infected_alien_8 ISO by Russti
The Good:
I went into this read thinking Alien was backing off from every suspicion. That's actually not entirely the case. He's stuck to his MP guns all game so far, and he expressed a definite (positive) opinion about Colin pretty early on (even if he did later forget why he felt good about Colin).
So those things are worth some brownie points.
The Bad:
Side note: I realized reading back that Jay had pointed both 1) the waffliness and 2) the buddying of Jay before. Kudos to JJJ on those. I already wrote most of this post, though, and I tink the way I highlight it might help some people. So it stays. My point 3 is still new, though.
1. MP will remember that in high school English class, Mr. Goldfuss once told us about an analysis that was done on Hitler's speeches. A univeristy group had apparently analyzed a large number of them line by line and found that nearly every one had a net "opinion content" (I'm paraphrasing here) of 0. What they meant was, every time Hitler expressed an opinion in a speech, he offset it by saying the opposite thing with about the same intensity somewhere else in the speech. This made him very appealing, because everyone in a crowd could find
something to agree with him about. (Mr. Goldfuss was weird, and recommended we try to follow this model for some speeches.) Mr. Goldfuss also lied a lot, and it's possible he made up that story entirely, but the core of it applies really well to some posts by Alien. Let's play a game: I'll post an Alien quote, highlight anything where he expresses a positive opinion in
green, and highlight anything with a negative opinion in
red. I think we'll find quite a few offsetting posts.
Disclaimer: it is Day 0, so I'm not expecting anyone to have iron-clad reads from the get-go. No single one of these is damning, but there are a LOT of these suckers.
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Mon Aug 13, 2018 12:42 pm
Hey everyone!
Pleased to meet you all, very excited to play this game with everyone!
I've read through the thread and
I'm suspicious of M Plus 7, slight town-read on Tsai,
I want to town-read Jagged but M Plus 7 says they're good at acting Townie so I'm a bit reluctant to do that but I've felt like they've been genuinely hunting so far rather than faking it, and
I wanted to town-read Mac based on tone but I think they might have possibly slipped?
First post ever. Offers some reads on Tsai, JJJ, and noncommital on Mac
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Mon Aug 13, 2018 2:42 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Mon Aug 13, 2018 2:40 pm
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Mon Aug 13, 2018 2:37 pm
Okay, thanks. So basically, you think it seems reasonable that he's confident due to his past games, and therefore, as a Townie, that confidence would translate into confident reads, whereas as Mafia he'd be more cautious?
That's my best guess, yes.
The nice thing about MP is that he is never going to stop posting, even when he shouldn't be posting, and we'll have every opportunity to critically assess whatever he is doing.
Alright, thanks.
That perspective does make sense to me, but
I can also see worlds where he does this as Mafia, either because he's aware he might need to come off as more confident, or because he's confident enough to pocket people, so I don't want to give too much credit to that theory personally
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Mon Aug 13, 2018 1:56 pm
Also despite her reasonable explanation for it,
aby's kind of reluctance to have much of an opinion on M Plus 7 is pinging me
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Tue Aug 14, 2018 3:18 pm
M Plus 7 wrote: ↑Tue Aug 14, 2018 2:32 pm
Look at Tsaiah asking questions and shit.
TSAIAH IS PURE AS FUCK
I WILL CUT ANYONE THAT KILLS HER
Again the confidence in her purity even though you've never played a full game with her so presumably don't know her that well pings me. I agree she looks like she's genuinely solving but I also think she could be faking it, and I don't share your confidence in her being so pure to that degree, which is why it pings me
Two separate reads here: Net neutral on Tsaiah, but still suspicious of MP, as mentioned above.
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Mon Aug 13, 2018 12:55 pm
And, if I'm reading it correctly, he's basically saying 'if I were Mafia I'd know you were citizen, and that's the only scenario where I'd know'. That assumes you're a citizen because he's ignoring the possibility of you being Mafia, meaning that if he was Mafia, he'd be your partner instead of knowing you were a citizen.
I'm not 100% convinced that him working under the assumption you're Town in that post is a 'slip' because he could have just done that as Town of course, and the fact the rest of his posts seem Townie to me makes me want to say gut-wise it's not a genuine slip, but I think it's worth considering at least unless I'm completely misunderstanding it
We'll come back to this one.
In response to JJJ's take on DH:
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Mon Aug 13, 2018 7:24 pm
"I already spoke about this post. Not a fan."
I understand your perspective on it, although it wasn't my initial interpretation of it, I just saw it as a joke and that's basically it, I don't necessarily think there's some agenda behind it, though I do agree it's compatible with having an agenda behind it as well.
