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by JaggedJimmyJay
Sat Sep 18, 2021 11:03 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Johanna wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 11:02 am This speed is dizzying
Don’t do speed!
by JaggedJimmyJay
Sat Sep 18, 2021 11:00 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 10:59 am Good mornin' all
Good morning SoA. You’ll want to move with purpose; you’re at L-1.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Sat Sep 18, 2021 10:59 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Essentially just affirming one of them goes.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Sat Sep 18, 2021 10:58 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

[VOTE: Dolby] aubergine
by JaggedJimmyJay
Sat Sep 18, 2021 9:40 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Sloonei wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:18 pm What have I missed?

It has been a busy day. I plan to spend the night ISOing folks inside the POE. If anything juicy or exciting has happened, let me know please and thanks.
Giving Sloonei an opportunity to resolve this effort. Then I support a hammer on either wagon.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Sat Sep 18, 2021 9:34 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 9:29 am Dolby phantom voted the counter wagon.
Nevermind I missed the post.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Sat Sep 18, 2021 9:29 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Dolby phantom voted the counter wagon.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Sat Sep 18, 2021 1:19 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Understood NAA. I’ll have to keep reviewing to determine if I was too generous.

@Sloonei it’d be super to get your take on Johanna as it pertains to her mafia fits.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Sat Sep 18, 2021 12:26 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

NotAnAxehole wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 12:24 am I slotted Johanna in there but to be honest I haven't really looked at her ISO because the spoil tags just make it impossible without an amount of effort that I'm unwilling to invest.

If you tell me she's green, then I have to consider my other reads and figure out which associative reads are weaker than I might have initially thought.
If it helps, Johanna's spoilers are very short Fleabag roleplay and don't add a ton of stuff.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Sat Sep 18, 2021 12:05 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Image
by JaggedJimmyJay
Sat Sep 18, 2021 12:03 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Do ilario and Son of Anarch fit together as mafia teammates?

From ilario

Spoiler: show
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:30 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 9:07 pm Oh and by the way, I was kinda thinkin' about this earlier.

Isn't it better for the fruit vendor to claim right away? Basically an IC, yeah? Could have me (the watcher) go on 'em too. I know it's delayed mechanics and all, but still useful as long as I'm not killed.

And for everyone's efforts on this page, I'm gonna slap a small townread on all of you good folk right away. I'm warning ya though, my mind changes easily, but gettin' good vibes from this crowd. I like Jimmy's idea too, about Stayposi being naturally on guard about his early buddy-buddy with her. He seems like a good player, so I think her being naturally curious about all of that is pretty nice as far as ground zero reads go.

Hard town
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:36 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:12 am Also 'sup Lime Coke. I've got a few thoughts floatin' around inside my noggin, but I'm gonna plead the fifth right now until things develop further. One thing I will say though is that it's interesting that two people have Sloonei as town so early.

Actually, now that I'm typin' I'm thinkin' that with meta n' stuff it makes sense, but it's kind of an interestin' read for Lime Coke to make. I think Jimmy gets credit for havin' the original read. Lime Coke, you're not a read thief now are ya?
I’m willing to bank the entire game on this game being town lmao
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:40 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:36 am Man this game ain't spicy enough. You all are being way too careful. So ya know what? I'm gonna toss out a spicy take here and get a temp check:

I think Lime Coke's entrance to the thread was relatively safe in a wolf-y way. Man's dropped a townread on Sloonei after Jimmy already said he thought Sloonei was town and then half his explanation, as that nice lass StayPosi pointed out, was about somethin' to do with what Sloonei did after he made the read.

Oh yeah and as far as TSP goes. Well, I think I might be pickin' up what Sloonei is puttin' down here. Originally I was thinking in my head that TSP agreeing and changing his mind was kinda villagery, but now after Sloonei revealed the meta was fake, I'm almost wonderin' if TSP changed his mind to not try to outright disagree with the meta, but discredit it in a way.

Anyways, that's all I got for now. I'm pretty tired and my eyes are drooping... I'll probably still be stalkin' the thread because I'm doing some raids, but won't bother writing more until the morning.

100% agree on the lc read, Felt the same way
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:57 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:50 am
Lime Coke wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:48 am I might be leaning Ilario town based on vibes.

Dangerous as fuck to do that but I'm letting it rip.
I thought his catch up was pretty good. Why do you think it's dangerous to town lean him?
Why aren’t you worried that I’m pocketing you ? Normally people who haven’t played with me always react super paranoid when I start to tr them very strongly out of the blue
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 1:02 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 1:00 am
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:57 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:50 am
Lime Coke wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:48 am I might be leaning Ilario town based on vibes.

Dangerous as fuck to do that but I'm letting it rip.
I thought his catch up was pretty good. Why do you think it's dangerous to town lean him?
Why aren’t you worried that I’m pocketing you ? Normally people who haven’t played with me always react super paranoid when I start to tr them very strongly out of the blue
Because I know I'm townie as fuck. It doesn't surprise me if other people see that too. If you or anyone else who may be a wolf wanna pocket me they can go right ahead, I enjoy staying alive as long as possible in games. As I said, I'm not a noobie and I don't have an inherent distrust over early townreads like someone in the middle of their mafia career might have after being burned. I like to go with the flow and seeing what happens first.

Lmaoooo I love this
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 1:28 am
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 1:09 am oh ok yeah i can see why it makes sense for fruit vendor to claim
Actually I take this back

If fruit vendor claims then soa will just get n1d

Fruit vendor hides and watcher should be on soa tonight imo

Watcher can maybe wifom onto jjj, he seems like the next most likely NK
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:41 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:39 pm Everyone reads SPF town. So maybe I should just read SPF town. It's very much possible she is just town.
I wouldn’t sponge my spf read this early fwiw

I tend to overplay my confidence in my early reads

My only tr that I genuinely believe is very unlikely to be mafia is soa

I’d say with the others im varying between 50-70% in confidence
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:43 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:37 pm
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 10:38 amIf dylexicons plan as wolf was to have an almost identical catch up to mine and share so many similar ideas in an attempt to pocket me, then their plan has worked.

But given that they barely even know who I am, I doubt that i would be the designated pocket of choice for dyslexicon, so Occam’s razor states that this slot is most likely just town.

For people who have more experience with them feel free to let me know if I’m being to charitable with this read, it’s our first game together (of hopefully many more) and I have no idea what to expect of their wolf range.
My evil plan has been exposed! ABORT MISSION

I'm vibing back, and beyond your claim, makes me see town in you as well.
And as I'm sure you know, town needs to find town, and mafia will be toast with jam.

I'm very good as the mafia alignment, but it's not for "process" imo. But I'm sure others could tell you some ghost stories, but pay them no mind, they're just jelly.
got it! im putting u under soa and tied with jjj in my hierarchy of townreads
ilario wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 3:02 am @Dyslexicon @Son of Anarch

Watcha both think of marmot?

I like his iso
ilario wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:19 pm Well it’s 2am here and imma go sleep. I have class early tomorrow but I’ll probably be able to get in for a bit to put a vote down. A lot can change between now and then and rather putting an uninformed vote I’m gonna trust my vote to the triad. @Son of Anarch @Dyslexicon my vote is all yours just ping me with your thoughts sometime towards eod and I’m Happy to sheep for today.

My only person poe rn probably looks
Something like tsp/lime(sadly this might be the first time I sr you on a day 1 like ever so I hope I’m not wrong)/maybe falcon or dolby, potentially sig?

But yeah I’d imagine a lot will change from now till eod so imma ride it out with the triad.
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:20 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:22 pm Ah man, can't say I'm stoked about that at all. My Internet was down until around this aftenoon so backreadin' wasn't really possible for me. I'm gonna say though that I still think Falcon Man's EOD wasn't the greatest and I'd like to hear some of the other thoughts on that.

Another interestin' thing is that if SPF is poisoned that might reflect well on the triad 'cause they were kinda all huddlin' together, yeah? Normally if you're tryin' to pocket someone you don't kill them. That's just a basic read though.
Ngl I have a bad habit of townreading people who push me when I think I’m being obvious town because it’s usually not an angle most mafia take. Though that pass is only valid for a day so imma need more than just that from falcon today
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 1:03 pm Also dyslexicon just said something that made me even more townier than soa for me
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 1:03 pm Okay maybe not more than soa, but Atleast the same
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 9:28 pm Sigs initial reaction to spfs note about his timing felt scummy to me and so did his first initial entry into the game.

Though in his spout with soa I saw glimpses of towny frustration

So yeah I’m not sure what my read is on this slot atm
ilario wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 8:40 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 8:20 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:35 am Image
I feel left out and hours apart. Can I be the blank space in the middle at least? :noble:
Me u and soa have our own triad

Why do you think I specifically tagged both of you in my recent post about marmot :p
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:23 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:56 pm We need a POE pool of 6 with all 4 mafia in it. That equates to needing 6 town reads (not including either oneself or SPF). At the moment that feels like a steep number to achieve. Quick exercise for anyone willing to engage:

If you had to bank the game on four people being town not including SPF, who would you choose?
Dizzy soa you and sloonei (though this is moreso sponging what u and dizzy say since I trust both ur reads)
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:33 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 8:57 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 8:50 pm Ilario, Falcon, Dolby, TSP, PRs all town.
If I were to do gun-to-head reads I think I'd agree with all four of these.

But I don't think it's probable that it's correct. If I have to yank a mafioso from that pile my first instinct is falcon.
Wait really??? Correct me if I’m wrong but didn’t you tr dizzy sloonei lc and soa already

If you add those 4 names as well as spf and yourself there isn’t enough slots left for you to make up a scum team of 4??!!

Jjj confusing me now
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:59 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 1:09 am I quite like Johanna actually. I like that she picked the exact same Anarch post as awkward that I did, I like that she didn't go "michop bad thread consensus bad" (though I don't know if that is actually AI or anything), and similar to Jimmay, I do have a slight positive lean on her not considering the watcher (though logically, this is probably a non-point)

I also kind of think Axe is town? I don't know his scum style though. It would have to be a bold one if scum. I probably don't have enough actual backup to call this, and meta digging is boring. What do you say, Axe?

And now I'm pretty sure I have way too many town leans, wow surprising
Please trust me on the triad. I feel very confident on you both being town, so much so that I would even consider getting myself elimmed if everyone agreed to sheep my legacy on you both for the rest of the game. This is partly why I think I’m being targeted today. I think there’s a conscious effort with the spf poison to try and frame me as mafia because the triad I helped build needs to be broken up. I also think I’m probably correct on my marmot tr and possibly even NAA. I am skimming the reasons people have brought to shade me today and they are all excessively weak, which means mafia feels like they HAVE to get rid of me soon and were probably too scared to target me at night due to the watcher so therefore have chosen this route instead.
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 6:00 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 1:25 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 9:31 pm No worries. I just don't see the need to complicate the game until necessary. I'm an agreeable enough guy, sure. Heck, me even writin' this post is pretty agreeable, wouldn't ya think? But I'll tell ya what, bein' scum and bein' agreeable here serves me no purpose. I prefer to be in the center of the action as wolf, gettin' lots of blood on my hands whenever possible. Probably a bit hard to believe, eh? I'm pretty chill right now, after all. That's because I've got no teeth like those scary wolves, heh :)
Kind of just believe this and Anarch is probably just town.
YASSSSSSSSSSSSS <3
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:45 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:43 am I think Johanna seems town.

@ilario what is your present view of Son of Anarch?
Fell off today but still towny enough
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:00 am @staypositivefriend I don’t expect you to out a legacy tr on me simply Due to our history of paranoia and tinfoil

But before you die the top 5 trs I feel confident in are dizzy soa Johanna as my top 3 and then probably marmot/NAA after

If you can legacy read the top 3 and review 4/5 that would leave town in a great spot once ur gone
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:57 am
Sloonei wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:49 am
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:45 am
Sloonei wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:43 am
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:40 am Lc, jjj, you, Dolby maybe (?), tsp if he’s not the watcher,

I would like to see you grill jjj harder
Is the top line a list of names you are uneasy about?

I feel no need to grill Jay at present. He is town until further notice.

Yup pmuch
Why have Jay and I slid in your view? Either individually or as the unit that we are.

Also I am interested in your Lime Coke thoughts.
Lc is probably scum tbh

You and jay mostly slid just because I found Johanna and NAA to be very towny today. At which point I reached a threshold of having too many townreads. At that point I asked myself who am I more likely to be misreading. On one hand I have players such as Johanna, naa, soa who seem relatively new to FM. On the other hand I have seasoned vets with a decade worth of experience who were are commanding voices in the game that’s leading us to a poe that I don’t feel all to comfortable with. At that point I figured it’s likely that I’m misreading someone in the latter.


I did not factor dizzy into this because dizzy is ❤️
ilario wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 4:27 am
staypositivefriend wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:50 pm 1-2 wolves in dolby/g-man, 1 wolf in illario/limecoke, 1-2 wolves in falcon/SoA/TSP
disagree on the last part
ilario wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 4:30 am I still maintain that soa is more villagery than the jjj/sloonei duo and I’m willing to die on that hill
ilario wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 7:29 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 7:21 am @ilario I’m not actually clear on why you suspect me. Is this sourced entirely in me wondering aloud about the SPF poisoning or are there other concerns?

If you want to worry about a “frame” that’s your prerogative. I would ask you to consider though what I have actually done with that, or more precisely what I haven’t done. If something enters my brain I will often voice it, because I value transparency and communication. That doesn’t mean though that I am going to take all of those individual thoughts and run with them. That rationale is not anything resembling a priority within my current view of the game.

Hmmm I think it’s a mixture of your d1 treatment of lc as well as I feel like you’ve been subtlety trying to plant seeds of doubt about soa and myself throughout the day. I generally am a paranoid player so I could be overthinking this and seeing things that aren’t there, or I could simply just be misreading soa in which case ur suspicions are well founded. But that’s kinda the vibe I’ve been getting.
ilario wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:24 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 8:18 pm @ilario just for the log, is Son of Anarch still a town read?
He’s been trending down and down

But that’s mostly because others are trending up and not so much due to the fact that he has done anything I find to be scummy

I think falcons reasoning for all his votes, like his recent vote on gman are all incredibly shallow and in a world where falcon is scum I feel better about soa

This is not entirely in chronological order, as per page the "soa" and "anarch" searches are split. Clearly there is a lot here, and it all follows a pretty clear trend that doesn't really need reviews. ilario has town read SoA constantly and strongly. That on its own isn't necessarily indicative of "compatibility", so I will ask myself some questions.

1) Are there any moments that look indicative of TMI instead, in an ilario-mafia universe? -- maybe a few, particularly those where ilario is speaking directly to SoA rather than about him.

2) Do I think there's sufficient justification for the strong town read? -- no, not at all. That's the premier concern. At every juncture of this read, it is voiced with more confidence than I believe is justified. It also persists well longer than I believe is justified. It tests my ability to give any benefit of the doubt, and instead I almost feel like buying the read as non-compatible requires suspension of disbelief. That's concerning.

From Son of Anarch

Spoiler: show
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:50 am
Lime Coke wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:48 am I might be leaning Ilario town based on vibes.

Dangerous as fuck to do that but I'm letting it rip.
I thought his catch up was pretty good. Why do you think it's dangerous to town lean him?
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:53 am You know it's kinda weird because I got the sense from Lime Coke's opening he didn't worry about town reading people so early, but the way he qualified that ilario read with "it's dangerous" kinda has my sensors goin' off a tad.
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 1:00 am
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:57 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:50 am
Lime Coke wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:48 am I might be leaning Ilario town based on vibes.

Dangerous as fuck to do that but I'm letting it rip.
I thought his catch up was pretty good. Why do you think it's dangerous to town lean him?
Why aren’t you worried that I’m pocketing you ? Normally people who haven’t played with me always react super paranoid when I start to tr them very strongly out of the blue
Because I know I'm townie as fuck. It doesn't surprise me if other people see that too. If you or anyone else who may be a wolf wanna pocket me they can go right ahead, I enjoy staying alive as long as possible in games. As I said, I'm not a noobie and I don't have an inherent distrust over early townreads like someone in the middle of their mafia career might have after being burned. I like to go with the flow and seeing what happens first.
Son of Anarch wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 10:36 am
Spoiler: show
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:06 am Son of Anarch is an interesting case. I think that, on a holistic level, he looks pretty decent. There are some isolated moments where he might be a bit s t i l t e d though. I think I could even be reading him that way as a byproduct of his penchant for replacing the "ing" with " in' ". Replacin' as it were. I know that's dumb, but I'm just trying to make sense of a dumb concept like "stilted".

Still generally a town read, just with a bit more trepidation than some others have shown.
Hey Jimmy, I appreciate the town read n' all, even if it's comin' with some strings attached. Can ya maybe quote a post or two where ya feel I might be stilted?
Sloonei wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:08 am
staypositivefriend wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:03 am (perhaps i should be taking a closer look at my read on Son Of Anarch - i wrote him off as town almost immediately when i have no idea what his range is like or how competent of a wolf he is)
I was having this thought just a moment before I read your post. My current stance is that Son of A Narc is town and perfectly agreeable and a helpful voice in the thread. But he's also new to me, but clearly not new to the game, and a player in that position could very quickly and easily disarm us if they know what buttons to push.

This is not something I would take action on right now, but it is something I would be mindful of if the game begins to take a shape that we do not like.
Hey man, I'm tellin' you all to be scared of me :) I'm not scum this game, but I can tell you all that I'm not half-bad.
Dolby wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:49 am
sig wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 10:00 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 9:07 pm Oh and by the way, I was kinda thinkin' about this earlier.

Isn't it better for the fruit vendor to claim right away? Basically an IC, yeah? Could have me (the watcher) go on 'em too. I know it's delayed mechanics and all, but still useful as long as I'm not killed.

And for everyone's efforts on this page, I'm gonna slap a small townread on all of you good folk right away. I'm warning ya though, my mind changes easily, but gettin' good vibes from this crowd. I like Jimmy's idea too, about Stayposi being naturally on guard about his early buddy-buddy with her. He seems like a good player, so I think her being naturally curious about all of that is pretty nice as far as ground zero reads go.
Hate this post, I’m always against claiming earlier especially d1
Weird callout. Especially since Anarch already established themselves as pro-mech claim where they claimed watcher. Just takes the call for fruit vendor to claim, which isn't bad, and strips away a past context which makes it look better.

Townreads Dizzy

Don't care about the response to the SPF stuff.
sig wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 6:18 pm Also son of arch is just doing a very obvious omgus and salty that I disagree with others on his town rwae
would have to read for context

Basically the whole ISO is being defensive and talking about Anarch. I strongly dislike the sus on Anarch from sig, nor do I like that beyond the Dizzy toneread it's the only thing he's put out. There is space to improve since he hasn't backread but does not look good.
I appreciate your analysis here, Dolby. Keep sheepin' my reads and I'll take care of ya, although I gotta say, I kept confusin' you for ilario here because of the avatar.
I don't think any of the spoiled bits are that important and to be honest with you all, the quoting on this website is a bit difficult/hard to keep up, so I'm just gonna be talkin' about things without quotes and then if ya need me to quote for whatever reason, just ask me.

@ilario I think Marmot's recent posts are alright. It doesn't really sway me one way or the other. I guess you could say his posts are mostly safe, but not really that scummy t'me. I know that's kinda avoiding givin' a direct answer, but probably wouldn't feel comfortable labeling the dude one way or the other.

And Sloonei man, I honestly don't know what you're tryin' to say there. I get you don't want to enforce a read on Jimmy or make people think you have to follow your read, but I think from my perspective it seems pretty obvious that ya town read the guy. Reason bein' that you haven't really contested the triad idea, keep askin' leading questions that sorta attempt to guide people towards the read, and I don't think you'd give Jimmy this much thread control if ya thought the guy was scum, eh? So I don't get why you're makin' such a big deal about not givin' a read on him.

Dyslexicon had a good point earlier by the way. I know ya guys haven't ever played with me, but I think some of my posts here are pretty hard to fake as scum just in general. I'd listen to the good man here and town read me to make the game easier on you all :) Hah, but if you don't wanna that's okay too. I just wanna remind you all though that cowboys are good at catchin' criminals.

Also, I accept my place in the triad with you Ilario. I was readin' over your ISO earlier and I'm thinkin' you're just town. Reason being that I think some of your ideas and posts are just too whacky to be scum and your confidence is so fire. I know I said earlier confidence could be scum-indicative, but it's the kinda confidence that's enforced for the sake of pushin' the game along and not the kind of confidence I see a wolf present in order to be town read. Dyslexicon seems like a pretty cool dude as well, high-energy and all. Not that that makes someone town, but I've seen him present a few reads or push in a few directions that I feel like would be pretty ballsy to do, also everyone else seems to town read him and I doubt the whole thread would be wrong on that sorta read since he seems to be a regular on the site.

Here's a reads list for everyone's trouble by the way (it's not ordered between tiers):

Stayposi
Ilario
Jimmy
Dyslexicon
NAA

-------

Dolby
Sloonei
Marmot
Falcon

-------

G-man
Johanna

-------

Lime Coke
TSP

-------

sig
Son of Anarch wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 5:18 pm And yeah gonna echo my pal Dyslexicon’s take here. No way I’m votin’ Ilario here and he’s decently town read by everyone, so you’re admittin’ to just making a vanity vote.
Son of Anarch wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:37 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:33 pm I just ran through the end of the day and frankly found it meaningless. That doesn't necessarily mean the posts cannot be assessed meaningfully, but that's why I don't care to play ketchup. The thread becomes a contextless void to me.

Would anyone be able to describe for me, as you saw it, the progression of events/posts/whatever that caused falcon to become a wagon? I poked in here and there when my phone was dying and saw votes on him, but had no context in the moment.
It's simple. Falcon Man at end of day voted Ilario, when my pal Dizzy told him no one was gonna vote Ilario he basically said that "you never know". Then when me and Dizzy gave him the ol' 1-2 vote and Stayposi joined in, he accused two of us of bein' mafia. One being me, as he scum read me earlier and the other person bein'... TBD... I don't think he ever clarified who the second scum on him was. So that gave me the confidence to just hold my vote and to watch what happened.
Son of Anarch wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 8:17 pm Eh... If I had t'pick 4 people. Now that's really tough, but I'm gonna say right now it'd have to be...

