided it's within the rules) the oracle is quite possibly amongst the town reads that they list. But mostly, I think the key point is that the oracle is a day delayed so who knows how reliable it is, it certainly isn't up with the play.