"This has now become a trend. This is a negative statement about MP which feeds the climate initially generated by Infected_alien8 against him -- but it's masked under the veil of humor. To imply that MP has been promising a rainbow list and failing to deliver is an accusation, and it carries certain weight. That weight is discarded within the humor presented here by the man who made the comment in the first place. Yuck."
I think this is the most compelling point in my opinion, it is a bit of an attack covered in a joke so that he can point it out but not be the one to push it and hopes others will instead so that they take the blame for the lynch/make an enemy with M Plus 7.
Could also just be purely a joke and he didn't actually care about the rainbow reads list at all but I get your interpretation, and slightly lean towards agreeing.
"MP then posts the rainbow, and DH gives him shit based upon the inherent invalidity of rainbow lists (see here). MP can't win."
Assuming he was in fact serious about the rainbow reads list yeah
this seems like he's targetting M Plus 7 a bit here, in an unfair way, possibly Mafia-agenda
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Tue Aug 14, 2018 3:24 pm
Okay I'm caught up.
I think
my top town-reads would be Jay and Tsiah. My main suspicion M Plus 7. Town lean on Mac too but
I can't help but feel their post explaining their 'fake' reads was an excuse to stop Jay pushing on them, but it does make sense so I'm sort of like 'well fair enough'. I feel like I need to mull over that post
My opinion is that this is neutral on Mac. Just noticed that Tsaiah morphed into a "top town read" in the space of one post, when the previous one said she "could be faking it".
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Tue Aug 14, 2018 3:47 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Aug 14, 2018 3:44 pm
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Tue Aug 14, 2018 3:36 pm
Russ - Light Town because their posts accusing me felt genuine actually
I am inclined to disagree on this one. I found Russ's take on your proposed Mac slip to be convoluted, in that the variables he introduced (primarily the relationship/experience you've had or not had with MacDougall) to be of shaky relevance, and I struggled to follow the thread of thought he was putting to paper.
Actually I can see that, I too was kind of confused as to where he was going with that, it felt like he was going to say that if I knew him it'd be worse for me because he said it would be a good 'revenge lynch', but then suddenly it was the opposite and I didn't quite feel like I was riding his thought process with him very well, which could be a sign he was kind of making it up as he went along I guess?
I guess maybe net positive on me? If it is positive, it leaves a LOT of wiggle room to change stances, though.
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Tue Aug 14, 2018 4:08 pm
(interior quotes removed for length)
There was one point I found compelling in your ISO of Dharma yes,
but it's not compelling enough to make me want him lynched over M Plus 7. What was the thing about kyle? T
he russ thing yes, I can see your perspective, I asked Russ to explain where he was going with that and I'll go from there with that read.
I don't think I have 'one guy in my crosshairs' at all, he's my top suspect but he's not my only suspect and I think I've made that clear at least.
That he had more than one guy (MP7) in his crosshairs was
NOT apparent at this point, by the way, as Jay pointed out.
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 3:10 pm
abyssum wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 3:00 pm
at some point i want somebody, in some game, to realize that trying to tease out people's thought processes on another player isn't automatically a defense
which is probably a thing you should know based on the way you "defended" Turnip Head without it really being a defense
Well,
it felt to me like it was you defending M Plus 7 instead of trying to tease out my thoughts, but looking back on it through your ISO I can see a world where you're doing it to tease out my thoughts as well and you actually haven't defended him as much as I had in my mind. Still though, do you not find your lack of mindmelds with him at all concerning? Didn't you mindmeld with him right from the start last game?
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 6:30 pm
M Plus 7 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 6:23 pm
Mac doesn't give a fuck whether sprityo is town. He sees an easy D1 lynch.
Hm, I think I see what you mean here? Like, the post is about 'look at what sprit is doing that's bad regardless of alignment', not 'is sprit Mafia' in this bit
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 6:30 pm
Not sure if I get much out of it alignment-wise though, why do you think that comes from Mafia over Town specifically?
(These last 2 were consecutive posts from him, about the same thing.)
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 7:01 pm
M Plus 7 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 6:56 pm
Alright fine if I made just a giant ass of myself so be it. I'll just walk away. Clearly you all could do without me anyway probably.
Not at all.
Fwiw I think your point about that post lacking a sense of him sorting his alignment makes sense and your case does make me reconsider him, because even though it's just one post, it could be him falling short on keeping his act up all the time of genuinely trying to sort him. But Townies aren't exempt from making those posts either of course, so it's not something that makes me want to lynch him, just reconsider him, but even if it's wrong and you're Town you at least made sense so didn't make an ass of yourself in my eyes.