Dizzy
Jimmy
Ilario

and for the fourth... I'm not too certain here. Maybe someone I haven't looked into too much but got good vibes from like Dolby or heck, even Johanna. That might be jumpin' the gun though. I think I'll slot Dolby in there.
Son of Anarch wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 9:25 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 9:21 pm
Son of Anarch wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 9:18 pm Care to elaborate about what you mean when ya say "dissonance"? Are the tiers ordered?
The tiers themselves are ordered, but the names within each tier are not.

The "dissonance" refers to my inability to come to a solid conclusion with how I sort the names. There's a clash between gut and brain with you and ilario especially. Given the current game state it strikes me as inherently more likely than it did 24 hours ago (beyond just the sig flip) that one+ of you is mafia. Otherwise I would have to be wrong about one+ of my stronger town reads.
Well Jimmy boy, maybe you are wrong on one of your stronger townreads 'cause I'm definitely town here and I'm pretty sure my boy ilario is also town. But to tell ya the truth, even though I'm havin' my doubts on Sloonei, I can't fault ya for townreadin' the guy here. So I gotta say... go with your heart and your brain. If I'm bein' bamboozled by ilario I take responsibility for that, but right now I don't think I am. Maybe this is just a super simple game and we got it wrong day 1, yeah? I feel like we haven't heard enough from a lot of the people in the POE.
Son of Anarch wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:54 pm What makes ya guys think ilario would poison Stayposi? Is there somethin' I'm missin' here?
Son of Anarch wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:15 pm I gotta be honest with ya. You guys have posted A LOT today and I'm not used to posting being this fast. This is due to shorter phases on this website for sure, which I'm still adjusting too. So, I'm gonna be honest here and admit I have not read everythin' and just skimmed what I missed.

To answer your question though Jimmy, I think ilario is town. I actually can't understand why people are freakin' out so much either. sig was scummy, but never a sure shot. The fact people are goin' crazy and sayin' we need to flip our world view doesn't sit right with me at all. Now if ilario keeps leading me down a wrong path or I keep missin', I'll look over it some more, but I trust him for now.
Son of Anarch wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:28 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:21 pm I was just about to bring something up about Anarch that might’ve ended me and Ilario’s mindmeld lol. But yeah, you’ve seemed more in the backseat this day. Though I guess you addressed that.

Question though: What do you think Ilario’s intentions of giving you (and me) a lock town read in the way that he does? Cause for me, I just can’t really see any ill intent in that. OR basically: How do you feel about our triad?
I feel good about the triad. I think you and ilario are the two people I've been trustin' the most so far and I don't really have any reason to doubt that right now. I'm in the backseat 'cause of the high-volume of posts, bein' a lot busier with work now that it's not a weekend, and just generally not bein' too worried about the game state. I don't think ilario had ill intentions behind lockin' us town, but I do want to point out that that is a pretty loaded question. 'Cause either his intentions are pure and he's town or they're not and he's mafia. I'm thinkin' he's town so I'm thinkin' his intentions are pure. It would be pretty brave for a mafia to try and form an alliance like that, but not impossible. However, part of the reason I even trust him so much is because you're also in this "triad" with me and since I have reasons to think you're town, that at least means I'm not gettin' suckered in by two mafia. If he's pocketin', he's pocketin' both of us and that's way less embarrassin' to me.
Son of Anarch wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:58 pm I don't know if the Johanna, ilario, Dolby, G-Man team works though. That's all three of the 0-posters day 1 in one team, which seems unlikely. Although not impossible I guess due to how thread felt before they started postin'

The strong town read is reciprocated and never really reassessed (SoA hasn't reassessed much of anything since Day 1). I do think isolated moments here again could be okay, and again it's when SoA is speaking directly to ilario instead of about ilario. Those tend to look more like pocket efforts in an SoA-mafia universe. Nonetheless, the connection between these two players is constant and irrefutable, and unique enough just for its strength in the absence of clear development. It sprung from the ether.

~~~

Do they fit?

This is perhaps the toughest judgment call of all. If they're mafia teammates, they've dedicated more mutual effort to shielding each other than I would expect to see in most games. My trouble is that it would also represent my exact preferred strategy if I rolled mafia in an 11 vs. 4. If ilario had begun to reassess this a cycle sooner as Dizzy did I would be more comfortable. I am calling them compatible, at least "yellow".
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:44 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Do ilario and G-Man fit together as mafia teammates?

From ilario

Spoiler: show
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 9:30 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 7:32 pm Exercise for all:

Please tell me how many mafia are contained in the set of zero posters?

[Dolby, G-Man, Johanna]
I’ll know the answer once they start posting :p
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:18 am
G-Man wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 9:30 am Thoughts through page 10:

SPF
-64: good questions
-69: also good
-111: color me intrigued
-164: ew adverbs; meh
So gang, are we gonna tr the dumbtell on spf here?
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 12:11 pm
Sloonei wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 12:06 pm
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 12:02 pm
Sloonei wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 12:01 pm
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:57 am You and jay mostly slid just because I found Johanna and NAA to be very towny today. At which point I reached a threshold of having too many townreads. At that point I asked myself who am I more likely to be misreading. On one hand I have players such as Johanna, naa, soa who seem relatively new to FM. On the other hand I have seasoned vets with a decade worth of experience who were are commanding voices in the game that’s leading us to a poe that I don’t feel all to comfortable with. At that point I figured it’s likely that I’m misreading someone in the latter.
That is not an unfair thought process. But I am town, and I am confident at the present that Jay is too.

I will not ask you to adopt a town read on either of if it is not what you feel in your heart. But I think, rather than dealing in accusations, we talk about that aforementioned POE. You say you have not felt comfortable with the direction it has been going. Excluding Jay and myself (for the sake of this mental exercise), what other changes would you make?

Well what’s the current poe looking like fypov ? I’ll tell you what I’ll add in fmpov
I am specifically asking about what you perceived the POE to be at the time that you decided you were uncomfortable with. At the moment you began to distrust SloonJay, what specifically was the source of that distrust?
I perceived the poe to be mostly the low posters/some combination of gman/dolby/marmot/Johanna/naa
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 12:15 pm
Sloonei wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 12:12 pm
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 12:11 pm I perceived the poe to be mostly the low posters/some combination of gman/dolby/marmot/Johanna/naa
How would you rank those players?
I would rank the Johanna and naa pretty highly

I thought marmot was town yesterday, if u and jjj are both town and If I am misreading someone then it’s probably marmot

Gman/Dolby id be shocked if there isn’t Atleast one scum in that pair
ilario wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 5:15 am
staypositivefriend wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 5:11 am
ilario wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:22 am
staypositivefriend wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:54 am @ilario -

when you get the chance, could you please discuss your read on lime coke in more detail? it is true that you briefly engaged with lime coke about your concerns, (https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewt ... 18#p855818), accepted lime coke's explanation, (https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewt ... 33#p855833), and then brought up the exact same concern a dayphase later. is there anything else about lime coke that you find especially concerning?

the question here, i think, is whether or not it's wolfy for ilario to wolfread lime coke with that specific reasoning. given that:

A. illario had a pretty gradual build-up of suspicion of lime coke throughout his ISO

B. illario made other posts that implied his issues with lime coke extended beyond: "i don't like he outed his read on me" (https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewt ... 727#p85572)

C. illario tends to read other players based on how they are reading him

i do not think that his read on lime coke is inherently wolfy. it fits with whatever conception i have of what an "illario wolfread" looks like. i find it believable that the read could come from ilario as a villager, but it would help me a lot if he was more specific about his concerns
A) the sus wasn’t build up. It was there from the beginning, I just didn’t want to express it immediately because I hate it when people gang up on lc regardless of his alignment. I wanted him to settle into the game first to avoid any potential toxicity.

B) my other reasons are not anything unique to what’s already been said. I didn’t like when he mentioned there’s slots scummier than himself as a way to defend himself, but this has already been mentioned. And his initial tr on sloonei also felt awkward to me.

I’m similar to you in that I haven’t seen that eureka moment where lcs towniness hits me, and that usually happens fairly early when he’s town
mm okay, who would u say ur top suspicion is right now outside of lime coke?
Gman probably but that’s boring
ilario wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:42 am Hmmmm I think gman is the most likely to be a hit fmpov
ilario wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 12:34 pm Oh well I just voted:gman and I see that my top towns and sloonei are on Dolby, if y’all want me to change lmk
ilario wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:19 pm Gmans recent posts have been pretty decent, decent enough for me to want to reconsider my read on him actually
ilario wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:22 pm
G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 6:57 pm Tripping up a little over Ilario. For me, they are about a 75% null read. It's a new face to me, in a game full of new faces to me, so it's tough.

This post...
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 9:42 pm Fwiw I think it’s a dangerous road to go down if we already expect the zero posters to be scum heavy, or set an expectation that there’s a high number of scum in the zero posters. Whilst I feel good about the towncore atm the best indicator of that we are going astray would be if the zero posters come in and start towntelling. But I feel as though if we already have an arbitrary expectation that the zero posters will be scum heavy then we set ourselves to a bias and almost predispose ourselves to finding them more scummy than they actually might be once they do start speaking. I think if you approach someone with the mentality of thinking they’re likely to be scum then you’re more likely to misread them.
...I like more on the ISO review, because it's an honest assessment of the potential pitfalls of all the TR lovefest vibes from the first half of Day 1. I don't know that I would bother stringing something like that together if I was a baddie.

I do have a question for @ilario however:

You've been pretty agreeable with the consensus that I am a good chop choice, but why? If it's simply because you've already filled too many civvie slots with other people in your mind, haven't you betrayed your aforementioned admonition? Point to something qualitative that suggests I am a baddie. Otherwise, it seems like you're glomming along with me as an easy chop, which makes me want to hold you in my POE still.
LOLLLLL that’s trippy that I see this post from you right after I made a post walking back my read on you. Honestly my original viewpoint on you was that I had almost no reason to tr you for, and then I saw some of your posts on this page(57) and now I’m not sure

Most of the meaningful development in ilario's G-Man read has occurred during this day phase, so it's difficult to do much with that. Prior, ilario maintained a general suspicion on G-Man in most cases except for the single "dumb-tell" assertion on Day 2. I find this stuff kind of non-descript and not "bad". It's hard to draw a lot of confidence from it.

From G-Man

Spoiler: show
G-Man wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:44 pm Thoughts through now:

ILARIO
-77: post count padding? Quite agreeable
-113: too much emphasis on entrance (not limited to just ilario)
-192: a little too forward-thinking and helpful without focusing on the here and now
-304: way too soft an acceptance of Dys
-337: rather over-explainy
-587- spot on
-702: hmm
-750: an awful lot to explain a tr on Jay because he tr’s you
-963: eod camper
G-Man wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:58 pm ILARIO
Lots of threadspew. Sometimes it's brief, but there's an over-explaining quality in some posts that catch my eye. I am guilty of trying to be too perfect at times in my posts as a baddie, so it's a quality that catches my eye when I see it in others. He also popped in near EOD and camped out. To me, it was a bit conspicuous rather than natural. I'll have to go back if I can and re-read his content from when he popped in to see if that's something I can double down on.
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:10 am Transferring all that to solidify a 6-and-6 format, I arrive at these groupings (alphabetical order, not ranked):

TOWN:
-Dolby
-Dyslexicon
-Marmot
-NotAnAxehole
-Sloonei
-TonyStarkPrime


POE:
-Falcon
-Ilario
-JaggedJimmyJay
-Johanna
-Lime Coke
-SOA
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 9:05 am Theory time:

When I look at Lime Coke's recent evolution on Falcon...

Spoiler: show
Lime Coke wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:36 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:33 pm Lime Coke, when you finish sharing your ketchup, it’d be super if you could give some baseline reads much like I asked from G-Man. Top town and/or mafia reads.
I'm building that up as we speak.

Dizzy is top town if you want a preview.

Falcon could be mafia based on that pop in during that small CFD attempt.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:19 am There's 1 in Falcon/Illario.

But I'm leaning a lot on Illario currently.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:34 am
staypositivefriend wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:31 am
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:27 am SPF
TSP
Axe

Dizzy
JJJ
Sloonei

SonofAnarch
Dolby

G-Man
Marmot
Illario/Falcon (T v W combo here)


@JaggedJimmyJay

This is my list.

Clears

Strong towns

Mid tier

Scum tier.
do you mind talking a little bit about why you think illario/falcon is T v W specifically? why can't they be wolves together?

also, if illario wasn't getting chopped today, who would you wanna vote next?
Because Falcon's just planting his vote on Illario both day phases and not moving. I know both can do well with distancing but that would kinda be ridiculous? Don't you think?

Next vote is either the opposite side of that spectrum with Falcon. Seeing the sudden pop in when he had the CFD placed on him.

Or Marmot.

If Falcon is mafia Marmot is town because Falcon had that weird "Marmot being silent is deafening" post when it was only 2 hours into Day 2.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:13 am [VOTE: Falcon] aubergine

I don't know what to think honestly.

If SPF has a better solve I'll listen.

Otherwise I'm thrown a bit for a loop.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:41 am In terms of my scumreads-

I might only have one.

Since Illario might end up being town.

Falcon has to be mafia. His fixation on Illario and voting him for 2 days straight is very awkward.
falcon45ca wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 10:42 pm Marmot's silence is deafening
This line from Falcon is kinda gross just based on the merit of him posting this 2 hours after the day started. Like could be timezone difference or whatever reasoning he's not going to be here at SOD every day for every game. Feels like he'd be stacking the deck in order to have his viewpoint look solid.

Last thing is the fact that the CFD wagon started on Falcon, and 2 minutes after SPF is the third vote on the wagon, Falcon appears with a post.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:44 am My issue is that literally every game I play with Falcon I end up scumreading the guy, and that's probably this playstyle difference on this site compared to other games that I normally play.

Like so many town players just look scummy by playstyle.

It makes so many of these players such a >rand flip.

...my mind considers the following:

1) Lime Coke and Falcon are teammates.

2) Lime Coke, seeing that Falcon is on enough radars, adds Falcon to his radar.

3) In short order, Lime Coke puts Falcon deep in his POE, but makes Falcon part of an either/or scenario with a civvie he thinks he can build a case on for a mischop (ilario). This would allow him to save face and go after Falcon if his preferred mischop target gets chopped first.

4) When his ilario case implodes, Lime Coke is forced to double down on his teammate Falcon and votes there.


5) He adds a little hedge at the end to give him a potential reason to not vote for Falcon at the end if it comes to that.


Is this too Mafia 101 and I should give up playing with the jumbo crayons? Or does this pass the sniff test? Poke holes in it please.



I want to look at the folks in my POE today as time allows (which it won't for the most part). This is what struck me when looking at Lime Coke. The placement of JJJ in my POE is among the softest, so I don't think I will go down that road further until the game develops more (preferably with me still in it). That leaves four more folks to consider yet.
G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 6:57 pm Tripping up a little over Ilario. For me, they are about a 75% null read. It's a new face to me, in a game full of new faces to me, so it's tough.

This post...
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 9:42 pm Fwiw I think it’s a dangerous road to go down if we already expect the zero posters to be scum heavy, or set an expectation that there’s a high number of scum in the zero posters. Whilst I feel good about the towncore atm the best indicator of that we are going astray would be if the zero posters come in and start towntelling. But I feel as though if we already have an arbitrary expectation that the zero posters will be scum heavy then we set ourselves to a bias and almost predispose ourselves to finding them more scummy than they actually might be once they do start speaking. I think if you approach someone with the mentality of thinking they’re likely to be scum then you’re more likely to misread them.
...I like more on the ISO review, because it's an honest assessment of the potential pitfalls of all the TR lovefest vibes from the first half of Day 1. I don't know that I would bother stringing something like that together if I was a baddie.

I do have a question for @ilario however:

You've been pretty agreeable with the consensus that I am a good chop choice, but why? If it's simply because you've already filled too many civvie slots with other people in your mind, haven't you betrayed your aforementioned admonition? Point to something qualitative that suggests I am a baddie. Otherwise, it seems like you're glomming along with me as an easy chop, which makes me want to hold you in my POE still.

There's some interesting stuff here. I highlighted in yellow a section that I think might be a decent signal that they're not mafia teammates. G-Man was theorizing with some degree of complexity about Lime Coke as a mafioso (possibly teamed with falcon), and a significant portion of G-Man's theory was contingent on the idea that Lime Coke wanted to force a mischop on ilario. If G-Man is mafia, this could be a TMI moment. There are a lot of moving pieces there, so I will temper that assertion.

G-Man's view of ilario this day phase is "75% null" in a thick pair of paragraphs that waffles around the circuit once over and seems to conclude with some sort of "suspicion". Given how recent this content is, I hesitate to make too many assumptions.

~~~

Do they fit?

This one is hard for me to interpret. If you ask me for a gun-to-head take, I would say they're not both mafia. I don't feel a lot of confidence in saying so. They're a "yellow" on the chart.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:38 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:16 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:04 pm @NotAnAxehole I know you weren't sold on falcon being mafia, and I am not entirely sold either. Are you mostly inclined to insert ilario in his place, or is there more to your current view?
Yeah, I mostly see falcon SoA as incompatible. I need to review why maybe, but it was a confident read.

Ilario in that slot makes a lot of sense.
If your team is Dolby, G-Man, SoA, ilario, do you know at the moment who you'd name as the 5th member of the full POE pool?
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:29 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Do ilario and falcon45ca fit together as mafia teammates?

From ilario

Spoiler: show
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:39 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:34 pm
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:32 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:31 pm
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:28 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:20 pm
Sloonei wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 11:58 am

Let’s stabilize those vitals by talking about anti-town reads, falcon. What have you got?
Right off the bat Ilario is pinging me. Several of their posts seem cute, cuddly and fuzzy. It might be just their pic, but me no wrikey.



If I advance this theory even further, then Marmot is scum too.
LMAOO this is the first time my posting style has been described as cute,cuddly or fuzzy

<3 owo
Anyone who adds 3 extra o's to lmao is cute n' cuddly
i almost never used to speak like this until my most recent gf so you have her to blame lol
GF affecting the way you speak is also cute n' cuddly.




Do you 2 watch Frozen together and finish each other's sandwiches?
Isn’t that normal :p I do that with even my bro friends
ilario wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 11:27 am
falcon45ca wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 11:16 am
ilario wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 11:03 am say we elim 2 towns back to back, then would you entertain the idea of him being in a poll?
These kind of questions are tire spinners....there's a whole game to be played in between these 2 hypothetical mislynches, and that is what we should be using to determine a player being in the POE
i know, the question was just a round-about way of me trying to assess the confidence of JJJs read on sloonei
ilario wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:19 pm Well it’s 2am here and imma go sleep. I have class early tomorrow but I’ll probably be able to get in for a bit to put a vote down. A lot can change between now and then and rather putting an uninformed vote I’m gonna trust my vote to the triad. @Son of Anarch @Dyslexicon my vote is all yours just ping me with your thoughts sometime towards eod and I’m Happy to sheep for today.

My only person poe rn probably looks
Something like tsp/lime(sadly this might be the first time I sr you on a day 1 like ever so I hope I’m not wrong)/maybe falcon or dolby, potentially sig?

But yeah I’d imagine a lot will change from now till eod so imma ride it out with the triad.
ilario wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 6:20 pm Weird...I’m not sure what to make of falcons vote on me...
ilario wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 6:34 pm Hmmm I think sigs iso is slightly more concerning to me than falcons

I’ll give it 10-15 mins if anyone wants to change my mind but I’ll probably vote sig by the end of that
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:20 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:22 pm Ah man, can't say I'm stoked about that at all. My Internet was down until around this aftenoon so backreadin' wasn't really possible for me. I'm gonna say though that I still think Falcon Man's EOD wasn't the greatest and I'd like to hear some of the other thoughts on that.

Another interestin' thing is that if SPF is poisoned that might reflect well on the triad 'cause they were kinda all huddlin' together, yeah? Normally if you're tryin' to pocket someone you don't kill them. That's just a basic read though.
Ngl I have a bad habit of townreading people who push me when I think I’m being obvious town because it’s usually not an angle most mafia take. Though that pass is only valid for a day so imma need more than just that from falcon today
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:07 am
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:59 am
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:19 am
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:13 am
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:45 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 10:58 pm I've skimmed through the ISOs purely looking for mechanical things, no content analysis (I don't know if it's needed actually)

Most town leaning evidence (in order):

JJJ

Sloonei

Dyslexicon

Dolby Falcon Marmott

LimeCoke Ilario

TSP

Johanna

G-man

Normally, I would suggest killing from the bottom up, but Ilario did something this game that I almost exclusively do as mafia, so I'm going to go look at some other games and check.

Lmao wtf? How did you go from wanting to elim jjj/sloonei into having them as ur top trs
Town's reads adjust as the game progresses, it's harder for Maf to do the same. Good look for NAA IMO.



It seems you're only addressing this post tho cuz' of the shade NAA's thrown on you
He did it in a matter of minutes lol
Wait, it was over 2hrs later??


Matter of minutes my ass
The quotes were very close to each other so I assumed it was right after each other
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:19 am [VOTE: falcon
]
aubergine
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:37 am
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:27 am
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:19 am [VOTE: falcon
]
aubergine
:haha:
I have a feeling I’m going to regret asking this. But let me try anyway. Did you read the end of the day yesterday? I had the perfect opportunity to vote you and have you elimmed, has that factored at all in your read of me?
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:47 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:39 am
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:32 am That is correct, but the hole in that plan is that I do not trust your ability to read at.
This is a joke right? I posted this:

JJJ

Sloonei

Dyslexicon

Dolby Falcon Marmott

LimeCoke Ilario

TSP

Johanna

G-man

We both agree on the top 3, and TSP claim was something I didn't have at the time, so I remove them and it's more like:

Dolby Falcon Marmott

LimeCoke Ilario

Johanna

G-man

Now we have 2 mischops left, so let's just assume you and Johanna are mischops for a moment, my PoE still grants us a 50% shot at victory from a position where 7 players are voting 7 different ways which I guarantee is a lower probability than what I've got in my PoE.

I'm taking Falcon out as my town (which you disagree with) - but by your own reads, you can't come to the conclusion that my reads are bad when your only objection to it being a winning PoE is Falcon being removed. Like, your argument about "Well I can't trust your reads, but I'm trying to cooperate" is such B.S.

I don't get what you're missing or if it's just that you belong in my PoE and this PoE is winning. Like you ask me to explain my read (this is not the read that lead me to the conclusion), but the conclusion is that your play around me makes no sense, you still refuse to even surface level digest my PoE.

My dude, how do you expect anyone to take your poe seriously or anything you do when it takes excruciating amounts of hair pulling to get something remotely workable from you?

Sure let me digest your poe, tell me what makes everyone in your poe scummy so I can help digest it. Tell me why you are so confident in ur top towns so I can digest that. Tell me why you feel so strongly about falcon. I can’t digest what I don’t know
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 9:44 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 9:34 pm Anyway @ilario I respect the hustle, and you should sort your feelings however you wish.

I’d be stoked if you could tell me what you think of my proposed solve though.
Hmmmm I think it’s a decent solve, I feel better on the first three names of each solve being hits

Falcons tunneling on me as much as I don’t understand it feels a little towny to me so idk about him anymore
ilario wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 4:27 am
staypositivefriend wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:50 pm 1-2 wolves in dolby/g-man, 1 wolf in illario/limecoke, 1-2 wolves in falcon/SoA/TSP
disagree on the last part
ilario wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:43 am And then afterwards I’d probably explore into falcon/Dolby
ilario wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 12:33 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 12:31 pm
ilario wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 12:28 pm I think the best piece of evidence I can give to clear myself is that if I was mafia I would just poison myself so I don’t have to read NAAs posts anymore
What?



Do you think he's Maf or Town?
I think He’s town which is why I’m looking for that sweet poison to put me out of my misery

This analysis might not be especially necessary, as it seems apparent by game state that these two don't fit. Nonetheless here are the posts for reference. The separation does begin early, as I don't figure "cute and cuddly" as an accusation is the first of falcon's distancing moves.

Nothing else ilario says here makes me think they're an especially good fit. I'll cut this one off here and move forward.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:25 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

ilario wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:24 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 8:18 pm @ilario just for the log, is Son of Anarch still a town read?
He’s been trending down and down

But that’s mostly because others are trending up and not so much due to the fact that he has done anything I find to be scummy

I think falcons reasoning for all his votes, like his recent vote on gman are all incredibly shallow and in a world where falcon is scum I feel better about soa
I think SoA is much more suspicious than falcon. I think you're closer to falcon than SoA is.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:19 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Do ilario and Dolby fit together as mafia teammates?

From ilario

Spoiler: show
ilario wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 9:30 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 7:32 pm Exercise for all:

Please tell me how many mafia are contained in the set of zero posters?

[Dolby, G-Man, Johanna]
I’ll know the answer once they start posting :p
ilario wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:19 pm Well it’s 2am here and imma go sleep. I have class early tomorrow but I’ll probably be able to get in for a bit to put a vote down. A lot can change between now and then and rather putting an uninformed vote I’m gonna trust my vote to the triad. @Son of Anarch @Dyslexicon my vote is all yours just ping me with your thoughts sometime towards eod and I’m Happy to sheep for today.

My only person poe rn probably looks
Something like tsp/lime(sadly this might be the first time I sr you on a day 1 like ever so I hope I’m not wrong)/maybe falcon or dolby, potentially sig?

But yeah I’d imagine a lot will change from now till eod so imma ride it out with the triad.
ilario wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:43 am And then afterwards I’d probably explore into falcon/Dolby
ilario wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 12:34 pm Oh well I just voted:gman and I see that my top towns and sloonei are on Dolby, if y’all want me to change lmk
ilario wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:13 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 3:01 pm I prefer Dolby over G-Man over SOA. Like, it may matter a lot, but it also may not matter at all.
okayyyyy i trust ur judgement

vote:dolby

The last post there just happened moments ago, so take with a mountain of salt. Otherwise this is nothing and doesn't leave me especially comfortable.

From Dolby

Spoiler: show
Dolby wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 3:49 am Dizzy - looking back I think that some of the stuff that I'm worried about with JJJ applies here
falcon - don't remember a word they've said rn
G-man - same
ilario - towny, triad 2 posts better than posts near start of game
JJJ - have some level of paranoia towards here. This is most relevant in a world where G-Man and Jo are both town
Johanna - null. I don't think their day two entrance changes anything for me wrt to her either (there may be good JJJ points here). The only thing that looks even remotely bad is her characterization of TSP's behavior.
LC - vibes
Marmot - can be town
NAA - hank_scorpio_fire.gif
SOA - vibes
Sloonei - probs good
TSP - town (obv)

gn
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:16 pm TSP
NAA
Johanna - having played with Jo in dozens of games, and given that she isn't a fish out of water rn, I'm pretty confident in her confidence
Ilario - can explain more but something just tells me this isn't scum

idk who my next two town would be but they don't have the same level of confidence as the above
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:25 pm @falcon45ca why is your vote on ilario?

Town read with no expansion. Take it or leave it I guess.

~~~

Do they fit?

I see no reason here why they can't be mafia teammates.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:10 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

I feel like G-Man and SoA are walking on eggshells every time they interact with me. That's less the case with Dolby and falcon.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:05 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Marmot wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 3:10 pm Here's every player sorted by post count on Day 3


Dyslexicon - 113
JaggedJimmyJay - 106
Marmot - 68
NotAnAxehole - 48
TonyStarkPrime - 43
Johanna - 36
falcon45ca - 17
ilario - 13
G-Man - 9
Son of Anarch - 9
Dolby - 0


PoE is still at the bottom
ilario can also be noted low on this one :ninja:
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:04 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

@NotAnAxehole I know you weren't sold on falcon being mafia, and I am not entirely sold either. Are you mostly inclined to insert ilario in his place, or is there more to your current view?
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:01 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:18 pm Are the progressions behind your spoiler tags? (sorry, ISOing so I didn't click to open the tags yet)

Do you explain the shift from yellow to orange for SOA to Dolby and to me? Same question for the shift from light green to yellow between falcon and SOA?
Yes, in each of those posts the spoilers contain all or most of the posts made by the players in question about each other within a single compatibility analysis. The most significant change from the first time I tried is that I was harsher in my assessment of Son of Anarch's connections, and I explain why in the non-spoiled text for each SoA interaction.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:58 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

My "tinfoil team" would be Dolby, SoA, ilario, Dizzy.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:58 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:33 pm Can you be more specific? Like, I feel its clear from my ISO why I suspect the players I do.

I've given why I TR NAA, Sloon (before getting poisoned), and Marmot. Are you asking about if I have other TRs beyond them?

It's hard for me to see Johanna as Maf. She feels like she's earnestly trying to solve the game, not steer or direct it. Ditto Dizzy. They both feel genuine in their approach and their reads feel like they're the product of genuine reflection on players and their interactions.

TSP actually I've not really paid attention to. Between the claim, or lack of thread presence...GTH I'd say he's town as well, cuz' he often pushes my mislynch when he's Maf
I am not worried about reasons for your suspicions. I want to know reasons for your trust. I don't really see it in your ISO, no, at least not clearly. I see a single trustfall exercise on Day 2, but that's for reasond to trust everyone. Why did you trust Sloonei before he became confirmed? Why do you trust Marmot?

If you are not mafia, then I end up in a place where ilario seems like he has to be mafia. And if ilario is mafia, then that at least opens the door for Dyslexicon to be mafia. The game kind of hinges on this problem, and it's why I have you as the least confident of the four names on the mafia list.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:09 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

@G-Man current feelings about Son of Anarch?
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:08 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:04 pm 'Threading the needle' is still an apt description for Johanna's ISO in my eyes. She has been very steady and consistent, but never aggressive. She reads, thinks, and responds. She seems to have a dry, cheeky sense of humor, which matches the subdued tone of he game-related content. I said before that I would like to see her rock the boat a little, but that doesn't seem to be her M.O. here. Her on-point content suits me better than a few other folks, but she still feels a little too at-the-radar for me to embrace her as a full townread.
Worth a response from @Johanna. I’m sure she would without my poke. I just want to acknowledge what G-Man said.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:03 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 9:52 pm @JaggedJimmyJay You've got myself, SoA, Dolby, Gman, and Ilario in a POE of 5?


How are our POEs so similar, yet feel so different? Why does it feel like we're talking right past each other?



Why can't we find each other as town?
I suppose the first thing that would help me if you’re town is to understand how you derived your POE pool. If you’ve chalked up others as town, could you just quickly summarize what inspired those reads? I don’t need a ton.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 9:35 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Image

I did this for two reasons:

1) I wanted to see if anyone could be cleared. If more than one could be, then that'd be a big issue for the collective POE pool. Johanna can be cleared, the others cannot.

2) A more comprehensive review would help me to resolve what I got wrong the first time. I think I was too kind in the SoA interactions the first time. I believe the following team fits very well:

Son of Anarch, Dolby, G-Man, falcon

and in that order (from most confident to least confident fits).

Given that the POE pool can still run 5-deep, and I am removing Johanna, I can add someone in her place. The obvious emerging name would be ilario. I hope we can talk about it as a group though.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 9:31 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

General conclusion:

Johanna should not be in the POE pool. She is town. She doesn't fit with the rest of the people in the pool. Anyone who thinks she should be in the POE can by all means protest and let me know where you disagree, but I don't see it right now. I also think she just looks like town at face value.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 9:30 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Do Johanna and Son of Anarch fit together as mafia teammates?

From Johanna

Spoiler: show
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:57 am I know I said falcon is probably my #1 suspect but that's largely a function of not really having any. As I said, the ones who've made posts that struck me as odd in a bad way are Lime Coke and SoA.
Spoiler: show
I'd like to call him Limey.
Spoiler: show
But that'd be rude.
TSP definitely posted oddly, but not knowing them at all and given the consistency of it I am happy to chalk it up to posting style. Suggesting that a vt claim watcher was fantastic,
Spoiler: show
Thanks Marmot, I forgot that over the night.
they defended someone who was basically tilted for their entire stay on thread and thus were an easy mischop. It was not clear then and I'm not sure why he didn't say his clear was based on meta, but he was right, and his D2 so far just makes him townier.

I hate how NAA is playing but I don't see reason to characterise that as scummy. Confrontational and antagonising, sure. Again I chalk it up to posting style, although in this case I don't think there are reasons to towncore him. Neither are there reasons to suspect him.

So falcon. Yeah, I don't have reasons to think he's a wolf per se, either, and especially now that it's become apparent he's not very well caught up. In my experience, wolves are just as often boldly pushing names as they are cute and cuddly,
Spoiler: show
I mean, they are. falcon's main D1 point doesn't really hold.
but what they try to do is to be up to date.

I don't think I can in good conscience vote for a 2-poster. Nobody can say whether they're scum or not based on two posts. So you know, I'm not reading that slot, but it is true that if they don't show up soon they'll have to be up for the chop. I'm just saying give them a chance to show up.

That's the most questionable bit about NAA, his easy-going willingness to lock wolfreads on nothing but literal thin air.
Johanna wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:24 pm I think the worst posts of yesterday were Lime's burst, although NAI, and SonofAnarch's "you mean you think our interation is t/t" post, which was awkward.

However the more consistently not so great person is falcon. I like some of the things he said and he raised some valid points (like pointing out said weird SoA post), but it is true that he is mostly being contrarian and that's easy to fake.

A priori he seems a good wolf candidate as someone with some thread presence who gets noticed but not a lot of attention.

I am actually intrigued by TSP. Either he was TMIng sig or he just had the right idea. I lean towards the second, at least for now.

Generally I think there have been bad posts and people with bizarre moments but nobody who has been overtly or outright scummy. Kind of glad I got to avoid having to make a bad choice, although I think I would have leant falcon. There has to be at least one wolf in the towncore (why not two) but I wouldn't know where to look.

Also, I kow understand why Dyslexicon gets abbreviated to Dizzy instead of Dys. That was too many posts...
Johanna wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:38 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:34 pm
Johanna wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:24 pm I think the worst posts of yesterday were Lime's burst, although NAI, and SonofAnarch's "you mean you think our interation is t/t" post, which was awkward.

However the more consistently not so great person is falcon. I like some of the things he said and he raised some valid points (like pointing out said weird SoA post), but it is true that he is mostly being contrarian and that's easy to fake.

A priori he seems a good wolf candidate as someone with some thread presence who gets noticed but not a lot of attention.

I am actually intrigued by TSP. Either he was TMIng sig or he just had the right idea. I lean towards the second, at least for now.

Generally I think there have been bad posts and people with bizarre moments but nobody who has been overtly or outright scummy. Kind of glad I got to avoid having to make a bad choice, although I think I would have leant falcon. There has to be at least one wolf in the towncore (why not two) but I wouldn't know where to look.

Also, I kow understand why Dyslexicon gets abbreviated to Dizzy instead of Dys. That was too many posts...
This is one of those posts that doesn't say much with a whole lot of words.
Well I guess I lied, SoA would be my first suspect for a deepwolf precisely because of that weird post. They were pretty good for the rest of the day though, so I wouldn't jump there immediately.
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:33 am I think I've said lots of things.

If what you want is reads I think SoA and Lime Coke are probably the most dubious consensus town reads, Dolby is a good bean so I want to see him around more, and I don't have anything to judge G-Man by.

TSP and SPF are my lock townreads, then JJJ, you (Sloonei), Dizzy, probably NAA goes here, Ilario, Dolby, Limey/SoA, falcon, I have no read on G-Man... and I completely forgot Marmot existed. Is that normal?
Spoiler: show
It can't be normal
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:05 am I think as stated yesterday, that JJJ and Sloonei are always the same alignment. Therefore, JJJ town.

Why is TSP alive is my biggest question. I'm not chopping an uncontested claim but still. I briefly voted G-Man after Dizzy's claim but I'm on No Vote as I try to sort out my thoughts.

I think in my first catch up post I already indicated SoA as a most likely wolf in the D1 towncore and D2 did not alleviate those suspicions so I am very happy to go there.

I always want to see more of Dolby, I stil feel like I haven't seen enough from him but I might need to bow to the consensus that he should be chopped.

I am very flip floppy on Falcon. He often feels performative but he also has many posts that ring honest.

I do not know G-Man.

I feel like J's PoE might contain up to three wolves rather than all four, but I really can't say who the fourth would be and who in the PoE would not be a wolf I think there's reasonable doubt on all of them to scum read them but also there is very little certainty.

Finally, I'm off
Spoiler: show
to watch Dune.
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:06 am Anyway, I'm voting [VOTE: SonofAnarch] aubergine for now.
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 2:49 pm
Marmot wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 2:46 pm I don't know if I'm ready to call G-Man scum yet. I think he was put in an unfair position to work out of given his inability to participate at all Day 1, and his presumably limited time to contribute since.

That said, I'd prefer a yeet of Son of Anarch, Dolby, or falcon, not necessarily in that order. I think they all have a lot more working against them based on their own behavior.
My preferred chop is SoA, but I'm not going to go on a vanity wagon. I share your same concerns and I have voiced them repeatedly.
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 3:15 pm [VOTE: Son of Anarch] aubergine

Johanna's immediate reception of SoA when she joined the game was a negative one, albeit vaguely so. She didn't promote his demise necessarily, though she is clearly doing so on Day 3. I wouldn't say this is super conclusive, but if it points anywhere it points toward non-alignment.

From Son of Anarch

Spoiler: show
Son of Anarch wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 10:36 am
Spoiler: show
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:06 am Son of Anarch is an interesting case. I think that, on a holistic level, he looks pretty decent. There are some isolated moments where he might be a bit s t i l t e d though. I think I could even be reading him that way as a byproduct of his penchant for replacing the "ing" with " in' ". Replacin' as it were. I know that's dumb, but I'm just trying to make sense of a dumb concept like "stilted".

Still generally a town read, just with a bit more trepidation than some others have shown.
Hey Jimmy, I appreciate the town read n' all, even if it's comin' with some strings attached. Can ya maybe quote a post or two where ya feel I might be stilted?
Sloonei wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:08 am
staypositivefriend wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:03 am (perhaps i should be taking a closer look at my read on Son Of Anarch - i wrote him off as town almost immediately when i have no idea what his range is like or how competent of a wolf he is)
I was having this thought just a moment before I read your post. My current stance is that Son of A Narc is town and perfectly agreeable and a helpful voice in the thread. But he's also new to me, but clearly not new to the game, and a player in that position could very quickly and easily disarm us if they know what buttons to push.

This is not something I would take action on right now, but it is something I would be mindful of if the game begins to take a shape that we do not like.
Hey man, I'm tellin' you all to be scared of me :) I'm not scum this game, but I can tell you all that I'm not half-bad.
Dolby wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:49 am
sig wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 10:00 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 9:07 pm Oh and by the way, I was kinda thinkin' about this earlier.

Isn't it better for the fruit vendor to claim right away? Basically an IC, yeah? Could have me (the watcher) go on 'em too. I know it's delayed mechanics and all, but still useful as long as I'm not killed.

And for everyone's efforts on this page, I'm gonna slap a small townread on all of you good folk right away. I'm warning ya though, my mind changes easily, but gettin' good vibes from this crowd. I like Jimmy's idea too, about Stayposi being naturally on guard about his early buddy-buddy with her. He seems like a good player, so I think her being naturally curious about all of that is pretty nice as far as ground zero reads go.
Hate this post, I’m always against claiming earlier especially d1
Weird callout. Especially since Anarch already established themselves as pro-mech claim where they claimed watcher. Just takes the call for fruit vendor to claim, which isn't bad, and strips away a past context which makes it look better.

Townreads Dizzy

Don't care about the response to the SPF stuff.
sig wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 6:18 pm Also son of arch is just doing a very obvious omgus and salty that I disagree with others on his town rwae
would have to read for context

Basically the whole ISO is being defensive and talking about Anarch. I strongly dislike the sus on Anarch from sig, nor do I like that beyond the Dizzy toneread it's the only thing he's put out. There is space to improve since he hasn't backread but does not look good.
I appreciate your analysis here, Dolby. Keep sheepin' my reads and I'll take care of ya, although I gotta say, I kept confusin' you for ilario here because of the avatar.
I don't think any of the spoiled bits are that important and to be honest with you all, the quoting on this website is a bit difficult/hard to keep up, so I'm just gonna be talkin' about things without quotes and then if ya need me to quote for whatever reason, just ask me.

@ilario I think Marmot's recent posts are alright. It doesn't really sway me one way or the other. I guess you could say his posts are mostly safe, but not really that scummy t'me. I know that's kinda avoiding givin' a direct answer, but probably wouldn't feel comfortable labeling the dude one way or the other.

And Sloonei man, I honestly don't know what you're tryin' to say there. I get you don't want to enforce a read on Jimmy or make people think you have to follow your read, but I think from my perspective it seems pretty obvious that ya town read the guy. Reason bein' that you haven't really contested the triad idea, keep askin' leading questions that sorta attempt to guide people towards the read, and I don't think you'd give Jimmy this much thread control if ya thought the guy was scum, eh? So I don't get why you're makin' such a big deal about not givin' a read on him.

Dyslexicon had a good point earlier by the way. I know ya guys haven't ever played with me, but I think some of my posts here are pretty hard to fake as scum just in general. I'd listen to the good man here and town read me to make the game easier on you all :) Hah, but if you don't wanna that's okay too. I just wanna remind you all though that cowboys are good at catchin' criminals.

Also, I accept my place in the triad with you Ilario. I was readin' over your ISO earlier and I'm thinkin' you're just town. Reason being that I think some of your ideas and posts are just too whacky to be scum and your confidence is so fire. I know I said earlier confidence could be scum-indicative, but it's the kinda confidence that's enforced for the sake of pushin' the game along and not the kind of confidence I see a wolf present in order to be town read. Dyslexicon seems like a pretty cool dude as well, high-energy and all. Not that that makes someone town, but I've seen him present a few reads or push in a few directions that I feel like would be pretty ballsy to do, also everyone else seems to town read him and I doubt the whole thread would be wrong on that sorta read since he seems to be a regular on the site.

Here's a reads list for everyone's trouble by the way (it's not ordered between tiers):

Stayposi
Ilario
Jimmy
Dyslexicon
NAA

-------

Dolby
Sloonei
Marmot
Falcon

-------

G-man
Johanna

-------

Lime Coke
TSP

-------

sig
Son of Anarch wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:43 pm Hey you know what, I appreciate the compliment Johanna. Callin' me a potential deep wolf is pretty flatterin', but I dunno if I have it in me to deceive all you nice folk the way I have been.
Son of Anarch wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 8:17 pm Eh... If I had t'pick 4 people. Now that's really tough, but I'm gonna say right now it'd have to be...

Dizzy
Jimmy
Ilario

and for the fourth... I'm not too certain here. Maybe someone I haven't looked into too much but got good vibes from like Dolby or heck, even Johanna. That might be jumpin' the gun though. I think I'll slot Dolby in there.
Son of Anarch wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:58 pm I don't know if the Johanna, ilario, Dolby, G-Man team works though. That's all three of the 0-posters day 1 in one team, which seems unlikely. Although not impossible I guess due to how thread felt before they started postin'

Johanna opens in the SoA bottom five. That seems to undergo a stark change on Day 2, when she is a sort of "first alternate" on SoA's top town reads list just behind Dolby. The progression isn't there, and I tend to wonder if SoA gave up on the prospect of suspecting her given her general purity and improving thread presence. Take that with a grain of salt.

~~~

Do they fit?

I do wish I had a little more to talk about here. I think it looks okay from the SoA side and a little better than okay from the Johanna side with respect to dissociating the two of them, so that is where I will lean.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 9:20 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Do G-Man and Son of Anarch fit together as mafia teammates?