This one.....wow. SIX back and forths on Mac! In one post!
2.
Following JJJ's lead.
This one I have to talk about a little. Again, Jay already pointed it out (along with mentioning that Alien's reads have been noncommital, as I showed above):
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Aug 14, 2018 4:01 pm
A trend I have noted in your posts is that you've been pretty agreeable, at least in your dealings with me, in that you have acknowledged at least some portion of a point being made without really committing to that thought. Indeed, the only commitment I observe in your play to this point is to voice suspicion of M Plus 7. I can understand having suspicions of MP, but for him to be the sole suspect of note at this stage of 700 some posts is hard to believe.
Alien has talked to Jay a LOT. I won't quote them all, because there are actually too many and this post will be monster already. But Alien has asked JJJ 23 clarifying or follow-up questions about something he said. To reiterate: 23 follow-up questions. That is NOT including general questions to the thread, commentary or responses to things Jay has said, it's literally just the questions. It looks like buddying/trying to make Jay notice how engaged he is, to me.
Not to mention the times JJJ LITERALLY WAS INSIDE ALIEN'S HEAD:
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Tue Aug 14, 2018 3:47 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Aug 14, 2018 3:44 pm
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Tue Aug 14, 2018 3:36 pm
Russ - Light Town because their posts accusing me felt genuine actually
I am inclined to disagree on this one. I found Russ's take on your proposed Mac slip to be convoluted, in that the variables he introduced (primarily the relationship/experience you've had or not had with MacDougall) to be of shaky relevance, and I struggled to follow the thread of thought he was putting to paper.
Actually I can see that, I too was kind of confused as to where he was going with that, it felt like he was going to say that if I knew him it'd be worse for me because he said it would be a good 'revenge lynch', but then suddenly it was the opposite and I didn't quite feel like I was riding his thought process with him very well, which could be a sign he was kind of making it up as he went along I guess?
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 5:24 pm
Kylemii wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 4:45 pm
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 3:50 am
Kylemii wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 3:36 am
Infected_alien8_ I guess I just don't really understand what your initial concern was with my history questions in the first place. like i see where you say "yes, I am also curious about that am waiting for a response" and where you said "cool, nice answer". I don't really understand what were you looking for. what kind of answer wouldn't have satisfied you?
I thought you were scumhunting/town hunting, or trying to look like you were at least, with that question, and I couldn't understand where you were going with it to sort anyone's alignment. So you saying that it was mainly just to make us feel welcome and get into the game made sense and so I'm fine with your answer.
An answer that wouldn't have satisfied me would have been one where you tried to insist it was helping you form a read on us that I didn't find genuine.
did you have that impression of my getting-to-know-you posts before Jay's commentary?
Yes, but I forgot about until Jay brought it up again if I remember correctly
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 6:41 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 6:38 pm
If I had to state what I dislike most about MacDougall, it'd still be that we know for certain that he attempted to emulate his civilian meta when he joined the thread.
That's the thing currently echoing back in my mind as well
3. Asking lots of questions.
Colin just point this out, not about Alien, but I think it applies.
ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 8:00 pm
Does Kyle usually ask a lot of questions? Like, maybe it’s the alcohol but this pinged me:
Kylemii wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 5:37 pm
players who know infected alien, how would you characterize their civ gameplay? mafia gameplay?
do they often go out of their way to weigh in on things, both positively and negatively? is there a correlation to alignment or is it a consistent behavior across the board
When I’m scum I frequently will pose questions not necessarily related to anything in the thread that are juuuuust relevant enough to make it look like I’m attempting to solve. That’s what this post felt like.
Like I said, Alien has asked JJJ 23 follow-up questions. Add in the questions for other people and the general thread, and I'd bet dimes to donuts we're up over 50 in 135 posts. If Colin's point is accurate, Alien exemplifies it.
The Ugly.
You guys know I've been on Alien for this Mac "scumslip" thing. I won't rehash that.

Instead, I'll point out all the times Alien said it was a slip, and then the times later on where he said that he never said it was a slip.
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Mon Aug 13, 2018 12:42 pm
I wanted to town-read Mac based on tone but I think they might have possibly slipped?
......(edited for length).......
Despite the rest of mac's post making me feel he's Town, this could be a slip here - he's assuming Jay is Town and not Mafia, because if he's Town, imagining being Mafia still leads to the possibility of him them being Mafia partners, but he ignores that scenario.
The initial waffly, low accountability accusation, which I've already discussed at length.