From G-Man

Spoiler: show
G-Man wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:44 pm SOA
-39: experienced player- no passes needed (come at me?)
-41: can’t describe own play style? Odd.
-61: seeking pat on the head or open fishing- don’t force the lure
-63: “interesting” and agreeable
-88: over-equipped try-hard
-148: a bit Mac-like? Hard to pin this personality down
-355: speaking of magnifying things…
-453: feels like too much to explain what it does
-511: lol, come at me bro
-529: difference of cultures i hope
-542: a bit know-it-allish but also a lot of work if a baddie
-1057: don’t complicate the game? You need to think twisty early, just don’t overthink
-1103: “someone inspire me to make contributions”
G-Man wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:58 pmSOA
The country-boy schtick takes some getting used to. He started out the game pretty confident- almost overconfident at times. At the same time, his early content seemed a bit too agreeable. Maybe not glommy, but agreeable for sure. He is another one that I feel gets a bit too explainy at times, which gives me pause. I don't need a perfect answer each time. Perfect is the enemy of the good. This post goes against my philosophy of trying to think like a baddie and outwit the sneaky plan you might not otherwise see coming. Some of his D1 work seemed a little much for a baddie, but perhaps he's just that confident in his game.
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:10 am Transferring all that to solidify a 6-and-6 format, I arrive at these groupings (alphabetical order, not ranked):

TOWN:
-Dolby
-Dyslexicon
-Marmot
-NotAnAxehole
-Sloonei
-TonyStarkPrime


POE:
-Falcon
-Ilario
-JaggedJimmyJay
-Johanna
-Lime Coke
-SOA

G-Man found a lot of posts to criticize regarding SoA, and stated pretty clear suspicions in the larger reads list with some faint qualifiers. He then included SoA in his POE.

He has done absolutely nothing with that since. Yikes.

From Son of Anarch

Spoiler: show
Son of Anarch wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 10:36 am
Spoiler: show
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:06 am Son of Anarch is an interesting case. I think that, on a holistic level, he looks pretty decent. There are some isolated moments where he might be a bit s t i l t e d though. I think I could even be reading him that way as a byproduct of his penchant for replacing the "ing" with " in' ". Replacin' as it were. I know that's dumb, but I'm just trying to make sense of a dumb concept like "stilted".

Still generally a town read, just with a bit more trepidation than some others have shown.
Hey Jimmy, I appreciate the town read n' all, even if it's comin' with some strings attached. Can ya maybe quote a post or two where ya feel I might be stilted?
Sloonei wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:08 am
staypositivefriend wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:03 am (perhaps i should be taking a closer look at my read on Son Of Anarch - i wrote him off as town almost immediately when i have no idea what his range is like or how competent of a wolf he is)
I was having this thought just a moment before I read your post. My current stance is that Son of A Narc is town and perfectly agreeable and a helpful voice in the thread. But he's also new to me, but clearly not new to the game, and a player in that position could very quickly and easily disarm us if they know what buttons to push.

This is not something I would take action on right now, but it is something I would be mindful of if the game begins to take a shape that we do not like.
Hey man, I'm tellin' you all to be scared of me :) I'm not scum this game, but I can tell you all that I'm not half-bad.
Dolby wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:49 am
sig wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 10:00 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 9:07 pm Oh and by the way, I was kinda thinkin' about this earlier.

Isn't it better for the fruit vendor to claim right away? Basically an IC, yeah? Could have me (the watcher) go on 'em too. I know it's delayed mechanics and all, but still useful as long as I'm not killed.

And for everyone's efforts on this page, I'm gonna slap a small townread on all of you good folk right away. I'm warning ya though, my mind changes easily, but gettin' good vibes from this crowd. I like Jimmy's idea too, about Stayposi being naturally on guard about his early buddy-buddy with her. He seems like a good player, so I think her being naturally curious about all of that is pretty nice as far as ground zero reads go.
Hate this post, I’m always against claiming earlier especially d1
Weird callout. Especially since Anarch already established themselves as pro-mech claim where they claimed watcher. Just takes the call for fruit vendor to claim, which isn't bad, and strips away a past context which makes it look better.

Townreads Dizzy

Don't care about the response to the SPF stuff.
sig wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 6:18 pm Also son of arch is just doing a very obvious omgus and salty that I disagree with others on his town rwae
would have to read for context

Basically the whole ISO is being defensive and talking about Anarch. I strongly dislike the sus on Anarch from sig, nor do I like that beyond the Dizzy toneread it's the only thing he's put out. There is space to improve since he hasn't backread but does not look good.
I appreciate your analysis here, Dolby. Keep sheepin' my reads and I'll take care of ya, although I gotta say, I kept confusin' you for ilario here because of the avatar.
I don't think any of the spoiled bits are that important and to be honest with you all, the quoting on this website is a bit difficult/hard to keep up, so I'm just gonna be talkin' about things without quotes and then if ya need me to quote for whatever reason, just ask me.

@ilario I think Marmot's recent posts are alright. It doesn't really sway me one way or the other. I guess you could say his posts are mostly safe, but not really that scummy t'me. I know that's kinda avoiding givin' a direct answer, but probably wouldn't feel comfortable labeling the dude one way or the other.

And Sloonei man, I honestly don't know what you're tryin' to say there. I get you don't want to enforce a read on Jimmy or make people think you have to follow your read, but I think from my perspective it seems pretty obvious that ya town read the guy. Reason bein' that you haven't really contested the triad idea, keep askin' leading questions that sorta attempt to guide people towards the read, and I don't think you'd give Jimmy this much thread control if ya thought the guy was scum, eh? So I don't get why you're makin' such a big deal about not givin' a read on him.

Dyslexicon had a good point earlier by the way. I know ya guys haven't ever played with me, but I think some of my posts here are pretty hard to fake as scum just in general. I'd listen to the good man here and town read me to make the game easier on you all :) Hah, but if you don't wanna that's okay too. I just wanna remind you all though that cowboys are good at catchin' criminals.

Also, I accept my place in the triad with you Ilario. I was readin' over your ISO earlier and I'm thinkin' you're just town. Reason being that I think some of your ideas and posts are just too whacky to be scum and your confidence is so fire. I know I said earlier confidence could be scum-indicative, but it's the kinda confidence that's enforced for the sake of pushin' the game along and not the kind of confidence I see a wolf present in order to be town read. Dyslexicon seems like a pretty cool dude as well, high-energy and all. Not that that makes someone town, but I've seen him present a few reads or push in a few directions that I feel like would be pretty ballsy to do, also everyone else seems to town read him and I doubt the whole thread would be wrong on that sorta read since he seems to be a regular on the site.

Here's a reads list for everyone's trouble by the way (it's not ordered between tiers):

Stayposi
Ilario
Jimmy
Dyslexicon
NAA

-------

Dolby
Sloonei
Marmot
Falcon

-------

G-man
Johanna

-------

Lime Coke
TSP

-------

sig
Son of Anarch wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:58 pm I don't know if the Johanna, ilario, Dolby, G-Man team works though. That's all three of the 0-posters day 1 in one team, which seems unlikely. Although not impossible I guess due to how thread felt before they started postin'

That's it. G-Man makes the first reads list in the bottom five. Not a single sliver of follow-up except to tell me that my solve including G-Man should be doubted. Yikes.

~~~

Do they fit?

Yikes. They fit plenty. They fit bad.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 9:14 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Do G-Man and Johanna fit together as mafia teammates?

From G-Man

Spoiler: show
G-Man wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:44 pmJOHANNA
-982: well hi there. Wish I could draw conclusions like that from catch-up mode. Or is this player salad? Why can’t I tell?
-1276: don’t answer other people’s questions
-lots of adverbs
G-Man wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:58 pm JOHANNA
She impressed me with her opening post, though I had second thoughts about it being salady with the aftertaste of it all. After that, her posts are plenty but they also have a very straight-laced vanilla feel that doesn't leave much of an impression in my mind. It's very much just-at-radar-level content. I want to see her rock the boat a little or else it feels like she's playing a modest and potentially safe game.
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:10 am Transferring all that to solidify a 6-and-6 format, I arrive at these groupings (alphabetical order, not ranked):

TOWN:
-Dolby
-Dyslexicon
-Marmot
-NotAnAxehole
-Sloonei
-TonyStarkPrime


POE:
-Falcon
-Ilario
-JaggedJimmyJay
-Johanna
-Lime Coke
-SOA
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:22 pm
Johanna wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 10:02 am
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 9:05 am Theory time:

When I look at Lime Coke's recent evolution on Falcon...

Spoiler: show
Lime Coke wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:36 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:33 pm Lime Coke, when you finish sharing your ketchup, it’d be super if you could give some baseline reads much like I asked from G-Man. Top town and/or mafia reads.
I'm building that up as we speak.

Dizzy is top town if you want a preview.

Falcon could be mafia based on that pop in during that small CFD attempt.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:19 am There's 1 in Falcon/Illario.

But I'm leaning a lot on Illario currently.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:34 am
staypositivefriend wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:31 am
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:27 am SPF
TSP
Axe

Dizzy
JJJ
Sloonei

SonofAnarch
Dolby

G-Man
Marmot
Illario/Falcon (T v W combo here)


@JaggedJimmyJay

This is my list.

Clears

Strong towns

Mid tier

Scum tier.
do you mind talking a little bit about why you think illario/falcon is T v W specifically? why can't they be wolves together?

also, if illario wasn't getting chopped today, who would you wanna vote next?
Because Falcon's just planting his vote on Illario both day phases and not moving. I know both can do well with distancing but that would kinda be ridiculous? Don't you think?

Next vote is either the opposite side of that spectrum with Falcon. Seeing the sudden pop in when he had the CFD placed on him.

Or Marmot.

If Falcon is mafia Marmot is town because Falcon had that weird "Marmot being silent is deafening" post when it was only 2 hours into Day 2.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:13 am [VOTE: Falcon] aubergine

I don't know what to think honestly.

If SPF has a better solve I'll listen.

Otherwise I'm thrown a bit for a loop.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:41 am In terms of my scumreads-

I might only have one.

Since Illario might end up being town.

Falcon has to be mafia. His fixation on Illario and voting him for 2 days straight is very awkward.
falcon45ca wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 10:42 pm Marmot's silence is deafening
This line from Falcon is kinda gross just based on the merit of him posting this 2 hours after the day started. Like could be timezone difference or whatever reasoning he's not going to be here at SOD every day for every game. Feels like he'd be stacking the deck in order to have his viewpoint look solid.

Last thing is the fact that the CFD wagon started on Falcon, and 2 minutes after SPF is the third vote on the wagon, Falcon appears with a post.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:44 am My issue is that literally every game I play with Falcon I end up scumreading the guy, and that's probably this playstyle difference on this site compared to other games that I normally play.

Like so many town players just look scummy by playstyle.

It makes so many of these players such a >rand flip.

...my mind considers the following:

1) Lime Coke and Falcon are teammates.

2) Lime Coke, seeing that Falcon is on enough radars, adds Falcon to his radar.

3) In short order, Lime Coke puts Falcon deep in his POE, but makes Falcon part of an either/or scenario with a civvie he thinks he can build a case on for a mischop (ilario). This would allow him to save face and go after Falcon if his preferred mischop target gets chopped first.

4) When his ilario case implodes, Lime Coke is forced to double down on his teammate Falcon and votes there.

5) He adds a little hedge at the end to give him a potential reason to not vote for Falcon at the end if it comes to that.


Is this too Mafia 101 and I should give up playing with the jumbo crayons? Or does this pass the sniff test? Poke holes in it please.



I want to look at the folks in my POE today as time allows (which it won't for the most part). This is what struck me when looking at Lime Coke. The placement of JJJ in my POE is among the softest, so I don't think I will go down that road further until the game develops more (preferably with me still in it). That leaves four more folks to consider yet.
Well yeah, this is the long version of "Lime Coke's vote on falcon could be distancing." I am very much thinking along those lines.
This goes beyond distancing though, doesn't it? What started as distancing led to a dead end that Lime Coke may be stuck with. Nothing in those posts show me any fervent desire to see Falcon dead. To me it's more of a bland, if not reluctant, acceptance of Falcon as his only option considering his progression.
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:47 pm
Johanna wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:37 pm
Marmot wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 11:32 am Does anyone specifically townread either Dolby or Lime Coke? Those two players seem to be consensus scumreads, or at least exist in everyone's POE's, except for each others.

Dolby has a vibe read of Lime Coke, and Lime Coke has Dolby just outside his POE.
Some people had some townread. I haven't really seen a reason to scumread them but I hope things will become a bit clearer now that he seems to have rejoined the thread.

One thing that I couldn't help but note about G-Man's list is that, also against consensus, Dolby was placed rather high up. Unless I am misremembering. These are associative pointers, I'm just not sure how to weigh them. I feel like right now Lime's D2 is the shakiest performance we have and they make a good candidate, so I'd rather start clearing the POE from there or falcon.
The placement of Dolby in my group of six townreads list was due to my lists being alphabetical. I believe I said as much when I made them.

Dolby put forth some logical posts. It's a vibey, wavelength kind of soft townread for him. One thing that I do need to go back and do during the night phase is look at Dolby's ISO and see if the logic and wavelength that appealed to me in individual posts is still there when I look at his production and progression from a macro level.

Right now I want to finish up with Falcon's ISO to see if the teammate connection I can see from Lim Coke to Falcon extends back the other way.

The first three posts provide the only stances from G-Man on Johanna. He was barely positive in his assessment of her, and seemed immediately intent to qualify and erase that positivity with things like "player salad" (an application of that tell that I don't think fits the bill). If G-Man is mafia he looks like he doesn't want to give Johanna town credit, perhaps because he needs a name to fill out his POE splits as in the following post. That'd be an okay look for Johanna. The two of them spoke about the possibility of a Lime Coke/falcon mafia teammate relationship, but G-Man didn't take that anywhere with respect to Johanna's alignment. Not super conclusive stuff.

From Johanna

Spoiler: show
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:23 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 12:52 am General question:

Is G-Man confirmed mafia?
No.

Not until he flips or shows up as TSP's result tomorrow.

:shrug:
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:14 am I would appreciate NAA announcing his votes. :P

I mean I also feel pocket paranoia from ilario, but I don't know that it means anything real.

I would love to see more of Comrade Eternal President Dolby, but I haven't seen anything concerning from him atm. Waiting for more G-Man content, and nobody is being tangibly suspicious to my eyes.

If I should get the tinfoil hat I would say perhaps two people in the second triad
Spoiler: show
Dizzy, SoA, ilario
could be partnered wolves
Spoiler: show
or even Jay/Sloonei???
but I'd rather start looking for someone who is individually scummy, or conversely by confirming enough town,
Spoiler: show
but I don't trust myself there.
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:33 am I think I've said lots of things.

If what you want is reads I think SoA and Lime Coke are probably the most dubious consensus town reads, Dolby is a good bean so I want to see him around more, and I don't have anything to judge G-Man by.

TSP and SPF are my lock townreads, then JJJ, you (Sloonei), Dizzy, probably NAA goes here, Ilario, Dolby, Limey/SoA, falcon, I have no read on G-Man... and I completely forgot Marmot existed. Is that normal?
Spoiler: show
It can't be normal
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 2:00 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 1:03 pm I think there is at least one reason I could identify to call every single player in this game town-aligned except for G-Man.

If I ask myself which of those would have the fewest or the thinnest reasons, I think I end up with 3 of Dizzy's 4. Add falcon and Dolby.
Yeah, well, and that's for lack of posts...
Johanna wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 5:59 am To reiterate some things I've already said and some things I did not make clear but which other people have said:

I believe Jay/Sloonei are always the same alignment here.

I believe that there is a chance that either them or two of the second triad are partnered wolves
Spoiler: show
although most likely not.
Spoiler: show
But still there might be a wolf
Spoiler: show
and I mean SoA.
On a different note, I find it interesting that Lime Coke and G-Man both appeared to catch up almost simultaneously. It's probably just a coincidence
Spoiler: show
but I can't stop thinking about it.
I think that G-Man is finally here and we can actually throw reads on him. I'm interested how, in reference to the Jay/Sloonei partnership, they dissociate them completely. He has formed a list that is far from the consensus and that's something to evaluate
Spoiler: show
though I have no idea in which direction yet.
Johanna wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:37 pm
Marmot wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 11:32 am Does anyone specifically townread either Dolby or Lime Coke? Those two players seem to be consensus scumreads, or at least exist in everyone's POE's, except for each others.

Dolby has a vibe read of Lime Coke, and Lime Coke has Dolby just outside his POE.
Some people had some townread. I haven't really seen a reason to scumread them but I hope things will become a bit clearer now that he seems to have rejoined the thread.

One thing that I couldn't help but note about G-Man's list is that, also against consensus, Dolby was placed rather high up. Unless I am misremembering. These are associative pointers, I'm just not sure how to weigh them. I feel like right now Lime's D2 is the shakiest performance we have and they make a good candidate, so I'd rather start clearing the POE from there or falcon.
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 4:21 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 7:13 pm Actually, I'll just reveal now. Spf was targeted by G-man AND Johanna (of course lol). So one of these are scum and one is the sleepwalker, I'm guessing
LMAO

Hardclaiming sleepwalker.
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:05 am I think as stated yesterday, that JJJ and Sloonei are always the same alignment. Therefore, JJJ town.

Why is TSP alive is my biggest question. I'm not chopping an uncontested claim but still. I briefly voted G-Man after Dizzy's claim but I'm on No Vote as I try to sort out my thoughts.

I think in my first catch up post I already indicated SoA as a most likely wolf in the D1 towncore and D2 did not alleviate those suspicions so I am very happy to go there.

I always want to see more of Dolby, I stil feel like I haven't seen enough from him but I might need to bow to the consensus that he should be chopped.

I am very flip floppy on Falcon. He often feels performative but he also has many posts that ring honest.

I do not know G-Man.

I feel like J's PoE might contain up to three wolves rather than all four, but I really can't say who the fourth would be and who in the PoE would not be a wolf I think there's reasonable doubt on all of them to scum read them but also there is very little certainty.

Finally, I'm off
Spoiler: show
to watch Dune.
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 12:40 pm [VOTE: G-Man] aubergine

Mostly for the purpose of keeping alive a viable alternative.

Funnily enough, the most readable thing here might be Johanna's response to Dizzy's fake watch on her and G-Man. That doesn't look like someone who 1) knows its fake or 2) that the track isn't actually valid or correct. I believe she even briefly placed an auto-vote on G-Man in this moment, though it wasn't called. That's appropriate from her if so. @Johanna please affirm or deny. Otherwise her read on G-Man is kind of a void, and she acknowledges that it is a void, given that she doesn't know him and he hasn't been consistently present. She did place that vote for him this phase but has since moved to Son of Anarch. I think this stuff generally speaks to a non-teammate relationship if one of them is mafia.

~~~

Do they fit?

I don't really get that impression. It's not something to view as an open-shut case, but I doubt they're both mafia. Judgment calls reign.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 8:57 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 8:48 pm If my interpretations meant anything, I would be less lazy about consuming information.
Your interpretations mean things. I am taking them into consideration. If you want to know why there may be a tendency for some people to discount your contributions, then you need to know that it's not some "lack of clout".

People tune you out if they feel you are talking down to them, belittling their play, belittling their entire site culture, and treating them like they're too stupid to breathe.

If you don't intend to come across that way, then you should be made aware that it often seems that way. Treat folks with respect and you're going to get more of it too.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 8:53 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Do falcon45ca and Son of Anarch fit together as mafia teammates?

From falcon45ca

Spoiler: show
falcon45ca wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:50 pm
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:48 pm Hey all. Just caught up on the thread, some thoughts below

VVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVV
Spoiler: show
Dyslexicon wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 7:38 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 9:07 pm Oh and by the way, I was kinda thinkin' about this earlier.

Isn't it better for the fruit vendor to claim right away? Basically an IC, yeah? Could have me (the watcher) go on 'em too. I know it's delayed mechanics and all, but still useful as long as I'm not killed.

And for everyone's efforts on this page, I'm gonna slap a small townread on all of you good folk right away. I'm warning ya though, my mind changes easily, but gettin' good vibes from this crowd. I like Jimmy's idea too, about Stayposi being naturally on guard about his early buddy-buddy with her. He seems like a good player, so I think her being naturally curious about all of that is pretty nice as far as ground zero reads go.
Hi, Son. Hope I can call you Son, cause I think that's kind of funny.

I just wanted to tell you that I'm currently single and looking to mingle. And I was wondering if you wanted to go on a date with me? It would entail peace and love and good things, and us never voting each other this game. You are town, and I am town. Let me know kk *squeaks and runs*
Hey there Dyslexicon. I'm lookin' forward to playing this game with you. Unfortunately, don't think my girlfriend would want me to be going on any dates with someone else so I'm gonna have to turn ya down there. And well... Can't promise you I'll never vote you this game, but I gotta say I like the free-flowing thought pattern you seem to be exhibiting here so I probably won't be votin' you any time soon unless you get on my bad side.he

sig wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 10:00 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 9:07 pm Oh and by the way, I was kinda thinkin' about this earlier.

Isn't it better for the fruit vendor to claim right away? Basically an IC, yeah? Could have me (the watcher) go on 'em too. I know it's delayed mechanics and all, but still useful as long as I'm not killed.

And for everyone's efforts on this page, I'm gonna slap a small townread on all of you good folk right away. I'm warning ya though, my mind changes easily, but gettin' good vibes from this crowd. I like Jimmy's idea too, about Stayposi being naturally on guard about his early buddy-buddy with her. He seems like a good player, so I think her being naturally curious about all of that is pretty nice as far as ground zero reads go.
Hate this post, I’m always against claiming earlier especially d1
Ya know, I'm thinkin' this response to me is actually kinda bad. It's one of your first posts and already you're sayin' you hate my posts because you're against the general philosophy of 'em instead of saying you just disagree with the approach. That's kinda something I think wolves are more prone to do. They'll try to magnify something that might not be agreeable and make it seem like the post is bad when in actuality it's just a disagreement in playstyle. But I'm a nice guy, so I'm gonna give you a chance.

@ShēpInWolfsClothing what about the post is bad other than your disagreement of it?
@TonyStarkPrime care to explain your townreads on sig and falcon? Gotta say I disagree with at least sig for reasons I describe up top, no real opinion on falcon as of yet.

And also why I'm on the subject:

@falcon45ca Why'd ya specifically call out that crowd with their townreads? I'd say there's been quite a few players this game that have been ridin' the town read train, includin' myself a bit.

Oh yeah and since it's been talked about a bit, I'm just gonna say that another reason I have Stayposi as town now is because while she's not postin' as much as the rest of us, her posts are pretty... "powerful" in a sense. I'd like to call it somethin' like high-impact posting. I'm willing to listen to Dyslexicon's opinion of course, but I don't think she's got scum vibes like some of the other people I've been talkin' about.

And another thing too that I noticed... I still kinda feel like Lime Coke is mirroring the thread. He seems almost scared to make strong statements and has even qualified a few of them like his townread on ilario. Dunno... think I'm just gettin' the vibe that he's a bit uncomfortable.
Who else has been posting huge town reads list? I'll puke all over their shoes too
falcon45ca wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 10:10 pm
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 6:29 pm Sig's defensive reaction ain't good... Kinda yikes if ya ask me.
Redundant. If it ain't good, you don't need to also tell us it's yikes.


Why do I feel you're trying to sell me something?
falcon45ca wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 10:10 pm
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 6:29 pm Sig's defensive reaction ain't good... Kinda yikes if ya ask me.
Redundant. If it ain't good, you don't need to also tell us it's yikes.


Why do I feel you're trying to sell me something?
falcon45ca wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 10:11 pm
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 6:03 pm Also I'm thinkin' there's probably a scum in the 0-posters. Not sure if mafia the syndicate is the same, but on mafia scum a ton of folk hate randin' mafia to the point where they'll barely post. It can get pretty annoyin' and well... we've got three guys here not speakin' and I don't feel super bamboozled yet. I think I'm gonna make an enemy out of anyone who comes into the thread now.
Pushing low posters D1? Never seen scum do that before...
falcon45ca wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 5:27 pm
Son of Anarch wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 5:14 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 5:13 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 4:59 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 4:55 pm [VOTE: Ilario] aubergine
This chop won't happen.
If you had to choose between the people having votes already, who would it be?
Also what's your thoughts on Sig?
Not with that kind of attitude.


GTH sig is town
What’s he done to “earn” your town read?
He hasn't, a GTH read from me is the same as a gut read.


I feel he'd come across more agenda-y if he were Maf
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 7:24 pmSon of Anarch - Doesn't come across as overly wary or shy about approaching the game & giving reads.

[etc trustfall snip...]
falcon45ca wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:35 pm
Son of Anarch wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:34 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:33 pm
Son of Anarch wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:30 pm hello. i didn't get to see EOD. work has me so swamped. who died
I have a sneaking suspicion that Nanook tagged you (like he did everybody) and you can go check for yourself.



It's D3, derp clears are for D1
I honestly didn't think tags did anything on this site but thanks for the passive-aggression bud
Sorry about that.




I wasn't trying to be passive.
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 8:44 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 7:52 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 7:50 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 7:46 pm Thanks for doing those everyone.

@falcon45ca, how do you feel about the solve I proposed? From your perspective only one of the possible teams can be correct.
I'm sorry, what's the solve?
From this
and this

I determined the mafia team must be either:

Dolby, G-Man, Lime Coke, falcon
or
Dolby, G-Man, Lime Coke, Son of Anarch
Oh ok.

I don't think LC is Maf, doesn't feel right, ditto SOA. I'd put ilario in their spot Otherwise this is a POE I can work with.
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 8:46 pm I'd actually put Dizzy in over SOA.


Ilario, Dolby, Dizzy, G-Man is my POE atm
falcon45ca wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:36 pm JJJ, Ilario, Dolby, SOA



That's a good POE
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:43 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:28 am
falcon45ca wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:36 pm JJJ, Ilario, Dolby, SOA



That's a good POE
If I'm not mistaken, you're vote has been off main wagons on both days now. How are you going to impact the game to a town win? Right now Dolby and SOA have wagons on them, so if you were to choose one of them, which one would you vote?
I vote for the players I think are scum. How am I supposed to know how I'm going to impact the game for a town win? That's a strange question. What's your answer to that question for yourself?


Between Dolby and SOA, I'd like to pull a move I've recently seen from @Master Radishes tie em' up and let it rand.

There are some moments here where falcon treats SoA with a bit of a sharp edge. I am inclined to temper any assessment of that given that falcon's M.O. is to treat everyone with a sharp edge. It doesn't seem to lead anywhere of note. You'll see that between 14 Sep and 16 Sep, falcon's perception of SoA shifts from "not worthy of the POE, Dizzy goes in over him" to "in the POE". That splits around the Lime Coke mischop. The last sentence of the last post emerges again; I mentioned it when assessing falcon/Dolby. It'd be kinda funny if he encouraged a tie between his teammates given that he literally wouldn't care which one goes. I won't speculate too much. This stuff is overall kinda wet fish.

From Son of Anarch

Spoiler: show
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:48 pm Hey all. Just caught up on the thread, some thoughts below

VVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVV
Spoiler: show
Dyslexicon wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 7:38 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 9:07 pm Oh and by the way, I was kinda thinkin' about this earlier.

Isn't it better for the fruit vendor to claim right away? Basically an IC, yeah? Could have me (the watcher) go on 'em too. I know it's delayed mechanics and all, but still useful as long as I'm not killed.

And for everyone's efforts on this page, I'm gonna slap a small townread on all of you good folk right away. I'm warning ya though, my mind changes easily, but gettin' good vibes from this crowd. I like Jimmy's idea too, about Stayposi being naturally on guard about his early buddy-buddy with her. He seems like a good player, so I think her being naturally curious about all of that is pretty nice as far as ground zero reads go.
Hi, Son. Hope I can call you Son, cause I think that's kind of funny.

I just wanted to tell you that I'm currently single and looking to mingle. And I was wondering if you wanted to go on a date with me? It would entail peace and love and good things, and us never voting each other this game. You are town, and I am town. Let me know kk *squeaks and runs*
Hey there Dyslexicon. I'm lookin' forward to playing this game with you. Unfortunately, don't think my girlfriend would want me to be going on any dates with someone else so I'm gonna have to turn ya down there. And well... Can't promise you I'll never vote you this game, but I gotta say I like the free-flowing thought pattern you seem to be exhibiting here so I probably won't be votin' you any time soon unless you get on my bad side.he

sig wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 10:00 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 9:07 pm Oh and by the way, I was kinda thinkin' about this earlier.

Isn't it better for the fruit vendor to claim right away? Basically an IC, yeah? Could have me (the watcher) go on 'em too. I know it's delayed mechanics and all, but still useful as long as I'm not killed.

And for everyone's efforts on this page, I'm gonna slap a small townread on all of you good folk right away. I'm warning ya though, my mind changes easily, but gettin' good vibes from this crowd. I like Jimmy's idea too, about Stayposi being naturally on guard about his early buddy-buddy with her. He seems like a good player, so I think her being naturally curious about all of that is pretty nice as far as ground zero reads go.
Hate this post, I’m always against claiming earlier especially d1
Ya know, I'm thinkin' this response to me is actually kinda bad. It's one of your first posts and already you're sayin' you hate my posts because you're against the general philosophy of 'em instead of saying you just disagree with the approach. That's kinda something I think wolves are more prone to do. They'll try to magnify something that might not be agreeable and make it seem like the post is bad when in actuality it's just a disagreement in playstyle. But I'm a nice guy, so I'm gonna give you a chance.

@ShēpInWolfsClothing what about the post is bad other than your disagreement of it?
@TonyStarkPrime care to explain your townreads on sig and falcon? Gotta say I disagree with at least sig for reasons I describe up top, no real opinion on falcon as of yet.

And also why I'm on the subject:

@falcon45ca Why'd ya specifically call out that crowd with their townreads? I'd say there's been quite a few players this game that have been ridin' the town read train, includin' myself a bit.

Oh yeah and since it's been talked about a bit, I'm just gonna say that another reason I have Stayposi as town now is because while she's not postin' as much as the rest of us, her posts are pretty... "powerful" in a sense. I'd like to call it somethin' like high-impact posting. I'm willing to listen to Dyslexicon's opinion of course, but I don't think she's got scum vibes like some of the other people I've been talkin' about.

And another thing too that I noticed... I still kinda feel like Lime Coke is mirroring the thread. He seems almost scared to make strong statements and has even qualified a few of them like his townread on ilario. Dunno... think I'm just gettin' the vibe that he's a bit uncomfortable.
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:52 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:50 pm
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:48 pm Hey all. Just caught up on the thread, some thoughts below

VVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVV
Spoiler: show
Dyslexicon wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 7:38 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 9:07 pm Oh and by the way, I was kinda thinkin' about this earlier.

Isn't it better for the fruit vendor to claim right away? Basically an IC, yeah? Could have me (the watcher) go on 'em too. I know it's delayed mechanics and all, but still useful as long as I'm not killed.

And for everyone's efforts on this page, I'm gonna slap a small townread on all of you good folk right away. I'm warning ya though, my mind changes easily, but gettin' good vibes from this crowd. I like Jimmy's idea too, about Stayposi being naturally on guard about his early buddy-buddy with her. He seems like a good player, so I think her being naturally curious about all of that is pretty nice as far as ground zero reads go.
Hi, Son. Hope I can call you Son, cause I think that's kind of funny.

I just wanted to tell you that I'm currently single and looking to mingle. And I was wondering if you wanted to go on a date with me? It would entail peace and love and good things, and us never voting each other this game. You are town, and I am town. Let me know kk *squeaks and runs*
Hey there Dyslexicon. I'm lookin' forward to playing this game with you. Unfortunately, don't think my girlfriend would want me to be going on any dates with someone else so I'm gonna have to turn ya down there. And well... Can't promise you I'll never vote you this game, but I gotta say I like the free-flowing thought pattern you seem to be exhibiting here so I probably won't be votin' you any time soon unless you get on my bad side.he

sig wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 10:00 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 9:07 pm Oh and by the way, I was kinda thinkin' about this earlier.

Isn't it better for the fruit vendor to claim right away? Basically an IC, yeah? Could have me (the watcher) go on 'em too. I know it's delayed mechanics and all, but still useful as long as I'm not killed.

And for everyone's efforts on this page, I'm gonna slap a small townread on all of you good folk right away. I'm warning ya though, my mind changes easily, but gettin' good vibes from this crowd. I like Jimmy's idea too, about Stayposi being naturally on guard about his early buddy-buddy with her. He seems like a good player, so I think her being naturally curious about all of that is pretty nice as far as ground zero reads go.
Hate this post, I’m always against claiming earlier especially d1
Ya know, I'm thinkin' this response to me is actually kinda bad. It's one of your first posts and already you're sayin' you hate my posts because you're against the general philosophy of 'em instead of saying you just disagree with the approach. That's kinda something I think wolves are more prone to do. They'll try to magnify something that might not be agreeable and make it seem like the post is bad when in actuality it's just a disagreement in playstyle. But I'm a nice guy, so I'm gonna give you a chance.

@ShēpInWolfsClothing what about the post is bad other than your disagreement of it?
@TonyStarkPrime care to explain your townreads on sig and falcon? Gotta say I disagree with at least sig for reasons I describe up top, no real opinion on falcon as of yet.

And also why I'm on the subject:

@falcon45ca Why'd ya specifically call out that crowd with their townreads? I'd say there's been quite a few players this game that have been ridin' the town read train, includin' myself a bit.

Oh yeah and since it's been talked about a bit, I'm just gonna say that another reason I have Stayposi as town now is because while she's not postin' as much as the rest of us, her posts are pretty... "powerful" in a sense. I'd like to call it somethin' like high-impact posting. I'm willing to listen to Dyslexicon's opinion of course, but I don't think she's got scum vibes like some of the other people I've been talkin' about.

And another thing too that I noticed... I still kinda feel like Lime Coke is mirroring the thread. He seems almost scared to make strong statements and has even qualified a few of them like his townread on ilario. Dunno... think I'm just gettin' the vibe that he's a bit uncomfortable.
Who else has been posting huge town reads list? I'll puke all over their shoes too
Eh... When I wrote that post I was mostly thinkin' about Lime Coke and myself, but you responded to Lime Coke while I was writing and I didn't see it. So I guess that explains that. Just curious now about why you hate townreads so much?
Son of Anarch wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:53 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:53 pm falcon has established a pretty deliberate “early town reads make me sick” reputation in recent memory. In this particular case I am not yet inclined to provide any credit for fitting into that very easy costume of self-built meta.

Need more.
So are you saying it's just for show or it's actually how he feels?
Son of Anarch wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 10:36 am
Spoiler: show
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:06 am Son of Anarch is an interesting case. I think that, on a holistic level, he looks pretty decent. There are some isolated moments where he might be a bit s t i l t e d though. I think I could even be reading him that way as a byproduct of his penchant for replacing the "ing" with " in' ". Replacin' as it were. I know that's dumb, but I'm just trying to make sense of a dumb concept like "stilted".

Still generally a town read, just with a bit more trepidation than some others have shown.
Hey Jimmy, I appreciate the town read n' all, even if it's comin' with some strings attached. Can ya maybe quote a post or two where ya feel I might be stilted?
Sloonei wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:08 am
staypositivefriend wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:03 am (perhaps i should be taking a closer look at my read on Son Of Anarch - i wrote him off as town almost immediately when i have no idea what his range is like or how competent of a wolf he is)
I was having this thought just a moment before I read your post. My current stance is that Son of A Narc is town and perfectly agreeable and a helpful voice in the thread. But he's also new to me, but clearly not new to the game, and a player in that position could very quickly and easily disarm us if they know what buttons to push.

This is not something I would take action on right now, but it is something I would be mindful of if the game begins to take a shape that we do not like.
Hey man, I'm tellin' you all to be scared of me :) I'm not scum this game, but I can tell you all that I'm not half-bad.
Dolby wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:49 am
sig wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 10:00 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 9:07 pm Oh and by the way, I was kinda thinkin' about this earlier.

Isn't it better for the fruit vendor to claim right away? Basically an IC, yeah? Could have me (the watcher) go on 'em too. I know it's delayed mechanics and all, but still useful as long as I'm not killed.

And for everyone's efforts on this page, I'm gonna slap a small townread on all of you good folk right away. I'm warning ya though, my mind changes easily, but gettin' good vibes from this crowd. I like Jimmy's idea too, about Stayposi being naturally on guard about his early buddy-buddy with her. He seems like a good player, so I think her being naturally curious about all of that is pretty nice as far as ground zero reads go.
Hate this post, I’m always against claiming earlier especially d1
Weird callout. Especially since Anarch already established themselves as pro-mech claim where they claimed watcher. Just takes the call for fruit vendor to claim, which isn't bad, and strips away a past context which makes it look better.

Townreads Dizzy

Don't care about the response to the SPF stuff.
sig wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 6:18 pm Also son of arch is just doing a very obvious omgus and salty that I disagree with others on his town rwae
would have to read for context

Basically the whole ISO is being defensive and talking about Anarch. I strongly dislike the sus on Anarch from sig, nor do I like that beyond the Dizzy toneread it's the only thing he's put out. There is space to improve since he hasn't backread but does not look good.
I appreciate your analysis here, Dolby. Keep sheepin' my reads and I'll take care of ya, although I gotta say, I kept confusin' you for ilario here because of the avatar.
I don't think any of the spoiled bits are that important and to be honest with you all, the quoting on this website is a bit difficult/hard to keep up, so I'm just gonna be talkin' about things without quotes and then if ya need me to quote for whatever reason, just ask me.

@ilario I think Marmot's recent posts are alright. It doesn't really sway me one way or the other. I guess you could say his posts are mostly safe, but not really that scummy t'me. I know that's kinda avoiding givin' a direct answer, but probably wouldn't feel comfortable labeling the dude one way or the other.

And Sloonei man, I honestly don't know what you're tryin' to say there. I get you don't want to enforce a read on Jimmy or make people think you have to follow your read, but I think from my perspective it seems pretty obvious that ya town read the guy. Reason bein' that you haven't really contested the triad idea, keep askin' leading questions that sorta attempt to guide people towards the read, and I don't think you'd give Jimmy this much thread control if ya thought the guy was scum, eh? So I don't get why you're makin' such a big deal about not givin' a read on him.

Dyslexicon had a good point earlier by the way. I know ya guys haven't ever played with me, but I think some of my posts here are pretty hard to fake as scum just in general. I'd listen to the good man here and town read me to make the game easier on you all :) Hah, but if you don't wanna that's okay too. I just wanna remind you all though that cowboys are good at catchin' criminals.

Also, I accept my place in the triad with you Ilario. I was readin' over your ISO earlier and I'm thinkin' you're just town. Reason being that I think some of your ideas and posts are just too whacky to be scum and your confidence is so fire. I know I said earlier confidence could be scum-indicative, but it's the kinda confidence that's enforced for the sake of pushin' the game along and not the kind of confidence I see a wolf present in order to be town read. Dyslexicon seems like a pretty cool dude as well, high-energy and all. Not that that makes someone town, but I've seen him present a few reads or push in a few directions that I feel like would be pretty ballsy to do, also everyone else seems to town read him and I doubt the whole thread would be wrong on that sorta read since he seems to be a regular on the site.

Here's a reads list for everyone's trouble by the way (it's not ordered between tiers):

Stayposi
Ilario
Jimmy
Dyslexicon
NAA

-------

Dolby
Sloonei
Marmot
Falcon

-------

G-man
Johanna

-------

Lime Coke
TSP

-------

sig
Son of Anarch wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 5:14 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 5:13 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 4:59 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 4:55 pm [VOTE: Ilario] aubergine
This chop won't happen.
If you had to choose between the people having votes already, who would it be?
Also what's your thoughts on Sig?
Not with that kind of attitude.


GTH sig is town
What’s he done to “earn” your town read?
Son of Anarch wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 5:15 pm Gotta agree with whoever said Falcon Man is being contrarian for the sake of contrarian. That read has me a bit puzzled compared to the other ones.
Son of Anarch wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 5:18 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 5:17 pm [VOTE: Falcon] aubergine
Now this might just be the spice I was talkin’ about :)
Son of Anarch wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 5:21 pm Alright Dizzy, I’m game.

[VOTE: Falcon Man] aubergine
Son of Anarch wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 5:25 pm A new triad emerges. Me, Dizzy, and Stayposi. I dub us the falcon killers
Son of Anarch wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:22 pm Ah man, can't say I'm stoked about that at all. My Internet was down until around this aftenoon so backreadin' wasn't really possible for me. I'm gonna say though that I still think Falcon Man's EOD wasn't the greatest and I'd like to hear some of the other thoughts on that.

Another interestin' thing is that if SPF is poisoned that might reflect well on the triad 'cause they were kinda all huddlin' together, yeah? Normally if you're tryin' to pocket someone you don't kill them. That's just a basic read though.
Son of Anarch wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:37 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:33 pm I just ran through the end of the day and frankly found it meaningless. That doesn't necessarily mean the posts cannot be assessed meaningfully, but that's why I don't care to play ketchup. The thread becomes a contextless void to me.

Would anyone be able to describe for me, as you saw it, the progression of events/posts/whatever that caused falcon to become a wagon? I poked in here and there when my phone was dying and saw votes on him, but had no context in the moment.
It's simple. Falcon Man at end of day voted Ilario, when my pal Dizzy told him no one was gonna vote Ilario he basically said that "you never know". Then when me and Dizzy gave him the ol' 1-2 vote and Stayposi joined in, he accused two of us of bein' mafia. One being me, as he scum read me earlier and the other person bein'... TBD... I don't think he ever clarified who the second scum on him was. So that gave me the confidence to just hold my vote and to watch what happened.
Son of Anarch wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 12:03 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:59 pm
Son of Anarch wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:57 pm If someone could ask me a few questions or somethin' to help me get on some sorta track that'd be swell
What would you say has changed most about your view of the game, if anything, since sig flipped town?
To be fully honest, not that much. I think Sloonei got a little scummier to me 'cause I didn't like the way he was handlin' the discussion between me and sig. I think it's kinda weird how we had more than one person sayin' sig was explicitly town rather than sayin' he should have more time to post, I already find Falcon Man to be the most suspicious on that list to start with. Other than that, I'm not super shocked the dude flipped town. I'd need to examine the wagon too because there's probably at least one wolf on there considerin' how votes went. Overall, still feelin' pretty good about game and game state.
Son of Anarch wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:38 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:36 pm JJJ, Ilario, Dolby, SOA



That's a good POE
What are the chances this is 4 town?

Okay, so a few notes:

SoA's first few interactions with falcon are pretty neutral stuff and not suggestive of much. So it's noteworthy that SoA placed falcon in the second-highest tier of his reads list, suggesting some level of town read. That is immediately countered in the posts that follow with assertions of doubt, piggybacked from things other people said (e.g. "falcon is overly contrarian"). We see that SoA took an anti-falcon stance toward the end of Day 1, and dubbed his triad with Dizzy and ilario as "the falcon killers".

Then he didn't post again on Day 1. That was 1.5 hours prior to the deadline, and he didn't make another falcon-related post. He didn't make another post AT ALL. The leader of the falcon killers, or at least their namer, didn't do anything to make that name a reality. He did leave his vote on falcon, but I think it was evident to the people in the game that sig was most likely to be eliminated. So I award zero points, and kinda think it looks worse.