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Mon Aug 13, 2018 12:55 pm
And, if I'm reading it correctly, he's basically saying 'if I were Mafia I'd know you were citizen, and that's the only scenario where I'd know'. That assumes you're a citizen because he's ignoring the possibility of you being Mafia, meaning that if he was Mafia, he'd be your partner instead of knowing you were a citizen.
I'm not 100% convinced that him working under the assumption you're Town in that post is a 'slip' because he could have just done that as Town of course, and the fact the rest of his posts seem Townie to me makes me want to say gut-wise it's not a genuine slip, but I think it's worth considering at least unless I'm completely misunderstanding it
Sure, Alien is not "100% convinced". But he thinks it's slippery enough to raise (twice).
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Mon Aug 13, 2018 6:40 pm
@MacDougall Your 'slip' was because you essentially said "the only way for me to know you're Town is if I'm Mafia', because an underlying assumption of that statement is that they're Town, because if you were Mafia you'd know it, as opposed to knowing they were also Mafia, which is a possibility to you if you're Town. We may just have different ways of thinking but if I'm Town and someone says 'you know I'm Town', my natural reaction isn't 'well if I was Mafia I'd know it, but I'm not Mafia so I don't', because that assumes you are in fact Town. I might think 'well, *if you are in fact Town* then the only way for me to know that is if I'm Mafia', and it was the 'if you are Town' bit that you left out, which could be because you're not thinking about it that way, you're assuming they're Town, because you know they are, because you're Mafia. It's very nitpicky but it's possible it reflects your thought process perfectly and you didn't have any doubt about them being Town.
I don't necessarily think it is actually a slip from scum, my gut says it wasn't at least; maybe just you didn't feel the need to add that part of 'if you're town', even though you did think it, or maybe it was an accidental assumption during that specific part of the thread, like you came at it from an angle of 'you're making this accusation that I'm Mafia and I'm showing you why I've identified this by speaking about it from your point of view', but it *could* be a slip, which is why I pointed it out. Hope that makes sense?
Now it's "Your (Mac's) slip" in the first paragraph, sounding like an assertion that this factually happened and was a slip. Then in paragraph 2, "I don't necessarily think it is actually a slip from scum" (so we're back to "maybe a slip"), then "my gut says it wasn't at least" (not a slip), and then finally "it *could* be a slip, which is why I pointed it out" (which to me reads as "maybe a slip, and I'm leaning that it is".
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Mon Aug 13, 2018 7:15 pm
@JaggedJimmyJay why did you say that Mac wouldn't like your stance on
his slip if you didn't actually think it was a slip?
Also for anyone who's played with Mac, is his response to
the slip thing telling at all? Would he have such a strong reaction as a Townie do you think?
In both of these references, his slip is just straight up a slip, no waffling.
Then, I started giving Alien heat, and lo and behold!
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Tue Aug 14, 2018 2:47 pm
I didn't say I thought he slipped, I said I thought he possibly slipped, and that I didn't think it was genuinely a slip myself because he seemed Town other than that and my gut says it wasn't, but I wanted to point it out anyway to see if anyone else made anything of it. I didn't want to act like I thought he was genuinely slipping because I didn't, and I didn't see the point of pressuring him to think I did other than to make us have a pointless debate about it.
The colored parts here cannot coexist. Saying you think someone slipped and saying you think someone possibly slipped are actually equivalent. The ONLY difference here is that the second one makes you less associated with the sentiment. This is a CYA.
Infected_alien8_ wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 2:23 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 10:05 am
I think Alien may have been grasping at straws with that slip talk and has now found themselves in the (unenviable) position of defending and debating a suspicion they knew was bunk. On notice.
I'm not defending it, I don't believe in it myself,
I said so right from the moment I pointed it out, or right after. I pointed it out to get other opinions on it.
Again, the colored statements above cannot coexist. More importantly, both of these are false, as shown above. You did waffle a CRAPTON making the accusation, but you definitely made it. If you believe it wasn't a slip, then why did you come into the thread saying it might be MULTIPLE TIMES? No civ who genuinely doesn't believe something treis to draw attention to it like that.
It's worth pointing out here that a slip is, by definition, the most obvious of any mafia tell, and we're (mostly) highly experienced at this game and at finding slips. If it were truly a slip, someone would've pointed it out, which is why I keep saying if you don't believe it's a slip, it makes no sense to mention it. Even if you don't, if a slip exists it will be brought up. You were the
only person to push this, and you did it in a way designed to give you as littel exposure as possible to blowback no matter the outcome.