In the time that has followed EOD1 SoA's presence has taken a nosedive, so he's had no impact on matters of falcon or otherwise.

~~~

Do they fit?

Yes, I think they fit. They might even fit well given SoA's EOD1, but I am not as confident about this one as I was about Dolby/SoA.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 8:36 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Do falcon45ca and Johanna fit together as mafia teammates?

From falcon45ca

Spoiler: show
falcon45ca wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:34 pm
Johanna wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:24 pm I think the worst posts of yesterday were Lime's burst, although NAI, and SonofAnarch's "you mean you think our interation is t/t" post, which was awkward.

However the more consistently not so great person is falcon. I like some of the things he said and he raised some valid points (like pointing out said weird SoA post), but it is true that he is mostly being contrarian and that's easy to fake.

A priori he seems a good wolf candidate as someone with some thread presence who gets noticed but not a lot of attention.

I am actually intrigued by TSP. Either he was TMIng sig or he just had the right idea. I lean towards the second, at least for now.

Generally I think there have been bad posts and people with bizarre moments but nobody who has been overtly or outright scummy. Kind of glad I got to avoid having to make a bad choice, although I think I would have leant falcon. There has to be at least one wolf in the towncore (why not two) but I wouldn't know where to look.

Also, I kow understand why Dyslexicon gets abbreviated to Dizzy instead of Dys. That was too many posts...
This is one of those posts that doesn't say much with a whole lot of words.
falcon45ca wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:36 pm
Johanna wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:35 pm SPF was the 'peripheral' member of the triad, and even got some sus during the day. I would say that their case on sig is kind of clearing, for its high effort and grasping at straws, but a push could be easily made by accusong them precisely of that and making up an elaborate case on LHF to ensure a mischop.

That is definitely way too convoluted though.

I was more expecting you (Jay), Sloonei, or maybe illario or Dizzy.
The triad?
falcon45ca wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 9:09 pm Why aren't we talking about Johanna's triad comment? I'd like to know what/who they're talking about
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 7:24 pmJohanna - Comes across as earnestly trying to solve for town

[etc trustfall list]

If falcon is mafia, this looks like someone trying to pick out something to smear, realizing it's not catching, and just moving on to other matters. It doesn't strike me as the stuff of teammates.

From Johanna

Spoiler: show
Johanna wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:24 pm I think the worst posts of yesterday were Lime's burst, although NAI, and SonofAnarch's "you mean you think our interation is t/t" post, which was awkward.

However the more consistently not so great person is falcon. I like some of the things he said and he raised some valid points (like pointing out said weird SoA post), but it is true that he is mostly being contrarian and that's easy to fake.

A priori he seems a good wolf candidate as someone with some thread presence who gets noticed but not a lot of attention.

I am actually intrigued by TSP. Either he was TMIng sig or he just had the right idea. I lean towards the second, at least for now.

Generally I think there have been bad posts and people with bizarre moments but nobody who has been overtly or outright scummy. Kind of glad I got to avoid having to make a bad choice, although I think I would have leant falcon. There has to be at least one wolf in the towncore (why not two) but I wouldn't know where to look.

Also, I kow understand why Dyslexicon gets abbreviated to Dizzy instead of Dys. That was too many posts...
Johanna wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:38 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:34 pm
Johanna wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:24 pm I think the worst posts of yesterday were Lime's burst, although NAI, and SonofAnarch's "you mean you think our interation is t/t" post, which was awkward.

However the more consistently not so great person is falcon. I like some of the things he said and he raised some valid points (like pointing out said weird SoA post), but it is true that he is mostly being contrarian and that's easy to fake.

A priori he seems a good wolf candidate as someone with some thread presence who gets noticed but not a lot of attention.

I am actually intrigued by TSP. Either he was TMIng sig or he just had the right idea. I lean towards the second, at least for now.

Generally I think there have been bad posts and people with bizarre moments but nobody who has been overtly or outright scummy. Kind of glad I got to avoid having to make a bad choice, although I think I would have leant falcon. There has to be at least one wolf in the towncore (why not two) but I wouldn't know where to look.

Also, I kow understand why Dyslexicon gets abbreviated to Dizzy instead of Dys. That was too many posts...
This is one of those posts that doesn't say much with a whole lot of words.
Well I guess I lied, SoA would be my first suspect for a deepwolf precisely because of that weird post. They were pretty good for the rest of the day though, so I wouldn't jump there immediately.
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:05 am
Sloonei wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:09 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:06 pm Yourself and NAA are my town core atm. There's 2 others on the periphery, tho I'd rather not say who right now.
How on god's green earth did the two of us, and only the two of us, earn this position?
I try to be sparse with catch-up posts, but I'm also intrigued about this.
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:57 am I know I said falcon is probably my #1 suspect but that's largely a function of not really having any. As I said, the ones who've made posts that struck me as odd in a bad way are Lime Coke and SoA.
Spoiler: show
I'd like to call him Limey.
Spoiler: show
But that'd be rude.
TSP definitely posted oddly, but not knowing them at all and given the consistency of it I am happy to chalk it up to posting style. Suggesting that a vt claim watcher was fantastic,
Spoiler: show
Thanks Marmot, I forgot that over the night.
they defended someone who was basically tilted for their entire stay on thread and thus were an easy mischop. It was not clear then and I'm not sure why he didn't say his clear was based on meta, but he was right, and his D2 so far just makes him townier.

I hate how NAA is playing but I don't see reason to characterise that as scummy. Confrontational and antagonising, sure. Again I chalk it up to posting style, although in this case I don't think there are reasons to towncore him. Neither are there reasons to suspect him.

So falcon. Yeah, I don't have reasons to think he's a wolf per se, either, and especially now that it's become apparent he's not very well caught up. In my experience, wolves are just as often boldly pushing names as they are cute and cuddly,
Spoiler: show
I mean, they are. falcon's main D1 point doesn't really hold.
but what they try to do is to be up to date.

I don't think I can in good conscience vote for a 2-poster. Nobody can say whether they're scum or not based on two posts. So you know, I'm not reading that slot, but it is true that if they don't show up soon they'll have to be up for the chop. I'm just saying give them a chance to show up.

That's the most questionable bit about NAA, his easy-going willingness to lock wolfreads on nothing but literal thin air.
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 6:03 am Re-reading falcon's ISO I find it less substantial than I recall from my catch-up impression.
Spoiler: show
Guess that helps not finding them particularly townie.
I still don't think it's enough to vote them.
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:28 am
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:13 am
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:45 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 10:58 pm I've skimmed through the ISOs purely looking for mechanical things, no content analysis (I don't know if it's needed actually)

Most town leaning evidence (in order):

JJJ

Sloonei

Dyslexicon

Dolby Falcon Marmott

LimeCoke Ilario

TSP

Johanna

G-man

Normally, I would suggest killing from the bottom up, but Ilario did something this game that I almost exclusively do as mafia, so I'm going to go look at some other games and check.

Lmao wtf? How did you go from wanting to elim jjj/sloonei into having them as ur top trs
Town's reads adjust as the game progresses, it's harder for Maf to do the same. Good look for NAA IMO.



It seems you're only addressing this post tho cuz' of the shade NAA's thrown on you
I believe the objection comes from apparently sussing JJJ to topreading him in 2 and 1/2 hours without any apparent progression.

There's also the fact that 2 hours prior to this list he had just top towned TSP and Ilario
Spoiler: show
who are now at the bottom of the pile.
In this particular case the reads adjustment I think moved in the direction of the consensus, which I think goes against your point that it is in fact a +town progression. I think it's NAI, and I would like to hear abut what he saw in those ISOs to be able to consider his perspective.
Spoiler: show
That's not gonna happen, is it?
The most interesting thing is how the watcher claim is near the bottom but he rectified soon enough, so again... :shrug:

Here's the particularly interesting posts in his progression, I think:
► Show Spoiler
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:01 am
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:59 am
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:19 am
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:13 am
ilario wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:45 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 10:58 pm I've skimmed through the ISOs purely looking for mechanical things, no content analysis (I don't know if it's needed actually)

Most town leaning evidence (in order):

JJJ

Sloonei

Dyslexicon

Dolby Falcon Marmott

LimeCoke Ilario

TSP

Johanna

G-man

Normally, I would suggest killing from the bottom up, but Ilario did something this game that I almost exclusively do as mafia, so I'm going to go look at some other games and check.

Lmao wtf? How did you go from wanting to elim jjj/sloonei into having them as ur top trs
Town's reads adjust as the game progresses, it's harder for Maf to do the same. Good look for NAA IMO.



It seems you're only addressing this post tho cuz' of the shade NAA's thrown on you
He did it in a matter of minutes lol
Wait, it was over 2hrs later??


Matter of minutes my ass
Actually more like 1 1/2 hours, but yeah, and he explicitly says there was ISOing in the middle. So I am trying not to read too much into that.
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:33 am I think I've said lots of things.

If what you want is reads I think SoA and Lime Coke are probably the most dubious consensus town reads, Dolby is a good bean so I want to see him around more, and I don't have anything to judge G-Man by.

TSP and SPF are my lock townreads, then JJJ, you (Sloonei), Dizzy, probably NAA goes here, Ilario, Dolby, Limey/SoA, falcon, I have no read on G-Man... and I completely forgot Marmot existed. Is that normal?
Spoiler: show
It can't be normal
Johanna wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 5:59 am To reiterate some things I've already said and some things I did not make clear but which other people have said:

I believe Jay/Sloonei are always the same alignment here.

I believe that there is a chance that either them or two of the second triad are partnered wolves
Spoiler: show
although most likely not.
Spoiler: show
But still there might be a wolf
Spoiler: show
and I mean SoA.
On a different note, I find it interesting that Lime Coke and G-Man both appeared to catch up almost simultaneously. It's probably just a coincidence
Spoiler: show
but I can't stop thinking about it.
I think that G-Man is finally here and we can actually throw reads on him. I'm interested how, in reference to the Jay/Sloonei partnership, they dissociate them completely. He has formed a list that is far from the consensus and that's something to evaluate
Spoiler: show
though I have no idea in which direction yet.
Lime Coke has had a bizarre couple pages worth of posts, I could vote there but I am extremely averse to uncontested wagons.

I find Jay's solve to be a good PoE to start from but I will not vote for Lime Coke without a competing wagon and I would like to hear more from the other suspects.

One salient thing is how Dolby has posted quite a bit, though not as much today, and has not seemed to have a great impact. I would expect more from him as either alignment.

Finally, on the idea of partnerships, I feel if LC is a wolf his vote on falcon might be an attempt at distancing. I'm not too clear on the progression towards that vote.
Johanna wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 10:02 am
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 9:05 am Theory time:

When I look at Lime Coke's recent evolution on Falcon...

Spoiler: show
Lime Coke wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:36 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:33 pm Lime Coke, when you finish sharing your ketchup, it’d be super if you could give some baseline reads much like I asked from G-Man. Top town and/or mafia reads.
I'm building that up as we speak.

Dizzy is top town if you want a preview.

Falcon could be mafia based on that pop in during that small CFD attempt.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:19 am There's 1 in Falcon/Illario.

But I'm leaning a lot on Illario currently.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:34 am
staypositivefriend wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:31 am
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:27 am SPF
TSP
Axe

Dizzy
JJJ
Sloonei

SonofAnarch
Dolby

G-Man
Marmot
Illario/Falcon (T v W combo here)


@JaggedJimmyJay

This is my list.

Clears

Strong towns

Mid tier

Scum tier.
do you mind talking a little bit about why you think illario/falcon is T v W specifically? why can't they be wolves together?

also, if illario wasn't getting chopped today, who would you wanna vote next?
Because Falcon's just planting his vote on Illario both day phases and not moving. I know both can do well with distancing but that would kinda be ridiculous? Don't you think?

Next vote is either the opposite side of that spectrum with Falcon. Seeing the sudden pop in when he had the CFD placed on him.

Or Marmot.

If Falcon is mafia Marmot is town because Falcon had that weird "Marmot being silent is deafening" post when it was only 2 hours into Day 2.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:13 am [VOTE: Falcon] aubergine

I don't know what to think honestly.

If SPF has a better solve I'll listen.

Otherwise I'm thrown a bit for a loop.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:41 am In terms of my scumreads-

I might only have one.

Since Illario might end up being town.

Falcon has to be mafia. His fixation on Illario and voting him for 2 days straight is very awkward.
falcon45ca wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 10:42 pm Marmot's silence is deafening
This line from Falcon is kinda gross just based on the merit of him posting this 2 hours after the day started. Like could be timezone difference or whatever reasoning he's not going to be here at SOD every day for every game. Feels like he'd be stacking the deck in order to have his viewpoint look solid.

Last thing is the fact that the CFD wagon started on Falcon, and 2 minutes after SPF is the third vote on the wagon, Falcon appears with a post.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:44 am My issue is that literally every game I play with Falcon I end up scumreading the guy, and that's probably this playstyle difference on this site compared to other games that I normally play.

Like so many town players just look scummy by playstyle.

It makes so many of these players such a >rand flip.

...my mind considers the following:

1) Lime Coke and Falcon are teammates.

2) Lime Coke, seeing that Falcon is on enough radars, adds Falcon to his radar.

3) In short order, Lime Coke puts Falcon deep in his POE, but makes Falcon part of an either/or scenario with a civvie he thinks he can build a case on for a mischop (ilario). This would allow him to save face and go after Falcon if his preferred mischop target gets chopped first.

4) When his ilario case implodes, Lime Coke is forced to double down on his teammate Falcon and votes there.

5) He adds a little hedge at the end to give him a potential reason to not vote for Falcon at the end if it comes to that.


Is this too Mafia 101 and I should give up playing with the jumbo crayons? Or does this pass the sniff test? Poke holes in it please.



I want to look at the folks in my POE today as time allows (which it won't for the most part). This is what struck me when looking at Lime Coke. The placement of JJJ in my POE is among the softest, so I don't think I will go down that road further until the game develops more (preferably with me still in it). That leaves four more folks to consider yet.
Well yeah, this is the long version of "Lime Coke's vote on falcon could be distancing." I am very much thinking along those lines.
Johanna wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:37 pm
Marmot wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 11:32 am Does anyone specifically townread either Dolby or Lime Coke? Those two players seem to be consensus scumreads, or at least exist in everyone's POE's, except for each others.

Dolby has a vibe read of Lime Coke, and Lime Coke has Dolby just outside his POE.
Some people had some townread. I haven't really seen a reason to scumread them but I hope things will become a bit clearer now that he seems to have rejoined the thread.

One thing that I couldn't help but note about G-Man's list is that, also against consensus, Dolby was placed rather high up. Unless I am misremembering. These are associative pointers, I'm just not sure how to weigh them. I feel like right now Lime's D2 is the shakiest performance we have and they make a good candidate, so I'd rather start clearing the POE from there or falcon.
Johanna wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 5:48 pm So I get off Limey to Falcon because I hate runaway wagons and that seems like a fair alternative. And suddenly we're 4-4.

Now this is podracing.
Spoiler: show
By god is it podracing
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:05 am I think as stated yesterday, that JJJ and Sloonei are always the same alignment. Therefore, JJJ town.

Why is TSP alive is my biggest question. I'm not chopping an uncontested claim but still. I briefly voted G-Man after Dizzy's claim but I'm on No Vote as I try to sort out my thoughts.

I think in my first catch up post I already indicated SoA as a most likely wolf in the D1 towncore and D2 did not alleviate those suspicions so I am very happy to go there.

I always want to see more of Dolby, I stil feel like I haven't seen enough from him but I might need to bow to the consensus that he should be chopped.

I am very flip floppy on Falcon. He often feels performative but he also has many posts that ring honest.

I do not know G-Man.

I feel like J's PoE might contain up to three wolves rather than all four, but I really can't say who the fourth would be and who in the PoE would not be a wolf I think there's reasonable doubt on all of them to scum read them but also there is very little certainty.

Finally, I'm off
Spoiler: show
to watch Dune.

This stuff gets a bit messy and forces me to make some judgment calls. Objectively, Johanna's read on falcon doesn't seem to lead somewhere concrete -- I don't get the impression she has known what to do with falcon at any juncture of the game. She voices some suspicions, clarifies it's not enough to vote him, pulls the same maneuver as G-Man with the Lime Coke/falcon team theorizing, and sort of twists herself into a pretzel. I get a sense that this progression looks innocent at most points -- indeed the only post that triggers my pings in a "typical" way is the one highlighted in yellow (a very small point). Gun to my head, this is the work of someone who seriously doesn't know rather than of someone who wants to look like they don't know.

~~~

Do they fit?

I think it's possible to make the argument that they fit, but it's not an argument I would find compelling. I am making judgment calls now and I will say that I don't think they're likely mafia teammates. Since this one forces me into that dissonant pair of sentences I always welcome anyone to tell me if they disagree.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 8:23 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Do falcon45ca and G-Man fit together as mafia teammates?

From falcon45ca

Spoiler: show
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 7:24 pm Dolby - I tend to jump quickly on top of things that I don't like in game play, like his "haven't been able to catch up", and I'm wrong far more often than I'm right.

Dyslexicon - Has pushed the game forward and isn't afraid to engage and discuss with players.

G-Man - I can't actually think of much, other than being a low poster doesn't necessarily make one Maf

[etc continue trustfall...]
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 8:46 pm I'd actually put Dizzy in over SOA.


Ilario, Dolby, Dizzy, G-Man is my POE atm
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 12:06 pm
G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:52 am
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:43 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:28 am
falcon45ca wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:36 pm JJJ, Ilario, Dolby, SOA



That's a good POE
If I'm not mistaken, you're vote has been off main wagons on both days now. How are you going to impact the game to a town win? Right now Dolby and SOA have wagons on them, so if you were to choose one of them, which one would you vote?
I vote for the players I think are scum. How am I supposed to know how I'm going to impact the game for a town win? That's a strange question. What's your answer to that question for yourself?


Between Dolby and SOA, I'd like to pull a move I've recently seen from @Master Radishes tie em' up and let it rand.
Ties are determined by the mafia, per our host. No ties, thank you very much.

Why don’t you (or anyone else posting since apparently) remember this from the rules?
Cuz' I rarely read the rules. I'm more of a shoot from the hip kinda player
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:57 pm
G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:33 pm Traipsing around Dolby's ISO, I still see the slightly-punchy logic-based content that won me over here and there, but I'm also seeing that he finds ways to go really soft on just about everyone in the game. He's countered some assertions and suspicions and objected to a few players for things, but those pokes, prods, and punches never turn into any firm suspicions. It looks more like coasting from 10,000 feet.
Nice alliteration.


[VOTE: Gman] aubergine




Too much gussyin' up his words. It just doesn't feel natural
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 6:08 pm
G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 6:05 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:57 pm
G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:33 pm Traipsing around Dolby's ISO, I still see the slightly-punchy logic-based content that won me over here and there, but I'm also seeing that he finds ways to go really soft on just about everyone in the game. He's countered some assertions and suspicions and objected to a few players for things, but those pokes, prods, and punches never turn into any firm suspicions. It looks more like coasting from 10,000 feet.
Nice alliteration.


[VOTE: Gman] aubergine




Too much gussyin' up his words. It just doesn't feel natural
This is (checks ISO), pretty much the most you've said about me all game. Are you all-around allergic to alliteration? Or are you just searching for something to support the saving of your skin?

Image

This isn't much, but perhaps the last exchange can be illuminating. Take it with a grain of salt since we're well into the distancing period. Nonetheless, G-Man literally said falcon hadn't said anything about him prior to the vote. Quite true. As I type this I find my ability to care draining in real time. This stuff isn't very meaningful.

From G-Man

Spoiler: show
G-Man wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:44 pmFALCON
-323: I concur about pingy
-354: scum reads with no meat
-363: agreed
-590: disagree- they gotta try to talk the talk and walk the walk or they stand out
-987: I disagree
G-Man wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:58 pmFALCON
Looking back through just his ISO now reinforces the fact that his posts failed to make much of an impression on me. There's a lot of retorts, musings on other people's thoughts, and borderline OT randomness, but not enough original thoughts for the size of his ISO. In post #354, he offers three baddie names but with no meat behind it. I balked at this post, but in looking back on it now, perhaps this is Falcon broadcasting his own philosophy/strategy for the game? He's certainly been one to avoid making waves as far as I can tell.
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:10 am Transferring all that to solidify a 6-and-6 format, I arrive at these groupings (alphabetical order, not ranked):

TOWN:
-Dolby
-Dyslexicon
-Marmot
-NotAnAxehole
-Sloonei
-TonyStarkPrime


POE:
-Falcon
-Ilario
-JaggedJimmyJay
-Johanna
-Lime Coke
-SOA
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 9:05 am Theory time:

When I look at Lime Coke's recent evolution on Falcon...

Spoiler: show
Lime Coke wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:36 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:33 pm Lime Coke, when you finish sharing your ketchup, it’d be super if you could give some baseline reads much like I asked from G-Man. Top town and/or mafia reads.
I'm building that up as we speak.

Dizzy is top town if you want a preview.

Falcon could be mafia based on that pop in during that small CFD attempt.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:19 am There's 1 in Falcon/Illario.

But I'm leaning a lot on Illario currently.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:34 am
staypositivefriend wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:31 am
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:27 am SPF
TSP
Axe

Dizzy
JJJ
Sloonei

SonofAnarch
Dolby

G-Man
Marmot
Illario/Falcon (T v W combo here)


@JaggedJimmyJay

This is my list.

Clears

Strong towns

Mid tier

Scum tier.
do you mind talking a little bit about why you think illario/falcon is T v W specifically? why can't they be wolves together?

also, if illario wasn't getting chopped today, who would you wanna vote next?
Because Falcon's just planting his vote on Illario both day phases and not moving. I know both can do well with distancing but that would kinda be ridiculous? Don't you think?

Next vote is either the opposite side of that spectrum with Falcon. Seeing the sudden pop in when he had the CFD placed on him.

Or Marmot.

If Falcon is mafia Marmot is town because Falcon had that weird "Marmot being silent is deafening" post when it was only 2 hours into Day 2.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:13 am [VOTE: Falcon] aubergine

I don't know what to think honestly.

If SPF has a better solve I'll listen.

Otherwise I'm thrown a bit for a loop.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:41 am In terms of my scumreads-

I might only have one.

Since Illario might end up being town.

Falcon has to be mafia. His fixation on Illario and voting him for 2 days straight is very awkward.
falcon45ca wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 10:42 pm Marmot's silence is deafening
This line from Falcon is kinda gross just based on the merit of him posting this 2 hours after the day started. Like could be timezone difference or whatever reasoning he's not going to be here at SOD every day for every game. Feels like he'd be stacking the deck in order to have his viewpoint look solid.

Last thing is the fact that the CFD wagon started on Falcon, and 2 minutes after SPF is the third vote on the wagon, Falcon appears with a post.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:44 am My issue is that literally every game I play with Falcon I end up scumreading the guy, and that's probably this playstyle difference on this site compared to other games that I normally play.

Like so many town players just look scummy by playstyle.

It makes so many of these players such a >rand flip.

...my mind considers the following:

1) Lime Coke and Falcon are teammates.

2) Lime Coke, seeing that Falcon is on enough radars, adds Falcon to his radar.

3) In short order, Lime Coke puts Falcon deep in his POE, but makes Falcon part of an either/or scenario with a civvie he thinks he can build a case on for a mischop (ilario). This would allow him to save face and go after Falcon if his preferred mischop target gets chopped first.

4) When his ilario case implodes, Lime Coke is forced to double down on his teammate Falcon and votes there.

5) He adds a little hedge at the end to give him a potential reason to not vote for Falcon at the end if it comes to that.


Is this too Mafia 101 and I should give up playing with the jumbo crayons? Or does this pass the sniff test? Poke holes in it please.



I want to look at the folks in my POE today as time allows (which it won't for the most part). This is what struck me when looking at Lime Coke. The placement of JJJ in my POE is among the softest, so I don't think I will go down that road further until the game develops more (preferably with me still in it). That leaves four more folks to consider yet.
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:22 pm
Johanna wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 10:02 am
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 9:05 am Theory time:

When I look at Lime Coke's recent evolution on Falcon...

Spoiler: show
Lime Coke wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:36 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:33 pm Lime Coke, when you finish sharing your ketchup, it’d be super if you could give some baseline reads much like I asked from G-Man. Top town and/or mafia reads.
I'm building that up as we speak.

Dizzy is top town if you want a preview.

Falcon could be mafia based on that pop in during that small CFD attempt.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:19 am There's 1 in Falcon/Illario.

But I'm leaning a lot on Illario currently.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:34 am
staypositivefriend wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:31 am
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:27 am SPF
TSP
Axe

Dizzy
JJJ
Sloonei

SonofAnarch
Dolby

G-Man
Marmot
Illario/Falcon (T v W combo here)


@JaggedJimmyJay

This is my list.

Clears

Strong towns

Mid tier

Scum tier.
do you mind talking a little bit about why you think illario/falcon is T v W specifically? why can't they be wolves together?

also, if illario wasn't getting chopped today, who would you wanna vote next?
Because Falcon's just planting his vote on Illario both day phases and not moving. I know both can do well with distancing but that would kinda be ridiculous? Don't you think?

Next vote is either the opposite side of that spectrum with Falcon. Seeing the sudden pop in when he had the CFD placed on him.

Or Marmot.

If Falcon is mafia Marmot is town because Falcon had that weird "Marmot being silent is deafening" post when it was only 2 hours into Day 2.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:13 am [VOTE: Falcon] aubergine

I don't know what to think honestly.

If SPF has a better solve I'll listen.

Otherwise I'm thrown a bit for a loop.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:41 am In terms of my scumreads-

I might only have one.

Since Illario might end up being town.

Falcon has to be mafia. His fixation on Illario and voting him for 2 days straight is very awkward.
falcon45ca wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 10:42 pm Marmot's silence is deafening
This line from Falcon is kinda gross just based on the merit of him posting this 2 hours after the day started. Like could be timezone difference or whatever reasoning he's not going to be here at SOD every day for every game. Feels like he'd be stacking the deck in order to have his viewpoint look solid.

Last thing is the fact that the CFD wagon started on Falcon, and 2 minutes after SPF is the third vote on the wagon, Falcon appears with a post.
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:44 am My issue is that literally every game I play with Falcon I end up scumreading the guy, and that's probably this playstyle difference on this site compared to other games that I normally play.

Like so many town players just look scummy by playstyle.

It makes so many of these players such a >rand flip.

...my mind considers the following:

1) Lime Coke and Falcon are teammates.

2) Lime Coke, seeing that Falcon is on enough radars, adds Falcon to his radar.

3) In short order, Lime Coke puts Falcon deep in his POE, but makes Falcon part of an either/or scenario with a civvie he thinks he can build a case on for a mischop (ilario). This would allow him to save face and go after Falcon if his preferred mischop target gets chopped first.

4) When his ilario case implodes, Lime Coke is forced to double down on his teammate Falcon and votes there.

5) He adds a little hedge at the end to give him a potential reason to not vote for Falcon at the end if it comes to that.


Is this too Mafia 101 and I should give up playing with the jumbo crayons? Or does this pass the sniff test? Poke holes in it please.



I want to look at the folks in my POE today as time allows (which it won't for the most part). This is what struck me when looking at Lime Coke. The placement of JJJ in my POE is among the softest, so I don't think I will go down that road further until the game develops more (preferably with me still in it). That leaves four more folks to consider yet.
Well yeah, this is the long version of "Lime Coke's vote on falcon could be distancing." I am very much thinking along those lines.
This goes beyond distancing though, doesn't it? What started as distancing led to a dead end that Lime Coke may be stuck with. Nothing in those posts show me any fervent desire to see Falcon dead. To me it's more of a bland, if not reluctant, acceptance of Falcon as his only option considering his progression.
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:47 pm
Johanna wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:37 pm
Marmot wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 11:32 am Does anyone specifically townread either Dolby or Lime Coke? Those two players seem to be consensus scumreads, or at least exist in everyone's POE's, except for each others.

Dolby has a vibe read of Lime Coke, and Lime Coke has Dolby just outside his POE.
Some people had some townread. I haven't really seen a reason to scumread them but I hope things will become a bit clearer now that he seems to have rejoined the thread.

One thing that I couldn't help but note about G-Man's list is that, also against consensus, Dolby was placed rather high up. Unless I am misremembering. These are associative pointers, I'm just not sure how to weigh them. I feel like right now Lime's D2 is the shakiest performance we have and they make a good candidate, so I'd rather start clearing the POE from there or falcon.
The placement of Dolby in my group of six townreads list was due to my lists being alphabetical. I believe I said as much when I made them.

Dolby put forth some logical posts. It's a vibey, wavelength kind of soft townread for him. One thing that I do need to go back and do during the night phase is look at Dolby's ISO and see if the logic and wavelength that appealed to me in individual posts is still there when I look at his production and progression from a macro level.

Right now I want to finish up with Falcon's ISO to see if the teammate connection I can see from Lim Coke to Falcon extends back the other way.
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:09 pm There's common ground between Falcon and Lime Coke in that they both sus ilario throughout the game so far. They reach their suspicions independently, however. Falcon latches onto ilario from the get-go because of 'cuddly' qualities. Am I to assume that they have experience together in prior games?

This looks to be the first time Falcon interacts with Lime Coke:
Spoiler: show
falcon45ca wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:40 pm
Lime Coke wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:37 pm Sloonei
JJJ
SPF
Ilario
Son of Anarch
Dizzy

Any questions?
Yeah, why?
Not much, and that could cut either way as a 'not much' post.

Falcon gives a TR to Sig when the heat was mounting and ends up sticking with ilario with his vote. I called his content fluffy earlier and I stand by that. His vote on ilario feels soft too.

Here are his trustfall comments:
Spoiler: show
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 7:24 pm Dolby - I tend to jump quickly on top of things that I don't like in game play, like his "haven't been able to catch up", and I'm wrong far more often than I'm right.

Dyslexicon - Has pushed the game forward and isn't afraid to engage and discuss with players.

G-Man - I can't actually think of much, other than being a low poster doesn't necessarily make one Maf

ilario - Again, could be that I'm tunneling and focusing too much on idiosyncrasies that I tend to scum read

JaggedJimmyJay - Probably has done more good for the town & thread health than I'd like to admit

Johanna - Comes across as earnestly trying to solve for town

Lime Coke - Seems in their town meta as far as I know their town meta

Marmot - Activity D2 has been of the solvey type I expect from town Marmot. He spins his tires more as Maf IMO

NotAnAxehole - Has a straightforward approach that doesn't feel agenda-y, seems direct and trying to solve rather than muddy waters.

Sloonei - See above. Different approach, but the motivation feels the same

Son of Anarch - Doesn't come across as overly wary or shy about approaching the game & giving reads.

TonyStarkPrime - Is in his town meta as far as I know and expect from it
His reason to trust ilario is not something that ilario has done, but rather his own bias. Isn't that not how the trustfall was supposed to work? Also, his Lime Coke assessment is also very soft. Both of these have a sort of built-in defense about them that can be utilized later.


Here he even inserts ilario into Lime Coke's slot to modify a potential solve:
Spoiler: show
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 8:44 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 7:52 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 7:50 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 7:46 pm Thanks for doing those everyone.

@falcon45ca, how do you feel about the solve I proposed? From your perspective only one of the possible teams can be correct.
I'm sorry, what's the solve?
From this
and this

I determined the mafia team must be either:

Dolby, G-Man, Lime Coke, falcon
or
Dolby, G-Man, Lime Coke, Son of Anarch
Oh ok.

I don't think LC is Maf, doesn't feel right, ditto SOA. I'd put ilario in their spot Otherwise this is a POE I can work with.
Is there anything in light of today's events that shook Lime Coke's view of ilario that may have changed Falcon's view as well? I'd like to know.


Overall, I can see potential breadcrumbs from Falcon to Lime Coke. It's not as distinct as what I see in the other direction. If Lime Coke flips mafia, Falcon's ISO will need parsed again.

I'm going to [VOTE: Falcon] aubergine at the moment to keep things spicy. I don't like that this means I am voting alongside Lime Coke, but I think he's just stuck there.
G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:52 am
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:43 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:28 am
falcon45ca wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:36 pm JJJ, Ilario, Dolby, SOA



That's a good POE
If I'm not mistaken, you're vote has been off main wagons on both days now. How are you going to impact the game to a town win? Right now Dolby and SOA have wagons on them, so if you were to choose one of them, which one would you vote?
I vote for the players I think are scum. How am I supposed to know how I'm going to impact the game for a town win? That's a strange question. What's your answer to that question for yourself?


Between Dolby and SOA, I'd like to pull a move I've recently seen from @Master Radishes tie em' up and let it rand.
Ties are determined by the mafia, per our host. No ties, thank you very much.

Why don’t you (or anyone else posting since apparently) remember this from the rules?
G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 4:01 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 12:06 pm
G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:52 am
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:43 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:28 am
falcon45ca wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:36 pm JJJ, Ilario, Dolby, SOA



That's a good POE
If I'm not mistaken, you're vote has been off main wagons on both days now. How are you going to impact the game to a town win? Right now Dolby and SOA have wagons on them, so if you were to choose one of them, which one would you vote?
I vote for the players I think are scum. How am I supposed to know how I'm going to impact the game for a town win? That's a strange question. What's your answer to that question for yourself?


Between Dolby and SOA, I'd like to pull a move I've recently seen from @Master Radishes tie em' up and let it rand.
Ties are determined by the mafia, per our host. No ties, thank you very much.

Why don’t you (or anyone else posting since apparently) remember this from the rules?
Cuz' I rarely read the rules. I'm more of a shoot from the hip kinda player
This is just so :disappoint:
G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 6:20 pm Took a look at Falcon's full ISO just now. Beyond the JJJ tin-foil, which I am sympathetic to up to a point, there's not much meat behind his words or actions. It's coasty, but not as noticeably coasty as Dolby from 10,000 feet. If Dolby is just dipping his toes in the ocean, Falcon's gone in just over the knee. Less responding to others and more original content is needed. He stays in my POE.

We can note that G-Man dedicated a lot of time and energy to assessing falcon, but he did so with a specific premise -- that he would (or wouldn't) be teamed with Lime Coke. That would tend to devalue whatever conclusions G-Man comes to when at that point neither have flipped. That doesn't mean pre-flip associative reads are just flat bad the end, but when you only look at one pair you're going to have a very hard time getting anywhere. G-Man ended up concluding that the two do fit together as mafia teammates and left his Day 2 vote on falcon. The meaning of that vote depends upon the progression of the wagons and how likely he thought it was that someone other than Lime Coke would actually be eliminated. The premise of the analysis stunts the suspicion, and the consensus on Lime Coke stunts the vote. I wouldn't feel comfortable dissociating G-Man from falcon on this basis.

~~~

Do they fit?

This is probably the toughest one for me to call so far, but I don't think I can confidently separate them. They at least can be teammates with reasonable plausibility.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 8:18 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

@ilario just for the log, is Son of Anarch still a town read?
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 8:10 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Anyway, I don't mind taking blame. I don't care about blame. Let's win.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 8:09 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 8:08 pm I'm not judging, just pointing out facts.
You're pointing out lazy interpretations of content you've barely consumed that you judged well before the game actually started.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 8:07 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 8:04 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:14 pm I'm usually going to be the first to receive blame for failings, even if those failings can be attributed to other people too. This isn't a complaint; I recognize it's the natural tendency. Fine. Mafia know it too.
If you have clout, and you're wrong it's warranted. If you prefer not being at fault, you should deliberately indicate that you're following someone else's read in absence of your own (in which case you'll still probably sway other people because clout).
I did that repeatedly with Lime Coke. If you want to judge my play, you should read my posts.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 8:06 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Do Dolby and Son of Anarch fit together as mafia teammates?

From Dolby

Spoiler: show
Dolby wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:49 am
sig wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 10:00 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 9:07 pm Oh and by the way, I was kinda thinkin' about this earlier.

Isn't it better for the fruit vendor to claim right away? Basically an IC, yeah? Could have me (the watcher) go on 'em too. I know it's delayed mechanics and all, but still useful as long as I'm not killed.

And for everyone's efforts on this page, I'm gonna slap a small townread on all of you good folk right away. I'm warning ya though, my mind changes easily, but gettin' good vibes from this crowd. I like Jimmy's idea too, about Stayposi being naturally on guard about his early buddy-buddy with her. He seems like a good player, so I think her being naturally curious about all of that is pretty nice as far as ground zero reads go.
Hate this post, I’m always against claiming earlier especially d1
Weird callout. Especially since Anarch already established themselves as pro-mech claim where they claimed watcher. Just takes the call for fruit vendor to claim, which isn't bad, and strips away a past context which makes it look better.

Townreads Dizzy

Don't care about the response to the SPF stuff.
sig wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 6:18 pm Also son of arch is just doing a very obvious omgus and salty that I disagree with others on his town rwae
would have to read for context

Basically the whole ISO is being defensive and talking about Anarch. I strongly dislike the sus on Anarch from sig, nor do I like that beyond the Dizzy toneread it's the only thing he's put out. There is space to improve since he hasn't backread but does not look good.
Dolby wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 1:19 am I'm gonna ignore any followup until I'm done with Anarch
Dolby wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 1:32 am Watcher claim and encouraging Fruit Vendor to out are kinda towny.
Son of Anarch wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 11:11 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 10:57 pm staypositiveffiend
Sloonei


TonyStarkPrime

Son of Anarch

More people please
Being concerned about others read on you. Bad look

Susses LC for piggybacking JJJ. A good look that they both had similar thoughts towards the slot.

Having a catchup post is towny and I'd rather crash than read it

I think that the TSP vote is unnatural coming from scum and moving against a potential pocket.

Don't like the sig vote but apparently a number of people agree with it so won't hold it against him

Scum in 0 posters is a yikes

I think he comes off better between him and sig

I want to sleep
Dolby wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 3:49 am Dizzy - looking back I think that some of the stuff that I'm worried about with JJJ applies here
falcon - don't remember a word they've said rn
G-man - same
ilario - towny, triad 2 posts better than posts near start of game
JJJ - have some level of paranoia towards here. This is most relevant in a world where G-Man and Jo are both town
Johanna - null. I don't think their day two entrance changes anything for me wrt to her either (there may be good JJJ points here). The only thing that looks even remotely bad is her characterization of TSP's behavior.
LC - vibes
Marmot - can be town
NAA - hank_scorpio_fire.gif
SOA - vibes
Sloonei - probs good
TSP - town (obv)

gn
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:11 pm I kinda just like LC on skim

I want them to articulate how they feel about Anarch but that's about it

Dolby turned sig's suspicion of SoA into his own suspicion of sig. Classically this might be called a chainsaw defense, and it's not the best look. Dolby's review of SoA himself is pretty limited and ends in positive feedback "vibes". I don't know why he brought up Anarch in that last post referencing Lime Coke.

From Son of Anarch

Spoiler: show
Son of Anarch wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 10:36 am
Spoiler: show
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:06 am Son of Anarch is an interesting case. I think that, on a holistic level, he looks pretty decent. There are some isolated moments where he might be a bit s t i l t e d though. I think I could even be reading him that way as a byproduct of his penchant for replacing the "ing" with " in' ". Replacin' as it were. I know that's dumb, but I'm just trying to make sense of a dumb concept like "stilted".

Still generally a town read, just with a bit more trepidation than some others have shown.
Hey Jimmy, I appreciate the town read n' all, even if it's comin' with some strings attached. Can ya maybe quote a post or two where ya feel I might be stilted?
Sloonei wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:08 am
staypositivefriend wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:03 am (perhaps i should be taking a closer look at my read on Son Of Anarch - i wrote him off as town almost immediately when i have no idea what his range is like or how competent of a wolf he is)
I was having this thought just a moment before I read your post. My current stance is that Son of A Narc is town and perfectly agreeable and a helpful voice in the thread. But he's also new to me, but clearly not new to the game, and a player in that position could very quickly and easily disarm us if they know what buttons to push.

This is not something I would take action on right now, but it is something I would be mindful of if the game begins to take a shape that we do not like.
Hey man, I'm tellin' you all to be scared of me :) I'm not scum this game, but I can tell you all that I'm not half-bad.
Dolby wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 12:49 am
sig wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 10:00 am
Son of Anarch wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 9:07 pm Oh and by the way, I was kinda thinkin' about this earlier.

Isn't it better for the fruit vendor to claim right away? Basically an IC, yeah? Could have me (the watcher) go on 'em too. I know it's delayed mechanics and all, but still useful as long as I'm not killed.

And for everyone's efforts on this page, I'm gonna slap a small townread on all of you good folk right away. I'm warning ya though, my mind changes easily, but gettin' good vibes from this crowd. I like Jimmy's idea too, about Stayposi being naturally on guard about his early buddy-buddy with her. He seems like a good player, so I think her being naturally curious about all of that is pretty nice as far as ground zero reads go.
Hate this post, I’m always against claiming earlier especially d1
Weird callout. Especially since Anarch already established themselves as pro-mech claim where they claimed watcher. Just takes the call for fruit vendor to claim, which isn't bad, and strips away a past context which makes it look better.

Townreads Dizzy

Don't care about the response to the SPF stuff.
sig wrote: Sat Sep 11, 2021 6:18 pm Also son of arch is just doing a very obvious omgus and salty that I disagree with others on his town rwae
would have to read for context

Basically the whole ISO is being defensive and talking about Anarch. I strongly dislike the sus on Anarch from sig, nor do I like that beyond the Dizzy toneread it's the only thing he's put out. There is space to improve since he hasn't backread but does not look good.
I appreciate your analysis here, Dolby. Keep sheepin' my reads and I'll take care of ya, although I gotta say, I kept confusin' you for ilario here because of the avatar.
I don't think any of the spoiled bits are that important and to be honest with you all, the quoting on this website is a bit difficult/hard to keep up, so I'm just gonna be talkin' about things without quotes and then if ya need me to quote for whatever reason, just ask me.

@ilario I think Marmot's recent posts are alright. It doesn't really sway me one way or the other. I guess you could say his posts are mostly safe, but not really that scummy t'me. I know that's kinda avoiding givin' a direct answer, but probably wouldn't feel comfortable labeling the dude one way or the other.

And Sloonei man, I honestly don't know what you're tryin' to say there. I get you don't want to enforce a read on Jimmy or make people think you have to follow your read, but I think from my perspective it seems pretty obvious that ya town read the guy. Reason bein' that you haven't really contested the triad idea, keep askin' leading questions that sorta attempt to guide people towards the read, and I don't think you'd give Jimmy this much thread control if ya thought the guy was scum, eh? So I don't get why you're makin' such a big deal about not givin' a read on him.

Dyslexicon had a good point earlier by the way. I know ya guys haven't ever played with me, but I think some of my posts here are pretty hard to fake as scum just in general. I'd listen to the good man here and town read me to make the game easier on you all :) Hah, but if you don't wanna that's okay too. I just wanna remind you all though that cowboys are good at catchin' criminals.

Also, I accept my place in the triad with you Ilario. I was readin' over your ISO earlier and I'm thinkin' you're just town. Reason being that I think some of your ideas and posts are just too whacky to be scum and your confidence is so fire. I know I said earlier confidence could be scum-indicative, but it's the kinda confidence that's enforced for the sake of pushin' the game along and not the kind of confidence I see a wolf present in order to be town read. Dyslexicon seems like a pretty cool dude as well, high-energy and all. Not that that makes someone town, but I've seen him present a few reads or push in a few directions that I feel like would be pretty ballsy to do, also everyone else seems to town read him and I doubt the whole thread would be wrong on that sorta read since he seems to be a regular on the site.

Here's a reads list for everyone's trouble by the way (it's not ordered between tiers):

Stayposi
Ilario
Jimmy
Dyslexicon
NAA

-------

Dolby
Sloonei
Marmot
Falcon

-------

G-man
Johanna

-------

Lime Coke
TSP

-------

sig
Son of Anarch wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 8:17 pm Eh... If I had t'pick 4 people. Now that's really tough, but I'm gonna say right now it'd have to be...

Dizzy
Jimmy
Ilario

and for the fourth... I'm not too certain here. Maybe someone I haven't looked into too much but got good vibes from like Dolby or heck, even Johanna. That might be jumpin' the gun though. I think I'll slot Dolby in there.
Son of Anarch wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:57 pm I do like your team theory kinda. I'm unsure about Dolby bein' there because I thought the day 1 content was good. Day 2 hasn't been as great, so I'll give ya that.
Son of Anarch wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:58 pm I don't know if the Johanna, ilario, Dolby, G-Man team works though. That's all three of the 0-posters day 1 in one team, which seems unlikely. Although not impossible I guess due to how thread felt before they started postin'

For the first time in these reviews I find myself actually moved by real suspicion. These are not encouraging posts and I think quite supportive of SoA and Dolby as mafia partners. The initial reads list is whatever. Dolby is in the second-highest tier. That's at least questionable but not necessarily terrible. The other three posts all stand out to me in a bad way though. Dolby gets the token "maybe" placement among SoA's four town reads, and it would form an inverse player salad. The next post about my team theory dissuades the inclusion of Dolby as mafia while simultaneously giving a reason to suspect him. The final post again dissuades a mafia read of Dolby before providing a counter-justification. These are not pretty caveats.

~~~

Do they fit?

Yes, SoA and Dolby fit togther well. If one is mafia I think the other is a high prospect to be with him.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 7:55 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Do Dolby and Johanna fit together as mafia teammates?

From Johanna

Spoiler: show
Dolby wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 1:35 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 1:33 pm
Dolby wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 1:23 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 1:21 pm
Dolby wrote: Sun Sep 12, 2021 1:20 pmMarmot not sus and I didn't care about much in his iso
Lolk. Could I interest you in a delicious choice of Sig, or are you eyeing anyone else? I see that you don't have a vote down. I'm not very interested in the Marmot wagon myself, and don't particularly understand it.
Yeah, but I want to see if something else has a scummier taste first
Let's wagon Johanna. It could be fun.

[VOTE: Johanna] aubergine
how about no?
Dolby wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 3:49 am Dizzy - looking back I think that some of the stuff that I'm worried about with JJJ applies here
falcon - don't remember a word they've said rn
G-man - same
ilario - towny, triad 2 posts better than posts near start of game
JJJ - have some level of paranoia towards here. This is most relevant in a world where G-Man and Jo are both town
Johanna - null. I don't think their day two entrance changes anything for me wrt to her either (there may be good JJJ points here). The only thing that looks even remotely bad is her characterization of TSP's behavior.
LC - vibes
Marmot - can be town
NAA - hank_scorpio_fire.gif
SOA - vibes
Sloonei - probs good
TSP - town (obv)

gn
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:37 pm Johanna is incredibly obvious town in meta btw

Illario noticing her towniness is a good look
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:16 pm TSP
NAA
Johanna - having played with Jo in dozens of games, and given that she isn't a fish out of water rn, I'm pretty confident in her confidence
Ilario - can explain more but something just tells me this isn't scum

idk who my next two town would be but they don't have the same level of confidence as the above
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:51 pm
Lime Coke wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:50 pm Johanna voting me and not saying anything at all about me, especially with my catch up posts, is kinda scummy from her.

Like she acknowledged it but like...at least give some kind of opinion?
Johanna is already pretty far out of scum meta imo.

Also sometimes she does just not interact with her SRs
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 3:12 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 3:11 pm @Dolby let's just simplify this to one basic question:

What's the difference between Sloonei and I that can allow your views to make sense? I am asking because I don't know, and only you can show me.
Sloonei doesn't look like he's trying to chainsaw tomorrow into me/GMan/Johanna
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 3:19 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 3:17 pm
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 3:12 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 3:11 pm @Dolby let's just simplify this to one basic question:

What's the difference between Sloonei and I that can allow your views to make sense? I am asking because I don't know, and only you can show me.
Sloonei doesn't look like he's trying to chainsaw tomorrow into me/GMan/Johanna
If I was interested in a "chainsaw" I wouldn't bother talking about this with you right now. If I sound like an ego-maniac, it's because I am trying to make sense of something that I, entering the dialogue, think doesn't make sense from someone I suspect who is also voting for one of my town reads. I also think Johanna is probably town. I just have room in the POE pool for one more.
I recognize that you currently townread Johanna ftr, and have them top spot of the PoE. I don't like the day one discourse surrounding all three of our slots and how it's evolved today.

Can you tell me how LC's early posts felt like TMI?
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 5:49 pm
Johanna wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 5:48 pm 3-3-4 what the fuck is going on?
Hi Jo I decided you are a paragon of towniness

Also there's no chance that JJJ is going over bc I'm 70% sure that Marmot is moving his vote at some point

The "how about no" beginning looks like TMI at a glance. That can be well-enough corroborated by what follows -- a vague "null" read with only positive content in it and then a cascade of "obvious town" kinds of reads. That progression doesn't look terribly associated to me. I'll see how it goes from the other direction.

From Johanna

Spoiler: show
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:14 am I would appreciate NAA announcing his votes. :P

I mean I also feel pocket paranoia from ilario, but I don't know that it means anything real.

I would love to see more of Comrade Eternal President Dolby, but I haven't seen anything concerning from him atm. Waiting for more G-Man content, and nobody is being tangibly suspicious to my eyes.

If I should get the tinfoil hat I would say perhaps two people in the second triad
Spoiler: show
Dizzy, SoA, ilario
could be partnered wolves
Spoiler: show
or even Jay/Sloonei???
but I'd rather start looking for someone who is individually scummy, or conversely by confirming enough town,
Spoiler: show
but I don't trust myself there.
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:24 am I always love me a good 7-way tie. @Dolby can attest to it.
Spoiler: show
but I was Mafia in that game.
Spoiler: show
although I do like ties regardless of alignment
Spoiler: show
but not this kind of tie.
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:33 am I think I've said lots of things.

If what you want is reads I think SoA and Lime Coke are probably the most dubious consensus town reads, Dolby is a good bean so I want to see him around more, and I don't have anything to judge G-Man by.

TSP and SPF are my lock townreads, then JJJ, you (Sloonei), Dizzy, probably NAA goes here, Ilario, Dolby, Limey/SoA, falcon, I have no read on G-Man... and I completely forgot Marmot existed. Is that normal?
Spoiler: show
It can't be normal
Johanna wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:57 am Dolby.

and now I'm taking a break because I've been threadsitting for hours and this is exhausting.
Johanna wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 5:59 am To reiterate some things I've already said and some things I did not make clear but which other people have said:

I believe Jay/Sloonei are always the same alignment here.

I believe that there is a chance that either them or two of the second triad are partnered wolves
Spoiler: show
although most likely not.
Spoiler: show
But still there might be a wolf
Spoiler: show
and I mean SoA.
On a different note, I find it interesting that Lime Coke and G-Man both appeared to catch up almost simultaneously. It's probably just a coincidence
Spoiler: show
but I can't stop thinking about it.
I think that G-Man is finally here and we can actually throw reads on him. I'm interested how, in reference to the Jay/Sloonei partnership, they dissociate them completely. He has formed a list that is far from the consensus and that's something to evaluate
Spoiler: show
though I have no idea in which direction yet.
Lime Coke has had a bizarre couple pages worth of posts, I could vote there but I am extremely averse to uncontested wagons.

I find Jay's solve to be a good PoE to start from but I will not vote for Lime Coke without a competing wagon and I would like to hear more from the other suspects.

One salient thing is how Dolby has posted quite a bit, though not as much today, and has not seemed to have a great impact. I would expect more from him as either alignment.

Finally, on the idea of partnerships, I feel if LC is a wolf his vote on falcon might be an attempt at distancing. I'm not too clear on the progression towards that vote.
Johanna wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:37 pm
Marmot wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 11:32 am Does anyone specifically townread either Dolby or Lime Coke? Those two players seem to be consensus scumreads, or at least exist in everyone's POE's, except for each others.

Dolby has a vibe read of Lime Coke, and Lime Coke has Dolby just outside his POE.
Some people had some townread. I haven't really seen a reason to scumread them but I hope things will become a bit clearer now that he seems to have rejoined the thread.

One thing that I couldn't help but note about G-Man's list is that, also against consensus, Dolby was placed rather high up. Unless I am misremembering. These are associative pointers, I'm just not sure how to weigh them. I feel like right now Lime's D2 is the shakiest performance we have and they make a good candidate, so I'd rather start clearing the POE from there or falcon.
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:05 am I think as stated yesterday, that JJJ and Sloonei are always the same alignment. Therefore, JJJ town.

Why is TSP alive is my biggest question. I'm not chopping an uncontested claim but still. I briefly voted G-Man after Dizzy's claim but I'm on No Vote as I try to sort out my thoughts.

I think in my first catch up post I already indicated SoA as a most likely wolf in the D1 towncore and D2 did not alleviate those suspicions so I am very happy to go there.

I always want to see more of Dolby, I stil feel like I haven't seen enough from him but I might need to bow to the consensus that he should be chopped.

I am very flip floppy on Falcon. He often feels performative but he also has many posts that ring honest.

I do not know G-Man.

I feel like J's PoE might contain up to three wolves rather than all four, but I really can't say who the fourth would be and who in the PoE would not be a wolf I think there's reasonable doubt on all of them to scum read them but also there is very little certainty.

Finally, I'm off
Spoiler: show
to watch Dune.
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 12:17 pm Dolby is a good wolf, yeah. I expect better from him as either alignment, I'm a bit confused and it's why I'm so reluctant. He can be pretty active and drive discussion as town and he can put up a very townie performance as a wolf.

He is a solid option, I just... want to see more of him. It feels rather unfair to me.
Johanna wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 2:23 pm I think Marmot was in Stardew Hydra and I'm pretty sure that's it with regards to playing with other people still alive and posting. Other than Dolby. I don't want to think he's a woof.

The immediate and developing trend here is that Johanna expects more of Dolby than she has seen (regardless of alignment). His impact has been less than she anticipates. While that's not exactly a "suspicion", it can at least be interpreted as the absence of trust -- and I think it looks like a pretty authentic progression of perspectives. These don't look like views that have been informed by or sculpted by any other conversations happening outside this game thread. I also don't get the impression this progression aligns with Dolby's treatment of her; there's no sense of coordination or agenda.

~~~

Do they fit?

I don't think think they fit together as mafia teammates. If Dolby is mafia, I get the impression he views Johanna as a priority to deal with because they've more mutual familiarity than others have with either of them. So he has stuck the necessary town read on her literal town self to get and stay ingratiated, and she has not responded in kind (in a theoretical world where Dolby is mafia).
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 7:44 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Do Dolby and G-Man fit together as mafia teammates?

From Dolby

Spoiler: show
Dolby wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 3:49 am Dizzy - looking back I think that some of the stuff that I'm worried about with JJJ applies here
falcon - don't remember a word they've said rn
G-man - same
ilario - towny, triad 2 posts better than posts near start of game
JJJ - have some level of paranoia towards here. This is most relevant in a world where G-Man and Jo are both town
Johanna - null. I don't think their day two entrance changes anything for me wrt to her either (there may be good JJJ points here). The only thing that looks even remotely bad is her characterization of TSP's behavior.
LC - vibes
Marmot - can be town
NAA - hank_scorpio_fire.gif
SOA - vibes
Sloonei - probs good
TSP - town (obv)

gn
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 6:39 pm
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 6:38 pm To the baddies...
Spoiler: show
[insert huge joker-themed image joke referencing economics mafia from 2015

:daisy:
I vread this

From G-Man

Spoiler: show
G-Man wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:44 pm Thoughts through now:

DOLBY
-647: wisdom LINK
-1197: I agree LINK
G-Man wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 11:58 pm Time to flesh some of this stuff out. There were some stretches in this game that didn't make much of an impression on me. Also, I got pretty into the last three or four pages and didn't jot many notes down as I neared the finish line. Here's what I have:

DOLBY
There was a logic and consistency in some of his posts that reinforced the two posts I liked enough to put in my notes. Early in games I find myself gravitating to logic that strikes me as being akin to my own wavelength. I like the brevity of many of his posts.

[etc reads list snipped]
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:10 am Transferring all that to solidify a 6-and-6 format, I arrive at these groupings (alphabetical order, not ranked):

TOWN:
-Dolby
-Dyslexicon
-Marmot
-NotAnAxehole
-Sloonei
-TonyStarkPrime


POE:
-Falcon
-Ilario
-JaggedJimmyJay
-Johanna
-Lime Coke
-SOA
G-Man wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:47 pm
Johanna wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:37 pm
Marmot wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 11:32 am Does anyone specifically townread either Dolby or Lime Coke? Those two players seem to be consensus scumreads, or at least exist in everyone's POE's, except for each others.

Dolby has a vibe read of Lime Coke, and Lime Coke has Dolby just outside his POE.
Some people had some townread. I haven't really seen a reason to scumread them but I hope things will become a bit clearer now that he seems to have rejoined the thread.

One thing that I couldn't help but note about G-Man's list is that, also against consensus, Dolby was placed rather high up. Unless I am misremembering. These are associative pointers, I'm just not sure how to weigh them. I feel like right now Lime's D2 is the shakiest performance we have and they make a good candidate, so I'd rather start clearing the POE from there or falcon.
The placement of Dolby in my group of six townreads list was due to my lists being alphabetical. I believe I said as much when I made them.

Dolby put forth some logical posts. It's a vibey, wavelength kind of soft townread for him. One thing that I do need to go back and do during the night phase is look at Dolby's ISO and see if the logic and wavelength that appealed to me in individual posts is still there when I look at his production and progression from a macro level.

Right now I want to finish up with Falcon's ISO to see if the teammate connection I can see from Lim Coke to Falcon extends back the other way.
G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:33 pm Traipsing around Dolby's ISO, I still see the slightly-punchy logic-based content that won me over here and there, but I'm also seeing that he finds ways to go really soft on just about everyone in the game. He's countered some assertions and suspicions and objected to a few players for things, but those pokes, prods, and punches never turn into any firm suspicions. It looks more like coasting from 10,000 feet.
G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:41 pm
G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:33 pm Traipsing around Dolby's ISO, I still see the slightly-punchy logic-based content that won me over here and there, but I'm also seeing that he finds ways to go really soft on just about everyone in the game. He's countered some assertions and suspicions and objected to a few players for things, but those pokes, prods, and punches never turn into any firm suspicions. It looks more like coasting from 10,000 feet.
This is, of course, very convenient an observation to make for a first ISO review, considering Dolby and I seem to be the favored targets at the moment. Don't think that isn't lost on me.
G-Man wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 6:20 pm Took a look at Falcon's full ISO just now. Beyond the JJJ tin-foil, which I am sympathetic to up to a point, there's not much meat behind his words or actions. It's coasty, but not as noticeably coasty as Dolby from 10,000 feet. If Dolby is just dipping his toes in the ocean, Falcon's gone in just over the knee. Less responding to others and more original content is needed. He stays in my POE.

Dolby does nothing with G-Man. G-Man treats Dolby as a town read on Day 2 and a mafia read on Day 3. That progression doesn't tell me a lot given that they're the two most viable wagons right this moment, as G-Man makes clear he is aware of in the second-last post there. Shrug.

~~~

Do they fit?

I cannot confidently say they don't fit. They can be teammates. I would perhaps expect a little more on the Dolby side if they are. I cannot make any read of that form with confidence at this point though.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 7:33 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Do Dolby and falcon45ca fit together as mafia teammates?

From Dolby

Spoiler: show
Dolby wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 3:49 am Dizzy - looking back I think that some of the stuff that I'm worried about with JJJ applies here
falcon - don't remember a word they've said rn
G-man - same
ilario - towny, triad 2 posts better than posts near start of game
JJJ - have some level of paranoia towards here. This is most relevant in a world where G-Man and Jo are both town
Johanna - null. I don't think their day two entrance changes anything for me wrt to her either (there may be good JJJ points here). The only thing that looks even remotely bad is her characterization of TSP's behavior.
LC - vibes
Marmot - can be town
NAA - hank_scorpio_fire.gif
SOA - vibes
Sloonei - probs good
TSP - town (obv)

gn
Dolby wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 1:19 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:06 am
Dolby wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 3:13 am I do not like the tendency among the consensus town/highposters that we just yeet the low-posters. I'm struggling to find any reads rn that aren't close to having the same effect as sort by postcount.

This has present from as early as the 200s, from Dizzy

Haven't even read fully yet, just feel the need to say this.

Also, Jo's D2 entrance isn't bad for them. No I will not elaborate
You keep mentioning you haven't fully read yet. Why?
In both cases I intended to fully catch up in that sitting, then ended up not doing that
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:48 pm @falcon45ca you were here a bit ago, what do your reads look like rn?
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:01 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:59 pm
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:48 pm @falcon45ca you were here a bit ago, what do your reads look like rn?
My POE is unchanged from last night
Can you articulate why Dizzy and Ilario are in the PoE?
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:04 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:03 pm Like I would feel better if we voted Marmot over Falcon
sell me
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 3:25 pm The first post is something that I see 100% coming from Bluekang regardless of alignment

The second, tbh I just need to read their interactions more deeply because a lot of people are saying Lime and Falcon are paired and I don't understand it fully
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 3:27 pm I don't want to give JJJ the vibe that I don't treat his reads seriously bc I am regretting that snappy comment a bit, I have been trying to look into the LC/Falcon case for a bit but have been getting derailed
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 4:19 pm Even when looking at GMan's specific post I fail to see why people think Falcon and Lime Coke have significantly elevated wolf team equity.
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 2:25 pm @falcon45ca why is your vote on ilario?
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 5:43 pm [VOTE: falcon45ca] aubergine

Let's go
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 5:44 pm [VOTE: JJJ] aubergine

nvm lets go
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 6:01 pm ugh cowards

[VOTE: Falcon] aubergine
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 6:03 pm
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 6:01 pm ugh cowards

[VOTE: Falcon] aubergine
my vote is spiritually on falcon, but I don't want to actually set it to L-2
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 6:10 pm I have been in favor of you and JJJ yeets for awhile, and everyone know that JJJ wasn't actually happening

I don't really have a take on Falcon
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 6:13 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 6:12 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 6:11 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 6:10 pm Huh. What if we don’t chop Lime though?
Is there something moving you that direction?
His last post to me. I’m easily swayed by feels though, I’m aware.
haven't you been on falcon for awhile?
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 6:24 pm [VOTE: Falcon] aubergine
Dolby wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 6:34 pm SPF is the triad pure?

Also do you have a moment to look at falcon?

The majority of this is soft pillow and not meaningful to me. The most important material comes late in Day 2, when Dolby toyed with voting for falcon, but also with voting for me. It's difficult to tell how seriously he took the prospect of falcon being eliminated -- he admitted outright that I wasn't likely, and said he had no take on falcon. If Dolby believed the Lime Coke elimination was significantly more likely, then the falcon votes become pretty ineffectual.

From falcon45ca

Spoiler: show
falcon45ca wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:35 pm
Dolby wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:32 pm Hi I still haven't fully read the thread
I'm wondering...is there a point to telling us this?


[VOTE: Dolby] aubergine
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 10:06 am
Dolby wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 3:13 am I do not like the tendency among the consensus town/highposters that we just yeet the low-posters. I'm struggling to find any reads rn that aren't close to having the same effect as sort by postcount.

This has present from as early as the 200s, from Dizzy

Haven't even read fully yet, just feel the need to say this.

Also, Jo's D2 entrance isn't bad for them. No I will not elaborate
You keep mentioning you haven't fully read yet. Why?
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 7:24 pm Dolby - I tend to jump quickly on top of things that I don't like in game play, like his "haven't been able to catch up", and I'm wrong far more often than I'm right.

Dyslexicon - Has pushed the game forward and isn't afraid to engage and discuss with players.

G-Man - I can't actually think of much, other than being a low poster doesn't necessarily make one Maf

[etc trustfall exercise snipped...]
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Sep 14, 2021 8:46 pm I'd actually put Dizzy in over SOA.


Ilario, Dolby, Dizzy, G-Man is my POE atm
falcon45ca wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:36 pm JJJ, Ilario, Dolby, SOA



That's a good POE
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:43 am
Dyslexicon wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:28 am
falcon45ca wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 10:36 pm JJJ, Ilario, Dolby, SOA



That's a good POE
If I'm not mistaken, you're vote has been off main wagons on both days now. How are you going to impact the game to a town win? Right now Dolby and SOA have wagons on them, so if you were to choose one of them, which one would you vote?
I vote for the players I think are scum. How am I supposed to know how I'm going to impact the game for a town win? That's a strange question. What's your answer to that question for yourself?


Between Dolby and SOA, I'd like to pull a move I've recently seen from @Master Radishes tie em' up and let it rand.

Take note that the first post in the spoiler represents the first instance in the game in which falcon hurled an accusation at someone and voted for them in the same moment. There was a similar moment directed at ilario earlier, but split into two posts. Take that however you will, but I am registering it as at least "unique". It wasn't falcon's first accusation, but it was the first with the vote attached. The yellow highlighted bit comes from a trustfall exercise and should not be confused with a reads list. Otherwise, when Dolby is mentioned it is within a broader POE grouping or in a pair with SoA in an uninspired final post calling for a tied vote.

~~~

Do they fit?

Sure they fit. I wouldn't say they scream "mafia teammates", but there no good reason I can see here to say they don't fit together.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 7:17 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

[VOTE: unvote] aubergine about to begin a ton of effort and giving myself space
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 7:11 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

@Johanna if you had to bet the game on naming three players as civilians, who might you choose?
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 7:09 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

@G-Man if you had to bet the game on naming three players as civilians, who might you choose?
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 6:32 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

General question for whoever wants to brave it:

If someone in the consensus POE is eliminated today and happens to flip town, is there any way in hell that both Dyslexicon and ilario are town-aligned?
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:21 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

Marmot wrote: Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:19 pm I feel like I'm on auto-pilot right now, but everyone's telling me that's ok and not really challenging my view of the game, so I'll just keep doing that until.

Thoughts on that feeling Jay? How do you feel about the gamestate?
Not quite autopilot, though I'm at work currently and can't do much. I wouldn't say we should just churn through the POE right now after the initial two misses. I think we're in a decent enough place to say that the prevailing theories point to certain subsets (e.g. Dolby and G-Man for me), but I don't have a clear theory of a team of four right now.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 5:14 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

I'm usually going to be the first to receive blame for failings, even if those failings can be attributed to other people too. This isn't a complaint; I recognize it's the natural tendency. Fine. Mafia know it too.
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 3:33 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

I feel that the arguments for chopping Dolby and G-Man are the strongest and invoke the fewest doubts (as compared to common POE names like [falcon, SoA] or alternative suspects like [Johanna, ilario]).
by JaggedJimmyJay
Fri Sep 17, 2021 3:31 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Fleabag Mafia mafia win
Replies: 3718
Views: 51554

Re: Fleabag Mafia d3

I will have a belly laugh if mafia are caught in part because they mishandled

THE TRIAD

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